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A Dynamic Cournot Duopoly Model With Different STR
A Dynamic Cournot Duopoly Model With Different STR
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ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Department of Basic Science, Faculty of Computers and Informatics, Suez Canal University, Ismailia, Egypt
KEYWORDS Abstract This paper analyzes the dynamics of a Cournot duopoly model with different strategies.
Different strategies; We offer results on existence, stability and local bifurcations of the equilibrium points. The bifur-
Chaos; cation diagrams and Lyapunov exponents of the model are presented to show that the model
Boundedly rational player; behaves chaotically with the variation in the parameters. The state variables feedback and param-
Local approximation player; eter variation methods are used to control the chaos of the model.
Nash equilibrium point;
Parameter variation method 2010 MATHEMATICS SUBJECT CLASSIFICATION: 39A10; 91A25; 37G35
ª 2014 Production and hosting by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of Egyptian Mathematical Society.
1. Introduction with homogeneous strategies, that is, players who adopt the
same expectation rule. Another branch of the literature is
A Cournot duopoly game is an oligopoly market with two made up of studies in which games with different strategies
players. Oligopoly was first introduced by Cournot [1]. In a are taken into consideration. The assumption of players adopt-
typical Cournot oligopoly, there are two or more players, no ing heterogeneous rules to decide their production is, in our
other players can enter the market, and collusive behavior is opinion, more realistic than the opposite case. This approach
prohibited. Each player in the oligopoly market aims to max- characterizes the works by Leonard and Nishimura [11],
imize its expected profit, and profit is maximized when mar- Den-Haan [12], Agiza et al. [13], Agiza and Elsadany [14,15].
ginal revenue equals marginal cost. Recently, it has also been Zhang et al. [16] used the technique of Agiza and Elsadany
shown that even oligopolistic markets may become chaotic un- to analyze a duopoly game with heterogeneous players and
der certain conditions [2–10]. In general, in order to adjust his nonlinear cost function. Angelini et al. [17] and Tramontana
output, a player can choose his expectation rule among many [18] studied a duopoly game with heterogeneous firms assum-
available strategies. Naive, adaptive, boundedly rational and ing a microfounded nonlinearity on the demand function.
local approximation expectations are only a few examples. In The main purpose of this paper is to investigate the dy-
the literature on oligopoly games, most papers focus on games namic behavior and control of duopoly game with different
strategies. We considered that each player forms a different
* Tel.: +20 1140734666; fax: +20 643320267. strategy in order to compute its expected output. We assume
E-mail address: aelsadany1@yahoo.com that the first player represents a boundedly rational player
Peer review under responsibility of Egyptian Mathematical Society. and the second player has local approximation expectations.
The main aim of this work is to investigate the dynamic behav-
iors of the two players game using different expectation rules.
Moreover, from a mathematical point of view, it is shown that
Production and hosting by Elsevier
the loss of the market equilibrium stability may occur through
1110-256X ª 2014 Production and hosting by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of Egyptian Mathematical Society.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.joems.2014.01.006
Please cite this article in press as: A.A. Elsadany, A dynamic Cournot duopoly model with different strategies, Journal of the
Egyptian Mathematical Society (2014), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.joems.2014.01.006
2 A.A. Elsadany
8
a flip bifurcation and that a cascade of flip bifurcations may > pffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi bxt1
< xtþ1
1 ¼ xt
1 þ a x
1 1
t
a c 1 b x t
1 þ x t
2 pffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
lead to periodic cycles and chaos. 2 xt1 þxt2
pffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi ð7Þ
The paper is organized as follows. In Section 2 we describe >
: tþ1 2ðac2 Þ x1 þx2 2bx1 bx2
t t t t
Please cite this article in press as: A.A. Elsadany, A dynamic Cournot duopoly model with different strategies, Journal of the
Egyptian Mathematical Society (2014), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.joems.2014.01.006
A dynamic Cournot duopoly model with different strategies 3
3.1. Stability of the Nash equilibrium point E2 always fulfilled. While from Eqs. (10), (11) and (14) it is clear
that the condition (2) is satisfied. Therefore, the Nash equilib-
In order to investigate the local stability properties of the Nash rium point E2 can loose stability only through a flip bifurca-
equilibrium point (10) of the two-dimensional system (7), the tion. So, we have the following proposition about local
Jacobian matrix evaluated at E2 , that is: stability of Nash Equilibrium point E2 .
2 3
a1 ð3bx2 1 þ4bx1 x2 Þ
a1 ðbx2
1 þ2bx1 x2 Þ
1 p ffiffiffiffiffi pffiffiffiffiffi Proposition 2. The Nash equilibrium point E2 is asymptotically
6 4 X3 4 X3 7 1þ2/
JðE2 Þ ¼ 4 5 ð13Þ stable if a < wþ/hr. The system (7) undergoes a flip bifurcation
pacffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi p ac
ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi 1
2
1
2
2 1þ2/
2b x þx1 2
2b x þx
1 2 at E2 when a ¼ wþ/hr. Moreover, period-2 points bifurcate
1þ2/
where X ¼ x1 þ x2 . from E2 when a > wþ/hr.
Whose trace and determinant are given by:
1 Proof. From above results, the conditions (2) and (3) are
T :¼ TrðJðE2 ÞÞ ¼ a1 h þ / always satisfied. However, condition (1) can be violated, since
2
1 the flip bifurcation occurs when F ¼ 0. Then
D :¼ DetðJðE2 ÞÞ ¼ / a1 w/ þ a1 r
2
where 1 þ T þ D ¼ 0;
2 1 a1 h þ 2/ a1 w/ þ a1 r ¼ 0
3bx2
1 þ 4bx1 x2
a c2 bx1 þ bx1 x2
h¼ p ffiffiffiffiffiffiffi ;/ ¼ p ffiffiffiffiffi
ffi ;w ¼ pffiffiffiffiffiffiffi ð14Þ
4 X3 2b X 2 X3 Then from stability situation, the Nash equilibrium point can
1þ2/
2
bx1 loose stability when a ¼ wþ/hr . Hence the Nash equilibrium
and r ¼ pffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
8 X3 point is asymptotically stable if a < a . Moreover, period-2
points bifurcate from E2 when a > a . h
so the characteristic polynomial of (13) is:
Next we present the results of the numerical simulations for
PðkÞ ¼ k2 Tk þ D; ð15Þ the system (7).
whose discriminant is D ¼ T2 4D.
From the stability theory we know that the fixed point E2 is 4. Analysis and numerical simulation
locally asymptotically stable as long as the eigenvalues of Jaco-
bian matrix JðE2 Þare inside the unit circle of the complex The main purpose of this section is to show that the qualitative
plane. This is true if and only if the following Jury’s [24] stabil- behavior of the solutions of the nonlinear duopoly game with
ity criteria are hold: heterogeneous players (described by the dynamic system (7)).
8 To provide some numerical evidence for the existence of cha-
< ð1Þ : F :¼ 1 þ T þ D > 0;
>
otic motions, we use several standard tools, bifurcations dia-
ð2Þ : TC :¼ 1 T þ D > 0; ð16Þ
>
: grams, basin of attraction, lyapunov exponents, strange
ð3Þ : H :¼ 1 D > 0: attractors, sensitive dependence on initial conditions and so
The above inequalities (16) define a region in which the Nash on.
equilibrium point E2 is local stable. The violation of any sin- Fig. 1 presents a bifurcation diagram of system (7) in
gle inequality in (16), with other two being simultaneously ful- ða1 x1 x2 Þ plane when a ¼ 10; b ¼ 1; c1 ¼ 1 and c2 ¼ 3. From
filled leads to: (1) a flip bifurcation (real eigenvalue that passes Fig. 1, we can see that the orbit with initial values ð0:25; 0:2Þ
through 1) when F ¼ 0; (2) a fold or transcritical bifurcation approaches to the stable fixed point for a1 < 0:415. With a1
(a real eigenvalue that passes through +1) when TC ¼ 0; (3) a increasing, a flip bifurcation for system (7) takes place at a1
Neimark-Sacker bifurcation (i.e., the modulus of a complex ¼ 0:415 and period-2 points bifurcate as a1 ¼ :415 , which is
eigenvalue pair that passes through 1) when H ¼ 0 and verifies Proposition 2. Furthermore, the period-2 points are
jTj < 2 (see [25,26]). attracting when a1 varies in the interval ð0:415; 0:565Þ. As long
The discriminant of (13) is
2
3
D ¼ T2 4D ¼ a1 h / þ 2a1 ð2w/ 2h/ þ h 2rÞ;
2
From Eqs. (10), (11), (14) and since a; b; c1 ; c2 and a1 are posi-
tive parameters. Then w > h and h > 2r. Hence D > 0, then
the eigenvalues of Nash equilibrium are real.
For the special case of the Jacobian matrix (13), the stabil-
ity conditions in (16) can be written as follows:
8
< ð1Þ : F :¼ 1 a1 h þ 2/ a1 w/ þ a1 r > 0;
>
ð2Þ : TC :¼ a1 h þ a1 r a1 w/ > 0; ð17Þ
>
:
ð3Þ : H :¼ 32 / þ a1 w/ a1 r > 0:
Please cite this article in press as: A.A. Elsadany, A dynamic Cournot duopoly model with different strategies, Journal of the
Egyptian Mathematical Society (2014), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.joems.2014.01.006
4 A.A. Elsadany
5. Chaos control
Please cite this article in press as: A.A. Elsadany, A dynamic Cournot duopoly model with different strategies, Journal of the
Egyptian Mathematical Society (2014), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.joems.2014.01.006
A dynamic Cournot duopoly model with different strategies 5
Please cite this article in press as: A.A. Elsadany, A dynamic Cournot duopoly model with different strategies, Journal of the
Egyptian Mathematical Society (2014), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.joems.2014.01.006
6 A.A. Elsadany
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Please cite this article in press as: A.A. Elsadany, A dynamic Cournot duopoly model with different strategies, Journal of the
Egyptian Mathematical Society (2014), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.joems.2014.01.006
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