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2016 - 2014 CAPS Probability Memo
2016 - 2014 CAPS Probability Memo
2016
NSC/NSS – Memorandum
QUESTION/VRAAG 10
10.2.1 6! 6!
= 6 × 5 × 4 × 3 × 2 ×1
= 720 answer
(2)
10.2.2 number of ways Xoliswa sits next to Anees/
getal maniere waarop Xoliswa langs Anees sit
5!× 2
= 5!× 2
answer
= 240 (2)
OR/OF
QUESTION/VRAAG 10
10.1 h h
= tan 60 0 = tan 600
r r
h
r=
tan 60 0
h
∴r = answer
3
(2)
10.2 1
Vcone = π r 2 h formula
3
2
1 h
= π h
3 3 substitution of
the value of r in
terms of h
1
= π h3
9 simplified
volume answer
dV 1 2
= πh derivative
dh 3
dV
= π (9 )
1 2
dh h = 9 3
answer with
= 27π or 84,82 cm 3 /cm
units
(5)
[7]
QUESTION/VRAAG 11
5 × 4 × 3 × 2 ×1 ways/maniere
3 × (5 × 4 × 3 × 2 × 1)× 4 = 1440 (4)
11.3 Orange OO
t
t+2
Orange
t
t+2 2
t+2
Yellow OY
Orange YO
2 t
t+2
t+2
Yellow
2
t+2
Yellow YY
52 52
P(Orange)P(Orange) + P(Yellow)P(Yellow) =
100 100
t t 2 2 52 t t
+ =
t + 2 t + 2 t + 2 t + 2 100 t + 2 t + 2
2 2
t2
+ 2
4
=
13 t + 2 t + 2
t + 4t + 4 t + 4t + 4 25
2
25(t 2 + 4) = 13(t 2 + 4t + 4)
( ) (
25 t + 4 = 13 t + 4t + 4
2 2
) 3t 2 − 13t + 12 = 0
3t 2 − 13t + 12 = 0
(3t − 4)(t − 3) = 0 t = 3
t =3
There are 3 orange balls in the bag/Daar is 3 oranje balle in die
sak (6)
[17]
TOTAL/TOTAAL:
QUESTION/VRAAG 11
11.1.1
n(S)=600
Hockey Rugby
372 − x for
Hockey only
288 − x for
372 – x x 288 – x Rugby only
56 outside of
56 Hockey & Rugby
(3)
11.1.2 (372 − x ) + x + (288 − x ) + 56 = 600 setting up the
equation
716 − x = 600
answer
x = 116 (2)
OR/OF
n(H or R ) = 600 − 56
= 544 setting up the
n(H or R ) = n(H ) + n(R ) − n(H and R ) equation
544 = 372 + 288 − x
x = 372 + 288 − 544 answer
= 116 (2)
11.1.3 No, they are not mutually exclusive. No
There is an intersection between the two sets/ justification
Nee, hul is nie onderling uitsluitend nie. (2)
Daar is ‘n snyding tussen die twee stelle
11.2.1 5! = 120 answer
(1)
11.2.2 1 × 2! × 3! 2!
= 12 3!
answer
(3)
11.2.3 5! × 6 ! × 2 5 ! × 6 ! × 2
11! division by 11 !
1 answer
=
231 (3)
[14]
TOTAL/TOTAAL:
QUESTION/VRAAG 10
10.1.1 d=5 d = 5
e=4 e = 4
f=7 f = 7
g=5 g = 5
(4)
10.1.2a 4 2 4 2
P(A and/en B and/en C) = = =
54 27 54 27
(1)
10.1.2b 48 8 48 8
P(A or/of B or/of C) = = =
54 9 54 9
(1)
10.1.2c 7 7
P(only/slegs C) =
54 54
(1)
10.1.2d P(that a country uses exactly two methods/dat 'n land 17
5 + 4 + 8 17 54
presies twee metodes gebruik) = =
54 54 (1)
10.2.1 1 answer/antwoord
P(selects Midnight as drama/kies Midnight as drama) = (2)
5
10.2.2 Number of different selections of drama, romance and product/produk
comedy/Aantal verskillende keuses van drama, answer/antwoord (2)
liefdesverhale en komedie = 5 × 4 × 3= 60
10.2.3 P(select Last Hero and Laughing Dragon/kies Last Hero en product/produk
1 1 1 answer/antwoord
Laughing Dragon) = × = (2)
5 3 15
OR/OF
10.1 l + 2h = 40
l = 40 − 2h answer (1)
10.2 2b + 2h = 100 2b + 2h = 100
b = 50 − h b = 50 − h
V = lbh volume formula
V = h(40 − 2h)(50 − h) (3)
10.3 V = (50h − h )(40 − 2h)
2
simplifying/vereenvoudig
V = 2h 3 − 140h 2 + 2000h
V ′ = 6h 2 − 280h + 2000 = 0 derivative / afgeleide
280 ± (−280) 2 − 4(6)(2000)
h=
2( 6)
h ≠ 37,86 or h = 8,80 h-values in any form /
∴ for a box as large as possible, h = 8,80 cm h-waardes in enige vorm
answer/antwoord
vir die grootste moontlike boks = 8,80 cm
(5)
[9]
QUESTION/VRAAG 11
11.1.1 83
P(male/manlik) = or 0,46 or 46,11%
180 answer/antwoord
(1)
11.1.2 P(not game park/nie wildreservaat)
= 1 – P(game park/wildreservaat)
62 62
= 1− 1 −
180 180
59 answer/antwoord
= or 0,66 or 65,56%
90 (2)
OR/OF
P(male/manlik) × P(home/huis)
83 20
= ×
180 180
83
=
1620
= 0,05123 or 5,12%
OR/OF
Home/Huis Not Home/
Nie huis
M 13 70 83
F 7 90 97
20 160 180
QUESTION/VRAAG 12
12.1.1 26 × 25 × 24 × 23 × 22 26 × 25 × 24 × 23 × 22
= 7 893 600 7 893 600 (2)
OR/OF
OR/OF
QUESTION/VRAAG 11
first tier
A second tier
probabilities
1
2 outcomes
2 (4)
5
Y A,Y
P B,P
5
1
9
2
4
9
Y B;Y
11.2.2 1 2
P(AY) =
2 5
answer
1
= (1)
5
11.2.3 1 3 1 5
P(P) = +
2 5 2 9 1 3
3 5 2 5
= +
10 18 1 5
26 2 9
=
45 answer
(3)
[11]
QUESTION/VRAAG 12
12.1
5 4 3 2 1
2!. 3!
P(having S and T as first two letters) =
120
2.6
=
120 answer
1 (3)
=
10 [5]