Remote Sensing of The Responses of Urban Climate To Land Use and Land Cover Dyn

Prediction of future urban surface temperatures using medium resolution satellite data in Harare metropolitan city, Zimbabwe | Request
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Prediction of future urban surface temperatures using medium resolution satellite data
in Harare metropolitan city, Zimbabwe
June 2017 · Building and Environment 122(2017):397–410
DOI:10.1016/j.buildenv.2017.06.033
Project: Remote sensing of the responses of urban climate to land use and land cover dynamics
Authors:
https://www.researchgate.net/...an_surface_temperatures_using_medium_resolution_satellite_data_in_Harare_metropolitan_city_Zimbabwe[10/24/2022 2:46:56 PM]

Prediction of future urban surface temperatures using medium resolution satellite data in Harare metropolitan city, Zimbabwe | Request PDF
Terence Darlington Mushore

University of Zimbabwe

John Odindi
University of KwaZulu-Natal

Timothy Dube

Onisimo Mutanga
University of KwaZulu-Natal
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Citations (68)
References (123)
Abstract
The objective of the study was to determine the impact of urban growth on future micro-climate of Harare by predicting future
distribution of land use and land cover, as well as land surface temperature using Cellular Automata Markov Chain analysis.
Landsat series data was used to map Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) and land surface temperature distribution during the
month of October for the year 1984, 1993, 2001 and 2015. The Cellular Automata Markov Chain analysis was used to determine
long term landscape transformation at 10-year time steps from 2015 to 2045. We further tested the potential of a variety of
vegetation and non-vegetation indices to predict land surface temperature. Results show that the Urban Index (UI), non-
vegetation index was the best predictor of surface temperature, since it had the highest correlation with retrieved surface

temperature (r = 0.9831). When tested against temperature derived from thermal band in October 2015, the mean absolute
percentage error of the UI derived temperature was 5.27%. Based on changes which occurred between 1984 and 2015, the
Cellular Automata Markov Chain analysis predicted that high density built-up areas will increase monotonically from 470.02 in
2015 to 490.36 km2 in 2045. Green spaces were predicted as decreasing from 57.42 to 27.85 km2, while croplands also decrease
from 30.27 to 16.93 km2 between 2015 and 2040. Using UI as predictor of land surface temperature, we predicted that the 18–28
°C class will decrease in coverage between 2015 and 2040, while the 36–45 °C category will increase in proportion covered from
42.5 to 58% of city. We concluded that continued urban growth will increase warming and result in high future temperatures
unless mitigation efforts are strengthened. The findings of this study are important in informing future development of cities to
consider growth implications on future temperatures and thermal comfort of urban residents.
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Citations (68) References (123)
... Zhou et al., 2014;Zhou et al., 2017). By contrast, estimating the future SUHI is relatively difficult, mainly because
most of the future status of these SUHI-related factors are more difficult to estimate and therefore are unable to serve as
estimators (Mushore et al., 2017) . ...
... Nevertheless, by integrating models that can estimate future land cover changes, several studies have estimated the
future SUHI for several case cities: e.g., in Dhaka through the year of 2019 and 2029 (Ahmed et al., 2013), in Hanoi
through the year 2023 (Tran et al., 2017), in Harare through 2025, 2035, and 2045 (Mushore et al., 2017 , and in Babol
through 2045 (Firozjaei et al., 2018). Notably, land cover changes are significant only on the annual/seasonal scale, and
therefore the future SUHIs estimated by this strategy are restricted to long-term/midterm scales. ...
... Forth, the assessments in Fig. 13 show that the performance of the approach is generally good for longer periods
(longer than the next-day), on condition that the forecasted weather conditions are sufficiently accurate (the sensitivity
analysis of the estimation accuracy to the weather forecasting errors is provided in Section 5.2). This demonstrated
robustness indicates that, using a comparable approach, the SUHIs in decades can be potentially better predicted by
combining the climate-model-projected future climate conditions (including RH, WDS, PREP, and SAT) and projected
future urbanization processes (Firozjaei et al., 2018; Mushore et al., 2017; Tran et al., 2017). ...
Statistical estimation of next-day nighttime surface urban heat islands
Article
Jun 2021 · ISPRS J PHOTOGRAMM
Jiameng Lai · Wenfeng Zhan · Jinling Quan · Xuhui Lee
View
Show abstract
... Mathew, Sreekumar, Khandelwal and Kumar (2019) used Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) along with elevation and
road density from ASTER and MODIS data to predict LST in an ANN model in Chandigarh city in India. In Harare
Zimbabwe, Mushore, Odindi, Dube and Mutanga (2017) selected Urban Index (UI) as the best LST predictor variable
amongst 14 other spectral indices. Combining the regression model with Cellular Automata Markov Chain model, they
predicted LST based on UI up to year 2045 with Mean Absolute Percentage error of 5.27%. ...
... These include the continuous built-up index (BUc) - (He, Shi, Xie & Zhao, 2010), Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI)
- (Liu & Huete, 1995), NBI, IBI, EBBI and vegetation fraction, amongst others. Mushore et al. (2017) showed varied
correlation between most of these indices and LST but did not combine all of them in a regression model which
predicted LST for Harare, in Zimbabwe. Evidently, several indices and their combinations, with inclusion of elevation
retrievals still need to be tested for potential to predict and improve the spatial resolution of LST. ...
... The population of the city grew from 0.7 million in 1982 to 1.2 million in 1992 and further to 1.4 million in 2012
based on census data of 1982, 1992 and 2012, respectively (Ndunguru & Hoko, 2016). Growth in the city has been
characterized by expansion of built-up areas, which has influenced the thermal environment from 1980 to present
(Mushore et al., 2017) . The city experiences a tropical climate with a hot wet summer (mid--September to mid-May)
and cool dry winter (mid-May to mid-September). ...

Estimating urban LST using multiple remotely sensed spectral indices and elevation retrievals
Article
Dec 2021
Terence Darlington Mushore · Onisimo Mutanga · John Odindi
View
Show abstract
... The spatial transition model and statistical description model are the two major models widely used for the
assessment and monitoring of land use changes [8,37,39]. Furthermore, the Markov chain model is widely applied to
simulate urban growth due to its capability of quantifying land use changes, their trends and their dimensions [9, 22,
[40][41][42][43]. Markov chain models correspond to stochastic processes [44] that summarize changes by developing a
transition probability matrix of land use change, indicating that the probability of a system being in one state at a given
time can be determined if the state at an earlier period is known [40,45]. ...
... Previous studies have adopted simulation models that apply GIS and remote sensing techniques for land use change
modelling and monitoring of dynamic urban growth patterns [40,46,50]. In the case of Harare Metropolitan Province,
due to the dynamic nature of urban growth, some parts of its districts were simulated using the CA-Markov model in
order to predict the impact of urban land use change on future microclimate [9] , while Sibanda and Ahmed [52]
predicted the future LULC and their impacts on wetland areas in the Shashe sub-catchment of Zimbabwe. According to
Mushore et al. [9], accelerated urban growth without the conservation of green spaces and adherence to mitigation
policies contribute to locally increasing microclimate temperatures, causing thermal discomfort in urban areas. ...
... In the case of Harare Metropolitan Province, due to the dynamic nature of urban growth, some parts of its districts
were simulated using the CA-Markov model in order to predict the impact of urban land use change on future
microclimate [9], while Sibanda and Ahmed [52] predicted the future LULC and their impacts on wetland areas in the
Shashe sub-catchment of Zimbabwe. According to Mushore et al. [9] , accelerated urban growth without the
conservation of green spaces and adherence to mitigation policies contribute to locally increasing microclimate
temperatures, causing thermal discomfort in urban areas. The CA-Markov model was also applied to project future
LULC scenarios for Arasbaran biosphere reserve in Iran [54]. ...
Predicting the Impact of Future Land Use and Climate Change on Potential Soil Erosion Risk in an Urban District of
the Harare Metropolitan Province, Zimbabwe
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Andrew Kudzanayi Marondedze · Brigitta Schütt
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Show abstract

... According to Dube et al. (2016), the popularity of medium-to-coarse spatial resolution sensors such as Landsat could
be explained by the large volumes of archived information dating back to 1972 during the first launch of Earth Resource
Technology Satellite (ERTS-1), commonly referred to as Landsat. Hence, numerous urban ecosystem service studies in
sub-Saharan Africa have been conducted using aforementioned satellite sensors, with reasonable accuracies (Dieye et
al., 2012;Feyisa et al., 2014; Mushore et al., 2017; Odindi et al., 2017;Wangai et al., 2019). Feyisa et al. (2014), for
instance, used Landsat-7 ETM + derived bio-geophysical variables such as normalised difference vegetation index
(NDVI) spectral properties to quantify land surface temperature in the parks-vegetation of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. ...
... The study established that the cooling effect of urban parks was highly correlated to the NDVI-spectral data (R 2 :
0.83) and Eucalyptus species had a higher cooling effect, thus regulating urban land surface temperature. Similarly,
Mushore et al. (2017) predicted future distribution of land surface temperature in relation to the rapid urban growth
using Landsat series (e.g. TM-5 and ETM-7) in Harare city, Zimbabwe. ...
... productive areas, soil organic carbon, air temperature, flood, soil erosion, drought and biomass(Potgieter et al.,
2019;Sithole & Odindi, 2015;Simwanda et al., 2019;Di Leo et al., 2016;Dieye et al., 2012;Feyisa et al., 2014;Guenat et
al., 2019; Mushore et al., 2017; Mushore et al., 2018;Mushore et al., 2019; Odindi et al., 2015, Wangai et al. ...
Quantitative remote sensing of forest ecosystem services in sub-Saharan Africa’s urban landscapes: a review
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Apr 2022 · ENVIRON MONIT ASSESS
Mthembeni Mngadi · John Odindi · Mbulisi Sibanda · Onisimo Mutanga
View
Show abstract
... There is no doubt that the outcomes of these studies are crucial for understanding the SUHI effect. Nevertheless,
forecasting and simulating future LST distribution play an important role for sustainable development of the thermal
environment (Mushore et al., 2017; Tran et al., 2017). Therefore, we designed this paper based on simulating future
LST images and their interpretation with impervious surface areas. ...
... Therefore, we designed this paper based on simulating future LST images and their interpretation with impervious
surface areas. Currently, there are few studies that regarded simulating and modeling future LULC changes and their
impacts on LST or SUHI using different methods such as Artificial Neural Network (ANN), multiple regression
analysis, Markov Chain, Cellular Automata (CA) and non-parametric regression (Ahmed et al., 2013; Mushore et al.,
2017; Rahman et al., 2017;Tran et al., 2017;Feng et al., 2018;Firozjaei et al., 2018). ...
Simulation of Future Land Surface Temperature Distribution and Evaluating Surface Urban Heat Island based on
Impervious Surface Area
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Aliihsan Sekertekin · Elaheh Zadbagher
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Show abstract
... The VV and VH bands of Sentinel-1 were used since they are strongly related to building height (Koppel et al., 2017).
Sentinel-2, VIIRS, and ALOS World 3D data were also included given that they have been considered useful to indicate
building areas and their height (Geisß et al., 2019;Levin and Zhang, 2017; Mushore et al., 2017; Takaku et al., 2020). In
this study, we used ten bands of Sentinel-2 (i.e., four 10-m bands and six 20-m bands) and four indices extracted from
Sentinel-2 including normalized difference built-up index (NDBI), urban index (UI), bare soil index (BI), and NDVI
(Mushore et al., 2017). ...
... Sentinel-2, VIIRS, and ALOS World 3D data were also included given that they have been considered useful to
indicate building areas and their height (Geisß et al., 2019;Levin and Zhang, 2017;Mushore et al., 2017;Takaku et al.,
2020). In this study, we used ten bands of Sentinel-2 (i.e., four 10-m bands and six 20-m bands) and four indices
extracted from Sentinel-2 including normalized difference built-up index (NDBI), urban index (UI), bare soil index (BI),
and NDVI (Mushore et al., 2017) . For the ALOS data, we extracted slope, aspect (Burrough and McDonnell, 1998),
and normalized digital surface model. ...
A deep learning method for building height estimation using high-resolution multi-view imagery over urban areas: A
case study of 42 Chinese cities
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Oct 2021 · REMOTE SENS ENVIRON
Cao Yinxia · Xin Huang
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Show abstract
... Feng et al. [35] found a strong correlation between LST and NDBI followed by NDWI and NVDI in Suzhou city.
Furthermore, the urban index (UI) was found to have a high correlation with surface temperature in Harare, Zimbabwe
[36] . e intensity of LST is directly related to the rate of urbanization, land use patterns, and building density [14]. ...
... According to Figures 1(b) and 4, the geometry of the city affects the LST, and the results cited in Xiao et al. [37]
confirm this fact. Mushore et al. [36] evaluated the significance of the predicted changes in temperature over a study
area using selection points. Herein, we tested 250 random distribution points, which were chosen to accurately reflect
the distribution of the LST of the study area, as presented in Figures 4 and 6. e geodetic coordinates (latitude, longitude,
and height) and LST of the research area for each year are extracted and presented in Figures 5 and 6. e existing urban
areas are selected from points one to 180; the water surface and areas near water are selected from points 180 to 200;
and the forest and farm lands, which are suitable for urban activities, are selected from points 200 to 250. ...
Study for Predicting Land Surface Temperature (LST) Using Landsat Data: A Comparison of Four Algorithms

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Elhadi K Mmustafa · Guoxiang Liu · Yun-Gang Cao · Fawzi Zarzoura
View
Show abstract
... Feng et al. [35] found a strong correlation between LST and NDBI followed by NDWI and NVDI in Suzhou city.
Furthermore, the urban index (UI) was found to have a high correlation with surface temperature in Harare, Zimbabwe
[36] . e intensity of LST is directly related to the rate of urbanization, land use patterns, and building density [14]. ...
... According to Figures 1(b) and 4, the geometry of the city affects the LST, and the results cited in Xiao et al. [37]
confirm this fact. Mushore et al. [36] evaluated the significance of the predicted changes in temperature over a study
area using selection points. Herein, we tested 250 random distribution points, which were chosen to accurately reflect
the distribution of the LST of the study area, as presented in Figures 4 and 6. e geodetic coordinates (latitude, longitude,
and height) and LST of the research area for each year are extracted and presented in Figures 5 and 6. e existing urban
areas are selected from points one to 180; the water surface and areas near water are selected from points 180 to 200;
and the forest and farm lands, which are suitable for urban activities, are selected from points 200 to 250. ...
Study for Predicting Land Surface Temperature (LST) Using Landsat Data: A Comparison of Four Algorithms
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Apr 2020
Elhadi K Mmustafa · Yungang Co · Mohammed Sadek Mahmoud · Guoxiang Liu
View
Show abstract
... However, urban and environmental planning requires information about future trends. Hence, predicting the trend of
SUHII changes is one of the most critical study directions in this field (Mushore et al., 2017; Rahman et al.,
2017;Firozjaei et al., 2018;Nadizadeh Shorabeh et al., 2020;Wang et al., 2020;Abdullah et al., 2022). ...
... To date, some studies have been carried out to predict LST and SUHIs. Mushore et al. (2017) predicted LST and
land cover distribution using cellular automata (CA)-Markov and satellite data in Harare, Zimbabwe. Their study
showed that continued urban physical growth would increase LST in the future. ...
Predicting spatial and temporal changes in surface urban heat islands using multi-temporal satellite imagery: A case
study of Tehran metropolis

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Aug 2022
Majid Kiavarz · Sara Bourbour Hosseinbeigi · Naeim Mijani · Mohammad Karimi Firozjaei
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Show abstract
... Increase in impermeable hard and dark surfaces such as stone, metal, asphalt and concrete building materials increase
LST by low reflection and high absorption of solar radiation (Buyadi et al. 2013) and do not allow moisture seepage into
the soil (Deng et al. 2018). Urban areas suggests greater construction of building areas which hinders heat dissipation by
wind resulting in high LST (Mushore et al. 2017) . Green spaces can reduce UHI intensity (Guha et al. 2018). ...
... Agricultural land consists of sparse vegetation and exposed bare soil which is less effective in mitigating urban
warming effect than forest (Estoque et al. 2017). Mushore et al. (2017) found that cultivated land act as a heat source as
they absorb and release large amounts of heat due to negligible evaporation. Du et al. (2009) found that higher
temperature is found on barren land because it comprised of areas where ongoing development was taking place and
they had no vegetation cover. ...
Dynamics of Land Surface Temperature in Response to Land Use Land Cover Change in Phewa watershed, Kaski,
Nepal
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Sudip Raj Regmi · Mahendra Singh Thapa · Rabindra Adhikari · Raju Raj Regmi
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Show abstract
... For instance, estimated the future distribution of LST in Nanjing in 2030 and 2050 based on the relationship between
LULC, NDVI, and LST. In the prediction study conducted by Mushore et al. (2017) in Harare, UI was selected as a
predictor of LST, and they predicted that the area with a LST of 18-28 • C will decrease between 2015 and 2040, while
the area with a LST of 36-45 • C will increase from 42.5 to 58% of the city. However, due to the limited LULC
information reflected by the spectral index, these research results cannot directly guide local governors to make urban
landscape reorganizing plans to alleviate the SUHI effect. ...
... Choosing an appropriate method or model is the key to accurately predicting the future SUHI. Traditional global and
regional models are often at coarse resolution, which determines that they are not suitable for understanding local
phenomena (Mushore et al., 2017) . In the previous research on SUHI prediction, the MLR model was widely used to
identify the key variables affecting SUHI (Oukawa et al., 2022). ...

Prediction of the future urban heat island intensity and distribution based on landscape composition and configuration:
A case study in Hangzhou
Article
Jun 2022
Chuhui Shen · Hao Hou · Yaoyao Zheng · Tangao Hu
View
Show abstract
... Area), High-Density Residential Area (HDR Area), Low-Density Residential Area (LDR Area), Green-Spaces (G.
Spaces), Croplands (Crops) and Water/Wetlands (Water) were obtained from every image as indicated in Table 2 [24] .
...
... Meanwhile, the variations in land use landcover and LST were checked for relevance using the Mann Whitney
statistic [29,53]. We checked the Ha hypothesis about the spatial distributions of seasonal LULC and LST is distinct
from the alternative Hb hypothesis: in 2018 and 2048 the pairs of LULC and LST were not same [24] . Table 5 presents
variations in seasonal LULC distribution recorded at high accuracy using the SVM Algorithm between 1990 and 2018.
...
CA-Markov Chain Analysis of Seasonal Land Surface Temperature and Land Use Land Cover Change Using Optical
Multi-Temporal Satellite Data of Faisalabad, Pakistan
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Aqil Tariq · Hong Shu
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Show abstract
... For example, Muduako et al., 2016 reported that LST in an urban area is one factor associated with urban heat rise
and microclimatic warming within a city [6]. Mushore et al., 2017 documented that urban growth will increase warming
and result in future high temperatures unless mitigation efforts are strengthened [7] . To the best of our knowledge, little
work has been implemented to predict land surface distribution in Freetown, Sierra Leone, and quantify the implication
of land surface temperature. ...
... Summarizing Equation (5) and Equation (6), the final equation to calculate emissivity estimation is given as Equation
(7). v mP n ε = + (7) where m and n co-efficient are calculated as below in Equation (8): ...
Predicting of Land Surface Temperature Distribution in Freetown City, Sierra Leone by Using Polynomial Curve
Fitting Model

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Jan 2020 · JGIS
Abubakr Hassan · Musa Tarawally · Elhadi K Mmustafa · Guoxiang Liu
View
... Chen and Zhang (2017) noticed the strong positive nature of the correlation coefficient of the LST-NDBaI
relationship in a study performed in Kunming, China due to the presence of high bare land ratio. This correlation was
weak positive (0.06) in Harare Metropolitan City, Zimbabwe (Mushore et al., 2017) . This relationship was also positive
(0.458) in Kolkata Metropolitan Area, India (Nimish et al., 2020). ...
A long-term monthly analytical study on the relationship of LST with normalized difference spectral indices
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Subhanil Guha · Himanshu Govil
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Show abstract
... Previous studies over a city in central India also highlighted an increase of 0.75 °C in the mean land surface
temperature during 2002-2014 (Singh et al. 2017 Mukherjee and Singh (2020) highlighted an increase in mean surface
temperature at a rate of ~ 2 °C/10 year over Surat and Bharuch urban area of western India. The contributions from
LULCC towards warming over many regions across the globe are also documented in previous researches (Mushore et
al. 2017; Roy et al. 2020). ...
Land use and land cover change and their impact on temperature over central India
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Sridhara Nayak
View
Show abstract

... The most substantial benefit of the CA model is dependent on the earlier configuration of variables such as distance to
road and rail network, slope, and elevation, and for this reason, this model is frequently used in utility and resource
research ( Ménard and Marceau, 2005 ). To forecast LST, ANN combined with related LULC indexes such as NDVI,
NDBI, NDBSI, and NDWI can effectively estimate future changes ( Mushore et al., 2017 ; Hasanlou and Mostofi, 2015
). The potential of these indexes to simulate LST was assessed using the ANN process, and the results revealed that
NDBI is the most accurate LST predictor ( Ullah et al., 2019 ). ...
Modeling the relationship between land use/land cover and land surface temperature in Dhaka, Bangladesh using CA-
ANN algorithm
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Nataraj Narayan Dey · Abdullah Al Rakib · Abhishek Bhatt · Abdulla - Al Kafy
View
Show abstract
... Forests in Upper Manyame Sub -Catchment (UMSC) play an important ecological and climatological role. However,
due to decades of land cover changes and deforestation in Harare, the climate is slowly warming with more warming
predicted ( Mushore et al., 2017 ) . Decades of forest excision and watershed degradation in UMSC have raised
ecological and economic concerns. ...
Deforestation rate and causes in Upper Manyame Sub-Catchment, Zimbabwe: Implications on achieving national
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Luckson Zvobgo · Jonathan Tsoka
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Show abstract
... Prediksi suhu juga dapat disimulasikan dengan algortitma Cellular Automata (CA). Penelitian yang yang dilakukan
oleh Mushore et al. (2017) mengungkapkan bahwa algoritma CA mampu memprediksi perubahan suhu hingga tahun
2045 secara akurat dengan mengandalkan basis data penggunaan lahan dan suhu permukaan periode 1984, 1993, 2001,
dan 2015. Dari beberapa penelitian sebelumnya tersebut menunjukan bahwa perubahan suhu permukaan dapat

diprediksi menggunakan beragam algoritma machine learning dan artifical inteligent. ...
Prediksi Suhu Permukaan Menggunakan Artificial Neural Network-Cellular Automata di Wilayah Cirebon dan
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Moh. Dede · Millary Agung Widiawaty · Yanuar Rizky Ramadhan · Wiko Nurdian
View
Show abstract
... Urban Index or UI proved to be the most powerful indicator of LST amongst different other variables which included
vegetation and non-vegetation indexes. As the indicators which are mainly based on hypothesis fail to equate the
previous patterns, ANN stands as the perfect solution for LST modelling [23] [24] [25]. ...
Prediction of Future Land Surface Temperature And Its Impact On Climate Change: A Remote Sensing Based
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Show abstract
... Additionally, the urban index was observed to have an elevated correlation with LST in Harare, Zimbabwe (Mushore
et al. 2017) . The pace of building density, land use patterns, and urbanization has a direct relation with the intensity of
LST (Ahmed et al. 2013). ...
Time Series Analysis of Land Surface Temperature and Drivers of Urban Heat Island Effect Based on Remotely Sensed
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Umer Khalil · Bilal Aslam · Umar Azam Qureshi · Daniyal Khalid
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Show abstract
... Harare metropolitan city was selected for this study because it is in a constant state of change due to rapid urban
expansion and changes in land cover and land use, which are typical of most urban areas in Zimbabwe. The rapid
urbanization in rapidly developing cities like Harare, Zimbabwe (Wania et al., 2014 , Mushore et al., 2017 may
accelerate the process of vegetation fragmentation. ...
A quantitative framework for analysing long term spatial clustering and vegetation fragmentation in an urban
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Pedzisai Kowe · Onisimo Mutanga · John Odindi · Timothy Dube
View
Show abstract
... LST can change significantly in a vast homogeneous land surface or even inside a relatively small heterogeneous
urban area [14,24,25]. Different types of LULC response differently in TIR band and consequently LST largely varies in
an urban environment [26][27][28][29][30][31][32][33][34][35][36][37][38][39][40] [41] [42][43][44]. The LULC
types are mainly changed by land conversion process [10]. ...
Land surface temperature and normalized difference vegetation index relationship: a seasonal study on a tropical city
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View
... (c) Modeling the changes in surface biophysical characteristics caused by anthropogenic activities in the past is of
great importance. However, predicting the future trends of these changes is critical and useful for management and
planning in controlling the negative effects of these changes (Ahmed et al., 2013; Mushore et al., 2017; Firozjaei et al.,
2018). ...

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Mohammad Karimi Firozjaei · Amir Sedighi · Hamzeh Karimi Firozjaei · Seyed Kazem Alavi Panah
View
Show abstract
... Prospects of different vegetation and anti-vegetation variables to predict LST confirmed that the urban index (UI)
became the strongest predictor of LST. Since hypothesisoriented indicators cannot accurately reflect historical patterns,
the best-fitting model for LST simulation is the ANN (Civco, 1993;Mas & Flores, 2008; Mushore, Odindi, Dube,
Mutanga, & Environment, 2017; Shatnawi & Abu Qdais, 2019). ...
Impact on Land Surface Temperature and Urban Heat Island, Due to Land Use/Land Cover Change in Dhaka
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Chapter
Feb 2022
Abdullah-Al- Faisal · Md. Shahinoor Rahman · Md. Mostafizur Rahman · Abdulla - Al Kafy
View
... LST can change significantly in a vast homogeneous land surface or even inside a relatively small heterogeneous
urban area [14,24,25]. Different types of LULC response differently in TIR band and consequently LST largely varies in
an urban environment [26][27][28][29][30][31][32][33][34][35][36][37][38][39][40] [41] [42][43][44]. The LULC
types are mainly changed by land conversion process [10]. ...
Land surface temperature and normalized difference vegetation index relationship: a seasonal study on a tropical city
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Oct 2020
Himanshu Govil
View
Show abstract

... Their findings show that due to massive urban developments in that region, the LST in a particular area with high-
heat classes will increase in the coming years resulting in higher temperature values than before. Mushore et al. (2017)
conducted another study with similar objectives using various surface characteristics such as Normalized Difference
Vegetation Index (NDVI), Normalized Difference Built Up Index (NDBI), Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI)
and a Cellular Automata-Markov (CA-Markov) model on the Harare metropolitan area for the period of 1984 to 2045.
Their findings show that the high-density built up will increase by nearly 5% from 2015 to 2045, while both green
spaces and croplands will decrease by almost 50% in the same period. ...
Modelling the intensity of surface urban heat island and predicting the emerging patterns: Landsat multi-temporal
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... Correction processes continue until the level of error between network performance, and target output is satisfactory.
Furthermore, researchers used an integrated approach to get the best output from the relation between LULCC and LST
(Singh et al. 2015; Mushore et al. 2017; Hamad et al. 2018;Zadbagher et al. 2018;Hasan et al. 2020;Ruben et al.
2020;Fattah et al. 2021;Tadese et al. 2021). ...
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... This index was used for bare land identification (Guha and Govil, 2021). Substantial studies indicate that there is a
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2021) and surface urban heat island (Dwivedi and Khire, 2018;He et al., 2022;Mathew et al., 2018a). Against this
background, remote sensing has been adopted as an efficient method to gather and analyze large-scale LST-related
information (Burdun et al., 2019;Kafy et al., 2021;Mathew et al., 2018b; Mushore et al., 2017; Wang et al., 2019a).
Algorithms have accordingly been proposed based on features of thermal infrared (TIR) data, including single-channel
algorithms (Chatterjee et al., 2017;Jimenez-Munoz et al., 2009a;Qin et al., 2001b), multi-channel algorithms (Gillespie
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al. (2017) . Nighttime light intensity data are derived from stray-light corrected VIIRS nighttime light (Butler et al.,
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sometimes due to the changes in the climatic conditions [3]. As a result, the land surface processes change and affect the
lower atmosphere and thus the local climate [4][5][6][7][8] [9] [10][11][12][13]. ...
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Discover more about: Cellular Automata
Project Project
Remote sensing of the responses of urban climate to land International Collaborative Research on Urban Sprawl,
use and land cover dynamics UHI and LU/LC Interactions
Terence Darlington Mushore · Onisimo Md. Omar Sarif · R.D. Gupta · Manjula
Mutanga · John Odindi · [...] · Ranagalage · [...] · Nigel Stork
The project goal is to understand the implications of urban growth 1. Impact of Urban Sprawl on Land Use/Land Cover (LU/LC).
2.
on local climate. Issues covered include temperature changes, Impact of Urban Heat Island in changing in the LU/LC.
3. To
human thermal comfort, heat risks and future predictions. extract the changing of LU/LC pattern over the period time in the
urban area ... [more]
View project
View project
Project Project
Veld Fire Management in Mazowe, Zimbabwe Inter Annual Variability of Zimbabwe Summer Rainfall
and its Possible Circulation Mechanisms
Robert Maponga · Terence Darlington Mushore ·
Fethi Ahmed Moven Manjowe · Juliet Gwenzi · Terence
Darlington Mushore · [...] · Emmanuel Mashonjowa
View project
View project
Article
Full-text available
Simulation of land cover changes in urban area using

CA-MARKOV model (case study: zone 2 in Tehran,...
March 2019 · Modeling Earth Systems and Environment
Saeedeh Nasehi · Aysan Imanpour Namin ·

Esmail Salehi
Land surface has already been exposed to impressive land

use/cover changes, which is more evident in residential areas.
Land cover changes play an important role in understanding the
interactions between human activities and the environment. The
aim of this research was to analyze and monitor land cover
changes in zone 2 in Tehran, Iran over a time span of 30 years and
predict the future trend of ... [Show full abstract]
View full-text

Last Updated: 05 Jul 2022
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HomeDynamic SystemsMathematical SciencesDiscrete Dynamical SystemsCellular Automata

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Terence Darlington Mushore

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Citations (68) References (123)

Statistical estimation of next-day nighttime surface urban heat islands

https://www.researchgate.net/...an_surface_temperatures_using_medium_resolution_satellite_data_in_Harare_metropolitan_city_Zimbabwe[10/24/2022 2:46:56 PM]

https://www.researchgate.net/...an_surface_temperatures_using_medium_resolution_satellite_data_in_Harare_metropolitan_city_Zimbabwe[10/24/2022 2:46:56 PM]

https://www.researchgate.net/...an_surface_temperatures_using_medium_resolution_satellite_data_in_Harare_metropolitan_city_Zimbabwe[10/24/2022 2:46:56 PM]

Aliihsan Sekertekin · Elaheh Zadbagher

https://www.researchgate.net/...an_surface_temperatures_using_medium_resolution_satellite_data_in_Harare_metropolitan_city_Zimbabwe[10/24/2022 2:46:56 PM]

https://www.researchgate.net/...an_surface_temperatures_using_medium_resolution_satellite_data_in_Harare_metropolitan_city_Zimbabwe[10/24/2022 2:46:56 PM]

https://www.researchgate.net/...an_surface_temperatures_using_medium_resolution_satellite_data_in_Harare_metropolitan_city_Zimbabwe[10/24/2022 2:46:56 PM]

https://www.researchgate.net/...an_surface_temperatures_using_medium_resolution_satellite_data_in_Harare_metropolitan_city_Zimbabwe[10/24/2022 2:46:56 PM]

https://www.researchgate.net/...an_surface_temperatures_using_medium_resolution_satellite_data_in_Harare_metropolitan_city_Zimbabwe[10/24/2022 2:46:56 PM]

https://www.researchgate.net/...an_surface_temperatures_using_medium_resolution_satellite_data_in_Harare_metropolitan_city_Zimbabwe[10/24/2022 2:46:56 PM]

https://www.researchgate.net/...an_surface_temperatures_using_medium_resolution_satellite_data_in_Harare_metropolitan_city_Zimbabwe[10/24/2022 2:46:56 PM]

Umer Khalil · Bilal Aslam · Umar Azam Qureshi · Daniyal Khalid

https://www.researchgate.net/...an_surface_temperatures_using_medium_resolution_satellite_data_in_Harare_metropolitan_city_Zimbabwe[10/24/2022 2:46:56 PM]

https://www.researchgate.net/...an_surface_temperatures_using_medium_resolution_satellite_data_in_Harare_metropolitan_city_Zimbabwe[10/24/2022 2:46:56 PM]

https://www.researchgate.net/...an_surface_temperatures_using_medium_resolution_satellite_data_in_Harare_metropolitan_city_Zimbabwe[10/24/2022 2:46:56 PM]

Continental-scale mapping and analysis of building footprint, height and volume.

https://www.researchgate.net/...an_surface_temperatures_using_medium_resolution_satellite_data_in_Harare_metropolitan_city_Zimbabwe[10/24/2022 2:46:56 PM]

Jasper van Vliet · Hannes Taubenböck

Continental-scale mapping and analysis of 3D building structure

https://www.researchgate.net/...an_surface_temperatures_using_medium_resolution_satellite_data_in_Harare_metropolitan_city_Zimbabwe[10/24/2022 2:46:56 PM]

MAIZE INDEX INSURANCE AND MANAGEMENT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN A DEVELOPING ECONOMY

https://www.researchgate.net/...an_surface_temperatures_using_medium_resolution_satellite_data_in_Harare_metropolitan_city_Zimbabwe[10/24/2022 2:46:56 PM]

https://www.researchgate.net/...an_surface_temperatures_using_medium_resolution_satellite_data_in_Harare_metropolitan_city_Zimbabwe[10/24/2022 2:46:56 PM]

Local variations in the response of birds to human presence in urban areas

Re-envisioning Advances in Remote Sensing: Urbanization, Disasters and Planning

https://www.researchgate.net/...an_surface_temperatures_using_medium_resolution_satellite_data_in_Harare_metropolitan_city_Zimbabwe[10/24/2022 2:46:56 PM]

https://www.researchgate.net/...an_surface_temperatures_using_medium_resolution_satellite_data_in_Harare_metropolitan_city_Zimbabwe[10/24/2022 2:46:56 PM]

https://www.researchgate.net/...an_surface_temperatures_using_medium_resolution_satellite_data_in_Harare_metropolitan_city_Zimbabwe[10/24/2022 2:46:56 PM]

Discover more about: Cellular Automata

Simulation of land cover changes in urban area using

Saeedeh Nasehi · Aysan Imanpour Namin ·

Land surface has already been exposed to impressive land

https://www.researchgate.net/...an_surface_temperatures_using_medium_resolution_satellite_data_in_Harare_metropolitan_city_Zimbabwe[10/24/2022 2:46:56 PM]

Last Updated: 05 Jul 2022

© 2008-2022 ResearchGate GmbH. All rights reserved.

Terms · Privacy · Copyright · Imprint

https://www.researchgate.net/...an_surface_temperatures_using_medium_resolution_satellite_data_in_Harare_metropolitan_city_Zimbabwe[10/24/2022 2:46:56 PM]

https://www.researchgate.net/...an_surface_temperatures_using_medium_resolution_satellite_data_in_Harare_metropolitan_city_Zimbabwe[10/24/2022 2:46:56 PM]

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