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Note to reader: this is the original
text of the What is Denialism? essay
Mark Hoofnagle and Chris Hoofnagle developed in 2006 and 2007. It was
first outlined on the GiveUp blog,
April 30, 2007 and then published on Denialism
blog as a series of posts, at https:
//denialism.com/about/
Introduction
Conspiracy
Three can keep a secret if two are dead.
-Benjamin Franklin
For our next installment of the big five tactics in denialism we’ll
discuss the tactic of selectivity, or cherry-picking of data. Denialists
tend to cite single papers supporting their idea (often you have to
squint to see how it supports their argument). Similarly they dig up
discredited or flawed papers either to suggest they are supported by
the scientific literature, or to disparage a field making it appear the
Fake Experts
You know who they are—those organizations that have words like
“freedom” and “rights” “choice” and “consumer” in their names
but always shill for corporate interests. . . those occasional MDs or
engineers creationists find that will say evolution has nothing to do
with science. They are the fake experts.
But how do we tell which experts are fake and which are real?
To figure out who is a fake expert you have to figure out what a
real expert is. My definition would be a real expert is someone with
a thorough understanding of the field they are discussing, who accu-
rately represents the scientific literature and the state of understand-
ing of the scientific enterprise. There has been some other discussion
on scienceblogs from Janet at Adventures in Ethics and Science, it
also reiterates some of the same points in relation to what she feels
comfortable discussing as an expert. It also stresses the importance of
context in evaluating the validity of expert opinion. But I’m not the
god of the dictionary so let’s consider some other definitions.
The OED gives the definition simply as “One whose special
knowledge or skill causes him to be regarded as an authority; a spe-
cialist. Also attrib., as in expert evidence, witness, etc.”
I don’t think this is adequate to describe what we really mean
though, that is, how do you identify a trusted source of scientific
information?
Legally (in the US), scientific expertise had been defined by whether
the testimony the expert provided conforms to the so-called Frye rule
from 1923 until 1993 when the Daubert vs. Merrell Dow Pharmaceu-
ticals case changed the definition to be consistent with the federal
rules of evidence. The Frye rule was that scientific testimony was
valid if the theory it was based on was “generally accepted”, that is it
was admissible if the theory on which the evidence was based had a
somewhat arbitrary critical mass of followers in the scientific field.
In many ways Daubert was a big improvement, although it puts
more onus on the judge to determine if the science presented should
be considered valid as it merely stated that experts were defined by
the federal rules of evidence which allow the judge to determine:
(A good article on this issue here from the NEJM and a more
updated article.)
Luckily the justices didn’t just leave it at the federal rules of evi-
I’m sorry for mixing terminologies. But moving goalposts isn’t ade-
quate to describe the full hilarity of the kinds of arguments denialists
make. For instance, the goalposts never have to be moved when they
require evidence that places them somewhere in the land before time.
What I mean is the use, by denialists, of the absence of complete and
absolute knowledge of a subject to prevent implementation of sound
policies, or acceptance of an idea or a theory.
So while moving goalposts describes a way of continuing to avoid
acceptance of a theory after scientists have obligingly provided addi-
tional evidence that was a stated requirement for belief, impossible
expectations describes a way to make it impossible for scientists to
ever prove anything to the satisfaction of the denialist. They’re re-
lated though so we’ll group both together. Let’s take the example of
the global warming deniers. One finds that they harp endlessly about
models, how much models suck, how you can’t model anything, on
and on and on. True, models are hard, anything designed to prog-
nosticate such a large set of variables as those involved in climate is
going to be highly complex, and I’ll admit, I don’t understand them
worth a damn. Climate science in general is beyond me, and I read
the papers in Science and Nature that come out, blink a few times,
and then read the editors description to see why I should care. But
with or without models, which I do trust the scientists and peer-
reviewers involved to test adequately, that doesn’t change the fact
that actual measurement of global mean temperature is possible, and
is showing an alarmingly steep increase post-industrialization.
The next thing the global warming deniers harp on is about how
we don’t have enough records of temperature to make a educated
statement about whether our climate is really heating up that much
as the instrumental record only goes about 150 years back. Then
you show them proxy records that go back a thousand years, and
after they’re done accusing people of falsifying, they say it’s still not
enough, then you go back a few tens of thousands of years, and it’s
still not enough, then finally you go back about 750 thousand years
and they say, that’s just 0.0001% of the earth’s history! That’s like a
blink of the eye in terms of earth’s climate. Then you sigh and wish
for painless death. I’ll let real-climate fight the fights over proxy
records and CO2 lag, because, simply, they know a lot more than
me, and if you really want to argue with global warming denialists
I recommend reading A Few Things Ill Considered’s Faq first. But
what I can recognize is the tendency of the global warming deniers
to constantly move the goalposts back and back, and once they whip
out the argument we’ve only got proxy measurements for a fraction
of earths life (a mere few hundred thousand years), you know they’ve
graduated to impossible expectations.
A person who wasn’t just obviously stonewalling would say after
you’ve shown them this much data that maybe we should take the
data as is before we’re all under water. You don’t need to know the
position of every molecule of air on the planet, throughout the entire
history of earth to make a prudent judgement about avoiding dra-
matic climate change. (If they say that we don’t know what ideal is
say, “yeah, but Florida will still be under water). You don’t need to
know the position of every molecule in the galaxy before deciding
you need to jump out of the way of a speeding train. Similarly, we
don’t need to have a perfect model of the earth’s climate to under-
stand that all the current data and simulations suggest decreasing
carbon output is of critical importance right now, and not when hu-
mans have obtained some impossible level of scientific knowledge.
The honorary gif for making these tiresome arguments is – the
goalpost (and no Chris you may not animate it).
P.S. This does not mean that I endorse all efforts to model complex
systems. In the future I’ll probably complain about some modeling
implementation of systems biology which I tend to think is total BS.
I’ll explain the difference then. P.P.S To see an example of some really
hilarious creationist goalpost moving see our post on Michael Egnor
demanding biologists provide an answer for something he can’t even
define.
Logical Fallacies
thumb for detecting the BS. The ones you hear most are arguments
from metaphor or analogy (prime creationist tactic), appeals to conse-
quence (creationist and global warming denier), appeals to ignorance
(all – see moving goalposts), appeals to authority (all), straw men and
red herrings.
For instance, the classic creationist example of using the analogy of
the mouse-trap to suggest “irreducible complexity” as a problem for
biology. Fallacies let you dismiss this instantly by saying, analogies
aren’t science pal, how about some data. Analogies are often help-
ful for getting concepts across, but you routinely see them used by
denialists as evidence. And more frequently you see their analogies
aren’t even apt. For instance the mouse-trap is perfectly functional
as its constituent parts. It’s a platform, a spring and a hook, just be-
cause they’re not assembled doesn’t mean they’ve lost their function.
They just can’t kill mice anymore unless you throw them with suf-
ficient velocity at rodents. Similarly the watchmaker analogy, the jet
airplane analogy, or when a few months ago I saw this endless silly
analogy about arsonists and design. Uggh. Pointless. Don’t even
bother, you see things like this being used to challenge actual honest
to goodness data? You’re done. If you spend too much time piecing
together looking for a method to the madness you’ll end up like our
poor robot. He’s the mascot for logical fallacies.
Postscript (2022)
Foundations
What we called denialism can be recognized today in debates sur-
rounding disinformation and misinformation. Mis- and dis-information
have an ancient provenance. Lucian of Samosata’s second-century
work, On Slander, defines it nicely.4 Specific examples of disinforma- 4
“In a word, [slanderers] invent and
tion’s use appear in Caesar’s Commentaries and in Plutarch. Plato’s say the kind of thing that they know
will be most irritating to their hearer,
Gorgias notably addresses the issue of disinformation in a dialogue and having a full knowledge of his
in which Socrates’ opponent, a rhetorician, dismisses expertise as its vulnerable point, concentrate their fire
upon it; he is to be too much flustered
convincing power paled compared those who know how to manipu- by rage to have time for investigation;
late through technique and motivated reasoning.5 the very surprise of what he is told is
Albert Hirschman moved the ball forward in his 1991 book, to be so convincing to him that he will
not hear, even if his friend is willing to
The Rhetoric of Reaction (1991), where Hirschman identified plead.”
“rhetorics of intransigence.” A profound contribution also comes 5
Socrates: And the same holds of the
from Thomas Rid’s Active Measures (2020), which not only chron- relation of rhetoric to all the other arts;
the rhetorician need not know the truth
icles information problems, but explains how postmodernism seeds about things; he has only to discover
a truth-denying landscape: the purpose of disinformation is to “to some way of persuading the ignorant
that he has more knowledge than those
engineer division by putting emotions over analysis, division over who know?
unity, conflict over consensus, the particular over the universal.” Gorgias: Yes, Socrates, and is not this a
We also acknowledge the work of Deborah Lipstadt on the most great comfort?—not to have learned the
other arts, but the art of rhetoric only,
egregious example of denialism in Denying the Holocaust: The and yet to be in no way inferior to the
Growing Assault on Truth and Memory (1994). Lipstadt ex- professors of them?
poses the techniques in action in the context of dehumanizing Jews
and diminishing their memories and experiences. Holocaust denial
is inevitably motivated by a desire to allow its repetition. Lipstadt’s
work, more than any other, emphasizes the importance of conspiracy
as a tool of hate. Of all the tactics, conspiracy is designed to “other”
opponents, and rob the believers of empathy for groups of people.
If one comes to believe, for instance, a group of people are Satan-
worshiping child molesters, what actions against such a group are
unjustified?
Denialism in Research
Diethelm and McKee adopted the denialism framework and intro-
duced it for the first time into the scientific literature in the European
Journal of Public Health in 2009.9 Denialism has subsequently served 9
Pascal Diethelm, Martin McKee,
Denialism: what is it and how should
scientists respond? (2009) Volume 19,
Issue 1