Example - Sales Forecasting

1. Scenario

2 years i.e. 104 weeks of historical data are used to predict the weekly and daily sales of a fashion store.

This example will show neural network as a non-linear application can predict better than classical linear model
due to their ability to find non-linear dependencies in data.
Sales distribution among the weeks appear to be random with no definite rules.
After proper training the network is cable of forecasting weekly sales much better than classical models.

2. Data Description

The dataset contains 104 records with historical data about previous 104 weeks.

Input columns:
1) "Week No." - week number;
2) "Season Influence" - seasonal impact on weekly sales
3) "Holiday Influence" - holiday impact on weekly sales
4) "No. of Competitors sales" - indicates sales campaigns by competitors.
5) "No. of Special Offerings" - number of special offerings (discounts, marketing actions) made
in the restaurants during the week
6) "Advertising Budget" - amount in US dollar spent on advertisements in media during the week
7) "Number of Ads" - number of advertisements made in media during the week

Target column:
8) Target 1 : "Weekly Sales" - weekly sales in US dollars
9) Target 2 : "Daily Sales" - daily sales in US dollars
 Input 1 Input 2 Input 3 Input 4 Input 5
Week No. Season Influence Holiday Influence Competitors Sales No. of Special Offerings
1 High High 3 0
2 Medium Medium 6 2
3 Low None 8 2
4 Low None 1 1
5 Low None 5 2
6 Low None 0 0
7 Low None 7 1
8 Low Medium 9 2
9 Low None 3 1
10 Low None 5 2
11 Low None 2 0
12 Low None 1 2
13 Low None 6 0
14 Low None 5 1
15 Low None 8 3
16 Low None 7 3
17 Low None 5 1
18 Medium None 7 0
19 Medium None 9 1
20 Medium None 5 1
21 Medium None 4 1
22 High Medium 3 0
23 High None 6 1
24 High None 4 1
25 High None 0 1
26 High None 0 0
27 High High 5 0
28 High None 3 0
29 High None 6 0
30 Very High None 7 3
31 Very High None 3 1
32 Very High None 8 1
33 Very High None 1 3
34 Very High None 10 1
35 High None 3 0
36 High None 6 2
37 High None 5 1
38 Medium None 3 1
39 Medium None 8 3
40 Medium None 7 2
41 Medium None 10 2
42 Low Medium 8 2
43 Low None 7 2
44 Low None 2 1
45 Low None 6 0
46 Low None 4 1
47 Low None 7 0
48 Low High 5 1
49 Medium None 1 1
50 Medium Medium 3 1
51 Medium High 4 2
52 High High 2 0
1 High High 6 0
2 Medium Medium 7 2
3 Low None 4 0
4 Low None 8 2
5 Low None 7 1
6 Low None 9 2
7 Low None 2 1
8 Low Medium 5 0
9 Low None 9 1
10 Low None 1 1
11 Low None 0 2
12 Low None 10 1
13 Low None 6 3
14 Low None 3 0
15 Low None 4 2
16 Low None 8 1
17 Low None 6 3
18 Medium None 4 1
19 Medium None 7 3
20 Medium None 3 1
21 Medium None 7 0
22 High Medium 6 3
23 High None 8 3
24 High None 5 1
25 High None 3 1
26 High None 8 1
27 High High 5 1
28 High None 4 0
29 High None 7 0
30 Very High None 2 4
31 Very High None 6 4
32 Very High None 9 2
33 Very High None 5 4
34 Very High None 2 4
35 High None 5 3
36 High None 8 4
37 High None 9 0
38 Medium None 7 2
39 Medium None 5 5
40 Medium None 6 5
41 Medium None 4 1
42 Low Medium 3 1
43 Low None 6 2
44 Low None 5 1
45 Low None 4 2
46 Low None 6 2
47 Low None 4 2
48 Low High 7 2
49 Medium None 4 2
50 Medium Medium 6 1
51 Medium High 2 1
52 High High 5 0
 Input 6 Input 7 Target Target
Advertising Budget Number of Ads Weekly Sales Daily Sales
47900 20 299900 42842.86
45600 23 176600 25228.57
10670 7 174600 24942.86
9900 4 250500 35785.71
36200 12 138600 19800.00
4300 2 148100 21157.14
7700 4 207600 29657.14
12300 6 149700 21385.71
5700 3 215900 30842.86
19100 8 208700 29814.29
17300 11 142500 20357.14
4200 2 243600 34800.00
21600 11 123400 17628.57
3900 1 166200 23742.86
5500 2 128400 18342.86
3800 1 195800 27971.43
16700 6 140900 20128.57
13500 9 256000 36571.43
23700 11 126400 18057.14
14400 9 181400 25914.29
18800 10 221700 31671.43
14300 9 199900 28557.14
26300 8 267300 38185.71
30800 11 241500 34500.00
28800 10 264500 37785.71
32900 16 317300 45328.57
28500 14 248100 35442.86
21600 12 221200 31600.00
37700 17 345400 49342.86
39900 20 337600 48228.57
27200 23 346700 49528.57
39400 25 341100 48728.57
44600 23 348100 49728.57
48600 25 238000 34000.00
21600 10 201100 28728.57
17000 7 198600 28371.43
14000 6 163300 23328.57
15200 6 186700 26671.43
17100 12 145200 20742.86
6200 4 119900 17128.57
5400 4 262900 37557.14
33400 17 141900 20271.43
7300 3 139100 19871.43
7100 2 124100 17728.57
4100 1 134100 19157.14
3400 2 139500 19928.57
4600 1 261300 37328.57
20300 9 129200 18457.14
8800 4 230600 32942.86
10900 4 261000 37285.71
39700 17 362600 51800.00
49800 23 369400 52771.43
46800 27 272500 38928.57
36900 20 203900 29128.57
12700 10 156200 22314.29
9400 5 162800 23257.14
8400 4 164900 23557.14
8500 4 159700 22814.29
8400 4 233800 33400.00
22000 7 174300 24900.00
12000 3 143100 20442.86
7100 2 127300 18185.71
4000 2 128700 18385.71
4100 3 234300 33471.43
19800 9 115300 16471.43
7000 4 162700 23242.86
9800 4 158800 22685.71
9600 4 181200 25885.71
13100 5 142700 20385.71
14400 7 277200 39600.00
22900 12 136600 19514.29
11100 7 150700 21528.57
14000 8 226900 32414.29
16000 11 257100 36728.57
28200 16 265100 37871.43
31800 18 266100 38014.29
36700 21 270800 38685.71
35100 20 326000 46571.43
31400 16 274100 39157.14
34700 22 216000 30857.14
22600 19 349200 49885.71
39400 25 348200 49742.86
41600 27 341500 48785.71
42700 25 340500 48642.86
29100 24 345400 49342.86
33200 26 269600 38514.29
25000 19 243800 34828.57
24300 12 227600 32514.29
22700 17 219700 31385.71
19800 14 224800 32114.29
14700 15 243500 34785.71
13300 12 113500 16214.29
3700 2 266100 38014.29
20700 12 129500 18500.00
5400 3 127900 18271.43
4500 3 142300 20328.57
6100 3 147700 21100.00
6100 3 139200 19885.71
5600 3 247400 35342.86
19500 8 112300 16042.86
 8100 3 280300 40042.86
39700 27 265000 37857.14
36400 23 364000 52000.00
34800 21 353000 50428.57
 Input 1 Input 2 Input 3 Input 4
Week No. Season Influence Holiday Influence Competitors Sales
Max = 104 Low = 0.25 Low = 0.25 Max = 10
Min = 1 Medium = 0.5 Medium =0.5 Min = 0
High = 0.75 High = 0.75
Very High = 0.9 Very High = 0.9
1 0.9 0.9 3
2 0.5 0.5 6
3 0.25 0.25 8
4 0.25 0.25 1
5 0.25 0.25 5
6 0.25 0.25 0
7 0.25 0.5 7
8 0.25 0.5 9
9 0.25 0.5 3
10 0.25 0.5 5
11 0.25 0.5 2
12 0.25 0.5 1
13 0.25 0.9 6
14 0.25 0.75 5
15 0.25 0.75 8
16 0.25 0.9 7
17 0.25 0.75 5
18 0.5 0.25 7
19 0.5 0.25 9
20 0.5 0.25 5
21 0.5 0.5 4
22 0.75 0.5 3
23 0.75 0.25 6
24 0.75 0.25 4
25 0.75 0.25 0
26 0.75 0.25 0
27 0.75 0.9 5
28 0.75 0.75 3
29 0.75 0.75 6
30 0.9 0.75 7
31 0.9 0.75 3
32 0.9 0.75 8
33 0.9 0.75 1
34 0.9 0.9 10
35 0.75 0.5 3
36 0.75 0.5 6
37 0.75 0.5 5
38 0.5 0.5 3
39 0.5 0.5 8
40 0.5 0.5 7
41 0.5 0.5 10
42 0.25 0.5 8
43 0.25 0.25 7
44 0.25 0.25 2
45 0.25 0.75 6
46 0.25 0.75 4
47 0.25 0.75 7
48 0.25 0.9 5
49 0.5 0.25 1
50 0.5 0.25 3
51 0.5 0.9 4
52 0.75 0.9 2
1 0.75 0.9 6
2 0.5 0.9 7
3 0.25 0.5 4
4 0.25 0.5 8
5 0.25 0.5 7
6 0.25 0.5 9
7 0.25 0.5 2
8 0.25 0.5 5
9 0.25 0.75 9
10 0.25 0.75 1
11 0.25 0.75 0
12 0.25 0.75 10
13 0.25 0.25 6
14 0.25 0.9 3
15 0.25 0.9 4
16 0.25 0.9 8
17 0.25 0.9 6
18 0.5 0.9 4
19 0.5 0.25 7
20 0.5 0.75 3
21 0.5 0.5 7
22 0.75 0.5 6
23 0.75 0.5 8
24 0.75 0.5 5
25 0.75 0.5 3
26 0.75 0.5 8
27 0.75 0.9 5
28 0.75 0.9 4
29 0.75 0.9 7
30 0.9 0.9 2
31 0.9 0.5 6
32 0.9 0.75 9
33 0.9 0.75 5
34 0.9 0.75 2
35 0.75 0.75 5
36 0.75 0.5 8
37 0.75 0.5 9
38 0.5 0.5 7
39 0.5 0.5 5
40 0.5 0.5 6
41 0.5 0.5 4
42 0.25 0.5 3
43 0.25 0.25 6
44 0.25 0.5 5
45 0.25 0.75 4
46 0.25 0.75 6
47 0.25 0.75 4
48 0.25 0.9 7
49 0.5 0.9 4
50 0.5 0.5 6
51 0.5 0.9 2
52 0.75 0.9 5
 Input 5 Input 6 Input 7 Desire 1
No. of Special Offerings Advertising Budget Number of Ads Weekly Sales
Max = 5 Max =49800 Max = 27 (WeeklySales)
Min = 0 Min = 3400 Min = 1

0 47900 20 299900
2 45600 23 176600
2 10670 7 174600
1 9900 4 250500
2 36200 12 138600
0 4300 2 148100
1 7700 4 207600
2 12300 6 149700
1 5700 3 215900
2 19100 8 208700
0 17300 11 142500
2 4200 2 243600
0 21600 11 123400
1 3900 1 166200
3 5500 2 128400
3 3800 1 195800
1 16700 6 140900
0 13500 9 256000
1 23700 11 126400
1 14400 9 181400
1 18800 10 221700
0 14300 9 199900
1 26300 8 267300
1 30800 11 241500
1 28800 10 264500
0 32900 16 317300
0 28500 14 248100
0 21600 12 221200
0 37700 17 345400
3 39900 20 337600
1 27200 23 346700
1 39400 25 341100
3 44600 23 348100
1 48600 25 238000
0 21600 10 201100
2 17000 7 198600
1 14000 6 163300
1 15200 6 186700
3 17100 12 145200
2 6200 4 119900
2 5400 4 262900
2 33400 17 141900
2 7300 3 139100
1 7100 2 124100
0 4100 1 134100
1 3400 2 139500
0 4600 1 261300
1 20300 9 129200
1 8800 4 230600
1 10900 4 261000
2 39700 17 362600
0 49800 23 369400
0 46800 27 272500
2 36900 20 203900
0 12700 10 156200
2 9400 5 162800
1 8400 4 164900
2 8500 4 159700
1 8400 4 233800
0 22000 7 174300
1 12000 3 143100
1 7100 2 127300
2 4000 2 128700
1 4100 3 234300
3 19800 9 115300
0 7000 4 162700
2 9800 4 158800
1 9600 4 181200
3 13100 5 142700
1 14400 7 277200
3 22900 12 136600
1 11100 7 150700
0 14000 8 226900
3 16000 11 257100
3 28200 16 265100
1 31800 18 266100
1 36700 21 270800
1 35100 20 326000
1 31400 16 274100
0 34700 22 216000
0 22600 19 349200
4 39400 25 348200
4 41600 27 341500
2 42700 25 340500
4 29100 24 345400
4 33200 26 269600
3 25000 19 243800
4 24300 12 227600
0 22700 17 219700
2 19800 14 224800
5 14700 15 243500
5 13300 12 113500
1 3700 2 266100
1 20700 12 129500
2 5400 3 127900
1 4500 3 142300
2 6100 3 147700
2 6100 3 139200
2 5600 3 247400
2 19500 8 112300
2 8100 3 280300
1 39700 27 265000
1 36400 23 364000
0 34800 21 353000
 Desire 2 Input 1 Input 2 Input 3
Daily Sales Wks No. Season Influence Holiday Influence
(Daily Sales) Max = 104 Low = 0.25 Low = 0.25
Min = 1 Medium = 0.5 Medium =0.5
High = 0.75 High = 0.75
Very High = 0.9 Very High = 0.9
42842.86 0.0000 0.9 0.9
25228.57 0.0097 0.5 0.5
24942.86 0.0194 0.25 0.25
35785.71 0.0291 0.25 0.25
19800.00 0.0388 0.25 0.25
21157.14 0.0485 0.25 0.25
29657.14 0.0583 0.25 0.5
21385.71 0.0680 0.25 0.5
30842.86 0.0777 0.25 0.5
29814.29 0.0874 0.25 0.5
20357.14 0.0971 0.25 0.5
34800.00 0.1068 0.25 0.5
17628.57 0.1165 0.25 0.9
23742.86 0.1262 0.25 0.75
18342.86 0.1359 0.25 0.75
27971.43 0.1456 0.25 0.9
20128.57 0.1553 0.25 0.75
36571.43 0.1650 0.5 0.25
18057.14 0.1748 0.5 0.25
25914.29 0.1845 0.5 0.25
31671.43 0.1942 0.5 0.5
28557.14 0.2039 0.75 0.5
38185.71 0.2136 0.75 0.25
34500.00 0.2233 0.75 0.25
37785.71 0.2330 0.75 0.25
45328.57 0.2427 0.75 0.25
35442.86 0.2524 0.75 0.9
31600.00 0.2621 0.75 0.75
49342.86 0.2718 0.75 0.75
48228.57 0.2816 0.9 0.75
49528.57 0.2913 0.9 0.75
48728.57 0.3010 0.9 0.75
49728.57 0.3107 0.9 0.75
34000.00 0.3204 0.9 0.9
28728.57 0.3301 0.75 0.5
28371.43 0.3398 0.75 0.5
23328.57 0.3495 0.75 0.5
26671.43 0.3592 0.5 0.5
20742.86 0.3689 0.5 0.5
17128.57 0.3786 0.5 0.5
37557.14 0.3883 0.5 0.5
20271.43 0.3981 0.25 0.5
19871.43 0.4078 0.25 0.25
17728.57 0.4175 0.25 0.25
19157.14 0.4272 0.25 0.75
19928.57 0.4369 0.25 0.75
37328.57 0.4466 0.25 0.75
18457.14 0.4563 0.25 0.9
32942.86 0.4660 0.5 0.25
37285.71 0.4757 0.5 0.25
51800.00 0.4854 0.5 0.9
52771.43 0.4951 0.75 0.9
38928.57 0.5049 0.75 0.9
29128.57 0.5146 0.5 0.9
22314.29 0.5243 0.25 0.5
23257.14 0.5340 0.25 0.5
23557.14 0.5437 0.25 0.5
22814.29 0.5534 0.25 0.5
33400.00 0.5631 0.25 0.5
24900.00 0.5728 0.25 0.5
20442.86 0.5825 0.25 0.75
18185.71 0.5922 0.25 0.75
18385.71 0.6019 0.25 0.75
33471.43 0.6117 0.25 0.75
16471.43 0.6214 0.25 0.25
23242.86 0.6311 0.25 0.9
22685.71 0.6408 0.25 0.9
25885.71 0.6505 0.25 0.9
20385.71 0.6602 0.25 0.9
39600.00 0.6699 0.5 0.9
19514.29 0.6796 0.5 0.25
21528.57 0.6893 0.5 0.75
32414.29 0.6990 0.5 0.5
36728.57 0.7087 0.75 0.5
37871.43 0.7184 0.75 0.5
38014.29 0.7282 0.75 0.5
38685.71 0.7379 0.75 0.5
46571.43 0.7476 0.75 0.5
39157.14 0.7573 0.75 0.9
30857.14 0.7670 0.75 0.9
49885.71 0.7767 0.75 0.9
49742.86 0.7864 0.9 0.9
48785.71 0.7961 0.9 0.5
48642.86 0.8058 0.9 0.75
49342.86 0.8155 0.9 0.75
38514.29 0.8252 0.9 0.75
34828.57 0.8350 0.75 0.75
32514.29 0.8447 0.75 0.5
31385.71 0.8544 0.75 0.5
32114.29 0.8641 0.5 0.5
34785.71 0.8738 0.5 0.5
16214.29 0.8835 0.5 0.5
38014.29 0.8932 0.5 0.5
18500.00 0.9029 0.25 0.5
18271.43 0.9126 0.25 0.25
20328.57 0.9223 0.25 0.5
21100.00 0.9320 0.25 0.75
19885.71 0.9417 0.25 0.75
35342.86 0.9515 0.25 0.75
16042.86 0.9612 0.25 0.9
40042.86 0.9709 0.5 0.9
37857.14 0.9806 0.5 0.5
52000.00 0.9903 0.5 0.9
50428.57 1.0000 0.75 0.9

104
1
 Input 4 Input 5 Input 6 Input 7 Desire 1
No. of Competitors Sales No of Special Offers Advertising Budget Number of Ads Weekly Sales
Max = 10 Max = 5 Max =49800 Max = 27 (WeeklySales)
Min = 0 Min = 0 Min = 3400 Min = 1

0.37 0.1 0.9631465517241 0.757692307692 0.803315140489

0.64 0.46 0.9185344827586 0.861538461538 0.454376389731
0.82 0.46 0.2410129310345 0.307692307692 0.448716393774
0.19 0.28 0.2260775862069 0.203846153846 0.663513240348
0.55 0.46 0.7362068965517 0.480769230769 0.346836466545
0.1 0.1 0.1174568965517 0.134615384615 0.373721447342
0.73 0.28 0.1834051724138 0.203846153846 0.542106327067
0.91 0.46 0.2726293103448 0.273076923077 0.378249444108
0.37 0.28 0.1446120689655 0.169230769231 0.565595310289
0.55 0.46 0.404525862069 0.342307692308 0.545219324843
0.28 0.1 0.3696120689655 0.446153846154 0.357873458662
0.19 0.46 0.1155172413793 0.134615384615 0.643986254296
0.64 0.1 0.4530172413793 0.446153846154 0.303820497271
0.55 0.28 0.1096982758621 0.1 0.424944410754
0.82 0.64 0.1407327586207 0.134615384615 0.317970487164
0.73 0.64 0.1077586206897 0.1 0.50871235092
0.55 0.28 0.357974137931 0.273076923077 0.353345461896
0.73 0.1 0.2959051724138 0.376923076923 0.67907822923
0.91 0.28 0.49375 0.446153846154 0.312310491207
0.55 0.28 0.3133620689655 0.376923076923 0.467960380028
0.46 0.28 0.3987068965517 0.411538461538 0.582009298565
0.37 0.1 0.3114224137931 0.376923076923 0.520315342632
0.64 0.28 0.5441810344828 0.342307692308 0.711057206388
0.46 0.28 0.6314655172414 0.446153846154 0.638043258541
0.1 0.28 0.5926724137931 0.411538461538 0.703133212048
0.1 0.1 0.6721982758621 0.619230769231 0.852557105316
0.55 0.1 0.5868534482759 0.55 0.656721245199
0.37 0.1 0.4530172413793 0.480769230769 0.580594299576
0.64 0.1 0.7653017241379 0.653846153846 0.932080048514
0.73 0.64 0.807974137931 0.757692307692 0.910006064281
0.37 0.28 0.5616379310345 0.861538461538 0.935759045886
0.82 0.28 0.798275862069 0.930769230769 0.919911057206
0.19 0.64 0.8991379310345 0.861538461538 0.939721043056
1 0.28 0.976724137931 0.930769230769 0.628138265616
0.37 0.1 0.4530172413793 0.411538461538 0.523711340206
0.64 0.46 0.3637931034483 0.307692307692 0.51663634526
0.55 0.28 0.3056034482759 0.273076923077 0.416737416616
0.37 0.28 0.3288793103448 0.273076923077 0.482959369315
0.82 0.64 0.3657327586207 0.480769230769 0.365514453204
0.73 0.46 0.1543103448276 0.203846153846 0.293915504346
1 0.46 0.1387931034483 0.203846153846 0.698605215282
0.82 0.46 0.6818965517241 0.653846153846 0.356175459875
0.73 0.46 0.1756465517241 0.169230769231 0.348251465535
0.28 0.28 0.1717672413793 0.134615384615 0.305801495856
0.64 0.1 0.1135775862069 0.1 0.334101475642
0.46 0.28 0.1 0.134615384615 0.349383464726
0.73 0.1 0.123275862069 0.1 0.694077218516
0.55 0.28 0.4278017241379 0.376923076923 0.320234485547
0.19 0.28 0.2047413793103 0.203846153846 0.607196280574
0.37 0.28 0.245474137931 0.203846153846 0.693228219123
0.46 0.46 0.8040948275862 0.653846153846 0.980756013746
0.28 0.1 1 0.861538461538 1
0.64 0.1 0.9418103448276 1 0.725773195876
0.73 0.46 0.7497844827586 0.757692307692 0.531635334546
0.46 0.1 0.2803879310345 0.411538461538 0.396644430968
0.82 0.46 0.2163793103448 0.238461538462 0.415322417627
0.73 0.28 0.1969827586207 0.203846153846 0.421265413382
0.91 0.46 0.1989224137931 0.203846153846 0.406549423893
0.28 0.28 0.1969827586207 0.203846153846 0.616252274106
0.55 0.1 0.460775862069 0.307692307692 0.44786739438
0.91 0.28 0.2668103448276 0.169230769231 0.359571457449
0.19 0.28 0.1717672413793 0.134615384615 0.314857489388
0.1 0.46 0.1116379310345 0.134615384615 0.318819486558
1 0.28 0.1135775862069 0.169230769231 0.617667273095
0.64 0.64 0.4181034482759 0.376923076923 0.280897513645
0.37 0.1 0.1698275862069 0.203846153846 0.415039417829
0.46 0.46 0.2241379310345 0.203846153846 0.404002425713
0.82 0.28 0.2202586206897 0.203846153846 0.467394380433
0.64 0.64 0.2881465517241 0.238461538462 0.358439458258
0.46 0.28 0.3133620689655 0.307692307692 0.739074186376
0.73 0.64 0.4782327586207 0.480769230769 0.341176470588
0.37 0.28 0.2493534482759 0.307692307692 0.381079442086
0.73 0.1 0.3056034482759 0.342307692308 0.596725288053
0.64 0.64 0.3443965517241 0.446153846154 0.682191227006
0.82 0.64 0.5810344827586 0.619230769231 0.704831210835
0.55 0.28 0.6508620689655 0.688461538462 0.707661208813
0.37 0.28 0.7459051724138 0.792307692308 0.720962199313
0.82 0.28 0.7148706896552 0.757692307692 0.87717808773
0.55 0.28 0.6431034482759 0.619230769231 0.730301192642
0.46 0.1 0.7071120689655 0.826923076923 0.565878310087
0.73 0.1 0.4724137931034 0.723076923077 0.942834040833
0.28 0.82 0.798275862069 0.930769230769 0.940004042854
0.64 0.82 0.8409482758621 1 0.921043056398
0.91 0.46 0.8622844827586 0.930769230769 0.918213058419
0.55 0.82 0.5984913793103 0.896153846154 0.932080048514
0.28 0.82 0.6780172413793 0.965384615385 0.717566201738
0.55 0.64 0.5189655172414 0.723076923077 0.644552253891
0.82 0.82 0.5053879310345 0.480769230769 0.598706286638
0.91 0.1 0.4743534482759 0.653846153846 0.576349302608
0.73 0.46 0.4181034482759 0.55 0.590782292298
0.55 1 0.3191810344828 0.584615384615 0.643703254498
0.64 1 0.292025862069 0.480769230769 0.275803517283
0.46 0.28 0.1058189655172 0.134615384615 0.707661208813
0.37 0.28 0.4355603448276 0.480769230769 0.32108348494
0.64 0.46 0.1387931034483 0.169230769231 0.316555488175
0.55 0.28 0.1213362068966 0.169230769231 0.357307459066
0.46 0.46 0.1523706896552 0.169230769231 0.37258944815
0.64 0.46 0.1523706896552 0.169230769231 0.348534465333
0.46 0.46 0.1426724137931 0.169230769231 0.654740246614
0.73 0.46 0.4122844827586 0.342307692308 0.272407519709
0.46 0.46 0.1911637931034 0.169230769231 0.747847180109
0.64 0.28 0.8040948275862 1 0.704548211037
0.28 0.28 0.7400862068966 0.861538461538 0.984718010916
0.55 0.1 0.7090517241379 0.792307692308 0.953588033151

10 5 49800 27 369400
0 0 3400 1 16042.85714286
 Desire 2 Weights Vect Hidden 1 Hidden 2 Hidden 3 Hidden 4
Daily Sales
(Daily Sales)

0.08 0.04935336113 w(1,1) 0.475061 0.477697 0.390544 0.816281

0.03 0.201342940331 w(2,1) 0.599929 0.430573 0.2831 0.800431
0.03 -0.787218570709 w(3,1) 0.607889 0.489676 0.348778 0.607397
0.06 0.401244282722 w(4,1) 0.521106 0.466501 0.470433 0.550241
0.01 0.29252076149 w(5,1) 0.587432 0.455671 0.30466 0.70318
0.01 -0.126303792 w(6,1) 0.494113 0.480715 0.500057 0.537763
0.04 0.490155220032 w(7,1) 0.527763 0.540117 0.390755 0.615655
0.02 -0.81417787075 w(1,2) 0.564437 0.527245 0.345646 0.630507
0.04 -0.411310434341 w(2,2) 0.488904 0.507864 0.468627 0.561792
0.04 0.535482764244 w(3,2) 0.533194 0.486532 0.383256 0.631911
0.01 0.35391664505 w(4,2) 0.49378 0.485476 0.410376 0.684358
0.05 -0.452825427055 w(5,2) 0.481055 0.469491 0.519682 0.490919
0.00 0.146722078323 w(6,2) 0.448955 0.569526 0.361675 0.753853
0.02 -0.564884305 w(7,2) 0.451132 0.555642 0.461758 0.574704
0.01 -0.566173553467 w(1,3) 0.507767 0.533233 0.419775 0.545416
0.03 0.471019387245 w(2,3) 0.46619 0.546964 0.45916 0.533073
0.01 0.384464979172 w(3,3) 0.464762 0.534555 0.400246 0.655521
0.06 -0.805945038795 w(4,3) 0.594247 0.459442 0.339402 0.656571
0.01 0.240504741669 w(5,3) 0.626177 0.450568 0.281702 0.689435
0.03 -0.699503779411 w(6,3) 0.589218 0.42042 0.377351 0.606999
0.04 -0.352500677109 w(7,3) 0.53357 0.441773 0.399019 0.639711
0.04 -0.349442601204 w(1,4) 0.522632 0.428421 0.451455 0.618639
0.06 -0.365818977356 w(2,4) 0.599288 0.410398 0.349478 0.627997
0.05 0.329916596413 w(3,4) 0.591611 0.382303 0.359066 0.646978
0.06 0.427890539169 w(4,4) 0.553443 0.354061 0.436485 0.595432
0.08 -0.796573281288 w(5,4) 0.563204 0.346766 0.393394 0.684854
0.05 0.793444156647 w(6,4) 0.475113 0.473206 0.385271 0.740747
0.04 0.898513913155 w(7,4) 0.482426 0.44035 0.433568 0.679518
0.09 0.082938432693 w(1,5) 0.520959 0.449167 0.316508 0.780226
0.09 -0.344236493111 w(2,5) 0.587623 0.368487 0.328754 0.719957
0.09 0.683992385864 w(3,5) 0.546586 0.353015 0.406113 0.725405
0.09 0.984193444252 w(4,5) 0.591935 0.38726 0.281272 0.803853
0.10 0.053927183151 w(5,5) 0.544457 0.310277 0.402398 0.704464
0.05 0.558715224266 w(6,5) 0.57555 0.424472 0.238416 0.841824
0.04 -0.972616672516 w(7,5) 0.523957 0.403757 0.40673 0.641786
0.03 0.297282338142 w(h1,1) 0.567189 0.396605 0.397714 0.560796
0.02 0.58487534523 w(h2,1) 0.543016 0.409299 0.416211 0.566749
0.03 -0.944773793221 w(h3,1) 0.511865 0.417698 0.417557 0.573981
0.01 0.769783973694 w(h4,1) 0.606103 0.387982 0.32885 0.602611
0.00 0.874279618263 w(h5,1) 0.558147 0.428336 0.390755 0.525295
0.06 0.941285848618 w(h1,2) 0.585263 0.449357 0.341552 0.550105
0.01 -0.776212334633 w(h2,2) 0.5925 0.414216 0.236296 0.740273
0.01 0.050720691681 w(h3,2) 0.589497 0.420501 0.336881 0.52146
0.00 -0.828393816948 w(h4,2) 0.528139 0.404346 0.413766 0.499788
0.01 -0.871104001999 w(h5,2) 0.450593 0.523079 0.391215 0.594082
0.01 0.450491 0.479441 0.43486 0.544234
0.06 0.459481 0.527434 0.369929 0.603552
0.01 0.449589 0.481334 0.353744 0.676213
0.05 0.539683 0.355291 0.441992 0.485152
0.06 0.556415 0.369564 0.398398 0.511632
0.10 0.48855 0.397517 0.321614 0.731114
0.10 0.476151 0.373831 0.313057 0.81111
0.06 0.531129 0.381529 0.251692 0.843714
0.04 0.530394 0.398767 0.273075 0.760578
0.02 0.515677 0.416842 0.337439 0.645592
0.02 0.55878 0.427787 0.314752 0.563973
0.02 0.533303 0.442154 0.325528 0.577444
0.02 0.564273 0.435892 0.302143 0.560717
0.05 0.488454 0.399512 0.406899 0.528208
0.03 0.506888 0.435783 0.296437 0.661746
0.01 0.49624 0.490834 0.302364 0.618343
0.01 0.423501 0.427077 0.454478 0.516127
0.01 0.429521 0.39559 0.492449 0.457983
0.05 0.510464 0.487249 0.306209 0.596107
0.00 0.61305 0.334093 0.283912 0.5519
0.02 0.408339 0.465241 0.411366 0.594239
0.02 0.441322 0.432819 0.404256 0.543133
0.03 0.464302 0.482528 0.326518 0.613942
0.01 0.474752 0.422106 0.364124 0.545301
0.07 0.450897 0.410726 0.394411 0.593587
0.01 0.644002 0.297764 0.270603 0.568582
0.02 0.473516 0.377931 0.406088 0.558048
0.05 0.548078 0.391146 0.29593 0.627271
0.06 0.601465 0.292644 0.350731 0.520266
0.06 0.631631 0.291146 0.270333 0.621991
0.06 0.586902 0.297521 0.280768 0.686425
0.06 0.578916 0.273794 0.288194 0.705113
0.09 0.619238 0.308082 0.224709 0.732079
0.07 0.501192 0.347356 0.315716 0.697809
0.04 0.50255 0.332508 0.295719 0.764186
0.10 0.52442 0.357787 0.291091 0.732703
0.10 0.554566 0.229808 0.356577 0.652308
0.09 0.669847 0.208016 0.250879 0.677858
0.09 0.617174 0.286969 0.214499 0.764957
0.09 0.611889 0.226596 0.32518 0.621388
0.06 0.591771 0.204479 0.354804 0.622888
0.05 0.574093 0.266171 0.323362 0.614982
0.05 0.631764 0.267572 0.285084 0.531481
0.04 0.611714 0.318794 0.229723 0.703835
0.05 0.597234 0.301386 0.263953 0.611106
0.05 0.62472 0.233096 0.332016 0.473528
0.00 0.622166 0.247445 0.32706 0.453703
0.06 0.517553 0.334112 0.376875 0.46223
0.01 0.528044 0.315672 0.287773 0.615582
0.01 0.587914 0.316692 0.296349 0.460513
0.01 0.518107 0.355269 0.324609 0.502958
0.01 0.472218 0.359209 0.366344 0.483418
0.01 0.490366 0.372151 0.332145 0.501819
0.05 0.472762 0.355252 0.365368 0.479803
0.00 0.48312 0.380774 0.275443 0.610693
0.07 0.454632 0.348139 0.396126 0.477238
0.06 0.618398 0.252849 0.183791 0.773244
0.10
0.10
Hidden 5 Output 1 Output 2 Desire 1 Desire 2 Error 1 Error 2
Sales Sales
(WeeklySales) (Daily Sales)

0.616922 0.77195211 0.2464897 0.80331514049 0.08 0.0009836 0.02912

0.622606 0.78971469 0.2767621 0.45437638973 0.03 0.1124518 0.0628839
0.680003 0.76846691 0.2919934 0.44871639377 0.03 0.1022404 0.0711857
0.554162 0.70917206 0.3129675 0.66351324035 0.06 0.0020847 0.066098
0.645198 0.77880043 0.2829554 0.34683646655 0.01 0.1865929 0.0741596
0.531825 0.69731271 0.3118624 0.37372144734 0.01 0.1047113 0.0884402
0.710649 0.76831982 0.2627539 0.54210632707 0.04 0.0511725 0.0502771
0.744353 0.78342518 0.2628625 0.37824944411 0.02 0.1641674 0.0613762
0.63595 0.72871049 0.2830046 0.56559531029 0.04 0.0266066 0.0581392
0.67313 0.76059039 0.2756461 0.54521932484 0.04 0.0463847 0.0560141
0.578722 0.74569723 0.2764232 0.35787345866 0.01 0.1504073 0.0698089
0.601138 0.69637303 0.3067019 0.6439862543 0.05 0.0027444 0.0643227
0.729807 0.79302 0.2207399 0.30382049727 0.00 0.2393162 0.0467651
0.722689 0.7497103 0.251835 0.42494441075 0.02 0.1054729 0.0529202
0.773374 0.76173782 0.2611181 0.31797048716 0.01 0.1969294 0.0648258
0.778601 0.75320121 0.2530729 0.50871235092 0.03 0.0597748 0.0480991
0.717203 0.76929179 0.245096 0.3533454619 0.01 0.1730113 0.0545378
0.630683 0.76522263 0.294559 0.67907822923 0.06 0.0074209 0.0559148
0.682659 0.78769449 0.2866261 0.31231049121 0.01 0.2259899 0.0789192
0.593647 0.74093182 0.3159308 0.46796038003 0.03 0.0745134 0.082941
0.616875 0.7449354 0.2915797 0.58200929856 0.04 0.0265449 0.0611825
0.568974 0.72173422 0.3045309 0.52031534263 0.04 0.0405696 0.0724231
0.633353 0.7549447 0.3081732 0.71105720639 0.06 0.0019261 0.0602746
0.578847 0.74352035 0.3182448 0.63804325854 0.05 0.0111254 0.0707619
0.494133 0.70048219 0.3417665 0.70313321205 0.06 7.028E-06 0.0785312
0.452656 0.71535072 0.3361019 0.85255710532 0.08 0.0188256 0.0641221
0.672165 0.77063332 0.249795 0.6567212452 0.05 0.012976 0.0379833
0.606257 0.73971028 0.2775325 0.58059429958 0.04 0.0253179 0.054525
0.669137 0.78653564 0.255128 0.93208004851 0.09 0.0211832 0.0258853
0.666854 0.77150682 0.2903808 0.91000606428 0.09 0.019182 0.0397186
0.520598 0.73082818 0.3114523 0.93575904589 0.09 0.0419967 0.0469536
0.643597 0.7888837 0.2777406 0.91991105721 0.09 0.0171682 0.0343139
0.528687 0.72465305 0.3203735 0.93972104306 0.10 0.0462542 0.0506444
0.725533 0.8140367 0.2488028 0.62813826562 0.05 0.0345582 0.0391977
0.58263 0.73322762 0.3017959 0.52371134021 0.04 0.0438971 0.0707003
0.661656 0.73788305 0.3111559 0.51663634526 0.03 0.0489501 0.0763229
0.639768 0.73168803 0.30741 0.41673741662 0.02 0.0991939 0.0822493
0.621771 0.72857722 0.3018841 0.48295936931 0.03 0.0603281 0.0738781
0.685414 0.76124913 0.3078423 0.3655144532 0.01 0.1566059 0.0867546
0.696883 0.74286435 0.3037521 0.29391550435 0.00 0.2015551 0.0904082
0.748451 0.76708685 0.2914701 0.69860521528 0.06 0.0046897 0.0531693
0.70388 0.79905468 0.2732467 0.35617545987 0.01 0.196142 0.0682671
0.689025 0.7515177 0.3128965 0.34825146553 0.01 0.1626237 0.0912413
0.592734 0.71208392 0.3260522 0.30580149586 0.00 0.1650654 0.1032219
0.743423 0.76450782 0.2494076 0.33410147564 0.01 0.1852496 0.0578856
0.701812 0.73808029 0.2712595 0.34938346473 0.01 0.1510852 0.0677368
0.761232 0.77306751 0.2457841 0.69407721852 0.06 0.0062395 0.0344271
0.730311 0.77556424 0.2443768 0.32023448555 0.01 0.2073252 0.0564273
0.53886 0.68895399 0.3505398 0.60719628057 0.05 0.0066843 0.091635
0.588186 0.71366489 0.3364594 0.69322821912 0.06 0.0004177 0.076365
0.684513 0.7747167 0.2622488 0.98075601375 0.10 0.0424522 0.0259391
0.59874 0.77070087 0.2651088 1 0.10 0.0525781 0.0259748
0.642941 0.79491928 0.2606809 0.72577319588 0.06 0.0047812 0.0383824
0.713285 0.79281903 0.2596423 0.53163533455 0.04 0.0682169 0.0495551
0.625727 0.75441974 0.2888613 0.39664443097 0.02 0.1280032 0.0735023
0.735174 0.76778266 0.289519 0.41532241763 0.02 0.1242282 0.0724162
0.720387 0.76565236 0.2828057 0.42126541338 0.02 0.1186024 0.0684033
0.756785 0.77390727 0.285853 0.40654942389 0.02 0.1349518 0.0711235
0.623659 0.7203713 0.3077777 0.61625227411 0.05 0.0108408 0.0669035
0.691751 0.77550959 0.2695567 0.44786739438 0.03 0.1073494 0.0597759
0.797451 0.78953407 0.248721 0.35957145745 0.01 0.1848678 0.0558231
0.655474 0.71436555 0.2873357 0.31485748939 0.01 0.1596067 0.0791136
0.62984 0.68933482 0.3087801 0.31881948656 0.01 0.1372816 0.0912945
0.798319 0.78655122 0.2551341 0.61766727309 0.05 0.0285218 0.0423583
0.661026 0.75253616 0.331616 0.28089751364 0.00 0.222443 0.1091662
0.700156 0.74543649 0.2576785 0.41503941783 0.02 0.1091622 0.0563125
0.72853 0.7422021 0.2719803 0.40400242571 0.02 0.114379 0.0641007
0.79091 0.78174106 0.2462909 0.46739438043 0.03 0.0988138 0.0477141
0.764542 0.75624241 0.2728882 0.35843945826 0.01 0.1582472 0.0679113
0.699029 0.74454331 0.2738784 0.73907418638 0.07 2.991E-05 0.0429367
0.647442 0.75281391 0.343844 0.34117647059 0.01 0.1694454 0.1115692
0.649615 0.72624838 0.2983412 0.38107944209 0.02 0.1191416 0.0799853
0.687728 0.76785675 0.2908178 0.59672528805 0.05 0.029286 0.0597738
0.63772 0.72644141 0.3475741 0.68219122701 0.06 0.0019581 0.0835404
0.669808 0.7626117 0.328173 0.70483121083 0.06 0.0033386 0.070968
0.597403 0.75656203 0.3201056 0.70766120881 0.06 0.0023913 0.0665261
0.542498 0.74593318 0.3296732 0.72096219931 0.06 0.0006235 0.0705402
0.652586 0.78348036 0.3058104 0.87717808773 0.09 0.0087793 0.0481428
0.675609 0.76525499 0.2792006 0.73030119264 0.07 0.0012218 0.045705
0.615371 0.76687559 0.2810712 0.56587831009 0.04 0.0403999 0.0571912
0.669595 0.77549145 0.2769624 0.94283404083 0.10 0.0280035 0.0328288
0.557624 0.72152581 0.3397506 0.94000404285 0.10 0.0477327 0.0597214
0.566982 0.75049948 0.3603937 0.9210430564 0.09 0.0290851 0.0716802
0.682856 0.79158759 0.2974528 0.91821305842 0.09 0.016034 0.0421049
0.57911 0.72945331 0.3537376 0.93208004851 0.09 0.0410576 0.0673396
0.507822 0.70760407 0.3677085 0.71756620174 0.06 9.924E-05 0.0924856
0.619297 0.73801612 0.3320922 0.64455225389 0.05 0.0087355 0.0778012
0.694214 0.74857581 0.3444399 0.59870628664 0.05 0.0224609 0.0887002
0.664803 0.7814772 0.3053035 0.57634930261 0.04 0.0420775 0.0685829
0.664513 0.76057498 0.3222436 0.5907822923 0.05 0.0288296 0.0765969
0.609999 0.71222083 0.377613 0.6437032545 0.05 0.0046947 0.1053462
0.650791 0.71887994 0.3699114 0.27580351728 0.00 0.1963167 0.1364758
0.654749 0.71533988 0.3304116 0.70766120881 0.06 5.896E-05 0.0719487
0.619122 0.7474159 0.3137476 0.32108348494 0.01 0.1817593 0.0941225
0.674425 0.73578029 0.3438069 0.31655548817 0.01 0.1757494 0.1139063
0.688268 0.73962833 0.3126384 0.35730745907 0.01 0.1461692 0.0903062
0.711423 0.73075821 0.3023919 0.37258944815 0.01 0.1282849 0.0829902
0.746545 0.74812149 0.2939101 0.34853446533 0.01 0.1596698 0.0801087
0.710641 0.72983313 0.3039151 0.65474024661 0.05 0.0056389 0.0621486
0.777289 0.77829641 0.2670131 0.27240751971 0.00 0.2559236 0.071296
0.719855 0.7233714 0.3005649 0.74784718011 0.07 0.0005991 0.0541237
0.592143 0.78091603 0.318381 0.70454821104 0.06 0.005832 0.0658675
MSE 0.07214