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Forecasting 4 - Winter Solution
Forecasting 4 - Winter Solution
quinta
SEXTA
SABADO
DOM
SEGUNDA
TERCA
QUARTA
Brasil 1 quinta 10/1/2020 4847092 36157 144680
Brasil 2 SEXTA 10/2/2020 4880523 33431 145388
Brasil 3 SABADO 10/3/2020 4906833 26310 145987
Brasil 4 DOM 10/4/2020 4915289 8456 146352
Brasil 5 SEGUNDA 10/5/2020 4927235 11946 146675
Brasil 6 TERCA 10/6/2020 4969141 41906 147494
Brasil 7 QUARTA 10/7/2020 5000694 31553 148228
Brasil 8 quinta 10/8/2020 5028444 27750 148957
Brasil 9 SEXTA 10/9/2020 5055888 27444 149639
Brasil 10 SABADO 10/10/2020 5082637 26749 150198
Brasil 11 DOM 10/11/2020 5094979 12342 150488
Brasil 12 SEGUNDA 10/12/2020 5103408 8429 150689
Brasil 13 TERCA 10/13/2020 5113628 10220 150998
Brasil 14 QUARTA 10/14/2020 5140863 27235 151747
Brasil 15 quinta 10/15/2020 5169386 28523 152460
Brasil 16 SEXTA 10/16/2020 5200300 30914 153214
Brasil 17 SABADO 10/17/2020 5224362 24062 153675
Brasil 18 DOM 10/18/2020 5235344 10982 153905
Brasil 19 SEGUNDA 10/19/2020 5250727 15383 154176
Brasil 20 TERCA 10/20/2020 5273954 23227 154837
Brasil 21 QUARTA 10/21/2020 5298772 24818 155403
Brasil 22 quinta 10/22/2020 5323630 24858 155900
Brasil 23 SEXTA 10/23/2020 5353656 30026 156471
Brasil 24 SABADO 10/24/2020 5380635 26979 156903
Brasil 25 DOM 10/25/2020 5394128 13493 157134
Brasil 26 SEGUNDA 10/26/2020 5409854 15726 157397
Brasil 27 TERCA 10/27/2020 5439641 29787 157946
Brasil 28 QUARTA 10/28/2020 5468270 28629 158456
Brasil 29 quinta 10/29/2020 5494376 26106 158969
Brasil 30 SEXTA 10/30/2020 5516658 22282 159477
Brasil 31 SABADO 10/31/2020 5535605 18947 159884
Brasil 32 DOM 11/1/2020 5545705 10100 160074
Brasil 33 SEGUNDA 11/2/2020 5554206 8501 160253
Brasil 34 TERCA 11/3/2020 5566049 11843 160496
Brasil 35 QUARTA 11/4/2020 5590025 23976 161106
Brasil 36 quinta 11/5/2020 5612319 22294 161736
Brasil 37 SEXTA 11/6/2020 5633747 21428 162038
Brasil 38 SABADO 11/7/2020 5653561 19814 162269
Brasil 39 DOM 11/8/2020 5664115 10554 162397
Brasil 40 SEGUNDA 11/9/2020 5675032 10917 162628
Brasil 41 TERCA 11/10/2020 5700044 25012 162829
Brasil 42 QUARTA 11/11/2020 5748375 48331 163373
Brasil 43 quinta 11/12/2020 5781582 33207 164281
Brasil 44 SEXTA 11/13/2020 5810652 29070 164737
Brasil 45 SABADO 11/14/2020 5848959 38307 165658
Brasil 46 DOM 11/15/2020 5863093 14134 165798
Brasil 47 SEGUNDA 11/16/2020 5876464 13371 166014
Brasil 48 TERCA 11/17/2020 5911758 35294 166699
Brasil 49 QUARTA 11/18/2020 5945849 34091 167455
Brasil 50 quinta 11/19/2020 5981767 35918 168061
Brasil 51 SEXTA 11/20/2020 6020164 38397 168613
Brasil 52 SABADO 11/21/2020 6052786 32622 168989
Brasil 53 DOM 11/22/2020 6071401 18615 169183
Brasil 54 SEGUNDA 11/23/2020 6087608 16207 169485
Brasil 55 TERCA 11/24/2020 6118708 31100 170115
Brasil 56 QUARTA 11/25/2020 6166606 47898 170769
Brasil 57 quinta 11/26/2020 6204220 37614 171460
Brasil 58 SEXTA 11/27/2020 6238350 34130 171974
Brasil 59 SABADO 11/28/2020 6290272 51922 172561
Brasil 60 DOM 11/29/2020 6314740 24468 172833
Brasil 61 SEGUNDA 11/30/2020 6335878 21138 173120
Brasil 62 TERCA 12/1/2020 6386787 50909 173817
Brasil 63 QUARTA 12/2/2020 6436650 49863 174515
Brasil 64 quinta 12/3/2020 6487084 50434 175270
Brasil 65 SEXTA 12/4/2020 6533968 46884 175964
Brasil 66 SABADO 12/5/2020 6577177 43209 176628
Brasil 67 DOM 12/6/2020 6603540 26363 176941
Brasil 68 SEGUNDA 12/7/2020 6623911 20371 177317
Brasil 69 TERCA 12/8/2020 6674999 51088 178159
Brasil 70 QUARTA 12/9/2020 6728452 53453 178995
Brasil 71 quinta 12/10/2020 6781799 53347 179765
Brasil 72 SEXTA 12/11/2020 6836227 54428 180437
Brasil 73 SABADO 12/12/2020 6880127 43900 181123
Brasil 74 DOM 12/13/2020 6901952 21825 181402
Brasil 75 SEGUNDA 12/14/2020 6927145 25193 181835
Brasil 76 TERCA 12/15/2020 6970034 42889 182799
Brasil 77 QUARTA 12/16/2020 7040608 70574 183735
Brasil 78 quinta 12/17/2020 7110434 69826 184827
Brasil 79 SEXTA 12/18/2020 7162978 52544 185650
Brasil 80 SABADO 12/19/2020 7213155 50177 186356
Brasil 81 DOM 12/20/2020 7238600 25445 186764
Brasil 82 SEGUNDA 12/21/2020 7263619 25019 187291
Brasil 83 TERCA 12/22/2020 7318821 55202 188259
Brasil 84 QUARTA 12/23/2020 7365517 46696 189220
Brasil 85 quinta 12/24/2020 7425593 60076 190006
Brasil 86 SEXTA 12/25/2020 7448560 22967 190488
Brasil 87 SABADO 12/26/2020 7465806 17246 190795
Brasil 88 DOM 12/27/2020 7484285 18479 191139
Brasil 89 SEGUNDA 12/28/2020 7504833 20548 191570
Brasil 90 TERCA 12/29/2020 7563551 58718 192681
Brasil 91 QUARTA 12/30/2020 7619200 55649 193875
Brasil 92 quinta 12/31/2020 7675973 56773 194949
Brasil 93 SEXTA 1/1/2021 7808055 37750 199458
Brasil 94 SABADO 1/2/2021 7716405 15827 195725
Brasil 95 DOM 1/3/2021 7733746 17341 196018
Brasil 96 SEGUNDA 1/4/2021 7753752 20006 196561
Brasil 97 TERCA 1/5/2021 7810400 56648 197732
Brasil 98 QUARTA 1/6/2021 7873830 63430 198974
Brasil 99 quinta 1/7/2021 7961673 87843 200498
Brasil 100 SEXTA 1/8/2021 8013708 52035 201460
Brasil 101 SABADO 1/9/2021 8075998 62290 202631
Brasil 102 DOM 1/10/2021 8105790 29792 203100
Brasil 103 SEGUNDA 1/11/2021 8131612 25822 203580
Brasil 104 TERCA 1/12/2021 8195637 64025 204690
Brasil 105 QUARTA 1/13/2021 8256536 60899 205964
Brasil 106 quinta 1/14/2021 8324294 67758 207095
Brasil 107 SEXTA 1/15/2021 8393492 69198 208246
Brasil 108 SABADO 1/16/2021 8455059 61567 209296
Brasil 109 DOM 1/17/2021 8488099 33040 209847
Brasil 110 SEGUNDA 1/18/2021 8511770 23671 210299
Brasil 111 TERCA 1/19/2021 8573864 62094 211491
Brasil 112 QUARTA 1/20/2021 8638249 64385 212831
Brasil 113 quinta 1/21/2021 8697368 59119 214147
Brasil 114 SEXTA 1/22/2021 8753920 56552 215243
Brasil 115 SABADO 1/23/2021 8816254 62334 216445
Brasil 116 DOM 1/24/2021 8844577 28323 217037
Brasil 117 SEGUNDA 1/25/2021 8871393 26816 217664
Brasil 118 TERCA 1/26/2021 8933356 61963 218878
Brasil 119 QUARTA 1/27/2021 8996876 63520 220161
Brasil 120 quinta 1/28/2021 9058687 61811 221547
Brasil 121 SEXTA 1/29/2021 9118513 59826 222666
Brasil 122 SABADO 1/30/2021 9176975 58462 223945
Brasil 123 DOM 1/31/2021 9204731 27756 224504
Brasil 124 SEGUNDA 2/1/2021 9229322 24591 225099
Brasil 125 TERCA 2/2/2021 9283418 54096 226309
Brasil 126 QUARTA 2/3/2021 9339420 56002 227563
Brasil 127 quinta 2/4/2021 9396293 56873 228795
Brasil 128 SEXTA 2/5/2021 9447165 50872 230034
Brasil 129 SABADO 2/6/2021 9497795 50630 231012
Brasil 130 DOM 2/7/2021 9524640 26845 231534
Brasil 131 SEGUNDA 2/8/2021 9548079 23439 232170
Brasil 132 TERCA 2/9/2021 9599565 51486 233520
Brasil 133 QUARTA 2/10/2021 9659167 59602 234850
Brasil 134 quinta 2/11/2021 9713909 54742 236201
Brasil 135 SEXTA 2/12/2021 9765455 51546 237489
Brasil 136 SABADO 2/13/2021 9809754 44299 238532
Brasil 137 DOM 2/14/2021 9834513 24759 239245
Brasil 138 SEGUNDA 2/15/2021 9866710 32197 239773
Brasil 139 TERCA 2/16/2021 9921981 55271 240940
Brasil 140 QUARTA 2/17/2021 9978747 56766 242090
Brasil 141 quinta 2/18/2021 10030626 51879 243457
Brasil 142 SEXTA 2/19/2021 10081676 51050 244765
Brasil 143 SABADO 2/20/2021 10139148 57472 245977
Brasil 144 DOM 2/21/2021 10168174 29026 246504
Brasil 145 SEGUNDA 2/22/2021 10195160 26986 247143
Brasil 146 TERCA 2/23/2021 10257875 62715 248529
Brasil 147 QUARTA 2/24/2021 10324463 66588 249957
Brasil 148 quinta 2/25/2021 10390461 65998 251498
SEXTA
SABADO
DOM
SEGUNDA
TERCA
QUARTA
quinta
alpha 0
beta 0.008077682
gama 0.639160028
OBITOS NOVOS
obitosNovos Regression Seasonality level trend seasonality
1.365518423
325.1194153 1.14112585
5.406523357 1.020470269
0.504044663
0.556428213
1.19032827
1.306721228
728 330.5259387 2.202550284 325.1194153 5.406523357 1.923926226
708 335.932462 2.10756649 330.5259387 5.406523357 1.780870588
599 341.3389854 1.754853754 335.932462 5.406523357 1.507910477
365 346.7455088 1.052645213 341.3389854 5.406523357 0.865344932
323 352.1520321 0.917217481 346.7455088 5.406523357 0.796171197
819 357.5585555 2.290533921 352.1520321 5.406523357 1.916012531
734 362.9650788 2.022233109 357.5585555 5.406523357 1.783591745
729 368.3716022 1.97897991 362.9650788 5.406523357 1.977955352
682 373.7781255 1.824611858 368.3716022 5.406523357 1.825944644
559 379.1846489 1.474215799 373.7781255 5.406523357 1.500003527
290 384.5911723 0.754047469 379.1846489 5.406523357 0.801079924
201 389.9976956 0.515387661 384.5911723 5.406523357 0.621336452
309 395.404219 0.781478763 389.9976956 5.406523357 1.197788307
749 400.8107423 1.868712389 395.404219 5.406523357 1.854329063
713 406.2172657 1.755218353 400.8107423 5.406523357 1.850723572
754 411.623789 1.831769738 406.2172657 5.406523357 1.845250421
461 417.0303124 1.105435232 411.623789 5.406523357 1.257091513
230 422.4368358 0.544460096 417.0303124 5.406523357 0.641570341
271 427.8433591 0.633409387 422.4368358 5.406523357 0.634234429
661 433.2498825 1.525678429 427.8433591 5.406523357 1.419685267
566 438.6564058 1.290303738 433.2498825 5.406523357 1.50411818
497 444.0629292 1.119210741 438.6564058 5.406523357 1.391986694
571 449.4694525 1.270386668 444.0629292 5.406523357 1.487706454
432 454.8759759 0.949709422 449.4694525 5.406523357 1.06792677
231 460.2824993 0.501865703 454.8759759 5.406523357 0.556089329
263 465.6890226 0.564754562 460.2824993 5.406523357 0.594065647
549 471.095546 1.165368692 465.6890226 5.406523357 1.265783867
510 476.5020693 1.070299654 471.095546 5.406523357 1.234689703
513 481.9085927 1.06451723 476.5020693 5.406523357 1.190401272
508 487.315116 1.042446629 481.9085927 5.406523357 1.210589269
407 492.7216394 0.826024204 487.315116 5.406523357 0.919169796
190 498.1281627 0.381427942 492.7216394 5.406523357 0.447127843
179 503.5346861 0.355486931 498.1281627 5.406523357 0.444041765
243 508.9412095 0.477461828 503.5346861 5.406523357 0.765196632
610 514.3477328 1.185968093 508.9412095 5.406523357 1.211601341
630 519.7542562 1.212111286 514.3477328 5.406523357 1.212420987
302 525.1607795 0.575061984 519.7542562 5.406523357 0.808208984
231 530.5673029 0.43538303 525.1607795 5.406523357 0.612817516
128 535.9738262 0.238817632 530.5673029 5.406523357 0.315539724
231 541.3803496 0.426687079 535.9738262 5.406523357 0.435700363
201 546.786873 0.367602095 541.3803496 5.406523357 0.513416503
544 552.1933963 0.985162089 546.786873 5.406523357 1.07309654
908 557.5999197 1.628407695 552.1933963 5.406523357 1.48849366
456 563.006443 0.809937445 557.5999197 5.406523357 0.814333201
921 568.4129664 1.620300828 563.006443 5.406523357 1.266705697
140 573.8194897 0.243979165 568.4129664 5.406523357 0.271284332
216 579.2260131 0.372911429 573.8194897 5.406523357 0.397813919
685 584.6325365 1.171676151 579.2260131 5.406523357 0.94113992
756 590.0390598 1.281271108 584.6325365 5.406523357 1.213726713
606 595.4455832 1.017725242 590.0390598 5.406523357 1.193557733
552 600.8521065 0.91869529 595.4455832 5.406523357 0.886368871
376 606.2586299 0.620197357 600.8521065 5.406523357 0.857050301
194 611.6651532 0.317166997 606.2586299 5.406523357 0.302418528
302 617.0716766 0.4894083 611.6651532 5.406523357 0.459122323
630 622.4782 1.012083636 617.0716766 5.406523357 0.992152029
654 627.8847233 1.04159247 622.4782 5.406523357 1.109487696
691 633.2912467 1.09112514 627.8847233 5.406523357 1.134092043
514 638.69777 0.804762478 633.2912467 5.406523357 0.838600614
587 644.1042934 0.911343095 638.69777 5.406523357 0.896682848
272 649.5108167 0.418776705 644.1042934 5.406523357 0.37903677
287 654.9173401 0.438223242 649.5108167 5.406523357 0.448095973
697 660.3238634 1.055542649 654.9173401 5.406523357 1.038238289
698 665.7303868 1.048472496 660.3238634 5.406523357 1.075976127
755 671.1369102 1.124956754 665.7303868 5.406523357 1.13409249
694 676.5434335 1.025802581 671.1369102 5.406523357 0.963534409
664 681.9499569 0.973678484 676.5434335 5.406523357 0.950868714
313 687.3564802 0.455367788 681.9499569 5.406523357 0.430131983
376 692.7630036 0.542754157 687.3564802 5.406523357 0.511326357
842 698.1695269 1.206010815 692.7630036 5.406523357 1.151487593
836 703.5760503 1.188215545 698.1695269 5.406523357 1.153596224
770 708.9825737 1.086063365 703.5760503 5.406523357 1.108728424
672 714.389097 0.940663852 708.9825737 5.406523357 0.953501329
686 719.7956204 0.953048311 714.389097 5.406523357 0.956871898
279 725.2021437 0.384720319 719.7956204 5.406523357 0.402953649
433 730.6086671 0.592656534 725.2021437 5.406523357 0.5661334
964 736.0151904 1.309755576 730.6086671 5.406523357 1.258841045
936 741.4217138 1.262439422 736.0151904 5.406523357 1.229091671
1092 746.8282372 1.462183599 741.4217138 5.406523357 1.341457819
823 752.2347605 1.094073344 746.8282372 5.406523357 1.048411706
706 757.6412839 0.931839401 752.2347605 5.406523357 0.945152832
408 763.0478072 0.534697821 757.6412839 5.406523357 0.489598037
527 768.4543306 0.685792218 763.0478072 5.406523357 0.645720298
968 773.8608539 1.25087087 768.4543306 5.406523357 1.259371823
961 779.2673773 1.233209586 773.8608539 5.406523357 1.237230508
786 784.6739007 1.001690001 779.2673773 5.406523357 1.12873377
482 790.080424 0.610064476 784.6739007 5.406523357 0.770924348
307 795.4869474 0.385927137 790.080424 5.406523357 0.589406079
344 800.8934707 0.429520295 795.4869474 5.406523357 0.453064603
431 806.2999941 0.534540498 800.8934707 5.406523357 0.576965008
1111 811.7065174 1.3687213 806.2999941 5.406523357 1.335129692
1194 817.1130408 1.46124213 811.7065174 5.406523357 1.386630648
1074 822.5195641 1.305744017 817.1130408 5.406523357 1.247393736
646 827.9260875 0.780262888 822.5195641 5.406523357 0.780171271
314 833.3326109 0.376800327 827.9260875 5.406523357 0.455089686
293 838.7391342 0.349333885 833.3326109 5.406523357 0.388212679
543 844.1456576 0.643253916 838.7391342 5.406523357 0.621984456
1171 849.5521809 1.378373249 844.1456576 5.406523357 1.368411818
1242 854.9587043 1.452701743 849.5521809 5.406523357 1.434769653
1524 860.3652276 1.771340764 854.9587043 5.406523357 1.589439266
962 865.771751 1.111147365 860.3652276 5.406523357 0.996180854
1171 871.1782744 1.344156569 865.771751 5.406523357 1.028710754
469 876.5847977 0.535030953 871.1782744 5.406523357 0.484175316
480 881.9913211 0.544223042 876.5847977 5.406523357 0.574427881
1110 887.3978444 1.250848204 881.9913211 5.406523357 1.298170666
1274 892.8043678 1.426964345 887.3978444 5.406523357 1.435337582
1131 898.2108911 1.259169769 892.8043678 5.406523357 1.38321787
1151 903.6174145 1.273769166 898.2108911 5.406523357 1.178504704
1050 909.0239379 1.155085093 903.6174145 5.406523357 1.113901482
551 914.4304612 0.602560854 909.0239379 5.406523357 0.562133241
452 919.8369846 0.491391418 914.4304612 5.406523357 0.523211261
1192 925.2435079 1.288309499 919.8369846 5.406523357 1.296707709
1340 930.6500313 1.439853817 925.2435079 5.406523357 1.443601798
1316 936.0565546 1.405897959 930.6500313 5.406523357 1.402934372
1096 941.463078 1.164145494 936.0565546 5.406523357 1.173624539
1202 946.8696014 1.269446182 941.463078 5.406523357 1.21797893
592 952.2761247 0.621668426 946.8696014 5.406523357 0.602454553
627 957.6826481 0.654705399 952.2761247 5.406523357 0.609632862
1214 963.0891714 1.2605271 957.6826481 5.406523357 1.278130906
1283 968.4956948 1.324734851 963.0891714 5.406523357 1.372380041
1386 973.9022181 1.423140819 968.4956948 5.406523357 1.420927352
1119 979.3087415 1.142642716 973.9022181 5.406523357 1.15787656
1279 984.7152648 1.298852618 979.3087415 5.406523357 1.27425335
559 990.1217882 0.564577011 984.7152648 5.406523357 0.580225996
595 995.5283116 0.597672606 990.1217882 5.406523357 0.604074287
1210 1000.934835 1.208869906 995.5283116 5.406523357 1.238058219
1254 1006.341358 1.246098046 1000.934835 5.406523357 1.295967674
1232 1011.747882 1.217694667 1006.341358 5.406523357 1.295210534
1239 1017.154405 1.218104148 1011.747882 5.406523357 1.200532072
978 1022.560928 0.956422227 1017.154405 5.406523357 1.074357705
522 1027.967452 0.507798179 1022.560928 5.406523357 0.535649079
636 1033.373975 0.615459665 1027.967452 5.406523357 0.613420305
1350 1038.780498 1.299600832 1033.373975 5.406523357 1.281739701
1330 1044.187022 1.273718187 1038.780498 5.406523357 1.285983875
1351 1049.593545 1.287164928 1044.187022 5.406523357 1.294327849
1288 1055.000068 1.220853001 1049.593545 5.406523357 1.217539878
1043 1060.406592 0.983584983 1055.000068 5.406523357 1.019561125
713 1065.813115 0.668972815 1060.406592 5.406523357 0.623044318
528 1071.219639 0.492896117 1065.813115 5.406523357 0.537984155
1167 1076.626162 1.083941707 1071.219639 5.406523357 1.158811804
1150 1082.032685 1.062814475 1076.626162 5.406523357 1.146754217
1367 1087.439209 1.257081765 1082.032685 5.406523357 1.27453632
1308 1092.845732 1.196875242 1087.439209 5.406523357 1.208135265
1212 1098.252255 1.103571601 1092.845732 5.406523357 1.076746813
527 1103.658779 0.477502658 1098.252255 5.406523357 0.531522361
639 1109.065302 0.576160844 1103.658779 5.406523357 0.564189168
1386 1114.471825 1.243638438 1109.065302 5.406523357 1.216904535
1428 1119.878349 1.275138502 1114.471825 5.406523357 1.232766132
1541 1125.284872 1.369431011 1119.878349 5.406523357 1.339414897
1125.284872 5.406523357 1.14112585
1130.691395 5.406523357 1.020470269
1136.097919 5.406523357 0.504044663
1141.504442 5.406523357 0.556428213
1146.910966 5.406523357 1.19032827
1152.317489 5.406523357 1.306721228
1157.724012 5.406523357 1.365518423
OS
forecast
CASOS NOVOS
REGRESSIONSeasonality Level Trend Seasonality
1.24
19698.3508 1.13
242.8183459 1.06
0.54
0.56
1.15
1.28
19941.17 1.81 19698.35 242.82 1.24
20183.99 1.66 22523.16 242.82 1.13
20426.81 1.29 23282.94 242.82 1.06
20669.62 0.41 21447.29 242.82 0.54
20912.44 0.57 21565.38 242.82 0.56
21155.26 1.98 25680.47 242.82 1.15
21398.08 1.47 25567.60 242.82 1.28
21640.90 1.28 24885.25 242.82 1.24
21883.72 1.25 24931.55 242.82 1.13
22126.53 1.21 25163.51 242.82 1.06
22369.35 0.55 24734.48 242.82 0.54
22612.17 0.37 22331.24 242.82 0.56
22854.99 0.45 18955.13 242.82 1.15
23097.81 1.18 19731.31 242.82 1.28
23340.63 1.22 20756.76 242.82 1.24
23583.44 1.31 22710.23 242.82 1.13
23826.26 1.01 22861.96 242.82 1.06
24069.08 0.46 22375.25 242.82 0.54
24311.90 0.63 23862.38 242.82 0.56
24554.72 0.95 23073.32 242.82 1.15
24797.54 1.00 22262.53 242.82 1.28
25040.35 0.99 21839.30 242.82 1.24
25283.17 1.19 23297.83 242.82 1.13
25525.99 1.06 24018.98 242.82 1.06
25768.81 0.52 24456.56 242.82 0.54
26011.63 0.60 25554.39 242.82 0.56
26254.45 1.13 25826.86 242.82 1.15
26497.26 1.08 25072.94 242.82 1.28
26740.08 0.98 24171.84 242.82 1.24
26982.90 0.83 23193.86 242.82 1.13
27225.72 0.70 21946.70 242.82 1.06
27468.54 0.37 21269.90 242.82 0.54
27711.36 0.31 19816.71 242.82 0.56
27954.17 0.42 17478.91 242.82 1.15
28196.99 0.85 17974.14 242.82 1.28
28439.81 0.78 18139.80 242.82 1.24
28682.63 0.75 18556.34 242.82 1.13
28925.45 0.69 18751.04 242.82 1.06
29168.27 0.36 19141.78 242.82 0.54
29411.08 0.37 19386.23 242.82 0.56
29653.90 0.84 20191.51 242.82 1.15
29896.72 1.62 24986.45 242.82 1.28
30139.54 1.10 25618.12 242.82 1.24
30382.36 0.96 25852.68 242.82 1.13
30625.18 1.25 28712.98 242.82 1.06
30867.99 0.46 28223.27 242.82 0.54
31110.81 0.43 27218.78 242.82 0.56
31353.63 1.13 28317.85 242.82 1.15
31596.45 1.08 28030.34 242.82 1.28
31839.27 1.13 28433.49 242.82 1.24
32082.09 1.20 30115.14 242.82 1.13
32324.90 1.01 30435.60 242.82 1.06
32567.72 0.57 31685.80 242.82 0.54
32810.54 0.49 31097.77 242.82 0.56
33053.36 0.94 30206.29 242.82 1.15
33296.18 1.44 32263.58 242.82 1.28
33539.00 1.12 31907.85 242.82 1.24
33781.81 1.01 31668.05 242.82 1.13
34024.63 1.53 36373.51 242.82 1.06
34267.45 0.71 38921.08 242.82 0.54
34510.27 0.61 38735.85 242.82 0.56
34753.09 1.46 40381.07 242.82 1.15
34995.91 1.42 40152.38 242.82 1.28
35238.72 1.43 40436.35 242.82 1.24
35481.54 1.32 40938.05 242.82 1.13
35724.36 1.21 41027.01 242.82 1.06
35967.18 0.73 43272.40 242.82 0.54
36210.00 0.56 41576.17 242.82 0.56
36452.82 1.40 42511.42 242.82 1.15
36695.64 1.46 42458.88 242.82 1.28
36938.45 1.44 42752.29 242.82 1.24
37181.27 1.46 44414.19 242.82 1.13
37424.09 1.17 43755.57 242.82 1.06
37666.91 0.58 43055.98 242.82 0.54
37909.73 0.66 43681.99 242.82 0.56
38152.55 1.12 42174.36 242.82 1.15
38395.36 1.84 45737.84 242.82 1.28
38638.18 1.81 48668.06 242.82 1.24
38881.00 1.35 48322.81 242.82 1.13
39123.82 1.28 48190.25 242.82 1.06
39366.64 0.65 48091.52 242.82 0.54
39609.46 0.63 47304.12 242.82 0.56
39852.27 1.39 47670.93 242.82 1.15
40095.09 1.16 44862.01 242.82 1.28
40337.91 1.49 45950.69 242.82 1.24
40580.73 0.57 39374.15 242.82 1.13
40823.55 0.42 33425.38 242.82 1.06
41066.37 0.45 33818.29 242.82 0.54
41309.18 0.50 34705.38 242.82 0.56
41552.00 1.41 39212.76 242.82 1.15
41794.82 1.33 40484.93 242.82 1.28
42037.64 1.35 42028.83 242.82 1.24
42280.46 0.89 39963.11 242.82 1.13
42523.28 0.37 33505.99 242.82 1.06
42766.09 0.41 33320.02 242.82 0.54
43008.91 0.47 34084.29 242.82 0.56
43251.73 1.31 38279.76 242.82 1.15
43494.55 1.46 41401.54 242.82 1.28
43737.37 2.01 49309.49 242.82 1.24
43980.19 1.18 48675.01 242.82 1.13
44223.00 1.41 51459.16 242.82 1.06
44465.82 0.67 52625.76 242.82 0.54
44708.64 0.58 51016.45 242.82 0.56
44951.46 1.42 52431.05 242.82 1.15
45194.28 1.35 51289.08 242.82 1.28
45437.10 1.49 52311.53 242.82 1.24
45679.91 1.51 54916.06 242.82 1.13
45922.73 1.34 55870.08 242.82 1.06
46165.55 0.72 57461.55 242.82 0.54
46408.37 0.51 53563.02 242.82 0.56
46651.19 1.33 53859.99 242.82 1.15
46894.01 1.37 53058.23 242.82 1.28
47136.82 1.25 51775.90 242.82 1.24
47379.64 1.19 51550.56 242.82 1.13
47622.46 1.31 53585.18 242.82 1.06
47865.28 0.59 53469.81 242.82 0.54
48108.10 0.56 52104.20 242.82 0.56
48350.92 1.28 52756.82 242.82 1.15
48593.73 1.31 52068.61 242.82 1.28
48836.55 1.27 51620.39 242.82 1.24
49079.37 1.22 52205.50 242.82 1.13
49322.19 1.19 53104.80 242.82 1.06
49565.01 0.56 52838.67 242.82 0.54
49807.83 0.49 50594.83 242.82 0.56
50050.64 1.08 49836.98 242.82 1.15
50293.46 1.11 48372.25 242.82 1.28
50536.28 1.13 47851.58 242.82 1.24
50779.10 1.00 47329.37 242.82 1.13
51021.92 0.99 47572.09 242.82 1.06
51264.74 0.52 48322.76 242.82 0.54
51507.55 0.46 46732.05 242.82 0.56
51750.37 0.99 46395.36 242.82 1.15
51993.19 1.15 46582.37 242.82 1.28
52236.01 1.05 46081.92 242.82 1.24
52478.83 0.98 46186.09 242.82 1.13
52721.65 0.84 45158.02 242.82 1.06
52964.46 0.47 45525.07 242.82 0.54
53207.28 0.61 48788.06 242.82 0.56
53450.10 1.03 48778.31 242.82 1.15
53692.92 1.06 47750.93 242.82 1.28
53935.74 0.96 46332.68 242.82 1.24
54178.56 0.94 46253.98 242.82 1.13
54421.37 1.06 48481.20 242.82 1.06
54664.19 0.53 50060.03 242.82 0.54
54907.01 0.49 49676.00 242.82 0.56
55149.83 1.14 51143.76 242.82 1.15
55392.65 1.20 51514.13 242.82 1.28
55635.47 1.19 52102.83 242.82 1.24
38502.61 242.82 0.16
28499.03 242.82 0.14
21140.93 242.82 0.07
15728.72 242.82 0.07
11747.80 242.82 0.15
8819.64 242.82 0.16
6665.85 242.82 0.16
Forecast alpha
beta
gama
MAD MAPE
120741757.052226 -33%
4328460.52281047 -8%
17996309.9075318 50%
70505.3835017214 2%
283380640.684271 -40%
2981347.20789751 5%
18931284.8573475 16%
699453.752351591 3%
1911.93849112288 0%
1880343.86171363 11%
31733130.4024675 67%
247513674.92809 154%
6703737.42756255 -10%
13547670.8564595 -13%
52999384.8062725 -24%
134398.378018695 2%
2217051.0150878 14%
7017353.94448602 -17%
20122960.4871182 19%
26159907.4921777 21%
9812081.86764346 13%
26767483.3990104 -17%
3705730.98218362 -7%
158016.372987815 -3%
3313320.90347874 -12%
16613.7062640612 0%
23411977.8222582 17%
28942152.7964513 21%
26992471.2953203 23%
35955842.5128203 32%
3522990.21816989 19%
13036880.2029776 42%
125859294.815781 95%
1501330.45659121 -5%
131659.976838746 2%
546592.830937482 -3%
37512.7134475205 1%
91157.3703160887 -3%
12.0430113823285 0%
5979009.15893383 -10%
488318097.732724 -46%
3344422.16508406 -6%
1234.78551299162 0%
110963621.740205 -27%
2235359.5861102 11%
7051180.99832662 20%
13856316.3624915 -11%
6627901.51368208 8%
568549.12813176 -2%
37495019.8205665 -16%
97627.0176928501 -1%
4227511.34939192 -11%
3128695.97603326 11%
24315967.6229112 16%
77584445.5090509 -18%
7923970.44882126 7%
4218487.83979548 6%
322551517.971166 -35%
22128176.9495777 -19%
830424.18492315 4%
37169113.3491949 -12%
5239173.5156522 5%
37466.4389157138 0%
1213780.92489851 -2%
383423.2602474 1%
16706021.8337282 -16%
17040927.4551141 20%
9061579.87192019 -6%
2055833.46224232 3%
56601.8134088741 0%
36472608.0826341 -11%
13161077.1128757 8%
3699702.74265072 9%
665490.119847208 -3%
57908207.5343283 18%
259851201.901738 -23%
159739210.516619 -18%
6263197.52500482 5%
2282251.3030115 3%
485969.771080968 3%
4810253.09206899 9%
290546.828914715 -1%
219468302.530429 32%
15825179.0768361 -7%
842240633.870535 126%
620895448.479315 144%
93841.1334774921 -2%
1881282.50867365 -7%
343707089.255915 -32%
24969264.7150653 -9%
37441620.5624139 -11%
96521493.0364712 26%
727035565.507273 170%
765934.631024599 5%
1232374.62231312 -6%
295268644.414387 -30%
195319732.046427 -22%
1299526980.91841 -41%
13939307.4605002 7%
104600653.008431 -16%
3554988.73158586 -6%
15547313.9110834 15%
25949782.3171465 -8%
45190512.9577861 11%
13443886.874967 -5%
101019136.904265 -15%
8192127.84081001 -5%
7577022.86569021 -8%
77731722.6765493 37%
55410.6850596472 0%
25713204.5009871 8%
51448298.4136873 12%
3969458.69568512 4%
51999146.1029209 -12%
534466.25599272 3%
11725214.9467899 13%
3173928.80572145 -3%
20426806.9916066 7%
10562096.751631 5%
2121864.54031178 -2%
6980194.93741647 -5%
1079067.05487191 4%
28025114.0708643 22%
18924050.0585586 8%
68710596.8095724 15%
12893006.8690699 6%
10599776.5041176 6%
0.165059440014427 0%
1074417.52130283 -4%
15236690.9298936 17%
6346803.0105426 5%
73398.0394506705 0%
12219025.0922766 6%
348191.493677593 1%
26159372.3441477 12%
64289.5321174291 -1%
41340809.5914091 -20%
1205613.69471261 2%
38020581.2222438 11%
61026248.9880367 15%
1872234.44981104 3%
63778019.0317682 -14%
7435673.6654214 -9%
1780902.85397406 5%
28357313.8905095 -8%
383423.169330417 -1%
2646106.70566281 -2%
59307865.61 7701.16 5%