URBAN OUTFITTER (URBN)

Industry: Nonfood Retail-Wholesale

Chaikin Power Gauge Report | Generated: Thu Jun 23 13:39 EDT 2011
URBN
URBAN OUTFITTER

Price: $28.64

$28.64

Power Gauge Rating

URBN - Very Bearish

The Chaikin Power Gauge Rating for URBN is very bearish due to very negative expert opinions, poor financial metrics and bearish price/volume activity. Expert opinions about URBN are very negative which is evidenced by analysts revising earnings estimates downward and a high short interest ratio.
TM

Financial Metrics

Earnings Performance

Price/Volume Activity

Expert Opinions

News Sentiment Rating

Neutral
URBN URBAN OUTFIT.. May 28, 2011

Chaikin Sentiment Gauge for URBN is neutral. Stories concerning URBN have a balanced or neutral sentiment.

TM

News Sentiment :Neutral

Power Trend - 5 Year Chart

The Power Gauge distills a 20 factor model into a concise picture of a stock's potential.

High Potential

Neutral

Low Potential

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Financials & Earnings

Financial Metrics

Financial Metrics Rating

LT Debt/Equity Ratio

Bearish
URBN's financial metrics are poor. The company has relatively low revenue per share and may be overvalued. The rank is based on a low long term debt to equity ratio, high price to book value ratio, high return on equity and high price to sales ratio.

Price to Book Value

Return on Equity

Price to Sales Ratio

Business Value

Assets and Liabilities

Ratio Current Ratio LT Debt/Equity TTM 3.31 0.00

Valuation
Ratio Price/Book Price/Sales TTM 3.54 2.04

Returns
Ratio Return on Invest Return on Equity TTM 19.1% 19.1%

Earnings Performance

Earnings Performance Rating

Earnings Growth

Neutral
URBN's earnings performance has been neutral. The company has a history of strong earnings growth and is priced relatively high compared to next year's projected EPS. The rank is based on high earnings growth over the past 3-5 years, worse than expected earnings in recent quarters, a relatively poor trend in earnings this year, a relatively high projected P/E ratio and consistent earnings over the past 5 years.

Earnings Surprise

Earnings Trend

Projected P/E Ratio

Earnings Consistency

5 Year Revenue and Earnings Growth

01/07 Revenue(M) Rev % Growth EPS EPS % Growth 1,224.72 12.14% $0.71 -11.25% 01/08 1,507.72 23.11% $0.97 36.62% 01/09 1,834.62 21.68% $1.20 23.71% 01/10 1,937.82 5.62% $1.31 9.17% 01/11 2,274.10 17.35% $1.64 25.19%

EPS Estimates
Factor Quarterly EPS Yearly EPS Factor 3-5 year EPS Actual EPS Prev $0.42 $1.64 Actual EPS Growth 15.98% EST EPS Current $0.33 $1.55 Est EPS Growth 19.07% Change -0.09 -0.09 Change +3.09

EPS Surprise
Estimate Latest Qtr 1 Qtr Ago 2 Qtr Ago 3 Qtr Ago $0.25 $0.52 $0.42 $0.39 Actual $0.23 $0.45 $0.43 $0.42 Difference $-0.02 $-0.07 $0.01 $0.03 % Difference -8.00 -13.46 2.38 7.69

EPS Quarterly Results

FY 01/09 01/10 01/11 Qtr 1 $0.18 $0.31 $0.24 Qtr 2 $0.29 $0.42 Qtr 3 $0.37 $0.44 Qtr 4 $0.46 $0.46 Total $1.30 $1.63 -

Fiscal Year End Month is January.

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Price Trend & Expert Opinions

Price/Volume Activity

Price/Volume Activity Rating

Relative Strength vs Market

Bearish
Price and volume activity for URBN is bearish. URBN has underperformed the S&P 500 over 26 weeks and has a declining price trend. The rank for URBN is based on its relative weakness versus the market, negative Chaikin money flow, a negative Chaikin price trend and a positive Chaikin price trend ROC.

Chaikin Money Flow

Price Trend

Price Trend ROC

Volume Trend

Relative Strength vs S&P500 Index

Chaikin Money Flow

Chart shows whether URBN is performing better or worse than the market.

Chaikin Money Flow analyzes supply and demand for a company's stock.

Price Activity
Factor 52 Week High 52 Week Low % Change YTD Rel S&P 500 Value 38.50 28.27 -20.42%

Price Activity
Factor % Change Price - 4 Weeks % Change Price - 24 Weeks % Change Price - 4 Wks Rel to S&P % Change Price - 24 Wks Rel to S&P Value -5.14% -19.92% -2.68% -20.57%

Volume Activity
Factor Average Volume 20 Days Average Volume 90 Days Chaikin Money Flow Persistency Value 3,049,402 3,453,569 48%

Expert Opinions

Expert Opinions

Earnings Estimate Revisions

Very Bearish
Expert opinions about URBN are very negative. Analysts are lowering their EPS estimates for URBN and short interest in URBN is high. The rank for URBN is based on analysts revising earnings estimates downward, a high short interest ratio, insiders purchasing stock, pessimistic analyst opinions and relative weakness of the stock versus the Nonfood Retail-Wholesale industry group.

Short Interest

Insider Activity

Analyst Opinions

Relative Strength vs Industry

Earnings Estimate Revisions

Current Current Qtr Next Qtr 0.33 0.44 Current Current FY 1.55 7 Days Ago % Change 0.33 0.44 0.00% 0.00%

Analyst Recommendations
Factor Mean this Week Mean Last Week Change Mean 5 Weeks Ago Value Buy Buy 0.00 Buy

EPS Estimates Revision Summary

Last Week Up Curr Qtr Curr Yr Next Qtr 0 0 0 0 Down 0 1 1 1 Last 4 Weeks Up 1 1 0 0 Down 6 8 5 9

30 Days Ago % Change 1.56 -0.01

Next Yr

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The Company & Its Competitors

URBN's Competitors in Nonfood Retail-Wholesale

Company URBN GPS FL JNY JWN ANF PSS LTD Power Gauge Historic EPS growth 15.98% -1.69% -2.14% -5.99% 4.05% 5.55% 4.99% 0.21% Projected EPS growth 19.07% 8.88% 11.00% 11.00% 11.75% 18.83% 12.00% 13.08% Profit Margin 11.16% 7.76% 4.00% 1.07% 6.66% 5.18% 2.53% 8.66% PEG 0.99 1.38 1.42 0.80 1.31 1.13 0.99 1.17 PE 18.71 9.64 17.51 7.41 15.52 26.89 10.85 16.69 Revenue(M) 2,274 14,664 5,049 3,643 9,310 3,469 3,376 9,613

News Headlines for URBN Two New Suitors Are Said To Be Interested in J. Crew - Jan 6, 2011 Urban Outfitters OKs repurchase of added shares - Nov 18, 2010 Ahead of the Bell: Urban Outfitters shares jump Nov 16, 2010

Company Details URBAN OUTFITTER 5000 SOUTH BROAD STREET PHILADELPHIA, PA 19112 USA Phone: 2154545500 Fax: 215-454-5163 Website: http://http://www.urbanoutfitters.co m Full Time Employees: 16,000 Sector: Retail/Wholesale

Company Profile Urban Outfitters, Inc. operates two business segments consisting of a lifestyle-oriented general merchandise retailing segment and a wholesale apparel business. The retailing segment operates through retail stores and direct response, including a catalog and two web sites. The company's wholesale business designs and markets young women's casual wear which it provides to the company's retail operations and sells to specialty retailers worldwide.

Power Gauge Ratings are created using a relative ranking system that assigns a rank of 0 to 100 (100 being the highest) to each stock in the universe. Rank is calculated by evaluating each of the stocks factors and combining them into a single number using a weighting formula. A stock's rank ranges from 100-0, where 100 is the strongest, and a rank of 95 indicates the stock is better than 95% of the stocks in the universe. Chaikin Stock Research(CSR) is not registered as a securities broker dealer or investment advisor with either the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or with any state securities regulatory authority. CSR is not responsible for trades executed by users of this research report, our web site or mobile app based on the information included herein. The information presented in this report does not represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks or any financial instrument nor is it intended as an endorsement of any security or investment. The information in this report is generic by nature and is not personalized to the specific financial situation of any individual. The user bears complete responsibility for their own investment research and should seek the advice of a qualified investment professional before making any investment decisions. Copyright (c) 1978-(Present) by ZACKS Investment Research, Inc ("ZACKS"). The information, data, analyses and opinions contained herein (1) includes the confidential and proprietary information of ZACKS, (2) may not be copied or redistributed, for any purpose, (3) does not constitute investment advice offered by ZACKS, (4) are provided solely for informational purposes, and (5) are not warranted or represented to be correct, complete, accurate or timely. ZACKS shall not be responsible for investment decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, use of this information, data, analyses or opinions. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. ZACKS is not affiliated with Chaikin Power Tools. This report from Chaikin Power Tools is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell securities.

LM 2.3 DS 3.0 LS 2.1

Data Provided by ZACKS Investment Research, Inc., www.zacks.com

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