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A O Smith Spring Analyst Presentation Reduced Size
A O Smith Spring Analyst Presentation Reduced Size
Analyst Presentation
Forward Looking Statements
This presentation contains statements that we believe are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements generally can be identified by the use of words such as “may,” “will,”
“expect,” “intend,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “continue,” “ forecast,“ “guidance” or words of similar meaning. All forward-
looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated as of
the date of this presentation. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these expectations include,
among other things, the following: negative impacts to our business, including demand for our products, operations and workforce
dislocation and disruption, supply chain disruption and liquidity as a result of the severity and duration of the COVID-19 pandemic; a
failure to recover or further weakening of the Chinese economy and/or a failure to recover or further decline in the growth rate of
consumer spending or housing sales in China; negative impact to our businesses from international tariffs and trade disputes; a failure
to recover or further weakening in the high efficiency boiler market segment in the U. S.; significant volatility in raw material availability
and prices; our inability to implement or maintain pricing actions; potential weakening in U. S. residential or commercial construction or
instability in our replacement markets; foreign currency fluctuations; inability to successfully integrate or achieve our strategic
objectives resulting from acquisitions; competitive pressures on our businesses; the impact of potential information technology or data
security breaches; changes in government regulations or regulatory requirements; and adverse developments in general economic,
political and business conditions in the key regions of the world. Forward-looking statements included in this presentation are made
only as of the date of this presentation, and the company is under no obligation to update these statements to reflect subsequent
events or circumstances. All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributed to the company, or persons acting on
its behalf, are qualified entirely by these cautionary statements. This presentation contains certain non-GAAP financial measures as
that term is defined by the SEC. Non-GAAP financial measures are generally identified by “Adjusted” (Adj.) or “Non-GAAP” .
2
Who We Are
15,100 Employees
GLOBAL
MANUFACTURER
of residential and commercial
water heaters, boilers and 23 Manufacturing Facilities
water treatment products
3
Compelling Investment Thesis
Market share leader Stable/growing North Strength of premium 5 year adjusted EPS Strong balance sheet
in major product lines American brand, distribution, CAGR through 2019 and cash flow to
replacement market; manufacturing and = 12.7% support future
operating leverage innovation provide growth, dividends,
5 year dividend CAGR
from incremental new clear market share repurchase
through 2019 =
construction and advantage in China and acquisitions
24.5%
replacement
5 year cumulative
cash returned to
shareholders from
dividends and share
repurchased = $1.4
billion
4
We Have Organic Revenue Growth Drivers Across our Portfolio
Vision
Product Lines / Geographies
North America
North America Boilers Water China India/ To be a leading
Water Heaters Treatment International
• Innovative • Innovative • Best innovative • Product • Market
provider of innovative
energy efficient
products
energy efficient
products
products in
marketplace
Innovation expansion and
penetration
and energy-efficient
• Service • Best in class • Direct-to-
• Channel
expansion in Tier • E-commerce products used to
leadership education and
training
consumer &
E-commerce
3 and 4 cities
• Brand-building heat, treat and
• Best in class • Brand leveraging marketing
virtual training • Service
leadership
• E-commerce
efforts conserve water,
leadership • Leverage retail
• Customer-centric
and wholesale • New product
• Innovative,
green products
providing value to our
opportunities categories
product
development • Expand dealer
residential and
focus presence
commercial
Drive
•
commercial customers
specifications
5
Corporate Snapshot
Brands
Full Year
2019
North America
69%
Rest of World
31%
6
Leading Market Share in the U.S. Water Heater Market Segment1
40% 60%
50%
30%
40%
20% 30%
20%
10%
10%
0% 0%
A. O. Smith Rheem Bradford White Other A. O. Smith Rheem Bradford White Other
Other Other
ProLine® 50-Gallon
Gas Tankless Water Electric Water
Heater with X3™ Heater
Hybrid Electric Heat Technology
Pump Water Heater
ProLine® Master
50-Gallon Gas
Water Heater
Commercial
Cyclone® Mxi
Commercial Heat
Pump Water Heater
Commercial Tankless
Rack System
8
Industry Leading Partners in both the U.S.
Residential Water Heater Channels
INDUSTRY
Large Regional
Distributors
WHOLESALE CHANNEL
9
Stable Replacement Volumes to Temper Downcycles with
Upside New Construction Optionality
U. S. Residential Water Heaters1
Thousands of units
PEAK HOUSING
10,000 2.1M
8,000
New
6,000 Construction
4,000 Replacement
2,000
0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
1 Includes tankless 10
Industry-Leading Energy Efficient
Cyclone Condensing Commercial Water Heater
11
U.S. Commercial Gas Market: Energy Efficient Units more than
Doubled in Nine Years to 47% of Units Sold in 2019
Commercial Gas Industry Units
100,000
80,000
60,000
<90% Efficiency
40,000
100,000
90,000
80,000 10%
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 90%
Condensing Commercial Boilers Non-Condensing Commercial Boilers
13
Comprehensive Boiler Product Offering
Commercial & Residential
Residential Condensing Boilers Residential Combi-boilers
(55mbh – 399mbh)
(Indoor Rated)
(110mbh – 199mbh)
(Indoor Rated)
(500mbh – 5000mbh)
(Indoor & Outdoor Rated)
XRGI 25
Micro
Combined Heat & Power
• 163,000 BTU/hr
• 24 kW of electricity
• 49 DB(A)
(400mbh – 850mbh) (750mbh – 6000mbh)
(Indoor Rated) (Indoor & Outdoor Models available)
14
Our Focused Technology is Reverse Osmosis, a Leading Technology
to Provide Safe Drinking Water
Activated Carbon
Taste & Odor improves taste (removes chlorine), removes organic pollutants including PFAS
Sediment Micro-Filtration
& Colloids removes sediment, particulates, and colloids
Bacterium Ultra-Filtration
& Organics removes bacterium, large organics and other pollutants resulting from water transport
Pore Size 50 nm
15
Evolution of AOS’ Global Water Treatment Business
Revenue
$ in millions
Inorganic Revenue
Organic Revenue 35% CAGR over the last 10 years
$458
$397
$322
$250
$134
$97
$69
$35 $38
$20 $20
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Acquired Launched Purchased MIM, Launched Purchased Purchased Launched AOS Purchased
Chanitex AOS branded WT company in AOS branded Aquasana& Hague branded WT at Water-Right
WT in China Turkey WT in India launched Lowe's
AOS branded
WT in Vietnam
16
Large Addressable Market in U.S.
Water Treatment
Addressable A. O. Smith Market: $2.3 B
68%
DIRECT TO
Aquasana 5%
CONSUMER
website or direct 9%
mail or telesales
WATER
Dealer
QUALITY
DEALERS
24%
RETAIL
19
AOS China Built On
Premium Brand
20
Growing Product Portfolio Developed in China for China
Electric
Water Air Purifier
Heaters
Water
Purifiers
Range Hood
Gas Water
Heater
21
China: Broad Distribution Channel
Percentage of Sales
32% 30%
29% 30% 33%
10%
22%
26% 25% 25% +9,000
22% retail counters in China
23%
26% 24%
30%
54%
45%
38% 37% 31%
28% 31%
31%
23% 23% of outlets in Tier 1 cities
18%
1% 3% 8%
2007 2010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
22
China: Mega Trends Driving Growth
TRENDS A. O. SMITH
Middle and affluent classes Our Market Leading Premium Consumer brand is positioned for
are growing the middle and affluent classes
30% 50%
25% 40%
20%
30%
15%
20%
10%
10%
5%
0% 0%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Leading residential brands measured in currency; Tier One Market: 2009 - 2018 CMM; 2019 FEB – CMM data sampling several thousand largest retail stores, December 2018
Data Source: 2012 - 2018 CMM; 2019 FEB retail
24
Thesis in India Similar to China
Local Management
25
India: Geographic Presence Build out from 2008 through 2019
A Class Cities
(pop >1.5 Mn) Headquarter & Manufacturing
(Bengaluru) National Retailers
Distribution in
25 out of 25 cities High Distribution Location
Bengaluru
Chennai
Coimbatore
26
Driving Financial Performance and Delivering Significant Growth
$3.5
8% CAGR 15% CAGR 21% CAGR
$700
$2.0
$400
$1.5
$1.5 $300
$1.0
$1.0 $200
$0.5
$0.5 $100
$0.0 $0 $0.0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
1 2010 through 2014 adjusted for non-operating pension costs and certain non-recurring items
2 2010 27
through 2014 adjusted for non-operating pension costs and certain non-recurring items; 2017 adjusted for U.S. Tax Reform expense; 2018 adjusted for restructuring & impairment expenses
Cash Returned to Shareholders:
~$1.4B last Five Years
$ in millions
$500
$450 $436.9
$400
$350 $332.7
$300
$250 $236
$219.4
$195.9
$200
$150
$100
$50
$0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
29
Compelling Investment Thesis
Market share leader Stable/growing U.S. Strength of premium 5 year adjusted EPS Strong balance sheet
in major product lines replacement market; brand, distribution, CAGR through 2019 and cash flow to
operating leverage manufacturing and = 12.7% support future
from incremental new innovation provide growth, dividends,
5 year dividend CAGR
construction and clear market share repurchase
through 2019 =
replacement advantage in China and acquisitions
24.5%
5 year cumulative
cash returned to
shareholders from
dividends and share
repurchased = $1.4
billion
30
ESG Accomplishments
4.0 80%
100K tons of GHG avoided1 4.00 3.99 4.00
3.5 3.85 3.84
3.0 60%
2.5
1As reported in AOS 2018 CRS Report based on 2017 sales and data
31
•Q1 2020 Results
32
Focus on Cash and Liquidity
1
As of April 30, 2020
33
Minimal Debt Maturities in Next Twelve Months
$ in millions
Revolving
Credit Facility
$250
$230M
$200
$150
LT Notes
$106M
$100
$50
LT Notes
$7M
$0M $0M $0M $0M $0M
$0
Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Dec 31, Thereafter
2021
34
First Quarter Results
$ in millions
35
First Quarter Sales
$ in millions
36
First Quarter Earnings (Loss)
$ in millions, except percentages
37
Strong Capital Position1
$60
$54
Cash provided Debt to Cash balance2
by operations capital ratio $50
$40
$0
2020 2019
% Q1 YOY
Revenue1 sales April Commentary
NA Water April 2020 residential order rates off low single digits compared
70% -2%
Heaters with Q1 2020; commercial orders down 30 - 35%
NA Water
4% +17% Internet sales up; in-home install sales temporarily challenged
Treatment3
2,000 0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
40
China Business Conditions
41
2020 COVID-19 Commentary
After a hard closure of Great recession NA boiler sales will be India will not achieve
the economy, the impacted residential impacted as break-even in 2020
country is slowly volume by 18% construction slows
returning to business
42