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Mba PT 2018 Assignment1 Ic Finpro 20 2020-02-08
Mba PT 2018 Assignment1 Ic Finpro 20 2020-02-08
Date:
18.02.2020
1 Introduction
Machine learning and AI are growing technologies that enable computer to make mimic a natural person in thinking the way natural person
does and making a rational and the best choice. It can be used in predicting or automating some parts of jobs done by human.
AI has a big impact on every industry changing jobs and company behavior. Gartner says that leading organizations expect to double the
number of artificial intelligence projects in 2020. Banking is also affected and transformed by this technology. More jobs are being automated
by the usage of AI. Former Citigroup chief Vikram Pandit predicts that 30% of banking jobs could be cut out by AI in five years. Mizuho
Financial Group in Japan says it will use AI to replace 19,000 people by 2027.
There are several studies on Machine learning and Artificial intelligence and possible usage especially in fraud detection and other appliances
in Retail banking where there is a big number of data for the research available.
But there is no practical and no practical study focused on Wealth Management and Private Banking.
By examining the current needs of Private banks by interviews and questionnaires and applying different machine learning algorithms to the
data we can understand which use cases are feasible and how to build the machine learning models. Consulting and software company as
Orbium might better understand the Bank management needs and be able to take advisory role in this field and develop required skills. Will
machine learning and AI have an impact on Wealth management and What services can support the banks in their operations and how big is
the market for machine learning consulting and software for Banks especially private ones?
In my work I will perform quantitively-qualitative research on the applications of AI and Machine across industries for automation of jobs
This paper gives an overview of existing applications of artificial intelligence/machine learning (AI/ML) in Private Banking and selects
different samples to illustrate the application of AI and possible automation of jobs that will happen in the nearest future.
In my interviews I discussed with industry leaders in Switzerland working in medium-big Private Banks and consulting companies taking
Based on this I will perform analysis and made estimates regarding percentage who expect artificial intelligence will affect the workforce in
the next five years, disruptive technologies in the financial sector industry, cumulative AI software revenue, top
use cases, world markets ,percentage who said the following technologies would have a high impact of disruption on their sector in 10 years,
Statistical analysis
Current landscape of the private banking and how they stand to database solutions / AI.
Next section is Literature review – what is currently used in private banking, what do we know.
• The final section concludes with a summary and analysis of how different private banks can effectively use computational
The survey
1.1 What is AI
Oxford American Dictionary defines intelligence as “The ability to acquire and apply
behavior
Artificial Intelligence enables machines to interact naturally with people, data and the environment. These systems create more intuitive
interactions and extend the capabilities of what either human or machine can do on their own.
Natural Language Processing
Natural Language Processing is a method of interacting with intelligent systems, using a natural language such as English, to enable
them to perform tasks as per instructions.
This technology analyses text to interpret sentence structures, their meaning and intention, using statistical methods and machine
learning.
VirtualAgents
Virtual agents are conversational, computer-generated characters or programsthat replace the online customer service
representationby responding to customer queries and questions as well as updating basic account information in the system.
It delivers voice and text information to the users via a web browser, kiosk, or mobile interface for resolving their problems.
Robotic Process Automation (RPA) uses software to automate manual, time-consuming, or routine processes, which can help in
reducing costs, reducing errors, improving efficiency, and increasing employee and customer satisfaction.
Once instructed and configured, Robotic Process Automation tools can process transactions, manipulate data, and communicate with
external systems in an autonomous way.
Deep Learning
Deep Learning allows a machine to process large datasets and recognize patterns for decision making using methods that are similar
to human brain’s neural networks.
Deep learning is used by organizations to analyze and predict online behavior, organize information, predict outcomes, and boost
the accuracy of other AI technologies, such as image analysis, face recognition, handwriting recognition, and speech recognition.
Predictive Analysis
algorithms to interpret
ambiguous data , such as text, speech, visual, and digital inputs, and
Machine Learning has achieved much success over the last two years. Standing at the intersection between Data Engineering, Artificial
Intelligence and Computer Science, its popularity has increased focus on both Data Engineering and the wider field of AI. This additional
focus on AI has led to a number of breakthroughs from DeepMind’s ability to learn and master a complex game like Go to Atlas’ ability to
athletically negotiate obstacles. However, more powerful AI requires ever more powerful computing and classical computing power is
already nudging the limitations of further miniaturisation. A step change in processing power is therefore required to support further
advances in AI.
Researchers at IBM and elsewhere will reach Quantum Supremacy in the next 12 months – this is the point at which Quantum Computing will
become more powerful than classical computing in certain problem domains. Once that happens, computing power will start to increase
exponentially again, and this time much more quickly that Moore’s law predicted for classical computing. However, Quantum Computers are
notoriously difficult to program and making full use of this additional power will not be easy with traditional programming techniques.
New research areas are now starting to blossom on the borderline between Quantum Computing and AI, linking the self-learning abilities of
AI with the exponential power that Quantum Computing will provide. Current research is focussed on Quantum Neural Networks, Quantum
Bayesian Networks and the wider field of Quantum Cognition, though other research areas will materialise over time.
Machine Learning already provides significant benefit to the banking community in areas as diverse as credit risk scoring, marketing,
customer segmentation, fraud detection, AML, chatbots, IT security, voice recognition and guided customer services scripting.
AI will in the coming years have an even greater impact on banking by providing support for strategic planning, ‘what if’ analysis, enhanced
knowledge representation linking customers and competitors, GDPR compliance, bias management, explanation and justification support to
assist with regulatory matters and management of banking operations. Quantum Computing will be the engine that enables this next stage of
the AI revolution.
The term Artificial Intelligence (AI) is often used synonymously with the term Machine Learning (ML) used in
computer science. For the purpose of this paper I will use AI to describe both techniques.
AI enables business outcomes through the ability to autonomously learn, adapt, and improve – at increasingly lower
costs.
1,3 Impact
AI is getting a big
patent filings related to AI. Logic programming has been a first publication focus in
the early 80ies. From 1985 Machine Learning techniques are described with a
moderate growth until 2002, when the number of publications on that topic grew at
25% p.a. for 6 years. (WIPO, Tech Trends, 2019, p. 45). From 2013 Machine Learning
picked up again and was referenced in one out of three patents related to AI and
filings have increased at 28% p.a. in the observed period (2013-2016). Deep Learning
as a variant of Machine Learning has shown 175% annual growth in the same period.
It is also worth noting that after telecom and transportation, life and medical sciences
are the third most popular field of patent applications (WIPO, Tech Trends, 2019, p.
14). In the same period machine learning and life and medical sciences are mentioned
in patent filings among the most frequent combinations (WIPO, Tech Trends, 2019, p.
15), which Executive Master of European and International Business Law of the
the health sector is among the fastest growing fields of innovation for AI. Figure 1:
“Patent families for top AI techniques by earliest priority year. Machine learning
grew by an average of 26 percent annually between 2011 and 2016” (WIPO, Tech
Trends, 2019, p. 42). Priority year refers to the year the first patent application in a
patent family was filed (priority application). 4.4 How Artificial Intelligence Works
Literature review
customer data for the purposes of credit scoring and arriving at loanable amounts.
Lui, A., & Lamb, G. W. (2018) discuss that use of AI throws up a number of
challenges which could undermine customers’ trust and confidence. This article
points out that the algorithms used in AI application in banking have biases and
discriminate against certain races and gender [2]. Sarvady, G. (2017) examines the
and advises that financial institutions would better balance AI applications with their
workplaces can reduce the biases inherent in AI applications [5]. Satell, G. (2016)
algorithms, investigating ethical dilemmas, and setting higher moral standards [6].
Daks, M. (2018) focuses on the AI benefits for banks using the case study of the
providers [7]. FRPT Research in its finance industry snapshot examines the impact of
introducing artificial intelligence (AI) on jobs in Indian banks and states there will be
no loss of jobs. AI tools Authorized licensed use limited to: University of St. Gallen.
Downloaded on June 01,2020 at 21:28:14 UTC from IEEE Xplore. Restrictions apply.
the efforts of human staff as shown in experiments of SBI and Yes Bank [8]. Guy A.
ecosystems of the financial services industry and examines the role of AI in business
financial services industry and in enhancing customer experience and also the
Research Inc (White Paper) (2017), E-Book, Artificial Intelligence with the Human
Touch, contends that Artificial Intelligence can handle repetitive mundane but
cannot substitute human touch. The study explores how a blending of AI and human
The Financial Services industry has changed drastically over the last 10 years and
Regulatory drive to protect customers, their data and their rights in the next years
Financial institutions’ focus on the decision to leave the European Union (‘Brexit’)
Rising incubents.
Based on the evaluation of banking IT innovations, the core banking systems in the
providers are also the rule makers and, thus, these companies
Change of demography
Machine Learning has achieved much success over the last two years. Standing at the
its popularity has increased focus on both Data Engineering and the wider field of
DeepMind’s ability to learn and master a complex game like Go to Atlas’ ability to
There are a several existing use cases in the financial sector where AI is already
Robo advisors
Hybrid robo advisors are gaining traction with high net worth individuals who have
• Virtual Agents are coming to the fore and encapsulate decoupling of service
spectrum
2.4 AI vendors
In this secition I will describe most important AI vendors and start-ups that are
with IBM to enable and grow Accenture Integration services for IBM
In private banks a lot of time is spent on building the offering for the clients. There is a huge range of
products that can offered and often clients are not offered ones that could be interested in.
One of possible solution would be to implements machine learning recommender system that might
help personalize client offering. This is widely used now in ecommerce– and could be re-used –
offering tailored banking financial products, upselling other services and helping to convert prospects
into consumers.
Private banks gather a lot of information regarding their client situation and risk appetite for AML
and regulatory purposes -much of it could be re-used to build the value for the bank. Those
algorithms would serve mostly as a support to the client advisor or be used to send personalized
This could add a lot of value to the clients – they would get products that would fit their needs –
which would increase their satisfaction and convince to use the service of the bank more often.
Also, it is difficult to build tailor-made offering and takes a lot of time – which is important to
This would be a complex problem as there could be a few challenges in building good model. One big
challenge could be how to train the model – the product offering is mostly done face to face and not
well documented which factors lead to the purchase. Is it possible to build a model based on that
data? Also, many clients use wealth managers to make investments leaving the bank without
information on the past trades – they might need to be convinced to share the data. We also lack
Furthermore, financial products change in a fast manner and this also would have to be considered
Lastly GDPR and other data protection regulations could cause problems to process personal data.
To build a recommender system considering the problems above one possible solution would be to
use hybrid content-collaborative based recommendation. Such solution is used for example in
LinkedIn: To determine whether a company a user may want to follow. The collaborative filtering
information is checking whether the company is like the ones a user already followed. The content
information includes whether attributes i.e. industry match between the user and the company.
For content-based clients and products would have their attributes describing their characteristics and
For example, a certain set of features for clients could: age, family member, life events, job, risk
And products attribute like Industry, type, risk rate, location etc.
For collaborative filtering algorithm could compare to similar products bought by the client in the past
Potential algorithm for this problem could be a Deep neural network (DNN) – which could capture
information.
How to evaluate the model can be difficult as we sometimes it is not easy to determine how really the
client liked what he got. But we can try to evaluate it basing on simple binary metric: product was
either selected or not by the user or not. The goal would be to recommend as much as possible and not
avoid completely recommending less relevant ones – not to reduce the number of products
recommended.
To use recommender system, it would need to take the data from both client CRM systems where
KYC is stored as also product offering system which could be part of core system or external. So
The module itself that provides recommendations be a part of Bank’s CRM or client advisor cockpit
where he manages the client. Also, could be implemented as a part of marketing campaigns.
Potential non-technical problem would be the fact that the model would need to be used by
relationship managers actively. They could be reluctant to rely on technology as they feel they know
the client the best. Also, clients might be reluctant to share the data require to build the model.
Know Your Customer (KYC) is the process in Financial Services to identify the
customers and gather data required for AML. KYC is very expensive process –
THE
Also, star IA’s are in demand for the higher portfolio returns that
OUR
The
selection (
The
categories
CLIENT
recommendations
EVOLVE…
Increased exposure
to Emerging Threats
Increased Cost
Pressures
Accenture’s 2018 Compliance Risk Study1 - based on a survey of 150 leading Compliance officers
across global
banking, capital markets and insurance institutions - indicates that Compliance functions have
should continue to enhance their capabilities and increase efficiency to combat emerging threats and
challenges.
To address these challenges, it is key to process more data accurately, quickly and in a way which
threats.
Rising costs of AML compliance are well known, with research suggesting
supporting processes.2
Evolutions in technology and crime mean an ever-changing list of threats for banks
https://www.northeastern.edu/levelblog/2016/05/13/how-much-data-produced-every-day/
2. Accenture 2018 Compliance Risk Study, Accenture 2018. Access at: https://www.accenture.com/ca-
en/insight-2018-compliance-risk-study-financial-services
; Future Financial Crime Risks, British Banking Association and Lexis Nexis, 2015. Access at:
https://www.bba.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/Future-
Financial-Crime-Risks-DIGITAL-final.pdf.
information
As the world becomes more connected, data across countries, languages and
A key challenge is understanding the impacts of increasing data volumes on legacy processes like
Know Your Customer (KYC), Adverse Media and Sanctions and Politically Exposed Persons (PEPs)
data being created every day, the amount of information that can be checked is being outpaced by
4.
Behavioral Monitoring 3.
Ripjar’s
platform provides
continuous monitoring of
on analysts.
Real
sanctions vs payments or
capabilities.
Monitoring of changes in
or changes in transaction
As threats continue to emerge, the industry should take steps to keep pace. Our partnership equips
●
4 Key AI Challenges and considerations
Legal/Regulatory
consequences
With GDPR and regulatory rules, it is even more important that the laws of countries must be adapted
and thus, appear a new generation of data scientist and technological experts with a clear orientation
for regulatory advising or legislators consultancy, initiating the path to a consensual data
management.
IP/Competitive Risk
on business
Reputation
Any data breach could have significant impact on reputation, especially if concerning
Employee Relations
Monitoring programs, automation and shifts in the technology landscape can cause
fishing expeditions
5 Summary:
The results from the research has shown that the advance of artificial intelligence in numerous
industries will result in more developed and more horizontally assimilated companies
And would create additional revenue streams for companies that are able to leverage ai automation.
Low skilled work will diminish and no longer be needed as can easily be automated.
Summary of Conclusions Our analysis has shown that if we manage to solve the
fundamental technical and practical challenges around AI, we implicitly also have
solved the regulatory challenges and reduce liability risks related to any AI products
ability to market these devices without formal regulatory approval, at this stage at
least in the EU. For Software as a Medical Device within a defined intended use, this
approach is also being considered in the US. The US pre-certification program is not
manufacturers to ensure safety and quality of their devices and holding them
medical devices, fit for purpose to include AI devices, adaptive and permitting short
development cycles. The data driven nature of AI also calls for continuous and
AI medical device. The privacy challenges of personal data minimization and further
systematic, transparent and proactive approach to data collection, consent and data
78 continued active and promising research, as it permits to prevent and control re-
platform, may allow boosting acceptance of data sharing and AI in the health sector
prohibitions are insufficient and defeating the purpose and power of Big Data and AI
applications. For claimed anonymized EU subject data, such prohibitions are absurd,
as they also imply that re-identification may still be possible and therefore
offer any autonomous AI device interaction only based on express consent and with
or require human intervention, then liability from any conforming medical device is
well controlled. Direct liability and separate legal entities for AI devices seem
ensure user access to redress. Finally, the protection of intellectual property in data
base collections and related derivative works may not have been an area on which
use external data to learn and adapt their behavior, action or output accordingly.
Neural Networks Art Article ASI Artificial Superintelligence AUC Area Under the
Curve. Metrics for the performance of a device (specificity and sensitivity) and are
widely used, yet have their limitations as well Big Data Processing of huge and
diverse datasets from multiple sources with use of new technologies previously
Derived from Robot, lacking the physical support typical for a Robot. Computer
Behavioral Therapy (CBT) CDRH FDA Center for Devices and Radiological Health
Chatbot A bot, which interacts with users via natural language interface. Typically
responding to first level support questions or helping user navigation. Also referred
Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States (leading economies at the
(GPP). HCP Health Care Professional HHS U.S. Department of Health & Human
Services HIPAA U.S. Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act HLEG
software -- Software life cycle processes. Defines the life cycle requirements for
medical device software. The set of processes, activities, and tasks described in this
standard establishes a common framework for medical device software life cycle
provide medical devices and related services that consistently meet customer and
Co-operation and Development ONC Office of the National Coordinator for Health
sensitivity) and are widely used, yet have their limitations as well PMA Premarket
Approval Application R&D Research and Development RWD Real World Data RWE
Real World Evidence RWP Real World Performance SaaS Software as a Service SAE
software intended to be used for one or more medical purposes that perform these
purposes without being part of a hardware medical device (…)” (IMDRF Software as
https://www.gartner.com/smarterwithgartner/gartner-predicts-the-future-of-ai-technologies/
Noonan, L. (2018, April 12). AI in banking: the reality behind the hype. Retrieved from
https://www.ft.com/content/b497a134-2d21-11e8-a34a-7e7563b0b0f4
Sion, G. (2018). How Artificial Intelligence Is Transforming The Economy. Will Cognitively Enhanced
Machines Decrease And Eliminate Tasks From Human Workers Through Automation? Journal of Self-
Tai, A. M., Albuquerque, A., Carmona, N. E., Subramanieapillai, M., Cha, D. S., Sheko, M., … Mcintyre, R.
S. (2019). Machine learning and big data: Implications for disease modeling and therapeutic discovery
Axel Montes, G., and B. Goertzel (2018). “Distributed, Decentralized, and Democratized Artificial
Measuring the Efficiency of Banking Sectors in European Union Countries,” Acta Polytechnica