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Skeptical Inquirer - November-December 2022-4
Skeptical Inquirer - November-December 2022-4
I
f you ever suspected that the begin-
ning of the end of the world hap-
pened around 1980, there is now
some scientific evidence to back up your
intuition. An intriguing paper authored
by a group of researchers in the Neth-
erlands comprising Marten Scheffera,
Ingrid van de Leemputa, Els Weinansa,
and Johan Bollen and published in the
prestigious Proceedings of the National
Academy of Sciences (PNAS) USA (Schef-
fera et al. 2021) gives us skeptics quite a
bit to chew on and ponder. Let me first
sketch out the methodology and main
findings, and then we’ll tackle the more
prickly issue of what it all may (or may
not) mean.
Scheffera and collaborators looked
at the frequency of words indicating
either rationality or emotion in sev-
eral large databases across the period
of time from 1850 to 2019. They took
words such as experiment, circuit, chemi-
stry, gravity, weigh, depth, greater, per,
and several others to indicate the use
of rational discourse. By contrast, they
regarded words such as imagine, compas-
sion, forgiveness, heal, etc., as related to
emotional discourse.
Their main findings come from
quantitatively analyzing, via Google
nGram, all the books in both English
and Spanish catalogued by the search
engine company. But they also repeated ity-related words until about 1980, by 2007.
the analysis using articles from The followed by the beginning of a decline Methodologically, the paper is solid.
New York Times over the same period, that has become significantly sharper To begin with, it was published in one
as well as using a smaller sample of from 2007 on. Emotionally related of the top scientific journals in the
words in publications from additional words were characterized by the exact world, which relies on rigorous peer re-
languages, including French, German, reverse trend. Moreover, Scheffera and view. Moreover, the authors have taken
Italian, and Russian. The goal was to colleagues noticed that such patterns are several precautions in analyzing their
discover whether usage of either group parallel to a symmetric switch between data and building internal controls—for
of words—characterizing rationality or words emphasizing a collective versus instance, by confirming their findings
emotion—changed over time. an individualistic focus, as well as a shift on books by way of a second dataset of
It did—dramatically so—and in from plural to singular pronouns, again newspaper articles, as well as expanding
a way that suggests a rise in rational- beginning around 1980 and accelerating the number of languages they consid-
Understanding Gluten
U
ntil a few years ago, few people boogeyman du jour” (Fell 2015). miscarriage, and more.
had even heard of gluten. Now Screening is not recommended. No
going on a gluten-free diet has test is diagnostic; the diagnosis is estab-
Celiac Disease
become a popular fad. People diagnosed lished by a combination of blood tests,
with celiac disease must avoid gluten to Other names for celiac disease are esophagogastroduodenoscopy with
prevent symptoms, but others are avoid- celiac sprue, non-tropical sprue, and small bowel biopsy, and the patient’s
ing gluten for questionable reasons—or gluten-sensitive enteropathy. The clas- response to a gluten-free diet. It has
for no reason at all. I watched a TV pro- sic symptoms are diarrhea, abdominal been estimated that up to 83 percent of
gram where the host stopped random pain, bloating, weight loss, malabsorp- Americans with celiac disease remain
people on the street to ask them about tion, and failure to thrive. Other gas- undiagnosed or misdiagnosed (Beyond
gluten. Many of them didn’t even know trointestinal symptoms may include Celiac n.d.). Some patients have no
what gluten was, but nevertheless, they mouth sores, gastroesophageal reflux, symptoms but still have pathognomonic
were convinced it was unhealthy and and recurrent nausea and vomiting. damage to the small intestine. Some
should be avoided. Although only 1 There are countless extraintestinal groups are at increased risk: first-degree
percent of Americans have celiac dis- manifestations, including rash, arthri- relatives of patients with celiac disease
ease, 30 percent of Americans reported tis, amenorrhea, anemia, chronic (10 percent risk), type 1 diabetics (2–8
that they were trying to avoid gluten. fatigue, osteoporosis, depression, infer- percent), people with certain genetic
An article on NPR called it “the dietary tility, epilepsy, fractures, neuropathy, disorders (Down syndrome 8 percent,