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Insider Econometrics Meets People Analytics and Strategic Human Resource Management
Insider Econometrics Meets People Analytics and Strategic Human Resource Management
Management
To cite this article: Anne-Sophie Larsson & Martin R. Edwards (2022) Insider econometrics meets
people analytics and strategic human resource management, The International Journal of Human
Resource Management, 33:12, 2373-2419, DOI: 10.1080/09585192.2020.1847166
ABSTRACT KEYWORDS
Researchers in the field of HRM and Strategic HRM have for Human resource
several decades engaged in research endeavours to identify management; strategic
the link between HR investments and firm performance. human resource
management; insider
Despite this, the field still has some way to go to definitively econometrics; personnel
demonstrate this causal relationship; partly due to the cross- economics; people analytics;
sectional nature of much of this research. In the current HR analytics; intrafirm
paper, we give a brief overview of the SHRM field and the analysis; longitudinal
benefits that the new subfield of People Analytics (PA) might methods
bring to the area. We also conduct a brief survey of research
in Insider Econometrics, an approach used in Personnel
Economics to produce empirical estimates of the value of HR
practices, to highlight longitudinal intra-firm research in eco-
nomics that could provide insights to research exploring the
HR investment-performance link (important in both SHRM
and PA fields). We discuss the value of combining the busi-
ness impact perspective of People Analytics that has a unique
‘inside’ (intra-firm) position, with the longitudinal intra-firm
analysis approaches utilized in Insider Econometrics. We sug-
gest that People Analytics researchers, who are able to draw
on the theoretical developments in HRM field, would benefit
from exploring existing research insights and methodological
techniques used within the field of Insider Econometrics.
Introduction
For around four decades, a body of work has been building seeking to
both theoretically explain and empirically measure and analyze the link
between HRM and performance (Devanna et al., 1981; Guest, 1987;
Huselid, 1995; Lepak & Snell, 1999; Peccei & Van De Voorde, 2019b;
Wright et al., 2005; Guest, 2011). Central to this quest is the notion that
certain HR practices or combinations of HR practices (often referred to
as HR bundles or HR systems) can affect both employee and firm per-
formance (Boselie et al., 2005; Paauwe, 2009). Within this literature, a
different names, such as: best practices (e.g. Pfeffer, 1994), high perform-
ance work system (HPWS), (e.g. Becker et al., 1998), high-involvement
practices (e.g. Lawler, 1986), and high commitment practices (e.g.
Arthur, 1994). Many of the influential quantitative papers from the 90s
applied this largely universalistic view, but they also relied on subjective
cross-sectional survey data, often from single informants in senior posi-
tions (e.g. Arthur, 1994; Delery & Doty, 1996; Huselid, 1995; MacDuffie,
1995). One problem with both the early empirical work and the follow-
ing theoretical developments was that it did not offer enough specificity
in what HR practices (or bundles) that affect performance, nor did it
offer much reasoning for the process through which these practices
could affect performance. This led to both calls for increased theorizing
(Becker & Gerhart, 1996) and to suggestions that more effort was needed
to explore the ‘black-box’ of likely mediating factors between HRM prac-
tices and firm performance (Boxall & Purcell, 2008; Katou & Budhwar,
2006; Purcell et al., 2003; Wright et al., 2003).
During the past two decades, contingency theory, RBV and AMO have
come to dominate the literature, but there has been considerable blend-
ing between these different frameworks. The AMO tends to focus on
individual-level outcomes whilst contingency theory and RBV are more
focused on business outcomes, they can nonetheless be seen as comple-
mentarities rather than substitutes. Indeed, and as suggested by Boselie
et al. (2005), the blending of these three might produce the overall most
accurate framework for HRM. That is, that a firm’s organizational suc-
cess is dependent on the (unique) capabilities of its employees (RBV)
and how it motivates and offers its employees the opportunity to partici-
pate (AMO) and that the effectiveness of both the human capital and the
HR practices employed to entice individual performance is dependent
upon the organizational context (contingency theory). Such blending of
macro-oriented frameworks (contingency and RBV) and micro-oriented
frameworks (AMO) also helps break down the micro-macro divide in
the HRM literature that the emergence of the SHRM literature brought
about (Boselie, 2014; Wright & Boswell, 2002).
addition to) trying to map the effects of higher level decisions to lower
level outcomes and then onto rather distant higher order financial out-
comes such as profits (that are affected by so many other forces that are
outside the control of both the HR function and the firm, e.g. product
or service demand, market competition, taxation, exchange rates etcet-
era), HR researchers could use more ‘proximal’ outcomes such as prod-
uctivity (Boselie et al., 2005; Guest, 1997) and draw upon research
approaches used as a norm in other disciplines. Specifically approaches
that focus more attention on establishing ways of measuring the value of
HRM through a better understanding of how, when and under what cir-
cumstances HR practices have an effect on lower level outcomes (e.g.
individual or team productivity or voluntary turnover) and then analyze
the costs and benefits of such practices at both the lower and higher lev-
els (where available and appropriate). The most straightforward way of
doing this is to, instead of focusing on the often distal relationship
between HRM and organizational performance, focus on the (intra-firm)
marginal effects that changes in HR practices have on proximal out-
comes (e.g. the change in sales per person or team).
Even though the field of (S)HRM has undergone considerable theoret-
ical refinement over the past decades (for extended descriptions of this
evolution see e.g. Armstrong, 2011; Darwish, 2013; Delery & Roumpi,
2017), where —as suggested by Guest (2011) — what started out as a
question of ‘What impact does HRM have on performance?’ has evolved
into ‘Under what circumstances does HRM have an impact on perform-
ance?’ and ‘What is the process whereby HRM can have an impact on
performance?’ (p. 7). To answer such questions it seems inevitable to
move away from searching for universalistic ‘best practices’ to focus on
the effects of HRM in different contexts (Gerhart, 2005; Harter et al.,
2002). These theoretical refinements also require a push with the empir-
ical research towards longitudinal intrafirm studies that can help identify
both contextual and causal links rather than cross-sectional analyses that
measure correlations between HRM investments and performance across
firms. The suggestion of a need for an increase of focus on longitudinal
research is made in the context of People Analytics by Angrave et al.
(2016). These authors argue that to get the most out of traditional rela-
tional HR data (and new forms of ’big data’ emerging in the HR sphere),
longitudinal econometric techniques need to be utilized. The quantitative
HRM literature does not seem to have embraced this path as there have
been numerous recent calls for increasing the number of longitudinal
studies in the field (Boon et al., 2018; Jiang et al., 2012; Guest, 2011;
Paauwe et al. 2013). In fact, a recent review of the longitudinal work on
the HRM-performance link uncovered only 8 studies (published between
2382 A.-S. LARSSON AND M. R. EDWARDS
and the end there are several steps such as creating and collecting HR
metrics, analyzing the data, and ‘selling’ the results (or ‘telling the story’)
to decision-makers (Boudreau & Cascio, 2017; Marler & Boudreau, 2017;
van den Heuvel & Bondarouk, 2017). The central analytical tasks could
furthermore be broken down into two categories of quantitative analyses
that can be used to enable data-driven decision-making: 1) Evaluating
employee performance and other lower level outcomes, and 2)
Evaluating the effect, or value, of HR practices. We believe that both of
these types of analyses should have a place in the PA literature as the
first can aid managers in making employee-related decisions, and the
second because it can aid management in making strategic people-related
decisions. Importantly (as with SHRM research that explores the link
between HR practices and performance), both of these types of analyses
(1 and 2) would benefit from longitudinal data, but the accuracy of the
latter is completely contingent upon the use of such data. Recent reviews
(Kremer, 2018; Marler & Boudreau, 2017; Tursunbayeva et al., 2018)
have nonetheless struggled to identify both cross-sectional and longitu-
dinal empirical papers, particularly in the form of quantitative intrafirm
studies that could help build empirical knowledge and guide future
applied work within PA and (S)HRM.
Due to the dearth of longitudinal studies in (S)HRM in general, and
that longitudinal quantitative intrafirm research is absent in the PA aca-
demic domain at this point, we draw on an approach within the field of
economics called Insider Econometrics that has a long tradition of longi-
tudinal intrafirm analyses using people-related data. The body of litera-
ture that uses an IE approach can be of great value to scholars in
(S)HRM in general, and to researchers in PA in particular, as it provides
an opportunity to gain insights on how economists work when studying
the value of human resource practices in the field of Personnel
Economics. As Angrave et al. (2016) argued, various techniques found in
economics can potentially also help organizations and HR functions fully
utilize the potential for data insights from various kinds of ’smart’ data
(i.e. fine-grained longitudinal data) often stored in human resource infor-
mation systems (HRIS). Because of its relevance to the PA and SHRM
sphere, we specifically focus on the subfield of Insider Econometrics with
the aim of drawing on particular research traditions that could help add
new analytical dimensions to the area of PA and SHRM.
Approach
The approach taken in selecting papers from the IE area to present as
examples of work relevant to the PA domain involved three steps. First,
we surveyed all abstracts in the M5 category from 2017 and 2018 in the
RePEc database available via IDEAS.2, 3 After filtering out papers not
published in English and removing duplicates (e.g. different working
paper versions and papers entered into several M5 subdivisions) we were
left with 399 papers. Based on the content conveyed in the abstracts we
then narrowed down our pool of papers to 114 empirical papers consid-
ered to be potentially relevant for our review. Second, even though
RePEc has a very large coverage it does not index all economics papers.
We therefore performed keyword searches on Google Scholar using all
possible combinations of: [personnel economics, insider econometrics,
and field experiment] and [within-firm, single-firm, and intra-firm]. We
then applied the same abstract-based approach to screen papers as in the
first step and added papers that we had not already identified via RePEc.
Third, we considered all seemingly relevant papers that had been cited in
the papers found in steps 1 and 2 to find additional papers that might
have evaded us through our previous two approaches. The second and
third steps resulted in a total of 57 additional papers.
We then carefully read all of the identified 171 papers, irrespective of
empirical strategy (multi-firm, experiment, interfirm or intrafirm) in an
THE INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HUMAN RESOURCE MANAGEMENT 2389
attempt to limit the possibility of missing papers that at first glance did
not seem to fit our single-firm criterion, and then we finally limited our
sample to only include those that we felt could be labeled applied intra-
firm analyses.
Exclusions
Given the large number of papers that our searches revealed we have
chosen to only include empirical intrafirm papers where the authors
themselves have classified the paper as belonging to the M5 category.
When such a classification has been unavailable/missing, i.e. in the
papers found either via Google Scholar or citations, we have only
included papers that either explicitly claim to have used an insider
econometrics approach, or heavily draw on the PE/IE literatures. Due to
these limitations our survey has excluded some papers that could still be
highly relevant for people analysts. We point interested readers to appen-
dix 1 for examples of excluded papers.
Results
After the exclusions our review of Insider Economics papers resulted in
a sample of 25 papers that have been published either in peer-reviewed
journals or as working papers during 2017 and 2018.4 The rationale
behind including the working papers is that these, or some version of
these, are likely to become published in the next few years. As such we
use the inclusion of working papers as method of tapping into the
research front. Due to our approach with collecting and excluding papers
we can by no means claim that this is an exhaustive list of relevant
papers; however, we believe that we have surveyed enough papers to
illustrate the existence of a substantial body of relevant applied work in
economics that should be of interest to researchers in the HRM field,
and for People Analytics researchers in particular.
In reviewing the studies from the area of IE/PE, we briefly summarize
the findings below. Not surprisingly given the ‘economist’ orientation of
the research, there is an overall strong focus (though not exclusively) on
incentives, in particular performance pay, which is studied both at the
worker, manager and team levels. However, there are also quite a few
papers that study the effects of social comparisons, relative pay differen-
ces, and biases such as gender inequality and discrimination. Moreover,
there are some examples of how supervision, manager attention and shift
work affect performance, as well as the effectiveness of training contracts
and employee referral systems. All of the papers in our sample utilize a
longitudinal research design. The collection of papers includes research
2390 A.-S. LARSSON AND M. R. EDWARDS
assignment and job after treatment. 2.5% of the employees’ pay for Job satisfaction allocation of tasks and job satisfaction at the
satisfaction) the same period. store-level, but the results were mostly non-
significant. The response rate was however
quite low (34.5% for the first, and 18.5% for
(continued)
2391
Table 1. Continued.
2392
Method(s)/
Firm industry Treatment/HR Dependent Econometric
Author(s)1 and location Area of study Sample/Data intervention variable(s) Soft HRM approach2 Findings
the second survey).
Dube et al. A large retail Pay and social Personnel records The firm implemented a non- Job separations No multi- The overall effect of wages on separations
(2019) chain in comparisons spanning 30 months standard set of pay raises in dimensional RD is driven mostly by peer comparisons and
the USA (Feb 1996 - July 1998). response to increases in the relative pay differences among employees
(How relative wage Roughly 6,500 records, federal minimum wage. The raises at the store-level as opposed to
differences affect job which covers approx. where based on wage thresholds employees’ own wage and the
separations) 90% of the workforce. that resulted in unequal raises. market pay.
Englmaier et al. An agricultural Communication of Daily compensation and Treatment consisted of increased Pieces Harvested No DD The treatment significantly increased the
(2017) firm incentives productivity data from communication (reminders) of the (Only one-sided output by about 3.3–3.8% and had a
(predominantly one harvest season: performance pay which varies Quality Points (via post- communication in the negative (but non-
producing (The effect of incentives (May 25 - Nov 6, 2008). from day to day. harvest inspections) form of reminders.) significant) effect on quality by about
lettuce) in on performance) 2.4–5.4%. Moreover, the intervention
Europe Manager Daily significantly increased manager daily
Compensation compensation by about 4.0–4.4%.
A.-S. LARSSON AND M. R. EDWARDS
Frick et al. (2018) A large Shift work and Monthly absenteeism The company switched form a Monthly absenteeism No (but employee GLM Absenteeism is slightly higher in larger
automobile absenteeism data from 409 backward (night-day-morning) to wellbeing is proxied by units. The new forward rotating system
company organizational units over forward (morning-day-night) absenteeism). decreased absenteeism by more than 10%
in Germany (The effects of a shift 36 months (Jan rotating shift schedule. (worth about e 300,000 per month).
schedule change on 2009–Dec 2011). Complaints about the short weekend
absenteeism) between night and morning shifts made
the company shift back to a modified
version of the earlier backward
rotating schedule.
Friebel et al. A retail chain Communication and Personnel records and Three treatment groups: Turnover rate Yes, communication/ ANCOVA Communication and managerial attention
[(2018b)] located in turnover financial data for 238 1: managers were asked to "do managerial attention is seem to have a strong short-term effect
Eastern Europe stores (Feb 2014 to Dec whatever you can" to reduce Sales partially accounted for on turnover rates, however, the effect
(The effect of store 2016). Repeated surveys turnover. based on grouping and wanes off after approx. 9 months. This
managers on turnover to store managers, 2: in-store posters and letters to Profits surveys to mangers might have to do with a lack of
rates in a retail chain regional managers and workers and managers with and cashiers. incentives for managers (no reward was
with high levels cashiers, as well as exit information on career and Shrinkage given for lowering turnover). The second
of attrition) interviews. development opportunities. treatment, 12 months later, had the same
3: both of the above. type of effect on turnover.
Gjedrem and A large retail Employee autonomy Weekly sales data (2009- Non-randomized treatment. Weekly sales, No DDD (þplacebo Sales increased by 5.6% and transactions
Rege (2017) chain (consumer 2012) and weekly tests) by 4.7% in treated stores.
2393
electronics) (The relationship number of transactions Treatment consisted of the Number of weekly
in Norway between autonomy and (2010-2012) for 88 company making it mandatory for transactions The results suggest that figuring out a
performance) stores. Treatment at sales staff to approach every best practice, and enforcing employee
(continued)
Table 1. Continued.
2394
Method(s)/
Firm industry Treatment/HR Dependent Econometric
Author(s)1 and location Area of study Sample/Data intervention variable(s) Soft HRM approach2 Findings
different times over a single customer that enteered the compliance, may increase both
14-week period in 2011. store. The new rule was coupled performance and motivation (as
with a system for monitoring employees received bonuses based on
compliance. both store and individual sales).
Glover et al. (2017) A grocery store Discrimination and Six weeks of daily No treatment (they compare the Work absence, Partially, but only FE Minority employees perform considerably
chain in France productivity administrative data for difference in performance between Articles scanned per included in worse when working with biased
204 cashiers hired on a minority and non-minority workers minute, secondary analyses.7 managers.
(How manager biases six-month government when working under more and Minutes worked in
can affect minority subsidized contract in 34 less biased managers) excess of schedule, Minority and majority workers on average
worker outcomes) stores (between Jul 2011 Time between customers demonstrate similar productivity, but
and Aug 2012). Worker (Minority ¼ North African and Sub- minority workers outperform majority
survey and manager Saharan African, based on names). (þseveral workers when they are working for
IAT test6. other variables) unbiased managers.
Managerial attention/communication
A.-S. LARSSON AND M. R. EDWARDS
Hoffman & A large trucking Training Data on miles driven, To decrease turnover the company Turnover No Cox DD (þstructural The training contracts significantly
Burks [(2017a)] company earnings, and introduced a training contract with model, and reduced post-training quitting and
in the USA (How training contracts demographics of a flat fine for quitting in their first Productivity (miles event analysis) increased the profitability of general
affect turnover and “thousands” of new 12 months. The contract was later driven per week) training.
firm profits) drivers (2002-2009). replaced by an 18-month (pro-
rated) contract. More productive drivers are slightly less
likely to leave, which has led to an
increase in average productivity.
(How objective branches (Jan-Dec 2003). managers to base bonuses on Self-initiated sales performance.
performance measures reaching individual customer net appointments
can affect performance revenue targets. Profit increases were driven by larger
in a multitasking branches through higher sales of products
environment) All branches used subjective that had previously only accounted for a
2395
Method(s)/
Firm industry Treatment/HR Dependent Econometric
Author(s)1 and location Area of study Sample/Data intervention variable(s) Soft HRM approach2 Findings
used more objective measures argued to be the reason for the differing
during 6 months. treatment effects.
Manthei et al. A large retail Manager incentives Financial data and Introduction of performance pay Sales per customer at Yes, job/life DD The main effects for both trials are
[(2018)] chain (discount personnel records from for district and store managers. the district and satisfaction.11 insignificant.
supermarket) (How experience affects 284 stores in one region store levels
in Germany the effectiveness of (the chain has more Two randomized trials Performance pay (bonus) seems to only
performance pay) than 2,000 stores). 1st trial Nov 2015-Jan 2016 with have an effect on those stores with
Surveys and district managers (1 treatment relatively lower levels of experience (when
phone interviews. group and 1 control group) there is still room for improvement).
2nd trial Nov 2016-Jan 2017 with There is some evidence that performance
store managers (2 treatment pay may have negative effects on stores
groups and 1 control group).10 with more experience.12
Obloj and An independent Social comparisons Daily sales records of A two-month sales tournament Productivity (number of No Negative binomial The tournament on average increased
Zenger (2017) retail bank. 164 banking outlets, and (primary personal loans). loans sold per branch regressions with productivity, but stores with higher than
Location not (How proximity can manager survey data per day) region, time, average proximity to advantaged stores
disclosed. affect employee (used to measure social Four outlet groups (41 in each) group and (stores competing for more prizes)
A.-S. LARSSON AND M. R. EDWARDS
comparisons and proximity). 8,553 outlet- based on prior performance. The individual decreased their productivity. The results
productivity) day observations. top outlets competed for 4 prices, FE (þOLS) are very similar for all types of measured
the second-best group for 3 prizes proximity (geographical, social, and
and so on.13 structural).
Sandvik et al. An inbound- Pay reductions Commissions and weekly Commission reductions for two of Performance/ effort Yes, perception of firm FE for effort The commission reductions resulted in a
[(2018)] sales call-center. activity data for 2,033 the firm’s six sales divisions. measures: Revenue-per- fairness (pre- decrease in sales as it had a large effect
Location not (How compensation sales agents across Treatment happened at call, treatment survey15) LPM for turnover on turnover for productive employees, but
disclosed. reductions can affect 61 weeks, (April 2016- different times. Conversions rate, (separate only a negligible effect on average
work effort June 201714). Surveys of Commission, and regressions employees.
and turnover) general sentiment. Adherence to schedule for treat 1
and 2) The propensity to quit is higher when the
Turnover take-home pay roughly matches the
market pay (employees making more than
the market pay are more likely to stay).
12
Experience is proxied by mean percentile of store age, manager age, and manager tenure.
13
The prize constituted a holiday at an exotic resort worth approx. 150% of the average monthly salary. All employees at an outlet received the prize to eliminate competition
within branches.
14
The time frame used for the main analysis. Data from 2015 was added in the turnover analysis to identify seasonal patterns.
2397
15
A survey also went out to the first treatment group during the treatment, but all estimates that are related to sentiments (perceived fairness, propensity to refer friends to the job, or
expectations of near-term promotion) are based on answers from the pre-treatment survey.
16
The majority of the firm’s employees work outside of Japan, but approx. 6,000 are employed in Japan and the analysis is limited to a subsample of these workers.
17
However, when they run an LPM with fixed effects for promotions job transfers become non-significant for both genders. Inclusion of fixed effects in the wage model however still
shows that transfers have a positive effect on male but not female wages.
2398 A.-S. LARSSON AND M. R. EDWARDS
grouping variables. Among the last three studies that include a direct
measure of ‘softer’ factors, only Friebel et al. (2017) have repeated meas-
ures for both treated and non-treated employees, and find that the treat-
ment had no effect on organizational commitment and job/life
satisfaction. The remaining two only had pre-treatment measures for
perceptions of fairness (Sandvik et al., 2018), and post-treatment meas-
ures of work/life satisfaction (Manthei et al., 2018) for both the treated
and non-treated, and neither of the studies found any significant effects/
differences between treated and non-treated groups. Lastly, there are 4
studies that partially/indirectly measure job satisfaction/wellbeing by
using worker absenteeism (Frick et al., 2018; Friebel et al., 2018b) and
workers’ perceptions of their managers (Glover et al., 2017; Hoffman &
Tadelis, 2018) as proxies. The latter two studies are the only ones (out of
these 11 studies) to not make use of some sort of treatment or HR inter-
vention, and also the only ones in the entire sample to attempt to model
the effects of ‘soft’ factors on performance and turnover (i.e. using the
’soft’ factors as independent variables), as opposed to measuring a treat-
ment effect on the ‘soft’ factor (i.e. using the ’soft’ factor as the depend-
ent variable).
When reviewing the 25 papers in our sample it appears that most of
these tend to overlook, or choose to disregard, the potential effects of
‘softer’ (more psychologically oriented) factors that have been a core
focus of HRM studies for many decades. That these types of measures
do not enter into the equations may be linked to reasons other than the
researchers choosing not to focus on them. For example, it may be that
there is no data available, that researchers only have relevant data from
one point in time, or that researchers consider these factors to be time-
invariant and thus superfluous in the type of fixed effects models that
are frequently used. However, given that more than half of the studies in
our sample do not mention these types of ‘softer’ factors, it is possible
that some IE authors are unaware of the developments and insights in
mainstream fields of management and psychology given the separation
of the disciplines. It is also possible that some simply choose to disregard
such insights as they do not consider them important to their economics
focused research questions.
out to all employees all along, but the researchers were allowed to tem-
porarily stall the intervention for some groups/individuals in order to
evaluate the intervention effects more rigorously; such an approach
would be an ideal People Analytics project. In other instances (e.g.
Friebel et al., 2017, 2018b; Gibbs et al., 2017; Manthei & Sliwka, 2019)
one may infer from the narratives in the papers that the results of the
‘experiments’ and analyses made the firms decide to roll the interven-
tions out to a wider group. In the latter cases one could thus argue that
these analyses had an impact on the decision-making at these firms.
Discussion
Our short survey of IE research has revealed that there seems to exist a
substantial number of relevant studies in economics that use people-
related data that could serve as helpful inspiration for future applied
endeavors in the field of HRM, either SHRM or the new subfield of
People Analytics. In this section we will discuss some of our key find-
ings, including the benefits and limitations of turning to the IE literature
for guidance, the potential value-added of People Analytics research, and
a few prospective avenues for future HRM research.
An interesting first reflection on the two literatures is that, unlike IE
which has been clearly defined as an approach (Ichniowski & Shaw,
2003), the PA literature is still undergoing development as a field. When
going beyond fairly narrow definitions, much of the PA literature choo-
ses to stress what we would call prerequisites for, and moderators of,
successful people analytics projects rather than discussing the analytical
approaches that are at the core of People Analytics; this may simply
reflect the level of maturity of this subfield at this juncture. The extant
literature gives many good explanations for why PA might fail, and what
needs to be done for it to succeed. However, in spite of the many argu-
ments that PA calls for the use of statistical methods that go beyond
describing the data (e.g. Gelbard et al., 2018; Huselid, 2018; Kremer,
2018) the literature very seldom gives applied examples, or even dis-
cusses, the specificities of the data-driven approaches that have been, or
could be, used (there are however a few examples that describe relevant
methods without applying them to specific business cases or firm data,
e.g. Edwards & Edwards, 2016; van der Laken et al., 2018a; Vasudevan
et al., 2017; Wang & Cotton, 2018; Wei, 2017). With recent journal calls
for special issues in the academic sphere however (e.g. HRM, HRMJ and
Personnel Psychology), this may change.
It has been highlighted that a potential problem with PA is that it ‘is
not a crisp discipline with a sharp focus on a limited number of issues [,
THE INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HUMAN RESOURCE MANAGEMENT 2401
and that it] has come to include anything numerical about talent and
HR work’ (Levenson & Fink, 2017, p.146). We do not see a problem
with allowing PA to be thematically and methodologically broad, we do
however find it troubling is that there is very little guidance to relevant
methods and empirical results at this stage. The latter problem can how-
ever, at least partially, be alleviated by increased interdisciplinarity and
the IE field of economics could be explored for some rich pickings or
‘low hanging fruit’ in this regard.
that people analysts at firms are tasked with will emphasize trying to pre-
dict future outcomes. This, at least partially, pushes the level of inquiry
from causality to prediction. Whilst the management literature has
struggled with determining the causal relationship between HRM and
performance, the economics literature has been more successful in deter-
mining causal links between HR practices and employee productivity
and performance in specific production processes. However, both litera-
tures have largely avoided to try to predict future outcomes, something
that we think will necessarily have to become one of the focal points of
PA research if it aims to stay relevant not only to academia but also to
practitioners.
Notes
1. JEL-codes are widely used for classifying and categorizing economic research. M5 is
the JEL-code for Personnel Economics and it has seven subdivisions: M50: General;
M51: Firm Employment Decisions, Promotions; M52: Compensation and
2410 A.-S. LARSSON AND M. R. EDWARDS
Compensation Methods and Their Effects; M53: Training; M54: Labor Management;
M55: Labor Contracting Devices; and M59: Other.
2. IDEAS is one of the largest bibliographic databases in the world dedicated to
Economics. It is based on RePEc (Research Papers in Economics) and indexes over
2,800,000 items of research (https://ideas.repec.org/). There are many databases that
use the information stored in RePEc, one of these, EconPapers (https://econpapers.
repec.org/), has approximately the same coverage as IDEAS, however we chose to use
IDEAS as it is the only service that provides access to all research items in RePEc.
3. Although not presented in this paper we also extended Marler and Boudreau’s
(2017) review to cover 2017 and 2018, and even though we, in line with
Tursunbayeva et al. (2018), extended Marler and Boudreau’s keyword searches to
include Employee Analytics and Human Capital Analytics, we only managed to find
one paper that could be considered to be an applied paper.
4. The papers were downloaded from February to April, 2019. At that time 13 had
been published or accepted for publication and 12 were available online as working
papers. As of October 2020, 15 of the articles have been published or accepted for
publication. Several of the papers have been published in management or
interdisciplinary journals, but Frick et al. (2018) is the only one that has been
published in an HRM-designated journal.
5. The American Economic Review is one of the most prestigious journals in
economics, and some of the most influential papers in Personnel Economics and
Insider Econometrics have been published there.
6. The article by Sim on & Ferreiro (2018) is not presented as an empirical research
paper but rather as a ‘case study of scholar–practitioner collaboration’ and the authors
frame their analyses of store productivity in a series of discussions of the benefits and
challenges of such collaborations. It is nevertheless the only search result that could
be considered to constitute a longitudinal quantitative intrafirm study, when applying
Marler & Boudreau’s search protocol for the years 2017–2018.
7. van der Laken et al. (2018a) appears as a chapter in a PhD thesis with the title
Data-driven Human Resource Management: The rise of people analytics and its
application to expatriate management. However, the chapter itself makes no
reference to HR/People Analytics and would as such not appear in a narrow
keyword search had it been published as an independent paper.
8. There are for instance also recent examples from both economics and management
of quantitative ‘people analytics type’ studies that explore the effects of employee
wellness programs on health and productivity in both public and private services
(e.g. Gubler et al., 2018; Jones et al., 2019). In economics these types of studies
typically fall under the I category in the JEL classification system (I1 ¼ Health, I2 ¼
Education and Research Institutions, I3 ¼ Welfare, Well-being, and Poverty).
Disclosure statement
We have no conflicts of interest to report.
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