{

( 0,34 ) = 0,0393 X = $2100

( 3 ) ( 0,34 ) ( 0, 26 ) = 0,0901 X = $1600
( 0,34 ) ( 0,4 ) + ( 3 ) ( 0,34 ) ( 0,26 ) = 0,1151 X = $1100
Fx(x) ( 2 ) ( 0,34 ) ( 0,26 ) ( 0,4 ) + ( 0,26 ) = 0,0882
( 0,34 ) ( 0,4 ) = 0, 1360
X = $600
X = $400
( 0,26 ) ( 0,4 ) = 0,0270 X = $100
( 0,26 ) ( 0,4 ) = 0,1040 X = $100
0,4 X = $300

P ( X > 0 ) = P ( X = 100 ) + P ( X = 400 ) +P ( X = 600 ) +P ( X = 1100 ) +P ( X = 1600 ) +P ( X = 2100 )

= (0,0270 ) + ( 0,1360 ) + ( 0,0882 ) + ( 0,1151 ) + ( 0,0901 ) + ( 0,0393 ) = 0,4957
E(X)=

= (-300) ( 0,4 ) + (-100) ( 0,1040 ) + (100) ( 0,0270 ) + (400) ( 0,1360 ) + (600) ( 0,0882 )
+(1100) ( 0,1151 ) + (1600) ( 0,0901 ) + (2100) ( 0,0393 )

= 332.92

E(X)=

= (-300) ( 0,4 ) + (-100) ( 0,1040 ) + (100) ( 0,0270 ) + (400) ( 0,1360 ) + (600) ( 0,0882 )
+(1100) ( 0,1151 ) + (1600) ( 0,0901 ) + (2100) ( 0,0393 )

= 634062

Var ( X ) = E ( X ) - ( E ( X ) ) = 634062 - ( 332.92 ) = 523226.27

= 20 A=6 B=5 C=9

Utilizando combinaciones tenemos
 a. Para resolver este punto, tomaremos los valores de X y Y tal que X+Y=2

Que serian ( 2 , 0 ) , ( 1 , 1 ) , ( 0 , 2 )

P ( X + Y = 2 ) = P ( X = 2 , Y = 0 ) + P ( X = 1 , Y = 1 ) +P ( X = 0 , Y = 2 )
= 0.1114 + 0.2229 + 0.0743 = 0.4086

b. Sea Z el valor toal de la muestra , tal que Z = valor( X ) + valor ( Y )

{
0.0260 Z=$0
0.1040 Z=$6
0.0866 + 0.1114 = 0.1981 Z = $ 12
0.2229 + 0.0371 = 0.2600 Z = $ 18
Fz(z) 0.0743 + 0.1393 = 0.2136
0.1114 + 0.0206 = 0.1320
Z = $ 24
Z = $ 30
0.0185 + 0.0309 = 0.0495 Z = $ 36
0.0123 Z = $ 42
1.03 * 10 Z = $ 48

E(Z)=

= (0) ( 0.0260 ) + (6) ( 0,1040 ) + (12) ( 0.1981 ) + (18) ( 0,26 ) + (24) ( 0,2136 )
+(30) ( 0.1320 ) + (36) ( 0,0495 ) + (42) ( 0.0123 ) + (48) (1.03*10 )

= $ 19.11

c . Para calcular el Var( X+Y ), tomemos Z = X+Y

 {
0.0260 Z=0
0.1040 + 0.0866 = 0.1907 Z=1
Fz(z) 0.1114 + 0.2229 + 0.0743 = 0.4086 Z=2
0.0371 + 0.1393 + 0.1114 + 0.0185 = 0.3065 Z=3
3.09*10 + 0.0206 + 0.0309 + 0.0123 + 1.03*10 = 0.0681 Z=4

E(Z)=

= ( 0 ) ( 0.0260 ) + ( 1 ) ( 0.1907 ) + ( 2 ) ( 0.4086 ) + ( 3 ) ( 0.3065 ) + ( 4 ) ( 0.0681 )

= 2.1998

E(Z)=

= ( 0 ) ( 0.0260 ) + ( 1 ) ( 0.1907 ) + ( 2 ) ( 0.4086 ) + ( 3 ) ( 0.3065 ) + ( 4 ) ( 0.0681 )

= 5.6732

Var ( Z ) = E ( Z ) - ( E ( Z ) ) = 5.6732 - ( 2.1998 ) = 0.8340

{
0 (0,0)
k (0,1)
2k (0,2)
0 (2,0)
F xy ( x , y ) 3k (2,1)
6k (2,2)
0 (3,0)
4k (3,1)
8k (3,2)

0 + k + 2k + 0 + 3k + 6k + 0 + 4k + 8k = 1 24k = 1 k = 1 = 0.4166
24
Los pares ordenados que cumplen la desigualdad x > 2 y y < 1 , son ( 2 , 0 ) , ( 2 , 1 ) , ( 3 , 0 ) , ( 3 , 1 )

P ( X > 2 , Y < 1 ) = 0 + 3k + 0 + 4k = 7k

Para k = 1 , tenemos P ( X > 2 , Y < 1 ) = 7 ( 1 ) = 0.2916

24 24

Sea Z = X + Y, donde Z representa el total de articulos producidos, con X < 2. Es decir, para ( 0, 0 )
(0,1)(0,2)(2,0)(2,1)y(2,2)

{
0 Z=0

1 = 0.0833 Z=1
12

Fz(z|x<2) 2 = 0.1666
12
Z=2

3 = 0.25 Z=3
12

6 = 0.5 Z=4
12
E(Z)=

= ( 0 ) ( 0 ) + ( 1 ) ( 0.0833 ) + ( 2 ) ( 0.1666 ) + ( 3 ) ( 0.25 ) + ( 4 ) ( 0.5 ) = 3.16

x-1
Fx(x=x) { ( 1 - 0.34 ) 0.34 x = { 1, 2, … }

P(x<7)=P(X=1)+P(X=2)+P(X=3)+P(X=4)+P(X=5)+P(X=6)+P(X=7)
0 3
= ( 1 - 0.34 ) * 0.34 + ( 1 - 0.34 ) 1 * 0.34 + ( 1 - 0.34 ) 2 * 0.34 + ( 1 - 0.34 ) * 0.34 +
5
( 1 - 0.34 ) 4 * 0.34 + ( 1 - 0.34 ) * 0.34 + ( 1 - 0.34 ) 6 * 0.34
 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
= ( 0.34 ) ( 0.66 + 0.66 + 0.66 + 0.66 + 0.66 + 0.66 + 0.66 )

= ( 0.34 ) ( 2.7807 )

= 0.9454

P(5<x<7)= P(X=6)+P(X=7)
5
= ( 1 - 0.34 ) * 0.34 + ( 1 - 0.34 ) 6 * 0.34
5 6
= ( 0.34 ) ( 0.66 + 0.66 )

= ( 0.34 ) ( 0.2078 )

= 0.0706

P(x>5) =1-P(x<4)
= 1 - (( 1 - 0.34 ) 0 * 0.34 + ( 1 - 0.34 ) 1 * 0.34 + ( 1 - 0.34 ) 2 *
0.34 + ( 1 - 0.34 ) 3 * 0.34
1 3
= 1 - ( 0.34 ) ( ( 0.66) 0 + ( 0.66 ) + ( 0.66 ) 2 + ( 0.66 ) )

= 1 - ( 0.34 ) ( 2.3830 )

= 1 - 0.8102

= 0.1897

P ( X < 7 | X > 5 ) = P ( 5 < X < 7 ) = 0.0706 = 0.3721

P(X>5) 0.1897
 X es binomial

P(X=x) { P (1-p) X = 0, 1 , 2 , 3 , ... , n

P ( 1 < x < 13 ) = 1 - P ( x < 1 ) = 1 - ( ( 0.36 ) ( 1 - 0.36 )

= 1 - ( 1 ) ( 1 ) ( 0.64 )

= 0.9969
P ( 8 < x < 13 ) = P ( X = 8 ) + P ( X = 9 ) + P ( X = 10 ) + P ( X = 11 ) + P ( X = 12 ) + P ( X = 13
0.0389 + 0.0121 + 0.0027 + 0.0004 + 3.94*10 + 1.70*10
0.0543

P ( X > 8 | 1 < X < 13 ) = P ( 8 < x < 13 ) = 0.0543 = 0.0544

P ( 1 < x < 13 ) 0.9969

b. Ahora n = 234

P ( 81 < x < 86 ) = P ( X = 81 ) + P ( X = 82 ) + P ( X = 83 ) + P ( X = 84 ) + P ( X = 85 ) + P ( X = 86 )
0.0496 + 0.0521 + 0.0536 + 0.0542 + 0.0538 + 0.0525
0.3160

X es Poisson
Si en 1 hora llegan en promedio 14 clientes, en 6 horas llegan en
promedio 84, por lo tanto = 84
 P(X=x)= { X = 0 , 1 , 2 , 3 , ...

P ( 82 < x < 87 ) = P ( X = 82 ) + P ( X = 83 ) + P ( X = 84 ) + P ( X = 85 ) + P ( X = 86 ) + P ( X = 87 )
0.0429 + 0.0434 + 0.0434 + 0.0429 + 0.0419 + 0.0405
0.2554

E [ 20000 X - 44000 ] = 20000 * 14 - 44000 = 236000

Fx(x=x) { ( 1 - 0.57 ) x - 1 0.57 x = { 1, 2, … }

y-1
Fy(y=y) { ( 1 - 0.57 ) 0.57 y = { 1, 2, … }

Al tratarse de probabilidades independientes, la probabilidad conjunta esta dada por :

F xy ( X , Y ) = P x ( X ) * P y ( Y )
= ( 0.43 ) 0.57 * ( 0.43 ) 0.57
= ( 0.57 ) ( 0.43 )
= ( 0.57 ) ( 0.43 )
( 0.43 )

P ( X + Y = 6 ) = P ( X = 1, Y = 5 ) + P ( X = 2 , Y = 4 ) + P ( X = 3 , Y = 3 ) + P ( X = 4 , Y = 2 )
+P(X=5,Y=1)

( 0.57 ) ( 5 ) ( 0.43 ) = ( 5 ) ( 0.57 ) ( 0.43 ) = 0.05553

( 0.43 )

P ( X = 2 , Y = 4 | X + Y = 6 ) = ( 0.57 ) ( 0.43 ) = 0.0111 = 0.1998

0.05553 0.05553
 {
0.2 X=1
0.2 X=2
Fx(x|x+y=6) 0.2 X=3
0.2 X=4
0.2 X=5

E(X|X+Y=6)=

= ( 0.2 ) ( 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5 )

=3

Para el desarrolo de este ejercicio, es necesario definir dos funciones

1. Si I > X:
G = X ( 300 - 210 ) - ( I - X ) ( 210 - 150 )
G = X ( 90 ) - ( I - X ) ( 60 )

2. Si I < X :
G = I ( 300 - 210 )
G = I ( 90 )

3600 3600 3600 3600 3600

3540 3690 3690 3690 3690
3480 3630 3780 3780 3780
3420 3570 3730 3870 3870
3360 3510 3660 3810 3960
 {
P ( C1 C2 C3 ) = 0.015 X=0
P ( C1 C2 C3 ) + P ( C1 C2 C3 ) = 0.1075 X = 20
Fx(X) P ( C1 C2 C3 ) + P ( C1 C2 C3 ) = 0.1725 X = 40
P ( C1 C2 C3 ) + P ( C1 C2 C3 ) = 0.3235 X = 60
P ( C1 C2 C3 ) = 0.3825 X = 80
P ( X > 40 ) = P ( X = 40 ) + P ( X = 60 ) + P ( X = 80 ) = 0.1725 + 0.3235 + 0.3825 = 0.8785

E(Z)=

= ( 0 ) ( 0.015 ) + ( 20 ) ( 0.1075 ) + ( 40 ) ( 0.1725 ) + ( 60 ) ( 0.3235 ) + ( 80 ) ( 0.3825 )

= 59.06