n

D0 (1  g ) t Dn (1  g )
P0   
t 1
(1 k )t
(k  g )(1  k ) n
D0=1111
K= 15% D0 (1+G)T D0(1+G)T (1+K)T
G=10% 1 1111 1.1 1222.1 1.15 1062.696
2 1111 1.21 1344.31 1.3225 1016.491
3 1111 1.331 1478.741 1.520875 972.2962
4 1111 1.4641 1626.615 1.749006 930.0225
Dn (1+G) (k-g)(1+k)n
G=12% 5 1626.615 1.12 0.05247 34720.84

P0 38702.34
Periode Rx Ry Probability
2016 18% -5% 40%
2017 -3% 15% 30%
2018 10% 5% 40%
2019 -2% 10% 20%
2020 5% 10% 30%

METODE PROBABILITY

Periode Rx Ry Probability Rx.p Ry.p (Rx-ERx) (Ry-ERy) (Rx-ERx)2 (Ry-ERy)2 (Rx-ERx)2.p (Ry-ERy)2.p
2016 18% -5% 40% 0.072 -0.02 0.066 -0.145 0.004356 0.021025 0.0017424 0.008410
2017 -3% 15% 30% -0.009 0.045 -0.144 0.055 0.020736 0.003025 0.0062208 0.000908
2018 10% 5% 40% 0.04 0.02 -0.014 -0.045 0.000196 0.002025 0.0000784 0.000810
2019 -2% 10% 20% -0.004 0.02 -0.134 0.005 0.017956 0.000025 0.0035912 0.000005
2020 5% 10% 30% 0.015 0.03 -0.064 0.005 0.004096 0.000025 0.0012288 0.000008
E ( R) 0.114 0.095 0.0128616 0.01014
SD 0.11340899 0.100697567
CV 0.99481574 1.059974389
PILIH SAHAM X