Q+A Kantar Public Auckland Poll

16 to 20 September 2022
Attention: Q+A, TVNZ

Contact: (04) 913-3000

Release date: Sunday 25 September 2022

Contents
Methodology summary .................................................................................................................................................... 3

Question order and wording............................................................................................................................................. 4

Candidate support – Auckland City Mayor ........................................................................................................................ 5

Supplementary Questions ................................................................................................................................................ 8

Confidence in Auckland Council to meet the needs of residents ....................................................................................... 8

Impact of Auckland Super City .......................................................................................................................................... 9

Greater cycling space in Auckland .................................................................................................................................. 10

Introduction of free public transport in Auckland ........................................................................................................... 11

Housing intensification ................................................................................................................................................... 12

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Methodology summary
CLIENT: Q+A, Television New Zealand.

RELEASED: Sunday 25 September 2022

POLL CONDUCTED: Two polls were completed. The interviews were collected for the first one between
Thursday 8 and Thursday 15 September. After Viv Beck announced she was
withdrawing a second poll was completed between Friday 16 and Tuesday 20
September 2022.

MEDIAN FIELDWORK DAY: Sunday 18 September (50% of sample size target was reached on this day).

TARGET POPULATION: Eligible Auckland Council voters. Respondents were screened to a) check they live
in the Auckland Council, and b) they are eligible to vote.

INTERVIEW METHOD: Online. Conducted by CAWI (Computer Assisted Web Interviewing).

SAMPLE SELECTION: Online: Interviews were collected through online panels. All respondents were aged
18 or over. The panels used comply with the ESOMAR guidelines for online research.

SAMPLE SIZE: n = 1000 eligible voters for each poll.

SAMPLING ERROR: The maximum sampling error is approximately ±3.1%-points at the 95% confidence
level. This is the sampling error for a result around 50%. Results higher and lower
than 50% have a smaller sampling error. For example, results around 10% and 5%
have sampling errors of approximately ±1.9%-points and ±1.4%-points, respectively,
at the 95% confidence level. These sampling errors assume a simple random sample
of 1000 eligible voters.

It should be noted that any demographic sub-group analysis (e.g., by age or gender)
will be based on a smaller set of interviews and so will have a wider sampling error.

WEIGHTING: The data have been weighted to align with Stats NZ population counts for age,
gender, ethnic identification and education in Auckland Council.

REPORTED FIGURES: Reported bases are unweighted. For Candidate Support, percentages have been
rounded up or down to whole numbers.

Note: Undecided voters, non-voters and those who refused to answer are excluded from the data on candidate
support. The results are a snapshot in time, and not a prediction.
This poll was conducted in accordance with the New Zealand Political Polling Code. Publication or reproduction
of the results must be acknowledged as the “Q+A Kantar Public Auckland Poll”.

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Question order and wording

Voting eligibility
“If a general election was held today, would you be eligible to vote?”

NOTE: Those not eligible to vote are excluded from the total sample size for this poll.

Likelihood to vote
The local elections for Auckland Council are being held on 8th of October. How likely or unlikely, will you be to vote at the
election?

NOTE: Those claiming they would be ‘quite likely’ or ‘very likely’ to vote have been included in the candidate support
analysis.

Candidate vote
The local elections are being held on the 8th of October.

Which candidate, if any, will you vote for as mayor for Auckland Council?

IF DON’T KNOW

“Which candidate, if any, would you be most likely to vote for?”

NOTE: Those who said don’t know, refused to answer, or that they would not vote in the local elections have been
excluded from the results on candidate support.

Supplementary questions
• Do you feel confident in the ability of Auckland Council to meet the needs of its residents?

• It is 12 years since the old city and district councils across the Auckland region were combined to create Auckland
Council. Looking back, how would you describe the impact of the ‘super city’ council on Auckland residents?

• Do you think more road space should be given over to bicycles in Auckland to encourage residents to cycle more?

• Do you support or oppose the introduction of free public transport in Auckland? This would be funded by ratepayers.

• Housing intensification involves building a greater number of homes on the same amount of land e.g., by building
apartments or townhouses. Do you support or oppose greater housing intensification in your neighbourhood to help
make housing more affordable?

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Candidate support – Auckland City Mayor
The local elections are being held on the 8th of October.

Which candidate, if any, will you vote for as mayor for Auckland Council?

IF DON’T KNOW

“Which candidate, if any, would you most likely vote for?”

Forty-three percent of eligible voters in the most recent poll (following Viv Beck’s withdrawal from the race) either did not
know who they would vote for, refused to say or indicated they would not vote. This is similar to the proportion in the
initial poll (prior to Viv’s withdrawal).

8-15 Sept 2022 16-20 Sept 2022

Don’t know 32% 30%
Refused 10% 10%
Do not plan to vote 4% 4%
TOTAL 46% 43%*
Base (n=) 1000 1000
Based on eligible Auckland Council voters. *Percentages do not add to total due to rounding.

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Prior to Viv Beck withdrawing from the race, Efeso Collins was the preferred candidate for Auckland mayor, with Wayne
Brown in second place and Viv in a distant third. However, Viv’s withdrawal from the race has enabled Wayne to leapfrog
Efeso into pole position. According to this poll he is now the preferred candidate for Auckland mayor. Viv Beck still has 8%
support, in line with Craig Lord.

8-15 Sept 2022 16-20 Sept 2022

Wayne Brown 24% 35%

Efeso Collins 29% 29%

Viv Beck 14% 8%

Craig Lord 10% 8%
Gary Brown 4% 5%
John Alcock 2% 3%
Robert Hong Hu 2% 2%
Lisa Lewis 3% 1%
Ryan Earl Pausina * 1%

Tony Corbett 2% 1%

Michael Morris 1% 1%
John Palino 1% 1%

Dani Riekwel 1% 1%

Phil O'Connor 1% 1%
Michael Coote 2% 1%
Pete Mazany 1% 1%

Ted Johnston 1% 1%

Alezix Heneti * 1%
James Malcolm Dunphy * *
David John Feist * *

Tricia Cheel 1% *

Michael Kampkes 1% *
John Lehmann * *
TOTAL 100%** 100%**
Base (n=) 507 538
Based on those who are very or fairly likely to vote and expressed a candidate preference.
* Candidate received less than 0.5% of the vote **Percentages do not add to total due to rounding.

Those groups of eligible voters who are more likely than average (35%) to vote for Wayne Brown as their candidate
include:
• ACT party supporters (61%)
• People aged 60 plus (58%)
• National party supporters (49%)
• New Zealand Europeans (44%)
• Men (39%).

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Those groups of eligible voters who are more likely than average (29%) to vote for Efeso Collins as their candidate include:
• Green party supporters (69%)
• Pasifika (68%)
• Labour party supporters (55%)
• Women aged 35-54 (43%).

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Supplementary Questions

Confidence in Auckland Council to meet the needs of residents

Do you feel confident in the ability of Auckland Council to meet the needs of its residents?

Total eligible Auckland voters

16-20 Sept 2022

Yes 32%
No 49%
Don’t know / Refused 19%
Total 100%
Base (n=) 1000
Based on eligible Auckland Council voters.

Around half of eligible voters (49%) in Auckland do not feel confident in the ability of the Council to meet their
needs. This compares to 32% of eligible voters who do feel confident in the Council’s ability. The remaining 19%
either don’t know or refused to answer.

Those groups of eligible voters who are more likely than average (32%) to feel confident in Auckland Council’s
ability to meet the needs of its residents include:
• Asian New Zealanders (46%)

• Labour party supporters (46%)

• Efeso Collins supporters (45%)

• Men aged 18-34 (43%)

• Graduates (35%).

Those groups of eligible voters who are more likely than average (49%) to not feel confident in Auckland
Council’s ability to meet the needs of its residents include:
• ACT party supporters (76%)

• Wayne Brown supporters (68%)

• Men aged 55 plus (67%)

• National party supporters (59%)

• New Zealand Europeans (54%).

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Impact of Auckland Super City
It is 12 years since the old city and district councils across the Auckland region were combined to create
Auckland Council. Looking back, how would you describe the impact of the ‘super city’ council on Auckland
residents?

Total eligible Auckland voters

16-20 Sept 2022

Mostly positive 12%

Mixed – both positive and negative 55%
Mostly negative 25%
Don’t know / Refused 8%
Total 100%
Base (n=) 1000
Based on eligible Auckland Council voters

Most eligible voters in Auckland believe the decision to combine the former Auckland councils into one ‘super
city’ has had a mixed impact (55%) on residents. Those who come down on one side or other, are twice as
likely to feel the impact has been mostly negative (25%) than mostly positive (12%). A further 8% are unsure or
undecided.

Those groups of eligible voters who are more likely than average (12%) to believe the impact of the super city
on residents has been mostly positive include:
• Efeso Collins supporters (18%)
• Men aged 18-34 (17%).

Those groups of eligible voters who are more likely than average (55%) to believe the impact of the super city
on residents has been mixed include:
• People aged 40-49 (64%)
• Asian New Zealanders (64%)
• Efeso Collins supporters (64%)
• Labour party supporters (63%).

Those groups of eligible voters who are more likely than average (25%) to believe the impact of the super city
on residents has been mostly negative include:
• People aged 60 plus (44%)
• Wayne Brown supporters (44%)
• ACT party supporters (40%)
• National party supporters (31%)
• New Zealand Europeans (31%).

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Greater cycling space in Auckland
Do you think more road space should be given over to bicycles in Auckland to encourage residents to cycle
more?

Total eligible Auckland voters

16-20 Sept 2022

Yes 30%
No 61%
Don’t know / Refused 9%
Total 100%
Base (n=) 1000
Based on eligible Auckland Council voters

Most eligible voters (61%) in Auckland do not believe that more road space should be given to bicycles to
encourage residents to cycle more. This compares to 30% of eligible voters who support this idea. The
remaining 9% either don’t know or refused to answer.

Those groups of eligible voters who are more likely than average (30%) to support more road space being
given to bicycles include:
• Green party supporters (64%)
• Efeso Collins supporters (47%)
• Labour party supporters (42%)
• Asian New Zealanders (39%)
• People aged 30-39 (36%).

Those groups of eligible voters who are more likely than average (61%) to oppose more road space being given
to bicycles include:
• Wayne Brown supporters (76%)
• ACT party supporters (74%)
• National party supporters (73%)
• Men aged 55 plus (72%)
• Those with a household income of more than $150,000 (68%)
• New Zealand Europeans (65%).

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Introduction of free public transport in Auckland
Do you support or oppose the introduction of free public transport in Auckland? This would be funded by
ratepayers.

Total eligible Auckland voters

16-20 Sept 2022

Support 51%
Oppose 38%
Don’t know / Refused 11%
Total 100%
Base (n=) 1000
Based on eligible Auckland Council voters

A slim majority of eligible voters (51%) in Auckland support the introduction of free public transport, while 38%
of oppose it. The remaining 11% either don’t know or refused to answer.

Those groups of eligible voters who are more likely than average (51%) to support the introduction of free
public transport in Auckland include:
• Green Party supporters (85%)
• Efeso Collins supporters (75%)
• Women aged 18-34 (65%)
• Labour party supporters (60%)
• Asian New Zealanders (58%)
• Those with a household income of between $100,001 and $150,000 (57%).

Those groups of eligible voters who are more likely than average (38%) to oppose the introduction of free
public transport in Auckland include:
• Wayne Brown supporters (59%)
• Men aged 55 plus (57%)
• National supporters (52%).

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Housing intensification
Housing intensification involves building a greater number of homes on the same amount of land e.g., by
building apartments or townhouses.

Do you support or oppose greater housing intensification in your neighbourhood to help make housing more
affordable?

Total eligible Auckland voters

16-20 Sept 2022

Support 42%
Oppose 44%
Don’t know / Refused 14%
Total 100%
Base (n=) 1000
Based on eligible Auckland Council voters

Aucklanders are divided in their opinions around greater housing intensification in their neighbourhoods.
Forty-two percent of eligible voters in Auckland support housing intensification while 44% oppose housing
intensification in their neighbourhoods. The remaining 14% either don’t know or refused to answer.

Those groups of eligible voters who are more likely than average (42%) to support housing intensification in
their neighbourhoods include:
• Green party supporters (61%)
• Men aged 18-34 (59%)
• Efeso Collins supporters (55%)
• Asian New Zealanders (54%).

Those groups of eligible voters who are more likely than average (44%) to oppose housing intensification in
their neighbourhoods include:
• People aged 60 plus (64%)
• Wayne Brown supporters (58%)
• Those with a household income of between $30,001 and $70,000 (53%)
• National party supporters (51%)
• New Zealand Europeans (50%).

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