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T I M E S
A TIME COMMUNICATIONS PUBLICATION
Vol. XXXI No.01 Monday, 01-07 Nov 2021 Pgs.27
By Share Surya
Now follow us on Instagram, Facebook &
Samvat 2078 has much in store for Twitter at moneytimes_1991 on a daily basis
investors to be happy to get a view of the stock market and the
happenings which many may not be aware of.
Best wishes to the readers of Money Times for a Happy Diwali 2021 festive days & Prosperous Samvat 2078
“Samvat 2076 ends with big gains, shrugging off the pandemic” was the relief expressed before last Diwali in 2020. Now,
with just three trading days to go to Diwali 2021, Samvat 2077 has recorded far more impressive gains than the previous
year. Still, that good feeling is missing today given the deep correction in the market last week.
So, what is in store for us in the new Samvat 2078? A repeat year of prosperity or a shocking year of contraction? In spite
of the recently evolved bear-feed factors, the bull-feed factors have only got eclipsed by this correction and the best is yet
to come in Samvat 2078. Is it a mere wishful thinking or a reasoned hope near to reality? Read on.
Before looking ahead, let us
better look through the
rear view mirror also. The
Sensex recorded returns in
the last 10 years are given
below:
LEAD STORY
By Sanjay R. Bhatia
Correction continues……
The previous week’s correction continued on the bourses on the back of weak domestic cues. Rich valuations and
downgrade by foreign broking institutions triggered a further fall. The earnings season has largely been on expected lines
with no positive surprises, which also aided profit booking. The breadth of the market remained weak amid lower volumes
indicating lack of interest and participation at higher levels.
The FIIs remained net sellers in the cash and derivative segments. However, the DIIs turned net buyers and were seen
supporting the markets at lower levels. The US markets moved higher with the benchmark indices touching historic highs.
Crude oil prices remained range bound on the back of high US inventory.
Technically, the prevailing negative technicals weighed on the market sentiment. The Stochastic, KST and RSI are all placed
below their respective averages on the daily and weekly charts. Further, The MACD is placed below its average on the
daily charts. These negative technical conditions will lead to regular bouts of profit booking and selling pressure especially
at higher levels.
However, the prevailing positive technical conditions still hold good. The MACD is placed above its averages on the weekly
charts. Further, the Nifty continues to remain above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. The Nifty’s 50-day
SMA is placed above Nifty’s 200-day SMA, indicating a Golden Cross breakout. These positive technical conditions would
lead to regular bouts of buying support especially at lower levels.
The -DI line is placed above the +DI line and is placed above 29, indicating that the sellers are gaining strength. The ADX
line is placed above 32. The market sentiment remains weak as long unwinding is witnessed. It needs to be seen if the ‘buy
on dips’ strategy is witnessed or a further fall continues. It would be ideal if the markets consolidate and remains range
bound for few trading days before a decisive trend is formed.
TRADING ON TECHNICALS
Expect profit booking/Selling at resistances
Sensex Daily Trend DRV Weekly Trend WRV Monthly Trend MRV
Last Close 59306 Down 60145 Up 57601 Up 50725
Start Date - 28-10-2021 - 19-06-2020 - 31-07-2020 -
Start Level - 59984 - 34731 - 37607 -
Gain/Loss (-) - 678 - 24575 - 21699 -
% Gain on Trend - 1.13 - 70.76 - 57.70 -
Last week, the Sensex opened at 61398, attained a high at 61576 and fell to a low of 59089 and closed the week at 59306
and thereby showed a fall of 1515 points on a week-to-week basis.
A bearish candle was formed along with a swing top on the weekly chart as a lower high and a lower low was witnessed.
Daily Chart
On the daily chart, support of 60400 was violated which confirmed the negative divergence effect of RSI and MACD.
Expect the support cluster of 58890-58551-57924 to be tested.
In the event of a further fall and close below 57924, a retracement of the rise from 47204 to 62245 is likely.
The retracement levels are placed at 56499-54724-52950.
Resistance will be at 60132-60449-61576.
Getting past the resistance can mark the end of the current correction and subsequently may test back the peak and move
ahead.
On the immediate front, expect a slide to retracement and support before moving higher above the retracement.
Weekly Chart:
Weekly Up
Scrip Last Relative
S1 S2 - R1- R2- Reversal Trend
Close Strength
Value Date
Weak Demand Demand Supply Supply
below point point point point
HOME FIRST FINANCE 705.25 505.8 629.1 676.2 752.3 875.6 77.25 656.36 3.09
ALLSEC TECHNOLOG 532.20 367.2 470.7 512.6 574.1 677.6 71.02 468.20 14.10
ASAHI INDIA GLAS 429.20 275.0 369.7 404.8 464.4 559.1 70.64 380.34 29.10
ESCORTS LTD 1569.40 1318.9 1472.9 1530.5 1626.9 1780.9 70.34 1513.54 29.10
ALLIED DIGITAL 91.05 73.9 84.5 88.6 95.1 105.7 70.07 87.26 1.10
ASTRA MICROWAVE 220.20 148.9 195.3 216.8 241.7 288.1 68.43 203.10 29.10
These can sample of PROFITRAK PREMIUM TREND AND RS product. Get more information about 400 stock. Get Your Daily,
Weekly, Monthly, Quarterly and Yearly Trend and RS in the below format.
*Note: Up Trend and Down Trend are based on a set of moving averages as reference point to define a trend.
Close below averages is defined as down trend. Close above averages is defined as up trend. Volatility
(Up/Down) within Down Trend can happen/ Volatility (Up/Down) within Up Trend can happen. Relative
Strength (RS) is a statistical indicator. Weekly Reversal is the value of the average.
Weekly Down
Scrip Last Relative
S1 S2 - R1- R2- Reversal Trend
Close Strength
Value Date
Demand Demand Supply Strong
Supply point
point point point above
SOLARA ACTIVE
PHARMA 1245.10 1020.7 1182.0 1280.1 1343.2 1504.5 11.04 1367.36 24.09
HDFC ASSET
MANAGEMENT 2647.20 2361.6 2564.0 2683.3 2766.5 2968.9 14.08 2818.13 24.09
REPCO HOME FINANCE 267.25 216.6 253.3 276.1 290.1 326.8 14.82 300.51 22.10
SHALBY LTD 147.50 108.7 137.2 155.3 165.7 194.2 15.53 164.13 17.09
GODAWARI POWER 350.50 -1093.3 -13.3 702.8 1066.7 2146.7 16.29 1093.26 29.10
VAIBHAV GLOBAL 574.65 386.2 526.6 619.0 667.1 807.5 17.05 682.01 22.10
NCC LTD 71.15 59.0 67.7 73.0 76.4 85.1 18.71 78.23 14.10
These can sample of PROFITRAK PREMIUM TREND AND RS product. Get more information about 400 stock. Get Your Daily,
Weekly, Monthly, Quarterly and Yearly Trend and RS in the below format.
*Note: Up and Down Trend are based of set of moving averages as reference point to define a trend. Close
below averages is defined as down trend. Close above averages is defined as up trend. Volatility (Up/Down)
within Down Trend can happen/ Volatility (Up/Down) within Up Trend can happen.
BUY LIST
Note: R1-(Resistance), R2- (Resistance), R3- Resistance, S1- Support & WB- Weak Below
Scrip Last Close S3 S2 S1 WB R1 Monthly RS
NETWORK18 MEDIA 77.20 75.14 70.55 65.96 51.10 114.04 77.78
TRANSPORT CORPORATION 629.40 589.54 556.35 523.16 415.70 870.84 75.97
TATA MOTORS 483.70 451.96 427.85 403.74 325.70 656.26 74.76
INDOWIND ENERGY 10.35 9.77 9.10 8.43 6.25 15.47 74.41
DOLLAR INDUSTRIES 436.80 427.98 417.13 406.27 371.15 519.93 73.93
This is sample of Medium Term Gains file available under PROFITRAK products. Can mail on moneytimes.support@gmail.com
to avail the subscription of Medium Term Gains. As long as WB is not violated can hold on to take profits at R1
*Note: Up and Down Trend are based of set of moving averages as reference point to define a trend. Close
below averages is defined as down trend. Close above averages is defined as up trend. Volatility (Up/Down)
within Down Trend can happen/ Volatility (Up/Down) within Up Trend can happen.
EXIT LIST
Note: R1- (Resistance), R2- (Resistance), R3- Resistance, S1- Support & SA- Strong Above
Scrip Last Close R1 R2 R3 SA S1 Monthly RS
SOLARA ACTIVE PHARMA 1245.10 1475.63 1426.25 1376.87 1635.50 958.37 32.23
DABUR INDIA 585.85 610.02 603.23 596.43 632.00 538.88 32.52
CIPLA LTD 905.05 954.28 941.10 927.92 996.95 816.22 35.21
JUST DIAL 797.55 948.62 917.00 885.38 1051.00 617.38 35.47
POWER GRID CORPO 185.05 199.01 195.63 192.24 209.95 163.59 40.86
TCS LTD 3397.75 3759.19 3687.92 3616.66 3989.90 3012.71 41.11
This is sample of Medium Term Gains file available under PROFITRAK products. Can mail on moneytimes.support@gmail.com
to avail the subscription of Medium Term Gains. As long as SA is not crossed, look for rise to take profits.
REALITY CHECK
By Rakesh Reja
‘Tughlaq Abhi Jinda hai!’
Muhammad bin Tughlaq was a scholar of Persian and Arabic languages. Not only this, he was well versed in mathematics,
astronomy, futurology and logic as well. He also did charity. He was the first Sultan who participated in the festivals of Holi
and Diwali of the Hindus. And most importantly, he was also a skilled warrior. But such a good and caring ruler took some
decisions without giving a serious thought that left everyone wondering as they had to bear the consequences. Tughlaq was
known for his quirks.
He once ordered the issuance of copper and brass coins, which could be easily be moulded at home and the people started doing
it. Then he had to reverse the decision. He later decided to shift his capital from Delhi to Devagiri and ordered all citizens to
move to Devagiri. Many died on the way and due to lack of water in Devgiri it became impossible to live there. So he returned
back to Delhi.
Why am I telling you this today? Because not much has changed as government bodies follow suit in 2021. Tughlaq is still
alive in this government! When the government order comes on 28 October that IRCTC will have to share 50% of its
convenience fee income with the Railways, almost everywhere there was opposition to this decision. And the next day, this
decision was reversed! Meanwhile, the share price of IRCTC crashed by 30% on the first day and rebounded back to the same
level with the reversal of the decision. So, was this a planned move to benefit someone? Was there insider trading? This should
be investigated.
Even though the decision has been withdrawn, can we trust IRCTC as a company? I have been advising investors to invest in
IRCTC for the past several months as I considered it as the best stock for long term investment. But my trust is shaken by such
quirky decisions.
One such Tughlaqi decree came about demonetisation by the current leadership at the Centre in 2016, which was implemented
without deep thinking and hurt millions. The benefit of IRCTC is only for the government, which can give some part of the
dividend received to the railways. But when it issues a direct order to give 50% share to the railways, then it not only affects the
credibility of IRCTC but also betrays the intention of the government. Some such decisions were also taken during the UPA
government like the retrospective tax for which we are still suffering.
Such Tughlaqi decrees shake the confidence of investors, especially foreign investors, in the Government of India. Since the
government is planning big disinvestments, so such whimsicalities can have a devastating effect. Investors worldwide like to
invest in stable political and economic environments and turn shaky at such episodes. Look how FIIs & FPIs want to exit China
after investing so heavily out there for the past 20 years. They are worried about their investments failing in the revised policies
of the Chinese government over the past one year. They have been jolted to say the least. Surely, we don’t want that as we
attempt to attract investments
Was the decision taken unanimously or by some officer? Was there any trick behind this? This should be a deeply investigated
so that such decisions do not ruin the government’s efforts and its credibility.
Now let's talk about the market. Nifty has fallen by 1000 points since the last 8 sessions. Which is about 5.5% and it seems that
from hereon we may see a pull-back rally and by Diwali we may see it back at 18200-18500.
Diwali Picks
Yes Bank’s Q2 NP has risen 74% to Rs. 225 cr. on lower provisioning for bad loans. The bank is on a comeback trail
and the present beaten down share price provides an opportunity to enter into this stock.
A top mutual fund has bought 336,000 shares of Ajooni Biotech, a small agri-foods company for animals, at Rs. 61
per share. This company has a tie-up with Patanjali and deserves a buy.
IDBI Bank Q2 Net is up 75% to Rs. 324 cr. on higher income and NII income was up 32 bps to 3.02%. The bank is on
a comeback trail and can be added with a long term perspective.
For good return in Vikram Samvat 2078 a veteran marketman recommends to buy Andhra Petro, Aries Agro, Aro
Granite, Agarwal Industrial Corporation, Easy Trip Planners, GNFC, Gujarat Alkalies Chemicals, Greenply
Industris, Indian Toners Developers, Kewal Kiran Clothing, KPT Industries, Ludlow Jute, Lahoti Overseas, MK
Exim(india), Nath Industries, Praveg Communications, Rubfila International, Steel Strips Infrastructures,
Steel City Securities(only on NSE), Timex Group India & Vipul Organics
Mid-tier software exporter, Mastek, has declined 25% since its weak Q2. But its robust order book and the fast
momentum in US markets will accelerate its business prospects. Use the downward momentum to add this stock.
Bank of Maharashtra’s Q2 NP doubled to Rs. 264 cr. boosted by interest income and some recovery from its DHFL
exposure. It plans to raise bonds of about Rs. 1000 cr. and may also raise equity to reduce govt. stake from 91%. Add.
Aided by higher premia and investment income ICICI Lombard posted 7% growth in NP to Rs. 447 cr. in spite of
higher claims. A good long-term story. Accumulate.
The demand for Asian Paints’ products continues to be strong and the pricing play will help retain its market
leadership. It is also revamping its retail network to strengthen its position. Use the temporary fall in its share price
to buy.
Macrotech Developers (Lodha group) plans to raise about Rs. 4000 cr. for expansion. It posted Q2 profit of Rs. 222
cr. The company had raised Rs. 2500 cr. last April via its IPO. Add.
Rajratan Global Wires reported fantastic results for Q2FY22 with an EPS of Rs. 32.11 v/s Rs. 13.33 in Q2FY21. Add.
JSW Steel reported its highest ever quarterly revenue of Rs. 32503 cr. and EBITDA of Rs. 10,417 cr. Exports are also
on the rise. Buy on every decline.
L&T to spend Rs. 5000 cr. to go green by 2040. Big vision and long-term plans make this engineering giant excellent
share to add.
Three FIIs, Vanguard, Quant Mutual Fund and Norges have collectively acquired 2.64% in telecom giant HFCL Ltd.,
which is eligible for the PLI scheme for telecom products. The co. plans to raise Rs. 750 cr. to finance its soaring
business. A screaming buy.
Packaging companies can now blend recyclable plastic waste to make packaging films. A big boost for Polyplex Corpn.
The Company already has huge expansion plans and new capacities will soon start commercial production. Buy
immediately.
L&T has won the prestigious order to construct Common Central Secretariat Integrated Buildings 1, 2 and 3 in Delhi
comprising 48,11,000 sq.ft. A good long term hold by all accounts.
Adani Green’s Q2 PAT soared 488.23 % to Rs. 100 cr. on a 96.5% surge in revenue to Rs. 834 cr. The share looks
poised for further gains. Add.
FMCG major, Marico, recorded 8% rise in PAT to Rs. 309 cr. on 22% higher revenue of Rs. 2419 cr. The Company has
guided for a better performance in the coming quarters. Add.
CSB Bank’s Q2 NP soared 72% on higher interest income and write-backs in provisions. Fresh slippages were also
under control. Add this small bank in small quantities.
Tech Mahindra posted strong Q2 EPS of Rs. 15.25 v/s Rs. 12.11 in Q2FY21. Half yearly EPS also stood strong at Rs.
30.44. The share price seems poised for further growth. Add.
8. This little-known dark horse, Wardwizard (Rs.74) makes E-scooters (Joy) and has been of late reporting fantastic
results. There are big expansion programs in the wings and the Company is a likely multi-bagger. Investors with
an appetite for risk may enter.
9. The Union Govt has decided to bring down crude imports. Big incentives are being offered to enhance blending of
ethanol. Praj Industries will be a big beneficiary. Add.
10.The govt has declared that it will divest stakes in certain PSU Banks. IDBI Bank and Bank of Maharashtra are good
investment
Vikas Khandelwal
Phillips Carbon Black: A steady performer quarter on quarter is on an expansion spree and the largest carbon black
manufacturer and a strong global player with customers in 45+ countries. Revenue at Rs1071cr. vs Rs 665cr, PBT
STOCK BUZZ
By Subramanian Mahadevan
Kesoram Industries Ltd: A low risk bet!
(Code: 502937) (FV: Rs.10) (CMP: Rs.63)
Kesoram Industries (Kesoram) is a Kolkata based company and a part of the B K Birla Group engaged in the manufacture
of tyres, cement, rayon with three major divisions – Birla Tyres (already demerged and got listed on the bourses in Feb
2020), Birla Shakti Cement and Kesoram Rayon.
Cement Division - Its cement division is located near the limestone deposits of Sedam and Basantnagar. Birla Shakti’s
two cement plants have a combined capacity of 7.25 MMTPA making it one of the leading cement manufacturers in the
region. In 2015, Kesoram sold one of its loss-making tyre plants at Laksar (Haridwar) for Rs 2200 crore to JK Tyre to
reduce its huge debt pile and conclude the deal. Thus, debt came down to Rs.3620 crore at the end of 31 March 2020. Post
this sale, Kesoram set the house in order throughout FY21 by bringing in efficiency, raising funds by inviting global PE
giants etc. which has started yielding results from Q1FY22.
Food packaging - Kesoram Rayon, an unit of Cygnet Industries is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Kesoram Industries. The
company produces transparent paper primarily for use in the industrial segment since 1961. Kesoram Rayon has
relaunched an environment-friendly food packaging solution ‘Kesophane’ aimed at the retail segment.
Cygnet Industries, which has three business divisions including rayon, chemicals and transparent paper, expects to clock
a turnover of Rs.250 crore by the end of this fiscal. With its Kesophane biodegradable cellulose transparent films, it hopes
to cross Rs.400 crore revenue by next fiscal. Rayon contributes about 60% to its annual turnover while transparent paper
has a share of 30% with the remaining 10% coming from chemicals.
Conclusion - After incurring losses for multiple quarters due to the tyre business, Kesoram roped in global giants,
Goldman Sachs and Cerberus, by accepting Rs.1600 crore through a rupee-bond sale in March 2021 to replace the existing
legacy debt and expanded its geographical footprint. Post this fund infusion, the Rs.2,400 crore Kesoram on a consolidated
basis, registered 100% revenue growth of Rs.855 crore with a PAT of Rs.13 crore for Q1FY22. The rise in net profit came
on the back of a jump in volume sales by around 88% to 1.69 MMT during the quarter as against 0.9 MMT in Q1FY21.
Again, to deleverage its balance sheet, Kesoram recently concluded fund raising to the tune of Rs.400 crore on a rights
basis, which was oversubscribed with good response due to the market sentiment and buoyant cement sector. Currently,
Kesoram’s net debt stands at around Rs.1,890 crore and it plans to pare it down to less than Rs.1000 crore over the next
12 months.
Investment in the Kesoram Industries stock is a low risk bet at the current level considering the huge underlying asset of
7.25 MMTPA capacity cement business available at a market cap of just Rs.1351 crore after the demerger. Kesoram may
eventually be taken over by Ultratech cement, which is a cement behemoth belonging to the same branch of the Birla
family in the near future. The stock has the potential to deliver 100% return over two years given the impending boom in
Cement.
STOCK WATCH
By Amit Kumar Gupta
STOCK ANALYSIS
By Rahul Sharma
HIL Ltd.: Highly bullish!
(Code: 509675) (FV: Rs.10) (CMP: 4470)
HIL Ltd. (HIL) is a part of the C.K. Birla Group headquartered in Hyderabad. It is one of the leading companies in building
materials and construction industry with a robust product pipeline and wide range. HIL manufactures asbestos fibre
corrugated sheets, coloured steel sheets, non-asbestos corrugated roofing sheets, new generation building products like
autoclaved aerated concrete (AAC) blocks (light bricks) that are used for walls in building constructions and aerocon
panels and boards that are used as partition in residential and commercial buildings. Analysts are highly bullish on this
counter due to the following reasons:
Market Leadership
HIL’s ‘Charminar’ brand is a market leader in roofing solutions. It commands 20% market share in the domestic fibre
cement category. Its ‘Birla HIL’ is also a major player in the Polymer segment for Pipes and Wall Putty. In FY19, the
company acquired Parador GmBH in Germany, which gave a boost to its flooring business. It derives 90% of its sales from
its markets in Germany, Austria and other European countries. It manufactures engineered wood flooring, laminate
flooring and vinyl flooring in its factories in Germany and Austria. It is present across 80+ countries and has over 4,500
retail partners globally.
Significant improvement in credit profile
The consolidated financial profile improved significantly in FY21, owing to higher profitability and cash flows that enabled
the prepayment of a large part of its debt. The consolidated net leverage improved to 0.6x in FY21 from 2.7x in FY20 as its
EBITDA grew 72% Y-o-Y to Rs.4,09.2 crore. The improved all-round profitability led to higher consolidated EBITDA
margins of 13.4% in FY21 as against 9.3% in FY20, with a further improvement in the margin to 16.5% in Q1FY22. The
higher profitability and divestment of the non-core thermal insulation business for Rs.77.64 crore resulted in a reduction
in the net debt to Rs.253.4 crore in FY21 from Rs.638.8 crore in FY20; the interest coverage increased to 14.7x from 6.2x
Financials: (Rs. in
crore)
Particular FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21
s
Revenue 1,280 2,169 2,555 3,044
EBITDA 171 256 270 474
PAT 81 101 106 260
Fundamentals:
The company has ROCE of 25.3% and ROE of 30%. It has reduced its debt consistently and has debt:equity ratio of 0.30x.
HIL’s PAT has grown at CAGR 43.86% over the last 5 years. The company has been consistently generating positive
operating cash flows and for FY21 its operating cash flow increased over 3x from Rs.130 crore to Rs.466 crore. Promoters
hold 40.83% stake in the equity, DIIs hold 3.31% & FIIs hold 5.05%. Considering the sound fundamentals and leading
market position we initiate a BUY call on this counter with a target price of Rs.10000.
EXPERT EYE
By Vihari
The Anup Engineering: Gainful proposition!
(Code: 542460) (FV: Rs.10) (CMP: Rs.1003)
The Anup Engineering Ltd. (AEL) caters to wide range of process industries like Oil & Gas, Petrochemicals, LNG, Fertilizers,
Chemicals/ Pharmaceuticals, Power, Water, Paper & Pulp and Aerospace with its extensive product range of Heat
Most prosperous Samvat 2077 is passing on the baton to Samvat 2078 in a few days. Prospects of the Tea sector appears
promising in the new Samvat 2078 and hence a review of the same is presented to the readers of Money Times, wishing
the ardent readers a Happy Diwali and a prosperous new Samvat 2078.
Tea is a beverage made by pouring hot water over cured tea leaves. It is the second most consumed drink in the world
only after water. Although consumption habits are changing and follow new and diversified patterns, from hot to cold,
from black to green tea, from brewed to RTD, tea has positioned itself as a drink that is good for the mind and body, with
a rich cultural background. Also, the strong increase in blended tea with herbals supplement the functionality of the
world’s most popular beverage.
Now, look at the Tea companies in India. Tata Consumer Products Ltd. (TCPL) is the second largest Tea company in the
world after JDE PEETS N.V of Netherlands, by market capitalisation. Bombay Burma Trading Corporation Ltd. (BBTCL) is
one of the top 5 tea companies of the globe.
Analysts believe that picking quality Tea stocks for investment in the new Samvat will offer better valuation comfort and
growth potential as well. Let us look into the valuation data points of the top ten Indian tea companies by market cap to
assess the investment opportunities available in the present market conditions.
BULLS EYE
By Pratit Nayan Patel
Uttam Sugar Mills Ltd.: Back in the buying zone!
(Code: 532729) (FV: Rs.10) (CMP: Rs.170)
We had recommended this stock on 8th May 2021 at Rs.143. It zoomed to Rs.308.35 on 30th June and recorded
triple digit returns in less than 2 months. Now the stock has again come into the buying zone having posted
turnaround Q2FY22 numbers. So we once again recommend this stock.
Company Background: Uttam Sugar Mills Ltd. (USML), a part of the Uttam Group, is a leading integrated sugarcane
processing company with its corporate office in Noida (U.P.). The group’s continuous efforts in harnessing the full potential
of sugarcane has enabled it to develop the most modern sugar complexes in India with facilities to produce refined
sulphurless sugar, white plantation sugar, ethanol and power. The company operates in three segments: Sugar, Co-
generation and Distillery. USML has four sugar units. Of these four units, three sugar units produce 100% Sulphurless
Sugar using the Defecomelt process instead of the conventional Double Sulphitation process. It produces Ethanol at its
Barkatpur plant.
It has successfully set up and implemented the Incineration Boiler at the distillery unit at Barkatpur. This will enhance the
distillery capacity from 450 Lakh Bulk Litres p.a. to 540 Lakh BL p.a.
Equity capital, reserves & promoter holding: With an equity capital of Rs.38.14 crore, the company has huge reserves
of Rs.330 crore. The promoters hold 75%, Anil Kumar Goel holds 4.75%, Seema Goel holds 2.31% of the equity capital,
which leaves 17.94% stake with the investing public.
Performance: Usually, this company has posted losses during Q2. But this time, it has reported turn around numbers in
Q2FY22 with PAT of Rs.0.44 crore on higher sales of Rs.476.40 crore fetching an EPS of Rs.0.12. During H1FY22, it reported
71.18% higher PAT of Rs.34.63 crore on higher sales of Rs.926.32 crore fetching an EPS of Rs.9.08.
Conclusion: At the CMP, the Uttam Sugar Mills stock trades at PE multiple of just 9x. Based on the above financials and
valuations, the share looks quite attractive at the current level and investors can accumulate this share between Rs.175-
160 with a stop loss of Rs.145 for an upper target of Rs.300-325 in the next 12 to 15 months.
Stock Info:
CMP (Rs.) 175
BSE Code 532729
TECHNO FUNDA
By Nayan Patel
Aries Agro Ltd.
(Code: 532935) (FV: Rs.10) (CMP: Rs.136)
Incorporated in 1969, Mumbai based Aries Agro Ltd. (AAL), together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies
micronutrients and other customized nutritional products for plants and animals. The company’s products include EDTA
chelates, amino acid chelates, soluble and sulphur-based fertilizers, pesticides, fisheries and animal nutrition, crop
management products, other plant nutrients, and secondary plant nutrients. It also deals in veterinary products. The
Company has a wide distribution network across the country. Its reach extends to most of the major fertilizer consuming
districts of the country. Its retail outlets are spread over 27 states in India.
AAL has an equity base of just Rs.13 crore supported by reserves of around Rs.197.56 crore. The promoters hold 52.66%
while the investing public holds 47.34% stake. Dolly Khanna holds 1.38% stake in this company. Its share book value
works out to Rs.162 and the price to book value ratio stands at just 0.85x.
BEST BET
By Amit Kumar Gupta
Tata Elxsi Ltd.: Profiting by strong support services
(Code: 500408) (FV: Rs.10) (CMP: Rs.5871)
Tata Elxsi Ltd. (TEL) provides product design & engineering, system integration and support services in India, the USA,
Europe and other countries. It operates via two segments: Software Development & Services and Systems Integration &
Support. TEL offers technology consulting, new product design, development and testing services; consumer insights and
strategy, visual design and branding, product and packaging design, user experience design, service experience design and
transportation design as well as content and 3D animation services. It also provides engineering services for connected,
autonomous and electric vehicles; consumer research, prototyping and automotive exteriors and interiors styling
services; body and chassis systems, driveline and powertrain systems; automotive software engineering services;
validation as a service; and AI-enabled smart annotation platform for automotive industry.
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