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Vision Speech 2022
Vision Speech 2022
Vision Speech 2022
1. Home Sales
The Numbers 2. Home Prices
'90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 '12 '14 '16 '18 '20 '22
(proj.)
2022 Sales (Projected) Total Annual Single-Family Home Sales (in Millions)
The Numbers That Drive U.S. Real Estate | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: National Association of REALTORS®
1. Home Sales - Monthly (Seasonally Adjusted)
6.7 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.7
6.4 6.3 6.3
6.2 6.1
6.0 5.9 5.9 5.9 6.0 6.0 5.9
5.7 5.8
5.4 5.4
4.8
4.4
4.0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2020 2021
The Numbers That Drive U.S. Real Estate | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: National Association of REALTORS®
2. Home Prices - Annual $347 $378
$343
$222 $224
$166
$94
'90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22
(proj.)
Long-term Average = 4% Annual Median Home Price (in Thousands)
The Numbers That Drive U.S. Real Estate | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Copyright © 2022 “January Existing Home Sales.” National Association of REALTORS®.
2. Home Prices - Monthly
363K 360K 358K 3.69%
350K 351K 353K 354K 354K
3.62% 341K
326K
306K 310K 312K 313K 311K 309K 311K
304K
287K 294K
281K 284K
266K 270K
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb
’20 ’21 ’21
Interest Rate Median Home Price
The Numbers That Drive U.S. Real Estate | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Copyright © 2022 “January Existing Home Sales.” National Association of REALTORS®.
2. Home Prices - Annual Appreciation
’90-’00 ’01-’05 ’06-’11 ’12-’19 ’20-’22
4.10% 8.26% -4.15% 6.28% 11.67%
17.0%
12.2% 11.5%
8.3% 9.0% 9.0%
7.0% 7.5% 6.8%
5.5% 6.3% 6.3% 5.7% 5.7% 5.0% 4.8%
4.8% 5.2% 5.4%
4.0% 3.8% 4.3% 4.4%
2.9% 2.7% 3.4% 3.1%
1.3% 0.6%
-1.8% -2.7%
-9.8%
-12.5%
'90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22
(proj.)
Annual Median Home Price Appreciation
The Numbers That Drive U.S. Real Estate | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Copyright © 2022 “January Existing Home Sales.” National Association of REALTORS®.
3. Inventory - Annual
10.4
9.4
8.9 8.8
8.3
6.5
5.9
4.9 5.2
4.8 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.5 4.8
4.3 4.4
3.9 4 3.9
3.1
2.3
'99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2020 2021
The Numbers That Drive U.S. Real Estate | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: National Association of REALTORS®
4. Mortgage Rates - Annual
16.63%
7.81
5.97
2.96
'72 '77 '82 '87 '92 '97 '02 '07 '12 '17 '21
Annual Mortgage Rate (%) Historical Average from ’72-’20 Historical Average from ’90-’20
The Numbers That Drive U.S. Real Estate | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: Freddie Mac
4. Mortgage Rates - Monthly
4.15%
4.46%
3.62% 3.69%
4.03%
3.67% 3.87%
2.74%
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5
1
Monthly Mortgage Rate
The Numbers That Drive U.S. Real Estate | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: Freddie Mac
5. Affordability
Affordability got slightly worse in 2021 due to rising home prices and mortgage rates.
36 36
31
30
28
26 26
23 24 23 23 23
22 22 22 22 22
20 20 21 21 20 20 21 20 20.3
19 19 20 20 20
20 19
19 19 18
17 17 16 17 17
15 15 15 16 16 16
15 14 14 15
13 13
'70 '75 '80 '85 '90 '95 '00 '05 '10 '15 '21
'90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22
(proj.)
2022 Sales (Projected) Total Annual Single-Family Home Sales (in Thousands)
The Numbers That Drive Canadian Real Estate | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA)
2. Home Prices - Annual
Prices increased more than 20% as demand remained strong and inventory remained tight.
740
688
568
510 503
490 489
442
408 4.4%
383
362 363
339
307 305 320
277
249
227
207
172 189
147 142 149 150 153 158 151 151 155 152 158 164
130
94 110
76 80
'84 '85 '86 '87 '88 '89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22
(proj.)
Avg. Home Price (in Thousands C$) 4.4% Growth Projected from 1984
The Numbers That Drive Canadian Real Estate | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA)
2. Home Prices - Annual, in USD$
Prices increased more than 20% as demand remained strong and inventory remained tight.
581
549
423
393 378 379
367 364 372 370 370
330 346
286 287 281
244
206
174
148
124 122 130 124 119 116 110 111 112 107 111 111 120
105 103
83
59 59 68
'84 '85 '86 '87 '88 '89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22
(proj.)
Avg. Home Price (in Thousands USD$)
The Numbers That Drive Canadian Real Estate | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA)
3. Toronto/Vancouver
The Greater Toronto Area (GTA) and the Greater Vancouver Area (GVA) have a huge effect on the
nationwide average price.
GVA+GTA % of Pop. Average Price, Jan. ’22 Average Price, Without GVA+GTA
Entire Country
The Numbers That Drive Canadian Real Estate | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA)
4. Inventory
Inventory conditions in Canada have placed the country firmly in seller’s market territory.
Seller’s Mkt
78
71 70
66 64 64
63 61 62 62
59 59 60
56 56 54 56 55
53 53
Balanced
50 50 52 52
47 48 47
44 42 42
40 39
33
Buyer’s Mkt
'89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21
'91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21
The Numbers That Drive Canadian Real Estate | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: RBC
1. 7-Day Moving Average
COVID-19 of U.S. Cases
2. Pandemic to Endemic
209K
164K 247K
0
18
16
15
13
12
10
/7
/5
/4
21
31
1
30
28
27
25
24
22
20
2
7
/2
9/
3/
/1
/1
/1
/2
2/
10
11
12
3/
4/
5/
6/
7/
8/
2/
1/
3/
4/
5/
6/
7/
8/
9/
18
10
11
12
14
1/
2/
1/
New Cases Cumulative Deaths
COVID-19 | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: CDC
2. Pandemic to Endemic
COVID-19 is expected to become an endemic virus like the seasonal flu.
2. New variants are expected and severity will vary from one season to next, but level
of disruption is much lower because of:
a. Widespread existing immunity through vaccines and prior infections.
b. Better treatment regimens for severe disease.
c. Health system adapted to handle expected impacts.
-2.6
-2.6
-3.4
-3.4
'90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21
9.3 9.6
8.9
8.1 8.1
7.5 7.4
6.9 6.9
6.1 6.0 6.2
5.6 5.6 5.4 5.8 5.5 5.8
5.1 5.3 5.4
4.9 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.9
4.5 4.2 4.4
4.0 3.9 3.7
'90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 '12 '14 '16 '18 '20 '21
Unemployment (%)
The U.S. Economy | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
2. Unemployment - Monthly
Unemployment is back near pre-pandemic levels but millions are still missing from the labor force.
14.7
13.2
11.0
10.2
8.4
7.9
6.9 6.7 6.7
6.3 6.2 6.0 6.0
5.8 5.9 5.4
5.2
4.4 4.7 4.6
4.2 3.9 4.0
3.7 3.7 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5
Jul '19 Oct '19 Jan '20 Apr '20 Jul '20 Oct '20 Jan '21 Apr '21 Jul '21 Oct '21 Jan '22
Unemployment (%)
The U.S. Economy | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
3. Real Wages
Real incomes appear to have taken a step back due to inflation in 2021 after setting strong gains last year.
4.3
3.9
2.5
2.0 2.0
1.7 1.7 1.7
1.0 0.8 1.1 0.9
0.6 0.6 0.7
0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3
-2.6
'90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 '12 '14 '16 '18 '20 '21
$1,046 $1,038
6.5%
5.8% 5.9% 6.1%
5.4% 5.4% 5.1% $682
4.9% 5.0% 4.7%
4.1% 3.9% $502
Financial Professional & Wholesale Construction Manufacturing Education & Transportation Retail Trade Leisure &
Activities Business Trade Health & Warehousing Hospitality
Services Services
CPI
7.04%
6.1% Core CPI
5.2% 5.50%
Proj. CPI
2% 2.00%
'90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 '12 '14 '16 '18 '20 '22 '24
CPI (Includes Energy and Food) Core CPI (Excludes Energy and Food) Target = 2%
The U.S. Economy | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: BEA
5. Inflation - Annual with Forecasts
CPI
2%
Price Mortgage
Adj. for
Inflation
$35,636 $2.25 $218,232 $1,915 $22.75
Real Change
from 1989
30.22% 56.00% 58.96% -24.02% 13.85%
The U.S. Economy | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: BEA
The Canadian 1. Gross Domestic Product
2. Unemployment
Economy 3. Inflation
5.2 5.2
4.3 3.9 4.5
-2.9
-5.2
'95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21
(proj.)
Real GDP, Year-over-Year Change (Percentage)
The Canadian Economy | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: Org. for Economic Cooperation and Development
2. Unemployment
Unemployment is nearing pre-pandemic levels in Canada.
'95 '97 '99 '01 '03 '05 '07 '09 '11 '13 '15 '17 '19 '21
The Canadian Economy | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: Org. for Economic Cooperation and Development
3. Inflation
Inflation has risen sharply in Canada, creating pressure on the central bank to lower rates.
CPI
3.4%
Core CPI
2.3%
2%
'95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 ‘05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21
Rate Target Core CPI (Excludes Energy and Food) Inflation (CPI)
The Canadian Economy | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: Org. for Economic Cooperation and Development
1. Sides Per Agent
2. Distressed Sales
3. Underwater Homes
'77 '79 '81 '83 '85 '87 '89 '91 '93 '95 '97 '99 '01 '03 '05 '07 '09 '11 '13 '15 '17 '19 '21
13%
12%
10% 13%
12%
27% 24% 4%
22% 19% 3%
2% 2%
12% 10% 1%
8% 6% 5% 4% 1%1%
1% 1%
1%1% <1%
1% <1%
1%
Dec '08 Dec '09 Dec '10 Dec '11 Dec '12 Dec '13 Dec '14 Dec '15 Dec '16 Dec '17 Dec '18 Dec '19 Dec '20 Dec '21
U.S. Events | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: National Association of REALTORS®
3. Underwater Homes
The portion of homes in negative equity continues to fall as home prices appreciate.
24.7 24.4
22.0
13.0
10.3
8.1
6.3
4.9 6%
4.0 3.7 3.0
2.1
Q3 '10 Q3 '11 Q3 '12 Q3 '13 Q3 '14 Q3 '15 Q3 '16 Q3 '17 Q3 '18 Q3 '19 Q3 '20 Q3 '21
17
15.27% - Nov. 1981
13
2.68%
10 - Dec. 2020
0.62%
7 - Jul. 2020
3 3.10%
1.47%
’72 ’77 ’82 ’87 ’92 ’97 ’02 ’07 ’12 ’17 '21
Dec.
’21
10-Year Treasury Mortgage Rate
U.S. Events | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
5. Credit Conditions
Credit conditions loosened in 2021, particularly for jumbo and non-QM loans.
Tightening
Steady
Loosening
Q2
Q4
Q2
Q4
Q2
Q4
Q2
Q4
Q2
Q4
Q2
Q4
Q2
Q4
Q2
Q4
Q2
Q4
Q2
Q4
Q2
Q4
Q2
Q4
Q2
Q4
Q2
Q4
Q2
Q4
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7
7
8
8
9
9
0
0
1
1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
5
6
6
7
7
8
8
9
9
0
0
1
1
Loosening Tightening
U.S. Events | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: FRB SLOOS
6. New Home Starts
1,716 1,465
1,123
1,046
991 1,000
849 876 888
782
715
622 618 648
535
445 471 431
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
822
769 762
685
616 614 650
562
$241K 482 503
430 440
374 368
321 306
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Median New Home Price New Single-family Home Sales (in Thousands) Long-term Average Home Sales
U.S. Events | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: U.S. Census Bureau
8. Student Loan Debt
Student loans are simply part of the conversation now for first-time buyers.
'05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21
Student Loans (in Trillions) All Other Consumer Debt (in Trillions; Excludes Mortgage)
U.S. Events | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York
9. Economic Risks in 2022
1. Russian Invasion of Ukraine
a. Global impact on energy markets
b. Global impact on financial and equities markets
U.S. Events | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc.
1. The World’s Wealthy
Luxury | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Sources: Capgemini and RBC Wealth Management. *No data for 2011.
1. Job Growth
4,000
3,080
2,000
611
0
-2,000
-780
-4,000
-6,000
-7,303
-8,000
'89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21
Commercial | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: NAR Analysis of CoStar Data
3. Loan Delinquency Rates
Delinquency rates on commercial RE loans remain near zero.
12.49%
9.13%
4.0%
0.98%
0.85%
'91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21
Portals Insurance
Convergence
SEARCH
Transaction frictions Fintech (mortgage,
(iBuying, power
BUY fractional ownership,
buyers, concierge …) OWN rent to own …)
SELL
Institutional buyers
3. Commercial data giant CoStar jumps into residential with a series of acquisitions
5. Nonbank lenders gain market share and pivot to purchase as refi market wanes
50%
47%
'95 '97 '99 '01 '03 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21
National Association of REALTORS® | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
Tenure in Previous Home
2007 2010 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
1 year or less 6% 3% 3% 4% 9% 4% 4% 8%
2 to 3 years 23 8 10 10 15 13 11 16
4 to 5 years 17 16 11 12 12 14 14 14
6 to 7 years 13 18 12 10 8 11 12 10
8 to 10 years 13 17 15 14 12 10 11 9
11 to 15 years 12 17 21 21 17 16 16 15
16 to 20 years 7 8 11 11 11 12 13 11
21 years or more 10 13 16 17 16 19 20 18
Median 6 8 10 10 9 10 10 8
National Association of REALTORS® | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
Buyer’s Expected Tenure
Buyers expect to stay in their home longer than they actually do. Stay in touch so that even if your client’s
move is unexpected, you are top of mind.
National Association of REALTORS® | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
Weeks in Home Search
12 12 12 12 12
10 10 10 10 10 10 10
8 8 8 8 8
'05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21
National Association of REALTORS® | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
First Step in Buying Process
2007 2010 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Looked online for properties for sale 32% 36% 44% 42% 44% 44% 43% 41%
Contacted a real estate agent 20 19 17 17 17 16 18 19
Looked online for information about the buying process 12 11 13 12 11 12 9 10
Contacted a bank or mortgage lender 7 8 7 8 7 7 7 9
Talked with a friend or relative about the buying process 9 7 6 6 6 6 7 7
Drove by homes/neighborhoods 1 7 6 6 6 5 6 5
Visited open houses 7 4 3 3 4 4 4 2
Contacted a builder/visited builder models 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2
Contacted a home seller directly 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1
Looked up neighborhood information * * 1 1 1 1 1 1
Attended a home buying seminar 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
Looked in newspapers, magazines, or home buying guides 5 2 1 1 1 1 1 *
* Less than 1%
National Association of REALTORS® | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
Information Sources Buyers Use
2006 2010 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Real estate agent 85% 88% 92% 89% 86% 87% 87% 87%
Mobile or tablet search device N/A N/A 72 74 73 73 76 74
Open house 47 45 50 52 53 51 53 41
Online video site N/A N/A 36 39 37 35 41 40
Yard sign 63 57 49 48 46 39 41 35
Home builder 26 16 14 19 18 15 18 19
Print newspaper advertisement 55 36 16 15 13 11 10 7
Home book or magazine 34 23 12 12 10 7 8 6
Billboard 9 5 4 5 5 4 4 4
Television 11 7 3 2 3 3 3 2
Relocation company 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 2
National Association of REALTORS® | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
Where Buyers Found the Home
They Purchased
2006 2010 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Internet 24% 37% 44% 51% 49% 50% 52% 51%
Real estate agent 36 38 33 34 31 28 29 28
Friend, relative or neighbor 8 6 6 4 6 7 6 6
Home builder or their agent 8 4 6 2 6 5 4 5
Yard sign/Open house sign 15 11 9 8 7 7 6 7
Directly from sellers/Knew the sellers 3 2 2 1 2 3 3 3
Print newspaper advertisement 5 2 1 1 1 1 * *
Home book or magazine 1 * * * * * * *
Other * * * * * * * *
* Less than 1%
National Association of REALTORS® | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
Value of Website Features
Detailed property info 80% 16% 3% 96%
Property photos 84% 12% 3% 96%
Floor plans 55% 30% 6% 9% 85%
Details about recently sold properties 39% 42% 9% 10% 81%
Neighborhood info 37% 44% 9% 10% 81%
Virtual tours 43% 34% 8% 15% 77%
Real estate agent contact info 43% 30% 13% 14% 73%
Pending sales/Contract status 39% 33% 14% 14% 72%
Interactive maps 34% 34% 13% 19% 68%
Videos 28% 34% 14% 24% 62%
Info about upcoming open houses 20% 33% 21% 26% 53%
Virtual open houses 12% 21% 20% 47% 33%
Virtual listing appointments 10% 17% 21% 52% 27%
Very Useful Somewhat Useful Not Useful Did Not Use Very Useful /
Somewhat Useful
National Association of REALTORS® | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
Method of Home Purchase
5%
8%
77% 77% 79% 81% 77% 83% 89% 89% 88% 88% 87% 88% 86% 87% 89% 88% 87%
'05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21
No 26 29 29 28 31 28 28 27
Don’t know 11 13 14 15 14 14 15 16
National Association of REALTORS® | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
What Buyers Want from Their Agent
Help finding the right home to purchase 52%
Help negotiating sale terms 13%
Help with price negotiations 11%
Help with paperwork 8%
Price of comparable home sales 6%
Help determine what buyer can afford 4%
Help find and arrange financing 3%
Teach buyer about neighborhood 2%
Help find renters for buyer's property Less than 1%
National Association of REALTORS® | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
How Buyers Found Their Agent
2006 2010 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Referred by (or is) a friend, neighbor, or relative 40% 48% 42% 42% 41% 41% 40% 47%
Used agent previously to buy or sell a home 13 9 11 12 12 12 13 13
Inquired about specific property viewed online N/A N/A N/A N/A 7 7 7 7
Website 7 10 9 9 6 5 6 7
Referred by another real estate agent or broker 5 3 5 5 5 6 5 5
Saw contact information on for sale/open house sign 7 6 4 4 4 3 3 5
Visited an open house and met agent 7 7 6 6 5 5 6 4
Personal contact by agent (telephone, email, etc.) 3 3 3 4 3 4 4 3
Referred through employer or relocation company 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
Walked into or called office and agent was on duty 4 5 2 2 1 1 1 1
Mobile or tablet application N/A N/A 1 1 1 1 1 1
Other 7 7 11 11 11 11 10 6
* Less than 1%
National Association of REALTORS® | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
Buyer Interviews
Buyers overwhelmingly went with the first or second agent they met – you need to get there first!
Two 20 21 19 17 20 15 16 16
Three 10 10 8 8 8 7 7 7
Four or more 5 6 4 6 5 3 4 4
National Association of REALTORS® | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
Most Important Factors for Buyers
An agent’s honesty/trustworthiness, experience, and reputation matter the most to buyers.
50%
35%
86%
National Association of REALTORS® | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
Buyer: Repeats and Referrals
'21 75% 15% 5% 4% 90%
'20 76% 15% 5% 4% 91%
'19 75% 15% 5% 4% 90%
'18 74% 16% 5% 4% 90%
'17 74% 15% 6% 5% 89%
'16 73% 15% 6% 5% 88%
'15 72% 16% 5% 5% 88%
'14 73% 15% 5% 5% 88%
'13 73% 15% 6% 4% 88%
'12 74% 15% 5% 4% 89%
'11 72% 17% 5% 4% 89%
Definitely Probably Probably Not Definitely Not Don’t Know Definitely / Probably
National Association of REALTORS® | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
Buyer and Seller Satisfaction
Consumers continue to express satisfaction with the process of buying and selling a home.
2% 3%
5% 6%
21%
32%
61%
70%
Very satisfied
Somewhat satisfied
Somewhat dissatisfied
Very dissatisfied
National Association of REALTORS® | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
How Sellers Found Their Agent
2006 2010 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Referred by (or is) a friend, neighbor, or relative 44% 41% 39% 41% 39% 39% 41% 39%
Used agent previously to buy or sell a home 30 23 25 23 24 27 26 29
Personal contact by agent (telephone, email, etc.) 5 4 4 5 5 5 4 4
Referred by another real estate agent or broker 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4
Website 2 4 4 5 4 4 5 3
Visited an open house and met agent 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 2
Saw contact information on for sale/open house sign * 3 2 2 2 2 1 2
Referred through employer or relocation company 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1
Direct mail (newsletter, flier, postcard, etc.) 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1
Walked into or called office and agent was on duty * * 1 1 2 1 1 1
Other 2 6 10 10 12 10 11 15
* Less than 1%
National Association of REALTORS® | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
Seller Interviews
Number of agents sellers contacted before deciding with whom to sell.
Two 18 19 16 15 13 15 13 10
Three 9 10 8 7 8 8 7 5
Four or more 4 6 4 3 3 3 4 3
National Association of REALTORS® | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
What Sellers Want from Their Agent
Help price the home competitively 21%
Help seller find ways to fix up the home to sell it for more 16%
National Association of REALTORS® | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
Most Important Factors for Sellers
An agent’s reputation, honesty/trustworthiness, and whether they’re a friend or family member matter
the most to sellers.
Reputation 32%
Honest and trustworthy 19%
Friend or family member 17%
Knowledge of the neighborhood 11%
Caring personality/Good listener 5%
Commission 4%
Association with company 4%
Seems 100% accessible (technology) 3%
Professional designations 1%
Other 5%
National Association of REALTORS® | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
Compensation Negotiations
2007 2010 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Real estate agent initiated discussion of compensation 39% 44% 48% 48% 47% 46% 44% 47%
Client brought up the topic and the real estate agent was
31 25 22 20 21 22 23 20
able and willing to negotiate their commission or fee
Client brought up the topic and the real estate agent was
9 9 6 8 6 5 5 5
not willing or able to negotiate their commission or fee
National Association of REALTORS® | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
Seller: Repeats and Referrals
'21 74% 15% 6% 5% 89%
'20 74% 15% 5% 5% 89%
'19 73% 14% 7% 5% 87%
'18 69% 17% 6% 7% 86%
'17 67% 18% 7% 7% 85%
'16 70% 15% 7% 6% 85%
'15 67% 17% 7% 7% 84%
'14 68% 15% 8% 7% 83%
'13 65% 19% 8% 7% 84%
'12 66% 18% 7% 7% 84%
'11 69% 16% 8% 5% 3% 85%
Definitely Probably Probably Not Definitely Not Don’t Know Definitely / Probably
National Association of REALTORS® | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
Method Used to Sell Home
2006 2010 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Sold home using an agent or broker 84% 88% 89% 89% 91% 89% 89% 90%
Sold through an iBuyer program N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * *
Other 3 3 2 2 1 2 2 2
* Less than 1%
National Association of REALTORS® | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
Incentives Offered to Attract Buyers
2010 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Other 5 3 4 4 4 4 3
National Association of REALTORS® | Vision 2022 Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc. Source: 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
Copyright © 2022 Keller Williams Realty, Inc.