Year, Absolute growth Growth rate Increment rate

quarter y chain base chain base chain base

2019 II 20
2019 III 21 1 1 1.050 1.05 5.0 5
2019 IV 24 3 4 1.143 1.2 14.3 20
2020 I 17 -7 -3 0.708 0.85 -29.2 -15
2020 II 18 1 -2 1.059 0.9 5.9 -10
2020 III 19 1 -1 1.056 0.95 5.6 -5
2020 IV 26 7 6 1.368 1.3 36.8 30
2021 I 16 -10 -4 0.615 0.8 -38.5 -20
2021 II 15 -1 -5 0.938 0.75 -6.3 -25
 Year,
quarter y x linear Poly5 Poly3 Qlinear Q Poly5 Q Poly3
2019 II 20 1 21.9727 -8.4212 23.7223 3.891545 807.7646 13.85552
2019 III 21 2 21.4894 19.413 21.2626 0.239512 2.518569 0.068959
2019 IV 24 3 21.0061 23.5288 20.1109 8.963437 0.222029 15.1251
2020 I 17 4 20.5228 20.425 19.8682 12.41012 11.73063 8.226571
2020 II 18 5 20.0395 18.258 20.1355 4.15956 0.066564 4.56036
2020 III 19 6 19.5562 19.1938 20.5138 0.309358 0.037558 2.29159
2020 IV 26 7 19.0729 21.76 20.6041 47.98471 17.9776 29.11574
2021 I 16 8 18.5896 23.1978 20.0074 6.706028 51.80832 16.05925
2021 II 15 9 18.1063 21.814 18.3247 9.6491 46.4306 11.05363
2021 III ? 10 17.623 19.333 15.157
10.47926 104.2841 11.15075

y
y
30
30
25
f(x) 25
f(x) == 23.7376402563825 x^-0.124366953674502
− 2.09738163825609 ln(x) + 23.0755241763792
20 f(x)
R² ===0.134518238717866
R² 22.8251440338104 exp(x +− 22.4555555555556
− 0.483333333333333
0.0952915471737767 0.0282536397633459 x ) f(x) = 0.0195513 x⁵ − 0.641608 x⁴ + 7.89
R² = 0.18103243742721
0.131956066945607 R² = 0.494204801474641
20
15
15
10
10
5
5
0
2019 II 2019 III 2019 IV 2020 I 2020 II 2020 III 2020 IV 2021 I 2021 II 0
2019 II 2019 III 2019 IV 2020 I

y
30 30

25 25
f(x) = − 0.0664983164983 x³ + 1.0530303030303 x² − 5.1531986531987 x + 27.888888888889
20R² = 0.251378851274249 20 Moving a
R² = NaN

15 15

10 10

5 5

0 0
2019 II 2019 III 2019 IV 2020 I 2020 II 2020 III 2020 IV 2021 I 2021 II 2019 II 2019 III 2019 IV 2020
 y

= 0.0195513 x⁵ − 0.641608 x⁴ + 7.891754 x³ − 44.93415 x² + 116.4145 x − 87.16667

= 0.494204801474641

2019 II 2019 III 2019 IV 2020 I 2020 II 2020 III 2020 IV 2021 I 2021 II

Moving average trend line with period = %PERIOD

R² = NaN

2019 II 2019 III 2019 IV 2020 I 2020 II 2020 III 2020 IV 2021 I 2021 II
 Year,
quarter y s=1 s=2 s=3 s=4 s=5 Q s=1 Q s=2 Q s=3
2019 II 20
2019 III 21 20 1
2019 IV 24 21 20.5 9 12.25
2020 I 17 24 22.5 21.66667 49 30.25 21.77778
2020 II 18 17 20.5 20.66667 20.5 1 6.25 7.111111
2020 III 19 18 17.5 19.66667 20 1 2.25 0.444444
2020 IV 26 19 18.5 18 19.5 49 56.25 64
2021 I 16 26 22.5 21 20 100 42.25 25
2021 II 15 16 21 20.33333 19.75 1 36 28.44444
2021 III ? 15 15.5 19 19
26.375 26.5 24.46296
Q s=4

6.25
1
42.25
16
22.5625

17.6125
 Year, Q
quarter y a=0,1 a=0,2 a=0,3 a=0,4 a=0,5 a=0,6 a=0,7 a=0,8 a=0,9 a=0,1
2019 II 20
2019 III 21
2019 IV 24 20.1 20.2 20.3 20.4 20.5 20.6 20.7 20.8 20.9 15.21
2020 I 17 21.3 21.6 21.9 22.2 22.5 22.8 23.1 23.4 23.7 18.49
2020 II 18 23.3 22.6 21.9 21.2 20.5 19.8 19.1 18.4 17.7 28.09
2020 III 19 17.1 17.2 17.3 17.4 17.5 17.6 17.7 17.8 17.9 3.61
2020 IV 26 18.1 18.2 18.3 18.4 18.5 18.6 18.7 18.8 18.9 62.41
2021 I 16 19.7 20.4 21.1 21.8 22.5 23.2 23.9 24.6 25.3 13.69
2021 II 15 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 100
2021 III ? 15.9 15.8 15.7 15.6 15.5 15.4 15.3 15.2 15.1
34.5
Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q
a=0,2 a=0,3 a=0,4 a=0,5 a=0,6 a=0,7 a=0,8 a=0,9

14.44 13.69 12.96 12.25 11.56 10.89 10.24 9.61

21.16 24.01 27.04 30.25 33.64 37.21 40.96 44.89
21.16 15.21 10.24 6.25 3.24 1.21 0.16 0.09
3.24 2.89 2.56 2.25 1.96 1.69 1.44 1.21
60.84 59.29 57.76 56.25 54.76 53.29 51.84 50.41
19.36 26.01 33.64 42.25 51.84 62.41 73.96 86.49
81 64 49 36 25 16 9 4

31.6 29.3 27.6 26.5 26 26.1 26.8 28.1

 Year,
quarter y x linear i=y/linear i S y~=i S * linear Q y~
2019 II 20 1 21.9727 0.91022 0.878962 19.31317817323 0.471724
2019 III 21 2 21.4894 0.977226 0.974392 20.93910882482 0.003708
2019 IV 24 3 21.0061 1.142525 1.252858 26.31766013559 5.371549
2020 I 17 4 20.5228 0.828347 0.844522 17.33194904678 0.11019
2020 II 18 5 20.0395 0.898226 0.878962 17.61396796945 0.149021
2020 III 19 6 19.5562 0.971559 0.974392 19.05541336659 0.003071
2020 IV 26 7 19.0729 1.363191 1.252858 23.89563507743 4.428352
2021 I 16 8 18.5896 0.860696 0.844522 15.69931978093 0.090409
2021 II 15 9 18.1063 0.828441 0.878962 15.91475776568 0.836782
2021 III ? 10 17.623 0.974392 17.17171790836
11.4648

y
30

25

20

15

10

0
2019 II 2019 III 2019 IV 2020 I 2020 II 2020 III 2020 IV 2021 I 2021 II
Results

Method Model param. Q Forecast

Trend linear 10.47926 17.623 14.38583 20.86017
Moving Average s=4 17.6125 19
Exp. Smoothing a=0,5 26 15.5
Seasonal - 11.4648 17.17172