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SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.129641
R Square 0.016807
Adjusted R-0.179832
Standard E 5.17135
Observatio 7

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 2.285714 2.285714 0.08547 0.78176
Residual 5 133.7143 26.74286
Total 6 136

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 19.14286 4.370588 4.379927 0.007155 7.907903 30.37781 7.907903 30.37781
Month -0.285714 0.977293 -0.292353 0.78176 -2.797926 2.226498 -2.797926 2.226498

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation
Predicted Value
Residuals
1 18.85714 5.142857
2 18.57143 -5.571429
3 18.28571 1.714286
4 18 -6
5 17.71429 1.285714
6 17.42857 5.571429
7 17.14286 -2.142857
Month Value MA MSE EP (Alpha=MSE EP (Alpha=MSE EP (Alpha=MSE
1 24 #N/A #N/A
2 13 #N/A 24 121 24 121
3 20 #N/A 21.8 3.24 20.7 0.49
4 12 19 49 21.44 89.1136 20.49 72.0801
5 19 15 16 19.552 0.304704 17.943 1.117249
6 23 17 36 19.4416 12.66221 18.2601 22.46665
7 15 18 9 20.15328 26.55629 19.68207 21.92178
8 19 27.5 19.12262 42.14613 39.84596

Value
30

25

20

15

10

0
1 2 3 4 5 6
EP (Alpha=MSE

Moving Average
30
20 Actual

Value
10 Forecast
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Data Point

alue

4 5 6 7

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