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CHECK OB Notas Ricardo Paulo
CHECK OB Notas Ricardo Paulo
Heuristics
Heurística é um método ou processo criado com o objetivo de encontrar soluções a um
problema. É um procedimento simplificador (embora não simplista) que, em face de
questões difíceis envolve a substituição destas por outras de resolução mais fácil a fim
de encontrar respostas viáveis, ainda que imperfeitas. Tal procedimento pode ser tanto
uma técnica deliberada de resolução de problemas, como uma operação de
comportamento automática, intuitiva e inconsciente. (fonte: wikipedia)
Availability Heuristic: we tend to judge the frequency of an event by the availability of
its instances.
How to avoid:
• Good decision making requires that we identify and use truly reliable
information, not just available information. Information that is easily recalled
because it is vivid may be interpreted as being reliable when it’s not;
• Don’t get taken in by vivid presentations;
• Question information that comes easily to mind;
• On the other hand, use colourful and emotionally vivid presentations to
communicate your view.
Confirmation Bias: We rarely search for disconfirming evidence. We also tend to view
ambiguous information as confirming our hypotheses. (We tend to pre-decide before we
decide!)
Framing: Rewards and losses are evaluated relative to a neutral reference point.
Potential outcomes are expressed as gains or losses relative to this fixed neutral point.
Escalation of Commitment: A consequence of framing is the phenomenon of escalation
of commitment: When individuals are in the domain of losses (e.g., lose on a big
investment) they tend to take bigger risks, “throw good money after bad,” and in
general, escalate their commitment to a losing course of action.
Factors:
• Psychological factors: framing, sunk costs, self justification biases, self-inference
process biases;
• Social factors: external justification, external binding, social rewards for
persistence;
• Organizational factors: institutional inertia, managerial inertia, unquestioned
assumptions.
Attribution Theory: When people observe behaviour, they attempt to determine
whether it is externally or internally caused. Three types:
• Consensus (the extent to which others behave in the same manner);
• Consistency (the extent to which the person acts in the same manner at other
times);
• Distinctiveness (the extent to which the person behaves in the same manner in
other contexts).
Biases that distort our attributions about success and failure:
• Self-serving bias;
• Fundamental Attribution Error.
“All managers are susceptible to the distortions and biases we saw in the credit crunch
of 2008. Organizations get blindsided not so much because decision makers aren’t
seeing signals, but because they jump to the most convenient or plausible conclusion.”
Cognitive Biases:
Personal Biases:
Filtering
“What we actually pay attention to is very much determined by what we expect
to see.” » Selective perception
Refusal to acknowledge an unpleasant reality because it is too discordant »
Suppression
Distorted Inference
Interpreting evidence in a way that sustains a desired belief » Rationalization
Wishful thinking leads us to see the world only in a pleasing way, denying subtle
evidence.
Egocentrism, according to which we overemphasize our own role in the events
we seek to explain.
Fundamental attribution bias, which causes us to ascribe more importance to our
own actions than to those of others or the environment.
Bolstering
Not only do we heavily filter the limited information that we pay attention to, but
also we may seek to bolster our case by searching for additional evidence that
confirms our view.
Selective memory and forget those inconvenient facts that don’t fit the overall
picture.
The hindsight bias similarly distorts our memories such that our original doubts
are erased. A vicious circle is created in which we exacerbate the earlier biases
and get trapped in a self-sealing echo chamber.
Organizational Bias
Groupthink
Dispersed memory and varying perceptions
“In short, the busier we are, the more we have on our minds and the more time
constraints we face, the more likely we will be to rely on Type I thinking”
Type I thinking: intuitive system
Type II thinking: reasoning
Leveraging Type I, change the environment itself so that Type I thinking will lead to
good results
“The logic of heuristics is that, on average, any loss in decision making will be
overweighed by time saved. However, … , a blanket acceptance of heuristics is unwise.
First, … , there are many instances in which the loss in decision quality far overweighs
the time saved by heuristics. Second, the foregoing logic suggests that we have
voluntarily accepted the quality tradeoffs associated with heuristics. In reality, we have
not: Most of us are unaware of their existence and their ongoing impact upon our
decision making. Consequently, we fail to distinguish between situations in which they
are beneficial and situation in which they are potential harmful.”
Exploitation Exploration
Advantages: Advantages:
Tried-and-tested approach; Latent capability;
Economies of scale; Long-term adaptive flexibility;
Efficiency; Radical breakthroughs;
Short-term gains; First mover advantages.
Leveraging core competence.
Disadvantages: Disadvantages:
Problems with adaptive flexibility when Problems with uncertainty and risk
the environment changes. when a safety net doesn’t exist.
usually related to: usually related to:
Incremental Innovation Architectural Innovation
(Small extension of current existing (Reconfiguration of existing capabilities, e.g.,
capabilities, e.g., Timex inexpensive Swatch)
mechanical watch) Discontinuous Innovation
(New operating principles, processes, or
products, e.g., first watch, Seiko Quartz)
Organizational Ambidexterity
Excessive exploitation and excessive exploration are dangerous.
The chances of long-term organizational survival and prosperity are higher when the
organization finds an appropriate balance between exploitation and exploration.
Ambidextrous organization possesses dynamic capabilities that allow them to effectively manage
multiple innovation streams -- incremental, architectural and discontinuous.
The Challenge of Ambidexterity: Different innovation types require different cultural and
structural design features that are often antithetical.
Incremental Innovation Architectural Innovation Discontinuous Innovation
Culture of continuous Culture of promoting linkages Culture of breakthrough
improvement; across units; innovation;
Incremental change; Adding and linking Experiments and variants;
Command, consistency and subsystems; Multiple, small failures;
control; Management team rewards Learning by doing;
Eliminates variability; linkages and integration. Management team rewards
Focus on cost and volume; experimentation and
Management team rewards breakthrough innovation.
volume and cost.
Stimulants Barriers
Encouragement Excessive Exploitation
Autonomy Conformist Culture
Playfully Challenging Work Ruthless internal competition
Sufficient Resources Harsh Criticism
Psychological Safety Extreme Time Pressures
Diversity Distractions from Work
“Managing Creativity
Managers can influence all three components of creativity: expertise, creative-thinking
skills, and motivation.”
Propositions Resume:
Proposition 1, Strategic intent that intellectually justifies ambidextrous form
Proposition 2, Vision and values that promote a common identity but separate
cultures
Proposition 3, Senior team that explicitly owns the ambidextrous strategy
(common-fate rewards, communication)
Proposition 4, Separate units with aligned architectures and targeted integration
(senior level and tactical)
Proposition 5, Ambidextrous Leadership (conflict resolution, resource allocation)
Management of Ambidexterity
“One of the key features of ambidexterity is the ability of the organization to reallocate
assets and capabilities to address new threats and opportunities.”
“The practices that are well suited for cashing in on old, proven ways are drastically
different from those needed for innovation.”
“What makes for effective management practice can look very different, depending on
whether the aim is to exploit already-proven ideas or explore new ones.”
“Mere exposure effect” – independent of other factors, the more often people are
exposed to something, the more positive they feel about it; rare and unfamiliar things
provoke negative evaluations.
Hiring
“Slow learners” – some members who are slow to learn how things are
"supposed to be done;
“High self-esteem”
“Low self monitors” – people who are especially insensitive to subtle, and even
not so subtle, hints from others about how to act.
“People who make you uncomfortable, even those you don’t like”
“People with skills you don’t think you’ll need”
“People who don't know how things are "supposed to be" aren't blinded by
preconceptions”
Managing
“Encourage people to ignore and defy superiors and peers”
“Get them to fight among themselves”
“Creative work must be sheltered from the cold light of day”
“Keep your creative people away from your biggest customers – and for that
matter from critics and anyone whose primary concern is money.”
“Don't let a team get too cozy”
“Find some happy people and then get them to fight”
“Enhancing innovation also has to do with how performance is rewarded.”
“…doing routine work with proven methods is the right thing to do most of the time. It
is wise to manage most organizations as if the future will be a perfect imitation of the
past”
“Tried and true wins out over new and improved most of the time.”
“… if part of your mission is to explore new possibilities, then your goal must be to build
a culture that supports constant mindfulness and experimentation. It isn't sufficient to
generate new ideas now and then. Your company – or more likely a part of it – needs to
be a place that generates and tests many disparate ideas. It should be an arena, a
constant and constructive contest, where the best ideas win.”
“… most companies will always devote more time, people, and money to exploiting old
ideas than to exploring new ones. Exposure effects being what they are, managing for
creativity will always require a conscious effort.”
Types of Influence
• Interpersonal influence:
o Liking, we prefer to say yes to the requests of people we know and like;
o Reciprocity, we try to repay in-kind what the other side has offered us;
o Social Proof, we use others’ actions to decide on proper behaviors for
ourselves when we are not sure what we should do;
o Consistency, once we make a choice or take a stand, we encounter
personal and social pressures to act consistently with that commitment;
o Authority, we tend to defer to authority--even mindlessly. We tend to
respond to the mere symbol of authority rather than to its substance;
o Scarcity, we tend to appreciate more opportunities that are less available.
• Procedural influence:
o What?
Find out what is on the agenda, what’s behind the agenda, and
who’s setting it
o Who?
Be present for important meetings.
Find out who’s who in the meeting.
Find an ally before the meeting.
o Where?
Meeting location and table configuration affect discussion.
Seating position shows status.
o When?
Speak early to anchor and frame the discussion.
• Use an ally to anchor and frame the discussion.
o Timing
Preliminary vote or late vote?
First issue to vote on?
o Format
Public or private vote?
Who raises a hand first?
o Rule
Majority? Unanimity?
Revisit and reexamine the decision
o Breaks
Use breaks to secure commitments or disrupt influence.
o Tracking
Who keeps an official record
Who gets a copy of it?
Competition Collaboration
Assertiveness
Compromise
Avoidance Accommodation
Cooperativeness
Influence Tactics:
Legitimating – The agent seeks to establish the legitimacy of a request by
claiming the authority or right to make it, or by verifying that it is consistent
with organizational rules and policies.
Rational – The agent uses logical arguments & factual evidence; appeals to the
viability of the proposal and the likelihood of attaining objectives.
Exchange – The agent offers an exchange of favors, indicates willingness to
reciprocate, or promises a share of the benefits.
Pressure – The agent uses demands, threats, frequent checking, or persistent
reminders.
Inspirational – The agent arousal enthusiasm; appeals to target values, ideals,
and aspirations; increases others self-confidence.
Leadership Styles
Transactional Transformational
• Transactional agents • Value-driven agents
• Rational exchange • Idealized influence
• Rewards for performance • Inspirational motivation
• Contingent reward • Intellectual stimulation
• Contingent punishment • Emotional stimulation
• Laissez-faire • Consideration & support
• • Induce anxiety and fear of failure to • Induce interest & enthusiasm to
others others
Persuasion Strategies
Ineffective Strategies Effective Strategies
• Up-front hard sell • Establish credibility
• Resist compromise • Frame for common ground
• Great arguments alone may not work • Provide evidence
• One-shot effort • Connect emotionally
“Persuasion is widely perceived as a skill reserved for selling products and closing deals.
... But exercised constructively and to its full potential, persuasion supersedes sales and
is quite the opposite of deception.”
“Effective persuasion is a difficult and time consuming proposition, but it may also be
more powerful than the command-and-control managerial model it succeeds.”
“Before they even start to talk, effective persuaders have considered their positions
from every angle.
Dialogue happens before and during the persuasion process. Before the process begins,
effective persuaders use dialogue to learn more about their audience's opinions,
concerns, and perspectives. During the process, dialogue continues to be a form of
learning, but it is also the beginning of the negotiation stage. You invite people to
discuss, even debate, the merits of your position, and then to offer honest feedback and
suggest alternative solutions.
That may sound like a slow way to achieve your goal, but effective persuasion is about
testing and revising ideas in concert with your colleagues' concerns and needs. In fact,
the best persuaders not only listen to others but also incorporate their perspectives into
a shared solution.”
--- Persuasion demands compromise ---