The forecast is represented in Table [] for Singapore, Vietnam and Uganda by quadratic trend

while that for Malaysia is seen in Table [] by linear trend within the three-year period from 2018
to 2020. All by accounts, with the statistically proven results from 1990 to 2015, it can be clearly
seen that all of the four countries are seeing an upward trend in the carbon dioxide emission. The
average level of emission growth in these countries are 0.29 metric ton per capita. However, the
expected growth greatly varies with values ranging from nearly zero metric ton per capita to as
high as nearly one metric ton per capita. Particularly, the four countries’ level of carbon dioxide
emission growth ranked highest to lowest are namely Singapore, Malaysia, Vietnam and
Uganda. Moreover, what outstands from the trend forecast there is also a significant difference
between each value forecasted.

Looking at the details, Singapore (HI category) is the country with country with the largest
carbon dioxide emission in the given period with an additional 0.96 metric ton per capita
released into the air every year, which is a significantly high figure. This is 4.7 times as high as
the sub total of the other countries and 3.3 times as high as the average level of the group. On the
other hand, the forecasted quantity of carbon dioxide emission in the three remaining countries
are under the average level. Malaysia (UMI category), ranking second in the group, is expected
to observe 0.17 metric ton per capita of CO2 emission increase, which is approximately 40
percent lower than the average level of 0.29 metric ton. Finally, Vietnam (LMI category) and
Uganda (LI category) respectively sees just 0.03 and 0.002 metric ton per capita of carbon
dioxide emissions, which is a minor level and far lower compared to that of Singapore.
Interestingly, it can also be observed from the data analysis that there is a relationship between
the level of income and the level of carbon dioxide emission increase. From the data obtained in
selected countries, a country in higher income categories will have an extend to release higher
level of carbon dioxide than those in the lower income categories.

Conclusively, in order to select the models that best predicts the overall trend, the SSE and MAD
are again used to perform model reducing. Comparing the SEE and MAD of projected models
for the four countries, it is clear from the Table [] in part 5 that the quadric model to predict the
carbon dioxide emission in Uganda has the smallest measurement errors. With the lowest quadric
trend SEE of 0.0009 and MAD of 0.0004, this trend model is expended to best predict the CO2
emissions in the world.