Next Pakistani general election

General elections are scheduled to be held in Pakistan less than 60 days after the
dissolution of the National Assembly, which is set to dissolve on 13 August 2023, Next Pakistani general election
unless dissolved earlier: in which case the election shall be held within 90 days after
dissolution. This means that the election must be held by or before 12 October 2023.[1]

By 12 October 2023

Contents
All 336 seats in the National Assembly

Background 169 seats needed for a majority

2018 elections
 
Electoral system
Parties
Opinion polls
National Assembly Voting intention
Nationwide
Punjab
Sindh Leader Imran Khan Shehbaz Sharif Bilawal Bhutto
Zardari
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
Government approval rating (PTI) Party PTI PML(N) PPP
Leader since 25 April 1996 6 March 2018 30 December 2007
Notes
Last election 31.82%, 149 seats 24.35%, 82 13.03%, 54 seats
References
seats
Seats needed 20 87 115
Background
Incumbent Prime Minister

2018 elections Shehbaz Sharif

PML(N)
General elections were held in Pakistan on Wednesday 25 July 2018 after the
completion of a five-year term by the outgoing government. At the national level,
elections were held in 272 constituencies, each electing one member to the National Assembly. At the provincial level, elections were held in each of the four
provinces to elect Members of the Provincial Assemblies (MPA).

As a result of the elections, the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) became the single largest party at the national level both in terms of both popular vote and seats. At
the provincial level, the PTI remained the largest party in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP); the Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) remained the largest party in Sindh and the
newly-formed Balochistan Awami Party (BAP) became the largest party in Balochistan. In Punjab, a hung parliament prevailed with Pakistan Muslim League (N)
(PML-N) emerging as the largest party in terms of directly elected seats by a narrow margin. However, following the joining of many independent MPAs into the
PTI, the latter became the largest party and was able to form the government.

Opinion polling prior to campaigning had initially shown leads for the Pakistan Muslim League (N) (PML-N) over the PTI. However, from an 11-point lead, the
PML-N's lead began to diminish in the final weeks of the campaign, with some polls close to the election showing PTI with a marginal but increasing lead. In the
final result, the PTI made a net gain with 31.82% of the vote (its highest share of the vote since its foundation), while the PML-N made a net loss with 24.35%. In
the lead-up to the elections, there had been allegations by some pre-poll rigging being conducted by the judiciary, the military and the intelligence agencies to sway
the election results in favour of the PTI and against the PML-N.[2][3] The opposition to the winning parliamentary party alleged large-scale vote rigging and
administrative malpractices.[4][5][6] However, Reuters polling suggested PML-N's lead had narrowed in the run-up to the elections, and that the party had suffered
"blow after blow" which caused setbacks to any hopes of re-election.[7] Some [8] had termed the ruling PML-N "embattled... facing a number of desertion and
corruption charges". Imran Khan proceeded to form the coalition government, announcing his cabinet soon after.[9] The newly formed coalition government
included members of the Muttahida Qaumi Movement and Pakistan Muslim League (Q).[10]

Regarding the voting process, the Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP) outrightly rejected reports of rigging and stated that the elections were conducted fair
and free.[11][12][13] A top electoral watchdog, Free and Fair Election Network (FAFEN), also said that the 2018 general elections in Pakistan had been "more
transparent in some aspects" than the previous polls.[14] In its preliminary report, the European Union Election Observation Mission said that no rigging had been
observed during the election day in general, but found a "lack of equality" and criticized the process more than it had in the Pakistani election of 2013.[15][16]

Electoral system
The 336 seats of the National Assembly consist of 266 elected by first-past-the-post voting in single-member constituencies,[17] 60 seats are reserved for women
and 10 for minority groups. The reserved seats are elected by proportional representation based on the national vote share in the single-member constituencies with
a 5% electoral threshold.[18]

The Government have passed a bill requiring the next general election to be held using EVMs (electronic voting machines). This is aimed at bringing an end to the
allegations of rigging that have followed previous elections in Pakistan.[19]

Parties
The table below lists each party that either received a share of the vote higher than 0.5% in the 2018 Pakistan general election or had representation in the 15th
National Assembly of Pakistan. Political parties are ordered by their vote share in the 2018 elections. Independent Candidates bagged 11.46% of the vote and 13
national assembly seats (both general seats and total seats in the 15th National Assembly, as reserved seats for women and minorities, are given to political parties)
in 2018.

Total seats in the

Claimed
Voteshare General seats won in
Name Leader 15th National
ideology(ies) in 2018 2018
Assembly
Populism
Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf
Islamic democracy
116 / 272 149 / 342
‫پ اکست ان ت حر ي ِک ان صاف‬
PTI Welfarism Imran Khan 31.82%
Anti-corruption
Civic nationalism
Conservatism
Pakistan Muslim League (Nawaz)

Economic 64 / 272 82 / 342

‫سل‬
) ‫م لی گ (ن واز‬ ‫پ اکست ان م‬
PML(N) Shehbaz Sharif 24.35%
liberalism

Federalism
Social democracy
Pakistan Peoples Party Secularism

43 / 272 54 / 342
‫پ‬
‫پ اکست ان ی پ لز پ ار ٹ ی‬
PPP Nationalization
Bilawal Bhutto Zardari 13.03%
Democratic
socialism
Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal
Islamism
12 / 272 15 / 342
MMA ‫مت حدہ ج‬
‫م لس عمل‬ Conservatism
Fazl-ur-Rahman 4.85%

Tehreek-e-Labbaik Pakistan
0 / 272 0 / 342
‫ت حر ی ک بل ی ک پ اکست ان‬
TLP Islamism Saad Hussain Rizvi 4.21%

Grand Democratic Alliance

2 / 272 3 / 342
‫گر ی ن ڈ ڈ ی موکر ی ٹ ک الائ ن س‬
GDA Regionalism Pir Pagaro 2.37%

Pashtun
Awami National Party nationalism
1 / 272 1 / 342
‫عوامی ن ي ش ن ل پ ار ٹ ی‬
ANP Democratic Asfandyar Wali Khan 1.54%
socialism

Secularism
Liberalism

Muttahida Qaumi Movement – Pakistan

Social liberalism

6 / 272 7 / 342
) ‫مت حدہ ق ومی موومن ٹ (پ اکست ان‬
MQM(P) Social democracy Khalid Maqbool Siddiqui 1.38%
Muhajir nationalism
Secularism
Pakistan Muslim League (Quaid e Azam) Conservatism
4 / 272 5 / 342
‫ظ‬ ‫سل‬
)‫پ اکست ان م م لی گ(ق ا ئ د اع م‬
PML(Q) Pakistani Shujaat Hussain 0.97%
nationalism

Balochistan Awami Party

Federalism 4 / 272 5 / 342
‫ب لوچ ست ان عوامی پ ار ٹ ی‬
BAP Jam Kamal Khan 0.60%
Islamic democracy

Baloch nationalism
Balochistan National Party (Mengal)
Democratic 3 / 272 4 / 342
)‫ب لوچ ست ان ن ي ش ن ل پ ار ٹ ی(می ن گل‬
BNP(M) Akhtar Mengal 0.45%
socialism

Secularism
Awami Muslim League Pakistan

Islamism
1 / 272 1 / 342
‫ع م سل‬
‫م لی گ پ اکست ان‬
AML Shaikh Rasheed Ahmad 0.22%
‫وا ی م‬ Populism

Jamhoori Wattan Party

‫ج‬
Nawabzada Shahzain 1 / 272 1 / 342
‫مہ وری وطن پ ار ٹ ی‬
JWP Baloch nationalism 0.04%
Bugti

Opinion polls
In the run up to the 2023 Pakistani general elections, various organisations have been carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intention throughout Pakistan
and the approval rating of the civilian Pakistani government, led by Imran Khan's Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf. The results of such polls are displayed in this section.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 25 July 2018, to the present day.

National Assembly Voting intention

The results in the tables below (excluding the column on undecided voters and non-voters) exclude survey participants who said they wouldn't vote or they didn't
know who they would vote for and add up to 100%. In polls that include undecided voters or non-voters, percentages are adjusted upwards in order to make the
total equal 100%. Margins of error are also adjusted upwards at the same rate to account for the increase.

Nationwide
 Undecideds
Last date
PTI PML(N) PPP MMA[a] TLP Other Ind. Margin
Sample &
Polling firm of polling Link Lead of size Non-
error
voters[b]
11-12 April Imran Khan is removed from office with Shehbaz Sharif replacing him
2022
PDF
(http
s://ip
or.c
om.
pk/u ±2 -
IPOR (IRI) 21 March 2022 ploa 35% 33% 19% 6% 4% 3% 2% 3% 3,509 16%
ds/6
241
be4
38e
13a.
pdf)
PDF
(http
s://w
eb.a
rchiv
e.or
g/we
b/20
220
327
022
056/
http
s://g
allu
p.co
m.p
k/w
p/wp
-con
Gallup 31 January 2022 tent/ 34% 33% 15% 6% 3% 9% 1% ±3 - 5,688 33%
Pakistan uplo 5%
ads/
202
2/0
2/Pu
blic-
Puls
e-20
22_
Perf
orm
anc
e-R
atin
gs-
Of-
Gov
ern
men
t.pd
f)
PDF
(http
s://w
eb.a
rchiv
e.or
g/we
b/20
220
403
215
IPOR (IRI) 9 January 2022 238/ 31% 33% 17% 3% 3% 11% 1% 2% ±2 - 3,769 11%
http 3%
s://ip
or.c
om.
pk/u
ploa
ds/6
205
69c
4e0
15e.
pdf)
IPOR (IRI) 11 November 2020 PDF 36% 38% 13% 4% 3% 6% 2% ±3.22% 2,003 32%
(http
s://w
eb.a
rchiv
e.or
g/we
b/20
201
121
190
902/
htt
p://i
por.
co
m.p
 k/wp
-con
tent/
uplo
ads/
202
0/1
1/A-
Nati
on-
wide
-Opi
nion
-Sur
vey-
PTI-
vs-P
DM
-.pd
f)
PDF
(http
s://w
eb.a
rchiv
e.or
g/we
b/20
200
910
165
535/
htt
p://i
por.
co
m.p
k/wp
-con
tent/
uplo
ads/
202
IPOR (IRI) 13 August 2020 0/0 33% 38% 15% 3% 3% 8% 5% ±2.95% 2,024 26%
8/A-
Nati
on-
wide
-Pub
lic-O
pinio
n-Su
rvey
-on-t
he-P
erfor
man
ce-o
f-Tw
o-ye
ar-of
-PTI
-Go
vern
men
t.pd
f)
PDF
(http
s://w
eb.a
rchiv
e.or
g/we
b/20
200
727
162
828/
htt
p://i
por.
co
m.p
IPOR (IRI) 30 June 2020 k/wp 24% 27% 11% 3% 2% 33% 3% ±2.38% 1,702 N/A[c]
-con
tent/
uplo
ads/
202
0/0
7/Po
litica
l-co
ntin
uum
-Sur
vey-
010
720
20.p
df)
Gallup 24 June 2019 PDF 31% 28% 15% 5% 21% 3% ±3 - ~1,400 N/A[c]
Pakistan (http 5%
 s://w
eb.a
rchiv
e.or
g/we
b/20
200
727
162
828/
htt
p://i
por.
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m.p
k/wp
-con
tent/
uplo
ads/
202
0/0
7/Po
litica
l-co
ntin
uum
-Sur
vey-
010
720
20.p
df)
PDF
(http
s://w
eb.a
rchiv
e.or
g/we
b/20
190
702
100
816/
http
IPOR (IRI) 22 November 2018 s://w 43% 27% 15% 1% 1% 11% 1% 16% ±2.05% 3,991 22%
ww.i
ri.or
g/sit
es/d
efau
lt/file
s/20
19.
3.14
_pa
kista
n_p
oll.p
df)
ECP
(htt
ps://
we
b.ar
chiv
e.or
g/w
eb/2
022
012
2018 904
Elections 25 July 2018 160 31.8% 24.3% 13.0% 4.8% 4.2% 10.3% 11.5% 7.5% N/A 53,123,733 N/A
8/ht
tp
s://
ww
w.ec
p.g
ov.p
k/fr
mVo
teba
nk.a
spx)

Punjab
 PTI PML(N) TLP PPP Other Ind. Undecideds
Last date Sample &
Polling firm of polling Link Lead size Non-
voters[b]
11-12 April Imran Khan is removed from office with Shehbaz Sharif replacing him
2022
PDF (https://ipor.co
IPOR (IRI) 21 March 2022 m.pk/uploads/6241b 34% 42% 2% 6% 16% 8% ~1,900 N/A[c]
e438e13a.pdf)
PDF (https://web.arc
hive.org/web/202203
27022056/https://gall
Gallup Pakistan 31 January 2022 up.com.pk/wp/wp-co 35% 43% 3% 7% 9% 3% 8% ~3,100 31%
ntent/uploads/2022/0
2/Public-Pulse-2022_
Performance-Ratings
-Of-Government.pdf)
PDF (https://web.arc
hive.org/web/202204
IPOR (IRI) 9 January 2022 03215238/https://ipo 31% 46% 3% 5% 15% 15% 2,035 N/A[c]
r.com.pk/uploads/62
0569c4e015e.pdf)
PDF (https://web.arc
hive.org/web/202011
21190902/http://ipor.
com.pk/wp-content/u
IPOR (IRI) 11 November 2020 ploads/2020/11/A-Na 26% 39% 2% 5% 27% 1% 13% 1,089 N/A[c]
tion-wide-Opinion-Su
rvey-PTI-vs-PDM-.pd
f)
ECP (https://web.ar
chive.org/web/2022
2018 Elections 25 July 2018 0129041608/https:// 33.6% 31.7% 5.7% 5.4% 4.8% 18.8% 1.9% 33,218,101 N/A
www.ecp.gov.pk/fr
mVotebank.aspx)

Sindh

PPP PTI MQM(P) MMA Other Ind. Undecideds

Last date Sample &
Polling firm of polling Link Lead size Non-
voters[b]
11-12 April Imran Khan is removed from office with Shehbaz Sharif replacing him
2022
PDF (https://ipor.co
IPOR (IRI) 21 March 2022 m.pk/uploads/6241 44% 17% 5% 34% 27% ~810 N/A[c]
be438e13a.pdf)
PDF (https://web.ar
chive.org/web/2022
0327022056/http
s://gallup.com.pk/w
Gallup Pakistan 31 January 2022 p/wp-content/uploa 34% 30% 3% 3% 28% 2% 4% ~1,300 39%
ds/2022/02/Public-
Pulse-2022_Perfor
mance-Ratings-Of-
Government.pdf)
PDF (https://web.ar
chive.org/web/2022
0403215238/http
IPOR (IRI) 9 January 2022 s://ipor.com.pk/uplo 44% 13% 7% 36% 31% 867 N/A[c]
ads/620569c4e015
e.pdf)
PDF (https://web.ar
chive.org/web/2020
1121190902/http://i
por.com.pk/wp-cont
IPOR (IRI) 11 November 2020 ent/uploads/2020/1 22% 13% 1% 3% 61% 9% 467 N/A[c]
1/A-Nation-wide-O
pinion-Survey-PTI-
vs-PDM-.pdf)
ECP (https://web.
archive.org/web/2
2018 Elections 25 July 2018 0220129041608/ht 38.4% 14.5% 7.7% 6.1% 25.9% 7.4% 23.6% 10,025,437 N/A
tps://www.ecp.go
v.pk/frmVotebank.
aspx)

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
 PTI MMA ANP PML(N) PPP Other Ind. Undecideds
Last date Sample &
Polling firm of polling Link Lead size Non-
voters[b]
11-12 April Imran Khan is removed from office with Shehbaz Sharif replacing him
2022
PDF (http
s://ipor.com.
IPOR (IRI) 21 March 2022 pk/uploads/ 38% 23% 8% 13% 8% 10% 15% ~600 N/A[c]
6241be438
e13a.pdf)
PDF (http
s://web.arch
ive.org/web/
202203270
22056/http
s://gallup.co
m.pk/wp/wp
Gallup Pakistan 31 January 2022 -content/upl 44% 13% 6% 21% 8% 7% 1% 23% ~970 28%
oads/2022/
02/Public-P
ulse-2022_
Performanc
e-Ratings-O
f-Governme
nt.pdf)
PDF (http
s://web.arch
ive.org/web/
202204032
IPOR (IRI) 9 January 2022 15238/http 44% 17% 11% 11% 7% 10% 27% 641 N/A[c]
s://ipor.com.
pk/uploads/
620569c4e
015e.pdf)
PDF (http
s://web.arch
ive.org/web/
202011211
90902/htt
p://ipor.co
m.pk/wp-co
IPOR (IRI) 11 November 2020 ntent/uploa 34% 8% 3% 12% 4% 26% 21% 331 N/A[c]
ds/2020/11/
A-Nation-wi
de-Opinion-
Survey-PTI-
vs-PDM-.pd
f)
ECP (http
s://web.arc
hive.org/w
eb/2022012
2018 Elections 25 July 2018 9041608/ht 32.3% 17.1% 12.3% 9.9% 9.1% 5.2% 14.1% 15.2% 6,611,287 N/A
tps://www.
ecp.gov.p
k/frmVoteb
ank.aspx)

Government approval rating (PTI)

The results in this table show polls that surveyed whether people approved or disapproved of either the overall (not on a single issue) performance of the PTI
federal government in Islamabad or Imran Khan's overall performance as prime minister from 18 August 2018 to 11 April 2022.

The same rounding restrictions that were given in the previous section do not apply here, so occasionally, results will add up to 101% or 99% due to rounding
errors, and neutral respondents (when data is available for them) are counted in this table, unlike the last table.
 Last date Strongly Approve Neutral Disapprove Strongly

Polling firm of polling Link Approve Neutral Disapprove DK/NA approve disapprove

PDF
(http
s://we
b.arc
hive.o
rg/we
b/202
2040
7020
559/h
ttps://
gallu
p.co
m.pk/
wp/w
p-con
tent/u
Gallup Pakistan 4 April 2022 pload 46% N/A 54% N/A N/A
s/202
2/04/
Snap-
Natio
nal-P
oll-Na
tional-
ASSE
MBLY
-DISS
OLUT
ION-a
nd-Vi
ews-o
f-Paki
stani-
Public
-.pdf)
PDF
(http
s://we
b.arc
hive.o
rg/we
b/202
2032
7022
056/h
ttps://
gallu
p.co
m.pk/
wp/w
Gallup Pakistan 31 January 2022 p-con 36% 14% 48% 3% 15% 21% 14% 18% 30%
tent/u
pload
s/202
2/02/
Public
-Puls
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2_Per
forma
nce-R
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overn
ment.
pdf)
PDF
(http
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b.arc
hive.o
rg/we
b/202
1090
8023
612/h
ttps://
gallu
p.co
m.pk/
wp/w
Gallup Pakistan 4 September 2021 p-con 48% N/A 45% 7% N/A
tent/u
pload
s/202
1/09/
Public
-Puls
e-on-
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rs-of-I
mran-
Khan-
Gover
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Gallup Pakistan 19 August 2020 PDF 38% 30% 31% 2% 22% 16% 30% 13% 18%
(http
 s://we
b.arc
hive.o
rg/we
b/202
0091
0172
414/h
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Gallu
p-Pak
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PDF
(http
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b/202
0091
0165
535/h
ttp://ip
or.co
m.pk/
wp-co
ntent/
uploa
ds/20
IPOR (IRI) 13 August 2020 20/0 38% N/A 54% 7% 16% 22% N/A 17% 37%
8/A-N
ation-
wide-
Public
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-year-
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PDF
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hive.o
rg/we
b/202
0090
4212
037/h
ttp://g
allup.
com.p
k/wp/
wp-co
Gallup Pakistan 15 February 2020 ntent/ 32% N/A 66% 1% 8% 24% N/A 19% 47%
uploa
ds/20
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se-20
20_P
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Gallup Pakistan 30 September 2019 PDF 45% N/A 53% 2% 15% 32% N/A 16% 37%
(http
s://we
b.arc
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b/202
0090
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011/h
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019.p
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PDF
(http
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b.arc
hive.o
rg/we
b/202
0072
7162
828/h
ttp://ip
or.co
Gallup Pakistan 24 June 2019 m.pk/ 45% N/A 53% 2% 21% 24% N/A 32% 21%
wp-co
ntent/
uploa
ds/20
20/0
7/Polit
ical-c
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urvey
-0107
2020.
pdf)
PDF
(http
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rg/we
b/202
0072
3040
518/h
ttp://g
Gallup Pakistan 29 December 2018 allup. 51% N/A 46% 3% 13% 38% N/A 26% 20%
com.p
k/wp-
conte
nt/upl
oads/
2019/
01/2
5.01.
2019-
Englis
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df)
PDF
(http
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rg/we
b/202
0090
4211
939/h
ttp://ip
or.co
m.pk/
wp-co
ntent/
IPOR (IRI) 1 December 2018 uploa 47% N/A 27% 26% 17% 30% N/A 18% 9%
ds/20
18/1
2/IPO
R-Nat
ion-wi
de-Su
rvey-
on-Co
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on-of-
100-D
ays-of
-PTI-
Gover
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t.pdf)
Pulse Consultant 28 November 2018 HTML 51% N/A 30% 19% N/A
(http
 s://we
b.arc
hive.o
rg/we
b/201
9032
3201
522/h
ttps://
www.
geo.t
v/late
st/220
175-s
urvey
-show
s-51-
satisf
action
-with-
100-d
ay-pe
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ance-
of-imr
an-kh
ans-g
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ment)
PDF
(http
s://we
b.arc
hive.o
rg/we
b/201
9070
2100
816/h
IPOR (IRI) 22 November 2018 ttps:// 56% N/A 40% 5% 16% 40% N/A 28% 12%
www.i
ri.org/
sites/
defaul
t/files/
2019.
3.14_
pakist
an_p
oll.pd
f)

Notes
a. Certain polls only include data for the JUI(F) instead of the MMA, and in those cases data for the JUI(F) is used because the JUI(F) is the
largest constituent party of the MMA and makes up most of its base.
b. This is a column that lists the percentage of undecided voters and non-voters in certain polls that publish this data. As some polls do not
publish any data whatsoever on undecided voters and non-voters, the columns with survey participants that had a preference when polled are
all that is needed to reach 100%. In surveys that do include data on non-voters and undecided voters, a scaling factor is applied to the margin
of error and the rest of the data (for example, if the number of undecideds and non-voters equals 20%, each party would have their vote share
scaled up by a factor of 100/80 (the formula is 100/(100-UndecidedPercentage)). This is done to keep consistency between the different polls
and the different types data they provide.
c. This poll or crosstabulation did not include any data about undecided voters or non-voters and cut them out completely from the published
results.

References
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