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Energy Reports

The Probabilistic Linguistic Decision Framework Of Distributed Energy Storage System


Project Plan Based On The Sustainability Perspective
--Manuscript Draft--

Manuscript Number: EGYR-D-22-02557R2

Article Type: Research Paper

Keywords: Distributed Energy Storage System (DESS); project plan decision; probabilistic
linguistic term set (PLTS); fuzzy measure; Choquet integral; VIKOR model

Abstract: The feasibility of the distributed energy storage system (DESS) project should be
examined from the perspective of sustainable development. The problems
encountered are as follows: first, there is lack of the decision index system of DESS
from sustainability perspective; second, it is difficult to deal with the uncertainty of
qualitative data effectively by the common decision models; third, the common
decision-making model is difficult to deal with the correlation between criteria
effectively; forth, the common decision model is difficult to balance the overall utility
and local disadvantage. Therefore, to solve the above problems, firstly, the decision
index system of DESS project plan is constructed from three attributes (environmental
sustainability, business model sustainability and social sustainability) , 7 criteria and 21
sub-criteria. Secondly, the probabilistic linguistic term set (PLTS) is taken as the
expression of decision information, it can deal with uncertainty effectively, and it is
convenient for experts to express their own preferences. Thirdly, the fuzzy measure is
used to replace the weight to reflect the importance of criteria, and the Choquet integral
is used to aggregate the decision information and fuzzy measure, so as to solve the
problem that the independence assumption of criteria is difficult to meet in reality.
Fourthly, the basic principle of VIKOR decision model is used to ensure the decision
result can reflect the overall utility and local disadvantages of the plan of DESS. The
decision-making framework of DESS plan is constituted by the above contents, and the
effectiveness is proved by a case study.

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Response to Reviewers

Dear editor:
Thank you for your useful comments and suggestions on the language and the structure of our
manuscript. We have modified the manuscript accordingly, and the detailed corrections are listed
below point by point:

Reviewer #1: Comments:


1. The abstract should contain at least one sentence per each of the following aspects: context and
background, motivation, hypothesis, methods, results, and, conclusion. The present one needs to
be revised to briefly include the results and the conclusions of the study. Also, please be concise in
mentioning the other aspects of the Abstract, so that it reflects a balanced overview of the entire
study.
Answer: Thank you for your suggestion, the abstract of this paper is rewritten according to your
suggestion.
Countries throughout the world are aggressively encouraging the development of renewable energy.
Renewable energy power generation presents distributed characteristics, which increases the difficulty
of power coordination and optimization. Compared to the thermal power stations, distributed energy
storage system (DESS) can help reduce the aforementioned difficulty without environmental pollution
and energy consumption, it has good social and environmental benefits. However, due to the high
operating cost of DESS, its investment is cold. Therefore, the investment decision-making of DESS
must be considered from the perspective of sustainability, but there is still a blank in this aspect. This
problem belongs to the typical research category of decision theory, it can be solved by constructing a
decision framework composed of decision index system and decision-making model. So the decision
index system of DESS project plan was established based on the sustainability theory and the real
DESS operational scenario; for the decision model, the probabilistic linguistic term set (PLTS) is taken
as the expression of decision data of DESS, the fuzzy measure and VIKOR were used to reflect the
importance of criteria and integrate the decision data respectively. the decision framework proposed in
this paper has the following advantages: the proposed decision index system content 3 attributes, 7
criteria and 21 sub-criteria, can provide scientific guidance for DESS project plan decision; second, it
can not only deal with uncertainty effectively but also is convenient for experts to express their own
preferences; third, it can solve the problem that the independence assumption of criteria is difficult to
meet in reality; forth, it reflect the overall utility and local disadvantages of the plan of DESS at the
same time. Through comparative analysis and sensitivity analysis, the proposed decision framework
can provide more scientific decision-making results of DESS project plan for energy enterprises, and
the results have better robustness.

2. A typical Introduction section should first communicate to the reader some background of
the problem and the motivation of the study, followed by a concise description of the existing
recent works sufficient to lead to the observation of the research gaps, and finally the
contributions of the current study in filling those gaps. In the current form of the article,
these contents are present, however in a scattered manner, everywhere through the first two
sections, sometimes repeated over and over in lack of a proper structure. The reviewer
suggests merging and restructuring the current Section 1 (Introduction) and Section 2
(Literature reviews) within the Introduction section following the above-mentioned structure.
You can consider dividing this newly formed section in four subsections: Background,
Literature review, observations, and contributions. Some information, redundant to
recognize research gaps or, the contributions such as the concept of fuzzy measure can be
added to the Appendix section.
Answer: Thank you for your suggestion, the introduction of this paper is rewritten according to
your suggestion.
With the global energy crisis and environmental pollution growing increasingly serious, countries
throughout the world are aggressively encouraging the transition of energy system to safer, more
sustainable and lower carbon [1, 2]. Promoting the large-scale development and utilization of
renewable energy on the energy supply side and promoting wider re-electrification on the energy
consumption side have become two important directions for realizing energy transformation.
Power system transformation is the main support to realize energy transformation [3]. Currently,
the primary power supply of the power system is focus on large power stations, thus using the
focused management mode, the large power grid realizes the optimization operation of the power
grid through the integration and majorization of all network resources. With the construction of an
integrated energy system, particularly the large-scale distributed power network generation,
equipment and the development of Internet of Things technology, power generation takes on a
distributed nature, thereby increasing the difficulty of power coordination and optimization.
Distributed energy storage system (DESS) reduces the difficulty of power coordination and
optimization by playing a role in the process of renewable energy conversion.
DESS's primary job is to manage peak and frequency, stabilize the volatility of new energy, and
reduce the speed of abandoned wind and light energy.[4-6].In addition to the functions mentioned
above, however, DESS are not more cost-effective than thermal power stations in other functions.
Therefore, at this stage, DESS can only rely on government subsidies to operate, the main role is
to lead the demonstration, and its economic benefit is small [7]. In this case, it is inappropriate to
choose projects with the goal of maximizing profits. The purpose of DESS construction is to
improve the proportion of new energy in energy consumption and energy efficiency, and realize
the sustainability of energy development [8]. At the present, the energy storage market has just
started, for energy enterprises, in the short term, the purpose of the construction of DESS is to
respond to national policies, improve the social value and reputation of enterprises, and
accumulate experience in the construction and operation of DESS; With the rapid advancement of
battery technology, battery costs will decrease and DESS will have greater profit potential in the
future [9, 10]. How to select the best of DESS project plan from the perspective of sustainability is
a problem worth studying, but it is still a blank. This problem belongs to the typical research
category of decision theory, so it can be solved by constructing a decision framework composed of
decision index system and decision-making model, according to the real DESS operational
scenario.
1.1 A concise review of decision index system of DESS project plan
For the decision index system, the existing renewable energy power stations aim to maximize
profits when developing their decision-making index system, based primarily on financial
analysis[11], project quality and operation and maintenance [12], construction environment[13] ,
social impact[14] , economic impact[15] etc. Therefore, how to construct the DESS project plan's
decision index system from a sustainability perspective must be investigated.
1.2 A concise review of MCDM model of DESS project plan
There are three primary parts of the decision model: the expression of decision data, the weight
setting method, and the data aggregation method.
1.2.1 the expression way of decision information
Sustainability evaluation is mostly from three aspects of environment, economy and society[16].
Due to the uniqueness of the project, it is hard to decide the decision-making value and parameters
using historical data; therefore, only qualitative evaluation can be used, and the majority of the
evaluation criteria are qualitative [16]. However, because the experience and knowledge of experts
can not completely cover the things to be evaluated, so there must be uncertainty in the evaluation
value given by experts[17]. In order to address the uncertainty of decision-making information,
researchers frequently employ complex mathematical expressions, such as intuitionistic fuzzy set
(IFS) [18] and interval Pythagorean fuzzy set (IVPFS) [19], whose definitions can be found in
Table B1 in Appendix B, is regarded as the most advantageous instrument for addressing
uncertainty in light of the efficiency with which it handles uncertain information.

However, there are two problems in expressing decision preference by numeric form:①the more

complex the mathematical statement, the greater the capacity to handle with uncertainty, but this
way increases the difficulty for experts to express their decision preference, and on the contrary,

increases the uncertainty[20];②, it is easy to give different scores for the same linguistic

evaluation term. For example, both expert A and expert B think the plan is very good, but the
expert A gives 10 and B gives 8. This is because that the expert's knowledge background is
difficult to completely cover all the contents of DESS project plan, so the evaluation criteria of
each expert are different[21].
So, the linguistic terms, such as 2-tuple linguistic terms[22], were added to the MCDM model.
The definitions of linguistic term are listed in Table B1 in Appendix B. linguistic terms are more
congruent with the expressing habit of expert choice preference, so reducing the hesitance of
experts in decision-making and subsequently reducing the uncertainty in decision-making. But
they are not as effective as fuzzy mathematics in addressing uncertainty[23]. The optimal
qualitative decision data expression way should take into account the capacity to deal with
uncertainty and the ease of expressing decision preference. Hence according to the definition of

probabilistic linguistic term set (PLTS) [24], which can be seen in Table B1 in Appendix B,it is

the best expression way for the DESS project plan decision. Because the linguistic terms help
experts accurately express their decision preferences, and the probability of each linguistic term
helps to handle the uncertainty without information loss due to the aggregation of decision
information.
1.2.2 the weight setting method
According to the relevant research on sustainability evaluation [25-27], for the criteria belonging
to the same attributes, the correlation is inevitable. However, the most frequently utilized weight
setting method, such as the AHP weight setting method and entropy weight setting method, whose
underlying assumption is that the criteria are independent of each other[28]. This assumption is
contrary to the sustainability evaluation scenario, which lead to the decision errors. For this reason,
researchers proposed fuzzy measure to replace the weight to convey the importance degree of
criteria. The concept of fuzzy measure can be seen in definition A1 in Appendix A. In fuzzy
measures, the additivity property is substituted by monotonicity, hence it is not necessary to
assume that the criteria are independent of one another[29]. So far, fuzzy measures have been
utilized in decision-making research. Due to the monotony of the fuzzy measure, the Choquet
integral is used to aggregate the decision data in the fuzzy measure environment. When the criteria
are independent of each other, the Choquet integral is equal to the weighted average approach[30].
The definition of Choquet integral can be seen in definition A2 in Appendix A. In this study, we
will therefore use fuzzy measures to represent the importance degrees of sustainability criteria of
DESS project plan.
1.2.3 the data aggregation method
The comprehensive score of the project is essential for the project's long-term viability; however,
due to national policy, enterprise strategy, and other factors, it is also necessary to consider
policymakers' tolerance for local disadvantages. For the data aggregation method, there are
Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) [31], Decision
Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) [32], Analytic Network Process (ANP)[32],
Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) [33]. AHP and TOPSIS are the most frequently used of these
methods. The preceding model can only provide the global benefit without considering the local
disadvantages. Unfortunately, the local shortcomings of the DESS project plan are often magnified
by the media, causing excessive public attention, which makes it difficult to implement the project.
For this reason, the DESS project plan decision-making from sustainability perspective must
consider the local disadvantages, fortunately, the VIKOR model provides a solution to this issue. It
was initially proposed by Opricovic to rank Alternatives based on their proximity to the ideal[34].
It content three parameter individual regret measure, group utility measure and compromise
measure, the compromise measure is obtained by synthesizing group utility measure and
individual regret measure, which is the balance solution between group utility measure and
individual regret measure. Individual regret measure can be deemed as the effect of local
disadvantages on the DESS project plan, and group utility measure can be viewed as the overall
benefit of the DESS project plan. On the basis of the fundamental concept of VIKOR, it is
possible to simultaneously evaluate the overall benefit and local disadvantages of the DESS
project plan to get more rational decision result.
1.3 Motivations and innovations of the article
The motivation of this paper is to establish the scientific plan decision framework for DESS from
the sustainability perspective, in order to realize the scientific investment of DESS, promote the
scientific and orderly development of DESS, and thus provide strong support for the development
of renewable energy. In what follows, we sum up primary innovations with four aspects:
 The paper constructed the decision index system of DESS project plan from the
perspective of sustainability to provide scientific guidance for DESS project plan decision;
 Using PLTS as the representation of decision data of DESS, it can effectively manage
uncertainty and make it simple for DESS experts to deliver their view;
 The fuzzy measure is substituted for the weight to avoid the independence assumption
of decision model, so that the model is more in line with the actual situation of DESS
decision;
 The VIKOR principle is used to ensure the result can simultaneous consideration of the
overall benefit and local disadvantages of the DESS project plan.

3. Please restructure the entire manuscript considering 5 main sections: Introduction,


Method, Case Study, Discussion, and Conclusion. Accommodate every other section within
these mentioned sections according to relevancy.
Answer: Thank you for your suggestion, I had restructured this paper according to your
suggestion.
1) Introduction
2) Decision index system of distributed energy storage system from sustainability
perspective
3) Decision model of distributed energy storage system plan
4) Case Study,
5) Discussion
6) Conclusion.

4. A proofreading is suggested to take out the few typos and grammatical errors still present here
and there in the manuscript.
Answer: Thank you for your suggestion, we had corrected this mistake.

5. Please ensure every figure and table included in the manuscript is cited within the text.
Answer: Thank you for your suggestion, we had corrected this mistake.

Reviewer #2: Dear authors, I read your article entitled "The Probabilistic Linguistic
Decision Framework Of Distributed Energy Storage System Project Plan Based On The
Sustainability Perspective" and here are my comments:

1- The article is a little bit messy and confusing. You should reorganize the article to increase
its readability.
Answer: Thank you for your suggestion, we had corrected this mistake.

2- The article is unnecessarily so lengthy and some parts of it can be omitted or moved to an
appendix.
Answer: Thank you for your suggestion, we had moved the definitions to the appendix.
Appendix A
Definition A1. Let X = (x1 , x2 , . . . , xn ) be a finite universe of discourse, and P(X) be its power set.
A fuzzy measure for X is the set function m:P(X) → [0,1] that satisfies the following conditions:
 𝑚(𝜙) = 0, 𝑚(𝑋) = 1 (boundary conditions)
 If 𝐴, 𝐵 ∈ 𝑃(𝑋) and𝐴 ⊆ 𝐵 then𝑚(𝐴) ≤ 𝑚(𝐵) (monotonicity)
Definition A2. X = (x1 , x2 , ⋯ , xn ) is the non-empty classical set, let f be a positive real-valued
function on X, f: X → R+ and μ be a fuzzy measure on X. The (discrete) Choquet integral of f with
respective to μ is defined by
Cμ (f) = ∑ni=1 f(i) [μ(A(i) ) − μ(A(i+1) )] (1)
Where (•) indicates a permutation on X such that f(x(1) ) ≤ f(x(2) ) ≤ ⋯ ≤ f(x(n) ). Also A(i) =
{x(1) , x(2) , ⋯ , x(n) }, A(n+1) = ϕ.
Appendix B
Table B1 The generally used internal representations of decision information
Data type Definition Ability to expression References
handle convenience
uncertainty
2-tuple A linguistic 2-tuple comprises of a linguistic value and a crisp middle easy [22]
Linguistic number, it is normally expressed as (s_a,μ). Suppose there is a
term predefined linguistic term set S={s_a |a=0,1,…,g} whose
granularity is defined as g+1, s_a is a component of this linguistic
term set and indicates a linguistic term center of the decision
information. μ represents the value of symbolic translation, which
indicates the deviation of an aggregation result φ from the closest
linguistic label a=round(φ), The value range of μ is [−0.5,0.5).

probabilistic Suppose there is a linguistic term set 𝑆 = strong easy [24]


linguistic {𝑠𝛼 |𝛼 = −𝜏, … , −1,0,1, … , 𝜏}, then a probabilistic linguistic term
term set set can be defined as
𝐿(𝑝)
|𝐿(𝑝)|
= {𝑠 (𝑙) (𝑝 (𝑙) )|𝑠 (𝑙) ∈ 𝑆2 , 𝑝(𝑙) > 0, 𝑙 = 1,2, … , |𝐿(𝑝)|, ∑𝑙=1 𝑝(𝑙) ≤ 1}
where 𝑠 (𝑙) (𝑝(𝑙) ) is the l-th element in the probabilistic linguistic
term set and it comprises of a linguistic term and its probability.
The term 𝐿(𝑝) denotes the number of elements in the probabilistic
linguistic term set.
Intuitionistic Suppose that 𝑋 = {𝑥1 , 𝑥2 , … , 𝑥𝑛 } is a finite universal set. An strong difficult [18]
fuzzy set intuitionistic fuzzy number 𝐷 which is in the X has the following
form: 𝐷 = {〈𝑥, 𝜇𝐷 (𝑥), 𝜐𝐷 (𝑥)〉|𝑥 ∈ 𝑋}.
Usually denoted by 𝐷 = 〈𝜇𝐷 (𝑥), 𝜐𝐷 (𝑥)〉 , where 𝜐𝐷 (𝑥), 𝜇𝐷 (𝑥): →
[0,1] are non-membership function and membership function
respectively. At the same time, it should be noted that 0 ≤ 𝜇𝐷 (𝑥) +
𝜐𝐷 (𝑥) ≤ 1.
interval- Suppose that 𝑋 = {𝑥1 , 𝑥2 , … , 𝑥𝑛 } is a finite universal set. The Very Very [19]
valued interval-valued Pythagorean fuzzy set (IVPFS) can be defined as strong difficult
Pythagorean follows:
fuzzy set P  { x,  ( x), v ( x), x  X }
Where v ( x)  [v L ( x), vU ( x)] and  ( x)  [  L ( x),  U ( x)]
respectively denote the non-membership degree and membership
degree of the element x  X in set X . it should be noted that
(  U ( x)) 2  (vU ( x)) 2  1 .

3- Most parts of the article method are investigated in the previous relevant articles; what is
the contribution of the present article?
Answer: In this paper, different methods are combined in order to solve the problems encountered in
the decision-making of DESs project plans, so as to obtain scientific decision-making results.
we sum up primary innovations with four aspects:
 The paper constructed the decision index system of DESS project plan from the perspective
of sustainability to provide scientific guidance for DESS project plan decision;
 Using PLTS as the representation of decision data of DESS, it can effectively manage
uncertainty and make it simple for DESS experts to deliver their view;
 The fuzzy measure is substituted for the weight to avoid the independence assumption of
decision model, so that the model is more in line with the actual situation of DESS decision;
 The VIKOR principle is used to ensure the result can simultaneous consideration of the
overall benefit and local disadvantages of the DESS project plan.
4- To illustrate the novelty of the article it should be compared to other feature works in this
field
Answer: Thank you for your suggestion, we had corrected this mistake.
Now, the research on project investment decision is more concerned with how to maximize profits,
such as financial analysis[65-67] project quality and operation and maintenance cost [12] and economic
impact[15].
The motivation of this paper is to establish the scientific plan decision framework for DESS from
the sustainability perspective, in order to realize the scientific investment of DESS, promote the
scientific and orderly development of DESS, and thus provide strong support for the development of
renewable energy. In what follows, we sum up primary innovations with four aspects:
 The paper constructed the decision index system of DESS project plan from the perspective
of sustainability to provide scientific guidance for DESS project plan decision;
 Using PLTS as the representation of decision data of DESS, it can effectively manage
uncertainty and make it simple for DESS experts to deliver their view;
 The fuzzy measure is substituted for the weight to avoid the independence assumption of
decision model, so that the model is more in line with the actual situation of DESS decision;
 The VIKOR principle is used to ensure the result can simultaneous consideration of the
overall benefit and local disadvantages of the DESS project plan.
5- Please support the conclusion by data.
Answer: Thank you for your suggestion, we had corrected this mistake.
For the sake of address aforementioned issues, firstly, this paper develops the decision index
system of the DESS project plan from the perspective of sustainability. Secondly, the DESS project
plan decision model is established based on the principle of PLTS, fuzzy measure and the fundamental
principle of the VIKOR method. The characteristics of the proposed decision model are as follows: ①it
can effectively handle uncertainty and makes experts express their preferences easily by PLTS; ②the
decision model is more in line with reality, because the fuzzy measure is used in place of weight to
avoid the assumption of independence between criteria; ③ the decision model can ensure simultaneous
consideration of the overall utility and local disadvantage of alternative DESS project plans by the
fundamental principle of the VIKOR method. The above characteristics are verified by the comparative
analysis in Section 5.1.
Through sensitivity analysis, when increasing the fuzzy densities by 30 percent and decrease them
by 30 percent. In different sensitivity analysis scenarios, the value of the compromise measure of the
alternatives has changed, but the ranking has not changed, the decision result is robust. When
modifying the proportion of the individual regret measure and the group utility measure by adjusting
the coefficient 𝜂, when 𝜂 = 0, alternative 3 is optimal, and when 0 < 𝜂 ≤ 1, alternative 2 is optimal.
Therefore, in general, the decision model in this paper can provide decision results with better
robustness.
Revised manuscript (clean version)

1 The Probabilistic Linguistic Decision Framework Of Distributed Energy Storage

2 System Project Plan Based On The Sustainability Perspective

3 Abstract: Countries throughout the world are aggressively encouraging the development of

4 renewable energy. Renewable energy power generation presents distributed characteristics,

5 which increases the difficulty of power coordination and optimization. Compared to the

6 thermal power stations, distributed energy storage system (DESS) can help reduce the

7 aforementioned difficulty without environmental pollution and energy consumption, it has

8 good social and environmental benefits. However, due to the high operating cost of DESS, its

9 investment is cold. Therefore, the investment decision-making of DESS must be considered

10 from the perspective of sustainability, but there is still a blank in this aspect. This problem

11 belongs to the typical research category of decision theory, it can be solved by constructing a

12 decision framework composed of decision index system and decision-making model. So the

13 decision index system of DESS project plan was established based on the sustainability theory

14 and the real DESS operational scenario; for the decision model, the probabilistic linguistic term

15 set (PLTS) is taken as the expression of decision data of DESS, the fuzzy measure and VIKOR

16 were used to reflect the importance of criteria and integrate the decision data respectively. the

17 decision framework proposed in this paper has the following advantages: the proposed decision

18 index system content 3 attributes, 7 criteria and 21 sub-criteria, can provide scientific guidance

19 for DESS project plan decision; second, it can not only deal with uncertainty effectively but

20 also is convenient for experts to express their own preferences; third, it can solve the problem

21 that the independence assumption of criteria is difficult to meet in reality; forth, it reflect the

22 overall utility and local disadvantages of the plan of DESS at the same time. Through

23 comparative analysis and sensitivity analysis, the proposed decision framework can provide

24 more scientific decision-making results of DESS project plan for energy enterprises, and the

25 results have better robustness.


26 Keywords: Distributed Energy Storage System (DESS); project plan decision; probabilistic

27 linguistic term set (PLTS); fuzzy measure; VIKOR model

28 1. Introduction
29 With the global energy crisis and environmental pollution growing increasingly serious,

30 countries throughout the world are aggressively encouraging the transition of energy system to

31 safer, more sustainable and lower carbon [1, 2]. Promoting the large-scale development and

32 utilization of renewable energy on the energy supply side and promoting wider re-

33 electrification on the energy consumption side have become two important directions for

34 realizing energy transformation. Power system transformation is the main support to realize

35 energy transformation [3]. Currently, the primary power supply of the power system is focus

36 on large power stations, thus using the focused management mode, the large power grid realizes

37 the optimization operation of the power grid through the integration and majorization of all

38 network resources. With the construction of an integrated energy system, particularly the large-

39 scale distributed power network generation, equipment and the development of Internet of

40 Things technology, power generation takes on a distributed nature, thereby increasing the

41 difficulty of power coordination and optimization. Distributed energy storage system (DESS)

42 reduces the difficulty of power coordination and optimization by playing a role in the process

43 of renewable energy conversion.

44 DESS's primary job is to manage peak and frequency, stabilize the volatility of new energy,

45 and reduce the speed of abandoned wind and light energy.[4-6].In addition to the functions

46 mentioned above, however, DESS are not more cost-effective than thermal power stations in

47 other functions. Therefore, at this stage, DESS can only rely on government subsidies to

48 operate, the main role is to lead the demonstration, and its economic benefit is small [7]. In this

49 case, it is inappropriate to choose projects with the goal of maximizing profits. The purpose of

50 DESS construction is to improve the proportion of new energy in energy consumption and
51 energy efficiency, and realize the sustainability of energy development [8]. At the present, the

52 energy storage market has just started, for energy enterprises, in the short term, the purpose of

53 the construction of DESS is to respond to national policies, improve the social value and

54 reputation of enterprises, and accumulate experience in the construction and operation of DESS;

55 With the rapid advancement of battery technology, battery costs will decrease and DESS will

56 have greater profit potential in the future [9, 10]. How to select the best of DESS project plan

57 from the perspective of sustainability is a problem worth studying, but it is still a blank. This

58 problem belongs to the typical research category of decision theory, so it can be solved by

59 constructing a decision framework composed of decision index system and decision-making

60 model, according to the real DESS operational scenario.

61 1.1 A concise review of decision index system of DESS project plan


62 For the decision index system, the existing renewable energy power stations aim to

63 maximize profits when developing their decision-making index system, based primarily on

64 financial analysis[11], project quality and operation and maintenance [12], construction

65 environment[13] , social impact[14] , economic impact[15] etc. Therefore, how to construct

66 the DESS project plan's decision index system from a sustainability perspective must be

67 investigated.

68 1.2 A concise review of MCDM model of DESS project plan


69 There are three primary parts of the decision model: the expression of decision data, the

70 weight setting method, and the data aggregation method.

71 1.2.1 the expression way of decision information

72 Sustainability evaluation is mostly from three aspects of environment, economy and

73 society[16]. Due to the uniqueness of the project, it is hard to decide the decision-making value

74 and parameters using historical data; therefore, only qualitative evaluation can be used, and the

75 majority of the evaluation criteria are qualitative [16]. However, because the experience and
76 knowledge of experts can not completely cover the things to be evaluated, so there must be

77 uncertainty in the evaluation value given by experts[17]. In order to address the uncertainty of

78 decision-making information, researchers frequently employ complex mathematical

79 expressions, such as intuitionistic fuzzy set (IFS) [18] and interval Pythagorean fuzzy set

80 (IVPFS) [19], whose definitions can be found in Table B1 in Appendix B, is regarded as the

81 most advantageous instrument for addressing uncertainty in light of the efficiency with which

82 it handles uncertain information.

83 However, there are two problems in expressing decision preference by numeric form:①

84 the more complex the mathematical statement, the greater the capacity to handle with

85 uncertainty, but this way increases the difficulty for experts to express their decision preference,

86 and on the contrary, increases the uncertainty[20];②, it is easy to give different scores for the

87 same linguistic evaluation term. For example, both expert A and expert B think the plan is very

88 good, but the expert A gives 10 and B gives 8. This is because that the expert's knowledge

89 background is difficult to completely cover all the contents of DESS project plan, so the

90 evaluation criteria of each expert are different[21].

91 So, the linguistic terms, such as 2-tuple linguistic terms[22], were added to the MCDM

92 model. The definitions of linguistic term are listed in Table B1 in Appendix B. linguistic terms

93 are more congruent with the expressing habit of expert choice preference, so reducing the

94 hesitance of experts in decision-making and subsequently reducing the uncertainty in decision-

95 making. But they are not as effective as fuzzy mathematics in addressing uncertainty[23]. The

96 optimal qualitative decision data expression way should take into account the capacity to deal

97 with uncertainty and the ease of expressing decision preference. Hence according to the

98 definition of probabilistic linguistic term set (PLTS) [24], which can be seen in Table B1 in

99 Appendix B,it is the best expression way for the DESS project plan decision. Because the

100 linguistic terms help experts accurately express their decision preferences, and the probability
101 of each linguistic term helps to handle the uncertainty without information loss due to the

102 aggregation of decision information.

103 1.2.2 the weight setting method

104 According to the relevant research on sustainability evaluation [25-27], for the criteria

105 belonging to the same attributes, the correlation is inevitable. However, the most frequently

106 utilized weight setting method, such as the AHP weight setting method and entropy weight

107 setting method, whose underlying assumption is that the criteria are independent of each

108 other[28]. This assumption is contrary to the sustainability evaluation scenario, which lead to

109 the decision errors. For this reason, researchers proposed fuzzy measure to replace the weight

110 to convey the importance degree of criteria. The concept of fuzzy measure can be seen in

111 definition A1 in Appendix A. In fuzzy measures, the additivity property is substituted by

112 monotonicity, hence it is not necessary to assume that the criteria are independent of one

113 another[29]. So far, fuzzy measures have been utilized in decision-making research. Due to the

114 monotony of the fuzzy measure, the Choquet integral is used to aggregate the decision data in

115 the fuzzy measure environment. When the criteria are independent of each other, the Choquet

116 integral is equal to the weighted average approach[30]. The definition of Choquet integral can

117 be seen in definition A2 in Appendix A. In this study, we will therefore use fuzzy measures to

118 represent the importance degrees of sustainability criteria of DESS project plan.

119 1.2.3 the data aggregation method

120 The comprehensive score of the project is essential for the project's long-term viability;

121 however, due to national policy, enterprise strategy, and other factors, it is also necessary to

122 consider policymakers' tolerance for local disadvantages. For the data aggregation method,

123 there are Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) [31],

124 Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) [32], Analytic Network
125 Process (ANP)[32], Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) [33]. AHP and TOPSIS are the most

126 frequently used of these methods. The preceding model can only provide the global benefit

127 without considering the local disadvantages. Unfortunately, the local shortcomings of the

128 DESS project plan are often magnified by the media, causing excessive public attention, which

129 makes it difficult to implement the project. For this reason, the DESS project plan decision-

130 making from sustainability perspective must consider the local disadvantages, fortunately, the

131 VIKOR model provides a solution to this issue. It was initially proposed by Opricovic to rank

132 Alternatives based on their proximity to the ideal[34]. It content three parameter individual

133 regret measure, group utility measure and compromise measure, the compromise measure is

134 obtained by synthesizing group utility measure and individual regret measure, which is the

135 balance solution between group utility measure and individual regret measure. Individual regret

136 measure can be deemed as the effect of local disadvantages on the DESS project plan, and

137 group utility measure can be viewed as the overall benefit of the DESS project plan. On the

138 basis of the fundamental concept of VIKOR, it is possible to simultaneously evaluate the

139 overall benefit and local disadvantages of the DESS project plan to get more rational decision

140 result.

141 1.3 Motivations and innovations of the article


142 The motivation of this paper is to establish the scientific plan decision framework for

143 DESS from the sustainability perspective, in order to realize the scientific investment of DESS,

144 promote the scientific and orderly development of DESS, and thus provide strong support for

145 the development of renewable energy. In what follows, we sum up primary innovations with

146 four aspects:

147  The paper constructed the decision index system of DESS project plan from the

148 perspective of sustainability to provide scientific guidance for DESS project plan

149 decision;
150  Using PLTS as the representation of decision data of DESS, it can effectively manage

151 uncertainty and make it simple for DESS experts to deliver their view;

152  The fuzzy measure is substituted for the weight to avoid the independence assumption

153 of decision model, so that the model is more in line with the actual situation of DESS

154 decision;

155  The VIKOR principle is used to ensure the result can simultaneous consideration of

156 the overall benefit and local disadvantages of the DESS project plan.

157 2. Decision index system of distributed energy storage system from sustainability

158 perspective
159 For sustainability assessment, it is mainly from three aspects of environment, economy

160 and society [35]. Therefore, the evaluation of DESS project plan will also be investigated from

161 the above three aspects. The decision index system can be seen in Table 1.

162 2.1 Environmental sustainability


163 In terms of environmental sustainability, the main hazard of DESS comes from whether

164 the energy storage battery will explode or leak harmful substances [36]. So the rationality of

165 DESS design and the perfection of battery technology are very important for environmental

166 sustainability. In the design of DESS, the universality of design plan, the rationality of the

167 operation and maintenance plan and the rationality of the protection system are very important

168 for the rationality of the design [37-39].

169 the universality of the design plan refers to that the design plan of the project has been

170 implemented elsewhere and will continue to be implemented in the future based on this

171 template. Universality indicates the maturity of the design plan. The more mature the design

172 plan is, the safer the project will run and the lower the probability of environmental hazards

173 will occur; The operation and maintenance plan refers to a series of operation and maintenance

174 measures matched with the design plan. The rationality of the operation and maintenance plan
175 will be related to whether the DESS can install and operate smoothly in the future. The more

176 stable the operation of DESS, the lower the probability of environmental hazards; The

177 protection system of DESS is the last defense measure of the power station, which means that

178 the DESS can effectively avoid or reduce the degree of harm in the event of explosion and

179 pollutant leakage.

180 Energy storage battery is the core of DESS, and it is also the main cause of pollution. The

181 environmental pollution caused by battery mainly occurs in the following two aspects: battery

182 damage and waste battery treatment process.

183 Therefore, the technical factors related to this mainly include the quality of energy storage

184 battery [37],the efficiency of battery management system [40],the modularization degree of

185 core equipment [41] and the rationality of waste battery treatment [42, 43].

186 There are numerous varieties of energy storage batteries, which contain sodium sulfur,

187 liquid flow batteries and so on. Regardless of the kind of energy storage battery, the primary

188 quality evaluation criteria are the number of charging and discharging cycles and rated capacity,

189 followed by service life and reflection speed. The higher the battery quality is, the safer and

190 more durable the battery is, which will effectively reduce the number of waste batteries; the

191 DESS is composed of several small energy storage power stations distributed in different places,

192 so the battery management system is needed to effectively manage the energy storage batteries

193 in different places. The higher the efficiency of the battery management system is, the higher

194 the power utilization efficiency of the whole society will be, the less power waste will be, and

195 the lower the depreciation speed of batteries will be; The higher the degree of modularization

196 of core equipment, the easier the maintenance in the power station, which reduces the

197 probability of personal and environmental accidents caused by the operation errors of

198 maintenance personnel; The more reasonable the disposal method of waste battery is, the lower

199 the impact of DESS on the environment in the process of operation and maintenance.
200 2.2 Economic sustainability
201 In terms of economic sustainability, for a project, economic sustainability means that the

202 cash flow of the project will not break[44],the business model selected by DESS has an

203 important impact on the cash flow of the project. Due to the high cost of DESS, few companies

204 invest in the construction alone[45]. The more sustainable the business model is, the more

205 stable the cash flow will be; otherwise, it will lead to the rupture of the project cash flow. The

206 factors greatly affect the sustainability of business model include the rationality of business

207 model design, risk factors and financial sustainability

208 First of all, from the majority of failure cases, the unreasonable design of business model

209 is the main reason for the failure of the project, and the rationality of design is reflected in two

210 aspects, namely, whether the power and obligation are equal, and whether the investment and

211 income are fair[46, 47]; secondly, It is vital to take risk considerations into account when

212 operating a business model. As the cost of DESS project plan is high, the actual operation effect

213 of the project is not as good as the thermal power station in terms of cost performance, so the

214 operation of the power station mainly depends on the government subsidy, and its cash flow is

215 relatively weak. If the demand for peak and frequency modulation and the suppression of new

216 energy fluctuation decreases during actual project operation, or if government support policies

217 deteriorate, the project may collapse owing to a cash flow disruption[48, 49]; the risk factors

218 of DESS project plans can be investigated from two aspects: the decline of market demand and

219 the deterioration of policy environment; finally, the financial sustainability of the project itself

220 is equally important, and the sub-criteria are the total investment, the rate of return and the

221 payback period.

222 2.3 Social sustainability


223 In the aspect of social sustainability, the existing researches mainly focus on the social
224 sustainability of policies, namely, social sustainability mainly refers to whether the policies of

225 the state, industry or company are conducive to improving the comprehensive management of

226 population, enhancing the cultural quality of the whole people and improving the living

227 environment[50]. However, the specific DESS project plans and policies are different, so it is

228 difficult to play a greater role in the management level of population. For the improvement of

229 cultural literacy and living environment, it is mainly realized through the social value of DESS

230 [51], the realization of social value is closely related to whether the DESS can get enough

231 public and government support [52, 53]. Therefore, in this paper, the social sustainability of

232 DESS project plan will be mainly considered from the social value and support of the project.

233 In terms of the project's social value, the objective of constructing DESS is to increase

234 energy use efficiency. As a demonstration project of energy structure reform, it will attract

235 more investment into the energy storage sector, guide the continuity and green development of

236 the energy storage industry, and accelerate the development of the new energy industry;

237 secondly, DESS will further change the public's understanding that power energy cannot be

238 stored on a large scale, and then more electric power-driven production equipment and vehicles

239 will be used to fundamentally change the public's environmental protection measures[54, 55].

240 Therefore, this paper will study from four aspects: the improvement of energy efficiency, the

241 demonstration effect of the project, the driving force of related industries and the change of

242 environmental protection cognition.

243 In terms of support, due to the public's aversion and misunderstanding of

244 electromagnetic radiation, and the risk of battery explosion and leakage of harmful

245 substances[36], Therefore, the public does not fully accept DESS built in the surrounding

246 areas. DESS has the potential of explosion, so the public does not want it to be built near their

247 residence, it have NIMBY (No In My Back Yard) problems, and similar problems have actually
248 occurred in the past, such as public opposition to the construction of substations, thermal power

249 stations or nuclear power stations[56, 57]; secondly, the government does not fully accept

250 DESS. Because the demonstration role of the DESS is greater than its economic value, and the

251 electricity price subsidy must be paid by the local government, the local government may face

252 the problem of face project, i.e., in order to satisfy the demands of the higher authorities, there

253 may be a problem of government dishonesty in the implementation of the distributed energy

254 storage project[58-60]. Therefore, in terms of support, it will be examined from the public

255 support and the government support.


256 Table 1 The decision index system of DESS project plan from sustainability

257 perspective

No. Attributes No. Criteria No. Sub-criteria Referenc

es

(A1 environment (C11 The rationality (SC111) The universality of [37-39]

) al ) of DESS design plan

sustainability design

(SC112) The rationality of [37-39]

operation and

maintenance plan

(SC113) The rationality of [37-39]

protection system

(C12 The perfection (SC121) The storage battery [37, 40,

) of battery quality 41]

technology
(SC122) The efficiency of [37, 40,

battery 41]

management

system

(SC123) The [37, 40,

modularization 41]

degree of core

equipment

(SC124) The rationality of [42, 43,

waste battery 61]

treatment

(A2 business (C21 Rationality of (SC211) Clarity in the [46, 47]

) model ) business division of

sustainability model design stakeholder

responsibilities

(SC212) The rationality of [46, 47]

investment

proportion and

profit distribution

of stakeholders

(SC213) Rationality of [46, 47]

financial

instruments

(C22 Risk factors (SC221) The ability to resist [48, 49]

) risk of policy
environment

deterioration

(SC222) The ability to resist [48, 49]

risk of decline in

market demand

(C23 Financial (SC231) The total [48, 49]

) sustainability investment

(SC232) The return on [48, 49]

investment

(SC233) The payback [48, 49]

period

(A3 social (C31 Social value (SC311) The improvement [54, 55]

) sustainability ) sustainability of energy

efficiency

(SC312) The demonstration [54, 55]

effect of the project

(SC313) The driving force [54, 55]

of related

industries

(SC314) The change of [54, 55]

environmental

protection

cognition.

(C32 Support (SC321) The public support [58-60]

) sustainability
(SC322) The government [58-60]

support

258 3. Decision model of distributed energy storage system plan

259 3.1 The operation rule of PLTS


260 Before constructing the model, we present the fundamental manipulation rules of PLTS,

261 which include the manipulation rules of linguistic term, the manipulation rules of PLTS, the

262 concentration degree and the deviation degree of PLTS, the PLTS score function based on

263 concentration degree, the distance formula between PLTSs, and the probability splitting

264 algorithm. The following are the specifics:

265 Definition 1 [62]. suppose the discrete linguistic term set is S , a series of linguistic term

266 set is defined as S  {s |s <s


1  st , [1,t]} , where s is the primary linguistic term when

267 s  S ; or else, s is the fictitious linguistic term. Considering any two linguistic

268 variables s ,s   S , and  , 1 , 2  [0,1] , the operational laws of continuous linguistic

269 terms are as follows:

270 𝑠𝛼 ⊕ 𝑠𝛽 = 𝑠𝛼+𝛽 (1)

271 𝑠𝛼 ⊕ 𝑠𝛽 = 𝑠𝛽 ⊕ 𝑠𝛼 (2)

272 𝜇𝑠𝛼 = 𝑠𝜇𝛼 (3)

273 (𝜇1 + 𝜇2 )𝑠𝛼 = 𝜇1 𝑠𝛼 + 𝜇2 𝑠𝛼 (4)

274 𝜇(𝑠𝛼 ⊕ 𝑠𝛽 ) = 𝜇𝑠𝛼 ⊕ 𝜇𝑠𝛽 (5)

275 Different from the operation of linguistic term, the probabilistic linguistic terms in PLTS

276 must be sorted before operation. The detail content can be seen in definition 2 and Definition

277 1.
(𝑘) (𝑘)
278 Definition 2[24]. suppose a PLTS 𝐿(𝑝) = {𝐿 (𝑝 )|𝑘 = 1,2, … , #𝐿(𝑝)} , and the

(𝑘) (𝑘) (𝑘)


279 subscript of linguistic term 𝐿 is 𝐼(𝐿(𝑘) ) . If the linguistic terms 𝐿 (𝑝 )(𝑘 =

(𝑘)
280 1,2, … , #𝐿(𝑝)) are arranged based on the values of 𝐼(𝐿(𝑘) )𝑝 (𝑘 = 1,2, … , #𝐿(𝑝)) in

281 descending order, 𝐿(𝑝) is defined as an ordered PLTS.

282 Definition 3[24]. Let 𝐿1 (𝑝) and 𝐿2 (𝑝) be two ordered PLTSs, 𝐿1 (𝑝) =

(𝑘) (𝑘) (𝑘) (𝑘)


283 {𝐿1 (𝑝1 )|𝑘 = 1,2, … , #𝐿1 (𝑝)} and 𝐿2 (𝑝) = {𝐿2 (𝑝2 )|𝑘 = 1,2, … , #𝐿2 (𝑝)}. Then

(𝑘) (𝑘) (𝑘) (𝑘)


284 𝐿1 (𝑝)⨁𝐿2 (𝑝) =∪𝐿(𝑘)∈𝐿 (𝑘) {𝑝1 𝐿1 ⨁𝑝2 𝐿2 } (6)
1 1 (𝑝),𝐿2 ∈𝐿2 (𝑝)

(𝑘) (𝑘) (𝑘) (𝑘)


285 𝐿1 (𝑝)⨂𝐿2 (𝑝) =∪𝐿(𝑘)∈𝐿 (𝑘) {(𝐿1 )𝑝1 ⨁(𝐿2 )𝑝2 } (7)
1 1 (𝑝),𝐿2 ∈𝐿2 (𝑝)

(𝑘) (𝑘)
286 𝜆𝐿(𝑝) =∪𝐿(𝑘)∈𝐿(𝑝) 𝜆𝑝 𝐿 ,𝜆 ≥ 0 (8)

(𝑘) 𝜆𝑝(𝑘)
287 (𝐿(𝑝))𝜆 =∪𝐿(𝑘)∈𝐿(𝑝) {(𝐿 ) } (9)

(𝑘)
288 where the k-th linguistic terms in 𝐿1 (𝑝) and 𝐿2 (𝑝) are defined as 𝐿1 and

(𝑘)
289 𝐿2 separately, the probabilities of the k-th linguistic terms in 𝐿1 (𝑝) and 𝐿2 (𝑝) are defined

(𝑘) (𝑘)
290 as 𝑝1 and 𝑝2 respectively, the amount of linguistic terms in the 𝐿(𝑝) is #𝐿(𝑝).

291 Definition 4[24]. Presume that S is a linguistic term set and 𝐿(𝑝) =

292 {𝑠 (𝑙) (𝑝(𝑙) )|𝑠 (𝑙) ∈ 𝑆, 𝑙 = 1,2, … , 𝐿} be an probabilistic linguistic term set on S, then we defined

293 the concentration of 𝐿(𝑝) is as follows:

|𝐼(𝑠(𝑙) )−𝐼(𝐸(𝐿(𝑝)))|
294 𝑐𝑑(𝐿(𝑝)) = 1 + ∑𝐿𝑙=1 𝑝(𝑙) 𝑙𝑜𝑔2 (1 − ) (10)
𝐼(𝑑𝑙𝑡𝑠 )

295 Definition 5[24]. Let S be an linguistic term set and 𝐿(𝑝) =

296 {𝑠 (𝑙) (𝑝(𝑙) )|𝑠 (𝑙) ∈ 𝑆, 𝑙 = 1,2, … , 𝐿} be an probabilistic linguistic term set on S, then the

297 deviation degree of 𝐿(𝑝) is defined as

|𝐼(𝑠 (𝑙) )−𝐼(𝐸(𝐿(𝑝)))|


298 𝑑𝑑(𝐿(𝑝)) = − ∑𝐿𝑙=1 𝑝(𝑙) 𝑙𝑜𝑔2 (1 − ) (11)
𝐼(𝑑𝑙𝑡𝑠 )
299 Where the subscript of the linguistic term 𝑠 (𝑙) is 𝐼(𝑠 (𝑙) ), 𝐼(𝑑𝑙𝑡𝑠 ) is the subscript of the

300 linguistic term that is the difference value between the maximum and the minimum linguistic

301 terms in the linguistic term set S, and 𝐼(𝐸(𝐿(𝑝))) is the subscript of the score function

302 value/expectation value of 𝐿(𝑝).

303 Definition 6 [24]. Suppose that S is an linguistic term set and 𝐿(𝑝) =

304 {𝑠 (𝑙) (𝑝 (𝑙) )|𝑠 (𝑙) ∈ 𝑆, 𝑙 = 1,2, … , 𝐿} is an probabilistic linguistic term set on S, then the novel

305 score function of 𝐿(𝑝) is defined as 𝑆(𝐿(𝑝)) = 𝑠𝛼̅×𝑐𝑑 (𝐿 (𝑝)) . It is called ScoreC-PLTS, where

306 𝛼̅ = ∑𝐿𝑙=1 𝐼(𝑠 (𝑙) )𝑝(𝑙) / ∑𝐿𝑙=1 𝑝(𝑙) and 𝑐𝑑 (𝐿(𝑝)) denotes the concentration of 𝐿(𝑝).

307 The ScoreC-PLTS is used in the calculation of fuzzy densities of sub-criteria and

308 criteria in this paper. For any two PLTSs 𝐿1 (𝑝) and 𝐿2 (𝑝), if 𝑆(𝐿1 (𝑝)) > 𝑆(𝐿2 (𝑝)), then

309 𝐿1 (𝑝) is better than 𝐿2 (𝑝) , namely, 𝐿1 (𝑝) > 𝐿2 (𝑝) ; if 𝑆(𝐿1 (𝑝)) = 𝑆(𝐿2 (𝑝)) , then

310 𝐿1 (𝑝) = 𝐿2 (𝑝).


311 the fundamental algorithm of PLTS-TOPSIS is the distance formula of PLTS, which is

312 presentation in Definition 7.

313 Before computing the distance between two PLTSs, those PLTSs must contain the equal

314 number of probabilistic linguistic terms, but it is hard in practice. Such as 𝐿1 (𝑝) =

(𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙)


315 {𝑠𝛼 (𝑝𝛼 )|𝑠𝛼 ∈ 𝑆1 , 𝑙 = 1,2, … , #𝐿1 (𝑝)} and 𝐿2 (𝑝) = {𝑠𝛽 (𝑝𝛽 )|𝑠𝛽 ∈ 𝑆2 , 𝑙 =

316 1,2, … , #𝐿2 (𝑝)},#𝐿1 (𝑝) ≠ #𝐿2 (𝑝). Hence, Algorithm 1 transforms two PLTSs with differing

317 numbers of probabilistic linguistic terms into PLTSs with the equal number, namely,𝐿∗1 (𝑝) =

(𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙)


318 {𝑠𝛼′(𝑙) (𝑝𝛼 )|𝑠𝛼 ∈ 𝑆1 , 𝑙 = 1,2, … , 𝐿} and 𝐿∗2 (𝑝) = {𝑠𝛽′(𝑙) (𝑝𝛽 )|𝑠𝛽 ∈ 𝑆2 , 𝑙 = 1,2, … , 𝐿}.

319 Definition 7[24]. Suppose there is a linguistic term set 𝑆 =

(𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙)


320 {𝑆𝛼 |𝛼 = −𝜏, … , −1,0, −1, … , 𝜏} , 𝐿1 (𝑝) = {𝑠𝛼 (𝑝𝛼 )|𝑠𝛼 ∈ 𝑆1 , 𝑙 = 1,2, … , #𝐿1 (𝑝)} and
(𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙)
321 𝐿2 (𝑝) = {𝑠𝛽 (𝑝𝛽 )|𝑠𝛽 ∈ 𝑆2 , 𝑙 = 1,2, … , #𝐿2 (𝑝)} are two PLTSs according to linguistic term

(𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙)


322 set S. Then 𝐿∗1 (𝑝) = {𝑠𝛼′(𝑙) (𝑝𝛼 )|𝑠𝛼 ∈ 𝑆1 , 𝑙 = 1,2, … , 𝐿} and 𝐿∗2 (𝑝) = {𝑠𝛽′(𝑙) (𝑝𝛽 )|𝑠𝛽 ∈

323 𝑆2 , 𝑙 = 1,2, … , 𝐿} are the preprocessed PLTSs according to the Algorithm 1, the generalized

324 hybrid distance between them is defined as


1
′(𝑙) ′(𝑙) 𝜆 ′(𝑙) ′(𝑙) 𝜆 𝜆
𝐼(𝑠𝛼 )−𝐼(𝑠𝛽 ) 𝐼(𝑠𝛼 )−𝐼(𝑠𝛽 )
325 𝑑𝑔ℎ (𝐿1 (𝑝), 𝐿2 (𝑝)) = [𝜍 ∑𝐿𝑙=1 𝑝(𝑙) | | + (1 − 𝜍) max 𝑝(𝑙) | | ]
2𝜏 𝑙=1,2,…,𝐿 2𝜏

326 (12)

327 where the parameters 𝜍 ∈ [0.1] and 𝜆 ≥ 1.

328 Algorithm 1 (probability splitting algorithm) [24]. Input: Two PLTSs 𝐿1 (𝑝) =

(𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙)


329 {𝑠𝛼 (𝑝𝛼 )|𝑠𝛼 ∈ 𝑆1 , 𝑙 = 1,2, … , 𝐿1 } and 𝐿2 (𝑝) = {𝑠𝛽 (𝑝𝛽 )|𝑠𝛽 ∈ 𝑆2 , 𝑙 = 1,2, … , 𝐿2 }, a flag

330 variable that indicates the current location in PLTSs and a sum variable that stores the total of

331 the probabilities of the first flag items.

332 Step 1. Let flag flag=1 and sum=0;

(𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔) (𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔) (𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔) (𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔)


333 Step 2. If 𝑝𝛼 < 𝑝𝛽 , then the element 𝑠𝛽 (𝑝𝛽 ) in the 𝐿2 (𝑝) is divided

(𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔) (𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔) (𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔) (𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔) (𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔)


334 into two elements 𝑠𝛽 (𝑝𝛼 ) and 𝑠𝛽 (𝑝𝛽 − 𝑝𝛼 ). The former one is used

(𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔) (𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔)
335 to replace the element 𝑠𝛽 (𝑝𝛽 ) and the latter one is inserted between the flagth

336 element and (flag+1)th element in the 𝐿2 (𝑝) ;

(𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔) (𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔)
337 If 𝑝𝛼 = 𝑝𝛽 , then do nothing;

(𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔)
338 Step 3.𝑠𝑢𝑚 = 𝑠𝑢𝑚 + 𝑝𝛼 ;

339 Step 4. If summation is greater than or equal to 1, proceed to the next step; or else, flag =

340 flag + 1 and proceed to the next step. Step 2. Observably, the probability splitting algorithm

341 preprocesses the PLTSs so that their probability distributions are identical. The generalized

342 hybrid weighted distance can be derived from this probability splitting approach.
343 Definition 8 [63].  -fuzzy measure g, a subtype of fuzzy measure defined on P(X) that

344 fulfills the finite  -rule, possesses the following extra property:

345 g( A B)  g ( A)  g ( B)   g ( A) g ( B)

346 Where 1     for all A, B  P( X ) and A B  .

347 By parameter  the interaction between criteria can be represented as follows:

348 If   0 , there is no interaction between A and B.

349 If   0 , then g ( A B)  g ( A)  g ( B) , which implies that the set { A, B} has multiplicative

350 effect.

351 If   0 , then g ( A B)  g ( A)  g ( B) , which suggests that the set { A, B} has replace effect.

352 If 𝑋 is a finite set, then ∪𝑛𝑖=1 𝑥𝑖 = 𝑋. The  -fuzzy measure 𝑔 satisfies following Eq.(13).

1
(∏𝑛 [1 − 𝜆𝑔(𝑥𝑖 )] − 1) if 𝜆 ≠ 0
353 𝑔(𝑋) = {𝜆 𝑛 𝑖=1 (13)
∑𝑖=1 𝑔(𝑥𝑖 ) if 𝜆 = 0

354 Where xi xj   for all i, j  1, 2,..., n and i  j . It can be noted that g ( xi ) for a subset with a

355 single element xi is called a fuzzy density, and can be denoted as gi  g ( xi ) .

356 Especially for every subset A  P ( X ) , we have

1
(∏ [1 − 𝜆𝑔𝑖 ] − 1) if 𝜆 ≠ 0
357 𝑔(𝐴) = {𝜆 𝑖∈𝐴 (14)
∑𝑖∈𝐴 𝑔𝑖 if 𝜆 = 0

358 Based on Eq.(14), the value of  can be uniquely determined from g ( X )  1 , which is equal

359 to solving the following Eq.(15).

360 𝜆 + 1 = ∏𝑛𝑖=1(1 + 𝜆𝑔𝑖 ) (15)

361 Definition 9.[64]. Suppose a real number set𝐴 = {𝑎(1) , … , 𝑎(𝑡) }, if g is the  -fuzzy

362 measure which is associated with𝐴,𝑎(𝑖) ∈ 𝐴, then

∑𝑛𝑖=1 𝑎(𝑖) 𝑔(𝑖) ∏𝑛𝑗=𝑖+1[1 + 𝜆𝑔(𝑖) ] 𝜆 ≠ 0


363 𝐶𝐼𝑔 (𝑎(1) , . . . , 𝑎(𝑡) ) = { 𝑛 (16)
∑𝑖=1 𝑎(𝑖) 𝑔(𝑖) 𝜆=0

364 Where, ()
is indicates a permutation on (𝑎1 , … , 𝑎𝑡 ) such that 𝑎(1) ≤ ⋯ ≤ 𝑎(𝑡) .
365 3.2 Procedure of the proposed approach
366 The flow chart of the suggested method is shown in Figure 1.

Phase I- PLTS-EV from experts


Establishing
PLTS
decision Data normalization by Eq.(18) PLTS-EV matrix of
matrices Actual quantitative data and Table 3 alternative DESS plan

Phase II-
determining Eq. (11)
the fuzzy
densities of The PLTS-importance The fuzzy densities of
sub-criteria degrees of sub-criteria sub-criteria
and criteria

Eq. (8) Eq. (11)

The PLTS-importance degrees The corrected PLTS- The corrected fuzzy densities
of criteria and attributes importance degrees of criteria of criteria

Phase III--
aggregating The fuzzy densities of
the PLTS-EVs sub-criteria
on the sub- PLTS-TOPSIS
criteria by the model and RC
Choquet
PLTS-TOPSIS Eq.(20),Eq.(21)
integral The relative closeness of
model and PLTS-EV matrix of , Eq.(22) and
Choquet Eq.(23) alternatives on the criteria
alternative DESS plan
integral

Phase IV-
selecting the
best alternative RC
based on the
VIKOR model The relative closeness of
alternatives on the criteria
S,R and Q
The group utility measure The optimal
VIKOR Eq.(24), The individual regret decision condition
Eq.(25)
model measure by VIKOR principle
and
Eq.(26) The compromise measure (step 4 in Phase IV)
The corrected fuzzy densities
of criteria

367

368 Figure 1 The flowchart of the proposed approach

369 3.2.1 Phase I-Establishing PLTS-EV decision matrix

370 Assuming there are m alternatives and n sub-criteria associated with a given criterion, the

371 specific steps of Phase I are as follows:

372 The first step is to change the EV into the PLTS-EV. The EV of alternate DESS designs

373 can be converted to PLTS-EV using Eq. (17) and Table 2.


𝐸𝑉𝑖𝑗 −𝑚𝑖𝑛𝐸𝑉𝑖
, 𝑖 ∈ Ω𝑏
𝑚𝑎𝑥𝐸𝑉𝑖 −𝑚𝑖𝑛𝐸𝑉𝑖
374 𝐶𝐿𝑖𝑗 = { 𝑚𝑎𝑥𝐸𝑉 (17)
𝑖 −𝐸𝑉𝑖𝑗
, 𝑖 ∈ Ω𝑐
𝑚𝑎𝑥𝐸𝑉𝑖 −𝑚𝑖𝑛𝐸𝑉𝑖

375 Where EVi max and EVi min are the maximum and minimum EV on the i-th sub-criterion,

376 EVij is the EV of the j-th alternative plan on the i-th sub-criterion, b and  c are the positive

377 and negative plan decision criteria set respectively.

378 Table 2 value ranges, linguistic terms and symbols

Value Ranges [0,0.11] (0.11,0.22] (0.22,0.33] (0.33,0.44] (0.44,0.55]

Linguistic Terms
Lousy Very Bad Bad A Little Bad Medium
for evaluation

Linguistic Terms

for index Very A Little


Nothing Unimportant Medium
importance Unimportant Unimportant

Comparison

Symbol 𝑠0 𝑠1 𝑠2 𝑠3 𝑠4

Value Ranges (0.55,0.66] (0.66,0.77] (0.77,0.88] (0.88,1]

Linguistic Terms A Little


Good Very Good Perfect
for evaluation Good

Linguistic Terms

for index A Little Very Most


Important
importance Important Important Important

Comparison

Symbols 𝑠5 𝑠6 𝑠7 𝑠8

379 Step 2. Obtaining the probabilistic linguistic term set evaluation values of alternatives on

380 the qualitative sub-criteria. In the light of the Table 2, the expert assigns the probabilistic
381 linguistic term set evaluation value (PLTS-EV) to delegate his/her idea for the alternative DESS

382 project plan.

383 If the PLTS-EV is on the negative sub-criteria, then the linguistic term in the PLTS-EV

384 should be converted to the complementary term by Eq.(18).

385 𝑛𝑒𝑔(𝑠𝛼 ) = 𝑠𝛽 , 𝛽 = 2𝜏 + 1 − 𝛼, {𝑆𝛼 |𝛼 = 1, … ,2𝜏} (18)

386 Step 3. Obtaining the probabilistic linguistic term set evaluation value matrix of

387 alternative DESS project plans. Gather the PLTS-EVs obtained in in step 1 and step 2

388 together to build the PLTS-EV matrix of alternative DESS project plans.

𝐿11 (𝑝) ⋯ 𝐿1𝑛 (𝑝)


389 𝑅 = [𝐿𝑖𝑗 (𝑝)] =[ ⋮ ⋱ ⋮ ] (19)
𝑚×𝑛
𝐿𝑚1 (𝑝) ⋯ 𝐿𝑚𝑛 (𝑝)
(𝑙) (𝑙)
390 Where 𝐿𝑖𝑗 (𝑝) = {𝑠𝑖𝑗 (𝑝𝑖𝑗 )|𝑖 = 1,2, … , 𝑚; 𝑗 = 1,2, … , 𝑛}.

391 3.2.2 Phase II-determining the fuzzy densities of sub-criteria and criteria

392 Suppose there are k criteria and n sub-criteria under a certain criterion, the concrete steps

393 of this Phase II are as bellow:

394 Step 1. Also according to the Table 2, the experts assign the PLTS importance degree to

395 reflect their presumption of importance of sub-criteria according to the actual situations of the

396 alternative DESS project plan and the importance of criteria and attributes are determined by

397 the same way.

398 Step 2. Determining the fuzzy densities of sub-criteria. We assume that the fuzzy densities

399 of sub-criteria are equal to the concentration degrees of PLTS importance degree in this paper.

400 So according to the PLTS importance degree, the fuzzy densities of sub-criteria can be

401 calculated by Eq. (10). We marked the fuzzy densities of sub-criteria as 𝑔𝑗𝑠𝑢𝑏 , (𝑗 = 1, … , 𝑛).

402 Determining the fuzzy densities of criteria is the third step. This study adopts the criterion

403 level as the highest level of the decision index system aiming to demonstrate the pros and cons

404 of the alternative plans in greater detail through the VIKOR approach. Therefore, in order for
405 the fuzzy densities of the criteria to reflect those of the attribute to which the criteria belong.

406 The specific method is as follows: ①According to the PLTS importance degree of criteria and

407 attributes, the corrected PLTS importance degree of criterion is equal to the multiplication of

408 the PLTS importance degree of criterion and the PLTS importance degree of attributes by Eq.

409 (7); ②It is identical to the operation for calculating the fuzzy densities of sub-criteria; the fuzzy

410 densities of the criterion can be ascertain using Eq (10). We marked the corrected fuzzy

411 densities of criteria as 𝑔𝑗 , (𝑗 = 1, … , 𝑘).

412 Step 4. Using the data gathered in Step 1 for fuzzy densities, the parameter of criteria and

413 sub-criteria can be determined using Eq. (16).

414 3.2.3 Phase III-aggregating the PLTS-EVs on the sub-criteria by the PLTS-TOPSIS model and
415 Choquet integral

416 The purpose of the phase IV is to aggregate the PLTS-EVs on the sub-criteria into the

417 evaluation values on the criteria by principle of TOPSIS model. Suppose there are n sub-criteria

418 under a certain criterion, k criteria and m alternatives Ai (i  1, 2,..., m) , the specific steps of this

419 Phase II are as bellow:

420 Step 1. For 𝑅 = [𝐿𝑖𝑗 (𝑝)] , the probabilistic linguistic positive ideal solution (PLPIS)
𝑚×𝑛

421 𝐿𝑗+ (𝑝) and the probabilistic linguistic negative ideal solution (PLNIS) 𝐿𝑗− (𝑝) on the j-th sub-

422 criterion are equal to {𝑠8 (1)} and {𝑠0 (1)} respectively.

423 Step 2. Calculating the distance between each alternative and the PLPIS and PLNIS by

424 Eq.(19) and Eq.(20).

425 𝑑(𝐴𝑖 , 𝐿+ ) = ∑𝑛𝑗=1 𝑑 (𝐿𝑖𝑗 (𝑝), 𝐿𝑗+ (𝑝)) 𝑔(𝑗)


𝑠𝑢𝑏 𝑛 𝑠𝑢𝑏
∏𝑗=𝑖+1[1 + 𝜆𝑔(𝑗) ] (19)

426 𝑑(𝐴𝑖 , 𝐿− ) = ∑𝑛𝑗=1 𝑑 (𝐿𝑖𝑗 (𝑝), 𝐿𝑗− (𝑝)) 𝑔(𝑗)


𝑠𝑢𝑏 𝑛 𝑠𝑢𝑏
∏𝑗=𝑖+1[1 + 𝜆𝑔(𝑗) ] (20)

𝑠𝑢𝑏
427 Where 𝑔(𝑗) is the fuzzy density of the j-th sub-criterion.

428 Step 3. Calculating the relative closeness of the alternative under a certain criterion. The
429 relative closeness which can be calculated by Eq.(21) is considered as the evaluation value of

430 the alternative under a certain criterion.

𝑖 𝑑(𝐴 ,𝐿− )
431 𝑟𝑐𝑖 = 𝑑(𝐴 ,𝐿− )+𝑑(𝐴 (21)
𝑖 ,𝐿+ ) 𝑖

432 Where 𝑟𝑐𝑖 is the relative closeness of the i-th alternative under a certain criterion.

433 Step 4. Establishing the relative closeness matrix of alternatives. After calculating the

434 relative closeness of the alternative on all criteria, the relative closeness matrix of alternatives

435 can be constructed by Eq.(22).

𝑟𝑐11 ⋯ 𝑟𝑐1𝑘
436 𝑅𝐶 = [𝑟𝑐𝑖𝑗 ] =[ ⋮ ⋱ ⋮ ] (22)
𝑚×𝑘
𝑟𝑐𝑚1 ⋯ 𝑟𝑐𝑚𝑘
437

438 3.2.4 Phase IV-selecting the best alternative based on the VIKOR model

439 Suppose there are m alternatives Ai (i  1, 2,..., m) and k criteria, the specific steps of this

440 Phase IV are as follows:

441 Step 1. The positive ideal solution (PIS) of alternatives is obtained as 𝑅𝐶 + =

442 {𝑟𝑐1+ , … , 𝑟𝑐𝑗+ , … , 𝑟𝑐𝑘+ } and the negative ideal solution (NIS) of alternatives is obtained as

443 𝑅𝐶 − = {𝑟𝑐1− , … , 𝑟𝑐𝑗− , … , 𝑟𝑐𝑘− }, where 𝑟𝑐𝑗+ is the maximum value of 𝑟𝑐 on the j-th criterion

444 and 𝑟𝑐𝑗− is the minimum value of 𝑟𝑐 on the j-th criterion.

445 Step 2. Compute the group utility measure S i , the individual regret measure Ri and the

446 compromise measure Qi of the i-th alternative by the following equations:

𝑑(𝑟𝑐 ,𝑟𝑐 + )
447
𝑆𝑖 = ( 𝑑(𝑟𝑐𝑖𝑗+,𝑟𝑐 𝑗−) × 𝑔(𝑗) ∏𝑘𝑗=𝑗+1[1 + 𝜆𝑔(𝑗) ]) (23)
𝑗 𝑗

𝑑(𝑟𝑐𝑖𝑗 ,𝑟𝑐𝑗+ )
448
𝑅𝑖 = 𝑚𝑎𝑥 ( 𝑑(𝑟𝑐 +,𝑟𝑐 −) × 𝑔(𝑗) ∏𝑘𝑗=𝑗+1[1 + 𝜆𝑔(𝑗) ]) (24)
𝑗 𝑗

𝑆 −𝑆 − 𝑅 −𝑅−
449 𝑄𝑖 = 𝜂 𝑆 +𝑖 −𝑆− + (1 − 𝜂) 𝑅+𝑖 −𝑅− (25)

450 where S  max{Si } , S   min{Si } , R   max{Ri } , R   min{Ri } ,  is a weight for the strategy
i i i i

451 of maximum group utility, where it is supposed that   0.5 ; d () is the Euclidean distance.

452 𝑔(𝑗) is the fuzzy density of the j-th criterion.

453 Step 3. Sort the alternatives according to the values of S, R, and Q.

454 Step 4. Propose as a compromise solution the alternative ( A(1) ) that is ranked highest by

455 the measure Q (minimum) if the two requirements below are met:

456 C1. The alternative ( A(1) ) offers a sufficient benefit, which means Q( A(2) )  Q( A(1) )  DQ

457 where DQ  1/ (m  1) .

458 C2. The alternative ( A(1) ) has acceptable stability, thus it also has the highest score on S

459 or/and R .

460 If one of the prerequisites is not satisfied, then the following compromise Alternatives are

461 proposed:

462  Alternatives A(1) and A( m ) if only the condition C2 is not satisfied

463  Alternatives A(1) , A(2) , ... , A( m ) if the condition C1 is not satisfied, where A( m ) is determined

464 by the relation Q( A( m ) )  Q( A(1) )  DQ for the maximum M (the positions of these alternatives are

465 “in closeness”).


466 4. A case study

Substation 1

Substation 2

Substation 3

Substation 4

Substation 5

467

468 Figure 2 the location of DESS


469 A corporation wishing to construct a DESS in the planned substations in a city in Henan

470 Province, the location of DESS is shown in Figure 2. The energy corporation gathered five

471 relevant specialists to analyze the three blueprints created by the three distinct design institutes.

472 The alternatives were named Alternative 1, Alternative 2 and Alternative 3.

473 Alternative 1 has used the most recent energy storage technology and design idea due to

474 the evolved nature of energy storage technology. Alternative 2's energy storage technology and

475 design idea are between those of alternatives 1 and 3, whereas alternative 3's energy storage

476 technology and design concept are more developed.

477 The decision criterion C23 is a quantitative criterion calculated by the investment

478 department. Table 3 show the evaluation value, then convert it into PLTS by Eq. (17) and Table

479 2. The result is shown in Table 4. In addition to decision criterion C23, according to their own

480 experience, experts gave the PLTS-EV of each alternative DESS project plan on each criterion

481 , the specific linguistic terms and their symbols can be seen in Table 2, so the PLTS-EV decision

482 matrix of DESS project plans is shown in Table 4.

483 After determining the comprehensive decision matrix, according to the Table 2, the

484 experts determined the PLTS importance degree of the sub-criteria, criteria and decision
485 attributes. According to the step 2 of phase-II, the fuzzy densities of sub-criteria can be

486 calculated by Eq.(10), the PLTS importance and fuzzy densities of sub-criteria can be seen in

487 Table 5 and Table 6. According to the Step 3 of Phase-II, the corrected PLTS importance and

488 fuzzy densities of criteria can be calculated, which also can be seen in Table 5 and Table 6.

489 After fuzzy densities of sub-criteria and criteria and PLTS-EVs of alternatives are

490 calculated, Phase III can determine the alternative's proximity to the criteria, as shown in Table

491 7. On the basis of the above relative closeness, the group utility measure, the individual regret

492 measure, and the compromise measure can be calculated using Equations (23), (24), and (25),

493 respectively, where   0.5 , with the results shown in Table 8.

494 On the basis of the group utility measure, Alternative 2 > Alternative 1 > Alternative 3.

495 Alternative 2 has an overall advantage over the other alternatives; according to the individual

496 regret measure, alternative 1 has an obvious disadvantage in C23 criterion, alternative 2 has an

497 obvious disadvantage in C31 criterion, and alternative 3 has an obvious disadvantage in C32

498 criterion. Among the three alternatives, alternative 3 has the smallest disadvantage, then

499 alternative 2 and alternative 1, so the ranking is Alternative 3> Alternative 2> Alternative 1;

500 based on the compromise measure, the final ranking is Alternative 2>Alternative 3>Alternative

501 1. Due to the fact that DQ equals 0.5, the compromise measure of alternative 3 minus the

502 compromise measure of alternative 2 is 0.46, so the condition C1 is not met. Nevertheless, the

503 compromise measure of alternative 1 minus the compromise measure of alternative 2 is 0.94,

504 so according to the judgment rules of VIKOR in Step 4 of section 4.2.4, alternative 2 is the

505 best.

506 The reason for the above results is that the alternative 1 adopts the latest technology and

507 new design concept, which has good performance in environmental sustainability, high return

508 on investment and high social value. However, due to its high investment cost and long payback

509 period, it has poor performance in financial sustainability. At the same time, the public and the

510 government always maintain a vigilant attitude towards emerging things, The above problems

511 lead to higher project risks and difficulties in the design of business model, so it ranks second
512 in the overall effectiveness. The biggest risk is the lack of financial sustainability.

513 The alternative 3 adopts the most mature technology and design concept, so it has enough

514 advantages in rationality of business model design and risk factors, and has relative advantages

515 in financial sustainability. However, it has poor performance in environmental sustainability

516 and social sustainability because of the defects of old technology, At the same time, the public

517 is also very clear about the defects of the old technology, so it ranks third in the overall utility,

518 and the biggest risk is the lack of sustainability of support.

519 the alternative 2's energy storage technology and design concept are between the

520 alternative 1 and the alternative 3. Therefore, it ranks second in environmental sustainability,

521 rationality of business model design and risk factors, but it has better financial sustainability.

522 Meanwhile, the technology and design concept without rashness are supported by the public

523 and the government, so it ranks first in the overall utility. The biggest risk comes from the lack

524 of sustainability of social value.

525 Table 3 The quantitative data

unit Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3

(SC231) Ten thousand 10235 8346 7943

(SC232) % 0.34 0.29 0.28

(SC233) year 10 8 7

526

527 Table 4 PLTS-EV of alternative on the sub-criteria

Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3

(SC111) {𝑠7 (0.4),𝑠8 (0.6)} {𝑠6 (1)} {𝑠5 (0.2),𝑠6 (0.8)}

(SC112) {𝑠7 (0.2),𝑠8 (0.8)} {𝑠6 (1)} {𝑠3 (0.8),𝑠6 (0.2)}

(SC113) {𝑠7 (0.4),𝑠8 (0.6)} {𝑠6 (0.2),𝑠7 (0.8)} {𝑠5 (0.4),𝑠6 (0.6)}

(SC121) {𝑠7 (0.4),𝑠8 (0.6)} {𝑠7 (1)} {𝑠5 (0.6),𝑠6 (0.4)}

(SC122) {𝑠6 (0.2),𝑠7 (0.2),𝑠8 (0.6)} {𝑠7 (0.8),𝑠8 (0.2)} {𝑠5 (0.6),𝑠6 (0.4)}
(SC123) {𝑠7 (0.4),𝑠8 (0.6)} {𝑠6 (1)} {𝑠5 (0.8),𝑠6 (0.2)}

(SC124) {𝑠7 (0.2),𝑠8 (0.8)} {𝑠7 (1)} {𝑠6 (0.8),𝑠7 (0.2)}

(SC211) {𝑠2 (0.8),𝑠3 (0.2)} {𝑠7 (1)} {𝑠7 (0.4),𝑠8 (0.6)}

(SC212) {𝑠2 (0.2),𝑠3 (0.6),𝑠4 (0.2)} {𝑠6 (0.8),𝑠7 (0.2)} {𝑠7 (0.6),𝑠8 (0.4)}

(SC213) {𝑠3 (0.8),𝑠4 (0.2)} {𝑠7 (1)} {𝑠7 (0.2),𝑠8 (0.8)}

(SC221) {𝑠3 (0.2),𝑠4 (0.8)} {𝑠6 (0.8),𝑠7 (0.2)} {𝑠6 (0.2),𝑠7 (0.2),𝑠8 (0.6)}

(SC222) {𝑠3 (0.2),𝑠4 (0.8)} {𝑠5 (0.2),𝑠6 (0.6),𝑠7 (0.2)} {𝑠7 (0.4),𝑠8 (0.6)}

(SC231) {𝑠0 (1)} {𝑠7 (1)} {𝑠8 (1)}

(SC232) {𝑠8 (1)} {𝑠3 (1)} {𝑠0 (1)}

(SC233) {𝑠0 (1)} {𝑠6 (1)} {𝑠8 (1)}

(SC311) {𝑠7 (1)} {𝑠5 (1)} {𝑠5 (1)}

(SC312) {𝑠6 (0.4),𝑠7 (0.6)} {𝑠5 (0.2),𝑠6 (0.8)} {𝑠6 (1)}

(SC313) {𝑠6 (0.2),𝑠7 (0.8)} {𝑠6 (1)} {𝑠6 (0.8),𝑠7 (0.2)}

(SC314) {𝑠5 (0.2),𝑠7 (0.8)} {𝑠6 (0.4),𝑠7 (0.6)} {𝑠6 (0.4),𝑠7 (0.4),𝑠8 (0.2)}

(SC321) {𝑠6 (1)} {𝑠7 (0.4),𝑠8 (0.6)} {𝑠5 (0.2),𝑠6 (0.8)}

(SC322) {𝑠6 (1)} {𝑠6 (0.2),𝑠7 (0.2),𝑠8 (0.6)} {𝑠6 (0.8),𝑠7 (0.2)}

528

529 Table 5 PLTS importance of attributes, criteria and sub-criteria

Attributes Criteria Sub-criteria

(A1) {𝑠5 (0.2),𝑠6 (0.8)} (C11) {𝑠7 (0.2),𝑠8 (0.8)} (SC111) {𝑠7 (0.4),𝑠8 (0.6)}

(SC112) {𝑠7 (0.2),𝑠8 (0.8)}

(SC113) {𝑠8 (1)}

(C12) {𝑠5 (0.4),𝑠6 (0.6)} (SC121) {𝑠7 (0.2),𝑠8 (0.8)}

(SC122) {𝑠6 (0.4),𝑠7 (0.6)}

(SC123) {𝑠6 (0.6),𝑠7 (0.4)}

(SC124) {𝑠4 (0.8),𝑠5 (0.2)}

(A2) {𝑠7 (0.4),𝑠8 (0.6)} (C21) {𝑠6 (0.2),𝑠7 (0.8)} (SC211) {𝑠5 (0.2),𝑠6 (0.2),𝑠7 (0.6)}
(SC212) {𝑠5 (0.2),𝑠6 (0.8)}

(SC213) {𝑠4 (0.2),𝑠5 (0.8)}

(C22) {𝑠4 (0.2),𝑠5 (0.6), (SC221) {𝑠6 (0.2),𝑠8 (0.8)}

𝑠6 (0.2)}

(SC222) {𝑠3 (0.2),𝑠4 (0.6),𝑠5 (0.2)}

(C23) {𝑠8 (1)} (SC231) {𝑠7 (0.6),𝑠8 (0.4)}

(SC232) {𝑠6 (0.2),𝑠7 (0.6),𝑠8 (0.2)}

(SC233) {𝑠6 (0.6),𝑠7 (0.4)}

(A3) {𝑠4 (0.2),𝑠5 (0.6), (C31) (SC311) {𝑠6 (0.2),𝑠7 (0.6),𝑠8 (0.2)}
{𝑠7 (0.6),𝑠8 (0.4)}
𝑠6 (0.2)}

(SC312) {𝑠5 (0.2),𝑠8 (0.8)}

(SC313) {𝑠7 (0.2),𝑠8 (0.8)}

(SC314) {𝑠3 (0.4),𝑠6 (0.6)}

(C32) {𝑠4 (0.4),𝑠5 (0.6)} (SC321) {𝑠4 (0.2),𝑠5 (0.6),𝑠6 (0.2)}

(SC322) {𝑠6 (0.6),𝑠7 (0.4)}

530

531 Table 6 fuzzy densities of criteria and sub-criteria

Criteria The corrected PLTS fuzzy Sub-criteria fuzzy

importance densities densities

(C11) {𝑠9.47 (0.8), 𝑠2.86 (SC111)


0.49 0.87
(0.2)}

(SC112) 0.92

(SC113) 1

(C12) {𝑠5.86 (0.6), 𝑠2.81 (SC121)


0.41 0.92
(0.2), 𝑠2.76 (0.2)}

(SC122) 0.75

(SC123) 0.73

(SC124) 0.49

(C21) {𝑠6.7 (0.6), 𝑠2.95 (SC211)


0.41 0.69
(0.2), 𝑠2.91 (0.2)}

(SC212) 0.68
(SC213) 0.56

(C22) {6.11(0.6),2.91(0.2),2.8 (SC221)


0.41 0.83
(0.2)}

(SC222) 0.46

(C23) {6.96(0.6),4.48(0.4)} 0.57


(SC231)
0.84

(SC232) 0.81

(SC233) 0.73

(C31) {5.84(0.6),2.95(0.2),2. (SC311)


0.42 0.81
84(0.2)}

(SC312) 0.75

(SC313) 0.92

(SC314) 0.43

(C32) {5.25(0.6),2.75(0.2),2. 0.40 (SC321)


0.58
64(0.2)}

(SC322) 0.73

532

533 Table 7 RC of the alternatives

Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3

(C11) 0.95 0.76 0.56

(C12) 0.93 0.80 0.67

(C21) 0.34 0.82 0.93

(C22) 0.49 0.76 0.93

(C23) 0.46 0.61 0.54

(C31) 0.86 0.68 0.68

(C32) 0.75 0.93 0.75

534

535 Table 8 S,R and Q of alternatives

Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3 rankings

S 0.92 0.66 0.93 2, 1, 3

0.57 0.41 0.40


R 3, 2, 1
C23 C31 C32
Q 0.98 0.04 0.50 2, 3, 1

536

537 5. Discussion

538 5.1 Comparative analysis

539 In this paper, the advantages of the framework are as follows: ①Take PLTS as the

540 expression of decision information to strike a balance the expression convenience of decision

541 preference and the ability to handle uncertainty. ② Take the fuzzy measure and Choquet

542 integral to solve problem of independence assumption of criteria. ③ Considering both the

543 global utility and the local disadvantages simultaneously. In this section, we conduct a

544 comparative analysis to illustrate these developments. There are six scenarios showed in Table

545 9. In the scenarios, the VIKOR method is replaced with the weighted average method, which

546 is currently the most popular decision-making technique; the PLTS is replaced with a real

547 number; and the fuzzy measure is replaced with a weight, the comparative analysis is shown

548 in Figure 3.
549 Comparing scenario 1 with the outcome of the case, scenario 2 with scenario 6, scenario

550 3 with scenario 5, and replacing PLTS with real numbers, which only results in fluctuating

551 values and does not alter the order of alternatives, demonstrates that uncertainty will have a

552 disorderly effect on the decision-making outcomes.

553 Clearly, when the VIKOR method is replaced with the weighted average method, the score

554 and ranking of alternatives will change, and the drawbacks of the DESS project plan cannot be

555 reflected in the final result.

556 Compare scenario 3 with the case's result, scenario 1 with scenario 5, and scenario 2 with

557 scenario 4. When the weight is used to replace the fuzzy measure, it also causes numerical

558 fluctuation, but does not alter the order of alternatives; this demonstrates that correlation

559 between criteria will influence the decision-making results disorderly.


560 In conclusion, the proposed decision model in this paper can effectively strike a balance

561 between the expression convenience of decision preference and the ability to deal with

562 uncertainty, can avoid the decision-making errors caused by the assumption of independence

563 that cannot be satisfied, and considers the overall effectiveness and local disadvantages to

564 ensure the rationality of selection of the DESS project plan.

565 Table 9 Scenario series of considering different scenarios

PLTS VIKOR Choquet


Scenario 1 〇 〇
Scenario 2 〇 〇
Scenario 3 〇 〇
Scenario 4 〇
Scenario 5 〇
Scenario 6 〇
Comparative analysis
Calculation results main points of data processing

Scenario 1
Alternative S1 Alternative S2 Alternative S3
Replacing PLTS with
real numbers

The Compromise Measure of Alternative S1: 0.95


The Compromise Measure of Alternative S2: 0.06
The Compromise Measure of Alternative S3: 0.5
Scenario 2

Alternative S1 Alternative S2 Alternative S3


Replacing VIKOR with
weighted average method
The Comprehensive Score of Alternative S1: 0.87
The Comprehensive Score of Alternative S2: 0.85
The Comprehensive Score of Alternative S3: 0.85
Scenario 3

Alternative S1 Alternative S2 Alternative S3


Replacing fuzzy measure
with weight
The Compromise Measure of Alternative S1:1.00
The Compromise Measure of Alternative S2:0.00
The Compromise Measure of Alternative S3: 0.67
Scenario 4

Alternative S1 Alternative S2 Alternative S3 Replacing VIKOR with


weighted average method
Replacing fuzzy measure
The Comprehensive Score of Alternative S1: 0.66 with weight
The Comprehensive Score of Alternative S2: 0.79
The Comprehensive Score of Alternative S3: 0.75
Scenario 5

Alternative S1 Alternative S2 Alternative S3 Replacing PLTS


with real numbers
Replacing fuzzy
measure with weight
The Compromise Measure of Alternative S1: 0.99
The Compromise Measure of Alternative S2: 0.00
The Compromise Measure of Alternative S3: 0.73
Scenario 6

Alternative S1 Alternative S2 Alternative S3 Replacing PLTS with


real numbers
Replacing VIKOR with
The Comprehensive Score of Alternative S1: 0.87 weighted average method
The Comprehensive Score of Alternative S2: 0.85
The Comprehensive Score of Alternative S3: 0.85
Notes

Red means first Green means second. Yellow means third.


566

567 Figure. 3 Result of comparative analysis

568 5.2 Sensitivity analysis


569 The specialists conducted sensitivity analysis to determine the robustness of the decision

570 outcome. The first method, it increase the fuzzy densities by 30 percent and decrease them by

571 30 percent, while observing the ranking's response to the change in fuzzy densities. When the

572 fuzzy density of a single standard increases or decreases, we always ensure that the total fuzzy

573 density does not change. For example, in the case study, the fuzzy density of C11 decreases by

574 30% to 0.34, the additional 30% is 0.147, and the weights of the other criteria must be increased

575 by 0.0244 (0.147/6). Figure 4 depicts the sensitivity analysis results. We can conclude from
576 these numbers that the decision result is robust.

577

578 Figure. 4 The result of sensitivity analysis

579 The second method involves modifying the proportion of the individual regret measure

580 and the group utility measure by adjusting the coefficient 𝜂 in Eq. (29). This paper sets 𝜂

581 =(0,0.1,0.2,0.3,0.4,0.5,0.6,0.7,0.8,0.9,1) respectively; then, based on the compromise measures


582 calculated by at various values, Figure 3 depicts the corresponding radar map. Figure 5

583 demonstrates that as 𝜂 increases, gradually, the proportion of group utility measure increases;

584 when 𝜂 = 0, alternative 3 is optimal, and when 0 < 𝜂 ≤ 1, alternative 2 is optimal. In

585 conclusion, the optimal outcome is relatively stable. Alternative 2 is a better alternative.

586

587

588 Figure. 5 The compromise measures calculated by 𝛈 at different values

589 6. Conclusion
590 The DESS is a good choice to solve the power coordination and optimization difficulty of

591 renewable energy, but due to its high operation cost and lower profit margin, the investment of

592 DESS is getting cold. Now, the research on project investment decision is more concerned with

593 how to maximize profits, such as financial analysis[65-67] project quality and operation and

594 maintenance cost [12] and economic impact[15]. DESS investment is more about social

595 responsibility and environmental benefits. Meanwhile, with the development of battery

596 technology, it will have greater economic value in the future. Therefore, the investment

597 decision-making of DESS should be analyzed from the perspective of sustainability.

598 The problems encountered in the analysis of DESS investment decision-making from the

599 perspective of sustainability are as follows: ①The DESS decision index system is lacking from

600 the sustainability perspective; ②Common decision models find it challenging to deal with the

601 uncertainty of qualitative data effectively; ③It is challenging for the prevalent decision-making
602 model to effectively account for the correlation between criteria; ④It is difficult to use the

603 common decision model strike a balance between overall utility and local disadvantage.

604 For the sake of address aforementioned issues, firstly, this paper develops the decision

605 index system of the DESS project plan from the perspective of sustainability. Secondly, the

606 DESS project plan decision model is established based on the principle of PLTS, fuzzy measure

607 and the fundamental principle of the VIKOR method. The characteristics of the proposed

608 decision model are as follows: ①it can effectively handle uncertainty and makes experts

609 express their preferences easily by PLTS; ②the decision model is more in line with reality,

610 because the fuzzy measure is used in place of weight to avoid the assumption of independence

611 between criteria; ③ the decision model can ensure simultaneous consideration of the overall

612 utility and local disadvantage of alternative DESS project plans by the fundamental principle

613 of the VIKOR method. The above characteristics are verified by the comparative analysis in

614 Section 5.1.

615 Through sensitivity analysis, when increasing the fuzzy densities by 30 percent and

616 decrease them by 30 percent. In different sensitivity analysis scenarios, the value of the

617 compromise measure of the alternatives has changed, but the ranking has not changed, the

618 decision result is robust. When modifying the proportion of the individual regret measure and

619 the group utility measure by adjusting the coefficient 𝜂, when 𝜂 = 0, alternative 3 is optimal,

620 and when 0 < 𝜂 ≤ 1, alternative 2 is optimal. Therefore, in general, the decision model in this

621 paper can provide decision results with better robustness.

622 All of the aforementioned information shows that the energy company can select the

623 optimal DESS project plan by the proposed DESS project plan decision framework. However,

624 the correlations between social, business, and environmental sustainability are challenging to

625 quantify in this paper. Hence, in future research, we will use the intelligence of the Decision-

626 Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) to investigate these correlations so as to
627 make the DESS plan's decision-making results more reasonable.

628 Appendix A

629 Definition A1[68].. Let X = (x1 , x2 , . . . , xn ) be a finite universe of discourse, and P(X)

630 be its power set. A fuzzy measure for X is the set function m:P(X) → [0,1] that satisfies the

631 following conditions:

632  𝑚(𝜙) = 0, 𝑚(𝑋) = 1 (boundary conditions)

633  If 𝐴, 𝐵 ∈ 𝑃(𝑋) and𝐴 ⊆ 𝐵 then𝑚(𝐴) ≤ 𝑚(𝐵) (monotonicity)

634 Definition A2[69]. X = (x1 , x2 , ⋯ , xn ) is the non-empty classical set, let f be a positive

635 real-valued function on X, f: X → R+ and μ be a fuzzy measure on X. The (discrete) Choquet

636 integral of f with respective to μ is defined by

637 Cμ (f) = ∑ni=1 f(i) [μ(A(i) ) − μ(A(i+1) )]

638 Where (•) indicates a permutation on X such that f(x(1) ) ≤ f(x(2) ) ≤ ⋯ ≤ f(x(n) ). Also

639 A(i) = {x(1) , x(2) , ⋯ , x(n) }, A(n+1) = ϕ.

640 Appendix B
641 Table B2 The generally used internal representations of decision information

Data type Definition Ability to expression References

handle convenience

uncertainty

2-tuple A linguistic 2-tuple comprises of a linguistic value and a crisp middle easy [22]

Linguistic number, it is normally expressed as (s_a,μ). Suppose there is a

term predefined linguistic term set S={s_a |a=0,1,…,g} whose granularity

is defined as g+1, s_a is a component of this linguistic term set and

indicates a linguistic term center of the decision information. μ

represents the value of symbolic translation, which indicates the

deviation of an aggregation result φ from the closest linguistic label


a=round(φ), The value range of μ is [−0.5,0.5).

probabilistic Suppose there is a linguistic term set 𝑆 = strong easy [24]

linguistic {𝑠𝛼 |𝛼 = −𝜏, … , −1,0,1, … , 𝜏}, then a probabilistic linguistic term

term set set can be defined as

𝐿(𝑝)

|𝐿(𝑝)|
= {𝑠 (𝑙) (𝑝 (𝑙) )|𝑠 (𝑙) ∈ 𝑆2 , 𝑝(𝑙) > 0, 𝑙 = 1,2, … , |𝐿(𝑝)|, ∑𝑙=1 𝑝(𝑙) ≤ 1}

where 𝑠 (𝑙) (𝑝(𝑙) ) is the l-th element in the probabilistic linguistic


term set and it comprises of a linguistic term and its probability. The
term 𝐿(𝑝) denotes the number of elements in the probabilistic
linguistic term set.
Intuitionistic Suppose that 𝑋 = {𝑥1 , 𝑥2 , … , 𝑥𝑛 } is a finite universal set. An strong difficult [18]

fuzzy set intuitionistic fuzzy number 𝐷 which is in the X has the following

form: 𝐷 = {〈𝑥, 𝜇𝐷 (𝑥), 𝜐𝐷 (𝑥)〉|𝑥 ∈ 𝑋}.

Usually denoted by 𝐷 = 〈𝜇𝐷 (𝑥), 𝜐𝐷 (𝑥)〉 , where 𝜐𝐷 (𝑥), 𝜇𝐷 (𝑥): →


[0,1] are non-membership function and membership function
respectively. At the same time, it should be noted that 0 ≤ 𝜇𝐷 (𝑥) +
𝜐𝐷 (𝑥) ≤ 1.
interval- Suppose that 𝑋 = {𝑥1 , 𝑥2 , … , 𝑥𝑛 } is a finite universal set. The Very Very [19]

valued interval-valued Pythagorean fuzzy set (IVPFS) can be defined as strong difficult

Pythagorean follows:

fuzzy set P  { x,  ( x), v ( x), x  X }

Where v ( x)  [v L ( x), vU ( x)] and  ( x)  [  L ( x),  U ( x)]


respectively denote the non-membership degree and membership
degree of the element x  X in set X . it should be noted that
(  U ( x)) 2  (vU ( x)) 2  1 .

642
643 Acknowledgement
644 2022 Soft Science Research Project of Science and Technology Department of Henan

645 Province,project number:222400410377

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801
Revised manuscript with track changes

1 The Probabilistic Linguistic Decision Framework Of Distributed Energy Storage

2 System Project Plan Based On The Sustainability Perspective

3 Abstract: Countries throughout the world are aggressively encouraging the development of

4 renewable energy. Renewable energy power generation presents distributed characteristics,

5 which increases the difficulty of power coordination and optimization. Compared to the

6 thermal power stations, distributed energy storage system (DESS) can help reduce the

7 aforementioned difficulty without environmental pollution and energy consumption, it has

8 good social and environmental benefits. However, due to the high operating cost of DESS, its

9 investment is cold. Therefore, the investment decision-making of DESS must be considered

10 from the perspective of sustainability, but there is still a blank in this aspect. This problem

11 belongs to the typical research category of decision theory, it can be solved by constructing a

12 decision framework composed of decision index system and decision-making model. So the

13 decision index system of DESS project plan was established based on the sustainability theory

14 and the real DESS operational scenario; for the decision model, the probabilistic linguistic term

15 set (PLTS) is taken as the expression of decision data of DESS, the fuzzy measure and VIKOR

16 were used to reflect the importance of criteria and integrate the decision data respectively. the

17 decision framework proposed in this paper has the following advantages: the proposed decision

18 index system content 3 attributes, 7 criteria and 21 sub-criteria, can provide scientific guidance

19 for DESS project plan decision; second, it can not only deal with uncertainty effectively but

20 also is convenient for experts to express their own preferences; third, it can solve the problem

21 that the independence assumption of criteria is difficult to meet in reality; forth, it reflect the

22 overall utility and local disadvantages of the plan of DESS at the same time. Through

23 comparative analysis and sensitivity analysis, the proposed decision framework can provide

24 more scientific decision-making results of DESS project plan for energy enterprises, and the

25 results have better robustness.


26 Keywords: Distributed Energy Storage System (DESS); project plan decision; probabilistic

27 linguistic term set (PLTS); fuzzy measure; VIKOR model

28 1. Introduction
29 With the global energy crisis and environmental pollution growing increasingly serious,

30 countries throughout the world are aggressively encouraging the transition of energy system to

31 safer, more sustainable and lower carbon [1, 2]. Promoting the large-scale development and

32 utilization of renewable energy on the energy supply side and promoting wider re-

33 electrification on the energy consumption side have become two important directions for

34 realizing energy transformation. Power system transformation is the main support to realize

35 energy transformation [3]. Currently, the primary power supply of the power system is focus

36 on large power stations, thus using the focused management mode, the large power grid realizes

37 the optimization operation of the power grid through the integration and majorization of all

38 network resources. With the construction of an integrated energy system, particularly the large-

39 scale distributed power network generation, equipment and the development of Internet of

40 Things technology, power generation takes on a distributed nature, thereby increasing the

41 difficulty of power coordination and optimization. Distributed energy storage system (DESS)

42 reduces the difficulty of power coordination and optimization by playing a role in the process

43 of renewable energy conversion.

44 DESS's primary job is to manage peak and frequency, stabilize the volatility of new energy,

45 and reduce the speed of abandoned wind and light energy.[4-6].In addition to the functions

46 mentioned above, however, DESS are not more cost-effective than thermal power stations in

47 other functions. Therefore, at this stage, DESS can only rely on government subsidies to

48 operate, the main role is to lead the demonstration, and its economic benefit is small [7]. In this

49 case, it is inappropriate to choose projects with the goal of maximizing profits. The purpose of

50 DESS construction is to improve the proportion of new energy in energy consumption and
51 energy efficiency, and realize the sustainability of energy development [8]. At the present, the

52 energy storage market has just started, for energy enterprises, in the short term, the purpose of

53 the construction of DESS is to respond to national policies, improve the social value and

54 reputation of enterprises, and accumulate experience in the construction and operation of DESS;

55 With the rapid advancement of battery technology, battery costs will decrease and DESS will

56 have greater profit potential in the future [9, 10]. How to select the best of DESS project plan

57 from the perspective of sustainability is a problem worth studying, but it is still a blank. This

58 problem belongs to the typical research category of decision theory, so it can be solved by

59 constructing a decision framework composed of decision index system and decision-making

60 model, according to the real DESS operational scenario.

61 1.1 A concise review of decision index system of DESS project plan


62 For the decision index system, the existing renewable energy power stations aim to

63 maximize profits when developing their decision-making index system, based primarily on

64 financial analysis[11], project quality and operation and maintenance [12], construction

65 environment[13] , social impact[14] , economic impact[15] etc. Therefore, how to construct

66 the DESS project plan's decision index system from a sustainability perspective must be

67 investigated.

68 1.2 A concise review of MCDM model of DESS project plan


69 There are three primary parts of the decision model: the expression of decision data, the

70 weight setting method, and the data aggregation method.

71 1.2.1 the expression way of decision information

72 Sustainability evaluation is mostly from three aspects of environment, economy and

73 society[16]. Due to the uniqueness of the project, it is hard to decide the decision-making value

74 and parameters using historical data; therefore, only qualitative evaluation can be used, and the

75 majority of the evaluation criteria are qualitative [16]. However, because the experience and
76 knowledge of experts can not completely cover the things to be evaluated, so there must be

77 uncertainty in the evaluation value given by experts[17]. In order to address the uncertainty of

78 decision-making information, researchers frequently employ complex mathematical

79 expressions, such as intuitionistic fuzzy set (IFS) [18] and interval Pythagorean fuzzy set

80 (IVPFS) [19], whose definitions can be found in Table B1 in Appendix B, is regarded as the

81 most advantageous instrument for addressing uncertainty in light of the efficiency with which

82 it handles uncertain information.

83 However, there are two problems in expressing decision preference by numeric form:①

84 the more complex the mathematical statement, the greater the capacity to handle with

85 uncertainty, but this way increases the difficulty for experts to express their decision preference,

86 and on the contrary, increases the uncertainty[20];②, it is easy to give different scores for the

87 same linguistic evaluation term. For example, both expert A and expert B think the plan is very

88 good, but the expert A gives 10 and B gives 8. This is because that the expert's knowledge

89 background is difficult to completely cover all the contents of DESS project plan, so the

90 evaluation criteria of each expert are different[21].

91 So, the linguistic terms, such as 2-tuple linguistic terms[22], were added to the MCDM

92 model. The definitions of linguistic term are listed in Table B1 in Appendix B. linguistic terms

93 are more congruent with the expressing habit of expert choice preference, so reducing the

94 hesitance of experts in decision-making and subsequently reducing the uncertainty in decision-

95 making. But they are not as effective as fuzzy mathematics in addressing uncertainty[23]. The

96 optimal qualitative decision data expression way should take into account the capacity to deal

97 with uncertainty and the ease of expressing decision preference. Hence according to the

98 definition of probabilistic linguistic term set (PLTS) [24], which can be seen in Table B1 in

99 Appendix B,it is the best expression way for the DESS project plan decision. Because the

100 linguistic terms help experts accurately express their decision preferences, and the probability
101 of each linguistic term helps to handle the uncertainty without information loss due to the

102 aggregation of decision information.

103 1.2.2 the weight setting method

104 According to the relevant research on sustainability evaluation [25-27], for the criteria

105 belonging to the same attributes, the correlation is inevitable. However, the most frequently

106 utilized weight setting method, such as the AHP weight setting method and entropy weight

107 setting method, whose underlying assumption is that the criteria are independent of each

108 other[28]. This assumption is contrary to the sustainability evaluation scenario, which lead to

109 the decision errors. For this reason, researchers proposed fuzzy measure to replace the weight

110 to convey the importance degree of criteria. The concept of fuzzy measure can be seen in

111 definition A1 in Appendix A. In fuzzy measures, the additivity property is substituted by

112 monotonicity, hence it is not necessary to assume that the criteria are independent of one

113 another[29]. So far, fuzzy measures have been utilized in decision-making research. Due to the

114 monotony of the fuzzy measure, the Choquet integral is used to aggregate the decision data in

115 the fuzzy measure environment. When the criteria are independent of each other, the Choquet

116 integral is equal to the weighted average approach[30]. The definition of Choquet integral can

117 be seen in definition A2 in Appendix A. In this study, we will therefore use fuzzy measures to

118 represent the importance degrees of sustainability criteria of DESS project plan.

119 1.2.3 the data aggregation method

120 The comprehensive score of the project is essential for the project's long-term viability;

121 however, due to national policy, enterprise strategy, and other factors, it is also necessary to

122 consider policymakers' tolerance for local disadvantages. For the data aggregation method,

123 there are Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) [31],

124 Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) [32], Analytic Network
125 Process (ANP)[32], Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) [33]. AHP and TOPSIS are the most

126 frequently used of these methods. The preceding model can only provide the global benefit

127 without considering the local disadvantages. Unfortunately, the local shortcomings of the

128 DESS project plan are often magnified by the media, causing excessive public attention, which

129 makes it difficult to implement the project. For this reason, the DESS project plan decision-

130 making from sustainability perspective must consider the local disadvantages, fortunately, the

131 VIKOR model provides a solution to this issue. It was initially proposed by Opricovic to rank

132 Alternatives based on their proximity to the ideal[34]. It content three parameter individual

133 regret measure, group utility measure and compromise measure, the compromise measure is

134 obtained by synthesizing group utility measure and individual regret measure, which is the

135 balance solution between group utility measure and individual regret measure. Individual regret

136 measure can be deemed as the effect of local disadvantages on the DESS project plan, and

137 group utility measure can be viewed as the overall benefit of the DESS project plan. On the

138 basis of the fundamental concept of VIKOR, it is possible to simultaneously evaluate the

139 overall benefit and local disadvantages of the DESS project plan to get more rational decision

140 result.

141 1.3 Motivations and innovations of the article


142 The motivation of this paper is to establish the scientific plan decision framework for

143 DESS from the sustainability perspective, in order to realize the scientific investment of DESS,

144 promote the scientific and orderly development of DESS, and thus provide strong support for

145 the development of renewable energy. In what follows, we sum up primary innovations with

146 four aspects:

147  The paper constructed the decision index system of DESS project plan from the

148 perspective of sustainability to provide scientific guidance for DESS project plan

149 decision;
150  Using PLTS as the representation of decision data of DESS, it can effectively manage

151 uncertainty and make it simple for DESS experts to deliver their view;

152  The fuzzy measure is substituted for the weight to avoid the independence assumption

153 of decision model, so that the model is more in line with the actual situation of DESS

154 decision;

155  The VIKOR principle is used to ensure the result can simultaneous consideration of

156 the overall benefit and local disadvantages of the DESS project plan.

157 2. Decision index system of distributed energy storage system from sustainability

158 perspective
159 For sustainability assessment, it is mainly from three aspects of environment, economy

160 and society [35]. Therefore, the evaluation of DESS project plan will also be investigated from

161 the above three aspects. The decision index system can be seen in Table 1.

162 2.1 Environmental sustainability


163 In terms of environmental sustainability, the main hazard of DESS comes from whether

164 the energy storage battery will explode or leak harmful substances [36]. So the rationality of

165 DESS design and the perfection of battery technology are very important for environmental

166 sustainability. In the design of DESS, the universality of design plan, the rationality of the

167 operation and maintenance plan and the rationality of the protection system are very important

168 for the rationality of the design [37-39].

169 the universality of the design plan refers to that the design plan of the project has been

170 implemented elsewhere and will continue to be implemented in the future based on this

171 template. Universality indicates the maturity of the design plan. The more mature the design

172 plan is, the safer the project will run and the lower the probability of environmental hazards

173 will occur; The operation and maintenance plan refers to a series of operation and maintenance

174 measures matched with the design plan. The rationality of the operation and maintenance plan
175 will be related to whether the DESS can install and operate smoothly in the future. The more

176 stable the operation of DESS, the lower the probability of environmental hazards; The

177 protection system of DESS is the last defense measure of the power station, which means that

178 the DESS can effectively avoid or reduce the degree of harm in the event of explosion and

179 pollutant leakage.

180 Energy storage battery is the core of DESS, and it is also the main cause of pollution. The

181 environmental pollution caused by battery mainly occurs in the following two aspects: battery

182 damage and waste battery treatment process.

183 Therefore, the technical factors related to this mainly include the quality of energy storage

184 battery [37],the efficiency of battery management system [40],the modularization degree of

185 core equipment [41] and the rationality of waste battery treatment [42, 43].

186 There are numerous varieties of energy storage batteries, which contain sodium sulfur,

187 liquid flow batteries and so on. Regardless of the kind of energy storage battery, the primary

188 quality evaluation criteria are the number of charging and discharging cycles and rated capacity,

189 followed by service life and reflection speed. The higher the battery quality is, the safer and

190 more durable the battery is, which will effectively reduce the number of waste batteries; the

191 DESS is composed of several small energy storage power stations distributed in different places,

192 so the battery management system is needed to effectively manage the energy storage batteries

193 in different places. The higher the efficiency of the battery management system is, the higher

194 the power utilization efficiency of the whole society will be, the less power waste will be, and

195 the lower the depreciation speed of batteries will be; The higher the degree of modularization

196 of core equipment, the easier the maintenance in the power station, which reduces the

197 probability of personal and environmental accidents caused by the operation errors of

198 maintenance personnel; The more reasonable the disposal method of waste battery is, the lower

199 the impact of DESS on the environment in the process of operation and maintenance.
200 2.2 Economic sustainability
201 In terms of economic sustainability, for a project, economic sustainability means that the

202 cash flow of the project will not break[44],the business model selected by DESS has an

203 important impact on the cash flow of the project. Due to the high cost of DESS, few companies

204 invest in the construction alone[45]. The more sustainable the business model is, the more

205 stable the cash flow will be; otherwise, it will lead to the rupture of the project cash flow. The

206 factors greatly affect the sustainability of business model include the rationality of business

207 model design, risk factors and financial sustainability

208 First of all, from the majority of failure cases, the unreasonable design of business model

209 is the main reason for the failure of the project, and the rationality of design is reflected in two

210 aspects, namely, whether the power and obligation are equal, and whether the investment and

211 income are fair[46, 47]; secondly, It is vital to take risk considerations into account when

212 operating a business model. As the cost of DESS project plan is high, the actual operation effect

213 of the project is not as good as the thermal power station in terms of cost performance, so the

214 operation of the power station mainly depends on the government subsidy, and its cash flow is

215 relatively weak. If the demand for peak and frequency modulation and the suppression of new

216 energy fluctuation decreases during actual project operation, or if government support policies

217 deteriorate, the project may collapse owing to a cash flow disruption[48, 49]; the risk factors

218 of DESS project plans can be investigated from two aspects: the decline of market demand and

219 the deterioration of policy environment; finally, the financial sustainability of the project itself

220 is equally important, and the sub-criteria are the total investment, the rate of return and the

221 payback period.

222 2.3 Social sustainability


223 In the aspect of social sustainability, the existing researches mainly focus on the social
224 sustainability of policies, namely, social sustainability mainly refers to whether the policies of

225 the state, industry or company are conducive to improving the comprehensive management of

226 population, enhancing the cultural quality of the whole people and improving the living

227 environment[50]. However, the specific DESS project plans and policies are different, so it is

228 difficult to play a greater role in the management level of population. For the improvement of

229 cultural literacy and living environment, it is mainly realized through the social value of DESS

230 [51], the realization of social value is closely related to whether the DESS can get enough

231 public and government support [52, 53]. Therefore, in this paper, the social sustainability of

232 DESS project plan will be mainly considered from the social value and support of the project.

233 In terms of the project's social value, the objective of constructing DESS is to increase

234 energy use efficiency. As a demonstration project of energy structure reform, it will attract

235 more investment into the energy storage sector, guide the continuity and green development of

236 the energy storage industry, and accelerate the development of the new energy industry;

237 secondly, DESS will further change the public's understanding that power energy cannot be

238 stored on a large scale, and then more electric power-driven production equipment and vehicles

239 will be used to fundamentally change the public's environmental protection measures[54, 55].

240 Therefore, this paper will study from four aspects: the improvement of energy efficiency, the

241 demonstration effect of the project, the driving force of related industries and the change of

242 environmental protection cognition.

243 In terms of support, due to the public's aversion and misunderstanding of

244 electromagnetic radiation, and the risk of battery explosion and leakage of harmful

245 substances[36], Therefore, the public does not fully accept DESS built in the surrounding

246 areas. DESS has the potential of explosion, so the public does not want it to be built near their

247 residence, it have NIMBY (No In My Back Yard) problems, and similar problems have actually
248 occurred in the past, such as public opposition to the construction of substations, thermal power

249 stations or nuclear power stations[56, 57]; secondly, the government does not fully accept

250 DESS. Because the demonstration role of the DESS is greater than its economic value, and the

251 electricity price subsidy must be paid by the local government, the local government may face

252 the problem of face project, i.e., in order to satisfy the demands of the higher authorities, there

253 may be a problem of government dishonesty in the implementation of the distributed energy

254 storage project[58-60]. Therefore, in terms of support, it will be examined from the public

255 support and the government support.


256 Table 1 The decision index system of DESS project plan from sustainability

257 perspective

No. Attributes No. Criteria No. Sub-criteria Referenc

es

(A1 environment (C11 The rationality (SC111) The universality of [37-39]

) al ) of DESS design plan

sustainability design

(SC112) The rationality of [37-39]

operation and

maintenance plan

(SC113) The rationality of [37-39]

protection system

(C12 The perfection (SC121) The storage battery [37, 40,

) of battery quality 41]

technology
(SC122) The efficiency of [37, 40,

battery 41]

management

system

(SC123) The [37, 40,

modularization 41]

degree of core

equipment

(SC124) The rationality of [42, 43,

waste battery 61]

treatment

(A2 business (C21 Rationality of (SC211) Clarity in the [46, 47]

) model ) business division of

sustainability model design stakeholder

responsibilities

(SC212) The rationality of [46, 47]

investment

proportion and

profit distribution

of stakeholders

(SC213) Rationality of [46, 47]

financial

instruments

(C22 Risk factors (SC221) The ability to resist [48, 49]

) risk of policy
environment

deterioration

(SC222) The ability to resist [48, 49]

risk of decline in

market demand

(C23 Financial (SC231) The total [48, 49]

) sustainability investment

(SC232) The return on [48, 49]

investment

(SC233) The payback [48, 49]

period

(A3 social (C31 Social value (SC311) The improvement [54, 55]

) sustainability ) sustainability of energy

efficiency

(SC312) The demonstration [54, 55]

effect of the project

(SC313) The driving force [54, 55]

of related

industries

(SC314) The change of [54, 55]

environmental

protection

cognition.

(C32 Support (SC321) The public support [58-60]

) sustainability
(SC322) The government [58-60]

support

258 3. Decision model of distributed energy storage system plan

259 3.1 The operation rule of PLTS


260 Before constructing the model, we present the fundamental manipulation rules of PLTS,

261 which include the manipulation rules of linguistic term, the manipulation rules of PLTS, the

262 concentration degree and the deviation degree of PLTS, the PLTS score function based on

263 concentration degree, the distance formula between PLTSs, and the probability splitting

264 algorithm. The following are the specifics:

265 Definition 1 [62]. suppose the discrete linguistic term set is S , a series of linguistic term

266 set is defined as S  {s |s <s


1  st , [1,t]} , where s is the primary linguistic term when

267 s  S ; or else, s is the fictitious linguistic term. Considering any two linguistic

268 variables s ,s   S , and  , 1 , 2  [0,1] , the operational laws of continuous linguistic

269 terms are as follows:

270 𝑠𝛼 ⊕ 𝑠𝛽 = 𝑠𝛼+𝛽 (1)

271 𝑠𝛼 ⊕ 𝑠𝛽 = 𝑠𝛽 ⊕ 𝑠𝛼 (2)

272 𝜇𝑠𝛼 = 𝑠𝜇𝛼 (3)

273 (𝜇1 + 𝜇2 )𝑠𝛼 = 𝜇1 𝑠𝛼 + 𝜇2 𝑠𝛼 (4)

274 𝜇(𝑠𝛼 ⊕ 𝑠𝛽 ) = 𝜇𝑠𝛼 ⊕ 𝜇𝑠𝛽 (5)

275 Different from the operation of linguistic term, the probabilistic linguistic terms in PLTS

276 must be sorted before operation. The detail content can be seen in definition 2 and Definition

277 1.
(𝑘) (𝑘)
278 Definition 2[24]. suppose a PLTS 𝐿(𝑝) = {𝐿 (𝑝 )|𝑘 = 1,2, … , #𝐿(𝑝)} , and the

(𝑘) (𝑘) (𝑘)


279 subscript of linguistic term 𝐿 is 𝐼(𝐿(𝑘) ) . If the linguistic terms 𝐿 (𝑝 )(𝑘 =

(𝑘)
280 1,2, … , #𝐿(𝑝)) are arranged based on the values of 𝐼(𝐿(𝑘) )𝑝 (𝑘 = 1,2, … , #𝐿(𝑝)) in

281 descending order, 𝐿(𝑝) is defined as an ordered PLTS.

282 Definition 3[24]. Let 𝐿1 (𝑝) and 𝐿2 (𝑝) be two ordered PLTSs, 𝐿1 (𝑝) =

(𝑘) (𝑘) (𝑘) (𝑘)


283 {𝐿1 (𝑝1 )|𝑘 = 1,2, … , #𝐿1 (𝑝)} and 𝐿2 (𝑝) = {𝐿2 (𝑝2 )|𝑘 = 1,2, … , #𝐿2 (𝑝)}. Then

(𝑘) (𝑘) (𝑘) (𝑘)


284 𝐿1 (𝑝)⨁𝐿2 (𝑝) =∪𝐿(𝑘)∈𝐿 (𝑘) {𝑝1 𝐿1 ⨁𝑝2 𝐿2 } (6)
1 1 (𝑝),𝐿2 ∈𝐿2 (𝑝)

(𝑘) (𝑘) (𝑘) (𝑘)


285 𝐿1 (𝑝)⨂𝐿2 (𝑝) =∪𝐿(𝑘)∈𝐿 (𝑘) {(𝐿1 )𝑝1 ⨁(𝐿2 )𝑝2 } (7)
1 1 (𝑝),𝐿2 ∈𝐿2 (𝑝)

(𝑘) (𝑘)
286 𝜆𝐿(𝑝) =∪𝐿(𝑘)∈𝐿(𝑝) 𝜆𝑝 𝐿 ,𝜆 ≥ 0 (8)

(𝑘) 𝜆𝑝(𝑘)
287 (𝐿(𝑝))𝜆 =∪𝐿(𝑘)∈𝐿(𝑝) {(𝐿 ) } (9)

(𝑘)
288 where the k-th linguistic terms in 𝐿1 (𝑝) and 𝐿2 (𝑝) are defined as 𝐿1 and

(𝑘)
289 𝐿2 separately, the probabilities of the k-th linguistic terms in 𝐿1 (𝑝) and 𝐿2 (𝑝) are defined

(𝑘) (𝑘)
290 as 𝑝1 and 𝑝2 respectively, the amount of linguistic terms in the 𝐿(𝑝) is #𝐿(𝑝).

291 Definition 4[24]. Presume that S is a linguistic term set and 𝐿(𝑝) =

292 {𝑠 (𝑙) (𝑝(𝑙) )|𝑠 (𝑙) ∈ 𝑆, 𝑙 = 1,2, … , 𝐿} be an probabilistic linguistic term set on S, then we defined

293 the concentration of 𝐿(𝑝) is as follows:

|𝐼(𝑠(𝑙) )−𝐼(𝐸(𝐿(𝑝)))|
294 𝑐𝑑(𝐿(𝑝)) = 1 + ∑𝐿𝑙=1 𝑝(𝑙) 𝑙𝑜𝑔2 (1 − ) (10)
𝐼(𝑑𝑙𝑡𝑠 )

295 Definition 5[24]. Let S be an linguistic term set and 𝐿(𝑝) =

296 {𝑠 (𝑙) (𝑝(𝑙) )|𝑠 (𝑙) ∈ 𝑆, 𝑙 = 1,2, … , 𝐿} be an probabilistic linguistic term set on S, then the

297 deviation degree of 𝐿(𝑝) is defined as

|𝐼(𝑠 (𝑙) )−𝐼(𝐸(𝐿(𝑝)))|


298 𝑑𝑑(𝐿(𝑝)) = − ∑𝐿𝑙=1 𝑝(𝑙) 𝑙𝑜𝑔2 (1 − ) (11)
𝐼(𝑑𝑙𝑡𝑠 )
299 Where the subscript of the linguistic term 𝑠 (𝑙) is 𝐼(𝑠 (𝑙) ), 𝐼(𝑑𝑙𝑡𝑠 ) is the subscript of the

300 linguistic term that is the difference value between the maximum and the minimum linguistic

301 terms in the linguistic term set S, and 𝐼(𝐸(𝐿(𝑝))) is the subscript of the score function

302 value/expectation value of 𝐿(𝑝).

303 Definition 6 [24]. Suppose that S is an linguistic term set and 𝐿(𝑝) =

304 {𝑠 (𝑙) (𝑝 (𝑙) )|𝑠 (𝑙) ∈ 𝑆, 𝑙 = 1,2, … , 𝐿} is an probabilistic linguistic term set on S, then the novel

305 score function of 𝐿(𝑝) is defined as 𝑆(𝐿(𝑝)) = 𝑠𝛼̅×𝑐𝑑 (𝐿 (𝑝)) . It is called ScoreC-PLTS, where

306 𝛼̅ = ∑𝐿𝑙=1 𝐼(𝑠 (𝑙) )𝑝(𝑙) / ∑𝐿𝑙=1 𝑝(𝑙) and 𝑐𝑑 (𝐿(𝑝)) denotes the concentration of 𝐿(𝑝).

307 The ScoreC-PLTS is used in the calculation of fuzzy densities of sub-criteria and

308 criteria in this paper. For any two PLTSs 𝐿1 (𝑝) and 𝐿2 (𝑝), if 𝑆(𝐿1 (𝑝)) > 𝑆(𝐿2 (𝑝)), then

309 𝐿1 (𝑝) is better than 𝐿2 (𝑝) , namely, 𝐿1 (𝑝) > 𝐿2 (𝑝) ; if 𝑆(𝐿1 (𝑝)) = 𝑆(𝐿2 (𝑝)) , then

310 𝐿1 (𝑝) = 𝐿2 (𝑝).


311 the fundamental algorithm of PLTS-TOPSIS is the distance formula of PLTS, which is

312 presentation in Definition 7.

313 Before computing the distance between two PLTSs, those PLTSs must contain the equal

314 number of probabilistic linguistic terms, but it is hard in practice. Such as 𝐿1 (𝑝) =

(𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙)


315 {𝑠𝛼 (𝑝𝛼 )|𝑠𝛼 ∈ 𝑆1 , 𝑙 = 1,2, … , #𝐿1 (𝑝)} and 𝐿2 (𝑝) = {𝑠𝛽 (𝑝𝛽 )|𝑠𝛽 ∈ 𝑆2 , 𝑙 =

316 1,2, … , #𝐿2 (𝑝)},#𝐿1 (𝑝) ≠ #𝐿2 (𝑝). Hence, Algorithm 1 transforms two PLTSs with differing

317 numbers of probabilistic linguistic terms into PLTSs with the equal number, namely,𝐿∗1 (𝑝) =

(𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙)


318 {𝑠𝛼′(𝑙) (𝑝𝛼 )|𝑠𝛼 ∈ 𝑆1 , 𝑙 = 1,2, … , 𝐿} and 𝐿∗2 (𝑝) = {𝑠𝛽′(𝑙) (𝑝𝛽 )|𝑠𝛽 ∈ 𝑆2 , 𝑙 = 1,2, … , 𝐿}.

319 Definition 7[24]. Suppose there is a linguistic term set 𝑆 =

(𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙)


320 {𝑆𝛼 |𝛼 = −𝜏, … , −1,0, −1, … , 𝜏} , 𝐿1 (𝑝) = {𝑠𝛼 (𝑝𝛼 )|𝑠𝛼 ∈ 𝑆1 , 𝑙 = 1,2, … , #𝐿1 (𝑝)} and
(𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙)
321 𝐿2 (𝑝) = {𝑠𝛽 (𝑝𝛽 )|𝑠𝛽 ∈ 𝑆2 , 𝑙 = 1,2, … , #𝐿2 (𝑝)} are two PLTSs according to linguistic term

(𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙)


322 set S. Then 𝐿∗1 (𝑝) = {𝑠𝛼′(𝑙) (𝑝𝛼 )|𝑠𝛼 ∈ 𝑆1 , 𝑙 = 1,2, … , 𝐿} and 𝐿∗2 (𝑝) = {𝑠𝛽′(𝑙) (𝑝𝛽 )|𝑠𝛽 ∈

323 𝑆2 , 𝑙 = 1,2, … , 𝐿} are the preprocessed PLTSs according to the Algorithm 1, the generalized

324 hybrid distance between them is defined as


1
′(𝑙) ′(𝑙) 𝜆 ′(𝑙) ′(𝑙) 𝜆 𝜆
𝐼(𝑠𝛼 )−𝐼(𝑠𝛽 ) 𝐼(𝑠𝛼 )−𝐼(𝑠𝛽 )
325 𝑑𝑔ℎ (𝐿1 (𝑝), 𝐿2 (𝑝)) = [𝜍 ∑𝐿𝑙=1 𝑝(𝑙) | | + (1 − 𝜍) max 𝑝(𝑙) | | ]
2𝜏 𝑙=1,2,…,𝐿 2𝜏

326 (12)

327 where the parameters 𝜍 ∈ [0.1] and 𝜆 ≥ 1.

328 Algorithm 1 (probability splitting algorithm) [24]. Input: Two PLTSs 𝐿1 (𝑝) =

(𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙) (𝑙)


329 {𝑠𝛼 (𝑝𝛼 )|𝑠𝛼 ∈ 𝑆1 , 𝑙 = 1,2, … , 𝐿1 } and 𝐿2 (𝑝) = {𝑠𝛽 (𝑝𝛽 )|𝑠𝛽 ∈ 𝑆2 , 𝑙 = 1,2, … , 𝐿2 }, a flag

330 variable that indicates the current location in PLTSs and a sum variable that stores the total of

331 the probabilities of the first flag items.

332 Step 1. Let flag flag=1 and sum=0;

(𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔) (𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔) (𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔) (𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔)


333 Step 2. If 𝑝𝛼 < 𝑝𝛽 , then the element 𝑠𝛽 (𝑝𝛽 ) in the 𝐿2 (𝑝) is divided

(𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔) (𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔) (𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔) (𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔) (𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔)


334 into two elements 𝑠𝛽 (𝑝𝛼 ) and 𝑠𝛽 (𝑝𝛽 − 𝑝𝛼 ). The former one is used

(𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔) (𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔)
335 to replace the element 𝑠𝛽 (𝑝𝛽 ) and the latter one is inserted between the flagth

336 element and (flag+1)th element in the 𝐿2 (𝑝) ;

(𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔) (𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔)
337 If 𝑝𝛼 = 𝑝𝛽 , then do nothing;

(𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑔)
338 Step 3.𝑠𝑢𝑚 = 𝑠𝑢𝑚 + 𝑝𝛼 ;

339 Step 4. If summation is greater than or equal to 1, proceed to the next step; or else, flag =

340 flag + 1 and proceed to the next step. Step 2. Observably, the probability splitting algorithm

341 preprocesses the PLTSs so that their probability distributions are identical. The generalized

342 hybrid weighted distance can be derived from this probability splitting approach.
343 Definition 8 [63].  -fuzzy measure g, a subtype of fuzzy measure defined on P(X) that

344 fulfills the finite  -rule, possesses the following extra property:

345 g( A B)  g ( A)  g ( B)   g ( A) g ( B)

346 Where 1     for all A, B  P( X ) and A B  .

347 By parameter  the interaction between criteria can be represented as follows:

348 If   0 , there is no interaction between A and B.

349 If   0 , then g ( A B)  g ( A)  g ( B) , which implies that the set { A, B} has multiplicative

350 effect.

351 If   0 , then g ( A B)  g ( A)  g ( B) , which suggests that the set { A, B} has replace effect.

352 If 𝑋 is a finite set, then ∪𝑛𝑖=1 𝑥𝑖 = 𝑋. The  -fuzzy measure 𝑔 satisfies following Eq.(13).

1
(∏𝑛 [1 − 𝜆𝑔(𝑥𝑖 )] − 1) if 𝜆 ≠ 0
353 𝑔(𝑋) = {𝜆 𝑛 𝑖=1 (13)
∑𝑖=1 𝑔(𝑥𝑖 ) if 𝜆 = 0

354 Where xi xj   for all i, j  1, 2,..., n and i  j . It can be noted that g ( xi ) for a subset with a

355 single element xi is called a fuzzy density, and can be denoted as gi  g ( xi ) .

356 Especially for every subset A  P ( X ) , we have

1
(∏ [1 − 𝜆𝑔𝑖 ] − 1) if 𝜆 ≠ 0
357 𝑔(𝐴) = {𝜆 𝑖∈𝐴 (14)
∑𝑖∈𝐴 𝑔𝑖 if 𝜆 = 0

358 Based on Eq.(14), the value of  can be uniquely determined from g ( X )  1 , which is equal

359 to solving the following Eq.(15).

360 𝜆 + 1 = ∏𝑛𝑖=1(1 + 𝜆𝑔𝑖 ) (15)

361 Definition 9.[64]. Suppose a real number set𝐴 = {𝑎(1) , … , 𝑎(𝑡) }, if g is the  -fuzzy

362 measure which is associated with𝐴,𝑎(𝑖) ∈ 𝐴, then

∑𝑛𝑖=1 𝑎(𝑖) 𝑔(𝑖) ∏𝑛𝑗=𝑖+1[1 + 𝜆𝑔(𝑖) ] 𝜆 ≠ 0


363 𝐶𝐼𝑔 (𝑎(1) , . . . , 𝑎(𝑡) ) = { 𝑛 (16)
∑𝑖=1 𝑎(𝑖) 𝑔(𝑖) 𝜆=0

364 Where, ()
is indicates a permutation on (𝑎1 , … , 𝑎𝑡 ) such that 𝑎(1) ≤ ⋯ ≤ 𝑎(𝑡) .
365 3.2 Procedure of the proposed approach
366 The flow chart of the suggested method is shown in Figure 1.

Phase I- PLTS-EV from experts


Establishing
PLTS
decision Data normalization by Eq.(18) PLTS-EV matrix of
matrices Actual quantitative data and Table 3 alternative DESS plan

Phase II-
determining Eq. (11)
the fuzzy
densities of The PLTS-importance The fuzzy densities of
sub-criteria degrees of sub-criteria sub-criteria
and criteria

Eq. (8) Eq. (11)

The PLTS-importance degrees The corrected PLTS- The corrected fuzzy densities
of criteria and attributes importance degrees of criteria of criteria

Phase III--
aggregating The fuzzy densities of
the PLTS-EVs sub-criteria
on the sub- PLTS-TOPSIS
criteria by the model and RC
Choquet
PLTS-TOPSIS Eq.(20),Eq.(21)
integral The relative closeness of
model and PLTS-EV matrix of , Eq.(22) and
Choquet Eq.(23) alternatives on the criteria
alternative DESS plan
integral

Phase IV-
selecting the
best alternative RC
based on the
VIKOR model The relative closeness of
alternatives on the criteria
S,R and Q
The group utility measure The optimal
VIKOR Eq.(24), The individual regret decision condition
Eq.(25)
model measure by VIKOR principle
and
Eq.(26) The compromise measure (step 4 in Phase IV)
The corrected fuzzy densities
of criteria

367

368 Figure 1 The flowchart of the proposed approach

369 3.2.1 Phase I-Establishing PLTS-EV decision matrix

370 Assuming there are m alternatives and n sub-criteria associated with a given criterion, the

371 specific steps of Phase I are as follows:

372 The first step is to change the EV into the PLTS-EV. The EV of alternate DESS designs

373 can be converted to PLTS-EV using Eq. (17) and Table 2.


𝐸𝑉𝑖𝑗 −𝑚𝑖𝑛𝐸𝑉𝑖
, 𝑖 ∈ Ω𝑏
𝑚𝑎𝑥𝐸𝑉𝑖 −𝑚𝑖𝑛𝐸𝑉𝑖
374 𝐶𝐿𝑖𝑗 = { 𝑚𝑎𝑥𝐸𝑉 (17)
𝑖 −𝐸𝑉𝑖𝑗
, 𝑖 ∈ Ω𝑐
𝑚𝑎𝑥𝐸𝑉𝑖 −𝑚𝑖𝑛𝐸𝑉𝑖

375 Where EVi max and EVi min are the maximum and minimum EV on the i-th sub-criterion,

376 EVij is the EV of the j-th alternative plan on the i-th sub-criterion, b and  c are the positive

377 and negative plan decision criteria set respectively.

378 Table 2 value ranges, linguistic terms and symbols

Value Ranges [0,0.11] (0.11,0.22] (0.22,0.33] (0.33,0.44] (0.44,0.55]

Linguistic Terms
Lousy Very Bad Bad A Little Bad Medium
for evaluation

Linguistic Terms

for index Very A Little


Nothing Unimportant Medium
importance Unimportant Unimportant

Comparison

Symbol 𝑠0 𝑠1 𝑠2 𝑠3 𝑠4

Value Ranges (0.55,0.66] (0.66,0.77] (0.77,0.88] (0.88,1]

Linguistic Terms A Little


Good Very Good Perfect
for evaluation Good

Linguistic Terms

for index A Little Very Most


Important
importance Important Important Important

Comparison

Symbols 𝑠5 𝑠6 𝑠7 𝑠8

379 Step 2. Obtaining the probabilistic linguistic term set evaluation values of alternatives on

380 the qualitative sub-criteria. In the light of the Table 2, the expert assigns the probabilistic
381 linguistic term set evaluation value (PLTS-EV) to delegate his/her idea for the alternative DESS

382 project plan.

383 If the PLTS-EV is on the negative sub-criteria, then the linguistic term in the PLTS-EV

384 should be converted to the complementary term by Eq.(18).

385 𝑛𝑒𝑔(𝑠𝛼 ) = 𝑠𝛽 , 𝛽 = 2𝜏 + 1 − 𝛼, {𝑆𝛼 |𝛼 = 1, … ,2𝜏} (18)

386 Step 3. Obtaining the probabilistic linguistic term set evaluation value matrix of

387 alternative DESS project plans. Gather the PLTS-EVs obtained in in step 1 and step 2

388 together to build the PLTS-EV matrix of alternative DESS project plans.

𝐿11 (𝑝) ⋯ 𝐿1𝑛 (𝑝)


389 𝑅 = [𝐿𝑖𝑗 (𝑝)] =[ ⋮ ⋱ ⋮ ] (19)
𝑚×𝑛
𝐿𝑚1 (𝑝) ⋯ 𝐿𝑚𝑛 (𝑝)
(𝑙) (𝑙)
390 Where 𝐿𝑖𝑗 (𝑝) = {𝑠𝑖𝑗 (𝑝𝑖𝑗 )|𝑖 = 1,2, … , 𝑚; 𝑗 = 1,2, … , 𝑛}.

391 3.2.2 Phase II-determining the fuzzy densities of sub-criteria and criteria

392 Suppose there are k criteria and n sub-criteria under a certain criterion, the concrete steps

393 of this Phase II are as bellow:

394 Step 1. Also according to the Table 2, the experts assign the PLTS importance degree to

395 reflect their presumption of importance of sub-criteria according to the actual situations of the

396 alternative DESS project plan and the importance of criteria and attributes are determined by

397 the same way.

398 Step 2. Determining the fuzzy densities of sub-criteria. We assume that the fuzzy densities

399 of sub-criteria are equal to the concentration degrees of PLTS importance degree in this paper.

400 So according to the PLTS importance degree, the fuzzy densities of sub-criteria can be

401 calculated by Eq. (10). We marked the fuzzy densities of sub-criteria as 𝑔𝑗𝑠𝑢𝑏 , (𝑗 = 1, … , 𝑛).

402 Determining the fuzzy densities of criteria is the third step. This study adopts the criterion

403 level as the highest level of the decision index system aiming to demonstrate the pros and cons

404 of the alternative plans in greater detail through the VIKOR approach. Therefore, in order for
405 the fuzzy densities of the criteria to reflect those of the attribute to which the criteria belong.

406 The specific method is as follows: ①According to the PLTS importance degree of criteria and

407 attributes, the corrected PLTS importance degree of criterion is equal to the multiplication of

408 the PLTS importance degree of criterion and the PLTS importance degree of attributes by Eq.

409 (7); ②It is identical to the operation for calculating the fuzzy densities of sub-criteria; the fuzzy

410 densities of the criterion can be ascertain using Eq (10). We marked the corrected fuzzy

411 densities of criteria as 𝑔𝑗 , (𝑗 = 1, … , 𝑘).

412 Step 4. Using the data gathered in Step 1 for fuzzy densities, the parameter of criteria and

413 sub-criteria can be determined using Eq. (16).

414 3.2.3 Phase III-aggregating the PLTS-EVs on the sub-criteria by the PLTS-TOPSIS model and
415 Choquet integral

416 The purpose of the phase IV is to aggregate the PLTS-EVs on the sub-criteria into the

417 evaluation values on the criteria by principle of TOPSIS model. Suppose there are n sub-criteria

418 under a certain criterion, k criteria and m alternatives Ai (i  1, 2,..., m) , the specific steps of this

419 Phase II are as bellow:

420 Step 1. For 𝑅 = [𝐿𝑖𝑗 (𝑝)] , the probabilistic linguistic positive ideal solution (PLPIS)
𝑚×𝑛

421 𝐿𝑗+ (𝑝) and the probabilistic linguistic negative ideal solution (PLNIS) 𝐿𝑗− (𝑝) on the j-th sub-

422 criterion are equal to {𝑠8 (1)} and {𝑠0 (1)} respectively.

423 Step 2. Calculating the distance between each alternative and the PLPIS and PLNIS by

424 Eq.(19) and Eq.(20).

425 𝑑(𝐴𝑖 , 𝐿+ ) = ∑𝑛𝑗=1 𝑑 (𝐿𝑖𝑗 (𝑝), 𝐿𝑗+ (𝑝)) 𝑔(𝑗)


𝑠𝑢𝑏 𝑛 𝑠𝑢𝑏
∏𝑗=𝑖+1[1 + 𝜆𝑔(𝑗) ] (19)

426 𝑑(𝐴𝑖 , 𝐿− ) = ∑𝑛𝑗=1 𝑑 (𝐿𝑖𝑗 (𝑝), 𝐿𝑗− (𝑝)) 𝑔(𝑗)


𝑠𝑢𝑏 𝑛 𝑠𝑢𝑏
∏𝑗=𝑖+1[1 + 𝜆𝑔(𝑗) ] (20)

𝑠𝑢𝑏
427 Where 𝑔(𝑗) is the fuzzy density of the j-th sub-criterion.

428 Step 3. Calculating the relative closeness of the alternative under a certain criterion. The
429 relative closeness which can be calculated by Eq.(21) is considered as the evaluation value of

430 the alternative under a certain criterion.

𝑖 𝑑(𝐴 ,𝐿− )
431 𝑟𝑐𝑖 = 𝑑(𝐴 ,𝐿− )+𝑑(𝐴 (21)
𝑖 ,𝐿+ ) 𝑖

432 Where 𝑟𝑐𝑖 is the relative closeness of the i-th alternative under a certain criterion.

433 Step 4. Establishing the relative closeness matrix of alternatives. After calculating the

434 relative closeness of the alternative on all criteria, the relative closeness matrix of alternatives

435 can be constructed by Eq.(22).

𝑟𝑐11 ⋯ 𝑟𝑐1𝑘
436 𝑅𝐶 = [𝑟𝑐𝑖𝑗 ] =[ ⋮ ⋱ ⋮ ] (22)
𝑚×𝑘
𝑟𝑐𝑚1 ⋯ 𝑟𝑐𝑚𝑘
437

438 3.2.4 Phase IV-selecting the best alternative based on the VIKOR model

439 Suppose there are m alternatives Ai (i  1, 2,..., m) and k criteria, the specific steps of this

440 Phase IV are as follows:

441 Step 1. The positive ideal solution (PIS) of alternatives is obtained as 𝑅𝐶 + =

442 {𝑟𝑐1+ , … , 𝑟𝑐𝑗+ , … , 𝑟𝑐𝑘+ } and the negative ideal solution (NIS) of alternatives is obtained as

443 𝑅𝐶 − = {𝑟𝑐1− , … , 𝑟𝑐𝑗− , … , 𝑟𝑐𝑘− }, where 𝑟𝑐𝑗+ is the maximum value of 𝑟𝑐 on the j-th criterion

444 and 𝑟𝑐𝑗− is the minimum value of 𝑟𝑐 on the j-th criterion.

445 Step 2. Compute the group utility measure S i , the individual regret measure Ri and the

446 compromise measure Qi of the i-th alternative by the following equations:

𝑑(𝑟𝑐 ,𝑟𝑐 + )
447
𝑆𝑖 = ( 𝑑(𝑟𝑐𝑖𝑗+,𝑟𝑐 𝑗−) × 𝑔(𝑗) ∏𝑘𝑗=𝑗+1[1 + 𝜆𝑔(𝑗) ]) (23)
𝑗 𝑗

𝑑(𝑟𝑐𝑖𝑗 ,𝑟𝑐𝑗+ )
448
𝑅𝑖 = 𝑚𝑎𝑥 ( 𝑑(𝑟𝑐 +,𝑟𝑐 −) × 𝑔(𝑗) ∏𝑘𝑗=𝑗+1[1 + 𝜆𝑔(𝑗) ]) (24)
𝑗 𝑗

𝑆 −𝑆 − 𝑅 −𝑅−
449 𝑄𝑖 = 𝜂 𝑆 +𝑖 −𝑆− + (1 − 𝜂) 𝑅+𝑖 −𝑅− (25)

450 where S  max{Si } , S   min{Si } , R   max{Ri } , R   min{Ri } ,  is a weight for the strategy
i i i i

451 of maximum group utility, where it is supposed that   0.5 ; d () is the Euclidean distance.

452 𝑔(𝑗) is the fuzzy density of the j-th criterion.

453 Step 3. Sort the alternatives according to the values of S, R, and Q.

454 Step 4. Propose as a compromise solution the alternative ( A(1) ) that is ranked highest by

455 the measure Q (minimum) if the two requirements below are met:

456 C1. The alternative ( A(1) ) offers a sufficient benefit, which means Q( A(2) )  Q( A(1) )  DQ

457 where DQ  1/ (m  1) .

458 C2. The alternative ( A(1) ) has acceptable stability, thus it also has the highest score on S

459 or/and R .

460 If one of the prerequisites is not satisfied, then the following compromise Alternatives are

461 proposed:

462  Alternatives A(1) and A( m ) if only the condition C2 is not satisfied

463  Alternatives A(1) , A(2) , ... , A( m ) if the condition C1 is not satisfied, where A( m ) is determined

464 by the relation Q( A( m ) )  Q( A(1) )  DQ for the maximum M (the positions of these alternatives are

465 “in closeness”).


466 4. A case study

Substation 1

Substation 2

Substation 3

Substation 4

Substation 5

467

468 Figure 2 the location of DESS


469 A corporation wishing to construct a DESS in the planned substations in a city in Henan

470 Province, the location of DESS is shown in Figure 2. The energy corporation gathered five

471 relevant specialists to analyze the three blueprints created by the three distinct design institutes.

472 The alternatives were named Alternative 1, Alternative 2 and Alternative 3.

473 Alternative 1 has used the most recent energy storage technology and design idea due to

474 the evolved nature of energy storage technology. Alternative 2's energy storage technology and

475 design idea are between those of alternatives 1 and 3, whereas alternative 3's energy storage

476 technology and design concept are more developed.

477 The decision criterion C23 is a quantitative criterion calculated by the investment

478 department. Table 3 show the evaluation value, then convert it into PLTS by Eq. (17) and Table

479 2. The result is shown in Table 4. In addition to decision criterion C23, according to their own

480 experience, experts gave the PLTS-EV of each alternative DESS project plan on each criterion

481 , the specific linguistic terms and their symbols can be seen in Table 2, so the PLTS-EV decision

482 matrix of DESS project plans is shown in Table 4.

483 After determining the comprehensive decision matrix, according to the Table 2, the

484 experts determined the PLTS importance degree of the sub-criteria, criteria and decision
485 attributes. According to the step 2 of phase-II, the fuzzy densities of sub-criteria can be

486 calculated by Eq.(10), the PLTS importance and fuzzy densities of sub-criteria can be seen in

487 Table 5 and Table 6. According to the Step 3 of Phase-II, the corrected PLTS importance and

488 fuzzy densities of criteria can be calculated, which also can be seen in Table 5 and Table 6.

489 After fuzzy densities of sub-criteria and criteria and PLTS-EVs of alternatives are

490 calculated, Phase III can determine the alternative's proximity to the criteria, as shown in Table

491 7. On the basis of the above relative closeness, the group utility measure, the individual regret

492 measure, and the compromise measure can be calculated using Equations (23), (24), and (25),

493 respectively, where   0.5 , with the results shown in Table 8.

494 On the basis of the group utility measure, Alternative 2 > Alternative 1 > Alternative 3.

495 Alternative 2 has an overall advantage over the other alternatives; according to the individual

496 regret measure, alternative 1 has an obvious disadvantage in C23 criterion, alternative 2 has an

497 obvious disadvantage in C31 criterion, and alternative 3 has an obvious disadvantage in C32

498 criterion. Among the three alternatives, alternative 3 has the smallest disadvantage, then

499 alternative 2 and alternative 1, so the ranking is Alternative 3> Alternative 2> Alternative 1;

500 based on the compromise measure, the final ranking is Alternative 2>Alternative 3>Alternative

501 1. Due to the fact that DQ equals 0.5, the compromise measure of alternative 3 minus the

502 compromise measure of alternative 2 is 0.46, so the condition C1 is not met. Nevertheless, the

503 compromise measure of alternative 1 minus the compromise measure of alternative 2 is 0.94,

504 so according to the judgment rules of VIKOR in Step 4 of section 4.2.4, alternative 2 is the

505 best.

506 The reason for the above results is that the alternative 1 adopts the latest technology and

507 new design concept, which has good performance in environmental sustainability, high return

508 on investment and high social value. However, due to its high investment cost and long payback

509 period, it has poor performance in financial sustainability. At the same time, the public and the

510 government always maintain a vigilant attitude towards emerging things, The above problems

511 lead to higher project risks and difficulties in the design of business model, so it ranks second
512 in the overall effectiveness. The biggest risk is the lack of financial sustainability.

513 The alternative 3 adopts the most mature technology and design concept, so it has enough

514 advantages in rationality of business model design and risk factors, and has relative advantages

515 in financial sustainability. However, it has poor performance in environmental sustainability

516 and social sustainability because of the defects of old technology, At the same time, the public

517 is also very clear about the defects of the old technology, so it ranks third in the overall utility,

518 and the biggest risk is the lack of sustainability of support.

519 the alternative 2's energy storage technology and design concept are between the

520 alternative 1 and the alternative 3. Therefore, it ranks second in environmental sustainability,

521 rationality of business model design and risk factors, but it has better financial sustainability.

522 Meanwhile, the technology and design concept without rashness are supported by the public

523 and the government, so it ranks first in the overall utility. The biggest risk comes from the lack

524 of sustainability of social value.

525 Table 3 The quantitative data

unit Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3

(SC231) Ten thousand 10235 8346 7943

(SC232) % 0.34 0.29 0.28

(SC233) year 10 8 7

526

527 Table 4 PLTS-EV of alternative on the sub-criteria

Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3

(SC111) {𝑠7 (0.4),𝑠8 (0.6)} {𝑠6 (1)} {𝑠5 (0.2),𝑠6 (0.8)}

(SC112) {𝑠7 (0.2),𝑠8 (0.8)} {𝑠6 (1)} {𝑠3 (0.8),𝑠6 (0.2)}

(SC113) {𝑠7 (0.4),𝑠8 (0.6)} {𝑠6 (0.2),𝑠7 (0.8)} {𝑠5 (0.4),𝑠6 (0.6)}

(SC121) {𝑠7 (0.4),𝑠8 (0.6)} {𝑠7 (1)} {𝑠5 (0.6),𝑠6 (0.4)}

(SC122) {𝑠6 (0.2),𝑠7 (0.2),𝑠8 (0.6)} {𝑠7 (0.8),𝑠8 (0.2)} {𝑠5 (0.6),𝑠6 (0.4)}
(SC123) {𝑠7 (0.4),𝑠8 (0.6)} {𝑠6 (1)} {𝑠5 (0.8),𝑠6 (0.2)}

(SC124) {𝑠7 (0.2),𝑠8 (0.8)} {𝑠7 (1)} {𝑠6 (0.8),𝑠7 (0.2)}

(SC211) {𝑠2 (0.8),𝑠3 (0.2)} {𝑠7 (1)} {𝑠7 (0.4),𝑠8 (0.6)}

(SC212) {𝑠2 (0.2),𝑠3 (0.6),𝑠4 (0.2)} {𝑠6 (0.8),𝑠7 (0.2)} {𝑠7 (0.6),𝑠8 (0.4)}

(SC213) {𝑠3 (0.8),𝑠4 (0.2)} {𝑠7 (1)} {𝑠7 (0.2),𝑠8 (0.8)}

(SC221) {𝑠3 (0.2),𝑠4 (0.8)} {𝑠6 (0.8),𝑠7 (0.2)} {𝑠6 (0.2),𝑠7 (0.2),𝑠8 (0.6)}

(SC222) {𝑠3 (0.2),𝑠4 (0.8)} {𝑠5 (0.2),𝑠6 (0.6),𝑠7 (0.2)} {𝑠7 (0.4),𝑠8 (0.6)}

(SC231) {𝑠0 (1)} {𝑠7 (1)} {𝑠8 (1)}

(SC232) {𝑠8 (1)} {𝑠3 (1)} {𝑠0 (1)}

(SC233) {𝑠0 (1)} {𝑠6 (1)} {𝑠8 (1)}

(SC311) {𝑠7 (1)} {𝑠5 (1)} {𝑠5 (1)}

(SC312) {𝑠6 (0.4),𝑠7 (0.6)} {𝑠5 (0.2),𝑠6 (0.8)} {𝑠6 (1)}

(SC313) {𝑠6 (0.2),𝑠7 (0.8)} {𝑠6 (1)} {𝑠6 (0.8),𝑠7 (0.2)}

(SC314) {𝑠5 (0.2),𝑠7 (0.8)} {𝑠6 (0.4),𝑠7 (0.6)} {𝑠6 (0.4),𝑠7 (0.4),𝑠8 (0.2)}

(SC321) {𝑠6 (1)} {𝑠7 (0.4),𝑠8 (0.6)} {𝑠5 (0.2),𝑠6 (0.8)}

(SC322) {𝑠6 (1)} {𝑠6 (0.2),𝑠7 (0.2),𝑠8 (0.6)} {𝑠6 (0.8),𝑠7 (0.2)}

528

529 Table 5 PLTS importance of attributes, criteria and sub-criteria

Attributes Criteria Sub-criteria

(A1) {𝑠5 (0.2),𝑠6 (0.8)} (C11) {𝑠7 (0.2),𝑠8 (0.8)} (SC111) {𝑠7 (0.4),𝑠8 (0.6)}

(SC112) {𝑠7 (0.2),𝑠8 (0.8)}

(SC113) {𝑠8 (1)}

(C12) {𝑠5 (0.4),𝑠6 (0.6)} (SC121) {𝑠7 (0.2),𝑠8 (0.8)}

(SC122) {𝑠6 (0.4),𝑠7 (0.6)}

(SC123) {𝑠6 (0.6),𝑠7 (0.4)}

(SC124) {𝑠4 (0.8),𝑠5 (0.2)}

(A2) {𝑠7 (0.4),𝑠8 (0.6)} (C21) {𝑠6 (0.2),𝑠7 (0.8)} (SC211) {𝑠5 (0.2),𝑠6 (0.2),𝑠7 (0.6)}
(SC212) {𝑠5 (0.2),𝑠6 (0.8)}

(SC213) {𝑠4 (0.2),𝑠5 (0.8)}

(C22) {𝑠4 (0.2),𝑠5 (0.6), (SC221) {𝑠6 (0.2),𝑠8 (0.8)}

𝑠6 (0.2)}

(SC222) {𝑠3 (0.2),𝑠4 (0.6),𝑠5 (0.2)}

(C23) {𝑠8 (1)} (SC231) {𝑠7 (0.6),𝑠8 (0.4)}

(SC232) {𝑠6 (0.2),𝑠7 (0.6),𝑠8 (0.2)}

(SC233) {𝑠6 (0.6),𝑠7 (0.4)}

(A3) {𝑠4 (0.2),𝑠5 (0.6), (C31) (SC311) {𝑠6 (0.2),𝑠7 (0.6),𝑠8 (0.2)}
{𝑠7 (0.6),𝑠8 (0.4)}
𝑠6 (0.2)}

(SC312) {𝑠5 (0.2),𝑠8 (0.8)}

(SC313) {𝑠7 (0.2),𝑠8 (0.8)}

(SC314) {𝑠3 (0.4),𝑠6 (0.6)}

(C32) {𝑠4 (0.4),𝑠5 (0.6)} (SC321) {𝑠4 (0.2),𝑠5 (0.6),𝑠6 (0.2)}

(SC322) {𝑠6 (0.6),𝑠7 (0.4)}

530

531 Table 6 fuzzy densities of criteria and sub-criteria

Criteria The corrected PLTS fuzzy Sub-criteria fuzzy

importance densities densities

(C11) {𝑠9.47 (0.8), 𝑠2.86 (SC111)


0.49 0.87
(0.2)}

(SC112) 0.92

(SC113) 1

(C12) {𝑠5.86 (0.6), 𝑠2.81 (SC121)


0.41 0.92
(0.2), 𝑠2.76 (0.2)}

(SC122) 0.75

(SC123) 0.73

(SC124) 0.49

(C21) {𝑠6.7 (0.6), 𝑠2.95 (SC211)


0.41 0.69
(0.2), 𝑠2.91 (0.2)}

(SC212) 0.68
(SC213) 0.56

(C22) {6.11(0.6),2.91(0.2),2.8 (SC221)


0.41 0.83
(0.2)}

(SC222) 0.46

(C23) {6.96(0.6),4.48(0.4)} 0.57


(SC231)
0.84

(SC232) 0.81

(SC233) 0.73

(C31) {5.84(0.6),2.95(0.2),2. (SC311)


0.42 0.81
84(0.2)}

(SC312) 0.75

(SC313) 0.92

(SC314) 0.43

(C32) {5.25(0.6),2.75(0.2),2. 0.40 (SC321)


0.58
64(0.2)}

(SC322) 0.73

532

533 Table 7 RC of the alternatives

Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3

(C11) 0.95 0.76 0.56

(C12) 0.93 0.80 0.67

(C21) 0.34 0.82 0.93

(C22) 0.49 0.76 0.93

(C23) 0.46 0.61 0.54

(C31) 0.86 0.68 0.68

(C32) 0.75 0.93 0.75

534

535 Table 8 S,R and Q of alternatives

Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3 rankings

S 0.92 0.66 0.93 2, 1, 3

0.57 0.41 0.40


R 3, 2, 1
C23 C31 C32
Q 0.98 0.04 0.50 2, 3, 1

536

537 5. Discussion

538 5.1 Comparative analysis

539 In this paper, the advantages of the framework are as follows: ①Take PLTS as the

540 expression of decision information to strike a balance the expression convenience of decision

541 preference and the ability to handle uncertainty. ② Take the fuzzy measure and Choquet

542 integral to solve problem of independence assumption of criteria. ③ Considering both the

543 global utility and the local disadvantages simultaneously. In this section, we conduct a

544 comparative analysis to illustrate these developments. There are six scenarios showed in Table

545 9. In the scenarios, the VIKOR method is replaced with the weighted average method, which

546 is currently the most popular decision-making technique; the PLTS is replaced with a real

547 number; and the fuzzy measure is replaced with a weight, the comparative analysis is shown

548 in Figure 3.
549 Comparing scenario 1 with the outcome of the case, scenario 2 with scenario 6, scenario

550 3 with scenario 5, and replacing PLTS with real numbers, which only results in fluctuating

551 values and does not alter the order of alternatives, demonstrates that uncertainty will have a

552 disorderly effect on the decision-making outcomes.

553 Clearly, when the VIKOR method is replaced with the weighted average method, the score

554 and ranking of alternatives will change, and the drawbacks of the DESS project plan cannot be

555 reflected in the final result.

556 Compare scenario 3 with the case's result, scenario 1 with scenario 5, and scenario 2 with

557 scenario 4. When the weight is used to replace the fuzzy measure, it also causes numerical

558 fluctuation, but does not alter the order of alternatives; this demonstrates that correlation

559 between criteria will influence the decision-making results disorderly.


560 In conclusion, the proposed decision model in this paper can effectively strike a balance

561 between the expression convenience of decision preference and the ability to deal with

562 uncertainty, can avoid the decision-making errors caused by the assumption of independence

563 that cannot be satisfied, and considers the overall effectiveness and local disadvantages to

564 ensure the rationality of selection of the DESS project plan.

565 Table 9 Scenario series of considering different scenarios

PLTS VIKOR Choquet


Scenario 1 〇 〇
Scenario 2 〇 〇
Scenario 3 〇 〇
Scenario 4 〇
Scenario 5 〇
Scenario 6 〇
Comparative analysis
Calculation results main points of data processing

Scenario 1
Alternative S1 Alternative S2 Alternative S3
Replacing PLTS with
real numbers

The Compromise Measure of Alternative S1: 0.95


The Compromise Measure of Alternative S2: 0.06
The Compromise Measure of Alternative S3: 0.5
Scenario 2

Alternative S1 Alternative S2 Alternative S3


Replacing VIKOR with
weighted average method
The Comprehensive Score of Alternative S1: 0.87
The Comprehensive Score of Alternative S2: 0.85
The Comprehensive Score of Alternative S3: 0.85
Scenario 3

Alternative S1 Alternative S2 Alternative S3


Replacing fuzzy measure
with weight
The Compromise Measure of Alternative S1:1.00
The Compromise Measure of Alternative S2:0.00
The Compromise Measure of Alternative S3: 0.67
Scenario 4

Alternative S1 Alternative S2 Alternative S3 Replacing VIKOR with


weighted average method
Replacing fuzzy measure
The Comprehensive Score of Alternative S1: 0.66 with weight
The Comprehensive Score of Alternative S2: 0.79
The Comprehensive Score of Alternative S3: 0.75
Scenario 5

Alternative S1 Alternative S2 Alternative S3 Replacing PLTS


with real numbers
Replacing fuzzy
measure with weight
The Compromise Measure of Alternative S1: 0.99
The Compromise Measure of Alternative S2: 0.00
The Compromise Measure of Alternative S3: 0.73
Scenario 6

Alternative S1 Alternative S2 Alternative S3 Replacing PLTS with


real numbers
Replacing VIKOR with
The Comprehensive Score of Alternative S1: 0.87 weighted average method
The Comprehensive Score of Alternative S2: 0.85
The Comprehensive Score of Alternative S3: 0.85
Notes

Red means first Green means second. Yellow means third.


566

567 Figure. 3 Result of comparative analysis

568 5.2 Sensitivity analysis


569 The specialists conducted sensitivity analysis to determine the robustness of the decision

570 outcome. The first method, it increase the fuzzy densities by 30 percent and decrease them by

571 30 percent, while observing the ranking's response to the change in fuzzy densities. When the

572 fuzzy density of a single standard increases or decreases, we always ensure that the total fuzzy

573 density does not change. For example, in the case study, the fuzzy density of C11 decreases by

574 30% to 0.34, the additional 30% is 0.147, and the weights of the other criteria must be increased

575 by 0.0244 (0.147/6). Figure 4 depicts the sensitivity analysis results. We can conclude from
576 these numbers that the decision result is robust.

577

578 Figure. 4 The result of sensitivity analysis

579 The second method involves modifying the proportion of the individual regret measure

580 and the group utility measure by adjusting the coefficient 𝜂 in Eq. (29). This paper sets 𝜂

581 =(0,0.1,0.2,0.3,0.4,0.5,0.6,0.7,0.8,0.9,1) respectively; then, based on the compromise measures


582 calculated by at various values, Figure 3 depicts the corresponding radar map. Figure 5

583 demonstrates that as 𝜂 increases, gradually, the proportion of group utility measure increases;

584 when 𝜂 = 0, alternative 3 is optimal, and when 0 < 𝜂 ≤ 1, alternative 2 is optimal. In

585 conclusion, the optimal outcome is relatively stable. Alternative 2 is a better alternative.

586

587

588 Figure. 5 The compromise measures calculated by 𝛈 at different values

589 6. Conclusion
590 The DESS is a good choice to solve the power coordination and optimization difficulty of

591 renewable energy, but due to its high operation cost and lower profit margin, the investment of

592 DESS is getting cold. Now, the research on project investment decision is more concerned with

593 how to maximize profits, such as financial analysis[65-67] project quality and operation and

594 maintenance cost [12] and economic impact[15]. DESS investment is more about social

595 responsibility and environmental benefits. Meanwhile, with the development of battery

596 technology, it will have greater economic value in the future. Therefore, the investment

597 decision-making of DESS should be analyzed from the perspective of sustainability.

598 The problems encountered in the analysis of DESS investment decision-making from the

599 perspective of sustainability are as follows: ①The DESS decision index system is lacking from

600 the sustainability perspective; ②Common decision models find it challenging to deal with the

601 uncertainty of qualitative data effectively; ③It is challenging for the prevalent decision-making
602 model to effectively account for the correlation between criteria; ④It is difficult to use the

603 common decision model strike a balance between overall utility and local disadvantage.

604 For the sake of address aforementioned issues, firstly, this paper develops the decision

605 index system of the DESS project plan from the perspective of sustainability. Secondly, the

606 DESS project plan decision model is established based on the principle of PLTS, fuzzy measure

607 and the fundamental principle of the VIKOR method. The characteristics of the proposed

608 decision model are as follows: ①it can effectively handle uncertainty and makes experts

609 express their preferences easily by PLTS; ②the decision model is more in line with reality,

610 because the fuzzy measure is used in place of weight to avoid the assumption of independence

611 between criteria; ③ the decision model can ensure simultaneous consideration of the overall

612 utility and local disadvantage of alternative DESS project plans by the fundamental principle

613 of the VIKOR method. The above characteristics are verified by the comparative analysis in

614 Section 5.1.

615 Through sensitivity analysis, when increasing the fuzzy densities by 30 percent and

616 decrease them by 30 percent. In different sensitivity analysis scenarios, the value of the

617 compromise measure of the alternatives has changed, but the ranking has not changed, the

618 decision result is robust. When modifying the proportion of the individual regret measure and

619 the group utility measure by adjusting the coefficient 𝜂, when 𝜂 = 0, alternative 3 is optimal,

620 and when 0 < 𝜂 ≤ 1, alternative 2 is optimal. Therefore, in general, the decision model in this

621 paper can provide decision results with better robustness.

622 All of the aforementioned information shows that the energy company can select the

623 optimal DESS project plan by the proposed DESS project plan decision framework. However,

624 the correlations between social, business, and environmental sustainability are challenging to

625 quantify in this paper. Hence, in future research, we will use the intelligence of the Decision-

626 Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) to investigate these correlations so as to
627 make the DESS plan's decision-making results more reasonable.

628 Appendix A

629 Definition A1[68].. Let X = (x1 , x2 , . . . , xn ) be a finite universe of discourse, and P(X)

630 be its power set. A fuzzy measure for X is the set function m:P(X) → [0,1] that satisfies the

631 following conditions:

632  𝑚(𝜙) = 0, 𝑚(𝑋) = 1 (boundary conditions)

633  If 𝐴, 𝐵 ∈ 𝑃(𝑋) and𝐴 ⊆ 𝐵 then𝑚(𝐴) ≤ 𝑚(𝐵) (monotonicity)

634 Definition A2[69]. X = (x1 , x2 , ⋯ , xn ) is the non-empty classical set, let f be a positive

635 real-valued function on X, f: X → R+ and μ be a fuzzy measure on X. The (discrete) Choquet

636 integral of f with respective to μ is defined by

637 Cμ (f) = ∑ni=1 f(i) [μ(A(i) ) − μ(A(i+1) )]

638 Where (•) indicates a permutation on X such that f(x(1) ) ≤ f(x(2) ) ≤ ⋯ ≤ f(x(n) ). Also

639 A(i) = {x(1) , x(2) , ⋯ , x(n) }, A(n+1) = ϕ.

640 Appendix B
641 Table B2 The generally used internal representations of decision information

Data type Definition Ability to expression References

handle convenience

uncertainty

2-tuple A linguistic 2-tuple comprises of a linguistic value and a crisp middle easy [22]

Linguistic number, it is normally expressed as (s_a,μ). Suppose there is a

term predefined linguistic term set S={s_a |a=0,1,…,g} whose granularity

is defined as g+1, s_a is a component of this linguistic term set and

indicates a linguistic term center of the decision information. μ

represents the value of symbolic translation, which indicates the

deviation of an aggregation result φ from the closest linguistic label


a=round(φ), The value range of μ is [−0.5,0.5).

probabilistic Suppose there is a linguistic term set 𝑆 = strong easy [24]

linguistic {𝑠𝛼 |𝛼 = −𝜏, … , −1,0,1, … , 𝜏}, then a probabilistic linguistic term

term set set can be defined as

𝐿(𝑝)

|𝐿(𝑝)|
= {𝑠 (𝑙) (𝑝 (𝑙) )|𝑠 (𝑙) ∈ 𝑆2 , 𝑝(𝑙) > 0, 𝑙 = 1,2, … , |𝐿(𝑝)|, ∑𝑙=1 𝑝(𝑙) ≤ 1}

where 𝑠 (𝑙) (𝑝(𝑙) ) is the l-th element in the probabilistic linguistic


term set and it comprises of a linguistic term and its probability. The
term 𝐿(𝑝) denotes the number of elements in the probabilistic
linguistic term set.
Intuitionistic Suppose that 𝑋 = {𝑥1 , 𝑥2 , … , 𝑥𝑛 } is a finite universal set. An strong difficult [18]

fuzzy set intuitionistic fuzzy number 𝐷 which is in the X has the following

form: 𝐷 = {〈𝑥, 𝜇𝐷 (𝑥), 𝜐𝐷 (𝑥)〉|𝑥 ∈ 𝑋}.

Usually denoted by 𝐷 = 〈𝜇𝐷 (𝑥), 𝜐𝐷 (𝑥)〉 , where 𝜐𝐷 (𝑥), 𝜇𝐷 (𝑥): →


[0,1] are non-membership function and membership function
respectively. At the same time, it should be noted that 0 ≤ 𝜇𝐷 (𝑥) +
𝜐𝐷 (𝑥) ≤ 1.
interval- Suppose that 𝑋 = {𝑥1 , 𝑥2 , … , 𝑥𝑛 } is a finite universal set. The Very Very [19]

valued interval-valued Pythagorean fuzzy set (IVPFS) can be defined as strong difficult

Pythagorean follows:

fuzzy set P  { x,  ( x), v ( x), x  X }

Where v ( x)  [v L ( x), vU ( x)] and  ( x)  [  L ( x),  U ( x)]


respectively denote the non-membership degree and membership
degree of the element x  X in set X . it should be noted that
(  U ( x)) 2  (vU ( x)) 2  1 .

642
643 Acknowledgement
644 2022 Soft Science Research Project of Science and Technology Department of Henan

645 Province,project number:222400410377

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