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Desk Project On Financial Risk Management
Desk Project On Financial Risk Management
Desk Project On Financial Risk Management
At
School of Commerce and Management
Faculty Guide:
Mr. Mukul Pandey
Assistant Professor
Submitted By:
MD AMIR HASAN
Enrollment Number: AJU/211671
2021-23
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
I take this opportunity to thank my faculty mentor Mr. Mukul Pandey, Assistant Professor,
ARKA JAIN University, for his valuable guidance, closely supervising this work over with
helpful suggestions, which helped me to complete the report properly and present.
More importantly, his valuable advice and support helped me to put some creative efforts on
my project. He has really been an inspiration and driving force for me and has constantly
enriched my raw ideas with his vast experience and knowledge.
Specially, I would also like to give my special thanks to my parents whose blessings and love
enabled me to complete this work properly as well.
MD AMIR HASAN
AJU/211671
M.B.A. - 2021-23.
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School of Commerce and Management
To the best of my knowledge, this project is the record of authentic work carried out during
the academic year (2021-23) and has not been submitted anywhere else for the award of any
Certificate/ Degree/ Diploma etc.
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School of Commerce and Management
I, MD AMIR HASAN, hereby declare that the project titled “FINANCIAL RISK
MANAGEMENT IN INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS”, has been carried out by
me during my ‘Desk Project’ and is hereby submitted in the partial fulfillment of the
requirement for the award of the degree of Master of Business Administration.
To the best of my knowledge, the project undertaken, has been carried out by me and is my
own work. The contents of this report are original and this report has been submitted to
the “ARKA JAIN University’, Jharkhand and it has not been submitted elsewhere for
the award of any Certificate/Diploma/degree etc.
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SUMMARY
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
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CHAPTER-I
INTRODUCTION
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scenario. The present study broadly examines different types of financial risk
and appropriate strategies for their management, specifically the objectives are:
1. To analyze different types of financial risks and the factors affect these risks.
2. Aims to discuss various methods and techniques essential for financial risk
management.
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bankers, regulators and politicians about the procedures could be overstated and
the current policy responses to financial crises could be adequate to handle
major macroeconomic events. Daianu and Lungu (2008) have examined the
factors which are directly responsible for the exposure in the financial market
transactions and indirectly contributed to the current financial crisis. These
factors include introduction of innovative financial products and their growing
complexity; inappropriate regulation and supervision of financial markets; poor
risk management practices at banks and other financial institutions; increased
complexity of financial systems; financial market speculation. Stulz (2008) has
examined there are five major factors which are responsible for the failure of
risk management systems particularly before and during the current financial
crisis. These factors are (1) failure to use appropriate risk metrics; (2)
mismeasurement of known risks; (3) failure to take known risks into account;
(4) failure in communicating risks to top management; (5) failure in monitoring
and managing risks. Both Stulz (2008) and Daianu and Lungu (2008) have
suggested that there is a need to improve the Integrated Risk Management
(IRM) technique which is used as one of the risk management processes where
all the risks are assembled in a strategic and coordinated framework. Hassan
(2009) has evaluated the degree to which the Islamic banks in Brunei
Darussalam implemented risk management practices and analyze how they
operate by using different techniques to deal with various kinds of risks. The
major risks that were faced by these banks were foreign exchange risk, credit
risk and operating risk. He has used a regression model and showed that risk
identification, assessment and analysis were the most influencing variables. He
has concluded that it is essential to understand the true application of Basel-II
Accord to improve the efficiency of Islamic Bank‟s risk management systems.
The risk in a project might create a probable future harm that might come from
any existing actions such as slip from the scheduled work, overrun of budget
etc. Often, the loss has been well – thought – out in terms of financial loss, but
also could be a loss in the form of future business, loss of life or property and
credibility. The financial risk management is very important and it is a series of
phase which intents to find out, address and remove the financial risk stuffs
before they turn out to be either the principal basis of costly rework or threats to
the successful functioning of the firm. The financial risks in the international
operations, leads to delayed and failed schemes, and most of which exceed the
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original budget. The active administration of risks all through the lifecycle of
Funds has been significant for the success of the project. However, there are
various challenges in managing the risk through the execution of risk
management strategies and there are numerous financial risk that arises in the
international operations. So, this study intends to analyse the Project Financial
Risk Management in International Operations
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CHAPTER 2
The research paradigm to be used in this study is positivism since under the
positivist approach; a comparative analysis could be made on various project
financial risks that are encountered in various organizations . The research
approach to be followed in this study is the quantitative study. The quantitative
study comprises of the studies that make use of the statistical examines in order
to acquire their findings. The important features of quantitative study comprise
of systematic and formal measurement and usages of statistics. The quantitative
study has been much closely related with the reasoning, deduction from the
general values to specific circumstances. The research design to be used in this
study would be the descriptive research design. The descriptive research
attempts to clarify an issue, programme, phenomenon or situation methodically
or provides information regarding the residing circumstances of community or
describes attitudes towards an issue. In the quantitative study, the respondents
were asked about the various project financial risks namely budget constraints,
funding issues, budget overruns, penalty costs that are faced in their
organization and their suggestions to reduce it. The quantitative data would be
collected from the finance persons of the selected companies . The sample size
for the quantitative study would be 25. In addition to that the study will take
care of the reliability, validity and ethical considerations.
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2.1 PROCEDURE
Legal risks
Environmental risks
Market risks
Regulatory risks etc.
The advantage of this approach is that these risks are now visible to every
stakeholder in the organization with access to the system. Instead of this vital
information being locked away in a report which has to be requested via email,
anyone who wants to see which risks have been identified can access the
information in the risk management system.
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In a manual risk management environment, this analysis must be done
manually.When a risk management solution is implemented one of the most
important basic steps is to map risks to different documents, policies, procedures,
and business processes. This means that the system will already have a
mapped risk management framework that will evaluate risks and let you know the
far-reaching effects of each risk.
There are two types of risk assessments: Qualitative Risk Assessment and
Quantitative Risk Assessment.
Risk assessments are inherently qualitative – while we can derive metrics from the
risks, most risks are not quantifiable. For instance, the risk of climate change that
many businesses are now focusing on cannot be quantified as a whole, only
different aspects of it can be quantified. There needs to be a way to perform
qualitative risk assessments while still ensuring objectivity and standardization in
the assessments throughout the enterprise.
Finance related risks are best assessed through quantitative risk assessments. Such
risk assessments are so common in the financial sector because the sector primarily
deals in numbers – whether that number is the money, the metrics, the interest
rates, or any other data point that is critical for risk assessments in the financial
sector. Quantitative risk assessments are easier to automate than qualitative risk
assessments and are generally considered more objective.
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meetings so everyone can talk and discuss the issues. The problem is that the
discussion is broken into many different email threads, across different documents
and spreadsheets, and many different phone calls. In a risk management solution,
all the relevant stakeholders can be sent notifications from within the system. The
discussion regarding the risk and its possible solution can take place from within
the system. Upper management can also keep a close eye on the solutions being
suggested and the progress being made within the system. Instead of everyone
contacting each other to get updates, everyone can get updates directly from within
the risk management solution.
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2.2 MEASURES
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The Biggest Business Risks Around the World
We live in an increasingly volatile world, where change is the only constant.
Businesses, too, face rapidly changing environments and associated risks that
they need to adapt to—or risk falling behind. These can range from supply
chain issues due to shipping blockages, to disruptions from natural catastrophes.
As countries and companies continue to grapple with the effects of the
pandemic, nearly 3,000 risk management experts were surveyed for the Allianz
Risk Barometer, uncovering the top 10 business risks that leaders must watch
out for in 2021.
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Persisting traditional risks such as Fires and Explosions are especially
damaging for manufacturing and industry. For example, the August 2020 Beirut
explosion caused $15 billion in damages.
What’s more, Political Risks And Violence have escalated in number, scale,
and duration worldwide in the form of civil unrest and protests. Such disruption
is often underestimated, but insured losses can add up into the billions.
No Such Thing as a Risk-Free Life
The risks that businesses face depend on a multitude of factors, from political
(in)stability and growing regulations to climate change and macroeconomic
shifts.
Will a post-pandemic world accentuate these global business risks even further,
or will something entirely new rear its head?
Change
Rank %
Risk Name Business Risk Examples from
(2022) Responses
2020
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Change
Rank %
Risk Name Business Risk Examples from
(2022) Responses
2020
Catastrophes wildfire
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CHAPTER 3
DISCUSSION
This chapter discusses about the analysis done by the finance persons of
companies . The study is regarding the Project Financial Risk Management in
international institutions with reference to selected companies in . Most of the
respondents who participated in the study are in the age between 25 – 34 years
and they all are males When asked, 72 % of the respondents stated that their
company provides high priority for managing the financial risks that happens in
a company. This shows that the companies are paying high attention to manage
the financial risks in the software project. About 34 % of the respondents stated
that 20 – 30 % of the annual turnover of the company has been invested in
managing the financial risks in projects by their organization. About 32 % of the
respondents strongly agreed that budget constraints were the highly faced
project financial risk in their organization at the time of completion of
operations. When the respondents were asked about the reasons for budget
overruns in the international projects, about 68% of the respondents attributed
such financial risk to unexpected delays in the project, about 64 % attributed it
to failure in developing an accurate SRS plan and about 62 % of the respondents
blamed the extension in scope of projects. Budget overruns in IT projects were
also attributed to restricted use of resources by 54% of the respondents and to
uncertainty in the project by 52% of the respondents; while about 50% of the
respondents agreed that unskilled resourcing in projects amounts to budget
overruns. Thus, it is inferred that unexpected delays, failure in developing an
accurate SRS plan and extension of projects scope are the main reasons for the
risk of budget overruns in the projects. In the same way, it is stated by Larman
(2004) that the major reasons for budget overruns is that, most of the projects in
Information Technology multi – year and they may not possess the inflations
exactly projected; unexpected delays; uncertainty in scope; scope creeps and
incompetent resourcing. When the respondents were asked about the impacts of
funding issues in IT projects, about 72 % of respondents agreed to the
prevention of monetary rewards for the development team, about 70 % of the
respondents agreed in the creation of delays in a project, and about 64 % of
respondents agreed to impact on reputation of the organization were the major
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impacts of the risk of funding issues in the international projects. When the
respondents were asked about the strategies adopted in their organization at
present to overcome the Project Financial Risks. For that, about 72 % of the
respondents agreed that, in their organization they follow the proper usage of
resources, about 68 % of the respondents agreed that they follow the proper
management of time, and about 52 % of the respondents agreed that there is an
exact understanding of project complexities in their organization. Then, the
respondents were asked whether the strategies adopted in their organization to
overcome the following financial risks is sufficient in the project management.
For that, 62 % of the respondents agreed for the budget constraints, 54 % of the
respondents agreed for the penalty costs and about 46 % of the respondents
agreed for funding issues and budget overruns. Thus, it is inferred that, the
financial risks of funding issues and budget overruns need added attention in the
companies in International Operations
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3.1 INTERPRETATION
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Exposure to unanticipated currency exchange rate fluctuations poses financial
risks for international businesses. This event between two currencies can occur
over time and cause gains or losses. Risks associated with currency exchange
rates include exposure of transactions, economic and translation.
Transaction
A transaction exposure occurs when a business has contractual cash flows of
receivables and payables that are subject to unanticipated changes in rates. This is
particularly true when the contract is denominated in the foreign currency rather
than the currency rate of the business’s native land.
To illustrate, an American business could borrow 100 million in Japanese Yen
for a one year term with a three percent effective annual interest rate. Upon
receiving the loan, the business converts the 100 million Yen into $1 million at
the current exchange rate, which is $1 for every 100 Yen. The following year, the
American business will need 103 million Yen to repay the loan. If at that time the
exchange rate between the Dollar and Yen has decreased to $1 for every 90 Yen,
the business would need to pay approximately $1,144,444 to buy the 103 million
Yen.
Economic
Economic exposure, or operating exposure, causes risks to the market value of a
business changing when exchange rates fluctuate unexpectedly. When this
occurs, the cost of producing goods and services – along with sale prices – can be
affected. As a result, profits could rise or fall with the currency exchange rate.
Translation
Movements in the exchange rate affect the financial reporting of a business,
which leads to translation exposure. Generally, this type of risk involves
revaluation of foreign assets held in foreign currency due to variances in foreign
currency exchange rates. Revaluation of this kind creates a loss or gain in
exchange rates for a business.
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Any international business that has the option to select a billing and pricing
currency should use its national currency, which can help to eliminate exchange
risks. However, not all businesses have this option available when expanding to
foreign countries. In these cases, a business could add a margin buffer to invoices
quoted in foreign currency.
Another option is to have a contract of shared risk when significant fluctuations
occur in foreign exchange rates. Typically, the contract would cover fluctuations
that occur from the date an invoice is generated to the time when payment is
made.
International businesses may also have other financial instruments such as
forwards, futures and options at their disposal to hedge against risks. A foreign
exchange forward contract would have the transaction amount, delivery date and
exchange rate agreed upon in advance. This is a good way to lock in an exchange
rate since no money is exchanged until the settlement date.
Similar to a foreign exchange forward, the currency future also determines a
delivery date, but will include the contract size and a fixed foreign exchange rate.
One difference between the two is daily changes to the contract price. Only one
transfer occurs at the maturity date in forwards; currency futures are not hit with a
default risk, which could happen in forwards.
Currency option involves a contract that gives the holder of the contract rights to
buy or sell currency any time before the contract expires. The advantage of using
a currency option contract is the holder is not obligated to buy foreign currency at
the agreed price when the foreign exchange rate on the market is lower.
However, the cost to buy a currency option contract is higher than what it costs
for forwards or futures.
Before moving operations into a foreign country, a business should assess the
political stability of that country. In addition, the general attitude towards foreign
investments in the country should also be considered. Changes that may occur
within the government or regulatory environment could have a direct impact on
business decisions. Terrorism, acts of war and trade barriers can put foreign
business investments at risk. While these are extreme examples, careful
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consideration is required when deciding if the business opportunity is worth the
risk.
Along with the political climate, a business should determine current economic
conditions of the country. This includes determining how future development
could impact the foreign country’s purchasing power, GDP, inflation rate and
unemployment rate. Economic risks are also associated with the financial
condition of a foreign country and whether the country can repay its debts.
Armed with the analysis of this information, business investors can make
predictions on how much loss might take place.
Health risk profiles of foreign countries are a prerequisite to traveling for business
purposes, as well as setting up operations. The Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention offers advice on all the recommended prophylactic medications and
vaccinations that employees should receive before entering a country.
Supplemental information is also available from medical websites, travel medical
clinics and travel insurance providers.
Once employees are in a foreign country, it is the business’s responsibility to
make sure they can access health and medical support in an emergency.
Assistance for infrequent travel to foreign developed countries is usually
available through a travel medical insurance plan. However, travel to
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underdeveloped countries may require customized solutions from a medical
assistance provider.
The following are some of the strategies that could be followed to reduce the
project financial risk in international operations.
Proper planning :-
In the international operations, planning should be perfectly done in the
management of resources, time and cost. The budget estimation should be done
exactly and it is necessary to find out the requirements at the outset and the
unnecessary costs should be avoided that arises out of poor primary
understanding of the requirements.
Flexibility and precautionary action :-
The flexibility in the project designs should be increased in order to make the
operations more strong against the alterations in the future demand. Also, even
while the probability of risk is found to be small, it is necessary to take
precautionary action to avoid the worst outcomes.
Consistency :-
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Consistency is very important in the efforts taken which will create steadiness in
the results of the project. The consistency should be maintained starting from
the budget proposal to the completion of the international operations without
any disturbances.
At the corporate level, the same risk management strategies may be applied, but in
slightly different contexts:
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Risk reduction: mitigating potential losses or the severity of potential
losses; for example, a corporation may use hedging on foreign currency
transactions to reduce their exposure to currency fluctuations.
Risk transfer: the process of transferring risk to a third party; for example,
a corporation may purchase insurance on their property, plant, and
equipment to transfer the risk of damage and theft to the insurer.
Risk retention: the process of accepting responsibility for a particular risk;
for example, a corporation may accept risks of volatile input costs without
using any hedging or insurance.
Difficulty arises in deciding which strategy to utilize for a particular risk. It comes
down to the nature of the risk and the individual’s or corporation’s current risk
appetite. Risks should be fully understood before deciding on the appropriate
strategy to remedy them.
Example 1 – Risk Transfer: many individuals with spouses and children purchase
life insurance to protect against the risk of premature death. They want to insure
against the loss of income and ensure there is an income safety net for surviving
family members.
Example 2 – Risk Retention: lumber producers are able to hedge their exposure
to lumber prices with the use of futures contracts. However, many choose to retain
this risk and accept commodity price fluctuations. It is, in fact, the industry
standard. If a lumber producer were to hedge their risk, they could place
themselves at a disadvantage if the commodity price begins to move in a favorable
direction.
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CHAPTER 4
CONCLUSION
The risk management is the structured method to identify, evaluate and control
the risks that develop at the time of the operations or programme life cycle. It
comprises of a series of definite phases in order to upkeep the superior decision
making by means of better understanding of risks intrinsic in a proposal. The
financial risk management is the exercise of economic value in an organization
through the use of financial instruments is done in order to manage exposure to
risk, specifically market risk and credit risk. In this study, 4 major project
financial risks in the companies in Bangalore were analysed namely, budget
constraints, funding issues, budget overruns and penalty costs. The budget
constraints are the top faced budget project financial risk and this risk will
reduce the potential of workers and in turn the project. The funding issues are
another project financial risk which creates the impact of prevention of
monetary rewards, delays in the operations, reduces the agility of financial
management team. The budget overruns are one of the project financial risks
that reduce the profit of the company and various issues in the completion of the
project. Finally, the risk of penalty costs in the international operations creates
the impact of increased costs of the companies and delay in the project. So, it is
necessary to take exact measures like proper resource allocation and usage,
proper management of time and external dependencies and exact understanding
of project complexities, under the project financial risk management in the
companies in order to avoid the financial risks in the international operations
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CHAPTER 5
REFERENCES
www.deloitte.com
www.krovisoverseas.com
corporatefinanceinstitute.com
www.visualcapitalist.com
www.commercecommercialcredit.com
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