ASCOPE/PMESII

P M E S I I
Political Military Economic Social Information Infrastructure

A Areas - Political Areas - Military Areas - Areas - Social Areas –Information Areas –
(District Boundary, (Coalition / LN Economic (parks and (Radio/TV/newspa Infrastructure
Party bases, historic (bazaars, other meeting pe rs /where (Irrigation networks,
Areas affiliation areas) ambush/IED sites) shops, areas) people water tables,
markets) gather for word- medical coverage)
of mouth)

S Structures - Structures - Military Structures - Structures - Structures - Structures -

Political (town / Police (police HQ, Economic Social Information (Cell Infrastructure
Structures halls, Military HHQ locations) (banks, (Churches, / Radio / TV (roads, bridges,
government offices) markets, restaurants, towers, print power lines, walls,
storage bars, etc.) shops) dams)
facilities)

C Capabilities - Capabilities - Capabilities - Capabilities - Capabilities - Capabilities -

Political (Dispute Military (security Economic Social (Strength Info (Literacy Infrastructure (Ability
Capabilities resolution, posture, (access to of local & rate, to build / maintain
Insurgent strengths and banks, ability to national ties) availability of media roads, walls, dams)
capabilities) weaknesses) withstand / phone service)
natural
disasters)

O Organizations - Organizations - Organizations - Organizations - Organizations - Organizations -

Political (Political Military (What units Economic Social (tribes, Info (NEWS Infrastructure
Organizati parties and other of military, police, (Banks, large clans, families, groups, (Government
 power brokers, UN,) insurgent are land holders, big youth influential ministries,
present) businesses) groups, NGOs / people who construction
on s
IGOs) pass word) companies)

P People - Political People - Military People - People - Social People - Info People -
(Governors, (Leaders from Economic (Religious (Media owners, Infrastructure
People councils, elders) coalition, LN and (Bankers, leaders, mullahs, Builders, contractors,
insurgent landholders, influential heads of development
forces) merchants) families powerful councils)
families)

E Events - Political Events - Military Events - Events - Social Events - Info (IO Events -
(elections, council (lethal/nonlethal Economic (holidays, campaigns, Infrastructure
Events meetings) events, loss of (drought, weddings, project (road / bridge
leadership, harvest, religious days) openings, CIVCAS construction, well
operations, business events) digging, scheduled
anniversaries) open/close) maintenance)

P M E S I I

Political Military/Police Economic Social Infrastructure Information

A
Areas
 S
Structures

C
Capabilities

O
Organization
s

P
People

E
Events

Civil Environment Factors and Relevance

 Civil Considerations
Operational Variables Factors
What are the factors in the Civil
Environment that will
significantly affect friendly forces
(positively and negatively)?
Relevance
How will each factor affect
the friendly forces?

AREAS Political

Military

Economic

Social

Information

Infrastructure

Civil Environment Factors and Relevance

Civil Considerations
Operational Variables Factors
What are the factors in the Civil
Environment that will
significantly affect friendly forces
(positively and negatively)?
Relevance
How will each factor affect
the friendly forces?

STRUCTURES Political

Military
 Economic

Social

Information

Infrastructure

Civil Environment Factors and Relevance

Civil Considerations
Operational Variables Factors
What are the factors in the Civil
Environment that will
significantly affect friendly forces
(positively and negatively)?
Relevance
How will each factor affect
the friendly forces?

CAPABILITIES Political

Military

Economic

Social

Information

Infrastructure
Civil Environment Factors and Relevance
Civil Considerations Operational Variables Factors Relevance
What are the factors in the Civil How will each factor affect
Environment that will the friendly forces?
significantly affect friendly forces
(positively and negatively)?

ORGANIZATIONS Political

Military

Economic

Social

Information

Infrastructure

Civil Environment Factors and Relevance

Civil Considerations
Operational Variables Factors
What are the factors in the Civil
Environment that will
significantly affect friendly forces
(positively and negatively)?
Relevance
How will each factor affect
the friendly forces?
 PEOPLE Political

Military

Economic

Social

Information

Infrastructure

Civil Environment Factors and Relevance

Civil Considerations
Operational Variables Factors
What are the factors in the Civil
Environment that will
significantly affect friendly forces
(positively and negatively)?
Relevance
How will each factor affect
the friendly forces?

EVENTS Political

Military

Economic

Social

Information
 Infrastructure

Key Influences
Key Influences Motivations and Goals Abilities, Capabilities, Means Potential Impact on Friendly Ops / Objectives
 Operational Culture Matrix
How do people in What are the What is the way people How do people in How do cultural
the culture use the economic exchange organize themselves the culture beliefs shape
environment? systems and the and distribute power determine people’s
formal and informal and status? authority and behavior?
economies that the leadership?
(Physical culture uses?
Environment) (Social Structure)
(Economy) (Political Structure) (Belief Systems)
 Cultural Factors Affecting MAGTF Operations

(In)Stability Factors
Grievances: Events: Key influences - Means and
Motivations:

What are the core grievances and societal Potential situations that could contribute to an increase What are the influencers, the means and
vulnerabilities identified in your civil in instability (From ASCOPE/PMESII)? motivations that contribute to an increase of
considerations (From perception data)? instability (From ASCOPE/PMESII)?
 Resiliencies: Events: Key influences: Means and
Motivations:

What processes, relationships, or institutions
enable the society to function normally and
peacefully? Are there any previous resiliencies
that have been or are being undermined (From
perception data)?
What potential or anticipated future situations could What key influences in the society preserve and
create an opening for key influences to further strengthen stability? What means do they possess,
reinforce stability (From ASCOPE/PMESII)? what are the motives, and what actions are taken
(From ASCOPE/PMESII)?

Source of Instability Analysis Matrix

Potential Instability Criteria SOI? Prioritization
 Sources of Does this issue Does this issue Does this issue Does the Is the SOI a
Instability decrease support increase support for disrupt the normal issue meet Priority
for the Govt / legit malign functioning of any Grievance for
governance? Explain. actors? Explain. society? Explain. Instability the local
criteria? populace?

Drawing from If yes, explain how If yes, explain how the If yes, explain how If the issue For those
the CPB, list all the potential SOI potential SOI increases the potential SOI meets issues that
potential decreases support support for malign disrupts the normal instability are SOIs,
Sources of for the actors functioning of criteria, it prioritize
Instability government / society may be them based
(SOIs) legitimate considered a on
governance Source of whether the
institutions Instability SOI is also a
priority
grievance for
the populace

Source of Stability (Resiliencies) Analysis Matrix

 Potential Stability Criteria SOS Impact to
Sources of mission
Stability
Does this increase Does this issue Does this issue Does the Do we need
support for the Govt decrease support for increase societal issue meet to support
/ legit governance? malign and institutional any this
Explain. actors? Explain. capacity and Stability SOS?
capabilities? criteria?
Explain.

Drawing from If yes, explain how If yes, explain how the If yes, explain how If the issue Determine
the CPB, list all the potential SOS potential SOS the potential SOS meets whether the
potential increases support decreases support for increase societal Stability SOS is needed
Sources of for the malign actors and criteria, it is for
Stability (SOS) government / institutional considered a mission
legitimate capacity and Resiliency success
governance capabilities and/or
institutions whether we
need to
reinforce it
 Activity Design Worksheet Stability

Criteria Design Principles Resources Select

Identify Possible Activities

v

y
i

(Insert SOI /SOS Objective here)

Does the R

activity
b

increase
a

support for government / governance?

i

d
m

Explain.
o
e
s

L S

Does the Does the

c
e
o h

c o

activity activity
a
r

l t
?

o
-

increase
t

decrease
r
e
w

n
S m

support
e
u

s
r
s v

institutional and
s
h

for
s

.
o

t
p L

malign
u
a
o

i
l
n
n

societal capacity
g

actors? a
T

Explain.
b
r

i m

and capability? i
R

t s

y
u

Explain.
t

t
ID potential activities row to ascertain and/or legitimate support for societal capacity and Principles as possible. criteria, design
that contribute to viability. governance malign actors. capability. principles &
achieving SOI / SOS institutions. resource
Explain how the
objective. Input each availability,
activity will
activity separately in Explain how the Determine resource should the
increase support for
this column and Explain how the activity will increase Refine the proposed requirements. activity be
the
proceed across each activity will decrease institutional and activity to make it Based on the stability implemented.
government
meet as many Design

Tactical Stability Matrix

Analysis Design

Source Causes Causes Objective MOE MOE Activities MOP MOP

of (Perceptio (Systemic) Indicators Data Indicators Data
Instabili n) Sources Sources
ty
Monitoring & Evaluation
 Matrix Measure of Performance Measure of Effect

Activity MOP Status MOE Baseline Change Objective

Indicator Indicator
 Taken Output Status of Impact Baseline Change Taken
from the Indicators selected Indicato Data for in from the
TSM related to activity rs Impact Baseline TSM
selected related Indicator Data
activity on to identified
the TSM selected on the
activity TSM
on the
TSM

SOI
Taken from

the TSM

Stable Civil Environment Narrative

Describe Stable Civil Environment: Describe Civil/Social Norms:

Processes, relationships, and institutions that Customs and Practices often reflect deeper aspects
keep a society stable. of the culture. It is the lens which people perceive
the world.

example: example:
• Legitimate judicial system • Family/Tribal affiliation
• Political persuasions • Greetings
• Livelihood • Concept of time
• Acceptable violence levels • Historical / Mythical Events
• Acceptable corruption levels • Gift/taboos Honor
• “Normal” civil activities