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Assignment Techno Eco 2022
Assignment Techno Eco 2022
Final product
The Jupyter Notebook should be converted into a pdf document and submitted into Moodle,
with a total of (60 points)
Literature
For some background literature, please check the corresponding section in Moodle
Submission date
The report has to be submitted into Moodle on Wednesday, 13 April 2022 at 17:00 at latest.
Any submissions later than this date, without any prior notice, would not be reviewed. Only the
pdf generated from the Notebook file is needed.
Debriefing
The debriefing of the assignment will take place on Friday, 29 April 2021.
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Assignment_techno_eco_2022 about:srcdoc
Python libraries
We first load the Python libraries that will be used during this assingment:
• Numpy: is a library for the Python programming language, adding support for large, multi-
dimensional arrays and matrices, along with a large collection of high-level mathematical
functions to operate on these arrays. It is similar to Matlab
• Pandas: pandas is a software library written for the Python programming language for data
manipulation and analysis. In particular, it offers data structures and operations for
manipulating numerical tables and time series. It is like Excel
• Matplotlib: it is a library to plot
In [1]:
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
Your will perform an energy balance and techno-economic analysis of such a system.
Input data (please mind the capital letter, used for absolute cost,
versus nomal letter, used for cost relative to power)
Throughout the Exercise 1, you will use the following input data:
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• Price of electricity imported from the grid (retail price, P_i): 0,25 CHF/kWh
• PV lifetime (Lifetime_PV): 30 yr
In [2]:
eta_inv=0.95
Lifetime_inv=15
P_ex=0.06
P_i=0.25
Lifetime_PV=30
r=0.04
capex_PV=3000
capex_inv=400
Capacity_PV=4.8
Ed = Epvd + Edgrid
2. Using the previous enerby balance, you will now perform energy
balances of the PV system (without a battery) in two different
temporal scales, namely 15 min and 1 year. To do so, we import the
following data: PV generation (in DC terms) and the electricity
demand (in AC terms) from the house throughout the year with 15
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Nomenclature
In terms of nomenclature, we propose the following:
Functions to be used
• Feel free to check the data using functions such as "df.head()", "df.tail()", "df.describe()".
• You can use the property "df.iloc[]" to select the 365244 data in each relevant column in
Excel.
• Using the fuction "df.assign", we can first define and initialise at 0 the new data with 15-min
temporal resolution (columns), nameley PV generation (in AC terms), PV self-consumption,
PV export and grid import.
• Now, we can resolve the electricity balance with temporal resolution of 15 min, i.e to
calculate E_PVd (equal to E_dPV), E_PVgrid and E_dgrid. To do so, you can use the property
"df.loc[]" since it allows the use of conditions to filter rows and/or columns
• To calculate the annual values, you can use the function "df.sum()"
In [3]:
df = pd.read_excel ('PV_Demand_Battery.xlsx')
print (df)
df.head()
df.tail()
df.describe()
df.E_PVDC.sum()
capacity_factor= (df.E_PVDC.sum()/(Capacity_PV*8760))*100
print(capacity_factor)
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In [5]:
df=df.assign(E_PVAC=0)
df.head()
df=df.assign(E_dPV=0)
df.head()
df=df.assign(E_PVgrid=0)
df.head()
df=df.assign(Ed_grid=0)
df.head()
df.loc[df.E_PVDC>df.E_d]
df.E_PVAC=df.E_PVDC*eta_inv
df.loc[df.E_PVAC>df.E_d,'E_dPV']=df.E_d
df.loc[df.E_PVAC<=df.E_d,'E_dPV']=df.E_PVAC
df.head()
df.describe()
#self consumption
sc=(df.E_dPV.sum()/df.E_PVAC.sum())*100
print('sc=',sc,'%')
df.loc[df.E_PVAC>df.E_dPV,'E_PVgrid']=df.E_PVAC-df.E_dPV
df.describe()
#self sufficiency
ss=(df.E_dPV.sum()/(df.E_d.sum()))*100
print('ss=',ss,'%')
df.describe()
df.Ed_grid = df.E_d-df.E_dPV
#imported from the grid
imported_grid= ((df.E_d.sum()-df.E_dPV.sum())/df.E_d.sum())*100
print('imported_grid=',imported_grid,'%')
df.describe()
sc= 21.92413973892474 %
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ss= 45.32814247614432 %
Out[5]: E_d E_PVDC E_charDC E_disDC E_PVAC E_dPV E_PVgrid
Results: The annual capacity factor of the PV installation is 17.46%. To compare for example, the
annual capacity factor of a nuclear plant is around 82,5% in 2019 (World Nuclear Performance
Report). The difference may be explained by the fact that nuclear is a more closed system, with
less losses and it continiously works, night and day because turning off and on the nuclear plant
takes a lot of time and energy so they don't turn it off unless it's a maintenance necessity.
The percentage of PV which is self-consumed (sc) is 21,9% and so 78,1% is exported to the grid
on annual basis.
The self-sufficiency percentage (ss) is 45,3% and so the percentage of electricity imported from
the grid is 54,7%.
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In [6]:
Winter_day=df.iloc[0:96]
Winter_day_power = Winter_day*4
Winter_day_power.head()
df=df.assign(time=0)
Winter_day_power.time = np.arange(0,24,0.25)
Winter_day_power.head()
plt.plot(Winter_day_power.time,Winter_day_power.E_d, label= 'P demand')
plt.plot(Winter_day_power.time,Winter_day_power.E_PVAC, label= 'P production')
plt.plot(Winter_day_power.time,Winter_day_power.E_dPV,label= 'PV demand')
plt.plot(Winter_day_power.time,Winter_day_power.Ed_grid, label='P from grid')
plt.plot(Winter_day_power.time,Winter_day_power.E_PVgrid, label='PV to grid')
plt.xlabel('time (h)')
plt.ylabel('power (kW)')
plt.legend()
plt.show()
In [7]:
np.arange(0,24,1)
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In [8]:
Summer_day = df.iloc[17276:17372]
Summer_day_power = Summer_day*4
Summer_day_power.head()
df=df.assign(time=0)
Summer_day_power.time = np.arange(0,24,0.25)
Summer_day_power.head()
plt.plot(Summer_day_power.time,Summer_day_power.E_d, label= 'P demand')
plt.plot(Summer_day_power.time,Summer_day_power.E_PVAC, label= 'P production')
plt.plot(Summer_day_power.time,Summer_day_power.E_dPV,label= 'PV demand')
plt.plot(Summer_day_power.time,Summer_day_power.Ed_grid, label='P from grid')
plt.plot(Summer_day_power.time,Summer_day_power.E_PVgrid, label='PV to grid')
plt.xlabel('time (h)')
plt.ylabel('power (kW)')
plt.legend()
plt.show()
• In summer, the PV generation is higher (peak at 4 kW in summer and 2,5 kW in winter) and
longer too, because in summer the PV produces electricity from 6am to 7pm. In winter PV
system produces electricity from 9am to 4pm. This is explain by the sun that shines longer
and brighter during the summer days than during the winter days.
• The demand in electricity stays more or less the same, even if in winter it's more for the
heating system and in sumer for the cooling system.
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In [9]:
CAPEX_PV=capex_PV*Capacity_PV
print('CAPEX_PV=',CAPEX_PV,'CHF')
CAPEX_INV=capex_inv*Capacity_PV
print('CAPEX_INV=',CAPEX_INV,'CHF')
Results :
The replacement cost for the inverter after 15 years is : 1920 CHF.
elect_dp=df.E_dPV.sum()*P_i
print('elect_dp=',elect_dp,'CHF')
#Electricity I sell
elect_PV=df.E_PVgrid.sum()*P_ex
print('elect_PV=',elect_PV,'CHF')
#anual revenue
revenue=elect_dp+elect_PV
print('revenue=',revenue,'CHF')
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revenue_sc= 53.91754728130108 %
revenue_grid= 46.08245271869893 %
Results: The equation to calculate the revenu of the PV system is : Revenue_PV (CHF) = electricity sold to the grid
+ avoided cost of electricity (that we didn't bought from the grid) --> PV_Revenue=[E_PVgrid*P_exp] We also
calculate the situation of a house that only buys electricity from the grid. They buy electricity from the grid 843,42
CHF per year. The annual revenue for the PV system is 709,06 CHF won by not spending money on electricity
from the grid plus electricity sold to the grid. The percentage of revenue due to PV self consuption is 53.9 and
the percentage of revenue due to PV exporter to the grid is 46.0.
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In [11]:
df_TI_PV=pd.DataFrame(index=np.arange(31),columns=['year','E_PVAC','E_PVAC_disc'
df_TI_PV.year= np.arange(0,31,1)
df_TI_PV.E_PVAC=df.E_PVAC.sum()
df_TI_PV.loc[df_TI_PV.year==0,'E_PVAC']=0
df_TI_PV.E_PVAC_disc=((df_TI_PV.E_PVAC/(1+r)**df_TI_PV.year))
df_TI_PV.Cost=0
df_TI_PV.loc[df_TI_PV.year==0,'Cost']=CAPEX_PV+CAPEX_INV
df_TI_PV.loc[df_TI_PV.year==15,'Cost']=CAPEX_INV
df_TI_PV.Cost_disc=((df_TI_PV.Cost/(1+r)**df_TI_PV.year))
df_TI_PV.Revenue=revenue
df_TI_PV.loc[df_TI_PV.year==0,'Revenue']=0
df_TI_PV.Revenue_disc=(df_TI_PV.Revenue/((1+r)**df_TI_PV.year))
df_TI_PV.CF_IRR=df_TI_PV.Revenue-df_TI_PV.Cost
print(df_TI_PV)
Revenue_disc CF_IRR
0 0.000000 -16320.000000
1 681.788447 709.059985
2 655.565814 709.059985
3 630.351744 709.059985
4 606.107447 709.059985
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5 582.795622 709.059985
6 560.380405 709.059985
7 538.827313 709.059985
8 518.103186 709.059985
9 498.176140 709.059985
10 479.015519 709.059985
11 460.591845 709.059985
12 442.876774 709.059985
13 425.843052 709.059985
14 409.464473 709.059985
15 393.715840 -1210.940015
16 378.572923 709.059985
17 364.012426 709.059985
18 350.011948 709.059985
19 336.549950 709.059985
20 323.605721 709.059985
21 311.159347 709.059985
22 299.191680 709.059985
23 287.684308 709.059985
24 276.619527 709.059985
25 265.980314 709.059985
26 255.750302 709.059985
27 245.913752 709.059985
28 236.455531 709.059985
29 227.361087 709.059985
30 218.616430 709.059985
In [12]:
IRR=np.irr(df_TI_PV.CF_IRR)
IRR
In [13]:
df_TI_PV.loc[df_TI_PV.year==0,'Cost']
Out[13]: 0 16320.0
Name: Cost, dtype: float64
In [82]:
LVOESpv=df_TI_PV.Revenue_disc.sum()/df_TI_PV.E_PVAC_disc.sum()
print('LVOESpv=',LVOESpv,'CHF/kWh')
LCOESpv=df_TI_PV.Cost.sum()/df_TI_PV.E_PVAC_disc.sum()
print('LCOESpv=',LCOESpv,'CHF/kWh')
-----------------------------------------------------------
Exercise 2-System 2: PV-coupled battery system for
single house (33 point)
The figure below is a schematic representation of the System 2. It corrresponds to a PV-coupled
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Input data
Throughout the Exercise 2, you will use the following input data:
In [14]:
Lifetime_bat=15
Capacity_E_bat=7
Capacity_P_bat=2.8
capex_bat=350
capex_BoP=2200
eta_conv=1
### 8. Please formulate an energy balance of the System 2 by writing the equations which: (a) explain how PV
electricity generation is used (i.e. which demand loads it is supplied to, namely the demand of the house, the
battery and the grid) in DC terms; and (b) how the electricity demand is satisfied (i.e. PV system, battery and
electricity grid import) in AC terms. Since we are using a DC topology of the PV-coupled battery system, we
should solve the PV balance in DC terms and the demand balance in AC terms, using both the converter and
inverter efficiencies when needed. Also, include an equation for the round trip efficiency of the battery system.
Following the notation used in exercise 1, please refer to the electricity supplied from the PV to the battery as
E_PVbat (kWh) and so on (2 points).
a) Epvdc= E_pvbat*nconverter + ((E_PVd + EPVgrid)/ninv) #electricity generation in DC terms
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export to the grid, self-sufficiency and grid import. Again, peform the PV balance (self-consumptin and grid
export) in DC terms and the demand balance (self-sufficiency and grid import in AC terms). Finally, determine the
total number of equivalent full cycles (EFC) achieved by the battery system, defined as the total discharge divide
by the total battery capacity (7 kWh). The lifetime of this battery system is 15 yr. Briefly discuss whether the
battery is fully charged and discharged on a daily basis, i.e. whether it makes use of its total capacity. ### Finally,
How are round trip efficiency, EFC, SS and SC interconnected? For example, does the battery efficiency affect the
amount of PV supplied to the battery and/or the self-consumption? What other relationships can you establish?
Can a house become fully independent from the main grid? (6 points) - #### Some tips: - You can create new
columns with the battery charge and discharge in AC terms, namely E_PVbat, E_disAC, using the function
"df.assign()" - We assume that inside the DC-coupled topology, the converter efficiency (DC to DC) is equal to 1.
In [15]:
#PV sold to the grid E_PVgrid
df=df.assign(E_PVbat=0)
df.head()
df=df.assign(E_disAC=0)
df.head()
df.loc[(df.E_PVAC-df.E_PVbat)>df.E_dPV,'E_dPV']=df.E_d
df.loc[(df.E_PVAC-df.E_PVbat)<=df.E_dPV, 'E_dPV']=(df.E_PVAC-df.E_PVbat)
df.E_PVgrid=df.E_PVAC-df.E_PVbat-df.E_dPV
df.Ed_grid=df.E_d-df.E_dPV-df.E_disAC
df.describe()
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In [16]:
#Battery efficiency
eta_bat=(df.E_disDC.sum()/df.E_charDC.sum())*100
print('eta_bat=',eta_bat,'%')
#The annual roundtrip efficiency equals to 88.99%
eta_bat= 88.99999999999997 %
In [17]:
E_d_a=df.E_d.sum()
E_PVAC_a=df.E_PVAC.sum()
E_dPV_a=df.E_dPV.sum()
E_PVbat_a=df.E_PVbat.sum()
E_PVgrid_a=df.E_PVgrid.sum()
Ed_grid_a=df.Ed_grid.sum()
E_disAC_a=df.E_disAC.sum()
print('E_d_a=',E_d_a,'kWh')
print('E_PVAC_a=',E_PVAC_a,'kWh')
print('E_dPV_a=',E_dPV_a,'kWh')
print('E_PVbat_a=',E_PVbat_a,'kWh')
print('E_PVgrid_a=',E_PVgrid_a,'kWh')
print('Ed_grid_a=',Ed_grid_a,'kWh')
print('E_disAC_a=',E_disAC_a,'kWh')
In [18]:
#Self consumption with E_disAC
self_consumption=((E_dPV_a+E_disAC_a)/E_PVAC_a)*100
print('self_consumption=',self_consumption,'%')
print('grid_export=',grid_export,'%')
self_sufficiency=((E_dPV_a+E_disAC_a)/E_d_a)*100
print('self_sufficiency=',self_sufficiency,'%')
grid_import=(1-((E_dPV_a+E_disAC_a)/E_d_a))*100
print('grid_import=',grid_import,'%')
self_consumption= 43.15603424982061 %
grid_export= 56.84396575017939 %
self_sufficiency= 89.225068462238 %
grid_import= 10.774931537762 %
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In [19]:
#EFC
EFC=df.E_disDC.sum()/Capacity_E_bat
print('EFC=',EFC)
EFC= 222.69867703763072
average daily charge= 4.798801721605097 kWh
average daily discharge= 4.2709335322285344 kWh
In [20]:
#Finally, How are round trip efficiency, EFC, SS and SC interconnected? For example,
df_Winter_day_power.time=np.arange(0,24,0.25)
df_Winter_day_power.head()
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Out[21]: E_d E_PVDC E_charDC E_disDC E_PVAC E_dPV E_PVgrid Ed_grid time
count 96.000000 96.000000 96.000000 96.000000 96.000000 96.000000 96.000000 96.000000 96.000000
mean 0.510417 0.557220 0.304775 0.271250 0.529359 0.119119 0.120704 0.133611 11.875000
std 0.399863 0.970836 0.718100 0.515382 0.922294 0.190181 0.368296 0.224029 6.964194
min 0.160000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.017447 0.000000
25% 0.240000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.002660 5.937500
50% 0.360000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 11.875000
75% 0.560000 0.789081 0.000002 0.236446 0.749627 0.260000 0.019567 0.200000 17.812500
max 1.640000 2.898316 2.394489 1.744681 2.753400 0.640000 1.573800 1.320000 23.750000
In [22]:
df_Summer_day=df.iloc[17276:17372]
df_Summer_day_power=df_Summer_day*4
df=df.assign(time=0)
df_Summer_day_power.time=np.arange(0,24,0.25)
df_Summer_day_power.head()
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count 96.000000 96.000000 9.600000e+01 96.000000 96.000000 96.000000 96.000000 96.000000 96.000000
mean 0.490833 1.529088 1.238459e-01 0.220751 1.452633 0.284388 1.050592 -0.003268 11.875000
std 0.444455 1.608670 3.819600e-01 0.418986 1.528236 0.347269 1.332440 0.006475 6.964194
min 0.160000 0.000000 0.000000e+00 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.027390 0.000000
25% 0.200000 0.000000 0.000000e+00 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.002234 5.937500
50% 0.280000 0.955075 0.000000e+00 0.000000 0.907321 0.200000 0.020459 0.000000 11.875000
75% 0.500000 3.068201 1.161133e-12 0.212766 2.914791 0.400000 2.531250 0.000000 17.812500
max 1.720000 4.285312 1.852120e+00 1.829070 4.071046 1.520000 3.669167 0.000000 23.750000
Discussion
#Power component
#b) Capacity_P_bat*capex_BoP
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Pep=P_i
Pes=P_ex
#revenue lost
rev_lost=df.E_PVbat.sum()*Pes
print('Revenue lost=',rev_lost,'CHF')
#revenue lost is what could have been sold to the grid but it is used to charge the ba
#avoided cost of electricity importe from the grid, is the price of electricity that i
avoided_cost_dis=df.E_disAC.sum()*Pep
print('Avoided cost=',avoided_cost_dis,'CHF')
#Battery revenue
Rev_bat=avoided_cost_dis-rev_lost
print('Battery revenue=',Rev_bat,'CHF')
In [35]:
#Roundtrip efficiency= battery discharge/battery charge
#eta_bat=0.89
#Ratio prices=Pes/Pep
Ratio_P=Pes/Pep
print('Ratio Prices=',Ratio_P)
Rev_bat_a=df.E_disAC.sum()*Pep - df.E_PVbat.sum()*Pes
print('Annual Revenue Battery=',Rev_bat_a,'CHF')
#Pep*(df.E_disAC.sum()-df.E_PVbat.sum()*Ratio_P)
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Rev_bat_p=Pepdf.E_PVbat.sum()(eta_bat-
Ratio_P)
The higher the battery efficiency the higher the revenue, since more costs can be avoided
because less electricity is imported.
The higher the ratio between selling and purchasing price, the lower the total revenue is, since
the lost revenue is higher. It means that for a high selling price there is a bigger price ratio, which
means that the revenue lost from not selling the electricity to the grid is higher (since this
electricity is used to charge the battery)
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In [81]:
nrows=16
df_TI_Battery=pd.DataFrame(index=np.arange(nrows),columns=['year','E_disAC','E_disAC_d
df_TI_Battery.E_disAC_disc=df_TI_Battery.E_disAC/(1+r)**(df_TI_Battery.year)
df_TI_Battery.iloc[0,3]=CAPEX_bat
df_TI_Battery.iloc[1:nrows,3]=0
df_TI_Battery.Cost_disc=df_TI_Battery.Cost/(1+r)**(df_TI_Battery.year)
df_TI_Battery.iloc[0,5]=0
df_TI_Battery.iloc[1:nrows,5]=Rev_bat
df_TI_Battery.Revenue_battery_year_disc=df_TI_Battery.Revenue_bat_year/(1+r)**
df_TI_Battery.CF_IRR=df_TI_Battery.Revenue_bat_year-df_TI_Battery.Cost
IRR=np.irr(df_TI_Battery.CF_IRR)
print('IRR=',IRR)
print(df_TI_Battery)
IRR= -0.08208356315027188
year E_disAC E_disAC_disc Cost Cost_disc Revenue_bat_year \
0 0 0 0 8610 8610 0
1 1 1480.95 1423.99 0 0 270.397
2 2 1480.95 1369.22 0 0 270.397
3 3 1480.95 1316.56 0 0 270.397
4 4 1480.95 1265.92 0 0 270.397
5 5 1480.95 1217.23 0 0 270.397
6 6 1480.95 1170.41 0 0 270.397
7 7 1480.95 1125.4 0 0 270.397
8 8 1480.95 1082.11 0 0 270.397
9 9 1480.95 1040.49 0 0 270.397
10 10 1480.95 1000.47 0 0 270.397
11 11 1480.95 961.994 0 0 270.397
12 12 1480.95 924.995 0 0 270.397
13 13 1480.95 889.418 0 0 270.397
14 14 1480.95 855.21 0 0 270.397
15 15 1480.95 822.317 0 0 270.397
Revenue_battery_year_disc CF_IRR
0 0 -8610
1 259.998 270.397
2 249.998 270.397
3 240.382 270.397
4 231.137 270.397
5 222.247 270.397
6 213.699 270.397
7 205.48 270.397
8 197.577 270.397
9 189.978 270.397
10 182.671 270.397
11 175.645 270.397
12 168.889 270.397
13 162.394 270.397
14 156.148 270.397
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15 150.142 270.397
<ipython-input-81-8adafc1c6de5>:23: DeprecationWarning: numpy.irr is deprecate
d and will be removed from NumPy 1.20. Use numpy_financial.irr instead (http
s://pypi.org/project/numpy-financial/).
IRR=np.irr(df_TI_Battery.CF_IRR)
In [79]:
LVOES=df_TI_Battery.Revenue_battery_year_disc.sum()/df_TI_Battery.E_disAC_disc
print('LVOES=',LVOES,'CHF/kWh')
LCOES=df_TI_Battery.Cost.sum()/df_TI_Battery.E_disAC_disc.sum()
print('LCOES=',LCOES,'CHF/kWh')
14. Please explain which parameters have the largest impact on the
economic performance of PV-coupled battery systems. What
evolution of these parameters do you expect for the next 10-15
years and how would this affect the business case of PV-coupled
battery systems in single houses? You can use the bibliography
given in Model to write your answer. (3 points)
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