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Case Study – Barings Bank Collapse Case Study – Barings Bank Collapse

• Baring Futures (Singapore) – BFS


– traded for clients • Leeson starts proprietary trading
– settlements intermediary for a number of non- • Nick supposed to engage in switching
Singaporean financial institutions
– Nikkei 225 index futures
– made money on commission
– 10-yr JGB
• 1992 Nick Leeson manages back-office accounting • Both traded in SIMEX and OSE
and settlements
• Low risk activity
• 1993 Nick starts trading as well. – Nick actually speculated on Nikkei price
movements
• Nick in charge of both accounts and trades!

Case Study – Barings Bank Collapse Case Study – Barings Bank Collapse

• Annually, Nick would report profits • Cross-trading


– Year Reported Actual – As accounts & settlements clerk he:
– 1993 £8.83 £ -21 • Pooled profits into arbitrage accounts
– 1994 £ 28.5 £ -185 • Pooled losses into account ‘88888’
– 1995 £ 18.6 £ -827

• How did he do this?

1
Case Study – Barings Bank Collapse Case Study – Barings Bank Collapse

What led to his downfall?


• Kobe earthquake (January 1995)
• He gambled on Nikkei 225 rising
– Nikkei dived 1,500 points
– He went 1,000 Nikkei contracts long
• What does Leeson do?
• He also gambled on low volatility
– He goes further long on Japan futures
– He held short straddles, also called ‘sell’
• 61,000 March and June 1995 contracts
straddles
– 49%, 24 % of open interest
• Short 38,000 Nikkei calls
• 26,000 long 1995 June JGB’s
• Short 33,000 Nikkei puts
Profit
– 88% open interest
Stock Price
X

Case Study – Barings Bank Collapse Case Study – Barings Bank Collapse

• It was the margin calls that led to Nick’s


downfall Moral of story
– Total February margin calls > £ 700 million • Don’t give a trader authority over accounting
and settlements ~no risk management
• Notional positions in Feb 1995
– US$27B in Nikkei 225 and JGB futures • Derivatives trading can be highly risky
– US$9B in Nikkei and JGB – Particularly
– US$6.7B in short straddles • Taking futures positions
• Writing (selling short) options
• Barings reported capital was only US$615m – Limitless risk exposure

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