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Yeni Microsoft Word Belgesi
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Like many of the solar system’s rocky objects, Earth bears the scars of
past asteroid impacts—including some wallops that shaped the arc of
life itself. Some 66 million years ago, for instance, a six-mile-wide
asteroid slammed into Earth near Mexico’s Yucatán Peninsula,
triggering a mass extinction that wiped out the non-avian dinosaurs.
Now for the first time in our planet’s history, Earth is going to hit
back.
Near-Earth objects
A DART-like deflector is only as effective as our surveys of the sky—
the key to buying time. “DART is probably the high-profile end of
planetary defense, but it’s only one part of planetary defense,” says
DART coordination lead Nancy Chabot, a scientist at the Johns
Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory (APL) in Laurel,
Maryland.
For decades NASA and other space agencies have been searching for
asteroids whose paths cross the orbit of Earth and predicting their
future movements. The goal is to understand the risks we face over
centuries so we’re not caught unawares.
But if an asteroid that’s not too big were found well ahead of its
forecasted impact, then the solution requires no nukes. A zippy
spacecraft like DART—called a “kinetic impactor”—could be sent to
collide with the asteroid and slightly tweak its orbit. Over many years,
that small deviation would add up to a major change in the asteroid’s
path, enough to render the object harmless.
Crash test
The researchers at APL who built the spacecraft have spent more than
a decade thinking through how binary asteroid systems like Didymos
and Dimorphos could provide a useful, safe place to test a kinetic
impactor. Adjusting an asteroid’s orbit around the sun could have
unforeseen consequences, such as unintentionally putting it on a far-
future collision course with Earth. Instead, DART will tweak the orbit
of a smaller asteroid around a bigger asteroid, with practically no
effect on the binary pair’s overall path.
For most of its journey, DART will have remarkably little to go on.
The spacecraft won’t be able to see the larger asteroid Didymos until
four hours before impact, and Dimorphos itself won’t pop into view
until an hour before showtime. By the time DART finishes its final
trajectory corrections—with two minutes and 500 miles until oblivion
—Dimorphos will be just 41 pixels across in DART’s field of view.
As it screams toward the target, DART will send back as many images
of Dimorphos as it can, possibly as many as one every 2.5 seconds
before impact. The terrain captured in these final images will be
crucial to understanding the blow that DART deals to its target
because the amount of ejecta thrown off the asteroid will depend on
where the spacecraft hits.
Exactly how much DART will nudge Dimorphos is unclear, but the
spacecraft’s creators are confident that it will pack plenty of punch.
For NASA to consider DART a success, the impact will need to
shorten Dimorphos’s orbit around Didymos by at least 73 seconds.
DART’s team predicts that the spacecraft could shave off as much as
10 minutes.
Following up
DART won’t be alone in its final moments. About 10 days before
impact, the spacecraft will eject a small CubeSat called LICIACube.
Built and operated by the Italian Space Agency, LICIACube will fly
past Dimorphos 165 seconds after DART makes contact.
Along the way, the little spacecraft will take pictures of Dimorphos’s
newly marred surface and the impact’s ballooning plume of debris.
LICIACube could even capture the flash of light from the impact. “We
are the real-time witness,” says Simone Pirrotta, the Italian Space
Agency’s project manager for LICIACube.
For several weeks, LICIACube will transmit data back to Earth, and
then it will continue to drift through the solar system, its purpose
fulfilled. But it won’t be the last spacecraft to gaze upon the surface of
Dimorphos. The European Space Agency is working on a follow-up
mission called Hera, which will launch in 2024. Hera will perform a
more thorough survey of Dimorphos, poring over the moonlet’s
surface like a crime scene investigator.
For Chabot, DART’s biggest promise lies in being the first of many
missions focused on averting a possible asteroid apocalypse. “It’s not
just an end in itself,” she says. “It’s opening up a whole new
beginning.”