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Regression Analysis (Priadarshini S)
Regression Analysis (Priadarshini S)
Specifications Rocinante36
Price ( in lakh ) 7
Manufacturing cost ( in lak 6
Mileage ( in km/litre ) 22
Top speed (in km/hr ) 140
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.99788065450456
R Square 0.995765800634449
Adjusted R Square 0.995356039405525
Standard Error 2.30779153196702
Observations 35
ANOVA
df SS
Regression 3 38827.6180187373
Residual 31 165.102954405579
Total 34 38992.7209731429
Observations
The R-square and the adjusted R Square valures are very high which shows that the fitness of the regr
For the p-value less than 0.05 the variables will be significant and impactful else there wont be any im
the Sales.
Intercept
Price
(in lakh rupees)
Mileage
(Km/ltr)
Top speed (Km/hr)
On comparing each of the p-values for the independent variables individually with the cri
Calculations
Equation : Sales = 50.7231271792463 -0.795026440875324
Suppose increasing the price of Rocinante36 and Marengo32 by ₹1 lakh each. Then the bel
Profit =Sales
Price( -inManufacturing
1000 units ) cost
( in Lakhs)
[ sales * profit ]
Profit = Price - Manufacturing cost
New Overall Projected Profit = sales * profit
( in crores )
Droping the insignificant regression variables ( Top speed ) and rebuilding the regression model u
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.997855373536924
R Square 0.995715346496514
Adjusted R Square 0.995447555652547
Standard Error 2.28493913026155
Observations 35
ANOVA
df SS
Regression 2 38825.6506746148
Residual 32 167.070298528013
Total 34 38992.7209731429
OBSERVATIONS :
adjusted R-squared value for old regression model
adjusted R-squared value for new regression model
MS F Significance F
12942.5393395791 2430.11229551562 7.4472712258E-37 => The value is less than 0.05, hence it
5.32590175501867
re very high which shows that the fitness of the regression line is really good with the model.
e significant and impactful else there wont be any impact, considering that the Intercept, Price and Milage are the only variables having
2278.972261
nte36 and Marengo32 by ₹1 lakh each. Then the below changes can be observed.
227.8972261
4557.944523
( Top speed ) and rebuilding the regression model using only significant variables.
MS F Significance F
19412.8253373074 3718.25762129514 1.2901829731E-38
5.2209468290004
light increase by 0.0001 in the Adjusted R square value in the new regression model this can be due to the
the insignificant variables.
each other.
Upper 95.0%
61.5164421723217
-0.276310712421805
8.51065221471361
0.0437513681038242
% confidence level.
nd Milage are significant.
Upper 95.0%
52.0849033180769
-0.271569948951044
8.49263552814579
Top
Sales Price Mileage
Cars speed
(in 1,000 units) (in lakh rupees) (Km/ltr)
(Km/hr)
Specifications Marengo32
Price ( in lakh ) 41
Manufacturing cost ( in lakh) 33
Mileage ( in km/litre ) 15
Top speed (in km/hr ) 210
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.929025133175836
R Square 0.863087698072379
Adjusted R Square 0.847875220080421
Standard Error 2.30673039512172
Observations 31
ANOVA
df SS
Regression 3 905.66981774495
Residual 27 143.66713812602
Total 30 1049.336955871
Observations
The R-square and the adjusted R Square valures are high which shows that the
For the p-value less than 0.05 the variables will be significant and impactful else
Sales
Sales = -13.447648888
Hypothesis Testing
The Overall Test The null Hypothesis H0 would be: None of the inde
on the dependent varibales.
The Alternate Hypothese Ha is: At least one indepe
influence on the
The p-values ofdependent variable.
the independent variables like pric
The individual Significance
Test
The null Hypothesis H0 would be: The independen
the dependent variable.
The Alternate Hypothesis Ha would be that : The in
dependent variab
Intercept
Price
(in lakh rupees)
Top speed (Km/hr)
Mileage
(Km/ltr)
On comparing each of the p-values for the independent v
Calculations
Equation :
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9289161042461
R Square 0.8628851287278
Adjusted R Square 0.8530912093512
Standard Error 2.2668393794747
Observations 31
ANOVA
df
Regression 2
Residual 28
Total 30
Coefficients
Intercept
Price -12.97013136159
(in lakh rupees) -0.182473820185
Top speed (Km/hr) 0.22013989044
OBSERVATIONS :
Regression Analysis
Sales (in 1000 Units ) where as the independent variables are Price(in lakh rupees) , Mileage (Km/ltr), Top speed (Km/hr)
Regression Equation : Sales = Constant + b1*Price + b2*Mileage + b3*Top speed
p between depndent variable and of those of the predictor vaariables is linear. Observations are independent of each other.
Confidence Level = 95% ( Significance Level is 0.05 )
MS F Significance F
301.889939248317 56.7355100548808 8.74488158910387E-12
5.32100511577839
uare valures are high which shows that the fitness of the regression line is really good with the model.
ariables will be significant and impactful else there wont be any impact, considering that the Intercept, Price and Top Speed are the on
l Hypothesis H0 would be: The independent variable( X1, X2, X3 ) doesn’t have a significant influence on
endent variable.
ernate Hypothesis Ha would be that : The independent variable ( X1, X2, X3 ) has a significant influence on the
ent variab P-value Null Hypothesis Significane of the Varibale
0.00547896316725025 Rejected Significant
0.00228837673380118 Rejected Significant
5.38827494361743E-13 Rejected Significant
0.843080033902266 Fail to Reject Not Significant
g each of the p-values for the independent variables individually with the critical value ( 0.05 ) it can be said that the intercept, Price an
se increasing the price of Rocinante36 and Marengo32 by ₹1 lakh each. Then the below changes can be observed.
oping the insignificant regression variables ( Mileage ) and rebuilding the regression model using only significant variables.
ng insignificant Variables )
SS MS F
905.45725424552 452.72862712276 88.1041690817304
143.879701625447 5.13856077233738
1049.33695587097
There is a increase by 0.01 in the Adjusted R square value in the new regression model this can be due to the dropping of
variables.
r), Top speed (Km/hr)
=> The value is less than 0.05, hence it is significant and the regression is possible
del.
pt, Price and Top Speed are the only variables having an impact on the Sales.
*Top Speed
can reject the Null hypothesis at 95% confidence level.
e on
ce on the
be said that the intercept, Price and Top Speed are significant.
n be observed.
Significance F
8.30202130911125E-13
Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
-20.5364552417575 -5.403807481 -20.5364552417575 -5.40381
-0.285516851992491 -0.079430788 -0.285516851992491 -0.07943
0.186116692958093 0.2541630879 0.186116692958093 0.254163