TALLER ESTADISTICA

INTEGRANTES: DANIELA GONZALEZ Y LAURA PEREZ

𝑃(𝐴1 )𝑃(𝐵| 𝐴1 ) (0.001)(0.99) 0.00099

𝑃(𝐴1 | 𝐵) = = =
𝑃(𝐴1 )𝑃(𝐵| 𝐴1 ) + 𝑃(𝐴2 )𝑃(𝐵| 𝐴2 ) (0.001)(0.99) + (0.02)(0.98) 0.02059
≈ 0.048

DEFECTUOSO NO DEFECTUOSO
B1 0.025 0.475 0.50
B2 0.025 0.225 0.25
B3 0.03 0.22 0.25
0.08 0.92

a) 𝑃(𝐷) = 𝑃(𝐷/𝐵1)𝑃(𝐵1) + 𝑃(𝐷/𝐵2)𝑃(𝐵2) + 𝑃(𝐷/𝐵3)𝑃(𝐵3) = 0.08

b) 𝑃(𝐵2/𝑁𝐷) = 𝑃(𝐵2 ∩ 𝑁𝐷)/𝑃(𝑁𝐷) = 0,225/0,92 = 0,244
1 𝑣𝑖𝑠𝑖𝑡𝑎: 𝑃(𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑟 1 𝑝ó𝑙𝑖𝑧𝑎) = 0,25

2 𝑣𝑖𝑠𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑎𝑠 = 𝑝 = 1 − 0. 752 = 0.4375

3 𝑣𝑖𝑠𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑠 = 𝑝 = 1 − 0. 753 = 0.5781

4 𝑣𝑖𝑠𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑠 = 𝑝 = 1 − 0. 754 = 0.6836

5 𝑣𝑖𝑠𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑠 = 𝑝 = 1 − 0. 755 = 0.7627

6 𝑣𝑖𝑠𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑠 = 𝑝 = 1 − 0. 756 = 0.8220

X 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
P(X) 0.04978 0.14936 0.22404 0.22404 0.16803 0.10088 0.05040 0.02160

C)

X 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
F(x) 0.0498 0.1991 0.4232 0.6472 0.8153 0.9161 0.9665 0.9881
 X P(X) P(X)
1 1k 12/25
2 0.5k 12/50
3 0.33333k 12/75
4 0.25k 12/100

𝑃[1 ≤ 𝑋 ≤ 3] = 𝑃(1) + 𝑃(2) + 𝑃(3) = 0.88

1 1
𝑘𝑥 3 𝑘 𝑘 2𝑘
∫ 𝑘𝑥 2 𝑑𝑥 = 1 ⇒ [ ] = + = =1
−1 3 −1 3 3 3

3
𝑘=
2
𝜆 𝜆
3 2 𝑥3 + 1
𝐹(𝑥) = ∫ 𝑓(𝑡)𝑑𝑡 = {∫ 𝑡 𝑑𝑡 − 1 < 𝑥 < 1} = −1 < 𝑥 < 1
−∞ −1 2 2
 B)
1 1 1−9 7
𝑃(𝑋 ≥ ) = 1 − 𝐹 ( ) = = = 0,4375
2 2 16 16

1 1 1 1 9 7 2 1
𝑃 (− ≤ 𝑥 ≤ ) = 𝐹 ( ) − 𝐹 (− ) = − = = = 0.125
2 2 2 2 16 16 16 8

𝐶 0.05 · 0.92 0.046

𝑃( ) = = = 0.657
𝐷 0.05 · 0.92 + 0.30 · 0.08 0.07

𝑃(𝑋1 = 1) 𝑡 = 1 𝑠𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑎
𝑃(𝑥2 = 3) 𝑡 = 1 𝑠𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑎
= 𝑃(1,2)𝑥𝑃(3,2)

= 𝑃 (2𝑥1)1 𝑒 −2𝑥1 𝑥 (2𝑥1)3 𝑒 −2𝑥1

1! 3!
= 0.0488 = 4.88%