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Tango vs. Victor - Part A 2022
Tango vs. Victor - Part A 2022
This case has been written by Franco Quillico and Gregory Moscato,
International University of Monaco. It is intended to be used as the basis for class
discussion rather than to illustrate either effective or ineffective handling of a
management situation.
On Tuesday 28h August, 2006 Bob Fisher, managing partner of Tango, a pan-
European private equity fund, was sitting in his office in the West End of
London. He had just come back from a long weekend in Ireland and he was
considering whether or not his fund should invest in the leveraged buyout (LBO)
of Victor, a French company in the soft drinks industry, which was exporting to
Italy, Switzerland and the Benelux. This industry was considered a mature
business with steady cash flows, and this made Victor an attractive candidate for
an LBO. Bob and his colleagues believed that Victor's shares were undervalued
in the market, and that there was room for realizing a substantial value by way
of stand-alone improvements and divestiture of a non-strategic division.
During the month of July Bob had received the due diligence reports that he had
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Exhibit A1 shows the estimate of the Income Statement of Victor for the year
ending 31st December 2006. (These estimates were available to Bob and his
colleagues at that time).
Victor was listed on the Paris stock exchange: in August 2006 the share price was
€20 per share. According to Mike & Company, Tango's investment bankers, a
tender offer at € 25 per share would be accepted by Victor's shareholders. There
were 20,000,000 (twenty-million) shares outstanding.
Tango planned to take over Victor through a leveraged vehicle ("New Victor").
New Victor would be financed through a mixture of debt and equity. The debt
would be composed of Senior Debt1 and Mezzanine (Subordinated Debt)2. The
Senior Debt was going to be provided by a group of commercial banks: it would
amount to € 280 million and it would carry an interest rate of 5%. The
Subordinated Debt would be provided by a group of financial institutions: it
2
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would amount to € 90 million and it would carry an interest rate of 10%. The
repayment of the principal of both Senior and Subordinated Debt would be
linear over eight years (in other words New Victor would have to repay the
principal from the first year onwards in eight equal instalments).
for the Subordinated Debt 70% of the interest would be paid in cash,
while the remaining 30% would be paid-in-kind (PIK)3.
Tango, on the other hand, would invest in the equity of New Victor the balance
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required for the acquisition. Once the transaction was completed, New Victor
would be merged with Victor. Due to the covenants imposed by the lenders, it
would not be possible to pay a dividend in excess of 30% of the Free Cash Flow
to Equity (FCFE)4 of New Victor. The balance of the FCFE would then be added,
each year, to the “excess cash” account5. Of course this covenant would cease to
be binding once both Senior and Subordinated Debt will be repaid in full.
- Victor had excess cash of € 5 million that could be used to finance the
buyout;
3 The term “Payment in Kind (PIK)” indicates that the borrower (New Victor in this case) has the
option to either pay the interest in cash or roll it over until the exit from the deal (as in a zero-
coupon bond). Here we assume that New Victor elects the second option and, therefore, PIK
interest will be rolled over until the end of 2011.
4 Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) is defined as the free cash flow available to the shareholders
3
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- the Senior Debt which was on Victor's Balance Sheet prior to the
buyout (as we will see here below) had to be repaid in order to
complete the acquisition: this Debt amounted to € 50 million;
- a banking fee, due to the lenders (for both Senior and Subordinated
Debt), equal to 2% of the loan amount;
Margin (which was estimated at 20% in 2006) was expected to stay at 20% in
2007, but then it would slide to 19% in 2008, 18% in 2009, and further to 16%
in 2010 and 2011. For the next five years Operating Working Capital (OWC)8
should stay at 15% of Revenues, as in 2006. Victor had recently completed an
investment program to renew the plant and equipment, and, therefore,
estimated Capital Expenditures were limited: € 12 million in 2007, € 15
million in 2008, €17 million in 2009, € 20 million in 2010 and 2011.
Depreciation and Amortisation charges would be: € 15 million in 2007, 2008
and 2009; € 18 million in 2010 and € 20 million 2011. At 31st December 2006,
Victor would have € 50 million of Senior Debt on the Balance Sheet, carrying
an interest rate of 4.5%: the repayment of the principal would be linear over
five years;
on the other hand, if "New Victor" was successful in the takeover of Victor
(Scenario 2) a number of stand-alone improvements would be implemented.
These improvements would have been made possible by Tango’s remarkable
6
Please assume that transaction costs will not be tax deductible and will not be amortized.
7
The Acquisition EV is calculated at the acquisition date. It is defined as: price paid for the
Equity + old debt – Excess cash
8
Operating Working Capital (OWC) is defined as:
OWC = Accounts Receivable + Inventories – Account Payable
In financial modeling it is common practice to express OWC as a percentage of Revenues (as in
our case).
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Finally, the corporate tax rate was expected to stay at the current 33% in both
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Scenarios.
The analysts at Tango estimated that the appropriate cost of equity (ke) for Victor
"as is" (i.e. with the current leverage) was 12%, but it would increase to 18% after
the leveraged buyout (due to the well known fact that the additional leverage
increases the risk for the shareholders).
Bob looked at his diary and figured out that, in order to close the deal by the end
of the year, he should launch the bid within a month. The following day he was
going to meet with his investment bankers and his lawyers to discuss the steps
and the timetable of the bidding process.
5
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EBIT
EBITDA
Revenues
Year Ending
Net Earnings
Taxes (@ 33% )
Profit Before Tax
Interest Expenses
Operating Expenses
6
67.3
90.0
450.0
45.1
31-Dec-2006
70.0
(22.2)
(2.7)
(20.0)
(360.0)
[€ Million]
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Purchased for use on the Stock & Bond Valuation, at International University of Monaco.
Taught by Gregory Moscato, from 26-Oct-2022 to 1-Mar-2023. Order ref F460621.
Usage permitted only within these parameters otherwise contact info@thecasecentre.org