Learning Area MATHEMATICS Grade Level FIVE

W7 Quarter FOURTH Date

I. LESSON TITLE Experimental Probability
II. MOST ESSENTIAL LEARNING • Describes experimental probability. M5SP-IVi-14
COMPETENCIES (MELCs) • Performs on experimental probability and records result by listing.
M5SP-IVi-15
III. CONTENT/CORE CONTENT Describing, performing and recording results of experimental probability
by listing
IV. LEARNING PHASES AND LEARNING ACTIVITIES
I. Introduction (Time Frame: Day 1 )

In this lesson you will learn another concept of statistics and probability by doing an experiment.
As a learner you are expected to:
a. describe experimental probability.
b. perform an experimental probability and record result by listing.

Let us read the given scenario.

It is Shiela’s 11th birthday and she celebrates it with her

friends in their subdivision. She went home with 100 pieces of
sweet treats in her basket. She has 10 bubble gums, 20 mint
candies, 35 strawberry candies, 25 gummy bears, and 10 coffee
candies. Her sister took one from her basket. What is the chance
https://www.google.com/url?sa=i&url=https%3A%2F%2Fdodoburd.com%2Fcandy-
that her sister got a bubblegum?
gift-baskets&psig=AOvVaw3JGI_alJPhhYGwTegCTFG7&ust=1623409483629000&
source=images&cd=vfe&ved=0CAIQjRxqFwoTCJDw2bKxjvECFQAAAAAdAAAAABAD

When we are dealing with chances in Math, we deal with Probability. In the given problem above, there
are 100 candies all in all, and 10 are bubble gums. Therefore, Shiela’s sister has 10 out of 100 chance of getting a
bubblegum.

In real life, whenever we do an experiment, two things can happen, either the one that we expect or the
one that we do not. When the result is what we expected, then it is favorable outcome.

Another example.

Celine tossed two dice. What is the probability of getting

“box cars” (two sixes)?
https://favpng.com/png_view/fish-hunterdice-dice-game-
boxcars-craps-fish-shooting-png/2QX2rzHb

When two dice are tossed, there are 36 possible outcomes. For the favorable outcomes, there is only one
possibility that two sixes will occur.
𝑓𝑎𝑣𝑜𝑟𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠 1
𝑃= =
𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑠𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠 36

1
Therefore, the probability of getting box cars is .
36

Let us discuss experimental probability; it is the ratio between the number of times the event occurs and the total
number of trials.

Example 1: A coin is tossed 60 times. A head appeared twenty-seven times. Find the experimental probability of
getting heads.
 Solution :
𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑒𝑠 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑜𝑐𝑐𝑢𝑟𝑠 (ℎ𝑒𝑎𝑑 𝑎𝑝𝑝𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑑) 27 9
= =
𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑎𝑙𝑠 60 20

9
Therefore, the experimental probability of getting a head is .
20

Example 2: A bag contains 10 red marbles, 8 yellow marbles, and 2 black marbles. Roma took a marble and
returned it. After 10 trials, a red marble was picked 6 times. Find the experimental probability of getting a red
marble.
Solution :
𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑒𝑠 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑟𝑒𝑑 𝑚𝑎𝑟𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑤𝑎𝑠 𝑝𝑖𝑐𝑘𝑒𝑑 6 3
= =
𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑎𝑙𝑠 10 5

3
Therefore, the experimental probability of getting a red marble is .
5

Example 3: The table below shows the results of a card experiment. Each time a card was picked, it was returned
to the bag.
Card Experiment
Outcome Number
Blue 27
Green 15
Red 8

What is the experimental probability of picking;

a. a blue card?
b. a red card?
c. a green card?
Solution: a.
𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑒𝑠 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑏𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑤𝑎𝑠 𝑝𝑖𝑐𝑘𝑒𝑑 27 27
= =
𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑎𝑙𝑠 27+15+8 50

27
Therefore, the experimental probability of picking a blue card is .
50

Solution: b.
𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑒𝑠 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑟𝑒𝑑 𝑤𝑎𝑠 𝑝𝑖𝑐𝑘𝑒𝑑 8 8 4
= = =
𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑎𝑙𝑠 27+15+8 50 25

4
Therefore, the experimental probability of picking a red card is .
25
Solution: c.
𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑒𝑠 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑔𝑟𝑒𝑒𝑛 𝑤𝑎𝑠 𝑝𝑖𝑐𝑘𝑒𝑑 15 15 3
= = =
𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑎𝑙𝑠 27+15+8 50 10

3
Therefore, the experimental probability of picking a green card is .
10

D. Development (Time Frame: Day 2)

Learning Task No. 1

A die is tossed. What is the probability of getting

1. 3 _________
2. An even number _________
3. 7 _________
4. An odd number _________
5. A prime number _________
IV. LEARNING PHASES AND LEARNING ACTIVITIES

Learning Task No. 2

In the game “rock, paper, scissors”, determine the experimental probability.

1. In 31 tries, Eli beat Janine 11 times. What is the probability that Janine won?
2. In 60 tries, May won 20 times. What is the probability that May won?
3. In 40 tries, Ryan won over Ghie 10 times. What is the probability that Ghie won?
4. In 25 tries, Athena beat Carryn 10 times. What is the probability that Carryn won?
5. In 10 tries, Rajee won over Cael 3 times. What is the probability that Rajee won?

E. Engagement (Time Frame: Day 3)

Learning Task No. 3

Two dice are rolled ten times and the total numbers of dots are added up. Here are the outcomes of the
sum:
6 7 12 5 2 9 10 5 7 8
1. What is the experimental probability that the sum is greater than 6?
2. What is the experimental probability that the faces with 3 and 2 dots appear?
3. What is the experimental probability that the sum is an even number?
4. What is the experimental probability that the sum is an odd number?
5. What is the experimental probability that the sum is 5?
A. Assimilation (Time Frame: Day 4)

Perform the given experiment, record your data in a table.

Experiment: Coin Flip

Flip a coin 20 times and record the results. What is the experimental probability of flipping 3 consecutive
heads? Which is more likely to appear in the majority, head or tail? Make a conclusion out of this.

Rubrics 5 4 3 2 1
Points points points points point
With a
Recorded 15-19 Recorded 10-14 Recorded 5-9 Recorded
Recorded the data complete
trials trials trials 1-4 trials
record
With With complete With incomplete With complete
Number of correct complete responses but responses but responses but No
responses and correct with one with one no correct responses
responses incorrect answer incorrect answer answer

V. ASSESSMENT (Time Frame: Day 5)

(Learning Activity Sheets for Enrichment, Remediation, or Assessment to be given on Weeks 3 and 6)
Determine the experimental probability:

1. Experiment: Tossing two dice

a. Two dice were tossed 10 times and box cars appeared 8 times. What is the probability that box cars
appeared?
b. The dice were tossed 50 times and sum of 6 appeared 15 times. What is the probability that is not six
appeared?
c. The dice were tossed 100 times and box cars appeared 65 times. What is the probability that the outcome
is not box cars?
IV. LEARNING PHASES AND LEARNING ACTIVITIES
2. Experiment: Drawing from deck of cards and returning it after each draw
a. In 80 draws, King of Hearts was drawn once. What is the probability that king of hearts was drawn?
b. In 75 draws, a card in red suit was drawn 60 times. What is the probability that a black suit was drawn?
c. In 25 draws, a diamond suit was drawn 10 times. What is the probability that a diamond was drawn?

VI. REFLECTION (Time Frame: Day 5)

• Communicate your personal assessment as indicated in the Learner’s Assessment Card.
Personal Assessment on Learner’s Level of Performance
Using the symbols below, choose one which best describes your experience in working on each given
task. Draw it in the column for Level of Performance (LP). Be guided by the descriptions below:
 - I was able to do/perform the task without any difficulty. The task helped me in understanding the target
content/ lesson.
✓ - I was able to do/perform the task. It was quite challenging, but it still helped me in understanding the target
content/lesson.
? – I was not able to do/perform the task. It was extremely difficult. I need additional enrichment activities to
be able to do/perform this task.
Learning Task LP Learning Task LP Learning Task LP Learning LP
Task
Number 1 Number 3 Number 5 Number 7
Number 2 Number 4 Number 6 Number 8
VII. REFERENCES 21st Century Mathletes; Page 355-369; Vibal Group, Inc.
Fourth Quarter - Teacher's Guide - Mathematics Grade 5
https://www.google.com/url?sa=i&url=https%3A%2F%2Fdodoburd.com%2Fcandy-gift-
baskets&psig=AOvVaw3JGI_alJPhhYGwTegCTFG7&ust=1623409483629000&
source=images&cd=vfe&ved=0CAIQjRxqFwoTCJDw2bKxjvECFQAAAAAdAAAAABAD
https://favpng.com/png_view/fish-hunterdice-dice-game-boxcars-craps-fish-shooting-
png/2QX2rzHb
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GuXdCKEQ4oQ
Pivot 4A Budget of Work (BOW) in Mathematics, DepEd Calabarzon, Curriculum and
Learning Management Division, (Pages 144)
K to 12 Mathematics Curriculum Guide May 2016, (Pages 174 of 257)
Prepared by: Checked by: ANNA LIZA T. CRUZ
LOREDEL C. GECALAO
CARINE F. BATOHINOG
MIRZA J. LINGA
EVELYN E. SOLOMON