History

Oct Nov Dic Jan Feb

Sales
Forecast (In millions $) 12.50 10.00 16.25 5.00 5.00
(In units) 5000 4000 6500 2000 2000
Actual (In units) 4384 3626 6065
Diff. Month -616 -374 -435
Diff. Cumulative -990 -1425
Operations
Plan (In units) 5000 4000 6500 1206 2176
(In employees) 72 70 114 20 35
Number working days/mo 23 19 19 20 21
Actual (In units) 5649 4091 7279
Diff. month 649 91 779
Diff. Cumulative 740 1519
Inventory
Plan (In units) 1270 1270 1270 476 652
(In 1000 $) 2223 2223 2223 833.52 1141.56
Actual (In units) 2265 2730 3944
Days of supply 12 12 12 5 5
 DATOS
work/employee/day 3 units
days of supply 5 days
Mar Apr May Jun costo unitario 1.7504 $

7.50 10.00 12.50 17.50

3000 4000 5000 7000

b. What are the implications of this plan, considering

the qualitative factors?
- Este plan nos dice que para el mes de enero no
alcanzaremos a cubrir el pronóstico, sin embargo para el
3348 4136 5455 mes de febrero y marzo tendremos una producción alta y
sobrepasaremos el forecast.
49 69 83 - Respecto a los empleados, tendremos un incremento a
23 20 22 22 lo largo de los meses.
- Asimismo, los niveles de inventario se elevan a medida
que avanzan los meses.

1000 1136 1591

1750.39 1989.08 2784.72

5 5 5 5
 plan, considering

de enero no
sin embargo para el
una producción alta y
mos un incremento a

se elevan a medida
 History
Oct Nov Dic Jan Feb
Sales
Forecast (In millions $) 12.50 10.00 16.25 5.00 5.00
(In units) 5000 4000 6500 2000 2000
Actual (In units) 4384 3626 6065
Diff. Month -616 -374 -435
Diff. Cumulative -990 -1425
Operations
Plan (In units) 5000 4000 6500 2000 2000
(In employees) 72 70 114 33 32
Number working days/mo 23 19 19 20 21
Actual (In units) 5649 4091 7279
Diff. month 649 91 779
Diff. Cumulative 740 1519
Inventory
Plan (In units) 1270 1270 1270 3944 3944
(In 1000 $) 2223 2223 2223 6902 6902
Actual (In units) 2265 2730 3944
Days of supply 12 12 12 39 41
 a. Historical forecast error:
-9.19%
Mar Apr May Jun
Sales
b. What would your estimate
7.50 10.00 12.50 17.50 of actual sales be for January Forecast (In millions $)
3000 4000 5000 7000 through June? (In units)
supply and inventory level Actual (In units)
be assuming the production Diff. Month
plan is executed Diff. Cumulative
according to the current plan
and your estimate in part b Operations
3000 4000 5000 7000 is correct? Plan (In units)
43 67 76 106 (In employees
23 20 22 22 Number working days/mo
d. What options would you
consider to address this Actual (In units)
problem? Diff. month
Diff. Cumulative
Inventory
3944 3944 3944 3944 Plan (In units)
6902 6902 6902 6902 (In 1000 $)
Actual (In units)
30 20 17 12 Days of supply

Analizar nuevamente el pronóstico de la demanda, para que el error

sea menor y así mismo ajustar el plan de producción al nuevo
forecast.
 History
Oct Nov Dic Jan Feb Mar Apr May

12.50 10.00 16.25 5.00 5.00 7.50 10.00 12.50

5000 4000 6500 2000 2000 3000 4000 5000
4384 3626 6065 1816 1816 2724 3632 4540
-616 -374 -435
-990 -1425

5000 4000 6500 2000 2000 3000 4000 5000

72 70 114 33 32 43 67 76
23 19 19 20 21 23 20 22
5649 4091 7279
649 91 779
740 1519

1270 1270 1270 4128 4312 4588 4955 5415

2223 2223 2223 7224 7546 8028 8672 9476
2265 2730 3944
12 12 12 48 36 25 24 19
Jun

17.50
7000
6356

7000
106
22

6059
10602
 Demand Forecast
Quarter Jet Skis Snowmobiles Demanda Producción Inventario
agregada planeada inicial
1 10000 9000 19000 22000 1000
2 15000 7000 22000 22000 4000
3 16000 19000 35000 22000 4000
4 3000 10000 13000 22000 0
Total 89000 88000

Demanda Demanda
Beginning inventory agregada acumulada
Skis Snowmobiles Producción requerida 19000 19000
600 400 88000 22000 41000
35000 76000
Production and costs 13000 89000
Regular time 15 $/unit
Overtime 22.5 $/unit
Subcontract 30 $/unit
Part-time 36 $/unit
Inventory 3 $/unit/quarter
Back order 24 $/unit/quarter
Hiring 300 $/time/employee
Layoff 1500 $/time/employee

Production rates
Regular 500 units per full-time employee per quarter (of either unit)
Overtime (max) 200 units per full-time employee per quarter (of either unit)
Part-time 400 units per full-time employee per quarter (of either unit)
Initial wf size 44 full time employees
Inventario Inventario Backorders Costos de tiempo Costo de Costo de
final promedio regular inventario backorders
4000 2500 0 330000 7500 0
4000 4000 0 330000 12000 0
0 2000 9000 330000 6000 216000
0 0 0 330000 0 0
1320000 25500 216000

COSTO TOTAL $ 1,561,500.00

Cumulative Chart
100000
90000
80000
Demanda acumulada

70000
60000
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
0
1 2 3 4
Quarter

c. If each shipping container for completed jet skis and snowmobiles requires 20
cu. ft. of space, what is the maximum finished-goods warehouse space you will
need next year if the plan in part b of this problem is adopted.

Inventory space
80000 pies cubicos
d. If the cost of each completed end item is $600, what is the maximum amount
of capital that will be tied up in finished-goods inventory during the year?

$ 2,400,000.00
 Demand Forecast
Quarter Jet Skis Snowmobiles Demanda Producción Producción
agregada anterior planeada
1 10000 11000 21000 22000 22500
2 15000 7000 22000 22000 22500
3 16000 19000 35000 22000 22500
4 3000 10000 13000 22000 22500
Total 91000 90000

Beginning inventory Demand Forecast

Skis Snowmobiles Producción requerida
Quarter
600 400 90000
1
Production and costs 2
Regular time 15 $/unit 3
Overtime 22.5 $/unit 4
Subcontract 30 $/unit
Part-time 36 $/unit
Inventory 3 $/unit/quarter
Back order 24 $/unit/quarter
Hiring 300 $/time/employee
Layoff 1500 $/time/employee
Demand Forecast
Production rates

Regular 500 units per full-time employee per quarter (of either unit)
Overtime (max) 200 units per full-time employee per quarter (of either unit)
Part-time 400 units per full-time employee per quarter (of either unit)
Initial wf size 44 full time employees
 OVERTIME Inventario Inventario Inventario Backorders Costos de tiempo Costo de
inicial final promedio regular inventario
500 1000 2500 1750 0 330000 5250
500 2500 3000 2750 0 330000 8250
500 3000 0 1500 9500 330000 4500
500 0 0 0 0 330000 0
1320000 18000

a. COSTO TOTAL

Demanda Inventario
Jet Skis Snowmobiles agregada Producción Producción SUBCONTRATAR inicial
anterior planeada
10000 11000 21000 22000 22500 500 1000
15000 7000 22000 22000 22500 500 2500
16000 19000 35000 22000 22500 500 3000
3000 10000 13000 22000 22500 500 0
Total 91000 90000 2000

b. COSTO TOTAL

Demand Forecast
Demanda
Quarter Jet Skis Snowmobiles Producción Producción overtime
agregada
anterior planeada
1 10000 11000 21000 22000 22500 500
2 15000 7000 22000 22000 22500 500
3 16000 19000 35000 22000 22500 500
4 3000 10000 13000 22000 22500 500
Total 91000 90000 2000

c. COSTO TOTAL
 Costo de Costo de
backorders overtime
0 11250
0 11250
228000 11250
0 11250
228000 45000

$ 1,611,000.00

Costos de Costo de
Inventario Costo de Costo de
Inventario final promedio Backorders tiempo inventario backorders subcontrata
regular r
2500 1750 0 330000 5250 0 15000
3000 2750 0 330000 8250 0 15000
0 1500 9500 330000 4500 228000 15000
0 0 0 330000 0 0 15000
1320000 18000 228000 60000

$ 1,626,000.00

Costos de
Inventario Inventario Inventario Costo de Costo de Costo de
Backorders tiempo
inicial final promedio inventario backorders overtime
regular
1000 2500 1750 0 7500 5250 0 11250
2500 3000 2750 0 7500 8250 0 11250
3000 0 1500 9500 7500 4500 228000 11250
0 0 0 0 7500 0 0 11250
30000 18000 228000 45000

$ 321,300.00 hirying cost 300