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StPetePolls 2022 CD15REP August1 R72HC
StPetePolls 2022 CD15REP August1 R72HC
Executive Summary:
This poll of 275 likely Republican Florida Congressional District 15 primary voters was conducted
on August 1, 2022. This poll used the registered voter lists supplied by the state of Florida as of July
12, 2022. The sample of voters that were contacted included random samples of registered voters
within the new boundaries of Florida’s 15th Congressional District.
The issues surveyed included questions related to the August primary election in the new boundaries
of Florida’s 15th Congressional District.
Methodology:
The poll was conducted through an automated phone call polling system. The results were then
weighted to account for proportional differences between the respondents' demographics and the
demographics of the active Republican voter population for the new boundaries of Florida’s 15th
Congressional District. The weighting demographics used were: race, age and gender.
Voters who had stated that they were not likely to vote in the August primary election were excluded
from the results.
The scientific results shown for the questions below have a sample size of 275 and a 5.9% Margin of
Error at a 95% confidence level.
Do you plan to vote or have you already voted in the Republican primary
election this month?
Plan to vote: 77.2%
Already voted: 22.8%
Do you plan to vote or have you already voted in the Republican primary
election this month?
Plan to vote: 77.2%
Already voted: 22.8%
Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 257 responses
Plan to vote: 79.0% Already voted: 21.0%
Black, Not Hispanic 2 responses
Plan to vote: 100.0% Already voted: 0%
Asian or Pacific Islander 1 responses
Plan to vote: 0% Already voted: 100.0%
Hispanic 11 responses
Plan to vote: 63.6% Already voted: 36.4%
Other or Unknown 4 responses
Plan to vote: 75.0% Already voted: 25.0%
Gender Breakdown:
Male 123 responses
Plan to vote: 78.9% Already voted: 21.1%
Female 148 responses
Plan to vote: 77.7% Already voted: 22.3%
Age Breakdown:
18 to 29 7 responses
Plan to vote: 71.4% Already voted: 28.6%
30 to 49 31 responses
Plan to vote: 80.6% Already voted: 19.4%
50 to 69 79 responses
Plan to vote: 74.7% Already voted: 25.3%
70 and up 158 responses
Plan to vote: 79.7% Already voted: 20.3%
Grimes: 4.7%
Lee: 45.1%
McGovern: 5.8%
Stargel: 15.3%
Toledo: 10.5%
Undecided: 18.5%
Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 257 responses
Grimes: 4.7% Lee: 45.1% McGovern: 6.2% Stargel: 15.2% Toledo: 11.3% Undecided: 17.5%
Black, Not Hispanic 2 responses
Grimes: 0% Lee: 0% McGovern: 0% Stargel: 50.0% Toledo: 0% Undecided: 50.0%
Asian or Pacific Islander 1 responses
Grimes: 0% Lee: 0% McGovern: 0% Stargel: 100.0% Toledo: 0% Undecided: 0%
Hispanic 11 responses
Grimes: 9.1% Lee: 54.5% McGovern: 0% Stargel: 0% Toledo: 0% Undecided: 36.4%
Other or Unknown 4 responses
Grimes: 0% Lee: 50.0% McGovern: 0% Stargel: 25.0% Toledo: 0% Undecided: 25.0%
Gender Breakdown:
Male 123 responses
Grimes: 4.9% Lee: 42.3% McGovern: 7.3% Stargel: 13.0% Toledo: 8.9% Undecided: 23.6%
Female 148 responses
Grimes: 4.7% Lee: 48.0% McGovern: 4.7% Stargel: 16.9% Toledo: 11.5% Undecided: 14.2%
Age Breakdown:
18 to 29 7 responses
Grimes: 0% Lee: 14.3% McGovern: 0% Stargel: 28.6% Toledo: 28.6% Undecided: 28.6%
30 to 49 31 responses
Grimes: 3.2% Lee: 48.4% McGovern: 6.5% Stargel: 12.9% Toledo: 6.5% Undecided: 22.6%
50 to 69 79 responses
Grimes: 7.6% Lee: 38.0% McGovern: 3.8% Stargel: 15.2% Toledo: 16.5% Undecided: 19.0%
70 and up 158 responses
Grimes: 3.8% Lee: 49.4% McGovern: 7.0% Stargel: 15.2% Toledo: 7.6% Undecided: 17.1%