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Industrial Policy Under The Global Trade Regime
Industrial Policy Under The Global Trade Regime
Industrial Policy Under The Global Trade Regime
1
OECD, “Objectives and Instruments of Industrial Policy: A Comparative Study,” 1975,
p. 7; World Bank, The East Asian Miracle: Economic Growth and Public Policy (New York:
Oxford University Press, 1993), p. 304.
2
See Ken Warwick, “Beyond Industrial Policy: Emerging Issues and New Trends,” OECD
Science, Technology and Industry Policy Paper No. 2, 2013, p. 15.
3
Ibid., p. 16 (italics in the definition removed).
4
For a critique, see Douglas A. Irwin, “The Aftermath of Hamilton’s ‘Report on Manufac-
tures’,” 64 The Journal of Economic History 800 (2004).
5
Friedrich List, The National System of Political Economy (originally published in 1841),
translated by Sampson S. Lloyd (London: Longmans, Green and Co., 1909), p. 93.
6
This paragraph is based on Naudé, Introduction, supra note 3, pp. 10–12.
7
The “Washington Consensus” is a set of ten policy reforms for developing countries
recommended by the US government and international financial organizations headquar-
tered in Washington, DC. As summarized by John Williamson, the author of this concept,
it includes “prudent macroeconomic policies, outward orientation, and free-market capit-
alism.” See John Williamson, “What Washington Means by Policy Reform,” in John
Williamson (ed.), Latin American Adjustment: How Much Has Happened? (Washington,
DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics, 1990), available at https://piie.com/
commentary/speeches-papers/what-washington-means-policy-reform.
Source: Wim Naudé, “Industrial Policy: Old and New Issues,” UNU–WIDER
Working Paper No. 2010/106, 2010, p. 10 (table 3), modified by the author.
8
Joseph E. Stiglitz, “Some Lessons from the East Asian Miracle,” 11 The World Bank
Research Observer 151 (1996), p. 155.
9
See Howard Pack and Kamal Saggi, “Is There a Case for Industrial Policy? A Critical
Survey,” 21 The World Bank Research Observer 267 (2006), p. 268; Alan V. Deardorff,
“The Economics of Government Market Intervention and Its International Dimension,”
in Marco Bronckers and Reinhard Quick (eds.), New Directions in International Eco-
nomic Law: Essays in Honour of John H. Jackson (The Hague: Kluwer Law International,
2000), pp. 71–84.
10 11
Warwick, supra note 2, p. 19. Ibid.
12
Randall G. Holcombe, “South Korea’s Economic Future: Industrial Policy, or Economic
Democracy?,” 88 Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 3 (2013), p. 9.
13
See, e.g., Pack and Saggi, supra note 9, pp. 272–9; Dani Rodrik, “Industrial Policy for the
Twenty-First Century,” Harvard University Faculty Research Working Paper No.
RWP04–047, 2004, pp. 8–14.
14
Pack and Saggi, supra note 9, pp. 281–2.
15
See Paul R. Krugman, “Targeted Industrial Policies: Theory and Evidence,” Proceedings,
Economic Policy Symposium, Jackson Hole, 1983, pp. 123–76.
16
See ibid., pp. 125–34.
17
Dani Rodrik, “Normalizing Industrial Policy,” Working Paper No. 3, Commission on
Growth and Development, 2008, p. 8. For the literature review on this issue, see Naudé,
Introduction, supra note 3, pp. 20–1.
18
Ann Harrison and Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, “Trade, Foreign Investment, and Industrial
Policy for Developing Countries,” in Dani Rodrik and Mark Rosenzweig (eds.), Hand-
book of Development Economics (North-Holland: Elsevier, 2010), vol. 5, p. 4112.
19 20
Ibid., p. 4113. Pack and Saggi, supra note 9, p. 269.
21
Ibid., pp. 268–9.
22
Robert E. Baldwin, “The Case against Infant-Industry Tariff Protection,” 77 Journal of
Political Economy 295 (1969), p. 295; Paul R. Krugman, Maurice Obstfeld, and Marc
J. Melitz, International Economics: Theory and Policy, 10th edn. (Boston: Pearson, 2015),
pp. 277–8.
23
Rodrik, supra note 17, p. 2; Wim Naudé, “New Challenges for Industrial Policy,” UNU–
WIDER Working Paper No. 2010/107, 2010, p. 1; Stiglitz, Lin, and Monga, Introduction,
supra note 5, p. 9.
Source: Ken Warwick, “Beyond Industrial Policy: Emerging Issues and New Trends,”
OECD Science, Technology and Industry Policy Paper No. 2, 2013, p. 27 (table 4).
24
Baldwin, supra note 22, p. 304.
25
Marc J. Melitz, “When and How Should Infant Industries be Protected?,” 66 Journal of
International Economics 177 (2005), p. 194.
26
This paragraph is a summary of Warwick, supra note 2, pp. 28–30.
27
Max Nathan and Henry Overman, “Agglomeration, Clusters, and Industrial Policy,” 29
Oxford Review of Economic Policy 383 (2013), pp. 386–7.
28
Rodrik, supra note 17, pp. 25–30.
29
Stiglitz, Lin, and Monga, Introduction, supra note 5, p. 10.
30
See Chang, Introduction, supra note 3, pp. 19–51; Mehdi Shafaeddin, “How Did
Developed Countries Industrialize? The History of Trade and Industrial Policy: The
Cases of Great Britain and the USA,” UNCTAD Discussion Paper No. 139, 1998.
31
Chang, Introduction, supra note 3, pp. 125–41.
32 33
World Bank, supra note 1, p. 8. Stiglitz, supra note 8, p. 156.
34
Dwight H. Perkins, East Asian Development: Foundations and Strategies (Cambridge,
MA: Harvard University Press, 2013), pp. 98–9.
35
World Bank, supra note 1, p. 23.
36
Francis T. Lui and Larry D. Qiu, “Taiwan: Thriving High-Technology Industries and
SMEs,” in Kwong Kai-Sun et al. (eds.), Industrial Development in Singapore, Taiwan, and
South Korea (Singapore: World Scientific, 2001), p. 88.
37
World Bank, supra note 1, pp. 280–4, 356–8.
38 39
Ibid., pp. 280, 284–6. Stiglitz, supra note 8, p. 166.
40
See Wonhyuk Lim, “The Chaebol and Industrial Policy in Korea,” in Joseph E. Stiglitz
and Justin Yifu Lin (eds.), The Industrial Policy Revolution I: The Role of Government
Beyond Ideology (Basingstoke, UK: Palgrave Macmillan, 2013), pp. 359–60, 364.
41
Jai S. Mah, “Industrial Policy and Economic Development: Korea’s Experience,” 41
Journal of Economic Issues 77 (2007), pp. 86–7. For an open access repository of diverse
resources regarding Korea’s development experience, see KDI School of Public Policy and
Management, “K-Developedia,” www.kdevelopedia.org.
42 43
Lui and Qiu, supra note 36, p. 61. Ibid., p. 63.
44 45
World Bank, supra note 1, p. 358. Perkins, supra note 34, p. 54.
46
World Bank, supra note 1, pp. 22–3; Stiglitz, supra note 8, p. 169.
47
World Bank, supra note 1, pp. 143–5.
48 49
Lim, supra note 40, pp. 356–7. World Bank, supra note 1, pp. 181–2.
50
Ibid., p. 184.
51
Ibid., pp. 325, 354; Marcus Noland and Howard Pack, Industrial Policy in an Era of
Globalization: Lessons from Asia (Washington, DC: Institute for International Econom-
ics, 2003), p. 93 (“industrial policy” as perceived as selective industrial targeting, see p. 10
for definition.). For the opposite view, see Sanjaya Lall, “Industrial Policy in Developing
Countries: What Can We Learn from East Asia?,” in Patrizio Bianchi and Sandrine
Labory (eds.), International Handbook on Industrial Policy (Cheltenham, the United
Kingdom/Northampton, MA, the United States: Edward Elgar, 2006), p. 93.
52
See World Bank, supra note 1, p. 23 (. . . “economies that are making the transition from
highly protectionist import-substitution regimes to more balanced incentives would
benefit from combining import liberalization with a strong commitment to exports and
active export promotion, especially in those cases in which the pace of liberalization is
moderate”).
53
See Douglas A. Irwin, Petros C. Mavroidis, and Alan O. Sykes, The Genesis of the GATT
(New York: Cambridge University Press, 2008), pp. 5–7.
54
UN Economic and Social Council – Preparatory Committee of the International Confer-
ence on Trade and Employment – Verbatim Report of the Second Plenary Meeting Held
at Church House, Westminster, S.W.1, on 17 October 1946, E/PC/T/PV/2 (17 October
1946), p. 6.
55
See Article 1 and Chapter II of the Havana Charter.
56
Chad P. Bown, Self-Enforcing Trade: Developing Countries and WTO Dispute Settlement
(Washington, DC: Brookings Institution, 2009), pp. 12–13.
Place/Name of Number
Rounds of Parties Subjects and Modalities Outcome
Geneva (1947) 23 Tariffs: product-by- 15,000 tariff concessions
product negotiations
Annecy (1949) 13 Tariffs: product-by- 5,000 tariff concessions;
product negotiations 9 accessions
Torquay (1951) 38 Tariffs: product-by- 8,700 tariff concessions;
product negotiations 4 accessions
Geneva (1956) 26 Tariffs: product-by- Modest reductions
product negotiations
Dillon Round 26 Tariffs: product-by- 4,400 tariff concessions
(1960–1961) product negotiations
Kennedy Round 62 Tariffs: formula Average tariffs reduced
(1964–1967) approach (linear cut) by 35 percent; some
and product-by- 33,000 tariff lines
product negotiations bound; agreement on
Nontariff measures: antidumping
antidumping
Tokyo Round 102 Tariffs: formula Average tariffs reduced
(1973–1979) approach with by one-third to
exceptions 6 percent for OECD
Nontariff measures: manufactures
antidumping, imports; voluntary
customs valuation, codes of conduct
subsidies and agreed for all nontariff
countervail, issues except
government safeguards
procurement, import
licensing, product
standards,
safeguards, special
and differential
treatment of
developing countries
Uruguay Round 123 Tariffs: formula Average tariffs reduced
(1986–1994) approach and by one-third on
product-by-product average; agriculture
negotiations and textiles and
clothing subjected to
Place/Name of Number
Rounds of Parties Subjects and Modalities Outcome
Nontariff measures: all rules; creation of the
Tokyo issues plus WTO; new
services, intellectual agreements on
property, services and trade-
preshipment related aspects of
inspection, rules of intellectual property
origin, trade-related rights (TRIPS);
investment measures majority of Tokyo
(TRIMs), dispute Round codes
settlement, extended to all WTO
transparency and members
surveillance of trade
policies
Doha Round 164 in Tariffs and nontariff
(2001–) 2017 measures, including
trade facilitation,
rules, services, trade
and environment, etc.
57
WTO, “Six Decades of Multilateral Trade Cooperation: What Have We Learnt?,” World
Trade Report, 2007, pp. 181–2.
58
See Robert E. Hudec, The GATT Legal System and World Trade Diplomacy, 2nd edn
(Salem, NH: Butterworth Legal Publishers, 1990), pp. 78–94.
59
See J. M. Finger, “Effects of the Kennedy Round Tariff Concessions on the Exports of
Developing Countries,” 86 The Economic Journal 87 (1976).
60
UNCTAD, “About GSP,” http://unctad.org/en/Pages/DITC/GSP/About-GSP.aspx.
61
See World Trade Report, 2007, supra note 57, pp. 185–6; Gerald M. Meier, “The Tokyo
Round of Multilateral Trade Negotiations and the Developing Countries,” 13 Cornell
International Law Journal 239 (1980), pp. 241–2.
62
See Craig VanGrasstek, The History and Future of the World Trade Organization
(Geneva: WTO, 2013), pp. 56–68.
63
On this point, see, e.g., John H. Jackson, Sovereignty, the WTO and Changing Fundamen-
tals of International Law (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2006), pp. 57–78.
64
See John H. Jackson, “International Law Status of WTO Dispute Settlement Reports:
Obligation to Comply or Option to ‘Buy Out’?,” 98 American Journal of International
Law 109 (2004).
65
For instance, Ecuador’s accession was approved by voting. See WTO, Accession of
Ecuador – Decision of 16 August 1995, WT/ACC/ECU/5 (22 August 1995), n. 1.
66
For the literature review and analysis on the WTO decision-making problems, see, e.g.,
Wenwei Guan, “Consensus Yet Not Consented: A Critique of the WTO Decision-Making
by Consensus,” 17 Journal of International Economic Law 77 (2014).
67
OECD–WTO, “Aid for Trade at a Glance 2015: Reducing Trade Costs for Inclusive,
Sustainable Growth,” 2015, pp. 112–13.
68
See Article X:2 of the WTO Agreement referring to Article IX on decision making.
69
It is also worth noting that the General Council agreed that the WTO decision-making
procedure on waivers and accession requiring reaching consensus before voting proceeds
“does not preclude a Member from requesting a vote at the time the decision is taken.”
WTO, Decision-Making Procedures under Articles IX and XII of the WTO Agreement –
Statement by the Chairman – As Agreed by the General Council on 15 November 1995,
WT/L/93 (24 November 1995).
70
See Annex D of the 2011 APEC Leaders’ Declaration, www.apec.org/Meeting-Papers/
Leaders-Declarations/2011/2011_aelm/2011_aelm_annexD.aspx; APEC, “Progress
Report on 2011 Baseline Study on Good Regulatory Practices,” APEC#213-CT-01.13,
2014, pp. 25–9.
71
WTO, “Businesses Share Ideas on Rules for Inclusive Trade,” 28 September 2016,
www.wto.org/english/news_e/news16_e/bus_28sep16_e.htm; WTO, “Business Leaders
Call for WTO to Address Pressing Business Issues,” 30 May 2016, www.wto.org/eng
lish/news_e/news16_e/bus_30may16_e.htm.
72
WTO, “WTO Business Survey,” www.wto.org/english/res_e/booksp_e/survey13_e.pdf.
73
The GATT disputes here are those brought under Article XXIII of the GATT 1947. See
GATT Analytical Index, Guide to GATT Law and Practice, updated 6th edn, 2 vols.
(Geneva: WTO, 1995), vol. 2, pp. 771–87; WTO, “Chronological List of Disputes Cases,”
www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/dispu_e/dispu_status_e.htm.
74
See Address by Ujal Singh Bhatia (Chairman of the Appellate Body), “The Problems of
Plenty: Challenging Times for the WTO’s Dispute Settlement System,” 8 June 2017,
www.wto.org/english/news_e/news17_e/ab_08jun17_e.pdf.
As the statistics for 1995–2015 show,77 the frequency of the use of the
WTO dispute settlement mechanism either as complainant or respond-
ent directly correlates with the income status of participating members.
During that period, the United States and the EU were the heaviest users,
and some developing countries like Mexico, Brazil, India, China, and
Chile were active as well. Most of the cases were concentrated in the
goods sector. A comparatively large number of cases dealt with trade
remedies, technical barriers to trade (TBT), licensing, sanitary and phy-
tosanitary (SPS) measures, and investment-related trade measures.
The number of WTO complaints could have been much higher than it
is now. But the government-to-government nature of disputes, the risk of
procedural delays, largely prospective nature of remedies, and the poten-
tial for tit-for-tat actions by target members deter many dispute initi-
ations. Moreover, many differences between or among members get
resolved through WTO meeting discussions, as explained in the
following section.
The way of handling industrial policy issues in one case will have
important repercussions even outside that case. Indeed, the WTO juris-
prudence creates “legitimate expectations” among WTO members. Thus,
absent “cogent reasons,” legal interpretations embodied in the adopted
panel and Appellate Body reports must be followed in subsequent cases
where relevant.78 This makes all members keep a close eye on litigation
developments, as many of them may well apply policies and measures
akin to the challenged ones.
75
See Bryce Baschuk, “U.S. Demands Exacerbate WTO Dispute Body Turmoil,” Bloomberg
BNA, International Trade Daily, 12 September 2017.
76
Address by Ujal Singh Bhatia (Chairman of the Appellate Body), supra note 74.
77
See Kara Leitner and Simon Lester, “WTO Dispute Settlement 1995–2015 – A Statistical
Analysis,” 19 Journal of International Economic Law 289 (2016), pp. 290–4.
78
Appellate Body Report, US – Stainless Steel (Mexico), paras. 158–60.
79
Nohyoung Park and Myung-Hyun Chung, “Analysis of a New Mediation Procedure
under the WTO SPS Agreement,” 50 Journal of World Trade 93 (2016), p. 93.
80
Louise Johannesson and Petros C. Mavroidis, “Black Cat, White Cat: The Identity of the
WTO Judges,” 49 Journal of World Trade 685 (2015), p. 688.
81
They are Ujal Singh Bhatia (India, 2011–2019 (the term of office in the Appellate Body),
M.A. in Economics and B.A. in Economics), Georges Michel Abi-Saab (Egypt,
2000–2008, MA in Economics), and Said El-Naggar (Egypt, 1995–2000, Master’s and
Doctoral degrees in Economics). See WTO, “Appellate Body Members,” www.wto.org/
english/tratop_e/dispu_e/ab_members_descrp_e.htm.
82
See, e.g., Kym Anderson, “Setting the Trade Policy Agenda: What Roles for Economists?,”
World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 3560, 2005.
83
See Gabrielle Z. Marceau and Jennifer K. Hawkins, “Experts in WTO Dispute Settle-
ment,” 3 Journal of International Dispute Settlement 493 (2012); Joost Pauwelyn, “The
Use of Experts in WTO Dispute Settlement,” 51 International and Comparative Law
Quarterly 325 (2002).
84
Article 26 of the SCM Agreement.
85
WTO, Committee on TBT – Twenty-First Annual Review of the Implementation and
Operation of the TBT Agreement – Note by the Secretariat – Revision, G/TBT/38/Rev.1
(24 March 2016), Chart 14, para. 3.19; WTO, Committee on SPS Measures – STCs – Note
by the Secretariat – Revision, G/SPS/GEN/204/Rev.16 (23 February 2016), para. 1.1.
86
G/TBT/38/Rev.1, supra note 85, paras. 3.25, 3.28.
87
G/SPS/GEN/204/Rev.16, supra note 85, paras. 1.2, 1.4.
88
Section A of Annex 3 (“Trade Policy Review Mechanism”) to the WTO Agreement.
89
Panel Report, Canada – Aircraft, paras. 8.14, 9.274; Panel Report, Chile – Price Band
System, n. 664 to para. 7.95.
90
Arunabha Ghosh, “Information Gaps, Information Systems, and the WTO’s Trade Policy
Review Mechanism,” GEG Working Paper No. 2008/40, University of Oxford, 2008,
p. 21.
91
See WTO, General Council – Transparency Mechanism for Regional Trade Agreements –
Decision of 14 December 2006, WT/L/671 (18 December 2006).
92
Sherzod Shadikhodjaev, “Checking RTA Compatibility with Global Trade Rules: WTO
Litigation Practice and Implications from the Transparency Mechanism for RTAs,” 45
Journal of World Trade 529 (2011), pp. 536–40.
93
Appellate Body Reports, Canada – Renewable Energy/Canada – Feed-in Tariff Program,
para. 5.56; Appellate Body Reports, China – Raw Materials, para. 334.
94
In Section 6.5.2, we argue that the GATT general exceptions do not apply to the non-
GATT WTO instruments unless the latter explicitly suggest otherwise.
95
Appellate Body Report, US – Gasoline, p. 17.
96
Ibid., p. 22; Appellate Body Report, US – Shrimp, paras. 119–20.
97
Appellate Body Report, US – Gasoline, p. 22; Appellate Body Report, US – Shrimp,
paras. 116, 156. See Lorand Bartels, “The Chapeau of the General Exceptions in the
WTO GATT and GATS Agreements: A Reconstruction,” 109 American Journal of
International Law 95 (2015), p. 124 where the author criticizes this bifurcation approach
denying the existence of any “analytic, structural, or even thematic difference” between
the conditions in the chapeau and those in the paragraphs of Article XX, as all of those
conditions work to “limit the right of a WTO member to adopt certain measures” for
legitimate reasons under the general exceptions.
98
See Ji Yeong Yoo and Dukgeun Ahn, “Security Exceptions in the WTO System: Bridge
or Bottle-Neck for Trade and Security?,” 19 Journal of International Economic Law 417
(2016); Shin-yi Peng, “Cybersecurity Threats and the WTO National Security Excep-
tions,” 18 Journal of International Economic Law 449 (2015).
99
Article XXIV:5 of the GATT reads that “the provisions of this Agreement shall not
prevent” RTAs, and Article V of the GATS says “[t]his Agreement shall not prevent”
services RTAs – both referring to the whole Agreement. In contrast, the Enabling Clause
allows South–South RTAs “notwithstanding the provisions of Article I of the General
Agreement.”
100
Appellate Body Report, Turkey – Textiles, para. 58.
101
They tried to avoid the issue of WTO-compatibility of the invoked RTAs in, inter alia,
Turkey – Textiles (DS34), Argentina – Footwear (EC) (DS121), US – Line Pipe (DS202),
and Brazil – Retreaded Tyres (DS332). See Shadikhodjaev, supra note 92, pp. 534–36.
102
Appellate Body Report, Mexico – Taxes on Soft Drinks, paras. 45–54.
103
Appellate Body Report, Peru – Agricultural Products, paras. 5.111–5.113, 5.116. See
Sherzod Shadikhodjaev, “The ‘Regionalism vs Multilateralism’ Issue in International
Trade Law: Revisiting the Peru–Agricultural Products Case,” 16 Chinese Journal of
International Law 109 (2017).
104
WTO, Report of the Working Party on the Accession of Ecuador, WT/L/77 (14 July
1995), paras. 75–6.
105
See VanGrasstek, supra note 62, pp. 138–40, 143–6.
106
GATT Analytical Index, supra note 73, pp. 892–905.
107
Isabel Feichtner, The Law and Politics of WTO Waivers: Stability and Flexibility in Public
International Law (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2011), p. 63.
108
WTO, Council for TRIPS – Paragraph 6 of the Doha Declaration on the TRIPS
Agreement and Public Health [. . .] – Note by the Secretariat, IP/C/W/387 (24 October
2002), para. 4.
109 110
Ibid., para. 5 and Annex 6. Feichtner, supra note 107, pp. 122, 157.
111
Appellate Body Report, EC – Bananas III, paras. 184–7.
112
WTO, Committee on Trade and Development – S&D Treatment Provisions in WTO
Agreements and Decisions – Note by the Secretariat, WT/COMTD/W/219 (22 Septem-
ber 2016), pp. 4–5.
113
Ibid., section 7.
114
See, e.g., Kyle Bagwell and Robert W. Staiger, “An Economic Theory of GATT,” 89
American Economic Review 215 (1999).
115
For the literature review on this point, see Bernard Hoekman, “Operationalizing the
Concept of Policy Space in the WTO: Beyond Special and Differential Treatment,” 8
Journal of International Economic Law 405 (2005), pp. 412–13; Alexander Keck and
Patrick Low, “Special and Differential Treatment in the WTO: Why, When and How?,”
WTO Staff Working Paper No. ERSD–2004–03, 2004, pp. 25–6.
116
See Hoekman, supra note 115, p. 411, n. 14; Sonia E. Rolland, Development at the World
Trade Organization (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2012), pp. 109–38.
117
WTO, Ministerial Conference – Fourth Session – Doha, 9–14 November 2001 – Minis-
terial Declaration – Adopted on 14 November 2001, WT/MIN(01)/DEC/1 (20 November
2001), para. 44.
118
WTO, Ministerial Conference – Ninth Session – Bali, 3–6 December 2013 – Monitoring
Mechanism on S&D Treatment – Ministerial Decision of 7 December 2013, WT/MIN
(13)/45, WT/L/920 (11 December 2013).
119
WTO, “Special and Differential Treatment: Grappling with 88 Proposals,” www.wto.org/
english/thewto_e/minist_e/min03_e/brief_e/brief21_e.htm; WT/COMTD/W/219, supra
note 112, p. 4, para. 1.6.
120
Antonia Eliason, “The Trade Facilitation Agreement: A New Hope for the World Trade
Organization,” 14 World Trade Review 643 (2015), p. 662.
121
See Ben Czapnik, “The Unique Features of the Trade Facilitation Agreement:
A Revolutionary New Approach to Multilateral Negotiations or the Exception Which
Proves the Rule?,” 18 Journal of International Economic Law 773 (2015).