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2 Cost Concept and Design Economics
2 Cost Concept and Design Economics
TOPICS
• Cost estimation approaches
• Unit method
• Cost index method
• Cost-capacity relations
• Factor method
• Learning curve relation
• Indirect cost allocation
Top-down approach
Cost is considered an output variable and is the „target‟ cost
Best applied in early stages of design
More likely to encourage innovation, new designs, and efficiency
Historically used in Eastern manufacturing
Then calculate the total average cost per month, per year, per credit hour, etc.
Cost-Capacity Equations
Also called power law and sizing model
If x = 1, relationship is linear
• If x > 1, larger capacities will cost more than a linear cost relation
(diseconomies of scale)
• If x < 1, larger capacities will cost less than a linear cost relation
(economies of scale)
• Usually, 0 < x ≤ 1 (economy of scale predicted)
• If x is not tabulated or estimable, use x = 0.6
Called six-tenth model
Historically used in chemical processing industry
• Example data sources of x values:
Chemical Engineer‟s Handbook
Plant Design and Economics
UN Food and Agriculture Organization (fishery industry)
Sample exponent values for equipment and plants
Ex. In year 2000, aerobic digester equipment with flow rate of 0.5 MGD
(million gallons per day) was installed at a cost of $1.7 million
Estimate cost for 2.0 MGD
x = 0.14 from table for 0.2 – 40 MGD aerobic digester
Q2 = 2.0 MGD Q1 = 0.5 MGD C1 = $1.7 million
0.14
C2 = 1.7 million (2.0/0.5) = $2.06 million
Note: There is good economy of scale since x << 1.0
Capacity is 4x larger, but estimated cost increases by only 21%
Example: Estimate cost of aerobic digester if cost index has increased from 131 in
2000 to 225 this year
C2 = 1.7 million (2.0/0.5)0.14(225/131) = $3.545 million
Note: Time adjustment caused cost estimate to increase 108% from $1.7
million in year 2000
■ Using a cost factor for each major cost component, such as construction,
maintenance, labor, indirect costs, h is
If cost components are not defined in early design stages, use h = 4 to estimate
total plant cost
If indirect costs are separately estimated based on total direct costs of the plant:
h does not include indirect cost component
separate indirect cost factor fI is inserted
Note: Be sure to understand the basis for the factors before calculating CT
Ex.
Comparing alternatives
Solution:
Cost item Fixed Variable Site A Site B
Rent Y - 4,000 20,000
Setup/removal Y - 15,000 25,000
Hauling - Y 345,000 247,250
Security Y - 8,160
Total 364,000 300,410
6*50,000*1.15 = 364,000. 5*17*96 = 8,160
What would be material quantity for the better site where total revenue equals total
cost (in m3)?
Variable cost per m3 for 4.3 km = 4.3*1.15 = 4.95.
Now R = TC
Or, 8.05 x = (20,000 + 25,000 + 8,160) + 4.95x
Sunk cost – occurred in the past and has no relevance to estimates of future costs
and revenues related to alternative course of action. It is common to all
alternatives. But is not part of future cash flows, so, not used in EE.
Opportunity cost
Foregone opportunity (hidden/implied) for a resource being used in an alternative.
-cycle cost
Very important. Summation of all costs, both recurring and nonrecurring, related to
a product, structure, system or service during its lifespan.
Unit Method
Used commonly by estimators and in daily life
Provides very preliminary estimates
Cost factors must be updated to remain timely
Equation for total cost Ct is simply
Ct = unit cost factor × number of units
Example: New boat construction costs average u = $2,500 per square meter. Size
of the boat Q = 400 m2
Example: Unit cost factors can be used to develop a preliminary cost estimate for a
multi-component system
• Table below shows 5 resources with u and q values
• Preliminary cost estimate is sum of terms
Item/resource Amount q Unit cost Cost estimate uQ
factor, u
Materials 3,000 tons
Machinery, tooling 1,500 hours
Labor, casting 3,000 hours
Labor, finishing 1,200 hours
Labor, indirect 400 hours
Total estimated cost
Jump forward in time - assume actual cost for skilled labor is reported as $1
million when construction is complete. Solve for It for index value that should
have been used
( ) = 3496 (1,000,000/850,000) = 4113
Cost, volume, and BEP relationships. BREAK-EVEN ANALYSIS
(OR, COST-VOLUME-PROFIT ANALYSIS)
How?
It is a part of economic analysis on production plans to determine preferred
pricing, servicing, manufacturing and scheduling policies.
Your Proposal: Add new product or expand the existing facility/capacity.
To Analyst:
Additional revenue to be generated by new production capacity > or = additional
expected cost?
Production cost function = f (capacity for a process/ facility)
= f (type and size of equipment to be used, size of the capacity/facility, number &
skill of worker needed, types of raw materials)
An example: large capacity process requires larger and more expensive equipment
and larger facilities than do small capacity process.
Fixed costs of production are larger, but incremental cost for producing additional
units (marginal cost) is smaller than…
Basics of Analysis:
Using simplified income or profit-and-loss statement which can be written as,
Revenue (price x units sold) = fixed costs + variable costs (var. cost per unit x
units) + (-) profit (loss)
Assumptions:
(a) Fixed costs will remain constant irrespective of level of production.
(b) Variable costs will be directly proportional to the volume of production.
(c) The price will remain constant throughout the period.
(d) Units produced by the firm are being sold in the market.
Method of Analysis:
1. Graphical Method: assist communication among decision makers. Easy,
because both cost & revenue are linear relationships called CVP graph.
Cost
Loss Area
------------------------------------------------
Fixed Cost
Crossover Chart: Putting several charts together for the different processes that
expected to have different costs, at any given volume of output (only one will have
the lowest cost)
TCL
TCL FCL
Q Q Q
Low Volume, Process-A Repetitive, Process-B High vol. low variety Process-C
FCL-C
FCL-A
Q1 Q2 Volume
2. Algebraic method: Support the graph and use to test sensitivity of break-
even decisions.
We know,
Revenue= fixed costs + var. costs± profits/loss
Or,
Or, ,
Or, where p > v
At Break-even Point (BEP) where sales amount /volume is just enough to cover the
fixed plus variable cost of operation without either earning profit or suffering a
loss. The firm just breaks even.
That is, at BEP, Z =0
………Break even quantity
BEP ($)
Unit contribution = (p - v); total contribution margin = R - V
Unit contribution serves to pay off the fixed cost. When Q exceeds BEP (Q), (p-v)
is the incremental profit expected from each additional unit made and sold.
Another way, or or or
, Here R = sales
Now . So,
Multiproduct Case:
You know, most firms have a variety of offerings. Each offering may have
different selling price and variable cost. Now, to reflect the proportion of sales for
each product, we use weighting of each product‟s contribution by its proportion of
sales. That is,
∑( )
Ex. Fixed cost = 3500 per month. Other data are as follow:
Item(i) (1) Price (p) (2) Cost (v) (3) Forecasted units‟
sales (4)
Sandwich 2.95 1.25 7,000
Soft drink 0.80 0.30 7,000
Baked 1.55 0.47 5,000
potato 0.75 0.25 5,000
Tea 2.85 1.00 3,000
Salad bar
Solution:
∑( )
v/p (5) 1-v/p (6) Forecasted sales Proportion of Weighted
value (7) = sales value (9) =
(2)x(4) (8)=(7)/46,300 (6)x(8)
.42 .58 20,650 0.446 0.259
.38 .62 5,600 0.121 0.075
.30 .70 7,750 0.167 0.117
.33 .67 3,750 0.081 0.054
.35 .65 8,550 0.185 0.120
46,300 1.000 0.625
So, = 67,200
∑( )
Buy Make
Q= (
Make
Fm
Fb
Quantity(Q)
Make-or-Buy Decision
Buy Make
Fixed costs $0 $300,000
Variable costs $9 $7
=150,000 patrons
Option1
Option2
Quantity ( Q)
Nonlinear Relationships
Total revenue function
Total cost line or total revenue line cannot be linear in most practical cases.
Therefore, you have to use differential (calculus) method to determine stops for
revenue, cost, or profit.
Have to use differential (calculus) method to determine stops for revenue, cost, or
profit.
Q production rate
When R is according to
And
At BEP, , then
[ ]
BEQ is
EX.
Linear relationships Nonlinear relationships
F = 200,000, p = 100-0.001Ø, R = 100Ø-0.001Ø2
p = 100/unit, R = 100Ø, v = 20/units TC = 0.005Ø2 + 4Ø + 200,000
TC = 20Ø + 200,000
Solution: Z = R – TC = 0
For BEP(Q), Z = R – TC = 0 100Ø-0.001Ø2 - 0.005Ø2 - 4Ø - 200,000
Q* = BEP(Q) = 2500 units = 0, So, Q* = BEP(Q) = 2462 units
Ø for max. Profit : Marginal profit = d(z)/dØ
Marginal profit = Contribution / units Qmax occurs at d(Z)/dØ = 0,
= p – v = 80/unit So, Q = 8,000 units
Total contribution is increasing linearly
with respect to Q.
Max Z occurs at Qmax = 10,000 (say it is
the full capacity of the plant)
Q for min. average cost (AC) AC = TC/Q = 0.005Ø + 4 + 200000/Ø
AC = TC/Ø = 20 + 200000/Ø AC is min at d(AC)/dØ = 0
AC is min at Qmax. So, Q = 6,325 units
Ø = 10,000
Ø = 6325
Probability Distribution on Demand:
Assumptions:
1. Demand is normally distributed
2. Demand is the only random variable
Where, tc = cutting time/part (min); t = tool life (time a tool can cut before dulling)
(min); sl,m = cost (RM/min) of running machine including labor cost; tdt = time
(min) it takes to put a sharp tool on the machine (downtime for tool change); s t =
cost of one sharp tool; tdw = time (min) to load/unload one work piece (downtime
for work piece change), and; ta = time (min) to adjust or position tool for each work
piece.
Cost id function of process parameters selected for the operation. F. W. Taylor
(father of Industrial Engineering) developed a relationship of cutting speed and
tool life. To reduce the processing time, you have to increase cutting speed. But
higher cutting speed increases tool wears. So, there is a need to determine the
optimum cutting speed at which a cutting toll is operated and the life of tool is
considered. Taylor‟s tool life equation is:
Where, C = cutting speed (ft/min) at which the toll dull after one minute of use; v =
cutting speed (ft/min) at which the process will be operated; t = tool life (min) that
can be expected when the tool is operated at cutting speed, and; n = a constant that
is dependent on the material being cut and the cutting tool material.
Now, length of the cut in a work piece . Therefore, ( )
( ) ( )
Cutting speed, v, is the only variable. For minimization of the
variable cost, differential the equation with respect to v and solve for optimal v that
minimizes the cost of cutting.
( ) ( )
Ex. A 2 ft section of a 3-in diameter 1020 steel part is to be machined using a high-
speed steel tool. Take that C = 225 ft/min; sl,m = RM4/min, st = RM16, n = 0.105,
tdt = 3 min, tdw = 1 min, ta = 2 min, and the feed rate of 0.05 in/rev. The fixed cost
for this operation is assumed to RM5,000. If the price of a unit of the product is
RM12, what will be the break-even quantity?
Assignment
1. For producing a certain product, the fixed cost has been experienced to be
RM10,000.00. Unit variable costs come from two sources, raw materials
RM1.5 and labor RM 0.75. The price is estimated to be RM4.
i. Find the break-even volume (BEQ) and break-even money (BEC)
from a graphical solution.
ii. Find them algebraically.
iii. Compare and comment on results.
i. Determine the break-even points for each supplier (BEQ and BEC).
ii. If both suppliers are going to make the same amount of profit, what would
be amount of supply.
iii. Calculate the amount of profit, if Q = 8,500 units. Which proposal should be
chosen?
iv. What-if Q = 15,000 units.
v. If the variable costs are reverse and all other data remain same, what would
be the decision in terms of BEQ and BEC?
6. When
i. What is the profit function?
ii. What is quantity you must produce to maximize profit?
iii. What is the BEP(Q)?
iv. Find the quantity to be produced to maintain the average cost. Make
comment on acceptable result.