Artomatte _cledinction op Pobabilly Pobabiliy s Lot (Od) be a araasypbl spa. A suk furctin PtdoR F gatd fo ba a probability sonckin fit Soktsfies Hs flevig: O Hzo + het [Won- napalividf] O Pel @ For any sapuance af paiv-wite oijjoin! events Med [anna ted] PUB Mi) = = PO) — [Coutabh oceetvity J Dy (4,4,) i called! 0 probabil ly spac. Ws afin Ao cafintn bo poi clijotnt evsntt only (Axim), why NOT dr all uni metas Reve WN GA > Bag = Boy msl G'S Are clitjoint.Exangle: Considy Uke exptetmant of voli of ut chet. “Thin . ae {ly by, 0h, He 34 The t= OY Lal A= He sum ghowing on 4 too dies u epoch La =f 09, an,Gnh EF | = PUD = Gr Pepe op bobily Finctins O Pl(b=o Prof “Tila Aye, yey yates -- - = th Oviom(D. Thin Plar= Pl) + PG + PDE > - Since P(-2)=1 Ond P(Pz0 > DPldl-o @ For any finile pulr-wxin chijoint CollcHon My Aa vney fn C4 4 have, PCY ar Ee Hints Take Ana= Ane --- = tn ariom® @ TE ACA Hen MAA = PLACA), Morovse, PCA) & IPI). Thal want IP If Moretore, Prods = AU(a-A) > Pla= mar PLO) SB Play = PC - PO => pane Ue. (0° PLM 5)For Any Aeéd, Pel, Aco 3 P(e PCa) @ PlA= tier) Prd? = AU AS = => [P+ IPAS) = Plo =| => pad= [Pl. ° Taste was Xi Prva = PCA + [Pla —|PCANG) Ave= Av (8\ (ARG) By) oo => Pave) = [PCA + PCG Cao) Peay + Ca)— IP¢aae) C* Ane ca) 3 IP(AUB) = @ for aw evant 6¢ et (PCA) + Ca) + PCC) — 1AM) _iptane) —PCAAe) + wPlAnane) P(aveve) = Proal $ Exsrcte. Ticlusin— Exclus? ; clin Exclaim Female (neal Aediter Rei), Fr dry evn Ad --Mn ed, ; + cael AM), PC ba) = Er) - SS [PIncAAI) + - Tea Prods For 129, wa know Hat eAuAy = Pemree its) ~ ACAM) [Fem OT. sum the j fis reult dae fer nek. Tab,ke Ht hi ecg al = = pen) - aa e(Re mips Cf ) a ker P( UA) 1P ( (UA) UAea) PCR) + Pltea) — BC (Y, WIA Mes) u 1 k Br ik) — SE pehenbie = eat (2%) 1 J ve k + PUta) — (UL (Actes) rat fe = Spay os * Ce peat) 4 -- ath ti rey fs Hip, : [ = P(ArMAea) — o & (P(g A CAAA) 427 wa tf le J kat oe tk t9( Ke) = Pai— oe P(AeAR!) + - - Sarl! Ta to Hance, fhe vresudt 4 free for all postin intapre Woduss of». ¥ OR —> Sum 4 Probabilities ABD > Product af Pababilites. Examples Se Cards ars drawn Usitk riplacemont from a Ordinary clack of carck What tS dle probability Hat exch Of fur suth will be Prernbs at feast ohce Armong thy Sie Cords, Soh: Lut A= All Suit appr at teost as Hon AC = at Qoot or cuit clogs mel apetor Th 6 = Spades do et apfor, Bi = Hrorl dort appro Gs = Diamonds ole nil appter , y= clubs do met apetorRo AS: y 6: Roly that QB P (Spach de mut Oppior) = P(e) = Pl Wer of dr six # a spach)= Bydedr Bhd ey Sino, P [B= Pld= wlad= (2)' rd PC wena) = (2\e Uy gina, Pl Be aginay — ty, 1étieey, Nae PC far)= Uso inclustin excluatén formula, lo» f é i Aj Fa) pave HC Bax) = Ena) as plans) ELE cave hav — CR) 4 (3)- 6 (4) u (4)! = BF a o.te => Pits IMAD.= 1-0-0 = 0:38 | Congsrron’ Tregualtly Fr Ory euents Buf, -—, fn €4 E Pm - ES ec PUA. (4d Qoble's Trepuallly s Lat GrJyy, be 4 Septem ef cate tnt thon So OD PC haye Een) la © pt fin) x Els — Oo 4 >,Mors over, © pCa) 2 Sem . Gi ® pC Aay> - Aw Freed? @ Take Be = Ayn GAR DOs Ave par-wite dig — Ea Se yiy Ga @ tA . aon = Pl Ae a HE Ai) > PUR = P(Gal= & hoo ez PUM) ( © Pcie) = 1- (fad = 1- (Ga) > VFI (MS), Conchitona) frobabiley s Lal (04,8) br @ —probabildy space ond Ue BEF with P(B>6. Than, for amy ACE, Ke Conclitonal probabiltly of A Gis Hal 6 het ales occumad te _ Plans) PC Alo) = CG). Example: Rallig eprclica, = Me numb 2 occur; G= an even ‘tumby occur thm IPlA)= +, Panlo= +. Examples Consitly cull families with too chilean cand Castume thet bays ond ges Ove epually Lfaly @ a 0 forty tt chootm at vordom and is four fo haw @ bey, What i He probabiltly Ket the of on ti ato a bey? © TF a child & chown at random from hose fonilicn nat FF oben Bh be 0 boy what i hy probability Hot he ofler chitel ty kal fonily y odio a bey?¥ fe ® n= few, Chg, Cam, Ca913 Lat A de the event hed damit haa boy. Pla= ¢ Lal @ be de evad that second Chitd 8 a bay PANG) Yy : - P(8in= pe = ays + ® «4- Lbs, by, do, Oh Lut A be Te evene Hed He child ii a beg. PCA= + Jat Bobe Be event Hat the chilel hos a brethec aja) - ecAN a FAI) = a =“ wr A Nolice Me clifferance in @® ard ®. Wa & clu -lo clifferoncr in cebrlten paligy, Linmas P+ 16) a valid probability fonctien. Pro0d: © Peale) = one zo ¥ AEF. = Reads) Pla) ® Maly = ROM. Teel. ® lel Aid, be a pavesist disjoint sips af events. Thin w(Ga9 A Barre) P16) - ra o =, Peane pena) S peaia, 8) UF 18) GF PC Gals) =reese ee > Lrabiplcalin Rules Jot Qta7e dnd 1hCA) >2. H Peano R(Aa= PC aia) = ai = [peanay = ip(Ars) = ACAI) IPC) yeaa) PCa) Malliplicaten vule Germs allt abet Lal Aaron, MC wih IP (Ai) 79 « Thm Pl (A) = PCA) 1PEALA) 1PlAgLANAD] .-.- PC An\ flac) Beef Forket Re shamest wi thus by wil O, Lat fhe Slim ab true for Mt. Consichy PC fini) = ((A0A) fa) = PCAMAL) IPCAGL AAAs) PC Aal AAAs) PC Aes | Ai) = PCA) PCR AA) PCA IAM. PC Rew EAA), This prus dhe tasull Th ‘hey & Thier of Tetel frobabifly® Lat 6,,0,,... be potest eijont evsals wih B= u Thin for any even A, IP (ana) = S (AIG) 108) Jet Morrow, tf B= 0 th P(A) = E, Pras ) Pai)8 eft 2 5 f= N= U6) = 5 Ang> Aa (,4) = OG (ara) a = pPlara) = PCB, Ang) - EF scan) ~ &. (peaac) 1PCGe) a A a Example: Sypo. a Caltelader manufacturer purchases es From suubpless Gr, By And Bs with HO7. fem B,, Go. from B, One 307. dam Bs Suppe 1% of Supply from 6, fe clifton, S1. from B, arel [07- fom 8, if dspehin, wWhal & dh prebabilidy fat 0 ondinly — Sulictsel Te from the manofaclurvy's Stock le defactthe, Sh: lade ou, PEBy= 6-3 ond P(A)= 0-3 Lat A be de evind that fk Te fe ddecttite . P(AIG) = 0-01 , CAB.) = oor == Onl PCA As) = O1 : 1) P(A) = EPs vrs = sPCAaD 108s) + PCA) puss) 04h) OD ce 0. 0lX OU + oor x63 + O[KOI = 0.044 Oyrs Teer Lat By). -= by patresi clisjont evant with wa FBC Onl tr one gin 0 Pet prea P(A) 72, Veen Ten & any event A tlh PLA 7° PCAL 6) IPC Ae) lek ae P(aclA = = . = plalec) (8) Cr Prost cy easy Pew) A) _ = (BIA) = pray pn or lstRg —K———————LL— Vv Framgle + — Consichr Ya aber example. Sys Q vandinl seltctoa 20. U found fo be dfictic . tohad ti fe prebalilly Hak i war \ Supplicel by G,f0r 8, bs) Sins == ela) — — PLAla) 1PC0,) vol X bs ~ 6 4 o_ Pla) eT) ~ 49: Sinylavhy, PUA 1A) = 1 Las]a) = 32. Frelpindoner af Even? “Tho event A Ord G art Called nckyanclas if = A). es (ala) = 10C8) Se, eusnle A dnd @ ave Slalestically indapmelnt tt JPCANG) = 1PcAd- IPCC) # Wen evonle A, God C ara sard fo be clehsteally (ndepsrdiot @ pPcana)= Pear), 1PCBac = IPUB).MO , sP(Bac) = PLA) IPCC) ant — PC Anne) = PCA Me PCC), * Th guosrol, th evinls A, A. A Ave Sard to be sfalictrcally Yndbprclat tt PLAAA) = PURPA)», Ces PCALA Ai AAe) = jPeme) PCRS) (PAK), Vader wp(siney = TPM) x The toked tombe of Conditions fo dabereminss He indipdoney of a evands fe 2mae C Ae evtrls Atlas. are Gaiel fo be trdoponclt rf Fee try dns Coleen Ai, ==» Ain, tte Condition for typrdiney ara sabisfied. TR Umit Ay, Aa Ay ra att wte tneliprolot AE Pevcaniy > Umi) UA)? C2) Dees far-te tndyrdiney => — stalestecell, Indipmrelongy 7 Example : Tsing too Coins, = FHM, HT Tr, THE fz ih m te fist Goin = FHA, Ht B= Hom tk Sicend Coin = LBM HY C= fom face on bel cath = SHH, 173, Peay = 1Ple)= PLO= 4° plana) = + = prance) = PCAN pplaneao = 44 f= PrayPia RO oS Ae ad C are poirot Be Indepoelt bub BOT stadistecally Indtpercdenl. Barcies aS QD Tf fevr carried couples ave arranged do be cud in you. Whal k He probabilty Hat so hubond i sealed ext fo hi WIP @ Tare are choo inde of fobs tn On ebictromie gadget. TE will cea te fonchn (ff om of each kid ik chfuclin, Th probababty at fhene j a depetioe tule gy fo fit bin P Ont fe prbobilly that mi Hoa difichie tube ey fhe ceconel Kind & Qe. ies Tt & KnownHot foo tubs Gre deface. (Bhat i tte probability that X Be gadgut sil works 1 * fs 9] ® Ly;—4++ fin edecrige retort locks a3 in He about fyure, The numbees Mrelicabs fhe probabilfer af failure for fhe Various inks, which ort all inctpndint. [phat de prbabilrly at eirewtt i chivel f . ® Tf two clio are Hun, whol b fe prbobiliy Hat te sum “ @ greatee Hoh Gatley tone nt Ans: @ is © 49] © A card drawn from a lulls chaff pack of pliyiig corde whet «fh prbabiiy Pat iti either a spac or an au? © A prelim In matondies givin to he Hr suolente AB and C wher charce gf Slug MH are YW, By and Y ; Bh, Vy vospeelindy, (hat is te pbb’) Kad jhe pron Ul by led of gl of fn fy independ? i A consignmnt af IS racorl players contain YY chifrebaur. “TR xecorel We rr calcd a ea mm by 8) Onal Exdmitedl, “There ExAmibsel Or# not put back. what i da Prrbabrhly tat he a are ovamiiucl «4° dh Lott dipedie)