PRE-1800
deal for thousands of years.
The world population didn’t change a great
lion until the
and it is estimated that the population didn’t reach 1 bill
year 1800. This means that for centuries the world was definitely not 4
crowded place. Different civilizations came and went, from the Egyptians
to the Minoans, all having a slight effect on population change but there
was no rapid population growth like we have seen in more recent times
“The reason for this is the balance between the death rate and birth rate.
For much of the time before 1800, the birth rate was very high, with
families often having between four and eight babies. But the death rate
‘was also very high and, of particular importance, the infant mortality
pies being
rate was high. This means that despite large numbers of bal
born, many died at a very young age. Added to that, life expectancy Wae
short by the standards of our time. A historical development that did lead
to increases in population early on in human history was farming. Ths
effectively allowed more complex societies to emerge, leading to advances
in health and population size.
THE INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTIONS OF THE
NINETEENTH CENTURY
The world population hit 1 billion in the early nineteenth century during
an important historical process known as the Industrial Revolution,
The industrial revolution led to an increased interconnectedness around
the world due to the effects of colonialism and trade.
People started to live longer as 4 result of the effects of the Industrial
Revolution. This was mainly due to developments in health. The use
of antiseptics and anaesthetics in hospitals improved survival rates,
vaccinations targeted many deadly diseases, such as smallpox, and
improvements in childbirth procedures reduced the infant mortality rate.
However, in some locations the effects of industrialization may have
reduced life expectancy. In overcrowded cities, sanitation issues were rife,
and many jobs, such as coal mining, were not safe at this time. Despite :
these issues, the overall pattern was for increased population throughout
the industrial revolutions.
Individuals and Societies forHE TWENTIETH CENTURY a,
e twentieth century Saw massive changes in world Population, At the
of the century the population was under 2 bilion and by 1999 the
stinued improvements in healthcare u
that have increased life expectancy
reduced levels of infant mortality. An important development that
ficantly contributed to high population growth rates during the
nteth century was the change in average family sizes worlewide, After
Second World War there was a baby boom in Many countries as
ppulation growth was encouraged. By the 1960s, the bir
inties around the world was higher than, or significantly higher than,
> children per woman. This inevitably results in high population growth,
wever, in recent years, the average number of children per woman has
en declining around the world and this means that population growth
ould stow down and possibly even decrease if the world average drops
» [ess than two children per family
ND BEYOND
ith rate of many
tu
the world recovered from the turmoil of
Figure 4.5 The 1950s baby boom led to increases in global population as
is y boom led to in
ig 5 The 1950:
Second World War
Where are all the people?n
sources souncee ations Population Fig
nge from the United Nation Population Fung
‘Extract about global population chat
‘Beyond 2050 the world population
= www.unfpa.org
may start to decrease if women orld
across the world will have, on It took hundreds of thousands of yeas fr the WOE
average, less than 2 children, But then in just another 200 years oF $0 it.I A
that decreas wil be slow ~ Hans population reached the 7bilion mark, and today,
Rosling, founder of Gapminder driven largely by increasing numbers of people
vv has been accompanied by major changesiq
ign and accelerating migration. These trends
ations to come:
population 10 GrOW t01biliog
(ld, In 2011, the global
tands at about 7.3 billion,
This dramatic growth has beet
By improving health, empowering surviving to reproductive age
women, population growth comes fertility rates, increasing urban
down.’ ~Bill Gates will have far-reaching implications for gener
souRCE
Table 4.1 The average number of children per woman
countries over the past 60+ years
a cross section of
aierage numberof cildrenper woman
cree cD
fein ay
Paraguay | 65
“South Africa 64 2
Nigeria 64 =
I
India 59 55 39 26
|
Japan 35 24 16 [14
sD ee |
Brazil 6.2 |5.0 28 [18
_ es |
Romania 3.6 29 118 ee
France lee 18 ponscED
Aca
Southand
Central America
North
america
—Oceania
—Antarctica
Figure 4.6 Pie chart showing the proportion of people
per continent, 2016
Population terminology
Birth rate - The number of live births per
1000 people per year
Death rate - The number of deaths per
1000 people per year
Infant mortality rate — The number of deaths
of children under the age of one year per
1000 live births
Life expectancy ~ The expected average life
span of people in a particular population
Natural increase — The rate of population
growth calculated by subtracting the death rate
from the birth rate
4 Where are all the people?
ACTIVITY: The pattern of
global population change
ATL
EMU CUE Toes eae noua oud
Un UR ce Rm ae oy
According to Source A, what factors would
lead to a slowing down of global population
levels? Explain why you think this might/
‘would occur.
Study the data in Source B, Are there any
patterns in the changes affecting the number
of children per woman in the cross section of
countries shown?
‘Are there anomalies? Why might this be
the case?
Which countries would be experiencing the
following:
a) rapid population growth
b) population growth
¢) declining population?
Using Source C and your own knowledge, what
do you think are some of the implications of
continued population growth? What problems
might occur as a result of this growth?
What information does Source D provide?
Write down three conclusions you can draw
from the pie chart.
It is predicted that the population of Africa
will increase rapidly during the twenty-first
century. What do you think might be some of
‘the challenges and opportunities associated
with this?
Sern Iam) ore lO a (=
=
wo
o
4