Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Smoothing Techniques - Moving Average
Smoothing Techniques - Moving Average
Croco0a
lo Lioe
qecbniquas= Date: 1
tobu`eeluob uu edcamioé uo
echasiquss mpathiog-
Lmo4LDa QuLLaQes
2ieponeoial amDooiing
MouiDa aueages
Hhe
Aiopst3moothiing tehnau
auulage Hoet mDiuing
HeAL Hoe jonecart slalu oa tide
guis peina eits loa
(monto,quates,
to theaueage dale
yean,eke U egual
nLnbe sheatirneAexis tn a
pesunLs pesiods
wwth a,
upeibdmouing aueiaqe
SFou-peuiod Mo auuaq
FL=Peuod ociba oge
papergrid
Date: I
thenumbe.peDdL tLhed i o
ha qmeake
rncr
oe omuinq
Ouasogtthtqnsaleauhe
cM
ockhi
yak btcauheeash riouDhscevaloo
mabod
Meiks o u q auuaqe
pemesits ooouiDa
auuage matDa
undlaluosCaanot be tormputedO all
ueassha oownq auuaqes Jo Boe
uea iaste
Cmd last Jew uaas Caconpt be
t uolbe chlaiocda
hese elntrme 4eaus o whith u
hoa be taltsted.
seltlioo o pLnpes peid àaqnaat dilicultty
1awAona peLLDd Aelesked, Haeu i 2
ike linood hal tonelulb oa be misla.adung9
incsbe maALg auuaqe is pot upnLsenked
byamatheooatical Jumctien, his meHod tamnah
be usedan onstasting
LuLE Cam be applued emk b hose eies whih
shous peindioih
K12
cn be
foe
A out by
The
d u r a t i o n
of
aper
the oyele
an
reading
di
thie time
sta ploning
nces betwen
th
time distane
aenge
give the
various
of the
ycle,
for the followine
d u r a t i o n
aveage
average
ng series.
GiveJyearly
moving 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
E4 1994 1995 200
T8,9 19.2 19.1
Vear 17,.2
17) 17,7
18.1 202
Production (akh
tons) 2006 2007
2004 2005 2008
2002 2003
23.2 24.3 25,2 26.3 27.3
25.3 24.9
3 Yearly 3 Yearly
Production
Year moving total moving avermge
1994 17.2
52.2 17.40
1995 17.3
53.9 17.97
1996 177
55.8 18.60
1997 18.9
57.4 19.13
1998 9.
93 56.6 18.87
197
8.1 $7.6 19.20
2000
63.6 20
2001 20.2
2002 25.3 70.4 23.47
24.9 73.4 2447
2003
23.2 72.4 241.13
2004
2005 24.3 72.7 24.23
2006 25.2 75.8 25.27
2007 6.3 78.8 26.27
2008 27.3
Hint: Each valucofcolumn (3) is the sum of three values taken from column 4
startingwithfirst, starting with the second, the third etc, For example: 322
(172+173 17.7),53.9 (17.3+ 17.7+ 18.9) and so on. The sum is pl
eiore the middle year. Column (4) is obtained by dividing each figure m cou
0)ty 3. We have no moving average figures for first year and last ycal
53
21.19
20.0
17.6
08
154
12.4
I1.6
11.6
8 11.1
10.1
3
9.0
2006
on agraph.
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Thanage of cargo cleared : 102 1250 1180 1340 1212 1317 1452
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
1549 1586 1476 1614 1586
Total o yearly 4 yearly
Year Valucs years moving moving average
average centred
IV
1997 I102
1998 1250
4872 1218
1999 1180 1231.75
4982 1245.5
2000 1540 1253.88
5049 1262.25
2001 1212
1296.25
5321 1330.35
2002 1317 1356.37
5530 1382.5
2003 1452 1429.25
5904 1476
2004 1549
6063 1515.75
1495.88
2005 S86 1536
2006 1476 6225 1556.25 1560.88
2007 62 1565.5
1614
2008 S85
Cachvalue of column Iilis the sumof fourvalues taken irOmo
Columan
Forexanpe872-15o
from etc.
first, second, third the
ustarting at centre of
t s e flonr val
EL 7: Find the trend for the following series using a three year weighte
1,2,1
movingaverage with weights
Year 5
Value 2 4 5 10 13
AnS
Year Values 3-yearly weighted S-yearty weighied
moving totals moving average
6)
' x2)+2x4)+(lx 5)-15 3.75
1x 4)+(2x 5)+(lx)-21 SS