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Equity Research: Company Focus
Equity Research: Company Focus
Company Focus
Saratoga Investama Sedaya
Remain prudent while delivering value NOT RATED
An active investment company in pursue of value accretion
Saratoga Investama Sedaya (SRTG) is well known to its strategic and marvelous investments Current price IDR5,475
throughout several sectors such as natural resources, infrastructure, and consumer. SRTG is Price target n.a
actively aiming early to growth stage company and special situation opportunities and engage Upside/Downside n.a
them to become established enterprises. Aside of the investees value accretion, Saratoga
also enjoying bear fruit from their several blue-chip investments through the dividend income 16 February 2021
that they got as recurring income sources to maintain its operational and liquidity performance.
Aug-19
Nov-19
Aug-20
Nov-20
May-18
May-19
May-20
Feb-18
Feb-19
value, suggested SRTG’s net asset value (NAV) range of IDR35,71 tn to IDR41.66 tn. Feb-20
Meanwhile, SRTG has been trading at deep discount to its NAV with 5-yrs average of 46.1%,
as opposed to the usual conglomerate discount of 10-20%. Assuming 20% conglomerate
discount, SRTG fair price will be in the range of IDR10,500 – IDR12,285 per share, which is Share Performance (%)
justified considering its superior ROE, stronger balance sheet and attractive PBV over its Month Absolute Relative
peers. However, if we to be conservative and applying the historical average discount of 3m 64.2 40.2
46.1%, Saratoga’s share price should be valued at the range of IDR7,095 – IDR8,277 per 6m 90.3 60.9
share, which is still a very attractive 50% upside from current share price. 12m 55.8 43.8
VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS
Adrianus Bias Prasuryo
(IDR bn) 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Adrianus.prasuryo@sucorsekuritas.com
Revenue 6,136 7,137 3,844 (6,088) 8,268 +62 21 8067 3048
EBIT 2,574 6,994 3,631 (6,275) 8,066
Ariyanto Dipo Sucahyo
Net income 923 5,670 3,321 (6,195) 7,371
Ariyanto.sucahyo@sucorsekuritas.com
EPS growth (%) 48% 515.0% -43.0% N/A N/A +62 21 8067 3021
PER (x) 1.4 1.7 3.0 N/A 1.3
PBV (x) 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.4
Dividend yield (%) 1.2 1.7 2.4 2.0 3.0
Net gearing (x) 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1
Saratoga Investama Sedaya - Remain prudent while delivering value
February 2021
Company at Glance
PT Saratoga Investama Sedaya Tbk. (Saratoga/SRTG IJ) is an active investment company with
a proven track record of investment success. Since its establishment in 1997, Saratoga has
taken an active role in managing investee companies as well as in exploring investment
opportunities. Saratoga focuses on investment opportunities in the early-stage, growth stage,
and special cases with emphasis on three key sectors of Indonesian economic development:
Consumer, Infrastructure, and Natural Resources. The company went public in 2013 and
released 271.3mn shares or equals to 10% of the enlarged capital at IPO price of IDR5,500.
Source: Company, Sucor Sekuritas. *) Note that the publicly listed companies are updated as per latest data, and non-listed are based on AR 2019
Net asset value of the company continues to increase as their investment targets occurred
appreciation from the market along with the performance growth that being delivered by those
investees. The company also enjoying bear fruit from their several blue-chip investments
through the dividend income they got.
Given its profile and commitment, Saratoga is on-track to delivering its mission to provide
investor an access to participate in the dynamic growth of Indonesia through the value accretion
from both unlisted and listed entities
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Saratoga Investama Sedaya - Remain prudent while delivering value
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The company’s track record has been shown not only in one particular industry but across the
three priority industries that they are focus on. ADRO, TBIG and MPMX has becoming SRTG’s
backbone for the dividend income in the past, contributing around 96% and 99% of the total
dividend income in 2019 and 9M20. Note also that SRTG has also been receiving dividend from
its other investees and making its dividend stream is now more diversified compared to early
years where it only coming from ADRO.
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Saratoga Investama Sedaya - Remain prudent while delivering value
February 2021
2002-2006 2007-2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
8,174 7,202 8,424
7,462 8,240
7,157 6,557 5,814
NAV PER SHARE (IDR)
6,108
3,560 5,007
539
PT Adaro PT Adaro Energy Tbk PT Agro Maju PT Medco Interra Resources Finders PT Gilang PT Agra Energi PT Mulia PT Deltomed PT Aneka Gas
Indonesia Natural Resources Raya Power Limited Resources Agung Indonesia Natural Bosco Logistik Laboratories Industri Tbk
Natural Resources Coal & Energy Natural Indonesia Natural Resources Limited Natural Persada Resources Consumer Cold- Consumer Herbal Consumer and
SAROTAGA INVESTMENT ACTIVITY
Coal & Energy Resources Palm Infrastructure Oil & Gas Resources Consumer Oil & Gas chain logistics Medicine Industrial Gas
PT Tower Bersama Plantation Power Polymetallic Lifestyle
PT Banyan Mas Infrastructure Tbk Generation Seroja Investment PT Paiton Energy PT Famon
Infrastructure Telco (formerly PT Banyan PT Mitra Limited PT Nusa Raya PT Trimitra Infrastructure Awal Bros
Tower Mas) Infrastructure Pinasthika PT Tri Wahana Infrastructure Cipta Tbk Karya Jaya Power Generation Sedaya
Telco Tower Mustika Tbk Universal Freight Chartering Infrastructure (holding of PT Consumer
PT Tenaga Listrik Consumer Infrastructure Construction Merdeka Healthcare
Gorontalo Automotive Oil Refinery Sihayo Gold Copper Gold
Infrastructure Limited Natural PT Mitra Tbk) Natural
Power Generation PT Etika Karya Resources Pinasthika Resources
Usaha Consumer Gold Mustika Tbk Gold
PT Lintas Marga Property Consumer
Sedaya Sumatra Copper Automotive
Infrastructure and Gold PLC
Toll Road Natural Resources
Polymetallic
PT Provident
Agro Tbk
Natural Resources
Palm Oil Plantation
PT Adaro Energy Tbk PT Tower PT Provident PT Mitra PT Merdeka
Bersama Agro Tbk Pinasthika Copper Gold Tbk
LISTING
(Paiton Energy)
Divested palm Divested
plantation PT Medco
assets of PT Power
Provident Agro Indonesia
Tbk with a
market premium Sold stake in an
price per investee
hectare. company
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Saratoga Investama Sedaya - Remain prudent while delivering value
February 2021
Business Outlook
Active divestment and investment to optimize value
Saratoga’s investment activities are generally in line with its annual plan. The company has been
consistently disbursing investment with an average of IDR881 bn per annum since 2015 with an
exception in 2018 and 2019 where Saratoga starts to invest heavily into PT Merdeka Copper
Gold (MDKA IJ) and acquire PT Aneka Gas Industri (AGII). However, in 2020, Saratoga decided
to become more prudent in making investment due to global market downturn amid pandemic.
Investment
2,000
Divestment 1,724
1,500 1,365
1,026
1,000
649
543 558
500 419 374
277
98
-
-
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 9M20
On the other hand, the company’s capability to maintain its liquidity profile provide them ample
headroom to retain and develop its investment without necessity to rushing the divestment
activities. Given that, Saratoga has only executed major divestment in two particular years which
are during 2017 when they divested PT Lintas Marga Sedaya, the concession holder of
Cikampek – Palimanan (Cipali) toll road as well as PT Medco Power Indonesia and sold their
stake in Paiton Energy through PT Batu Hitam Perkasa in 2018. Aside of that, Saratoga also
receiving solid dividend from its investment over the year, led by Adaro Energy, Tower Bersama
and Mitra Pinasthika Mustika.
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
-
2017 2018 2019 1H20
ADRO TBIG MPMX Others
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Saratoga Investama Sedaya - Remain prudent while delivering value
February 2021
The company has been able to maintain its loan-to-value ratio, which derived from dividing its
net-debt position with its net-asset value, below 20% and even improved it further to only 10.2%
as of 9M20. This ensures its sound financial profile with plenty room to tap further leverage if
there’s any liquidity issue come up. Despite of that, the company will continue to be prudent in
using leverage with a commitment of not using any debt to pay dividend to its shareholder.
In terms of liquidity, the company is closely monitoring its debt maturity schedule and will actively
adjust it to align with the dividend outlook from its investee or monetization timeline of its
investment.
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Saratoga Investama Sedaya - Remain prudent while delivering value
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On operation point of view, Saratoga has always maintained its holding operational cost to
somewhat streamline with operating expense to NAV ratio remains at maximum 1%. This is
necessary to have such low-cost operational basis given their nature as investment company
and to balance their short-term liquidity needs from working capital spending.
Fig 11: Operational cost ratio Fig 12: Interest cost ratio
3.00% 2.81% 7
2.7% 6.3
2.5% 6
2.50% 2.19% 2.1% 5
4.2
2.00% 4 3.7
3.2
1.50% 3 2.5
2.3
1.0% 2.1 2
1.0% 0.9% 1.0%
2 1.5 1.6
1.00% 0.7% 0.7% 1.1
1 0.6
0.4%
0.50%
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 9M20
0.00%
Dividend/interest Dividend/(Opex+Interest)
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 9M20
Source: Company, Sucor Sekuritas Source: Company, Sucor Sekuritas
Opex/NAV (Opex+Interest)/NAV
Further, the company’s relatively low leverage profile has also enabled the company to maintain
a rather manageable interest cost which largely can be covered by its dividend income from its
investees. The figure is very sound with dividend to interest cost ratio is maintained above 3x
level while the dividend to overall cost ratio (Opex + interest cost) are remains above 2x in 9M20.
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Saratoga Investama Sedaya - Remain prudent while delivering value
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Meanwhile our back-of-the envelope calculation using two different approaches, market value
and fair value, suggested a net asset value (NAV) range of IDR35,71 tn to IDR41.66 tn. We use
the current market cap of Saratoga’s listed investees to calculate its market value NAV while
using our targeted market cap from both our coverages and Bloomberg consensuses to arrive
at its fair value NAV.
NON-LISTED ENTITIES
PT Agro Maju Jaya 25.0
PT Agra Energi Indonesia 30.0
Total non-listed entities 14.0 0.0% 14.0 0.0%
Total Natural Resources 17,909.5 50.2% 22,538.0 54.1%
Infrastructure
LISTED ENTITIES
PT Tower Bersama Infra. TBIG IJ 34.0 47,126.6 16,023.0 44.9% 50,774.4 17,263.3 41.4% Bloomberg Consensus
PT Nusa Raya Cipta NRCA IJ 7.1 883.7 62.9 0.2% 1,461.6 104.1 0.2%Target PBV average peers
Seroja Investment Ltd. SER SP 23.3 323.8 75.3 0.2% 323.8 75.3 0.2% Market Value
NON-LISTED ENTITIES
PT Tenaga Listrik Gorontalo 46.3
PT Tri Wahana Universal 35.0
Total non-listed entities 96.0 0.3% 96.0 0.2%
Others 1,262.0 3.5% 1,262.0 3.0%
Total Natural Resources 17,519.3 49.1% 18,800.7 45.1%
Consumer
LISTED ENTITIES
PT Mitra Pinasthika Mustika MPMX IJ 52.2 2,276.1 1,188.4 3.3% 2,276.1 1,188.4 2.9% Market Value
PT Aneka Gas Industri AGII IJ 8.4 3,802.7 319.0 0.9% 4,293.4 360.2 0.9% Sucor's valuation
NON-LISTED ENTITIES
PT Bumi Hijau Asri 99.99
PT Mulia Bosco Logistik 7.5
PT Gilang Agung Persada 5.8
PT Deltomed Laboratories 5.8
PT Famon Awal Bros Sedaya 3.1
Provident Growth Fund n.a
SC Technology Investment Ltd. n.a
Total non-listed entities 1,474.0 4.1% 1,474.0 3.5%
Total Consumer 2,981.4 8.3% 3,022.6 7.3%
Assuming 20% conglomerate discount, SRTG fair price will be in the range of IDR10,500 –
IDR12,285 per share, which is justified considering its superior ROE, stronger balance sheet
and attractive PBV over its peers. However, if we to be conservative and applying the historical
average discount of 46.1%, Saratoga’s share price should be valued at the range of IDR7,095
– IDR8,277 per share, which is still a very attractive 50% upside from current share price.
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Saratoga Investama Sedaya - Remain prudent while delivering value
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Market Cap
Company ROA (%) ROE (%) PBV (x) Net Gearing (x) Dividend Yield (%)
(in USD bn)
Saratoga Investama Sedaya 1.07 5.8 6.8 0.6 0.1 1.7
Astra International 17.47 4.3 10.1 1.6 0.4 3.1
Elang Mahkota Teknologi 8.32 3.6 5.6 11.8 0.3 0.0
Jardine Matheson Holdings 40.02 1.9 6.2 0.7 0.3 3.2
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. 569.35 2.6 5.2 1.4 0.3 0.0
CK Hutchison Holdings Ltd. 26.61 2.2 6.2 0.4 0.7 5.5
Seven Group Holdings Ltd. 6,07 5.1 12.8 2.7 1.2 1.8
First Pacific Co. 1,43 -1.0 -7.2 0.5 1.0 5.5
Peers average 132.4 2.7 5.6 2.7 0.6 2.7
Source: Bloomberg, Sucor Sekuritas
Appendix
Fig 16: Income statement and balance sheet
Profit & Loss (IDR Bn) 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 9M19 9M20 Balance Sheet (IDR bn) 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 9M19 9M20
Revenue 6,136 7,137 3,844 (6,088) 8,268 7,549 1,316 Cash and equivalents 718 758 910 783 394 394 703
Operating Expenses (3,562) (144) (213) (138) (157) (125) (143) Trade receivables 575 381 623 366 440 440 122
Operating profit 2,574 6,994 3,631 (6,226) 8,111 7,424 1,173 Investment in shares 13,387 23,802 24,755 18,102 23,560 23,560 25,210
Operating Margin (%) 42.0 98.0 94.5 N.A 98.1 98.3 89.1 Investment in other equity 111 69 94 726 2,131 2,131 1,174
Other assets 1,910 135 247 139 132 132 147
Bad Debt Expense - (54) (45) (37) (34) (7) - Total Assets 16,701 25,144 26,630 20,115 26,658 26,658 27,356
Net loss on derivatives instrmnt. (48) 226 52 28 (50) (55) (35) Income tax payable 79 37 130 47 21 21 1
Forex gain (loss) (211) 91 (28) (150) 73 38 (133) Short-term debt + CMLTD - - - - - - -
Finance expense (370) (283) (348) (282) (317) (254) (173) Long-term debt 4,822 4,575 2,465 3,938 3,325 3,325 3,402
Other income/expense (269) (388) (75) (18) (45) (10) (5) Other liabilties 320 1,166 1,746 166 537 537 187
Pre-tax profit 1,676 6,585 3,187 (6,685) 7,738 7,135 827 Total Liabilities 5,221 5,778 4,342 4,151 3,883 3,883 3,589
Tax expense (225) (882) (79) 550 (394) (119) 372 Minority interest 949 382 254 309 49 49 21
Minority interest 528 33 (124) 60 (27) 9 (0) Paid capital 2,570 5,185 5,185 5,185 5,185 5,185 5,185
Net profit to parent entity 923 5,670 3,232 (6,194) 7,371 7,007 1,199 Retained earnings 6,596 12,013 14,984 10,106 17,177 17,177 19,227
EPS (IDR) 340 2,091 1,192 (2,284) 2,718 2,584 443 Other equities 1,366 1,786 1,864 365 362 362 -666
Total Equity 11,481 19,367 22,287 15,964 22,774 22,774 23,766
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Saratoga Investama Sedaya - Remain prudent while delivering value
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Management Profile
Fig.18 Board of Commissioner
Name Historical Background
Current position: President Commissioner of PT Saratoga
Investama Sedaya
- Vice President Director of Astra International (1978-1993)
- President Commissioner of PT Adaro Energy Tbk
Edwin - President Commissioner of PT Tower Bersama
Soeryadjaya Infrastructure Tbk
- President Commissioner of PT Merdeja Copper Gold Tbk
- President Commissioner of PT Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Tbk
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Saratoga Investama Sedaya - Remain prudent while delivering value
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Saratoga Investama Sedaya - Remain prudent while delivering value
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Overweight : We expect the industry to perform better than the primary market index (JCI) over the next 12 months.
Neutral : We expect the industry to perform in line with the primary market index (JCI) over the next 12 months.
Underweight : We expect the industry to undeIDRerform the primary market index (JCI) over the next 12 months
Buy : We expect this stock to give return (excluding dividend) of above 10% over the next 12 months.
Hold : We expect this stock to give return of between -10% and 10% over the next 12 months.
Sell : We expect this stock to give return of -10% or lower over the next 12 months
Analyst Certification
The research analyst(s) primarily responsible for the preparation of this research report hereby certify that all of the views
expressed in this research report accurately reflect their personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers.
The research analyst(s) also certify that no part of their compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the
specific recommendations or views expressed in this research report.
Disclaimers
This document has been prepared for general circulation based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable
but we do not make any representations as to its accuracy or completeness. PT Sucor Sekuritas accepts no liability
whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this document or any solicitations of an offer to buy
or sell any securities. PT Sucor Sekuritas and its directors, officials and/or employees may have positions in, and may affect
transactions in securities mentioned herein from time to time in the open market or otherwise, and may receive brokerage
fees or act as principal or agent in dealings with respect to these companies. PT Sucor Sekuritas may also seek investment
banking business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result investors should be aware that the firm may
have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single
factor in making their investment decision.
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Saratoga Investama Sedaya - Remain prudent while delivering value
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