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The Science of Making Torque from Wind (TORQUE 2022) IOP Publishing
Journal of Physics: Conference Series 2265 (2022) 022049 doi:10.1088/1742-6596/2265/2/022049

Wake impact of constructing a new offshore wind


farm zone on an existing downwind cluster: a case
study of the Belgian Princess Elisabeth zone using
FLORIS
Wim Munters1 , Baris Adiloglu2 , Sophia Buckingham1 and Jeroen van
Beeck1
1
Department of Environmental and Applied Fluid Dynamics, von Karman Institute for Fluid
Dynamics, Waterloosesteenweg 72, 1640 Sint-Genesius-Rode, Belgium
2
3E, Kalkkaai 6, 1000 Brussels, Belgium
E-mail: wim.munters@vki.ac.be

Abstract. A first assessment of the potential wake impact of the future Princess Elisabeth
wind-farm cluster on the existing Belgian wind farms is performed. We consider 3 different wake
models coupled to a blockage model implemented in FLORIS, and study 15 design scenarios for
the future cluster. Simulations show that, although intra-cluster wake effects are qualitatively
comparable, inter-cluster effects differ strongly among model setups, confirming results in recent
literature. With increasing new-zone capacity, a trend of higher existing-zone AEP loss caused
by the new zone is observed, as well as an incentive to use turbines with higher individual rating.
Quantitatively, AEP loss due to inter-cluster wakes can reach up to 0.8% for the full existing
zone as compared to a reference case without the Princess Elisabeth zone. Further, worst-case
conditions with west-southwesterly winds show the new zone induces an inter-cluster power loss
of 6% for the entire existing zone, with extremes up to 20% for specific turbines.

1. Introduction
Considering efforts for the transition towards a renewable energy system, offshore wind is
expected to take up an increasingly important role in the European electricity landscape. More
specifically, current European ambitions are to deploy up to 400 GW of offshore wind energy
across the continent’s seas by 2050, of which over 200 GW is expected to be installed in the
North Sea [1]. Even though these farms would take up only a limited fraction of the total sea
area, the amount of space with environmental conditions suitable for bottom-fixed wind turbines
is relatively scarce, which can result in closely-spaced wind-farm clusters. For the Belgian case
specifically, the exclusive economic zone of the North Sea is relatively small, further limiting the
amount of space to install offshore wind farms. In 2020, the first Belgian offshore wind energy
zone adjacent to the border with the Netherlands was completed, with an installed capacity of
2.2 GW (zone A on Figure 1a). Over the coming decade, the new Princess Elisabeth zone will
be developed (B, C, D on Figure 1a), where an additional capacity similar to the current zone
will be installed. Considering the dominance of south-westerly winds in the Belgian part of the

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The Science of Making Torque from Wind (TORQUE 2022) IOP Publishing
Journal of Physics: Conference Series 2265 (2022) 022049 doi:10.1088/1742-6596/2265/2/022049

North Sea as shown in Figure 1b, this new zone will be some tens of kilometers upwind of the
existing zone from the dominant wind direction, with potential wake impact on the latter.
Historically, significantly more focus has been on the wake effects within clusters, where wakes
travel relatively short distances from turbine to turbine. As an example for Belgium, Bulder and
Bot [2] performed a preliminary study on the installation of the 1.4 GW Dutch Borssele farm
adjacent to the Belgian zone on the northeastern side (see Figure 1a), hence forming a single
homogeneous Dutch – Belgian cluster, and report intra-cluster losses in the order of 2 to 3%
for the Belgian farms. In practice however, wakes have also been observed to extend over long
distances void of turbines in between farms or clusters [3, 4]. Therefore, the existing Belgian
zone is expected to experience wake effects also from the new Princess Elisabeth cluster.
Fast engineering models are most often the tool of choice for modeling wake impacts on
annual energy production (AEP), as the necessitated time horizons and different design scenarios
impede the use of high-fidelity techniques. However, studies using these models for inter-cluster
interactions have been relatively scarce to date. Furthermore, the existing studies report mixed
success and strong spread among different models. Hansen et al. [5] compare various engineering
models, as well as RANS and mesoscale tools, to SCADA results for the Rødsand and Nysted
wind farms in the Baltic sea. They conclude that all models under consideration capture to some
extent the wake deficit in the downstream farm, yet a significant spread exists. In a follow-up
study on this case, Fischereit et al. [6] illustrate that especially the standard Jensen [7] and
Gaussian model [8] in PyWake tend to overestimate inter-cluster wake recovery. Nygaard et
al. [9] come to a similar conclusion where Jensen (Park) underestimates cluster wake deficits
for the Westermost Rough and Humber Gateway neighboring wind farms in the English North
Sea, but propose a turbulence-optimized extension of the Park model (TurbOPark) which is
shown to greatly improve the match with SCADA data. This improvement of TurbOPark over
conventional models was recently also observed in canonical large-eddy simulations [10].
The objective of the current study is to perform a first assessment of the potential impact
of the Princess Elisabeth zone on the existing zone in terms of power loss, using wake models
readily available in the open source engineering FLORIS framework1 . We study the influence
of design choices for the new zone, i.e. on individual turbine rating and total capacity, both in
terms of expected losses in AEP and temporary power losses during worst-case wind conditions.
Furthermore, inspired by the reported model spread in literature as mentioned above, we assess
the influence of wake model setup on inter-cluster wake loss.

2. Methodology
The large spatial extent of the Belgian North Sea zone combined with the aim of estimating
effects on full AEP require an efficient wake modeling strategy. In the current study, we
use 3 different wake modeling setups readily available in the open-source FLORIS framework,
and combine them with an induction model to account for blockage effects. Simulations are
performed for 15 design scenarios for the new zone, comprising of 5 total capacities of the new
zones using 3 different turbine ratings. Furthermore, an additional simulation with only the
existing zone serves as a reference scenario. This results in 16 design scenarios, or a total of 48
cases to be simulated, considering the different wake model setups. For each case, first a lookup-
table is generated to cover the full wind rose. Next, in order to estimate AEP, the lookup-table
is linked to long-term meteorological data to account for typical southwesterly wind conditions
in the Belgian North Sea. Note that in the current paper, AEP is defined solely based on the
wind resource and losses related to blockage and wakes. Other loss sources are not taken into
account. Further remark that in the remainder of the text, the term ‘losses’ refers to inter-cluster
losses in the existing zone caused by the impact of the new zone, rather than intra-cluster or
1
FLORIS. Version 2.4 (2021). Available at https://github.com/NREL/floris

2
The Science of Making Torque from Wind (TORQUE 2022) IOP Publishing
Journal of Physics: Conference Series 2265 (2022) 022049 doi:10.1088/1742-6596/2265/2/022049

Figure 1. (a) Illustration of the Belgian offshore wind energy zone, including existing wind
farms (zone A), as well as the new Princess Elisabeth concession (zones B, C, and D). Figure
courtesy of the Belgian offshore platform3 . (b) Wind rose of Belgian North Sea conditions,
indicating predominantly southwesterly winds.

intra-farm losses within either of these. Section 2.1 details the meteorological conditions used
as inputs to the modeling framework. Thereafter, Section 2.2 shows the design choices of the
Princess Elisabeth zone considered in this work. Next, Section 2.3 outlines the coupling between
wake and induction models based on the WIZ framework. Finally, 2.4 discusses the 3 different
wake model setups used in this paper.

2.1. Meteorological input conditions


As discussed above, simulations are performed to cover the full wind rose of possible speeds
and directions. For this, an angular resolution of 5 degrees and velocities from 0 to 30 m/s
in steps of 1 m/s are used, requiring 2 160 model evaluations per lookup-table. The reference
height for velocity values is set at z = 138 m. Furthermore, a turbulence intensity of 6%
is imposed, representative for Belgian North sea conditions [11]. Input wind conditions for
the wake simulations and AEP computations are derived from long-time meteorological data
extrapolated to the Belgian North sea, based on the wind resource assessment experience for
the Belgian offshore wind farms at 3E. A power-law wind profile is constructed using shear
exponent of 0.087 derived from the meteorological input data. In this first assessment of inter-
cluster interactions based on engineering wake models, we omit effects of thermal stratification
and assume neutral boundary layer conditions.

2.2. Wind-farm layouts and turbine characteristics


Wind farm layouts and turbine characteristics are varied in different scenarios to quantify the
sensitivity of design choices in the new upstream zone on the entailing losses in the existing
downstream zone. The total target capacity of the new zone is varied between 1.75 GW, 2.1
GW, 2.8 GW, 3.15 GW, and 3.5 GW, which allows to quantify the sensitivity of downstream
losses to upstream installed capacity. Furthermore, the impact of new-zone turbine rating,
and thus of the amount of turbines installed to achieve a given target capacity, is assessed by
including three turbine types, i.e. a 13 MW turbine with a rotor diameter D of 220 m, a 15
MW turbine with D = 236 m, and a boosted 17 MW variant of the latter. The existing 2.2
GW capacity in the Belgian North sea is modeled with the appropriate turbine manufacturer
curves as taken from the Windpro Wind Turbine Generator catalogue. The curves of new-

3
The Science of Making Torque from Wind (TORQUE 2022) IOP Publishing
Journal of Physics: Conference Series 2265 (2022) 022049 doi:10.1088/1742-6596/2265/2/022049

1.75 GW capacity, 17MW turbines 2.8 GW capacity, 15MW turbines 3.5 GW capacity, 13MW turbines
40 40 40
Northing [km]

30 30 30
20 20 20
10 10 10
0 0 0
0 20 40 60 0 20 40 60 0 20 40 60
Easting [km] Easting [km] Easting [km]

Figure 2. Examples of wind farm layouts considered in wake studies. Turbine locations are
indicated by circled markers. Marker colors correspond to different wind farms, with new-zone
turbines indicated by dark blue circles.

zone turbines are upscaled extrapolations of the largest turbines in the existing zone. Existing
turbine coordinates are derived from the as-built documentation by the Royal Belgian Institute
of Natural Sciences [12]. Given 5 target capacities as well as 3 individual turbine ratings, 15
wind-farm layouts for the new zone were created from a rough micro-siting exercise respecting
environmental and shipping-route constraints. Considering the southwestern location of the new
concession with respect to the existing zone, cluster-to-cluster wakes and losses due to the new
concession are expected to occur in southwesterly winds. For this reason, we omit the Borssele
wind farm zone adjacent on the northeastern side (see Figure 1a), as it is not expected to directly
influence the new-to-existing zone interactions. Figure 2 illustrates 3 sample layouts.

2.3. Wake – Induction model coupling


Blockage effects are included with the WIZ coupling framework for FLORIS and induction
models developed by Branlard and Meyer-Forsting [13]. More specifically, we use the vortex
cylinder model combined with a vortex doublet approximation in the far field (VCFF), which
is generally recommended as a computationally efficient model with a good match to idealized
actuator disk Reynolds-averaged simulations by Branlard et al. [14] A similar vortex cylinder
approach was shown to reasonably match SCADA data by Nygaard et al. [9] Since the blockage
depends on turbine thrust coefficients, which in turn depend on rotor wind speeds, an iterative
coupling is required to account for both effects simultaneously. In practice, we perform 3
iterations in which a FLORIS wake computation is followed by a vortex cylinder blockage
computation, whereafter wake and blockage effects are linearly combined. Results were found
to be insensitive to higher iteration counts.

2.4. Wake model setup


Due to its modular setup, FLORIS facilitates combining different empirical models for specific
flow physics. More specifically, the four pillars of a typical FLORIS model setup consist of
a velocity deficit model, a turbulence model, a wake superposition model, and a yaw wake
deflection model. The superposition model is kept at the standard ‘sum-of-squares freestream
superposition’ (sofs) [15] and the wake deflection model is irrelevant as turbines remain aligned
with the freestream velocity at all times. For velocity deficits and turbulence, we build 3
different setups from a combination of “out-of-the-box” models available in FLORIS to assess the
sensitivity of the obtained wake impact on the existing wind-farm zone. These 3 models consist
of the Jensen model, which remains the industry standard, the Gaussian model, which is the
FLORIS default model, and the TurbOPark model, which is designed especially for long-distance
wakes.

4
The Science of Making Torque from Wind (TORQUE 2022) IOP Publishing
Journal of Physics: Conference Series 2265 (2022) 022049 doi:10.1088/1742-6596/2265/2/022049

Model setup 1: Jensen The first velocity deficit model is the Jensen model [7]. This simple
model assumes wakes develop in a cone shape downstream of the originating turbine, with a
constant expansion coefficient kw , thus resulting in a linear expression for the wake cone diameter

Dw,t (x) = Dt + 2kw x, (1)

for t = 1, . . . , Nt , with Nt the total amount of turbines considered. Herein Dt is the rotor
diameter of turbine t and x denotes the axial distance from the rotor location. The Jensen
model further assumes a top-hat shape for the velocity in the wake, and states the velocity
deficit ∆Ut for t = 1, . . . , Nt as4
 
Ut p Dt
∆Ut (x) = U∞ 1 − 1 − CT,t , (2)
U∞ Dw,t (x)

with U∞ the undisturbed freestream velocity, Ut the streamwise velocity at the rotor, and CT,t
the turbine thrust coefficient, evaluated from performance curves at U = Ut . As can be seen,
kw is the sole empirical parameter governing wake development, and thus has to account for a
multitude of flow conditions, e.g. on atmospheric stability and turbulence intensity. For offshore
wind farms, a value between 0.03 and 0.05 is generally recommended. In this study, we employ
kw = 0.04, similar to Nygaard et al. [9]. In the standard Jensen model, a uniform kw is assumed
for all turbines, and the model is thus not further sensitized to the development of turbulence
intensity in the wake and throughout the wind farm. Although several studies have proposed
extensions of Jensen to circumvent this [16], they are not currently available in FLORIS.

Model setup 2: Gaussian Second, we consider the self-similar Gaussian deficit model [8], which
is currently considered the default wake model for use in FLORIS, and has been shown to achieve
a good match with field data [17]. Of the multiple Gaussian models available in FLORIS, we use
the gauss_legacy wake model, which is directly based on Refs. [8, 18]. The Gaussian model
considers conversation of mass and momentum and assumes a Gaussian-like velocity deficit,
with a diffuse wake diameter characterized by its standard deviation σw . Similar to the Jensen
model, a linear wake expansion is postulated as

σw,t (x) = εDt + kt∗ x (3)

for t = 1, . . . , Nt . Herein, kt∗ is a wake growth parameter. Based on large-eddy simulations,


Niayifar and Porté-Agel [18] linearly correlate kt∗ with local turbulence intensity It as observed
immediately upstream of the rotor of turbine t as

kt∗ = 0.38It + 0.004. (4)

Further, ε quantifies the scaling between Dt and σw,t (0) at the rotor, and can be expressed as a
non-linear function of CT [8]. The velocity deficit is then computed through
 s 
 2  2

C T,t D t 1 r
∆Ut (x, r) = U∞ 1 − 1 −  exp − , (5)
8 σw,t (x) 2 σw,t (x)2

for t = 1, . . . , Nt , where r is the radial distance to the rotor centerline. As shown in Eq. (4),
the Gaussian model is sensitive to total turbulence intensity It at the turbine rotor location.
4
In the FLORIS implementation
√ of the Jensen model, the factor Ut /U∞ is not included, hence deficits are
computed as ∆Ut = U∞ 1 − 1 − CT D/Dw , t(x).

5
The Science of Making Torque from Wind (TORQUE 2022) IOP Publishing
Journal of Physics: Conference Series 2265 (2022) 022049 doi:10.1088/1742-6596/2265/2/022049

To determine It for every turbine, the ambient intensity I∞ is combined with wake-generated
turbulence I+ originating from upstream turbines j in quadrature, i.e.
s X
It = I∞2 + 2 ,
I+,j (6)
j∈Ω

where Ω is the set of upstream turbines affecting the current turbine t. Previous studies have
however shown that this effect is dominated strongly by closely neighboring turbines alone [19].
In practice, FLORIS uses a cutoff separation distance of 15D. To model the wake-generated
turbulence terms I+,j , the Crespo-Hernandez model [20] is used, i.e.
I+,j = 0.5aj0.8 I∞
0.0325
(sj /D)−0.32 , (7)
where aj is the induction factor of turbine j, and sj is its axial distance to turbine t. An
important remark is that, once kt∗ is computed from It in Eq. (4), wake decay is no longer
influenced by the evolution of turbulence intensity downstream of the rotor. Within wind
farms, where hub-height turbulence becomes fully-developed after only a few rows (see, e.g.
[21]), this assumption is likely valid. However, when considering wake development over large
distances void of wind turbines, as in farm-farm wake interactions, turbulence will decay
resulting in delayed wake recovery. Hence, for such applications, the Gaussian model is prone
to overestimating recovery, leading to underestimation of farm-farm interactions [6].

Model setup 3: TurbOPark Third, we consider the Turbulence-Optimized Park (TurbOPark)


model, which was recently developed specifically with the aim of accurately capturing farm-farm
interactions over longer wake development distances [9]. The model is an extension of the Jensen
model discussed above and adopts an identical expression for the velocity deficit as in Eq. (2).
The TurbOPark model couples wake expansion to turbulence intensity at the rotor disk, but also
accounts for turbulence decay as the wake develops. It does so by including a location-dependent
turbulence intensity I(x) in defining a non-linear evolution of wake diameter Dw,t as
dDw,t (x)
= AI(x), (8)
dx
where Aqis a model calibration constant. Turbulence intensity is computed in quadrature as
I(x) = I∞ 2 + I 2 (x). An important distinction with the Gaussian model setup above in Eq.
+,t
(6) is that I+,t (x) here does not originate from upstream turbines but is turbulence generated
inside the current turbine wake as indicated by the subscript t. This additional wake turbulence
is described by the Frandsen model [19] as
1
I+,t = x/Dt
, (9)
c1 + c2 √
CT,t

with empirical constants c1 = 1.5 and c2 = 0.8. Based on a calibration for Ørsted offshore wind
farms, the current recommendation for the expansion parameter is A = 0.6. Remark the duality
between on the one hand the Gaussian setup, which includes turbulence from upstream wakes
through I+,j in Eq. (6) but does not account for reduced wake expansion due to downstream
turbulence decay, and on the other hand the TurbOPark setup, where downstream decay is
accounted for by the non-linear expansion in Eq. (8) but effects from turbines further upstream
are neglected by the Frandsen turbulence model, which accounts only for the closest turbine.
Note that, in the FLORIS implementation of TurbOPark, the Frandsen model is already included
in the deficit model, and no specific turbulence model is activated. Figure 3 illustrates the flow
fields of a 4 × 4 aligned wind farm simulation for each model setup, both with and without the
induction model coupling.

6
The Science of Making Torque from Wind (TORQUE 2022) IOP Publishing
Journal of Physics: Conference Series 2265 (2022) 022049 doi:10.1088/1742-6596/2265/2/022049

Figure 3. Visualization of axial velocity at hub height for each wake model setup (J, G, T)
from an example simulation with a 4 × 4 aligned wind farm. Turbine locations are indicated
with black lines. Left: basic FLORIS wake models. Right: FLORIS wake models coupled with
induction model through WIZ. Contours indicate values of 0.71, 0.8, 0.9, 0.95, 0.99 and 1.

Figure 4. Normalized axial velocity for 3.5 GW – 13 MW scenario in Jensen (left), Gaussian
(center) and TurbOPark (right) model setup, with southwesterly winds of U∞ = 10 m/s.

3. Results and discussion


Given the 3 different modeling setups, 16 wind-farm design scenarios per setup, and 2 160
evaluations per scenario, a total set of around 100 000 wake simulations are performed. As an
example, Figure 4 presents the wake deficits for 3 simulations out of this set. More specifically,
it illustrates the 3.5 GW scenario with 13MW new-zone turbines for a southwesterly wind of 10
m/s. For these common wind conditions, it can be seen that the turbines on the northern side
of the existing zone are directly impacted by the wake of the new concession zone. Furthermore,
expected features of individual wake models as discussed in the previous section can be observed.
The Jensen model predicts deep and distinct turbine wakes throughout the new zone, regardless
of expected enhanced mixing due to turbulence enhancement inside the array. The Gaussian
model does account for this effect, but stands out from the others with the least wake impact
on the existing zone, which can be explained by the lack of turbulence decay parameterization
in the wake expansion model. Finally, the TurbOPark model seems to qualitatively lie between
Gauss and Jensen, with smooth turbine wakes that combine and extend down to the existing
zone. The full set of simulations is further processed and compared to the reference scenario to
quantify wake losses due to the installation of the new zone. Firstly, we present the estimated
inter-cluster wake impact on the existing turbines as predicted by different model setups for the
various scenarios in Section 3.1. Afterwards, a worst-case analysis is performed in Section 3.2.

7
The Science of Making Torque from Wind (TORQUE 2022) IOP Publishing
Journal of Physics: Conference Series 2265 (2022) 022049 doi:10.1088/1742-6596/2265/2/022049

(a) (b) (c)

Figure 5. (a) Normalized new-zone AEP for the 15 scenarios and the 3 wake models. Top
ticks indicate total new-zone capacity. Bottom ticks indicate turbine rating. New-zone AEP
normalized by Gauss 3.5 GW – 15 MW scenario (case with highest new-zone AEP). (b) Relative
existing-zone AEP loss due to new-zone wake. (c) Relative AEP loss due to new-zone wake for
existing turbines in TurbOPark 3.5 GW – 13 MW scenario (case with highest loss).

3.1. Inter-cluster wake effects on annual energy production


The annual impact of inter-cluster wake effects is quantified through the relative AEP loss,
defined as (AEPref − AEP)/AEPref , with AEPref being the AEP computed from the reference
case using the same wake model setup but without the new zone. Figure 5 illustrates AEP and
loss predictions for each of the 15 scenarios and 3 wake model setups is illustrated in Figure 5.
Firstly, Figure 5a depicts the new-zone AEP. It is shown that the different wake models predict
qualitatively similar AEPs, with Jensen resulting in slightly lower AEP caused by the absence
of turbulence enhancement inside the wind farm. Further, within every total-capacity scenario,
the 15 MW turbines result in the highest overall AEP. This depends on specific turbine curves
and diameters used for the simulations, and is not further investigated in detail here.
Interestingly, the similarity in new-zone AEP for different model setups is not retained in the
existing-zone inter-cluster AEP loss in Figure 5b, with TurbOPark predicting losses around a
factor 2 higher than Jensen, and the Gaussian model producing a factor 2 lower than Jensen,
as expected from the limited wake impact in Figure 4. This confirms conclusions from recent
literature [6], and for the remainder of this paper we focus on the TurbOPark model, as studies
have shown its correspondence to SCADA and high-fidelity simulations for inter-cluster effects
[9, 10]. A clear trend of higher inter-cluster wake impact with increased new-zone capacities
is observed, with losses up to 0.8% for the highest capacity of 3.5 GW. Furthermore, when
comparing new-zone turbine ratings, it is shown that the 13 MW turbines result in comparatively
higher inter-cluster losses than their 17 MW counterparts, despite having similar new-zone AEP.
The 15 MW turbines cause losses qualitatively similar to the 13 MW, but have a higher new-zone
AEP to compensate. This observation indicates that installing more turbines of lower individual
rating can result in relatively larger downstream power losses as outweighed to new-zone AEP.
Figure 5c focusses on the 3.5 GW – 13 MW scenario as modeled with the TurbOPark setup
(corresponding with the top right corner sample in Figure 5b), and depicts the distribution of
relative AEP loss for individual turbines in the existing zone, normalized with the reference case
without the new zone. The figure shows that the turbines located on the northwestern side of the
zone experience most severe inter-cluster losses up to 2.75% annually. This can be explained by
the fact that these turbines were previously experiencing free-stream winds, and that prevailing
southwesterly winds cause the new-zone wake to impact these turbines specifically (see Figure
4). Notably, turbines along the northeastern boundary of the zone, which are currently most
often in waked conditions already, are hardly impacted by the new zone.

8
The Science of Making Torque from Wind (TORQUE 2022) IOP Publishing
Journal of Physics: Conference Series 2265 (2022) 022049 doi:10.1088/1742-6596/2265/2/022049

P − Pref Pref − P
(a) NW Pref [%] (b) Pref [%] U/U∞
20.0
10 1.0
40
17.5

35 15.0 0.8
5
0 12.5

Nor hing [km]


W 30
5 0.6
10 0 10.0

U∞
15

[m
25

/s]
20 7.5 0.4
25
−5
30 20 5.0
0.2
SW SE 2.5
−10 15
30 35 40 45 50 55 0.0 0.0
S Eas ing [km]

Figure 6. (a) Relative normalized inter-cluster AEP loss (loss is depicted negative) for
TurbOPark 3.5 GW – 13 MW case. Black circle indicates conditions with highest absolute
loss, for which relative loss is 5.83%. (b) Flow field for worst-case conditions. Turbines colored
by relative inter-cluster AEP loss.

3.2. Inter-cluster wake effects on power extraction during worst-case wind conditions
In addition to the AEP analysis from previous section, here we identify worst-case conditions
resulting in the largest power losses. This is particularly relevant for future electricity systems
reliant on offshore wind, as a momentary drop in wind power due to farm interactions can
potentially cause unexpected grid instability. Figure 6 analyzes these worst-case conditions for
the TurbOPark 3.5 GW – 13 MW scenario. The polar plot in Figure 6a illustrates the relative
power difference of the full existing zone with the reference case as a function of wind speed
and direction. Farm interactions are shown to be present for westerly to southwesterly wind
directions. Noteworthy is the actual power gain at very high wind speeds of 26 m/s, for which
the sheltering effect of the new-zone wake will cause existing-zone turbines to regain operation
as local wind speeds are reduced below cutout. Power losses however concentrate in winds below
rated speed, with the most severe relative loss higher than 10% at a low wind speed of 5 m/s,
where the new-zone wake causes many existing turbines to fall below cutin wind speeds.
An important remark to make is that losses reported in this figure are relative, and different
datapoints are normalized with different power extractions in the reference case. For this reason,
we define the worst case as associated with the highest absolute power loss. This case was
identified to be at a west-southwesterly wind direction at a free-stream wind speed U∞ = 11 m/s,
with a relative loss of 5.83%, as indicated by the black circle in Figure 6a. The corresponding
flow field and turbine power losses are shown in Figure 6b. The figure shows that, for these
conditions, virtually the entire existing zone is immersed in the new-zone wake, and individual
turbine losses can be as high as 20%.

4. Conclusion
In this paper, we perform a first assessment of the potential wake impact of the future Princess
Elisabeth wind-farm cluster on the existing Belgian wind farms. We consider the Jensen,
Gaussian, and TurbOPark implementations in FLORIS coupled to a vortex-cylinder blockage
model, and study 15 design scenarios for the future cluster by varying the turbine type and total
capacity. Simulations show that, although intra-cluster wake effects are qualitatively comparable
between model setups as evidenced by new-zone AEP, the inter-cluster effects are vastly different,
with Jensen and Gauss predicting far lower inter-cluster AEP loss in the existing zone, confirming

9
The Science of Making Torque from Wind (TORQUE 2022) IOP Publishing
Journal of Physics: Conference Series 2265 (2022) 022049 doi:10.1088/1742-6596/2265/2/022049

results from recent literature. A clear trend of higher inter-cluster wake impact with increased
new-zone capacity is observed, as well as an incentive to use turbines with higher rating in
the new zone in balancing new-zone AEP and existing-zone AEP loss. Quantitatively, AEP
loss induced by the new zone can reach up to 0.8% for the entire existing zone, and worst-case
conditions with west-southwesterly winds result in a power loss of almost 6%, with individual
turbine losses up to 20%. However, although clear trends can be observed from the current
study, it is important to highlight that further validation with SCADA data is necessary and
that dedicated follow-up studies, e.g. using mesoscale models, should consider flow physics not
captured in the current model setup, for example the influence of atmospheric stability and waves
on wake recovery [22], and the impact of self-induced gravity waves on wind-farm blockage [23].

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