Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Technavio CW Market Research
Technavio CW Market Research
2015-2019
TECHNAVIO.COM
AMERICAS
CANADA
36 Toronto Street, #505
Toronto, ON M5C 2C5
americas@technavio.com
UNITED STATES
110 E Schiller Street, #208
Chicago, IL 60126
americas@technavio.com
ASIA-PACIFIC
INDIA
First Floor, Left Wing
Embassy Signet, Cessna Business Park
Kadubeesanahalli
Bangaluru, Karnataka 560 103
asia@technavio.com
CHINA
Tianchen Building, Room 1308
12 Chaoyangmenwai Street
Chaoyang District, Beijing
asia@technavio.com
``
``
``
$1.36 $4.19
BILLION BILLION
PART 01:
2015 MARKET GROWTH RATE 2019 MARKET GROWTH RATE
Executive
summary 22.06% 28.13%
112.3 276.6
MILLION GALLONS MILLION GALLONS
19.40% 20.09%
Highlights
Coconut water is a new-found soft drink in many countries and is even competing
with mainstream soft drink categories such as CSDs and sports drinks globally.
The high CAGR of 25.24% during 2014-2019 illustrates that coconut water could
be the next big thing in the global beverages market.
Americas: US, Canada, Brazil, Mexico, Peru, Colombia, Argentina, and Venezuela
APAC: Australia, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, New
Zealand, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Thailand, and Vietnam
The report also discusses the key distribution channels through which coconut water
sales occur globally. They include:
Convenience stores
Specialist retailers
Other (vending machines, gas stations, cash and carry retailers, online retailers
and other independent retailers).
In addition, the report presents the vendor landscape and a corresponding detailed
analysis of the top three vendors in the market in 2014. It also discusses the major
drivers that influence the growth of the market. In addition, it summarizes the
challenges faced by the vendors and the market at large, as well as the key trends that
are emerging in the market.
Product offerings
Zico Original
Coca-Cola (Zico) Zico Chocolate
Zico Latte
PART 03:
Market research
methodology Primary research Secondary research
• Vendor briefings • Proprietary tools and databases
• Interviews with industry experts • Company reports and publications
and centers of influence • Webinars and podcasts
• Telephone and online surveys • Industry journals and publications
Economic indicators
Technavio has conducted a detailed study of global economic conditions and other
economic indicators to assess their impact on the condition of the global coconut water
market 2015-2019 and to make informed predictions about future market scenarios.
Innovative packaging
Coconut water is a clear liquid extracted from unripe (green) coconuts. It is technically
a fruit juice and is a popular drink among consumers in tropical countries. In countries
such as India, Sri Lanka, and Thailand, the juice is commonly sold fresh by street
Bicarbonate
Calcium
Chloride
Magnesium
Phosphorous
Potassium
Sodium
Potassium is one of the most important electrolytes required by the body. The main
functions of potassium include the regulation of fluids and mineral balance in the cells,
maintaining blood pressure, and transmission of nerve impulses and muscle functions.
Coconut water has been called the fluid of life and the natives of the Hawaiian islands
call coconut water dew from the heavens. Coconut water is a natural rehydrating fluid,
rehydrating body fluids much better than sports drinks.
Until recently it was not easy to package and store coconut water. Coconut water, once
exposed to air, will begin to ferment and will gradually lose its nutritional
characteristics. But the advent of new packaging technologies such as high pressure
packaging (HPP) have made it possible to package and store coconut water for a
longer period of time. The packaged product is subjected to very high pressure to kill
any bacteria present after packaging.
The new trend in the global coconut water industry is the emergence of flavored
coconut water. Now the global coconut water vendors are coming up with new flavors
in packaged coconut water such as pineapple, lemon, orange, mango, and chocolate.
Also celebrities such as Madonna and Rihanna are increasingly endorsing the coconut
water brands.
20
18
16
14
12
10
2
18.0 15.9 10.6 2.9 2.0
0
Indonesia Philippines India Brazil Sri Lanka
By revenue
The global coconut water market was valued at $1.36 billion in 2014. It is expected to
reach $4.19 billion by 2019, growing at a CAGR of 25.24%.
5 28.13% 30%
26.74%
25.24%
24.10%
22.06% 25%
4 21.43%
20%
3
15%
2
10%
1
5%
1.36 1.66 2.06 2.58 3.27 4.19
0 0%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
The global coconut water market is a niche segment in the global soft drinks market.
The coconut water market has been enjoying a rapid growth rate over the past few
years and the trend is expected to continue during the forecast period. The US is the
largest market for packaged coconut water, followed by the UK and Brazil.
By volume
Consumption in the global coconut water market was estimated at 112.35 million
gallons in 2014. It is expected to reach 276.65 million gallons by 2019, growing at a
CAGR of 19.75%.
300 21%
18%
60
Consumption in the global coconut water market is expected to enjoy steady growth
during the forecast period. The popularity of coconut water is increasing because of its
nutritional benefits. Coconut water is a good natural energy drink. It replenishes body
fluids much better than sports drinks.
Coconut water contains some of the most important electrolytes essential for our body
such as potassium and sodium. Growth in knowledge of the potential harmful effects of
high-sugar drinks such as carbonated soft drinks is also driving the consumption of
coconut water. In tropical countries coconut water is consumed fresh from tender
coconuts. It is widely sold by street vendors. Packaged coconut water is more popular
in western countries such as the US, UK, and Brazil.
Unsweetened
Sweetened
75%
Companies should properly label their products as to whether they are sweetened or
unsweetened so the consumers can distinguish between them. Vita Coco is the market
leader in the sweetened coconut water segment.
80 22.6%
22.37%
70
22.22%
60 22.2%
21.99%
50 21.89%
40 21.64% 21.8%
30
21.34%
20 21.4%
10
28.09 34.17 41.65 50.81 62.10 75.99
0 21.0%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
80 18.0%
40 17.5%
The global sweetened coconut water market saw volume sales of 84.26 million gallons
in 2014 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.95% to reach 200.66 million gallons
by 2019.
2014
PART 07:
Market
segmentation by 10.49%
Hypermarkets and
supermarkets
distribution
Convenience stores
channel 19.67%
48.54%
Specialist retailers
21.30% Other
Coconut water sales in convenience stores is growing more quickly than expected. For
example in the US in some of New York's convenience stores coconut water is
outpacing the sales of milk and other beverages signifying the prominence of the
channel. Online sales of coconut water are very low when compared to the
conventional retail channels. Online channels however are gaining in popularity in
growing markets like APAC and EMEA, although in 2014 online channel sales were
more predominant in the Americas region.
100%
90%
PART 08:
80%
Geographical 70%
segmentation 60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
APAC 19.54% 19.63% 19.73% 19.78% 19.74% 19.75%
Europe 21.98% 21.99% 21.91% 21.85% 21.77% 21.68%
Americas 58.48% 58.38% 58.36% 58.37% 58.48% 58.57%
In the forecast period, the global coconut water market is expected to grow rapidly. The
market share of APAC and EMEA will grow at a high CAGR during the forecast period
because of the presence of untapped potential for packaged coconut water in these
markets. The main driver of the rapid growth of the global coconut water market is the
perceived health benefits associated with coconut water. The entry of new players into
the market will also contribute to the growth of the market.
20%
1,500
15%
1,000
10%
500
5%
The US is the largest market in terms of consumption in the coconut water market in
the Americas. The second largest market in terms of consumption is Brazil. The most
prominent among the growth drivers of the market is growing health consciousness
among consumers. Consumers are now moving away from high-sugar carbonated soft
drinks to more natural drinks such as coconut water. New product introductions by the
vendors such as flavored coconut water and other innovative products are also acting
as drivers of the growth of the market.
500 15%
400
10%
300
200
5%
100
299.15 366.15 451.96 565.02 713.35 909.78
0 0%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
The coconut water market in EMEA had a market share of 21.98% in 2014 and is
expected to enjoy a steady growth rate during the forecast period. The UK is the
largest market in terms of consumption in the coconut water market in EMEA.
The entry of global vendors like Vita Coco and the emergence of several regional
vendors is acting as a driver for the growth of the market. In the UK for instance the
main competitor for Vita Coco is Green Coco, which is a regional player. The
introduction of coconut water in new innovative packaging which will enable it to be
stored for a longer period is acting as a further driver for the growth of the market.
The coconut water market in APAC had a market share of 19.54% in 2014. Packaged
coconut water is relatively new to the coconut water market in APAC, where coconut
water is usually consumed fresh. APAC is the largest producer of coconuts in the
world. Almost 90% of the world's coconut is produced in APAC.
Packaged coconut water has huge potential for growth in the coconut water market in
APAC. Global vendors are now realizing the potential of this region and are entering
the market with their products.
PART 09:
Key leading
countries
US - 45.1%
UK - 11.5%
Brazil - 10.4%
The US is the largest market for coconut water followed by the UK and Brazil. India
and China are growing markets for coconut water and hold great potential for
packaged coconut water. In India and China the changing economic and social
conditions are paving the way for the success of packaged coconut water.
US
Packaged coconut water was introduced for the first time in the US market in 2004.
The market has displayed immense growth since 2009 growing at a CAGR of over
40%. The coconut water market in the US is dominated by three players, namely Vita
Coco, PepsiCo (Kero Coco and O.N.E.), and Coca-Cola (Zico).
2,100 28%
1,800 27.15%
27.02%
26.81%
27%
1,500
26.41%
26.11%
1,200
25.77% 26%
900
600
25%
300
612.5 778.0 986.6 1,247.2 1,572.9 1,978.2
0 24%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Growing health consciousness and the positioning of coconut water as a natural sports
drink is driving the sales in the country.
The main challenge faced by the coconut water market in the US is the shortage in
supply of fresh tender coconuts. As the US imports most of its coconuts from the South
Asian countries, the lower production rate is negatively affecting the demand.
The majority of the sales of coconut water products are through convenience stores
and supermarkets. The presence of a strong retail network can be attributed as the
reason for this trend. The sale through channels such as wholefood stores is also
increasing. Online retailing of coconut water is also slowly picking up thanks to a strong
e-commerce market in the US. Target, Costco, Safeway, and Walmart among others
offer various coconut water products online. Although sweetened water is the preferred
coconut water for consumers in the US, accounting for 74% of sales in 2014,
unsweetened water is slowly gaining prominence owing to its natural properties. In
terms of number of new launches in 2014, the unflavored segment dominated with
32.3%, followed by the flavored ones.
2014
32.3%
UK
As of 2014 there were 39 brands of coconut water available in the UK. Vita Coco is the
fastest growing coconut water brand in the UK. Vita Coco is the market leader with
over a 70% market share. Most of the sales of coconut water in the UK were through
supermarkets in 2014. For instance almost 75% of the total sales of Vita Coco in the
UK are through supermarkets.
31.9%
31.6% 32%
520
31.3%
31%
30.5%
390 30.2%
30%
260
29%
130
28%
The coconut water market in the UK is still a niche segment which holds huge potential
for growth. Most of the consumers in the UK consume coconut water as a functional
drink.
Brazil
The coconut water market in Brazil is one of the fastest growing markets in Latin
America. Coconut water is popular in Brazil because of its flavor and the associated
health benefits. Increasing health consciousness among consumers is driving
consumers away from carbonated soft drinks to other healthy alternatives such as
coconut water. The coconut water market in Brazil is led by Kero Coco and Ducoco.
250 14%
13.74%
13.54%
200
13.29% 14%
150
12.93%
13%
12.71%
100
12.57%
13%
50
Coconut water is priced higher than other beverage alternatives available in the market
and hence the volume sales of coconut water are lower compared to other alternatives.
The Olympic Games 2016 to be held in Brazil is expected to boost the sales of coconut
water as there will be a large inflow of tourists. Coconut water brands are primarily sold
through supermarkets and convenience stores. However, sales are also increasing
through consumer foodservice channels such as McDonald’s and Pizza Hut.
PART 10:
Celebrity endorsements
Market drivers
Coconut water has lately become a perfect alternative to those drinks. Coconut water
is a natural drink that is enriched with sodium, potassium, and electrolytes which are
essential requirements for a human body. It is marketed as being a perfect health drink
that can replenish the body fluids much better than sports drinks. Coconut water also
meets consumers' demand for drinks that are free from artificial flavors, sweeteners,
preservatives, additives, and gluten. Research studies have also indicated that coconut
water helps reduce blood pressure which is one more reason why there is increased
demand for packaged coconut water over other fruit drinks. Some of the other reputed
health benefits of coconut water are weight reduction, smooth skin, and easy digestion.
Celebrity endorsements
Endorsements by celebrities has been an important trend that emerged in the global
coconut water market between 2007 and 2013. Many leading Hollywood celebrities
and pop singers were spotted drinking coconut water which positively impacted the
growth of the market. Celebrities such as Madonna, Demi Moore, and Matthew
McConaughey did in fact invest in leading coconut water company Vita Coco after
which the sales of the company increased by over 200% from 2007 to 2009.
Coca-Cola's Zico was named the official beverage for the Sochi Olympic Winter
Games held in 2014. The company also made Olympic champion Julia Mancuso its
brand ambassador in 2013. Vita Coco also capitalized on the celebrity culture and
most recently partnered with baseball player Josh Hamilton to promote brand
awareness; it created a tropical-fruit-flavored coconut water with music artist Rihanna
in 2012. Endorsement by celebrities is giving a positive image to coconut water and
helping to showcase it as an on-trend health drink.
New product launches are also helping the market to make inroads into new markets
such as India, France, and Canada, which are growing at a rapid rate. The competition
is becoming intense in the market and companies are coming up with various new
product flavors to stay ahead of each other. Flavored coconut water with chocolate,
banana, lemon, pomegranate, lemonade, espresso coffee, and chili extract have been
introduced in the market and instantly became popular with consumers worldwide,
particularly in the US.
Growing health
conscious among
consumers 3
Consumers
Celebrity
endorsements
3
Consumers
Investments by
major soft drinks
companies 3
Increase in number of
product launches
3
Celebrity endorsements
Investments by major
soft drinks companies
PART 12:
Market Sourcing of Emergence of False claims by High prices of
tender coconuts maple water ctain vendors coconut water
challenges
Drivers Challenges
Growing health
High price of coconut
consciousness among
water products
consumers
4 3 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 4
PART 13:
Impact of drivers Positioning of coconut
water as a natural
Sourcing of tender
and challenges sports drink
coconuts
4 3 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 4
Emergence of maple
Celebrity endorsements
water
4 3 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 4
4 3 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 4
4 3 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 4
Innovative packaging
Innovative packaging
Innovation in packaging is one of the important tends being witnessed in the global
coconut water market. Companies are launching coconut water in tetra packs which
keep the product fresh and free from spoilage. Tetra Pak opened a knowledge center
in Singapore in 2012 to provide new innovative technologies to vendors in the global
coconut water market. Some companies are also selling coconut water in coconut-
shaped bottles. For instance Pearl Coconut water in the US is selling coconut water in
coconut-shaped bottles with an apt caption to go with it: “Same inside, out”. Jax Coco
has introduced a recyclable glass bottle for its coconut drink products.
2014
8.0%
10.7% PepsiCo
Coca Cola
Other
39.0%
PepsiCo is the market leader in the global coconut water market in terms of revenue,
with a market share of 42.3%. The various brands offered by PepsiCo in the coconut
water market are Kero Coco, O.N.E., Tropicana Coco Quench, and Naked coconut
water. Kero Coco had a market share of 37.7% in 2014 while O.N.E. had a market
share of 4.6% for the same year. Tropicana Coco Quench is the first locally produced
coconut water to be offered in cartons in Philippines.
Vita Coco had a market share of 39.0% in terms of revenue in 2014. The various
products offered by Vita Coco are Vita Coco pure coconut water, Vita Coco café, Vita
Coco Kids and Vita Coco coconut water. Vita Coco pure coconut water is available in
various flavors including pineapple, lemonade, orange, peach, and mango. Vita Coco
Company Description
Business overview
Coca-Cola was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, US. The
company manufactures, distributes, and markets a variety of non-alcoholic beverages.
It sells 1.9 billion units of beverage every day in more than 200 countries. It sold 28.6
billion in 2014, 28.2 billion in 2013, and 27.7 billion unit cases of its products in 2012.
As of FY2014, the company employed 129,200 people.
PART 16:
Business segmentation
Key vendor Coca-Cola: Business segmentation
analysis
Eurasia and Africa
Europe
Business/Revenue
Segmentation
Latin America
North America
Asia Pacific
Bottling
investments
Corporate
Eurasia and Africa; Europe; Latin America; and APAC: Manufacture and sell
beverage concentrates and syrups and finished beverages
Europe
11%
Asia Pacific
11%
Bottling
Investments
15%
25,000
21,574 21,462
20,000
15,000
0
North America Bottling Asia Pacific Europe Latin America Eurasia and
Investments Africa
2013 2014
US
43%
ROW
57%
Recent developments
PepsiCo
Business overview
PepsiCo was established in 1898 and is headquartered in New York, US. It is a global
provider of beverages and food. Its key businesses include Quaker, Tropicana,
Gatorade, Frito-Lay, and Pepsi-Cola. As of December 31, 2014, the company had
271,000 employees and recorded revenue of $66.68 billion. It invested $718 million in
R&D for FY2014.
Business segmentation
Key product
Description
segments
PepsiCo Europe:
The segment's revenue declined by 3% to $13.29 billion in 2014 compared to $13.75
billion in 2013. The decline was mainly due to the unfavorable foreign exchange rates,
which negatively impacted net revenue performance. However, it was partially offset by
effective net pricing and volume growth.
QFNA
4%
AMEA
10% PAB
32%
LAF
12%
Europe FLNA
20% 22%
In 2011, the company announced a strategic alliance with Tingyi Holding (the largest
instant noodle producer in China). In 2011, the company acquired Mabel (a Brazilian
company that produces cookies, snacks, and crackers). The primary customers of
PepsiCo in the food sector include wholesale and other distributors, foodservice
customers, grocery stores, drug stores, convenience stores, discount/dollar stores,
mass merchandisers, membership stores, and authorized independent bottlers.
The primary competitor of PepsiCo in the food sector is Coca-Cola followed by DPSG,
Kellogg, Kraft Foods Group, Monster Beverage, Nestlé, Red Bull, and Snyder’s-Lance.
The company also sells Cheetos cheese-flavored snacks, Lay’s potato chips, Tostitos
tortilla chips, and branded dips, Doritos tortilla chips, Ruffles potato chips, Santitas
tortilla chips, and Fritos corn chips. It also sells Life cereal, Quaker oatmeal, Cap’n
Crunch cereal, Quaker Chewy granola bars, and Rice-A-Roni side dishes. It sells the
products under the brand name Sabritas in Mexico, including Cheetos, Doritos, Fritos,
Crujitos, Tostitos, Poffets, Rancheritos, and Sabritones. It offers cookies under the
brands Marias Gamesa, Mamut, Emperador, Arcoiris, Chokis, and Maizoro.
Vita Coco
Business overview
Vita Coco was founded in 2004 and has its headquarters in New York, US. The
company manufactures and distributes coconut water in the US markets. It is also
known as All Market Inc. It also has operations in Europe and Asia. It uses its network
of retail stores, independent groceries, and retailers in universities and airports for
selling its products. It also sells through online stores such as amazon.com.
Product segmentation
Vita Coco: Product segmentation
Coconut water
Vita Coco
Espresso
Kids
Oil
Category Description
Vita Coco coconut water It contains pure coconut water with vitamin C
Vita Coco coconut water It contains coconut water, coconut puree, and
with pineapple pineapple puree with vitamin C
Vita Coco coconut water It contains coconut water, natural fruit sugar,
lemonade and lemon puree with vitamin C
Vita Coco coconut water It contains coconut water, peach puree, and
with peach and mango mango puree with vitamin C
Vita Coco coconut water It contains coconut water and orange juice with
with orange vitamin C
Category Description
Vita Coco Café - Café Latte It contains coconut water, skim milk, espresso
(water and coffee), sugar, whole milk, natural
original
flavor, and carrageenan
Vita Coco Café - Café Latte It contains coconut water, cocoa powder, whole
milk, espresso (water, coffee), skim milk, sugar,
Mocha
natural flavor, and carrageenan
Vita Coco Café - Café Latte It contains coconut water, sugar, skim milk,
espresso (water and coffee), natural flavor,
Vanilla
carrageenan, and whole milk
Categories Description
Vita Coco Very Cherry It contains natural cherry flavor, coconut water,
sugar, natural flavors, citric acid, filtered water,
Beach
and vitamin C
Key distributors
The company distributes all its products through the following key stores:
CVS
Costco Wholesale
Kroger
Publix
TARGET
WholeFoods Market
Walmart
Macs
In June 2015, the company aired its first US TV commercial, "Get More Healthy". It is
continuously growing in the US markets and it is focusing on expanding into the
Chinese markets by selling its 25% interest to the Reignwood Group licensing Red Bull
in China.
In May 2015, it partnered with L*Space to launch a limited edition palm tree print bikini
which is exclusively sold at the website of L*Space.
It has also partnered with Maroon 5 (a music band) for its upcoming V tour in North
America. Through this partnership, it has increased its popularity in the music industry.
It launched a yoga series at the Cove Beach, Jumeirah Beach Hotel in Dubai as part of
its marketing campaign.
Recent developments
APAC - Asia-Pacific
BPA - Bisphenol A
PART 18:
Explore
Technavio Our analysts are available to speak We welcome your thoughts and If you are looking for more information,
with you and answer your questions. comments on this report. Your or related information, take a look at
You can easily book an appointment feedback helps us continually other reports we have available.
with one online. improve to better meet your needs.
Everyone in your organization can Everyone in your organization can Get the most value for your research
access the report. access the report and use up to dollar with our subscription service and
15% of its contents for promotional save over 60% off individual reports.
or publishing purposes.
Read about research in progress and Receive the latest news and highlights Learn more about our company, our
reports to be published — and join in from Technavio on industries and culture, our people and the products
the discussion! markets we cover. and services we provide.
Clients of Infiniti Research Limited grant Infiniti Research Limited the right to refer to them as clients of Infiniti Research
Limited in promotional materials and, for this limited purpose, to display clients’ logos, trademarks and the nature of the
services provided to clients, subject to confidentiality obligations.
All trademarks and copyrights remain the sole ownership of their rightful owners/licensees.
Reproduction, redistribution, or dissemination of this document without written permission is completely forbidden.