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Thesis WIPv1
Thesis WIPv1
September 2022
Abstract
The purpose of this study was to identify the current and future plausible AI approaches that
can enhance both the study and application of SCM, aimed at addressing the current scientific
gap of AI in SCM. This study investigates four areas in order to effectively leverage the
potential benefits of AI for SCM: (1) the most widely used AI approaches and their application
in SCM, (2) present AI-enhanced SCM subfields, (3) the applicability of the explored
approaches through an industry-driven example IBM corporation; and (4) the future prospects
for subfields with strong potential for AI. For this, a structured literature review was conducted
to show the methods of AI and their applicability in solving problems of SCM. Then, the
industry-driven applications were explored, for which purpose, IBM was considered. Based on
these results, indications of potential for future research in the domain were derived.
Abstract .......................................................................................................................... 2
Introduction .................................................................................................................... 6
AI in Procurement........................................................................................................................................ 11
AI in Warehouse Management.................................................................................................................... 12
Blockchain ............................................................................................................................. 18
IBM – Recognition and awards received for its Supply Chain transformation ........................... 23
INTRODUCTION
Introduction
Over the years, the world has been advancing toward a digital future, with Industry 4.0
technologies regarded as the way of the future (Kumar, Ramachandran, & Kumar, 2021).
Artificial intelligence (AI) is one of the most notable of these technologies (including
blockchain, IoT, cloud computing, and others) (Dirican, 2015). AI is defined as the ability of
computers to communicate with, and emulate, human skills (Schutzer, 1990). AI helps ensure
a greater accuracy, speed, and input volume. AI is not a new subject or academic field of study.
However, technological advances have only recently demonstrated that AI has a wide range of
applications, making headlines by adapting processes in a variety of areas, including supply
chain management (SCM).
Theoretical Framework
A well-functioning supply chain is the foundation of almost every industry. A highly precise
estimate on demand, paired with efficient replenishment procedures, is critical for achieving a
close match between supply and demand. This is especially important in just-in-time
manufacturing environments, where short cycle times and having just the appropriate quantity
of inventory are vital for gaining a competitive advantage. Currently, it is very hard to achieve
a supply chain that operates at peak efficiency at all times. This is due to immense internal and
external complexity. Internal influences include new product releases, distribution network
development, and short-term marketing in a B2C scenario. External variables include the
presence of excessive seasonality, long-tail commodities and changes in media coverage or
customer perception. Traditional forecasting and restocking systems are overwhelmed by the
volume of data generated by IoT devices, for example, and the sheer quantity of affecting
factors. As a result, Just-In-Time (JIT) production frequently relies on an SC that is extremely
efficient under normal circumstances but sacrifices flexibility, implying the inability to respond
rapidly and effectively to upstream or downstream changes.
Supply chain leaders across the world are beginning to recognize machine-learning (ML) based
technologies' ability to improve optimize replenishment and forecasting accuracy.
The goal is to lessen the bullwhip impact while increasing flexibility. An AI-powered SC
optimization not only focuses on performance in a certain specific context, but it also is
capacitated adapt to changes in distribution network or product mix caused by unforeseen
events. Furthermore, future technologies will target the full value chain, from the raw material
supplier to the final client. Supervised learning systems, such as those based on the Bayesian
networks, not only employ past sales data and SC configuration, but also rely on near real-time
data, such as prices, advertising campaigns, or local weather forecasts.
AI enables firms to improve their supply chain forecasting and product design. Forecasting
demand accurately is one method to put AI's capacity to assimilate different data and
automatically respond to new knowledge to good use. It can detect trends and patterns that can
be exploited.
Businesses utilize this technique in a variety of means, including demand projections in order
to stock only the particular quantities of certain products they sell, thus minimizing waste, and
anticipating near accurate sales patterns to estimate and order more soon-to-be-popular thing.
Furthermore, by focusing on individual stock points, data granularity can be increased to far
greater levels than previously. The goal is to create a completely automated, self-adjusting
supply chain decision-making system. Demand surges are correctly predicted, and material
flow routes and amounts are automatically modified. Some businesses have initiated tests for
their own internal systems to enable AI-based predictive forecasting and restocking.
Established players such as Blue Yonder advocate AI solutions to optimize forecasting and
replenishment while also modifying pricing.
• AI integrates relevant external and internal data to achieve a highly accurate demand
forecasting
• An improved forecasting accuracy ensures lower inventory levels across the supply
chain thus reducing carrying costs
• Material flow routes and volumes are dynamically modified on the basis of real-time
data such as weather
• Reduction in lost sales owing to product unavailability as a result of forecasting error
reduction
Supply chain operations generate a large volume of data (structured and unstructured) in
businesses on a regular basis, which is frequently underutilized.
Given that most AI technology used in SCM comprises of sensing, learning
and processing components, the following are some advantages of the use of AI in SCM:
Applications of AI in businesses at various
levels
Operational level
— Optimization and increased dynamicity in transport
route traceability (both within the organisation and in its
inbound and outbound material flows)
Strategic and tactical levels — Improved product/process quality control and
— More efficient use of optimization inventory management, for example, by the use of novel
technologies in tasks such as ways of object detection/recognition of visual patterns
business planning for corporations — More precise demand management as a result of the
— Better supply chain configuration ongoing application of Machine Learning algorithms
(identifying primary participants, — Improved monitoring and visibility of supply chain
geographic distribution, main processes, allowing for much more dynamic decision
transportation systems, etc.), risk making and optimization
analysis and demand — Improved scheduling and control on the shop floor,
forecasting, among others allowing for more dynamic, broad, and optimised
operations management
— Improved predictive asset management, improving
asset utilisation and preventing supply chain disruptions
caused by the shutdown of machines and equipment
Applications of AI in SCM
AI now enables more effective data exploitation and utilisation.AI has a range of applications
across the SCM value chain but for the purpose of this study, the range was limited to a relevant
few as below (Brown, 2020):
Applications of AI in SC
practices
The global TMS (Transportation Management Systems) market has been estimated to grow at
a 14.5% CAGR over the next five years, nearly doubling to USD 4.3 billion by 2025 from USD
2.5 billion in 2019. These systems' evolution mirrors the exponential growth curve of data
sources such as IoT sensors, RFID, GPS, barcodes and actuators.
A digital TMS facilitates advanced functions such as dynamic routing and automation round
the transportation lifecycle, thus allowing organizations to enhance their transportation
performance in real-time. An intelligent TMS powered by AI can practically automate every
process in the transportation value chain, beginning with the tendering of load. Indeed, smart
systems that integrate advanced analytics through embedded intelligence may manage 25% or
more of the load tenders automatically and hence automate related processes such as booking,
approval, notifications and routing.
Digital supply chain planning (SCP) is crucial to the success of digital supply chains in any
industry. In a 2019 research note on SC planning, (Gartner, 2019) described a progressive
model that facilitates companies to enhance the timeliness and quality of their planning
initiatives while also ensuring that their technology initiatives are aligned with the digital
maturity of their SC processes.
• According to the Gartner model, SCP at stage 1 maturity companies involves
Stage 1 a high degree of manual planning using basic tools such as spreadsheets
and models supported by low-quality data.
• Companies in stage 2 must still deal with poor data quality and a distinct
planning process comprising various models aligned with different supply
chain roles.
• Companies, on the other hand, already have a tremendous chance to
Stage 2 utilise the power of algorithmic tools and methodologies to achieve
considerable gains, even in a function-level planning process.
• For example, machine learning can be used to self-correct master data. It
can also be coupled with functional planning automation to increase
planning model quality and automate prediction in the planning process.
• By the time we reach stage 3, firms will have the opportunity to move to a
fully algorithmic SCP paradigm, which will radically revolutionise their
approach to supply chain planning. In this case, the SCP process makes
considerable use of a variety of data types and sources, with the ability to
add additional datasets at any time.
• The company can also build a fully evolved digital supply chain twin, which
Stage 3
is a near-real-time digital copy of the physical supply chain that can be
used to replicate interactions and linkages.
• There is also a high level of prediction and prescription automation;
function-level planning has evolved into an end-to-end process, with up to
95% of planning decisions made autonomously; and supply chain planners
are increasingly more involved in managing algorithms and databases.
AI in Procurement
According to (Berman, 2019) ‘s latest supply chain projections, by the end of the year, at least
half of all the large scale manufacturers will have automated their spend and supplier data
analysis, resulting in a ~15% increase in procurement productivity.
Sourcing bots now use ML to automate and comprehend a company's sourcing process, as well
as the interface with external systems to trigger actions in accordance with and based on a
variety of inputs. Contract analytics tools automate onboarding and identification of
equipments, using Natural Language Processing (NLP) to detect policies, and using a latent
semantic indexing (LSI) engine to locate specific data points. Intelligent supplier information
management systems provide novel approaches to combining supplier data and thus extracting
important insights. AI is used in supplier risk management solutions to identify gaps and asses
company's supply and to prescribe particular measures to reduce their exposure to risk.
ML is helping to speed up accounts payable procedures, detect fraud, and ensure compliance.
AI-powered spend analysis tools automate expenditure classification, data extraction and
vendor matching, simultaneously providing sophisticated spend analytics output to improvise
supplier relationships, increase performance and profitability, thereof. And, with
conversational interfaces that facilitate frictionless interactions between supplier systems and
procurement, AI-powered chatbots are expediting procurement conversations.
AI in Warehouse Management
Traditionally, warehouse management systems (WMS) did not have any advanced intelligence
beyond certain fundamental descriptive analytics. WMS capabilities, are however slowly but
steadily evolving to accommodate intelligent warehouse of the future. According to (Gartner,
2022), by the year 2024, at least 50% of all of the WMS offerings will feature embedded ML
capabilities.
Components of AI1:
1
Limited to select components relevant to the study
•Since most businesses rely on internal data to maintain demand-supply balances,
it's difficult for them to predict how external events will affect their supply chains
Natural
Language •NLP is an artificial intelligence (AI) technology that recognises unstructured
human language and converts voice or text conversations into normalised data
that can be analysed
•Since they execute visual activities that would ordinarily need human labour,
visual AI solutions provide a more "human-like" approach to overcoming supply
chain management difficulties
Computer •Computer vision systems for inventory management, sorting and collection
Vision systems, warehouse visual inspection - defect and anomaly detection, equipment
detection, and movement analysis can assist discover problems and optimise
processes by employing image and video analysis
•Virtual assistants (also known as virtual reps, chat-bots or intelligent agents) are
customer relationship management software tools that seek to simulate the
interaction of online human service professionals
Virtual Agents
•VAs are also adept in responding to routine enquiries from procurement
personnel, business unit representatives, suppliers, and other customers,
providing benefits over traditional telephone-based support approaches
Delegating AI the task of analyzing the massive amount of data involved in demand
forecasting, marketing, and quantity prediction, all of which require the analysis of the past
and the prediction for the future, thereof. (Otogawa, Isobe, Kentaro, & Kyozu, 2018)
In collaboration with the Warwick Manufacturing Group (WMG), supply chain specialist JDA
(now Blue Yonder) conducted a Supply Chain Digital Readiness research that defined digital
readiness across four major categories (JDA, 2018).
•Corporate
profitability After having established end-to-end connectivity, the next phase is to actively
drive the supply chain toward corporate objectives. Integrated Business Planning
•Business Strategy
(IBP) facilitates cross-departmental collaboration and cascades company goals.
•Linked It ideally enables scenario modelling so that producers can be ready to respond
Predictive •IBP advanced profitably to business contingencies.
segmentation
Just over half ~52% qualified for stage two, which means that there was minimal deployment
of specialist SCM solutions, some process automation, and use of analytics tools to drive cost
optimization initiatives.
Only over 13% of the companies qualify for stage 3 of digital preparedness access based on
their capabilities for dynamic end-to-end supply chain optimization, utilization of sophisticated
analytics including AI, and real-time visibility across the IoT and the SC ecosystem. Level 3
readiness, is expected to more than treble ~31% by 2023. Just under 10% of the firms surveyed
are likely to develop stage three of self-learning autonomous capabilities during the next five
years.
IBM operates a complex and global SC network with manufacturing facilities strategically
placed across 170+ countries, facilitating hundreds of thousands of customer deliveries and
providing service maintenance, thereof. IBM has supply chain personnel in over 40 countries
(IBM, 2022). To address the growing demand for configurable products, IBM's supply chain
employs a hybrid strategy of build-to-plan and build-to-order. In addition, IBM collaborates
with hundreds of suppliers through its global, multi-tier supplier network.
IBM developed the world's first cognitive supply chain, leveraging on its already existing SC
experience with AI, cloud, data fabric, IoT, edge computing, and among other technologies.
The new approach fulfils 100% of orders and has saved the corporation USD 160 million to
date (IBM, 2022).
The IBM transformation includes a committed and motivated IBM SC workers who apply
these emerging technologies to operations with both agility and speed in order to realize the
aim of exponential innovation. IBM is thus devoted to the principle of innovation anywhere
and applies everywhere the very data insights to improvise on the processes, people, and
technology, from piloting new technologies to creating a more cognitive SC, automating key
activities, and using a multi-source, resilient SC.
Digital transformation
The best of supply chains are those with the highest of resiliency, a focus on the right skills
and expertise, new methods of working and the ability to adapt to and overcome any kind of
disruption with quick reaction times. IBM SC technology provides a better human experience
by embracing technological developments, reinventing how work is done to optimize value
transformation, and driving the optimal course of action with efficiency and speed. Traditional
SCs are founded on well-defined and structured processes. When it comes to
robustness, workflows must be fluid and adaptable to changing dynamics.
Data platform
The IBM digital SC transformation is centered on three parallel workstreams that have
effectively transitioned IBM from a harmonized to a transparent SC network to the current
cognitive SC network. The company began by integrating and harmonizing the worldwide a
data and processes in global IT transactional systems (like ERP, shop floor control, order
management, and among others), which it then normalized and adapted the same in accordance
with its users' needs. Transparency of information across the supply chain with a single point
of truth was a critical step in preparing for analytics and cognitive growth. The IBM platform
is based on an Enterprise Container Orchestration Platform and the IBM Hybrid Cloud,
which are built with Red Hat OpenShift. This method increased both the scalability and
availability of IBM products, thus allowing for a flexible migration without affecting mission-
critical applications or their time-to-value. Then, utilizing blockchain and track and trace IoT
smart sensors, IBM expanded beyond its internal data into SC networks.
Blockchain
Visibility beyond IBM data is of crucial importance for coordination on end-to-end operations,
however security has frequently been an impediment to free exchange of data. Blockchain
fosters confidence across the SC network by providing traceability and security to suppliers
and various logistics providers across the value chain for crucial logistics data. Customs
Declaration, powered by the IBM Blockchain, facilitates exchange of customs and shipping
documents, as well as the in-transit information, across its network of suppliers, carriers, and
brokers in order to digitize the data and improve compliance and make efficient the cycle time
through customs, whilst simultaneously providing insights into logistics tracking and the
estimated time of arrival.
IBM employs Track and Trace IoT smart sensors to track shipments and any in-transit delays
or problems. These sensors are attached to incoming and outgoing shipments and offer real-
time data on GPS location, tilt, temperature and humidity, while simultaneously alerting when
conditions are out of forbearance. These insights provide a near real-time update on client
deliveries whilst also lowering the risk of damage and loss.
With the convergence of IT, operation technology (OT) and the IoT is emerging as a new,
novel alternative for smart manufacturing. The integration of IoT with AI-based technologies
such as big data, analytics, and cognitive manufacturing saves time, labor, expenses,
maintenance, and the required upkeep, thereof. IoT sensors are embedded into the storage racks
at the company facility in Vac, Hungary, allowing real-time data regarding machine storage
and retrieval to be exchanged. For occupancy trends, IoT data and machine settings are studied.
The derived insights are utilized to help technicians make decisions on the best storage layout.
Augmented intelligence
A control tower that provides a real-time assistant and advisor to supply chain
specialists, and multitier suppliers got recommendations about order improvements,
inventory levels, and more.
CSCA360 unifies data and insights across all supply chain domains by drawing on a
data platform comprising structured and unstructured data within the supply chain and
beyond to multitier suppliers, logistics providers, carriers, and IoT Smart sensors.
Even inexperienced users can easily ask questions in all supply chain domains, such as
engineering, inventory, planning, order management, supply assurance, and global
logistics, using a natural language interface as below:
o Task: Identification of parts via part number to fetch information on orders,
forecasts, inventory, alternates, commits, buyers and suppliers
Command: “Show me the part number detail for P/N 1234567"
o Task: Fetching details on a specific customer order
Command: “Where is order number xyz?”
o Task: Identification of changes
Command: “How did the day-to-day order load change for Poughkeepsie site”
or “Which orders are delayed?”
Intelligent workflows leverage data platforms and AI-powered advisers to enable greater
transformation plays with radical process changes. They cause more cultural and organizational
shifts, allowing them to traverse domains without manual hand-offs. Collaboration is essential,
but it must also be digital in order to be properly leveraged across the enterprise. Processes in
intelligent workflows are fluid and react to the situation rather than running left to right. They
are backed up by crucial data aspects to allow for quick decision making.
With the use of AI-driven workflows, IBM enables SC professionals to transition from doing
repetitive tasks to becoming workflow managers by delegating them to the "digital workers."
The combination of SC expertise driving orchestration and a digital worker assisting with
automation reduces time-to-value by allowing faster decisions to be made.
IBM's Continuous Intelligent Planning framework is ideal for intelligent processes. Building
continuous collaborative workflows that integrate supply and demand planning with fulfilment
enables faster reactions to supply positions. Intelligent workflows digitalize current SC links
to provide a new perspective on demand sensing and conditioning. Lead times in the electronics
industry are increasing, and there are greater supply bottlenecks than in the past. Through the
rapid flow of information, intelligent workflows allows businesses to bring the "ends" of an
SC together considerably much swiftly.
Quantum computing
As the era of quantum advantage arrives closer, there are already higher chances for quantum
computing to being integrated with the existing advanced technologies to exert a significant
impact on science and industrial growth. In two use cases, IBM Supply Chain had collaborated
with IBM Quantum to demonstrate the value of supply chain. Combining conventional models
with quantum algorithms clearly demonstrates the significant potential benefits that quantum
computing brings to supply chains in both use cases (logistics optimization and service
component demand forecasting).
Collaborative robots
Manual jobs are frequently automated with robotics. Combining artificial intelligence (AI) with
a collaborative robot (cobot) advances robotics. Processor sockets are inspected for physical
damage before being inserted in the server at the IBM facility in Guadalajara, Mexico, which
needs high precision and repeatability. By combining cobots with MVI, we increased
automation capability.
IBM Maximo Visual Inspection (MVI) is an AI-powered computer vision solution that
uses deep learning models to detect manufacturing quality issues. MVI is incorporated
into all IBM manufacturing facilities to detect problems at scale with high precision.
IBM operations saw up to 5x efficiency gains and a 20% reduction in false positives
when implementing MVI for specific applications.
MVI is installed on network edge assembly lines in IBM plants in Canada, Hungary,
Mexico, and the United States, and it is controlled via IBM Hybrid Cloud and IBM
Edge Application Manager. This solution enables AI models and edge devices to be
handled from a centralized location via the cloud via an automated process that cuts
software maintenance expenses by 20%. To avoid the challenges associated with
bandwidth and latency when executing inference in a data centre, AI models are
deployed to edge devices for inference.
Manual jobs are often automated with robotics. Combining artificial intelligence (AI) with a
collaborative robot (cobot) enhances robotics. Processor sockets are inspected for physical
damage before being inserted in the server at the IBM facility in Guadalajara, Mexico, which
necessitates high precision and repeatability. By integrating cobots with MVI, IBM
has increased its automation capability.
Examples of AI in SCM:
• Eastman Kodak structured experienced order pickers' thought processes and then
designed a rule-based expert system to choose the ideal order-picking path in a
warehouse (Allen & Helferich, 1990)
• (Min & Yu, 2008) proposed an agent-based forecasting system that had the capability
to predict the end customer demand through information exchange among multiple SC
partners and learn from past forecasting experience in an effort to synchronise a series
of interrelated but different stages of joint demand planning and forecasting processes
in the SC
Problem Statement
Research questions
RQ1: What techniques of AI are applied to what tasks from the SCM domain?
The above question focuses on both technical elements and the realm of identified real-time
application cases. The ultimate result will be an overview of the approaches that are used to
solve various SCM tasks. This research question will be addressed through a structured
literature review focused on scientific literature. Apart from research, industry-related AI
applications are also of relevance to provide a broader picture of AI application areas in SCM.
Particularly interesting is whether industry is interested in the same themes as the research, i.e.,
may benefit from scientific developments, or whether the research does not entirely satisfy the
demand for relevance. As a result, the second research question will be answered using white
papers released by firms, consultancies, or industry-related research bodies, thus synthesising
numeric data to arrive at the extent of applicability of AI in SC practices with specific focus on
IBM:
RQ2: To what extent do corporate interests mirror the primary research domains in AI
application in SCM practices?
Future research directions can be inferred from the responses to these two questions, i.e., an
overview of how research and industry employ AI in SCM, to answer the third research
question:
RQ3: What are the future research opportunities in the domain of AI for SCM?
By answering all of the aforementioned three research questions, the study would contribute to
AI for SCM research. It would provide researchers with synopses of both scientific and
industry-related interests, while simultaneously providing possible future research alternatives,
in order to expedite scientific research and support relevant studies that also satisfy the industry
needs.
Limitations of the Study
REVIEW OF LITERATURE
Scope of the Literature Covered