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CF 2
CF 2
million and, management estimates that the firm might generate cash flows for years one through five equal to $500,000;
$2,000,000; and $2,000,000. Saber uses a 20% discount rate for projects of this type. Is this a good investment opportunit
r 20%
Year CF (M) PV
0 -3.00 -3
1 0.50 0.416667
2 0.75 0.520833
3 1.50 0.868056
4 2.00 0.964506
5 2.00 0.803755
NPV via cal 0.573817
NPV via fn ₹ 0.57
NPV = $573,817
The project requires an initial investment of $3,000,000 and generates futures cash flows that have a present value of $
Consequently, the project cash flows are $573,817 more than the required investment.
Since the NPV is positive, the project is an acceptable project.
e Seattle, Washington area. The initial outlay is $3
gh five equal to $500,000; $750,000; $1,500,000;
od investment opportunity?
-0.51333333
The payback period equals two years for both
projects because it takes two years to recover the
cost of the initial outlay from the cash inflows.
-100,000 -100,000 However, Project Long looks a lot better because it
continues to provide cash inflows after the
45,455 -54,545 payback year.
41,322 -13,223
0 -13,223
0 -13,223
0 -13,223
SIMPLE CAPITAL BUDGETING EXAMPLE
Discount rate 15%
1,200.00
Discount
Year Cash flow rate NPV
0 -1,000 0% 1,000.00
1,100.00 =$B$5+NPV(D5,$B$6:$B$11)
1 100 3% 849.34
2 200 6% 637.67 800.00
3 300 9% 457.83
4 400 12% 304.16 600.00
5 500 15% 172.13
6 600 18% 58.10 400.00
NPV 172.13 21% -40.86
IRR 19.71% 24% -127.14 200.00
27% -202.71
30% -269.16 0.00
0% 5% 10%
-200.00
-400.00
NPV
00.00
00.00
00.00
00.00
00.00
00.00
0.00
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
00.00
00.00
Maximum payback (years): 3
Required return: 10%
Cum
Cumulative Discounted discounted
t Cash flow cash flow cash flow cash flow
0 -30,000 -30,000 -30,000.00 -30,000
1 8,000 $ (22,000) 7,272.73 $ (22,727)
2 10,000 $ (12,000) 8,264.46 $ (14,463)
3 11,000 $ (1,000) 8,264.46 $ (6,198)
4 17,000 $ 16,000 11,611.23 $ 5,413
5 12,000 $ 28,000 7,451.06 $ 12,864
NPV
IRR #N/A
400
Project A
NPV
300
Project B
NPV
200
100
0
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
-100
Discount rate
-200
Problems with the IRR Approach
Problem 1: Investing or Financing?
Required return: 10%
The use of the IRR decision rule becomes problematic when the cash flows resemble a loan. Consider the following
t Cash flow
0 $ 25,000
1 (10,000)
2 (11,000)
3 (12,000)
The IRR of this project is:
IRR: 14.77%
The IRR decision rule implies that we should accept projects when the IRR is greater than the required return. So, th
than the IRR. However, the NPV profile for the project looks like this:
Return NPV
0% $ (8,000.00)
5% (4,867.18)
10% (2,197.60)
15% 96.57
20% 2,083.33
25% 3,816.00
30% 5,336.82
With loan-type cash flows, the NPV increases as the interest rate increases. The standard IRR decision rule cannot b
Problem 2: Multiple Rates of Return
Excel uses an algorithm to calculate the IRR of a set of cash flows. Because the algorithm always starts at the same p
this is not a problem, but with multiple IRRs we may want to find both IRRs. In this case, we can use the guess argum
following set of cash flows:
t Cash flow
0 $ (50,000)
1 25,000
2 29,000
3 41,000
4 32,000
5 (35,000)
We would expect two IRRs. Using the IRR function without using the Guess argument, we find:
IRR:
Now we will use the Guess argument to find what the other IRR is:
IRR:
We can graph the NPV profile for this project as well. The NPV profile will look like this:
Return NPV
-50% $ (164,000.00)
-45% (7,975.42)
-40% 58,847.74
-35% 84,011.95
-30% 89,462.72
-25% 85,720.16
-20% 77,954.10
-15% 68,732.59
-10% 59,321.92
-5% 50,324.30
0% 42,000.00
5% 34,433.78
10% 27,622.31
15% 21,520.38
20% 16,065.46
25% 11,190.40
30% 6,829.92
35% 2,923.56
40% (583.09)
45% (3,738.29)
50% (6,584.36)
55% (9,158.27)
60% (11,492.16)
Even when there is a single IRR, it is not possible to rank projects according to IRR. In other words, the project with t
comparing two mutually exclusive investments, we may want to know the crossover rate, that is, the interest rate th
have the cash flows for two projects:
t Investment A Investment B
0 $ (100,000) $ (110,000)
1 35,000 38,000
2 29,000 36,000
3 29,000 30,000
4 29,000 29,000
5 20,000 21,000
Incremental
t cash flows
0 $ (10,000)
1 3,000
2 7,000
3 1,000
4 -
5 1,000
The crossover rate, or incremental IRR, is the IRR of these incremental cash flows, or:
We can create a table to show the NPV of each project at different interest rates and graph the NPV profile of each
R Investment A Investment B
0% $ 42,000.00 $ 44,000.00
5% 24,217.37 25,071.09
10% 9,799.07 9,683.70
15% (2,044.70) (2,988.31)
20% (11,889.15) (13,547.45)
emble a loan. Consider the following project.
eater than the required return. So, this project looks acceptable for any required return less
algorithm always starts at the same point, it will always arrive at the same IRR. Generally,
this case, we can use the guess argument to try to find multiple IRRs. Suppose we have the
ument, we find:
like this:
IRR. In other words, the project with the highest IRR is not necessarily the best project. When
ssover rate, that is, the interest rate that makes the NPV of the two projects equal. Below we
er project, that is, subtract the cash flows of the smaller project from the cash flows of the
ow are always the larger project minus the smaller project. So, the incremental cash flows
ws, or:
es and graph the NPV profile of each project. Doing so, we get:
The Modified Internal Rate of Return (MIRR)
Excel does have a built-in function to calculate the MIRR, but we work through the MIRR calculation for each metho
manually first. Suppose we have a project with the following cash flows, reinvestment rate, and discount rate:
t Cash flow
0 -12,000
1 5,800
2 6,500
3 6,200
4 5,100
5 (4,300)
Discount rate: 11% 14.64% 14.64%
Reinvestment rate: 8%
With the discounting approach, we discount all negative cash flows to the beginning of the project. In order to have
Excel discount only negative cash flows, we can use an IF statement for each cash flow as follows. Notice that the
equation at time 0 is not a nested IF, but simply a series of IF statements that calculates the present value of each ca
flow if the cash flow is negative, otherwise it returns a value of 0 to be added in to the cash flow. Once we get these
modified cash flows, we can simply calculate the IRR of these cash flows.
Discounting approach:
t Cash flow
0 -14,551.84
1 5,800.00
2 6,500.00
3 6,200.00
4 5,100.00
5 -
MIRR: 23.08%
With the reinvestment approach, we simply find the future value of all cash flows except the cash flow at time 0 at
end of the project and then calculate the IRR of the two remaining cash flows. Doing so, we find that the MIRR using
the reinvestment approach is:
Reinvestment approach:
t Cash flow
0 $ (12,000.00)
1 0.00
2 0.00
3 0.00
4 0.00
5 24,518.64
MIRR: 15.36%
We should note that to have Excel accurately calculate the IRR of these modified cash flows, the intermediate cash
flows must be entered as 0, not left blank.
For the combination approach, we need to find the present value of all negative cash flows at time 0, the future val
of all positive cash flows at the end of the project, then find the IRR of the modified cash flows. Again, we can use a
series of IF statements to test whether each cash flow is negative or positive. So, the MIRR using the combination
approach is:
Combination approach:
t Cash flow
0 $ (14,551.84)
1 -
2 -
3 -
4 -
5 28,818.64
MIRR: 14.64%
As we mentioned earlier, Excel does have a built-in MIRR function. Using the MIRR function, the MIRR is:
MIRR: 14.64%
What method is Excel using to calculate the MIRR? Of course, remember that Excel was written by computer
programmers, so the method that Excel uses is not necessarily more correct, just the method the programmers
selected.
calculation for each method
te, and discount rate:
written by computer
thod the programmers
Qn.1
PB Cutoff 2 years
Discount rate 15%
Disc CF Cum CF
Year Project A Project B Project A Project B Project A
0 -15000 -19000 -15000 -19000 -15000
1 10400 12700 9043.4782609 11043.47826087 -4600
2 5900 6100 4461.2476371 4612.47637051 1300
3 2100 5300 1380.7840881 3484.83603189 3400
Qn.8
Discount rate 8.5%
Disc CF
Year Project Alpha Project Beta Project Alpha Project Beta
0 -2700 -4100 -2700 -4100
1 1500 900 1382.4884793 829.4930875576
2 1300 2600 1104.2918728 2208.583745673
3 1100 3200 861.19890827 2505.305914978
Qn.10
Year Cashflows
0 8700
1 -3900
2 -2900
3 -2300
4 -1800
Qn.13
Year Cashflows
0 -65000000
1 92000000
2 -11000000
IRR 28.35% 28.35%
PI 2.15 3.68
NPV 20,640,120.21 67,043,576.26
Decision
Qn.17 Discount rate 12%
Year Project A Project B Project C Project A Project B
0 -225000 -450000 -225000 -225000 -450000
1 165000 300000 180000 147321.4285714 267857.1428571
2 165000 300000 135000 131536.9897959 239158.1632653
PI 1.239370748299 1.126700680272
NPV 53858.41836735 57015.30612245
if independent ; Decision
Mutually exclusive, Decision
Max Investment 450000, Decsion
Qn.19 CUM CF
Year NP-30 NX-20 NP-30 NX-20
0 -735000 -460000 -735000 -460000
1 239000 130000 -496000 -330000
2 239000 143000 -257000 -187000
3 239000 157300 -18000 -29700
4 239000 173030 221000 143330
5 239000 190333 460000 333663
NP-30 NX-20
Payback 3.08 3.17
IRR 18.74% 19.87%
Qn.24 PI 1.090 1.126
Year Cashflow NPV 66165.06842473 58158.92969035
0 ($6,048)
1 34344
2 -72840
3 68400
4 -24000
25.00%
33%
67%
Qn.29
Year Project Million Project Billion
0 -1200 Io-
1 160 400
2 960 1200
3 1200 1600
Project B
-19000
-6300
-200
5100
2.038
140.79
1.352
19.87%
133936.7578688
1.470
9296.17
-86.82%
WI-FI
-43000000
35454545.45455
54545454.54545
31555221.63787
Project C
-225000
160714.2857143
107621.1734694
Implications
NP-30
NX-20
NX-20
NP-30