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Conceptualisation, Development, and Evaluation of A Measure of Unplanned Pregnancy
Conceptualisation, Development, and Evaluation of A Measure of Unplanned Pregnancy
Study objective: To develop a measure of unplanned pregnancy that is valid, reliable, and appropriate in
the context of contemporary demographic trends and social mores and can be used in a variety of
situations, including the production of population prevalence estimates.
Design: A two stage study design: qualitative (inductive) methods to delineate the construct of pregnancy
planning, and quantitative/psychometric methods to establish the means of measurement.
Setting: Eight health service providers (comprising 14 clinics, including antenatal, abortion, and one
See end of article for general practitioner) across London, Edinburgh, Hertfordshire, Salisbury, and Southampton in the UK.
authors’ affiliations Participants: Samples comprised a mixture of pregnant (continuing pregnancy and opting for abortion)
.......................
and recently pregnant (post-abortion and postnatal) women. At the qualitative stage, 47 women took part
Correspondence to: in depth interviews (20 of whom were re-interviewed after the birth of their baby). Items were pre-tested
Dr G Barrett, Department with 26 women, and two psychometric field tests were carried out with, respectively, 390 and 651 women.
of Health and Social Care, Main results: A six item measure of unplanned pregnancy was produced. Psychometric testing
Brunel University, Borough
Road, Middlesex TW7 demonstrated the measure’s high reliability (Cronbach’s a = 0.92; test-retest reliability = 0.97) and high
5DU, UK; geraldine. face, content, and construct validity. Women’s positions in relation to pregnancy planning are represented
barrett@brunel.ac.uk by the range of scores (0–12).
Accepted for publication
Conclusions: A psychometric measure of unplanned pregnancy, the development of which was informed
10 December 2003 by lay views, is now available. The measure is suitable for use with any pregnancy regardless of outcome
....................... (that is, birth, abortion, miscarriage) and is highly acceptable to women.
T
he concept of ‘‘unplanned pregnancy’’ is widely used in study in 1998 to develop a new measure of unplanned
health research and policy. Attempts to measure it have pregnancy for use in Britain. We describe here the develop-
been numerous, varying from studies in which the ment and psychometric validation of the measure.
concept is assumed to be self evident to those in which more
sophisticated measurement strategies have been used.1–5 The METHODS
approach taken by large national surveys has tended towards The overall aim of the study was to develop a measure of
the latter, eliciting planning status by means of multi- pregnancy planning/intention that is valid, reliable, and
dimensional questions, probing (in various combinations) appropriate in the context of contemporary demographic
intentions, contraceptive use, reactions to pregnancy, timing trends and social mores, and can be used to establish
of pregnancy plans, and family size intentions.6–12 The most population estimates of unplanned pregnancy. To achieve
influential of these surveys has been the US National Survey this we used a two stage study design: (1) qualitative
of Family Growth12 whose forms of measurement have been methods to delineate the construct of pregnancy planning;
widely adopted.13–15 and (2) quantitative/psychometric methods to establish the
In recent years, however, there has been growing aware- means of measurement.
ness of the limitations of existing questions.5 16–21 No new
estimates of unplanned pregnancy have been produced in Conceptualisation
Britain since 1991, and in the US National Survey of To develop a conceptual model of pregnancy planning/
Family Growth items have been added incrementally to intention, we used depth interviews (that is, flexible inter-
ensure validity.12 22 As most questions currently used to views that use normal modes of conversation) to elicit
assess unplanned pregnancy were developed several women’s accounts of the circumstances in which they
decades ago, before legal abortion was available and when became pregnant. The aim was to build a model based on
the primary concern was with excess fertility in marital the key elements of the interviews through which an
relationships,20 it is not surprising that such questions are understanding of women’s experiences could be gained.
becoming dated. Also, as therapeutic advances have effec- (Details of the methodology and qualitative findings have
tively raised the upper age limit for pregnancy and as previously been reported.23 24)
employment opportunities have increased for women, the As previous evidence had suggested that answers elicited
social context of childbearing has changed. Furthermore, before and after birth may be different,25 26 we conducted
measurement to date has tended to assume congruence follow up interviews with women who continued their
between intentions and behaviour despite evidence to the pregnancies after they had their babies. The aim was to
contrary.4 6 7 17 assess if, or how, women’s accounts changed over this time
Calls are now being made for a reconsideration of the period
conceptual basis of unplanned pregnancy.17–19 Improvements
to the yield of national fertility surveys will only come, it is Item development and piloting
said, from ‘‘intensive work to refine the measurement of The conceptual model produced during the qualitative stage
often elusive concepts’’.10 In this spirit we began a three year informed item development; items were developed, without
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New measure of unplanned pregnancy 427
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428 Barrett, Smith, Wellings
to participate. Postnatal women were recruited in two ways. interview and six could not be recontacted. The mix of ages
Firstly, women (14 in first field test and 170 in second field and personal circumstances in the sample was, however,
test) were identified from records of recent births at the maintained. At the time of follow up, the infants’ ages ranged
participating hospitals and were sent the questionnaire via from two to six months, and the time between interviews
post; response rates were 79% (11) and 67% (112) respec- was seven to ten months.
tively. Secondly, postnatal women were recruited at commu- Twenty six women, aged 16 to 42, took part in the piloting
nity clinics run by health visitors. Sample sizes complied with of the items. Seventeen were continuing their pregnancies,
guidance.43 five were about to have abortions, and six had had babies in
For the test-retest samples, women were invited to the past three months.
volunteer to complete a second questionnaire at home. Altogether 390 women took part in the first field test
Because of issues of confidentiality (particularly the problem and 651 in the second field test. Table 2 shows the
of sending material about pregnancy to women’s homes), characteristics of both field test samples. The samples were
women undergoing abortion were excluded from this consistent with national data in terms of birth/abortion ratio
process, and therefore from the standard test-retest. Of the and were largely consistent in terms of age distribution and
467 women invited to participate, 340 (73%) agreed. For both marital status, although women born abroad were slightly
test-retests, 121 women were selected (on a quota basis to over-represented45–47 (table 3).
include a range of ages) to achieve the sample sizes necessary Ninety eight women (81%) completed the repeat measure
for repeated observations.44 for the standard test-retest; 90 (74%) were in the seven to
14 day window eligible for analysis.
Ethical approval Ninety women (76%) completed the repeat measure for the
Multi-centre ethical approval was obtained for the study. long term test-retest; 87 (72%) were eligible for analysis.
(Two women had become pregnant again and one woman
RESULTS was still pregnant at 39 weeks). The interval between the two
Samples questionnaires was six plus months for most women.
The qualitative sample comprised 47 women: 28 were
continuing their pregnancies (although one had a miscar- Conceptualisation
riage a couple of days before the interview), two were about The circumstances in which women became pregnant
to have abortions, and 17 had recently had abortions, most are summarised by six thematic areas: (1) expressed
within the past two weeks. Women’s ages ranged from 15 to intentions; (2) desire for motherhood; (3) contraceptive
43. Women’s educational and occupational levels and use; (4) pre-conceptual preparations; (5) personal circum-
marital/relationship situations varied widely. stances/timing; and (6) partner influences. These areas
Of the 27 women in the qualitative sample who subse- formed the dimensions of the conceptual model (fig 1). The
quently had a baby, 20 were re-interviewed. One declined an model reflects the complexities of women’s accounts by
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New measure of unplanned pregnancy 429
*Field test 2 includes one woman who was continuing her pregnancy but miscarried in the 24 hours before
completing the measure. In field tests 1 and 2, 68 (94%) and 147 (99%) respectively were currently pregnant and
about to terminate their pregnancies. `In field tests 1 and 2, 54 (78%) and 177 (91%) respectively had a child
under 1 year.
encompassing a range of positions on each dimension (for Development and piloting of items
example, positive, negative, ambivalent) and by neither Eleven items were developed from the conceptual model:
requiring, nor assuming, congruence between dimensions. contraceptive use was represented by two items, personal
In the follow up interviews, women were, overall, circumstances/timing by four, partner influences by two, and
extremely consistent in their descriptions of the circum- the remaining dimensions by one item each. During piloting,
stances in which they became pregnant; confirming many one item (relating to contraception) was separated into two
features of their earlier interviews spontaneously. Only one items, and minor changes to the wording and layout were
woman modified an aspect of her account (her contracep- made.
tive use) relating to the conceptual model. (In contrast,
greater change was noted regarding decision making after Item analysis and selection
confirmation of pregnancy, and the interviews showed that No item failed the threshold of .5% missing data. One ques-
women could clearly distinguish between their thoughts and tion failed the criterion of an endorsement frequency of over
feelings about events leading to their pregnancies and their 80% on any one response option, hence was removed. Table 4
thoughts and feelings about these events later, in light of shows the inter-item and item-total correlations of the remain-
their new experiences.) ing items. No item had an item-total correlation of ,0.2, and
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430 Barrett, Smith, Wellings
Age Women opting for abortion (n = 71): Women opting for abortion (n = 146): Age at abortion (n = 175542):
% (n) % (n) % (n)
under 20 15.5 (11) 24.7 (36) 21.1 (36966)
20–24 29.6 (21) 26.7 (39) 26.8 (47099)
25–29 29.6 (21) 28.1 (41) 21.6 (37852)
30–34 15.5 (11) 9.6 (14) 16.4 (28735)
35–39 5.6 (4) 8.2 (12) 10.6 (18589)
40+ 4.2 (3) 2.7 (4) 3.6 (6253)
Age Women continuing Women continuing Age of mother at live birth
pregnancy (n = 247) pregnancy (n = 307): (n = 604441):
under 20 % (n) % (n) % (n)
20–24 5.7 (14) 11.4 (35) 7.6 (45846)
25–29 10.9 (27) 14.3 (44) 17.8 (107741)
30–34 24.7 (61) 18.6 (57) 28.2 (170701)
35–39 31.6 (78) 32.2 (99) 29.8 (180113)
40+ 23.5 (58) 20.2 (62) 14.1 (84974)
3.6 (9) 3.3 (10) 2.5 (15066)
Women continuing Women continuing Proportion of live births
pregnancy/postnatal pregnancy/postnatal women registered by married
women (n = 311): (n = 500): proportion who parents:
proportion who were were married:
married:
Total
% (n) % (n) % (n)
66.6 (207) 64.4 (322) 60.5 (365836)
By age group
under 20 0 (0) 9.8 (4) 10.3 (4742)
20–24 32.3 (10) 29.5 (18) 37.4 (40262)
25–29 63.0 (46) 66.0 (62) 65.4 (111606)
30–34 78.0 (78) 76.2 (138) 75.6 (136165)
35–39 81.6 (62) 84.5 (87) 73.8 (62671)
40+ 73.3 (11) 65.0 (13) 69.0 (10390)
Women continuing Women continuing Proportion of births
pregnancy/postnatal pregnancy/postnatal women registered by women who
women (n = 316): (n = 499): proportion who were born in the UK:
proportion who were were born in the UK:
born in the UK:
Total
% (n) % (n) % (n)
76.9 (243) 79.4 (396) 84.5 (510835)
*Office for National Statistics 200145 46; figures for Scotland similar but not shown.
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New measure of unplanned pregnancy 431
DISCUSSION
Key points We developed a six item measure of unplanned pregnancy.
Psychometric testing demonstrated the high internal con-
N A new, psychometrically evaluated, measure of sistency, high stability (standard and longer term), and
unplanned pregnancy is now available for use. excellent face, content, and construct validity of the measure.
N The new measure is based on lay views, rather than One limitation is that for reasons of confidentiality, the
standard test-retest only included women who continued
professional conceptualisations, of pregnancy plan-
their pregnancies, thus our assessment of test-retest relia-
ning.
bility does not provide any information about the stability
N The measure is suitable for use with all women of the scale when used with women whose pregnancies
regardless of (intended or actual) pregnancy outcome. ended in abortion. Interestingly, the findings of the long
term test-retest (and the qualitative follow up interviews)
directly contradict previous evidence concerning the
stability of women’s reports of pregnancy planning after
(12). The skew statistic was 20.4, however visual inspection of birth.25 26 The reason for this may be that the items of the
the distribution suggested that the scores were negatively measure permit women a wider range of answers and
skewed, possibly bimodal (with peaks at scores 2 and 12). The therefore do not force women into categories that may be
readability level of the measure was 6.7 on the Flesch-Kincaid invalid. The measure was developed in Britain and is
grade level score (that is, suitable for an 11 year old), and most therefore appropriate for use with this population. As with
women completed the measure in 60–90 seconds. The measure other measures, re-validation would be required before
was well received and did not cause offence. application to other countries.
Compared with previous questions used to assess preg-
nancy planning, the measure has a number of advantages: it
Reliability makes no assumptions about the nature of women’s
The Cronbach’s a was 0.92. (Item-total correlations ranged relationships; it does not rely on women having fully formed
from 0.60 to 0.89 and inter-item correlations ranged from childbearing plans; it does not assume a particular form of
0.44 to 0.83.) For the standard test-retest the weighted k was family building; and it is suitable for use with any pregnancy
0.97, and for the long term test-retest it was 0.86. regardless of outcome. Because of its conceptual basis, the
measure does not presume that women have clearly defined
Validity intentions and/or behaviour consistent with intentions.
Comparison of the six item measure with the conceptual model Women may occupy a range of positions in relation to
showed that content validity had been maintained, with one pregnancy planning, and these are represented by the range
question representing each dimension of the model. All of scores from zero to 12. The scores also provide more
hypotheses to test construct validity were supported (table 1), sophisticated information about pregnancy planning than the
suggesting that the scale is indeed measuring the degree to which
a pregnancy is planned. The results of principal component
analysis confirmed that all variables loaded onto one factor Policy implications
(eigenvalue 4.33), with high factor loadings for each item: qu1-
0.70; qu2-0.90, qu3-0.93, qu4-0.90, qu5-0.89, qu6-0.75.
N Unplanned pregnancy is often used as a proxy
indicator of poor sexual health, and reducing the
Interpreting the scores number of unplanned pregnancies is a policy aim of
The increasing scores of the measure (zero to 12) represent many countries around the world, including the USA
increasing degrees of pregnancy planning/intention and there and the UK.
are no obvious cut points in the scale; each score provides
additional information. In terms of producing population N Existing methods of eliciting pregnancy planning status
have become dated.
estimates, we suggest (on the basis of preliminary inter-
pretation) the division of scores into a minimum of three N A new measure will facilitate the production of reliable
groups—that is,10–12 (planned), 4–9 (ambivalent); and 0–3 estimates of unplanned pregnancy.
(unplanned).
q1 (1)* 1.0
q2 0.7924 1.0
q4a 0.4792 0.4636 1.0
q4b (2) 0.4998 0.4228 0.7811 1.0
q4c 0.5268 0.4858 0.7503 0.7481 1.0
q4d 0.4328 0.4164 0.7458 0.7064 0.8317 1.0
q5 (3) 0.6080 0.5808 0.7172 0.7453 0.6815 0.6633 1.0
q6 (4) 0.5170 0.4688 0.7317 0.8140 0.6870 0.6859 0.8137 1.0
q7 (5) 0.5292 0.4955 0.7225 0.7592 0.7285 0.6670 0.8042 0.7645 1.0
q8 0.4807 0.4395 0.7025 0.6934 0.6784 0.6303 0.6976 0.7259 0.7824 1.0
q9 (6) 0.4134 0.3790 0.5125 0.5351 0.4773 0.4646 0.6241 0.5464 0.5564 0.5446 1.0
q1(1) q2 q4a q4b(2) q4c q4d q5(3) q6(4) q7(5) q8 q9(6)
Item-totals 0.6369 0.5915 0.8210 0.8354 0.8157 0.7716 0.8641 0.8429 0.8498 0.7892 0.6165
*Figures in parentheses correspond to item numbers of the measure (appendix, available to view on the journal web site http://www.jech.com/supplemental).
An item-total correlation is the correlation of the individual item with the scale total omitting that item.
www.jech.com
432 Barrett, Smith, Wellings
dichotomous categories of planned and unplanned. The 11 Macro International. Women’s lives and experiences: a decade of research
findings from the Demographic and Health Surveys. Program Calverton, MD:
measure is short (only six items) and highly acceptable Macro International, 1994.
(that is, easy to understand, inoffensive, and quick to 12 London K, Peterson L, Piccinino L. The National Survey of Family
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The measure, with its conceptual basis, represents a families. Washington: National Academy Press, 1995.
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Demographic and Health Surveys (the last being the main 14 Kost K, Forrest JD. Intention status of U.S. births in 1988: differences by
data source of the international family planning move- mothers’ socioeconomic and demographic characteristics. Fam Plan Perspect
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members of modern (post-demographic transition) societies 15 Sable MR, Spencer JC, Stockbauer JW, et al. Pregnancy wantedness and
adverse pregnancy outcomes: differences by race and medicaid status. Fam
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fertility decisions and control; an assumption that some 16 Kaufmann RB, Morris L, Spitz AM. Comparison of two question
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change in the 20th century.48 49 Instead, the measure 17 Trussell J, Vaughan B, Stanford J. Are all contraceptive failures unintended
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS 21 Santelli J, Rochat R, Hatfield-Timajchy K, et al. The measurement and
We wish to acknowledge the valuable contribution of our project meaning of unintended pregnancy. Perspect Sex Repro Health
collaborators: Lynne Cho, Karen Dunnell, Penny Edgington, Elaine 2003;35:94–101.
Fisher, Anna Glasier, Isaac Manyonda, Stanley Okolo, Catherine 22 Peterson LS, Mosher WD. Contraceptive failure and unintended
Paterson, Connie Smith, and R William Stones. We would also like to pregnancy: options for measuring unintended pregnancy in Cycle 6
of the National Survey of Family Growth. Fam Plan Perspect
thank the many others who have helped with this project, including:
1999;31:252–3.
Maureen Batley, Audrey Brown, Jill Brown, Jenny Charman, Carrie 23 Barrett G. Developing a measure of unplanned pregnancy. [PhD thesis].
Free, Rolla Khadduri, Patricia Kingori, Sunethra Kossine, Maya London: University of London, 2002.
Malalgoda, Janet Peacock, Jan Sanders, Margaret Thorogood, Ros 24 Barrett G, Wellings K. What is a ‘‘planned’’ pregnancy? Empirical data from
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The appendix is available to view on the journal web 26 Joyce T, Kaestner R, Korenman S. On the validity of retrospective assessments
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G Barrett, K Wellings, Centre for Sexual and Reproductive Health London: Methuen, 1986.
Research, Department of Public Health and Policy, London School of 31 Streiner DL, Norman GR. Health measurement scales: a practical guide to
Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, University of London, London, UK their development and use. 2nd edn. Oxford: Oxford University Press,
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S C Smith, Health Services Research Unit, Department of Public Health
32 DeVellis RF. Scale development: theory and applications. London: Sage,
and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, University 1991.
of London 33 Ware JE, Snow KK, Kosinski M, et al. SF-36 Health Survey: manual and
Funding: this project was supported by a Medical Research Council/ interpretation guide. Boston: The Health Institute, 1993.
34 Kincaid JP, Fishburne RP, Rogers RL, et al. Derivation of new readability
London Region special training fellowship in Health Services Research
formulas (Automated Readability Index, Fog Count, and Flesch Reading Ease
Conflicts of interest: none declared. Formula) for navy enlisted personnel. Research Branch report 8–75. Memphis:
Naval Air Station, 1975.
35 Scientific Advisory Committee of the Medical Outcomes Trust. Assessing
health status and quality-of-life instruments: attributes and review criteria.
Qual Life Res 2002;11:193–205.
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L
ynn Goldman has extensive background in pesticide and environmental risks to children.
During her tenure as Assistant Administrator for Prevention, Pesticides and Toxic
Substances at the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), she was responsible for
the nation’s toxic chemicals regulatory programmes. There she expanded citizens’ right to
know under the Toxics Release Inventory, and updated the US pesticides laws. Goldman made
progress on testing of high volume industrial chemicals and identification of chemicals that
disrupt endocrine systems. She was also successful in promoting children’s health issues,
furthering the international agenda for global chemical safety.
‘‘The environment has been taken out of public health and put into environmental
agencies, and environmental agencies have lost touch with health.’’
With globalisation, Goldman recognises the increasing importance of chemical safety and
biotechnology to public health. Her work involves development of policy. At Johns Hopkins
University, she co-chairs the school-wide taskforce on bioterrorism.
D F Salerno
Clinical Communications Scientist, Pfizer Global Research and Development, Ann Arbor
Laboratories, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
I L Feitshans
Adjunct Faculty, Cornell University, School of Industrial and Labor Relations, Albany, NY, USA
Correspondence to: Deborah F. Salerno, 2800 Plymouth Road, Ann Arbor, MI 48105, USA;
deborah.salerno@pfizer.com
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