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Risks Associated With Delivering Infants 2 To 6 Weeks Before Term-A Review of R Ecent Data
Risks Associated With Delivering Infants 2 To 6 Weeks Before Term-A Review of R Ecent Data
Risks Associated With Delivering Infants 2 To 6 Weeks Before Term-A Review of R Ecent Data
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Deutsches Ärzteblatt International | Dtsch Arztebl Int 2012; 109(43): 721−6 721
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722 Deutsches Ärzteblatt International | Dtsch Arztebl Int 2012; 109(43): 721−6
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TABLE 1
Mortality and serious adverse events in infants born at 370/7 to 406/7, ≥340/7, and 340/7 to 366/7 weeks’ gestation
Author/Country GA (weeks) No. Target parameter Percen- Effect estimate and 95% confidence
tage interval
(5)*1 37 834 Death/SAE*5 15.3 2.1 (1.7 to 2.5)*6
(USA) 38 3909 11.0 1.5 (1.3 to 1.7)
39 6512 8.0 Reference value
40 1385 7.3 0.9 (0.7 to 1.1)
(6)*2 37 1734 Death/SAE 20.6 2.4 (2.1 to 2.8)*7
(Netherlands) 38 10 139 12.5 1.4 (1.2 to 1.5)
39 6647 9.5 Reference value
40 1274 9.4 1.01 (0.8 to 1.3)
(24)*3 34 948 Disorder of the airways 19.83 61.0 (49.7 to 74.8)*8
(France) 35 1655 9.67 31.0 (25.1 to 38 3)
36 3406 4.44 14.2 (11.6 to 17 4)
37 8732 1.42 4.7 (3.8 to 5.8)
38 22 394 0.62 2.1 (1.7 to 2.5)
39 to 41 113 291 0.28 Reference value
*1
Inclusion criteria: elective, repeat Cesarean section between 1999 and 2002 in a hospital in the NICHD Neonatal Research Network; live singleton born at 37 to 40 weeks’ gestation.
*2
Data from Dutch birth statistics for 2000 to 2006 on live singletons born via elective Cesarean section after 37 to 40 weeks’ gestation in a hospital participating in the national follow-up pro-
gram, excluding emergency Cesarean sections, births after complications of pregnancy potentially affecting the child, and congenital malformations.
*3
Data from the birth statistics for the Burgundy region, on singleton births, with associated child and maternal data for 2000 to 2008.
*4
Data from the birth statistics for the Hesse and Saarland region for 2001 to 2005 on singletons born via Cesarean section from a contraction-free uterus, excluding infant malformations of the
heart or airways, chromosome disorders, Apgar score <7/NapH <7.1, hydrops fetalis, maternal alcohol/drug abuse; effect estimates given as nonadjusted relative risk.
*5
SAE (serious adverse event) defined as birth and death or respiratory distress syndrome, transient tachypnea, hypoglycemia, neonatal sepsis, epileptic seizures, hypoxic-ischemic encephalo-
pathy, CPR or ventilation in the first 24 hours after birth, umbilical artery pH <7.0, 5-minute Apgar score ≤3, admission to a neonatal ICU, or hospital stay lasting 5 days or longer.
*6
Relative risk adjusted for maternal age, race/ethnicity, no. of previous Cesarean sections, marital status, insurance status, smoking (yes/no), and diet-managed gestational diabetes.
*7
SAE defined as need for reanimation, including intubation or NaHCO3 administration, sepsis, respiratory distress syndrome, transient tachypnea, pneumothorax, need for oxygen or venti-
lation, hypoglycemia, seizure, brain hemorrhage, admission to ICU or hospitalization lasting more than 5 days, 5-minute Apgar score ≤3. Odds ratio adjusted for maternal age, ethnicity, no of
previous births, socioeconomic status, sex of infant, and fetal position.
*8
Disorder of the airways defined as respiratory distress requiring ventilation or CPAP. Neurological disorder defined as hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy, intraventricular hemorrhage grade III/
IV, cystic periventricular leukomalacia, or seizures. Effect estimates given as relative risk adjusted for all confounding factors that had a significant effect on the study variables in logistic
regression.
*9
Effect estimates stated as pooled relative risk using Review Manager 5 0.
potential confounding variables. This did indeed take gestation. In those born at 330/7 to 366/7 weeks’ ges-
place in this case (10). tation, it was as high as 2.8% (11). In a comparable
Norwegian long-term study, 1.7% of young adults
Morbidity (aged 19 to 35 years) born at term received a disability
In addition to data on mortality, the Swedish birth allowance, versus 2.5% of those born at 34 to
cohort was also used to investigate the long-term social 36 weeks’ gestation (12).
effects of preterm birth, such as the increase in the In another evaluation, the Stockholm group analyzed
probability of receiving welfare benefits in early adult- the risk of subsequently developing a psychiatric dis-
hood due to substantial impairment. The claim rate for order or epilepsy. This showed that even those born as
those born at term was 1.8%, while the rate was already little as 2 to 3 weeks or those born 4 to 7 weeks before
higher, at 2.2%, in those born at 370/7 to 386/7 weeks’ term had an increased risk of later receiving inpatient
Deutsches Ärzteblatt International | Dtsch Arztebl Int 2012; 109(43): 721−6 723
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724 Deutsches Ärzteblatt International | Dtsch Arztebl Int 2012; 109(43): 721−6
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TABLE 4
Deaths at ages between 1 and 36 years in those born at 340/7 to 366/7 weeks’ gestation versus 370/7 to 426/7 weeks’
gestation in Sweden (10)
Age group GA (wk) Deaths Person years Mortality (%) Adjusted risk ratio*1
1 to 5 years 34 to 36 59 112 094 0.53 1.53 (1.18 to 2.00)
37 to 42 1011 3 112 537 0.32 Reference value
6 to 12 years 34 to 36 28 155 032 0.18 1.18 (0.81 to 1.72)
37 to 42 636 4 313 085 0.15 Reference value
13 to 17 years 34 to 36 37 110 205 0.34 1.28 (0.92 to 1.79)
37 to 42 748 3 067 628 0.24 Reference value
18 to 36 years 34 to 36 206 315 134 0.65 1.31 (1.13 to 1.50)
37 to 42 4035 8 804 972 0.46 Reference value
*1
Cox proportional hazard ratio adjusted for sex, year of birth, fetal growth, no. of previous births, maternal age at birth, maternal marital status, maternal and pater-
nal level of education
the consistency of the data summarized in this article specifically from 28% to 3% or less, was described in a
and the clear dose-effect relationship between the hospital association in Utah. This was also brought
degree of prematurity and the extent of the risk of the about by a combination of explanation and prohibition;
above complications associated with prematurity do again, no disadvantages for mother or child were rec-
suggest a causal relationship, even though in individual orded (23). These examples clearly show that the
cases the possibility of residual confounding or con- number of preterm elective deliveries can be reduced
founding by indication cannot be completely ruled out. comparatively easily and with no disadvantages for pa-
However, in our opinion, given the strength of these tients; this is likely to be true for Germany, too.
data these risks should be explained to parents, at a The data summarized here show clearly that there re-
minimum in all cases in which the date of delivery is mains an urgent need to test ideas to reduce elective
electively determined, so that they are able to make an preterm deliveries in order to determine whether they
informed decision on the risks of a preterm delivery for are also suitable for Germany, and at the same time to
their child. develop methods to prevent preterm births. In doing so,
The data presented here raise the question of a distinction must be made between fetomaternal and
whether the percentage of preterm deliveries can be re- nonmedical reasons for setting a date of delivery: Only
duced. For elective deliveries, a US hospital operator the latter should change. In addition, the current defini-
implemented a quality improvement initiative to ad- tion of preterm birth must be questioned: It implies that
dress this issue and in 27 hospitals compared the rate of an infant born at 370/7 to 386/7 weeks’ gestation is full-
elective deliveries (induced labor or Cesarean section) term and therefore has no greater risk of peripartum
before 390/7 weeks’ gestation before and after introduc- complications than an infant born at 390/7 weeks or
tion of three different procedures to reduce the percen- more, and according to the data summarized here this is
tage of such deliveries: clearly untrue.
● Group 1: a clear prohibition on setting dates of de-
livery before 390/7 weeks’ gestation Acknowledgement
● Group 2: advising against delivery before We would like to thank Dr. med. Harald Abele and Dr. med. Rangmar Goelz for
their critical revision of the manuscript of this article.
390/7 weeks’ gestation, but leaving the decision on
date of delivery to individual doctors
● Group 3: an information campaign on the risks of Conflict of interest statement
Prof. Wallwiener and Prof. Vetter declare that no conflict of interest exists.
preterm delivery only. Prof. Poets declares that he has received fees for arranging scientific continu-
Within two years, the percentage of elective ing education events from Milupa. He has also received reimbursement of
deliveries after 370/7 to 386/7 weeks’ gestation fell from expenses for data collection and payment for a research project he himself
initiated from Chiesi.
9.6% to 4.3% (p<0.001). The decrease was greatest in
group 1: In this group only 1.7% of all elective
Manuscript received on 23 January 2012, revised version accepted on
deliveries still occurred after 390/7 weeks’ gestation, 10 May 2012.
whereas in groups 2 and 3 this figure was 3.3% and
6.0%, respectively. The percentage of full-term neo-
REFERENCES
nates requiring intensive care fell from 8.9% to 7.5%.
1. Engle WA, Tomashek KM, Wallman C: „Late-preterm“ infants: a
The total number of deliveries and the percentage of population at risk. Pediatrics 2007; 120: 1390–401.
stillbirths remained unchanged during the study period
2. Tutdibi E, Gries K, Bucheler M, Misselwitz B, Schlosser RL, Gortner
(22). An even more marked drop in the percentage of L: Impact of labor on outcomes in transient tachypnea of the new-
elective deliveries before 390/7 weeks’ gestation, born: population-based study. Pediatrics 2010; 125: e577–83.
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726 Deutsches Ärzteblatt International | Dtsch Arztebl Int 2012; 109(43): 721−6