ese 2014 — 2030 Demographic Enroiiment History and Projections for Brick Township Public Schools 101 Hendrickson Avenue Brick, New Jersey 08724 Prepared by y NETTAARCHITECTS 1084 Route 22 West Mountainside, New Jersey 07092 September, 2022Table of Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Overview INTRODUCTION ‘Township Profile Schoo! Distt Profile ‘Schoo! District Feeder System Cohort Survival Methodology Adjustments to the Standard Cohort Survival Methodology ‘Soho! Closures/Repurposed & PreK Expansion Cohort Survival Projections SUPPORTING DEMOGRAPHICS ‘Municipal Births History Municipal Population Growth ‘Municipal Population by Age Group Municipal Residential Building Permits Municipal Residential Sales ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS District Wide Enrolment Projections Pre-K Enrolment Projections Elementary School K-5 Enrollment Projections Middle School 6-8 Enrolment Projections High School 9-12 Enrollment Projections Drum Point Elementary Schoo! Emma Havens Young Elementary School Lanes Mil Elementary Schoo! idstreams Elementary Schoo! Osbomville Elementary Schoo! Veterans Memorial Elementary School Lake Riviera Middle Schoo! Veterans Memorial Middle Schoo! Brick Township High School Brick Memorial High School 16 17 18 19 20 2 23 26 25 28 2 28 29 30Executive Summary Overview Population growth in Brick Township 10 years after WWII and was highest at 277-A%b in the 10-year period from 1850-1960. Growth from 1980-2000 was 14.5% ‘and then decreased to ~1.2% from 2000 to 2010. It increased 1% in 2019. The total population per the 2020 Census is 73,620 compared to 78,072 in 20%0. Population by Age Group shows inereases in Pre School, and Childbeating Age Groups that might be an indication of a stabilizing enrollment in the near future. Residential permitting for now housing peaked in 2000 at 320 units and has Severely decid to a recent avorage of 124 units per year and i projected to decrease, No adjustments are made for a future increase in residential construction Sales of Existing Housing with a recent average of 192 units per year is more significant than the recent average of New Housing at 124 units per year. Total average sales of 18 units per year includes the average of 124 units of new housing, Live Births The 9-year average of 666 Births is used in the projection for those. years not yet available but required for the projection, Historical Enrollments in the District were generally decreasing at a rate of about 100 studenis on average per year from 2014 to 2019. In 2019, enrollments increased due to adding additional Pre-K capacity. ‘Tee Methodology used in projecng enrollments s the recommended method of the New Jersey Department of Education (NJDOE) and is known as “Cohort Survival’. Studies indicate this methodology has af accuracy of 41 1% per year. Adjustments to the Standard Methodology are made for the Pandemic influenced enrollments, Special Education program changes, recent School Closures and Reuse, and for the Pre-K Expansion Grant, District-wide Enrollments are projected o be dcreasing ata slower rate, Nine years of historical enrollments indicate a total decrease of 896 students or 9% over last 9 years. Seven year future enrollments are projected to remain relatively steady until 2029. Bre-K Enrollments inthe projection period unl 2029s expected io increase to 629 students as per the Pre-K Expansion Grant. Depending on potential building capacities; this Prek enrollment number could increase more. Elementary Enrollments decreased by 435 total students to 3,453 students from over last 9 years, and will remain relatively steady with a very slight increase projected until 2629. Middle School Enrollments decreased by 316 total students to 1,805 students over last 9 years, and will remain relatively steady until 2029. High School Enrollments decreased 544 students to 2,635 students over last 9 years, and will remain relatively steady with a projected slight decrease until 2029Township Profile Brick Township is located in Ocean County, New Jersey. As of the 2020, United States Census, the township had a population of 73,620, making itthe state's 13th-largest municipality and the third most populous municipality in Ocean County (behind Lakewood Township and Toms River Township). Population at the 2000 Census was 76,110 and 75,072 at the 2010 Census, In 2009, Brick Township ranked No. 6 on Newsmax magazine's list of the "Top 25 Most Uniquely American Cities and Towns. According to the United States Census Bureau, the township had a total area of 32.22 square miles, including 26.61 square miles of land and 6.61 square miles of water (20.5%). The 2020 United States Census counted 73,620 people, 29,280 house- holds, and 19,551 families in the township. The population density was 2,877.2 per square mile. The racial makeup was 82.1% (60,442) White, 2% (2,576) Black or ‘African American, 0% (0) Native American, 1.7% (1,251) Asian, 0% (0) Pacific Islander, and 2.9% (2,135) from two or more races. Hispanic or Latino of any race were 10.3% (7,582) of the population. Of the 29,280 households, 24.5% had children under the age of 18; 14.6% had some- one living alone who was 65 years of age or older. ‘The average house- hold size was 2.53 andthe average fal size was 5.4% of the population is under the age of 5, 19.7% of the population were under the age of 18, and 20% who were 65 years of age or older. ‘The median age was 43.6 years. ‘The Garden State Parkway is the most prominent highway passing through Brick. It traverses the westem part of the municipality with three interchanges: Exits 21, 90, and 89. Three state routes also pass through: Route 70, Route 88, and Route 35, The major county routes that pass through are CR 28 and CR 549 (as well as its spur} NJ Transit offers bus service between the township and the Port Authority Bus Terminal in Midtown Manhattan on the 137 route, to Philadelphia on the 317 and to Newark on the 67. Ocean Ride service is provided on Route 3, 3A and 4. SOURCES: US Census 2020 Ossan CountySchool District Profile Brick Township Public Schools serve students in pre-kindergarten through tweltth grade, As of the 2022-23 school year, the district, comprised of 12 schools, has an enrollment of 8,440. The following lst comprises the 12 schools and their 2022-2028 enrollments: Early Child Development Genter Pre-K Herbertsville ECDC 202 students Warren H. Wolf ECDC 345 students Elementary Schools K-5 (13000) Lanes Mill Elementary Schoo! 581 students Veterans Memorial Elementary School 625 students Midstreams Elementary School 560 students Osbornville Elementary School 435 students Emma Havens Young Elementary School 759 students Drum Point Elementary Schoo! 480 students Middle Schools 6-8 (19 000) Veterans Memorial Middle School 877 students Lake Riviera Middle Schoo! 909 students High Schools 9-12 (63.000) Brick Memorial High Schoot 41,328 students Brick Township High Schoo! 1,278 students Local Private Schools Nonsectarian private schools include Good Hands Daycare and Ocean Early Childhood Center. ‘St, Dominic's Elementary School, with 448 students, is @ regional Roman Catholic private school overseen by the Roman Catholic Diocese of Trenton.School District Feeder System The following graphic indicates the Districts’ current Feeder System (with 2022-2023 enrollments) which dopicts how students advance through the District from Pre-K (ECDC) to High School. BTPS SY2022-2023 Enrollment District Enroliment “8440 eer rea ior) Cee REIS Crs caate Cura RE=936 ELL=79 ize as [Ups weer struts (6)Cohort Survival Methodology “The Methodology used in projecting enrollments is the recommended method of the Naw Jersey Depariment of Education (NJDOE) and is known as “Cohort Survival’ Cohort Survival projections are based on historic enrollment and birth data in the individual school district and incorporate six years of actual enrollment data with trends that are expected to continue, without significant change in housing or birth rates. Cohort is the name given to the common groups of children originally born in a given year and progressing, together, through the school ‘system, one grade level to the next. tis mandatory to use the same data collection system at the same time each year. Cohort Survival Ratios (CSR) refer to the number of students from one year and grade level who “survive to” or enter the next grade level the following year. The Survival Ratio is then calculated for each grade level change between the six years of actual enroliments which yields 5 ‘Survival Rates per grade change. The five changes are Averaged for each grade level change and itis that Average Survival Ratio between each grade that is used In the Projection ‘The survival ratio indicates whether the enrollments stable, increasing, or decreasing. A survival ratio of one indicates stable enrollment, less than one indicates declining enrollment, while greater than one incicates increasing enroliment. Hf, for example, a schoo! district had 110 first graders and the next year only had 96 second graders, the Grade 1 to Grade 2 Survival Ratio would be 95/1 10 or 0.863. ‘The CSR method assumes that what happened in the past will also cocour in the future, In essence, this method provides a linear projection of the population. The CSR method is most applicable for districts that have relatively stable increasing or decreasing trends without any major Unpredictable fluctuations from year to year. Studies indicate this methodology has an accuracy of +1% per year. In school districts encountering a change in trends, the CSR method must be modified and supplemented with additional information. ‘Adjustments to the Standard Method are most often made for significant in- creases in Residential Construction, changes to educational programs, or school closures and redistricting Pe, =Adjustments to the Standard Cohort Survival Methodology Residential Construction 'No adjustment are required for accelerated housing construction in Brick Township. ‘According to the Township Planner, ‘Generally, the Township does not anticipate a large impact from residential development. We are 99% built out and the subdivisions that we experience are typically minor subdivisions and reconstruction of homes from summer residences to ful-time larger homes. We do have a few major subdivisions that have been in the pipeline for years ..but they are & lot, 12 lot or one 24 lot subdivision, We recsived approvel for our Affordable Housing Settlement Agreement with a RDP (Realistic Development Potential) obligation of 105 units by 2028...” The Pandemic Due to the COVID Pandemic, the 2020-2021 school year enrollments are not included in the averages. In that way, any pandemic related interruptions to normal trends are removed as a factor. These might include transfers to home schooling or a private school,School Closures or Repurposed During the 9-year period of the history projections the following schools have either been closed or repurposed: Education Enrichment Center (EEC) Closed to Students June 2014 Currently used as the BOE Central Office and Administration Bullding ‘Warren H. Wolf PLC (PreK-3) Closed to Students June 2014 Repurposed to Warren H. Wolf ECDC (Pre-K) in September 2019 Herbertsville Elementary Schoo! (K-5) Closed to Students June 2020 Repurposed to Herbertsville ECDC (Pre-K) in September 2020 * Additionally Laurelton School (8-12 Special Ed) was closed to Students in June 2008 and building sold 2022 Pre-Kindergarten Expansion Projections and Capacities have been adjusted to meet the planned expansion of ful-day Pre-Kindergarten as per the Pre-K Expansion Grant from NUDOE. Grcamae Cress REPURPOSED?Cohort Survival Projections ‘The following graphic indicates an example of how the Cohort Survival Projection methodology works. ‘There were 506 Kindergarten Students in 2014-2015 but only 499 First Grade Students in the following year 2015. Therefore, the Survival ration is .99 K-SSe TOTAL YEAR _BIRIHS* "5 1 2 a4 5 1-2014-2015 [712] 0-71 [0] an a a si s56][__ cay 2. 2015.2016 [| _ ama] re [3 % 3] a] =] salsa] 036 om oe 98 320162017 [704] 04a [309] 339 a 376 5 sia] 33 4-2017-2018 [a4] 09a, [395] si] [5] a a aa_s29 ae asa ee a a 5-20182019 [ais] 087 [37] 350) 313 307] 7 wala oss os ass ae oe 62019-2000 [aa] 081 [sai a =] 7a 7 weal 334 7- 2020-2021" 676| 0.69 |_ 467] 510] 473] 478] 453] 474) 525] #2021202 a19] ost [309] wy] 5 369 Ea ws] 92020-2003 [a0] 0.80 [489 a7 a 75 37 wes] 507] AVERAGE 665\ 0.80, 333" G99. 534” 096 sta” 098 504” 097 —a98” 099 307) 58, puouicrions oo oe on oot 0 ei ‘te amsaes [ae] ono st ar ae ten a 2-2004205 [a] a90 496 530 460 “7 462 450551 on ans ave an os 2u25.2028 [6B] 080 530 1 sui 40 "5 4a 584 an os as on as 4-20262037 él 090 531 su wn 499 a an 580 s-2027-208 660 ano $30 226 08 462 486 30 é-tons-2629 658 080 326 3 502 aoe 450 48507 an ave oo on 0” 7-2039-2020 680 080522 sa 406 495 ast 47565 3888 3756 3742 3675 3669 3550 377 saad sas 3647 au8 sans 3494 sod 3538 40Municipal Births History sor 2008 2009, 800 750 70 es 600 550 so as 400 aos 2005, Calendar Year Births are used in this study, including the recent average of 686 annual births. The average is used for projections calculations. Births 2010 wou zoi2 2013 «Mas mS OKT OKT 2020, "1Municipal Population Growth 4930 © 18404960960 t970 «1980 «19902000 0102020 Brick Twp. 1172 1378 4319 16,200 35,087 53.629 65473 76,119 7507273620 Ocean co 381069 37,708 $8622 108,241 708,470 348.038 433,203 510/916 576.5687 637.229 NowJersey 4,041 394 4,100,165 4,835,829 6,086,782 7,108,164 7,384,823 7,790,188 414,360 B,4%4,350 9.288996 Local-County-State Comparative Population 100,000) 190,000 180,000 70,000, 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 1930 1940-1950 1980 1970 1980-1980» 2000 2010 ©2020 EEE Brick SD --e=*Ocean Co{d) ==New Jersey (00) Population growth in Brick Township 10 years after VWVIl and was highest at 277.4% in the 10-year period 1950-1980. Growth from 1990-2000 was 14.5% and then decreased to -1.2% from 2000 to 2010 recently. It increased to 1% to year 2019. The total population per the 2020 Census is 73,620 ‘compared to 76,072 In 2010. 12Municipal Population by Age Group Type Age 1990 2000, 2010 2020 FRKEaR aT TT 3810s ‘SchoolAge sor 40911 2522 «18,493 zoe 10879 tz 10,827 Ghildbearing i232 22250 4130 © «28,889 7407 18252276 19,528 Middle Age 0% 17040 1274 «18,314 8.504 26,848 7,982 24,068 Seniors ose 115121400 12.862 1,959 14,815 _-o1_14.724 3 8 ore r re Percents 1990 2000 2010 2020 eke yong OTe School Age 617 ‘e4tts 786% 42% va Childbearing 2399 0% 8.06% ps0% ams2 Middle Age 206 250% 2085 are sar Seniors ese 172% 700% 40.7% 20% ___Seniors_es+ vse sss ser SD: Population by Age Group: 1990 to 2020 30000 25000 Pre-School School Age Chbearing, Middle age Pre-School Age population is estimated to have increased. 21990 132000 2010 22020 13Municipal Resident 0 Recent Aversge = 128 units/year scarey RMU ttt The recent average of Permits is 124 units per year. ‘There are no known and significant, approved or planned Residential Developments in the near futuro. No additional students from an "above the average” level of residential construction are added to the standard projection 14Municipal Residential Sales oor 2008 200e | 21020112012 2013 2042015212017 2018288 oer nes 486 t70~=«C«M6DSCNGS:S 7] 18D HG ADA 7B Residential Sales 450 400 350 200 250 200 150 100 ET egy agave a aE aaa Residential Sales have recovered from the 2008 Housing Recession. Ata recent average of 316 units!year, Residential Sales include Existing & New Construction. Sales of Existing Housing have a more significant impact at an average of 192 units per year than does New Construction alone at an average of 124 units per year. 253 16District Wide Enrollment Projections Actual Projected YEAR. 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018 2018-2019 2019-2020 2020-2021 2021-2022 2022-2023 2023-2024 2024-2025 2025-2026 2026-2027 2027-2028 2028-2029 2029-2030 ‘TOTAL 9,336 9,035 8,885 8,787 8,629 8,626 8,435 8,472 8,440 8,331 8,284 8,315 8,262 8,285 8,296 8,292 AVG 8,776 High 8,295 AVG% “1% -0.25% 16Pre-K Enrollment Projections YEAR TOTAL AVG _AVG% ‘Actual 2014-2015 148 2015-2016 169 2016-2017 159 2017-2018 153 2018-2019 186-288 13.9% 2019-2020 290 2020-2021 425 2021-2022 512 2022-2023 547 Eee gbREE ELH SEREE LES P EELS eS eee Projected 2023-2024 559 Low 2024-2025 STL 2025-2026 582 2026-2027 594 594 2% 2027-2028 606 2028-2029 618 2029-2030 629 HighElementary School K-5 Enrollment Projections ono cua vEAR & 1 234 §_ Kssi TOTAL 120142015 [sod] oti] asa]_sui] 355] ssa] on] ase 2~ 2015-2016 | 537] 499] 59s] _497] 522] 522] ssa] 3756 3 - 2016-2017 | 582] 530]. asi] sz6[_47s[_sis[ 580] 3742 42017-2018 [_575] ssi] 517|_ 482] sei[_ 463] 526] 3675 s- 2018-2019 [$37] 80], sta] _s07]a75] 356] sai] 3000 6-2019.2000 [sai sia] s25]_aba|a|ae5[ saa] 3580 7-2020-2021|._467]_si0|_473[_478[_ 453] 471] 525] 3377 8 2021-2000-[ sos] aan] a5] azo] aro] aes] saa] aca o- 2022-20003 [aaa] Sto] abo] a7a[ ase] aes] 507] 3453 TECTION 12023-2024 $35. 477-499-479 463 45455338 2-2024.2025 496 530 460 487 467 459 55] 3449 3-2025-2026 $30 491 sll 449 475 463 5543473 4-2026-2027 $31 524 473. 499 438 471 «5583494 5-2027-2028 $30 $26 $05 462 486 «435 «5593504 6-2028-2029 526 525 SOT 494 450 483 «5673552 72029-2030 522-521. 506.495. 481-447 5653538, “inclusive of 00D, WHWES (thru 2049), & HES {thru 2020) = Projected Low AVG 3,495 0.34% Projected High 48Middle School 6-8 Enrollment Projections HISTORICAL DATA (ACTUAL) 6-8SE_ TOTAL YEAR 1 - 2014-2015 2- 2015-2016 3 - 2016-2017 4 ~ 2017-2018 5 = 2018-2019 6 - 2019-2020 7 = 2020-20217] 8 = 2021-2022") 9 - 2022-2023 1 ~ 2023-2024 2 - 2024-2025 3 - 2025-2026 4 - 2026-2027 5 - 2027-2028 6 - 2028-2029 7-~ 2029-2030 6 7 8 575| 546] 590 410 563] _569| 549) 428 S24] 563] 560 420) S3i[ saa] se7[ 411 a7i] 533] 545 391 336] 485] 532[ 397 ez] 529] 491] 364] 47a] 458] 529] 406] asil 479] 476] 369) PROIE S 464 486 481 373 453 468 488 369 458 457. 471 364 462. 463. «459 364 470 467 465 367 434.475 469 302 481 438 477 366 2121 2109 2067 2053 1940 1950 1846 1865 1805 1804 1778 1750 1747 1769 1739 1762 "inclusive of OOD AVG 1,989 L -1.56% = Projected High AVG 1,764 -0.3% = Projected Low 19High School 9-12 Enrollment Projections 9:12 SE TOTAL HISTORICAL DATA (ACTUAL) YEAR o 10 2 1- 2014-2015 [60s] 593] x2] 67a] 77 2- 2015-2016 [sea] eos] soa] esi] 577 32016-2017 [359] 08] soe] eos] 577 4- 2017-2018 [ 560] 574] sos] 608] 72 5-2o18-2019 [saa] 77. 577] eon] 2a 6- 2019-2020 [ssa] sea] sea] sa7] 550 7- 2020-20214 si2]_sé2[_s73| 50a] 548 8- 2021-2022 aaa] sia] S00] sri] 535 9 - 2022-2023 [ssa]_a7ol 507] se] Saal PROTECTIONS 1- 2023-2024 470 540.3. 474 516 509 2-2024.2025 475 477 sas 483508 32025-2026 482, 483482555500 4 - 2026-2027 465 489 487 490 496 52027-2028 453 472 494 «496492 62028-2029 459 460 476. 503480 72029-2030 463. 466. 465 485 48s 3179 “inclusive of 00D 3001 2917 2906 AVG 2834 2,870 -2.49% 2836 2787 2651 2635 2510 = Projected High 2486 2510 = Projected High 2426 AVG 2407 2,441 2387 “2% 2363 = Projected Low 20Drum Point Elementary School HISTORIC DATA (ACTUAL) YEAR K 1 2 3 4 5 .K-5SE TOTAL 1- 2014-2015 48) 7 68) 73) 65: 15 79) 479 2- 2015-2016 58) 52) 69] 63) 73 65) 74) 454 3 - 2016-2017 47) 61 49) 61 55) 7 74) 418 4 - 2017-2018 62) 51 a 63 66} 58) 61 426 5 - 2018-2019 66) 51) 33] 62) 66) 63 66) 427 6 - 2019-2020 TI 7 58| 59] 65) 61) 9 482, 7. 2020-2021 60] 7 al 53) 55) 60) 104} 477 8 - 2021-2022’ 67 1 67 68} 52| 60] 103] 488 9 ~ 2022-2023 70] 68) 22 65) 63) 54) 88) 480 PROJECTIONS 1 - 2023-2024 63 B 68 B 65 63 B 478 = Projected High 2 ~ 2024-2025 58 66 74 70 B 65 72 AIT 3 - 2025-2026 62 61 66. 75 69 oe a 417 AVG 4 - 2026-2027 62 65 61 67 75 70. 70 469 467 5 - 2027-2028 61 64 65 62 67 aes 69. 464 cau 6 - 2028-2029 60 64 65 66 62 67 67 452 7 2029-2030 60 63 64 66 66 62 oT 449 = Projected Low 2Emma Havens Young Elementary School YEAR 1-2014-2015 HISTORIC DATA (ACTUAL) 2- 2015-2016 3 - 2016-2017 4- 2017-2018 5 - 2018-2019 6 ~ 2019-2020 7 2020-2021 8 - 2021-2022 9 - 2022-2023 1- 2023-2024 2 - 2024-2025 3 - 2025-2026 4 - 2026-2027 5 = 2027-2028 6 - 2028-2029 7+ 2029-2030 Bee eee pag sHaRe etd -5 SE TOTAL! io7] 154] v2] 133] 127] aa] 90] 876 1is|_t09[ sas] zi] tai] 23] 77] too] 113] too] tas] tie] 131 58] 782 13] 98] 119] 108] 154] a7] 45] 756 3 AVG usaf of asi] ia] tei] 49] 780 785 -1.4% ros] 117] 123] 110] 137] 113] 58] 766 11of 104] 109] tof oi] 133] 63] 730 uiof 11s] 1080s] 112] ana] 74] 739 si} s20[ ani] roof anf 117] 109] 759 PROJECTIONS 110.92 120 114 102 114 7768 102 110 92 123 116 105 116 764 108 102 111 94 126 119 116 776 = Projected High 108 109 102 113 9 129 ws 773 107 109 109 «105 «11699 113. ‘757 = Projected Low AVG 105 108 109 112 107 119° 116 776 sae 769 105 106 108 112 IIs 110 115 770 2% 22Lanes Mill Elementary School HISTORIC DATA (ACTUAL) YEAR K 1- 2014-2015 |__73 2.-2015-2016 | 68) 3-2016-2017 | _81 42017-2018 | 84 5-2018-2019 | 69] 6 - 2019-2020 |. 87] 7 ~ 2020-2021 6] g-2021-2024 86 9 - 2022-2023 [86] 12023-2024 80 2-2024-2025 74 3-2025-2026 79. 4-2026-2027 79 5-2027-2028 78 6- 2028-2029 77 7- 2029-2030 77 123. 4 5 KSSE TOTAL wl oma] a] 7] 507 ml lo 3] 513 7 | 8s] om] 75] so] 583 7] 75] si] 87] ex] 96) «560 = AVG Fa er 555 0.03% wal as] 76] oo] sats] 550, 35] | 99] Ti] 82] 83] 50 A oof a oa] aa] 502 Hl Bl 85s] co] sof 88} st OJECTIONS 887 17 BT 850 @ 8 92 7 B81 88 578 90 8 573 $1 72 83 88 BB«BH_«STR_= Projected High a Bo 7 m8 B55 0 7 6 554 79 1 8 81 TB HL_—S51_-= Projected Low 23idstreams Elementary School YEAR Kot 2 34 5 _—iK-SSE TOTAL 1-2014-2015 [67] 76] 74] 69] 90] 82]_—ai] 519 2-2015.2016 [67] 66] 76] 75[ 66] 89] 62] so 3-2016-2017 [63] 66] sof 76f 2] to], si] as 4-2017-2018 [7] To] 68] ol oof 7a] a7] 409 AVG s-2018-2019 [88] 68] 75] 64] 63] 70] 46] 474 502 0.88% 6-2019-2020[ 74] 822] 7a] 3] i]s] at 7-2020-202[ si] 2] 8s] 73] 83] a7] 78] sao 8 - 2021-2022" 84 80) 79 84] 7h 7 71 552 9-2022-2003 [7a] 86] 79] 75] 82] 2] 87] «500 PROJECTIONS 1-2023-2028 15 79847 TBA «BA 556. = Projected High 2-2024-2025 70 75 «77 846 OBBLCCiSS 3+2025-20206 «15 69 BOT? Bl 9 530 AVG 521 “1.7% 4-2026-2027 74 74. 68737481 7% = 522 5-2027-2028 74 74 7B 68 WW 74 16 508 6- 2028-2029 73 3 2 2 6 71 75 501 7-2029-200 2 2 BR 2 0 66 74 497. = Projected tow 24Osbornville Elementary School YEAR HISTORIC DATA (ACTUAL) 1- 2014-2015 2.- 2015-2016 3 = 2016-2017 4 ~ 2017-2018 5 - 2018-2019 6 - 2019-2020 7 - 2020-20214) 8 = 2021-2022/ 9 - 2022-2023 1 - 2023-2024 2.- 2024-2025, 3 - 2025-2026 4 - 2026-2027 5 - 2027-2028 6 - 2028-2029 7 - 2029-2030 K 1:2 3 4 5 KS5SE os] oa] 2] os] 2 sa] 7] st] sa] 3] al ale] 32| 49] 47st a Pl ol a] aa] a Sef sa al 2 Ci ee ee alo, sa] sa] aa] a7] 80) 7] 67] 62] 49] a9] 49] ks a oa ol #4, 74] ROW TION: 60 8 64 56 SR ARG BT Om 6 6s 50 Se 8 Wo Gh 0 se ok 8 Gh 6h 2 52 sek 57 6) 6 iH Br OT S88 TOTAL 444 420 429 396 376 398 40L 434 435 32 431 420 418 420 408 405 AVG a7 -0.56% = Projected High 419 1% = Projected Low 25Veterans Memorial Elementary School HISTORIC DATA (ACTUAL) YEAR K 1 2 3 4 5 _KSSE TOTAL 1-20142015 [ aio 120] of 93] 94] 94] 07] 708 2-2015-2016 [89] 109] 113] 91] 99] 89] 108] 69s 32016-2017 [ 125] 82] 103] 116] 85] 99] 119] 729 4-2017-2018 [104] too] 7a[ 86] 102] 7a] 96] 636 s-2018-2019[ if 98] 94] 68] 86] os] si] ot 6-2019-2020 [9689] 90] 96] 72] so] ga] i 72020-2021 89] 88] 95] 90] 99] 82] toa] 647 8-2021-2022{ 83] 90] 89] 86] 92] 99] 118) 657 9-2022-2003 [87] 86] 88] 88] 83] 85] 108] as PROJECTIONS 1-2023-2024 9883828487825 2 - 2024-2025 oO 94 719 18 83 83 OL 598 32025-2026 97 «87-8975 79 BB 598 4-2026-2027 97 «938 «82 8S TSB BRS 5-2027-20288 96 92 «88 «679 «8 OTLB] 599 6- 2028-2029 94 «Ol BF B48 90 7- 2029-2030 9490 87 84834 90 606 = Projected High 602 AVG 660 -2.6% AVG 599 -0.5% = Projected Low 26jera Middle School HISTORICAL DATA (ACTUAL) YEAR 6 7 8 6-8SE_ TOTAL 1-2014-2015 [289] 252] 233] 185 959 2-2015-2016 [271] 286 254] 189] 1000 3-2016-2017 [ 242| 264) 278 178} 962 4-2017-2018 [252] 248] 262 180) 942 sista AVG 5- 2018-2019 | 230] 249] 253 184] 916 942 0.2% 6 - 2019-2020 | _259 27 257 182] 935 7 -2020-20211 220[ 257] 243 153 873 8+ 2021-20224) 250] 232] 254 173] 909 9 - 2022-2023 | 242} 257] 248} 162| 909 ‘TIONS 12023-2024 227-245-260 173 905. = Projected High 22024-2025 221 230-248 167 866 3-2025-2026 227 224 232164848 ie 452026-2027 230. 230: 227.—=««165— B85 ee 5-2027-2028 227 «233-233 166 859 6 - 2028-2029 203-230-235 161 829 = Projected Low 72029-2030 235. 205-233 162 835Veterans Memorial Middle School YEAR 6 7 8 6-88 1-2014-2015 [286] 294] 357] 202 2- 2015-2016 [292] 283] 295] 219 3-2016-2017 [282] 299] 282] 223 4 - 2017-2018 279) 296] 305 209 s-2018-2019 [ 241] 28a] 292] 189) 6- 2019-2020 [277] 248] 275[ 203 7-2020-2021'|_ 24a] 272] 199] 8-2021-2022{ 222] 226] 275| 219 9 - 2022-2023 [_ 239] 299] 228] 188 PR nN 1 - 2023-2024 237 241 222 183 22024-2025 231 239 240 «185 3-2025-2026 238 233 238 «185 4-2026-2027 240 239 233.185 5 - 2027-2028 237° 242-239 186 62028-2029 212 239 241 «181 72029-2030 245-213. 239182 TOTAL, 1139 1089 1086 1089 1006 1003 961 942 877 882 895 893 397 904 873 879 = Projected High = Projected Low 4,029 3% 889 0.02% 28Brick Township High School HISTORICAL DATA (ACTUAL) YEAR 9: 10 11. 12 -9-12SE TOTAL 1- 2014-2015 [282] 263 286| 306] 331] 1468 2- 2015-2016 | 230] 288] 269} 309] 276] 1372, 3-2016-2017 | 250] 239] 284] 268] 290} 1331 4-2017-2018 [_272| 257| 250] 286] 283] 1348 5- 2018-2019 | 252} 280] 261| 256) 246] 1295 6- 2019-2020 [ 256] 261] 286] 270] 256] 1329 7 - 2020-20217} 249] 265} 266] 287] 261) 1328 8- 2021-20224 238] 251] 265] 261] 247] 1262 9 2022-2023 |_264] 244] 245) 259] 261] 1273 On 1-2023-2024 214. 271.246 «249 «2561236 = Projected High 2+2024-2025 218 220 274 250 2521213 3-2025-2026 220. 223 222-278 «= 2491191 -—— AVG 4-2026-2027 215. 225 226 2252381129 1,162 -1.86% 5-2027-2028 210 221. 228 «229 «2371125 — 6 - 2028-2029 216-216 223-231 237 1122 72029-2030 218 221 218 226-237 «1120 = Projected LowBrick Memorial High School YEAR 1 - 2014-2015 2.- 2015-2016 3 - 2016-2017 4- 2017-2018 5 - 2018-2019 6 - 2019-2020 7 ~ 2020-2021 8 - 2021-2022' 9 - 2022-2023 1 ~ 2023-2024 2 ~ 2024-2025 3 - 2025-2026 4- 2026-2027 5+ 2027-2028 6 - 2028-2029 7 - 2029-2030 ~ HISTORICAL DATA (ACTUAL) 9-12 SE. TOTAL 9 0 UW BR 321] 330] 346] 368 294] 334] 317] 325] 352[ 253 309] 330] 322] 338] 239] 288] 317| 345] 319] 237 296] 297] 316] 352] 228] 298] 302] 296] 317] 242] 263] 297] 307] 305] 244] 226] 261] 304] 310[ 250] 268] 226] 262] 323] 250) PROJECTIONS 244 260.7 228 26721 248 245 272-233-209 250 249 248 278 214 24S 252 252-253-210 230 247 254-257-209 246 241 249-259 =~ (209 248 247 243 254208 1659 1581 1538 1506 1489 1455 1416 1351 1329 1220 1208 1239 = Projected High 1212 1206 1204 1201 = Projected Low 30