The document provides examples of calculating probabilities using the binomial, hypergeometric, and multinomial probability distributions. It gives the probability of getting exactly 4 red skittles out of 10 using the binomial distribution. It also calculates probabilities related to the number of law students reaching the 4th year and the probabilities of selecting a certain number of female or green marble samples using the hypergeometric distribution.
The document provides examples of calculating probabilities using the binomial, hypergeometric, and multinomial probability distributions. It gives the probability of getting exactly 4 red skittles out of 10 using the binomial distribution. It also calculates probabilities related to the number of law students reaching the 4th year and the probabilities of selecting a certain number of female or green marble samples using the hypergeometric distribution.
The document provides examples of calculating probabilities using the binomial, hypergeometric, and multinomial probability distributions. It gives the probability of getting exactly 4 red skittles out of 10 using the binomial distribution. It also calculates probabilities related to the number of law students reaching the 4th year and the probabilities of selecting a certain number of female or green marble samples using the hypergeometric distribution.
1. A 45 gram pack of skittles has assorted colors. If there is a 15% chance of getting a red skittle, find out the probability of getting exactly 4 red skittles out of 10 assorted skittles from the pack. n=10, p=0.15 and x=4 P (4)= 10!/4!(10-4)! X 0.15^4 x (1-0.15) ^10 2 POINTS P(4)= 0.040095707879883 2. A professor of a law school observes that only 25% of students who get admitted to the freshman class reachfourth year. Assuming that this is correct, use the following conditions given to find the probability that among15 randomly selected first year students, a. exactly 8 will reach fourth year n=15, p=0.25, and X= 8 P(8)= 15!/8!(15-8)! X 0.25^8 x (1-0.25) ^15 3 POINTS P(8)= 0.013106823898852 b. at most 5 will reach fourth year n= 15, p=0.25, and X=0,1,2,3,4 or5 P(X is less than or equal to 5)= f(0)+ f(1)+f(2)+f(3)+ f(4)+f(5) =.0134 + .0668+ .1559+.2252 +.2252+.1651 3 POINTS = 0.8516 c. between 7 and 10, inclusive, will reach fourth year n=15, x= 7,8,9, or 10 p=0.25 P(7 is less than or equal to X less than or equal to 10)= f(7)+f(8)+f(9)+f(10) =.0393 + .0131+.0034+.0007 3 POINTS = 0.0565 HYPERGEOMETRIC PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION 1.) Lot is accepted if we choose 5 good bulbs from the 80 that work and choose 0 bulbs from the remaining 20 that don’t work. P(X=k)= (Kk) (N-Kn-k)/ (Nn) P=(x=0) = (200) (100-205-0)/(1005) = (200) (805)/ (1005) (200)= n!/x!(n-x)!= 20!/0!(20-0)!= 1 (805) = n!/x!(n-x)!= 80!/5!(80-5)! = 24040016 3 POINTS (1005) = n!/x!(n-x)!= 100!/5!(100-5)!= 75287520 =(1) (24040016)/ (75287520) P=(x=0)= 0.3193 2.) Suppose a large high school has 1100 female students and 900 male students. A random sample of 10 students is drawn. What is the probability exactly 7 of the selected students are female? P(X=k) = (Kk) (N-Kn-k)/ (Nn) P=(x=7) (11007) (1100-90010-7)/( 200010) = (11007)(2003)/ (200010) (11007)= n!/x!(n-x)! = 1100!/7!(1100-7)!= 379324421487283800 3 POINTS (9003)= n!/x!(n-x)!= 900!/3!(900-3)!= 121095300 (200010)= n!/x!(n-x)!= 2000!/10!(2000-10)!= 275898785946005613288829800 P=(x=7)= 0.166490 3.) A hat contains 5 green marbles and 9 blue marbles. 4 marbles are drawn randomly without replacement. Calculate each probability. a. The probability of getting 3 green marbles a=5, n= 14, r= 4 P(X=x) = C (a,x) C (n – a , r – x)/C(n,r) P(X=x) = C(5,x) C (9,4 -x) / C (14,4) 3 POINTS P(X=3) = C(5,3) C (9,1) / C (14,4) P(X=3) = (10) (9)/ (1001) P(X=3) = 0.0899 b. The probability of getting fewer than 2 green marbles a=5, n=14, r=4 P(X=x)= C (5,x) C (9,4-x) / C (14-4) P(X<2)= P (X=0) + P (X=1) =C(5,0) C (9,4)/C(14,4) + C(5,1) C (9,3)/ C (14,4) 2 POINTS =(1) (126)/1001 +(5) (84)/1001 =546/1001 =0.54