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EurapeanManagementJournalVol. 14, No. 2, pp.

167-175, 1996
Copyright © 1996 Elsevier Science Ltd
~ Pergamon Printed in Great Britain. All rights reserved
0263-2373(95)00060-7 0263-2373/96 $15.00 + 0.00

Whatever Happened at
Barings? Part One:
The Lure. of Derivatives
and Collapse
PAUL STONHAM, Associate Professorof Finance, EAP-European School of Management,
Oxford

On 27 February 1995, Barings, one of the UK's


oldest merchant banks and a well-known name, was
placed in administration following the disclosure
that one of its Singapore traders, Nick Leeson, had
accumulated losses of over £ 8 0 0 million on trading
futures and options contracts.

Part One of this Case Study considers the scale of


this disaster, placing it in the perspective of similar
banking losses of recent years, as well as the
damage that was caused to creditors. It reviews
features of futures and options - the main financial
products used in Leeson's authorised operations - as
well as the kind of risks that are encountered. It also
considers Barings' ill-fated corporate strategy since
the 19S0s.

Run Up to the Collapse


Late on Thursday, 23 February 1995, a man was seen
hurriedly leaving his office, Ocean Towers, the
gleaming, glass-fronted headquarters of Baring Futures
(Singapore) (BFS), in Raffles Place, the heart of
Singapore's business district. This was Nick Leeson,
general manager of Baring Futures and the company's
senior floor trader on the Singapore Intemational
Monetary Exchange (SIMEX). He was never to retum.

That evening, he and his wife Lisa drove to Kuala


Lumpur, then flew to Kota Kinabalu. The following
Wednesday, he flew alone to Frankfurt where German
police took him into custody on the grounds of criminal
charges notified to them by the Singapore Government.

Earlier, in the small hours of Friday 24 February,

EuropeanManagementJournalVol 14 No 2 April 1996 ~6 7


WHATEVER HAPPENED AT BARINGS? PART ONE: THE LURE OF DERIVATIVESAND COLLAPSE

following growing suspicions, several senior Baring staff £400m was an early, and much understated, calculation
visited the offices of BFS and, after inspecting docu- of the cumulative loss.
ments, were unable to obtain a reconciliation of BFS's
cash position, detected a large fraudulent receivable, and By Monday 27 February, all the UK newspapers had the
found a concealed account listing massive losses mainly story. The Financial Times, under the banner, 'Barings
on futures contracts traded on SIMEX and Japanese stock forced to cease trading,' said,
exchanges.
'Barings, the UK merchant banking group, was last night
This information was fed to an emergency meeting at placed in administration owing more than ~500m on
the headquarters of the Barings Group in London on financial derivatives contracts after the Bank of England
Thursday evening local time (London GMT is eight failed to organise a rescue by other banks.'
hours behind Singapore). At that meeting, Tony Gamby,
Settlements Director of Baring Investment Bank and a The estimate of the loss had increased. Then, on
Director of Baring Brothers and Co Ltd (effectively the Thursday 28 February, the FT along with other
merchant bank and corporate finance advisory arm), was newspapers began more detailed analysis of the collapse
reported as saying that alarm bells were ringing. under the heading, 'The box that can never be shut', an
apparent reference to the Bank of England's alleged
With colleagues, Gamby flew to Singapore the next day inability to control the 'Pandora's box' of financial
and all through Saturday, local time, worked o n papers in derivatives and the exposure to risk that they can entail.
the BFS offices. He was forced to confirm to HQ that BFS The newspaper went on to say,
was apparently insolvent; the profits that Leeson had
previously reported in 1993 and 1994 were illusory and, 'At the close of business on Friday, Barings enjoyed a
worse, the losses which were found could not be debited reputation as one of the best managed of Britain's second-tier
to client accounts, they were entirely to Barings' account. merchant banking groups. Before the markets had re-opened
on Monday morning, the oldest name in British banking
In London, on Friday, local time, the directors of the {founded 1762) had been reduced to beggary.'
parent company, Borings plc, allowed the Barings Group
to continue trading, but notified the Bank of England In fact, the accolade to Barings was unjustified. Later
(the supervisory authority) of apparent insolvency as the inquiry found the banking group's management of its
result of fraud. Over that weekend, the Bank of England securities business lax and confused, a factor contributing
failed to secure financial support from the international to the demise of BFS and the whole group, as important
banking community and decided not to rescue Barings as the local wild trading and deceptive accounting which
with tax-payers' money. Barings plc and most of its had taken place in Singapore.
subsidiary companies were placed in administration with
Ernst and Young. In Singapore, on Monday 27 February,
SIMEX obtained approval from the Singapore High What Exactly was the Scale of the
Court to appoint Price Waterhouse as judicial managers
of BFS, and the company ceased trading.
Disaster?
Although first estimates varied widely, by 28 February
the British Press was talking in terms of £700m losses.
Early Press Comment There were reasons for this imprecision apart from the
fact that a full investigation had not yet taken place.
This was a major shock to the international financial First, was the devious and untrustworthy nature of the
community and, predictably, made headlines in the accounts being kept by BFS, and second, the losses had
world's Press. Even at this early stage, several bbtes noires resulted from one-way (unmatched) bets on futures
were aired alongside comment on the immediate effects contracts which still had open positions (had not been
of the collapse, like the inherent risk of financial sold in this case) and on which the losses were increasing
derivatives trading and lack of proper regulation by daily.
trading markets and official regulators. These were to be
explored in detail as the months went by. Eventually, a committee of inquiry (the Board of Banking
Supervision)I which reported to the House of Commons
In the UK, the Sunday newspapers were the first to break on I8 July 1995, calculated cumulative trading losses
the news to the general public, following news agency incurred by Leeson to amount to £827m on 27 February
reports on Sunday 26 February. A heading in the Sunday 1995 when trading ceased, and £927m when additional
Times screamed, expenses to close out (sell), foreign exchange losses
through revaluations, and SIMEX costs for taking over
'Queen's bank near collapse in ¢.400m loss. Bank desperate to and closing out remaining open positions, were added in.
find buyer after losing $600m in derivatives trading.'
The immediate damage to markets (foreign exchange
The 'Queen's bank' was a reference to the fact that the and stock markets) was less than might have been
Queen was a depository" client of the merchant bank. expected - mostly resulting from falls in confidence. The

168 European ManagementJournalVo114 No 2 April 1996


WHATEVER HAPPENED AT BARINGS? PART ONE: THE LURE OF DERIVATIVESAND COLLAPSE

Pound dropped by about three pfennig to DM2.302, There was therefore much newspaper speculation about
more than a pfennig below the previous record low of which creditors of Barings would lose money. For
DM2.3125 reached in February 1993 after leaving the example, there appeared to be some 3,000 depositors of
Exchange Rate Mechanism. The Tokyo Stock Exchange Baring Brothers Bank with around £2.5 billion at risk.
Index (Nikkei 225) fell 1000 points, a slump of 5 per cent These included local councils, pension funds, banks,
on 27 February when markets re-opened, but finished charities and building societies.
that day down 3.8 per cent at the close of trading. The
London Stock Exchange Index (FTSE 100) lost only 12.4 There were four 'main arms' to the Barings group -
points on 28 February to close at 3, 025.3. Baring Asset Management (managing £27 billion in
funds), Baring Brothers and Co (the merchant bank),
Neither was there 'systemic' damage to the banking Baring Securities, and Baring Investment Management.
system. Partly this was because, in international terms, The last subsidiary managed investment funds for
Barings was a 'tiddler', a tiny player in intemational charities, pension funds and wealthy individuals, and
banking in comparison with the huge American and was the only arm not placed in administration - it
Swiss banks. Barings' £354m plus capital resources continued trading. Although the fund management side
(assets £5.9 billion) were dwarfed by banks whose of Barings was 'ring-fenced' (its assets held separately
resources ran into several billions. Midland Global from Baring Brothers Bank), unfortunately around
Markets, for instance, which is owned by HSBC £633m of cash was deposited in Baring Brothers Bank,
Holdings, has capital resources of £11.7 billion (assets and was therefore at risk. Similarly, offshore funds and
£201 billion), and is the tenth most active derivatives investment funds of Barings were 'ring-fenced', but had
trader; Barclays de Zoete Wedd (BZW), owned by cash on deposit with the separate banking arm.
Barclays Bank, is one of the top 15 global derivatives
operators, and has capital resources of £10.5 billion Among other major creditors were holders of Baring
(assets £166 billion). Brothers' 9.25 per cent Perpetual Subordinated Notes,
issued in January 1994 (bond-holders) which initially
To place Barings' loss in a wider perspective, Barings' drew in £100m of bond-holders' money. In 14 months,
loss would have wiped out Barclays' 1993 profits of these lost 100 per cent of their value. Barings plc's share
£664m, of which £501m came from BZW, but not its capital was privately subscribed by senior managers and
1994 profits of around £2 billion. In 1993, Midland the owners, and this was also at risk. Fifteen Japanese
made £844m in profits, of which £585m came from its banks had a total of £425m of assets in Baring Securities
derivatives arm. It is interesting to note that in 1994, (Japan); about £312m was likely to be written off as bad
Midland's derivatives trading contributed just £33m to assets. Finally, a number of Japanese banks lent money to
group profits of £905m. The bank attributed the £552m BFS in the form of govemment bonds to cover margin
drop to 'losses from dealing in derivatives on the bond payments lodged with the Osaka Securities Exchange to
market'. In other words, the Midland profit shortfall was the value of around £390m. There was great uncertainty
more than half the loss that caused Barings to collapse, about whether these would be repaid.
but there was much less agonising over the reduced
Midland profit position, and less recriminatory comment
on the riskiness of derivatives.
Did Barings Increase its Risk Through
However, as far as Barings was concerned, the losses Trading Derivatives?
were catastrophic - £827m in relation to shareholders'
funds of £354m. There was much speculation in the There has been a catalogue of disasters arising from
business Press in the clays following the collapse about derivatives trading by banks and corporations in recent
which creditors of Barings would suffer. Although BFS years, some of them like Barings, large enough to have
had incurred one-way losses on futures contracts traded very damaging consequences. The list includes London-
on SIMEX and the Osaka Exchanges, because of the based food and drink manufacturer Allied Lyons in early
system of 'margining' (daily instalments of money paid 1991 ($220m loss on foreign exchange options), Nippon
to the Clearing House on falling market values of the Steel Chemical in 1993 ($128m), Showa Shell Sekiyu in
contracts), SIMEX was owed only a few days' unpaid 1993 ($1.05 billion), Kashima Oil in 1994 ($1.45 billion
margins. on foreign exchange losses), the US washing powder
and consumer goods company Procter and Gamble in
The problem was not that the counterparties to the BFS 1993 (around $423m on interest rate swaps), Chile's
contracts (in effect the Clearing Houses) would not be State-owned copper company, Codelco in 1994 ($207m
paid the increased value of their contracts due to their on copper futures trading), the German industrial
more successful price forecasting, it was that BFS had company, MetaUgesellschaft in 1993 ($660m on
been trading 'for the house' (proprietary trading), that is mismatches between its derivatives hedges and long-
to say, with its own money, not as an agent on behalf of term oil contracts with customers), and Japan's twelfth-
client corporations paying margin with their funds. The largest commercial bank, Daiwa Bank, in its New York
£827m cumulative payments had been funded by Office in 1995 ($1.1 billion on unauthorised bond and
Barings London either directly with cash or by borrowing possible derivatives trading), and the Finnish bank
(apart from some dishonest funding by Leeson). Postipankki in 1995 ($100m).

European ManagementJournalVo114 No 2 April 1996 169


W H A T E V E R HAPPENED AT BARINGS? PART ONE: THE LURE OF DERIVATIVES A N D COLLAPSE

Yet, these derivatives-related trading losses should be Another point places the drama of derivatives into better
put into wider perspective before it is thought that perspective. Whilst the lightning speed with which an
derivative financial products are inherently dangerous. ancient but small British establishment bank's collapse
from reckless futures trading is rightly frightening, the
While it is true that the volumes and value of futures, scale of this demise is small beside other banking losses
options and swaps contracts traded have increased in the cash markets. Barings cost the British taxpayer
astronomically in recent years, the amount of capital at nothing, yet Credit Lyonnais, the French State-owned
risk in derivatives transactions is far less than the face bank, had accumulated losses of FFr13.3 billion (£1.9
value of these contracts. For example, some 153m billion) by early 1995 from bad loans and poor
contracts were traded on the London International investments all in traditional, non-derivative-linked
Financial Futures Exchange (LIFFE) in 1993 compared banking business. These were not only large losses,
with only 241,881m in 1982, the market's first year of but they were illiquid in terms of laying them off
trading. In 1994, the volume increased by another 50 per compared with derivative risks on exchanges. All of the
cent on the four US exchanges - the Chicago Board of international banking community's losses on overseas
Trade, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, the Chicago investments and property in the '80s, and bonds in the
Board Options Exchange and the New York Mercantile '90s, dwarf derivatives' losses. Banks have not found it
Exchange, and volumes of futures and options increased difficult to lose huge sums of money without going
26 per cent in 1994 to reach a total of 658.5m. Yet a anywhere near derivatives.
1994 Survey conducted by Arthur Andersen of the
riskiest derivative transactions - privately-negotiated
over-the-counter (OTC) transactions - showed that of Was Barings' Over-aU Corporate
the total notional value of swaps (principal amounts of
contracts) of $8,133 billion, the cost of replacing the Strategy Ill-fated?
cashflows in these contracts was a mere one per cent to
two per cent of the notional value. The International Aside from the question of whether derivatives are
Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA) always inherently dangerous (to which the simplistic answer is
boasts of the size and value of derivatives business, that as well-managed insurance instruments, they are
but this has led to confusion arising from using notional not), it may properly be asked if the Baring Group's
amounts to describe the amount corporate strategy was well-
of risk assumed by market considered in the years running
participants. It is because
In I818, the Duc de up to 1995.
derivatives contracts are Richelieu said, 'There are six
leveraged - buyers incur only a Barings was an illustrious name.
small cost of the principal sum in
great powers in Europe: In 1818, the French Foreign
acquiring the contract, and most England, France, Prussia, Minister, Duc de Richelieu said,
contracts are closed out before 'There are six great powers in
maturity. Austria, Russia and Baring Europe: England, France, Prussia,
Brothers' Austria, Russia and Baring
A further report 2 by the Brothers'. This accolade did not
Economist Intelligence Unit indicates that international apply so well eighty years later when Barings had to be
companies are making rapidly growing use of rescued by the Bank of England for huge non-performing
derivatives despite the well-publicised corporate loans in Argentina.
collapses, including Barings. From responses of 100
international companies, 95 per cent reported a From then on, however, Barings continued in traditional
continuing favourable attitude to derivatives, with 52 merchant banking, building up a reputation based on
per cent regarding derivatives as 'an essential and corporate finance, strong investment management, and
regularly utilised tool'. the trading it did for one of the best client lists in
London including the Royal Family. But by the time of
On the other hand, Touche Ross published a study 3 in 'Big Bang' in London in 1987, it was in danger of being
1995 of the use and control of derivatives by 26 side-lined. Unlike its rivals, it did not attempt to create
companies in the London FTSE 100 Index. Touche Ross an integrated investment bank as others did following
found thaL despite knowledge of corporate losses from 'Big Bang'.
derivatives trading, only 6 5 per cent of the companies
surveyed had a written policy on the use of derivatives, Up to 1984, Baring Brothers and Company (BB and Co)
and in many of these, the policies were inadequate. Only was a merchant bank spedalising in corporate finance
50 per cent said their policies specified the types of and debt trading. In 1984 it acquired the stockholding
derivatives allowed, and 50 per cent had policies which business of a small stockbroking company, Henderson
imposed limits on the volume and principal amounts of Crosthwaite, a company with a staff of 15 based in
derivatives transacted. Only 58 per cent of companies London, Hong Kong and Tokyo. BB and Co then
calculated the market value of their derivatives on a established Baring Securities Limited (BSL), as a
frequent basis. However, less than 10 per cent reported separately (and liberally) managed business within the
that derivatives were used for speculative purposes. group. The head of BSL came from Henderson

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WHATEVER HAPPENED AT BARINGS? PART ONE: THE LURE OF DERIVATIVESAND COLLAPSE

Crosthwaite, Christopher Heath. In the 1980s he was forced either to reinvent themselves or go out of
very successful, enjoying the fruits of the 1980s Tokyo business. A major new strategy was to push into new
Stock Market boom and specialised in Japanese equity markets, like derivatives and new financial products, and
warrants - bonds sold with warrants exercisable into to engage in proprietary trading on these and existing
shares. Heath briefly earned notoriety when he was capital markets. Until its collapse, bank proprietary
identified as Britain's highest-paid employee, earning trading in bonds proved very profitable.
£2.6m annually. At one point, in 1985, Barings bought
Heath a £5m Asian securities business to develop which This was probably a mistake for a bank with
quickly returned £150m. Such was the expansion of the shareholders' funds (in 1994) at only £354m. Such a
securities side of the business, and the growth of narrow capital base was insufficient to run proprietary
business in emerging markets, that Barings decided to trading positions, especially in trades where the returns
consolidate BB and Co and BSL, the banking and were leveraged and the risk high and complex to
securities side of its operations, for Bank of England understand. Most dangerous of all, the experience of
reporting purposes. Between 1992 and 1995, Barings Christopher Heath and later from Leeson was that it
instigated a major internal reconstruction and manage- seemed possible to make large profits from derivatives
ment reorganisation designed to combine BB and Co and on what appeared to be a risk-flee basis. But this trading
BSL into a new and integrated structure, Baring everywhere was conducted by people who were able to
Investment Bank (BIB). This reorganisation had not been profit from fast-moving markets, not by those schooled
completed by the time of the collapse. Derivatives in the meticulous internal controls associated with
trading was, of course, part of BSL. traditional banking.

The success of Christopher Heath in the 1980s (he Ironically, by 1995, Barings was enjoying modest
resigned in 1993), contributing a disproportionate share success in its merchant banking business and corporate
of Barings' overall profits, proved to be a blessing and a finance. Among purely UK merchant banks it handled
curse. Heath's strength lay in understanding the the largest number of acquisitions in Europe in 1994
securities markets in the Far East, and he paid less after S G Warburg. Among all banks it was sixth
attention to client positions than the traditional advising on 29 transactions with a combined value of
merchant banking style would have done. There were £8.7 billion - three times the 1993 value. In 1995 it was
definite problems of culture difference between the two adviser to the pharmaceutical company Wellcome in the
sides of the group - stockholders versus bankers - UK's largest-ever takeover by Glaxo. Other corporate
mainly in terms of perception and management of risk, advice included the giant 1994 flotation of 3i and Lloyds
and also in technical understanding. Ironically, Heath Bank's bid for the Cheltenham and Gloucester Building
departed after anxieties about the risk positions he was Society. In all in 1994, it advised 70 quoted corporate
developing, although he never entered into unmatched clients increasing the 1994 fee and commission income
derivatives trades like Leeson, even when doing by 47 per cent over the previous year.
proprietary business.
Barings Securities also did well in other respects. In 1994
But growth became addictive, and after the departure of and 1995, it was a leading equity broker in Asia and
Heath, Barings still sought the high returns it had Latin America; in fact, one-third of the company's
previously enjoyed from emerging markets and the new employees of 4,000 staff were in emerging market
financial products, like equity warrants which had countries. Emerging markets were also a speciality of
proved so profitable in the past. The gap between BB Barings' third leg, Baring Asset Management, which had
and Co and BSL seemed as big as ever, though. One over £30 billion in funds under management.
former staff member is quoted as saying,
None of this relatively profitable business was, however,
'The distance between 8, Bishopsgate (the banking office) and able to save Barings from the debacle in the Far East.
1, America Square (the securities office) was a few hundred
yards and 150 years.'

It was into this confused culture with its mixed reporting


Futures and Options in Risk
lines that Leeson took up his appointment in Singapore Management
(in March 1992) to 'head up the SIMEX operation and
also act as floor manager'. The derivatives which Leeson traded in the Far East were
of the simplest type - futures and options. All derivative
In general terms, Barings fell into the same trap in the financial contracts are tradeable ins~uments whose value
1980s as did many other financial services organisations. reflects, at least partially, that of the underlying asset -
World-wide banking profits were being eroded in their in Leeson's case equities, bonds and currencies - but also
traditional lines of business, like lending at interest, by interest rates and commodities can be involved. Future
'disintermediation' - the growth of securities business contracts are agreements to buy or sell these assets at an
like commercial paper at the expense of bank loans. agreed future date and price. Options are agreements
Increased competition and technological innovation that give the buyer the right - but not the obligation -
narrowed their margins further so that the banks were to buy or sell an asset at or by an agreed future date.

European ManagementJournal Vo114 No 2 April 1996 1 71


WHATEVER HAPPENED AT BARINGS? PART ONE: THE LURE O1. DERIVATIVESAND COLLAPSE

Table 11 The Tokyo Stook Exolwnge JCIII Futures Gontraot

Trading Minimum Tick size Contract Last trading Initial margin


unit price and value months day requirements
movement

Standardieed 6% 1/100 point ¥10,000 March, June, Ninth business 2% of nominal


10-year JGB with Sept. and Dec. day prior to each transaction value for
a face value of Cycle (5 contract delivery date members, The higher
¥100m m onths at all 3% of nominal
times) transaction value or 6m
for clients (of which at
least one-third must be
cash)

Both futures and options can be traded on offidal manager who buys a stock index futures contract agrees
exchanges or over-the-counter (OTC). to buy the stock index, and conversely, the seller of a
stock index futures contract agrees to sell the stock
Futures and options evolved as instruments to manage index. The value of a stock index futures contract is the
(hedge) risk. With recent liberalisation of exchange rates product of the futures price and the futures contract
and increased volatility in currency markets, their use multiple. For the Nikkei 225 stock average future on
became more widespread, and the volume and value of SIMEX, the multiple is 500. Therefore, put another way,
contracts traded rocketed. Similarly, with greater a stock index future is a contract to buy or sell the face
freedom on capital markets and increased international value of the underlying stock index, where the face value
borrowing and lending, the opportunities to lower costs is the value of the index multiplied by a specific amount.
of borrowing and to stabilise interest rate risk similarly
became more available. The advantages of stock index futures to hedgers are
important:
But all of this activity can legitimately be called
'hedging' or insurance. With fine business margins, °~' They allow investors to participate in a stock market
particularly internationally, it is important to safeguard without actually buying and selling the shares
those margins against external movements in currency themselves.
prices and interest rates. The use of financial futures and °**° The margining system allows this participation
options can offset that risk sometimes completely. without the commitment of very large amounts of
capital.
The principle is very simple - the hedger (bank, pension °~' Buying and selling futures positions costs much less
fund, corporate treasurer, etc) takes a position in future than buying and selling shares.
contracts (buys or sells) that is equal and opposite to an °~° Positions can be closed out quickly.
existing or anticipated position in the cash market. The
hedger 'locks in' to currency prices or interest rates
which he regards as acceptable and therefore guarantees However, the overwhelming bulk of deals in derivatives
them. Unfortunately, it means that the benefit of any markets like futures and options by volume and value is
favourable move in prices or rates is foregone. So, for undertaken by traders (speculators) not hedgers, and are
instance, a long (buy) hedge in interest rates can be used unconnected with underlying cash or trade transactions.
to protect against exposure to falling interest rates or Some of this speculation is risk-controlled but other
protect the return from a planned investment by buying forms can be very risky indeed. Whilst traders clearly
futures contracts. Conversely, a short (sell) hedge can be add much-needed liquidity to derivatives markets, they
used to protect against exposure to rising interest rates. can incur considerable risk themselves. In trading futures
Futures and options are normally dealt with on official contracts, there are generally thought to be three trading
exchanges like the Tokyo Stock Exchange and are strategies, in increasing order of risk:
standardised contracts so that the only variable is price.
An example is the 10-year Japanese Government Bond o'o Arbitrage trading - t u m i n g a profit from the
(JGB) Future traded on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, one simultaneous purchase and sale of futures contracts
of the three main instruments traded by Leeson. It has and cash instruments on the same or different
the characteristics shown in Table 1. exchanges where there is a temporary price
mismatch.
Futures contracts can also be used to hedge investment o~° Spread trading - taking a view on the way price
portfolios against future unfavourable movements in differences between different future contracts will
share prices. And this was another instrument traded by trend.
Leeson. A stock index futures contract is one in which g" Position trading - making one-way bets on changes
the underlying asset is a specific stock index (like the in interest rates or currency rates buying or selling
Nikkei 225 stock index). An investor or portfolio futures contracts.

1 72 EuropeanManagementJournalVo114No 2 April 1996


WHATEVER HAPPENED AT BARINGS? PART ONE: THE LURE OF DERIVATIVESAND COLLAPSE

Two features of financial futures and options contracts (London) Limited, Baring Securities (Japan), Baring
are especially relevant for trading - leverage and the Securities Hong Kong Limited and Banque Nationale
margining system. It was also these features that caused de Pans (Japan). He dealt in six main financial futures and
particular problems for Leeson. some options on them, as follows:

An example of the extreme effects of leverage is given oIo the Nikkei 225 contract traded on SIMEX in
by Derek Ross.4 A trader wishing to establish a long Singapore:
position of $Imillion in Eurodollar time deposit rates, oIo the Nikkei 225 contract traded on OSE in Japan;
could buy one futures contract on the London o~o the 10-year JGB contract traded on SIMEX in
International Financial Futures Exchange (LIFFE), and Singapore;
he would be asked by LIFFE to deposit just $750 as the o~o the 10-year JGB contract traded on TSE in Japan;
initial margin. If the futures price rose by 50 basis points o~o the 3-month Euroyen contract traded on SIMEX in
(0.5 per cent), since the value of each point is officially Singapore;
$25, he would show a profit of $1,250 (50 z $25) or o~o the 3-month Euroyen contract traded on TIFFE
nearly 100 per cent return on his original investment. If, (Tokyo Financial Futures Exchange) in Japan.
however, the rates had gone the other way, he would
stand to lose nearly 100 per cent of his original Around 1993, arbitrage business began to be an
investment. important part of Baring's Far Eastern operations.
Initially this took the form of cash/futures arbitrage in
The margining system has been established by official Tokyo, and soon after the rapid build up of arbitrage
exchanges like LIFFE and SIMEX to avoid or at least between SIMEX and OSE on Nikkei 225 futures
reduce counterparty risk on futures and options. Margins contracts. The Barings' management called this
are 'good faith' money. The initial margin on the Osaka authorised business 'switching' although it would
Stock Exchange for the Nikkei 225 average future is 10 normally be known as a form of inter-exchange
per cent of the transaction value. On other exchanges arbitrage. Leeson would buy and sell Nikkei 225 futures
the percentage of initial margin can be much lower. A contracts simultaneously on SIMEX and OSE, benefitting
speculator could bet on a rise in paces in the British gilt from small differences in identical contracts - buying at
market through buying long gilt futures contracts on the cheaper price and selling at the higher. These
LIFFE. He could achieve a position of £1m in gilts for an opportunities existed because OSE and SIMEX have
outlay of just £20,000, and this initial margin could be different market conditions - OSE has local business,
deposited in interest-bearing securities rather than cash - SIMEX mostly 'off-shore' business, and OSE, being
a gearing of 50 times. It is the margin system that gives electronic, conducts business more slowly than SIMEX.
rise to the (unlimited) potential for gain and loss on a
levered basis. But it is also this leverage possibility that Leeson also 'switched' JGB futures contracts on SIMEX
reduces the cost of reducing price risk for hedgers. and TSE. This arbitrage market provided good
Although the exchange clearing house could not suffer opportunities since the JGB market was rather volatile.
large losses because of each day's marking to market in He also did arbitrage business on SIMEX and TIFFE
cash, an investor can lose large (levered) sums of money Euroyen contracts, although the opportunities here were
through a steady stream of margin calls. limited.

For exchange-traded options, the buyer has no margin Arbitrage business can generate only very small profits
requirements because he pays the option price in full - it on large volumes of contracts traded. Even then, there is
is the maximum amount he can lose. The option writer a built-in limit to the amount of profits that can be
(seller) takes on all the risk of the position of the generated since, if orders for large quantities are placed
underlying asset, he is required to put up the option on two exchanges, the price differences tend to
price received as margin and is usually also required to diminish,s
deposit additional margin as the position is marked to
market daily. This gives rise to different risk/reward As well as exploiting price differences in this way,
characteristics of options and futures. Futures provide a Leeson could match client orders on SIMEX when
symmetrical risk/reward relationship - buyers and sellers liquidity was not available to execute it immediately,
lose/gain equally when the price of the future changes. taking the other side and laying off the risk with the
The most the buyer of an option can lose is his option equivalent number of contracts on the more liquid OSE.
price; but the writer's downside risk is unlimited. He could therefore proprietary trade by 'riding on the
back' of large client buy orders for SIMEX Nikkei
contracts, hoping to benefit from the markets being
moved favourably. If the markets moved unfavourably,
Leeson's Legitimate Business he could arbitrage between OSE and SIMEX. SIMEX
later reporteds that this may have constituted the
Nick Leeson was authorised to conduct both proprietary offence of 'bucketing' under the Futures Trading Act.
and client account trading on Far Eastern exchanges, on
behalf of other Barings companies, specifically, Baring Theoretically, arbitrage is risk-free since orders are
Securities Limited (Singapore), Baring Securities matched, but timing differences between exchanges give

European ManagementJournal Vo114 No 2 April 1996 1 73


WHATEVER HAPPENED AT BARINGS? PART ONE: THE LURE OF DERIVATIVESAND COLLAPSE

rise to some risk of prices moving unfavourably. For this Tablo 2 Margin Paymonts to Blip from tho Roat of tho
reason, Leeson was allowed to take unhedged positions Barings Group
on the following number of contracts during a single
Company 1 Jan 1994 31 Dec 1994 24 Feb 1995
day: 200 OSE Nikkei contracts, 100 TSE JGB contracts £ millions £ millions £ millions
and 500 Euroyen contracts. All open positions on the
contracts had to be closed out at the end of a day's BSLL 7 13 105
trading. Leeson was not authorised to undertake BSL 33 142 337
proprietary trading in options, therefore no gross limits BSJ (1) 66 300
were set. Total 39 221 742

Source: Board of BankingSupervision Inquiry, 1995.Inquiry team


The products and kind of client/proprietary operations based on analysis prepared by Barings
described above were all authorised by Barings HQ and
supposedly subject to the Group's various levels of
management control. However, even before Barings'
the clients on whose behalf BFS was acting, it did not
collapse, there were curious features of Leeson's
seem a poor guess to assume these were proprietary and
operations.
unmatched trades.
First, his supposedly low-risk arbitraging with Nikkei
225 and JGB futures produced apparently large returns, To give some idea of BFS's huge participation on
quite out of proportion to the type of business involved, SIMEX, in the months of January and February 1995,
BFS was the largest trader holding between 12 and 8 per
even if the number of contracts traded was very large.
From accounts disclosed for 1994 (later found to contain cent of SIMEX volume. In 1993 it ranked 9th and in
false reporting), Leeson's 'switching' business con- 1992, 26th. In December 1994 it held about 2 per cent of
tributed £28.5m to the Barings Group operating profits, outstanding contracts of Nikkei 225 futures traded on
about 8 per cent of total profits, and nearly as great as SIMEX, and in January 1995, 34 per cent. In January
the Banking Group's operating profit (£36.9m). Of this 1993 it held 1 per cent of outstanding contracts of
switching activity, £23.4m was generated solely from Nikkei 225 options traded on SIMEX, and in January
1995, 35 per cent.
JGB arbitrage.

The second curious feature was the continuing call by The three warning signals described briefly above are
BFS on the rest of the Group for funds for margin ones which might have appealed to a simple common
payments. The transfer of funds was unremitting and in sense view of derivatives hedging and trading as per-
the end, cumulatively enormous. Table 2 shows the ceived by anyone concerned with these markets and
build-up. contracts. In fact, there was in place a range of controls
internal and external to Barings and available to the
By 24 February 1995, this cumulative funding regulatory and supervisory authorities which could have
represented well over the reported capital of the Barings picked up more precise and factual information even
Group. This astonishing situation was allowed to though concealment was taking place. These will be
develop as the result of no reconciliation of the funding dealt with in more detail in Part Two of this Case Study.
with client records. But even common sense would have These 'common sense' waming signals should have
been enough to make anyone realise that, if indeed alerted controllers and supervisors that Leeson's
Leeson's arbitrage was successful, and making real operations were not normal. It could, of course, have
profits, then margin cash should have been received in been possible that he was transacting authorised trades,
large amount, not paid. Such receipts of margin would but had simply exceeded his trading limits. But this could
have been used for calls. A stream of margin calls still not have accounted for the kind of warning signals
building up to stratospheric cumulative sums could only of excess described above.
have meant the contracts were losing value for Leeson as
they were daily marked to market. In Part Two of this Case Study, Leeson's unauthorised
trading is analysed together with the techniques he
Third, Leeson was building up substantial long positions employed to disguise trades and the losses on them.
on SIMEX and short positions on TSE. Because BSF had That such huge losses were built up over a considerable
continued to pay margin calls, the exchanges were period of time is also an indication of the failure of
satisfied. There was no apparent attempt by the Barings internal and external controls in Barings and of adequate
Group or the exchanges themselves to investigate the supervision by regulatory bodies. These are examined
size of the open positions which resulted, although it and recommendations made.
must be said that Leeson was concealing the true size of
these positions and even fraudulentlycomputing margin
payments to SIMEX. It was common knowledge among Notes
SIMEX, OSE and TSE traders in the firsttwo months of 1 Report of the Board of Banking Supervision Inquiry into the
1995 that BFS had enormous open positions in the Circumstances of the Collapse of Barings, London, HMSO, 18
exchanges. Since also most participantsin the exchanges luly 1995.
were known to each other, and no-one seemed to know 2 Strategic Derivatives: Successful Corporate Practicesfor Today's

174 EuropeanManagementJournalVo114No 2 April 1996


WHATEVER HAPPENED AT BARINGS?PART ONE: THE LURE OF DERIVATIVESAND COLLAPSE

Global Marketplace, Economist InteUisence Unit, London,


1995. PAUL STONHAM,
The Corporate Use of Derivatives, Sarah Welch, Touche Ross, EAP-European School of
London, 1995. ManagemenL I2, Merton
Derek Ross International Treasury ManagemenL 2nd edition, StreeL Oxford OXI 4]H,
Woodhead Faulkner, Cambridge, 1990. UK
Baring Futures (Singapore) Pte Ltd., Investigation Pursuant to
Section 231 of the Companies Act (Chapter 50). The Report of the Paul Stonham is Associate
Inspectors Appointed by the Minister for Finance, Singapore,
MOF, 6 September 1995. Professor of Finance at the
EAP-European School of
Management in Oxford.
He is also Editor of the
European Management
Journal and the Series Editor of the European
Casebook Series on Management which began
publication in 1994. His career includes university
teaching in Australia, training at UNCTAD,
Geneva, and the Bank of England. Current research
interests are corporate valuation and restructuring,
and the integration of finance into overall corporate
strategy. His most recent book (with K. Redhead) is
European Casebook on Finance, Prentice-Hall,
I995.

European ManagementJournal Vo114 No 2 April 1996 1 75

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