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MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS
● WHAT IS ECONOMICS?
Choices. Choices. Choices
● PRODUCTION
Decision. Decision. Decision
● The Circular Flow Model
Produce. Sell. Receive. Use.
● Introduction to Managerial Economics
Produce. Sell. Receive. Use.
● Key Measures and Relationships
Produce. Sell. Receive. Use.
Why Choices?
We make choices about how we spend our money, time
and energy so we can fulfill our NEEDS and WANTS.
TRADE-OFFS
1. What you could have done instead of coming to
school or study?
2. Why did you make that trade-off?
OPPORTUNITY COST
- The value of the NEXT BEST CHOICE.
Ex: Sleeping is the oppotunity cost of studying for a test.
2.) PRODUCTION
- is making something; is how many goods and services
a business makes.
FACTORS OF PRODUCTION
These are the parts necessary to produce the finished
product.
Production is a co-operative process and not a job of
any single factor.
4 FACTORS OF PRODUCTION
1. Land - Natural Resources (Water, natural gas, oil,
tree) All the stuff we find on, in, and under the land.
2. Labor - Physical and Intellectual (labor is manpower). 3.) THE CIRCULAR FLOW MODEL
3. Capital - Tools, Machinery, Factories (The things we The circular flow model is an economic model that
use to make things) Human Capital is brainpower, ideas presents how money, goods, and services move
and innovation. between sectors in an economic system.
4. Entrepreneurship - Investment (Investing time,
natural resources, labor and capital are all risks
associated with production.
substance to those economic concepts which are
useful in deciding the business strategy of a unit of
management. Therefore, focuses on those tools
and techniques, which are useful in decision-
making.
Managerial economics is primarily concerned with the
application of economic principles and theories to five
types of resource decisions made by all types of
business organizations.
a. The selection of product or service to be produced.
b. The choice of production methods and resource
combinations.
c. The determination of the best price and quantity
combination
d. Promotional strategy and activities.
e. The selection of the location from which to produce
and sell goods or service to
consumer.
4.) INTRODUCTION TO MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS
The scope of managerial economics covers two areas of
The study of how to direct scarce resources in the way
decision making
that most efficiently achieves a managerial goal.
a. Operational or Internal issues
b. Environmental or External issues
Management is the science and art of getting things
done through people in formally organized groups. It
OPERATIONAL or INTERNAL ISSUES
includes a number of functions: Planning, Organizing,
Operational issues refer to those, which wise within the
Staffing, Directing, and Controlling.
business organization and they are
under the control of the management.
Manager
A person who directs resources to achieve a stated goal.
Those are:
The manager, while directing the efforts of his staff,
1. Theory of demand and Demand Forecasting
communicates to them the goals, objectives, policies,
2. Pricing and Competitive strategy
and procedures; coordinates their efforts; motivates
3. Production cost analysis
them to sustain their enthusiasm; and leads them to
4. Resource allocation
achieve the corporate goals.
5. Profit analysis
6. Capital or Investment analysis
MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS
7. Strategic planning
● Managerial Economics as a subject gained
popularity in USA after the publication of the
ENVIRONMENTAL or EXTERNAL ISSUES
book ``Managerial Economics” by Joel Dean in
An environmental issue in managerial economics refers
1951.
to the general business environment in which the firm
● Managerial Economics refers to the firm’s
operates. They refer to the general economic, social and
decision making process. It could be also
political atmosphere within which the firm operates. A
interpreted as “Economics of Management”.
study of economic environment should include:
Managerial Economics is also called “Industrial
Economics” or “Business Economics”.
a. The type of economic system in the country.
● In the words of E. F. Brigham and J. L. Pappas
b. The general trends in production, employment,
Managerial Economics is “the applications of
income, prices, saving and investment.
economics theory and methodology to business
c. Trends in the working of financial institutions like
administration practice”.
banks, financial corporations,
● Managerial economics be defined as a body of
insurance companies
knowledge, techniques and practices which give
d. Magnitude and trends in foreign trade; an ice cream bar business in the building the previous
e. Trends in labour and capital markets; summer. He told them last summer he charged $1.50
f. Government’s economic policies viz. industrial policy per ice cream bar and sold 36,000 ice cream bars. He
monetary policy, fiscal policy, price said the cost of the ice cream bars—wholesale
policy etc. purchase, delivery, storage, and so on—comes to about
$0.30 per bar. He indicated his other main costs—
5.) KEY MEASURES AND RELATIONSHIPS leasing the building, license, local business association
Managerial Economics Is Applicable to Different Types fee, and insurance—came to about $16,000.
of Organizations ***Determine a rough estimate of the revenue, costs,
The organization providing goods and services will often and profit if they were to repeat the outcomes for the
be called a “business” or a “firm,” terms that connote a prior operator.
for-profit organization. Wherein the underlying goal of
the organization is to create profit. Based on this analysis, the students are
confident the summer business venture can make
However, managerial economics is relevant to nonprofit money. They approach the owner of the building and
organizations and government agencies as well as learn that if they want to reserve the right of first option
conventional, for-profit businesses. Although the to lease the building over the summer, they will need to
underlying objective may change based on the type of make a nonrefundable $6000 deposit that will be
organization, all these organizational types exist for the applied to the lease. They proceeded to make that
purpose of creating goods or services for persons or deposit.
other organizations.
A few weeks later, all three students were
Economics provides a framework for analyzing unexpectedly offered summer business internships at a
regulation, both the effect on decision making by the large corporation. Each student would earn $10,000.
regulated entities and the policy decisions of the However, the work site for the internships is far from
regulator. the beach and they would be in an office all day. They
now must decide whether to accept the internships and
REVENUE, COST AND PROFIT terminate their plan to run a business at the beach or
❖ The total monetary value of the goods or turn down the internships.
services sold is called revenue.
❖ The collective expenses incurred to generate If you were to decide? What will be your decision?
revenue over a period of time, expressed in
terms of monetary value, are the cost. ECONOMIC PROFIT VS ACCOUNTING PROFIT
➢ Some cost elements are related to the Accounting Profits
volume of sales; that is, as sales go up, - Total revenue (sales) minus cost of producing goods or
the expenses go up. These costs are services.
called variable costs. - Reported on the firm’s income statement.
➢ Other costs are largely invariant to the Economic Profits
volume of sales, at least within a certain - Total revenue minus total opportunity cost.
range of sales volumes. These costs are
called fixed costs. OPPORTUNITY COST
❖ Businesses are viable on a sustained basis only Accounting Costs
when the revenue generated by the business - The explicit costs of the resources needed to produce
generally exceeds the cost incurred in operating goods or services.
the business. The difference between the - Reported on the firm’s income statement.
revenue and cost (found by subtracting the cost Opportunity Cost
from the revenue) is called the profit. - The cost of the explicit and implicit resources that are
EXAMPLE: foregone when a decision is made.
The students realize they need to determine Economic Profits
whether they can make a profit from a summer ice - Total revenue minus total opportunity cost.
cream bar business. They met the person who operated
REVENUE, COST AND PROFIT FUNCTION
There is a relationship between the volume or quantity
created and sold and the resulting impact on revenue,
cost, and profit. These relationships are called the
revenue function, cost function, and profit function.
These relationships can be expressed in terms of tables,
graphs, or algebraic equations.
AVERAGE COST
The average cost is another interesting measure to
track. This is calculated by dividing the total cost by the
quantity. The relationship between average cost and
quantity is the average cost function. For the ice cream
bar venture, the equation for this function would be
AC = C/Q = ($40,000 + $0.3 Q)/Q = $0.3 + $40,000/Q. When the price and unit contribution margins are close,
(AC = TC/Q) most of the revenue generated from additional sales
turns into profit once you get above the breakeven level.
However, if you fall below the breakeven level, the loss
will grow equally dramatically as the volume level drops.
Businesses like software providers, which tend have
mostly fixed costs, see a close correlation between of $2.00 per ice cream bar.
revenue and profit. Businesses of this type tend to be
high risk and high reward. P = 3.3 − 0.00005 Q
On the other hand, businesses that have where P is price and Q is the maximum number of ice
predominantly variable costs, such as a retail grocery cream bars that will sell at this price.
outlet, tend to have relatively modest changes in profit
relative to changes in revenue. If business level falls off, *compute for the prices with the given quantity and
they can scale down their variable costs and profit will make a graphical presentation
not decline so much. At the same time, large increases
in volume levels beyond the breakeven level can achieve In a fixed price market, the seller decides a price and
only modest profit gains because most of the additional the buyers respond with the volume of demand.
revenue is offset by additional variable costs. However, in economics, the common practice is to
describe the demand curve as the highest price that
IMPACT OF PRICE CHANGES could be charged and still sell a quantity Q.
To examine the impact of price and determine a best We can use the stated relationship in the demand curve
price, we need to estimate the relationship between the to examine the impact of price changes on the revenue
price charged and the maximum unit quantity that could and profit functions. (The cost function is unaffected by
be sold. This relationship is called a demand curve. the demand curve.) Again, with a single type of product
Demand curves generally follow a pattern called the law or service, revenue is equal to price times quantity. By
of demand, whereby increases in price result in using the expression for price in terms of quantity rather
decreases in the maximum quantity that can be sold. than a fixed price, we can find the resulting revenue
function.
The demand curve will move downward from the left to
the right, which expresses the law of demand—as the R = P Q = (3.3 − 0.00005 Q) Q = 3.3 Q − 0.00005 Q2.
price of a given commodity increases, the quantity
demanded decreases, ceteris paribus. By subtracting the expression for the cost function from
the revenue function, we get the revised profit function:
MARGINAL COST: Change in total costs arising from a THE SHUTDOWN RULE
change in the control variable, Q: You may recall earlier in this chapter that, before
deciding to disregard the $6000 nonrefundable down
payment (to hold the option to operate the ice cream
MARGINAL PRINCIPLE: To maximize net revenue, the business) as a relevant economic cost, the total cost of
operating the business under a plan to sell 36,000 ice In this diagram, the firm will be willing to produce at
cream bars at a price of $1.50 per item would have prices greater than or equal to Pmin, since this is the
exceeded the expected revenue. Even after further minimum value of the average variable cost curve. At
analysis indicated that the students could improve profit prices below Pmin, the firm will decide to shut down
by planning to sell 30,000 ice cream bars at a price of and produce a quantity of zero instead.
$1.80 each, if the $6000 deposit had not been a sunk
cost, there would have been no planned production Two observations about the shutdown rule are in order:
level and associated price on the demand curve that In a circumstance where a firm’s revenue is sufficient to
would have resulted in positive economic profit. So the meet variable costs but not total costs (including the
students would have determined the ice cream venture sunk costs), although the firm may operate for a period
to be not quite viable if they had known prior to making of time because the additional revenue generated will
the deposit that they could instead each have a summer cover the additional costs, eventually the fixed costs will
corporate internship. However, having committed the need to be refreshed and those will be relevant
$6000 deposit already, they will gain going forward by economic costs prior to commitment to continue
proceeding to run the ice cream bar business. operating beyond the near term. If a business does not
see circumstances changing whereby revenue will be
Earlier in the chapter, we cited one condition for getting better or costs will be going down, although it
reaching a breakeven production level where revenue may be a net gain to operate for some additional time,
would equal or exceed costs as the point where average such a firm should eventually decide to close down its
cost per unit is equal to the price. However, if some of business. Sometimes, it is appropriate to shut down a
the costs are already sunk, these should be disregarded business for a period of time, but not to close the
in determining the relevant average cost. In a business permanently. This may happen if temporary
circumstance where a business regards all fixed costs as unfavorable circumstances mean even uncommitted
effectively sunk for the next production period, this costs cannot be covered by revenue in the near term,
condition becomes a statement of a principle known as but the business expects favorable conditions to resume
the shutdown rule: If the selling price per unit is at least later.
as large as the average variable cost per unit, the firm
should continue to operate for at least a while;
otherwise, the firm would be better to shut down Chapter 3
operations immediately. Demand and Pricing
3.1 Theory of the Consumer
The theory of demand has its foundations in the
theory of consumer choice. Analysis of consumer
behavior is a prerequisite to deal with the theory of
demand. The Theory of Consumer Choice relies on the
assumption that the consumer is rational, he is
equipped with the knowledge regarding his income,
commodities available and their prices, to make a
decision as to what to buy. Trade-offs faced by the
consumers while making a choice, assume an important
role in the theory of consumer choice. Amount to be
spent on different commodities, given the income and
the price, amount of time to be devoted to leisure and
work, whether to consume more in the present or to
save more for the future are a few important questions
that a consumer encounters in his day to day life. In the
due course, we will see how the theory of consumer
choice caters to these questions.
Budget Constraint
A budget constraint is defined as the limit on
the consumption bundles that a consumer can afford.
That means it describes all possible combinations of
goods and services a consumer can afford given their Consumer Preferences and Indifference Curves
current income. A consumer would prefer having
greater quantity or better quality of the goods he Just like the budget constraint, consumer
consumes, however, his income acts as a limit on the preferences are also an important part of the theory of
amount of money he can spend on consumption of consumer choice. To continue with the example of
those goods. burgers and milkshake, it is the consumer preferences
To take a simple example, lets study the case of that help the consumer to choose from different
a consumer who consumes only two commodities: combinations of these two goods. To show the
Burger and Milkshake. Suppose that the consumer earns consumer preferences graphically, we often use
a monthly income of Php 1000, the price of a burger is indifference curves.
Php 20 and that of a glass of milkshake is Php 10.
Table No. 1 lists several combinations of Indifference Curves
milkshake and burger that the consumer can choose An indifference curve is a graphical
from given his income and prices of the two goods. representation of various combinations or consumption
bundles of two commodities. It provides equivalent
Table 1 Combinations of Burger and Milkshake that the satisfaction and utility levels for the consumer. It is a
consumer can afford to consume downward sloping convex line connecting the quantity
of one good consumed with the amount of another
Glasses of Numbe Spending Spendin Total
good consumed.
Milkshake r of on g on Spendin
Figure 2 shows indifference curves for the
s Burgers Milkshak Burgers g
consumer who consumes burgers and milkshake. Points
e
A, B and C on the indifference curve I1 show various
0 50 0 1000 1000 combinations of burgers and milkshake that make the
consumer equally happy. Moving from point A to B, the
10 45 100 900 1000 consumption of milkshake increases while that of
burger, falls. Same is the case when the consumer
20 40 200 800 1000 moves from B to C. The slope of the indifference curve is
termed as the marginal rate of substitution which equals
30 35 300 700 1000
the rate at which the consumer is ready to substitute
40 30 400 600 1000 one good for the other. In this case the marginal rate of
substitution is the measure of the number of glasses of
50 25 500 500 1000 milkshake that need to be given to the consumer for a
unit reduction in consumption of burger. Indifference
60 20 600 400 1000 curve I2 , shows greater level of satisfaction relative to
the indifference curve I1.
70 15 700 300 1000
Important Properties of Indifference Curve
80 10 800 200 1000
Higher indifference curves carry a greater level of
90 5 900 100 1000 satisfaction compared to the lower ones: The
preference of the consumers for greater quantities gets
100 0 1000 0 1000 exhibited in the indifference curve approach also.
Higher indifference curves depict bundles with larger
quantities of goods relative to the lower ones and the
consumer prefers higher indifference curves to the
lower ones.
Indifference curves slope downwards: In the case where
a consumer likes both the goods, when the quantity of
one good is raised, the quantity of the other good has to
fall for the consumer to stay at the same level of
satisfaction. This is what makes the indifference curves For example, a good return on an investment or
slope downwards. other monetary gains may prompt a consumer to
Indifference curves do not intersect: The set of curves replace the older model of an expensive item for a
will never intersect each other. The higher level and newer one.
lower level of curves show different levels of The inverse is true when incomes decrease.
satisfaction. Hence, they do not meet at the point of Substitution In the direction of buying lower-priced
intersection. items has a generally negative consequence on retailers
because it means lower profits. It also may mean that
INCOME EFFECT AND SUBSTITUTION EFFECT there are fewer options for the consumer.
While the substitution effect changes
Income Effect consumption patterns in favor of the more affordable
alternative, even a modest reduction in price may make
The income effect is the change in the a more expensive product more attractive to
consumption of goods based on income. This means consumers.
consumers will generally spend more if they experience For instance, if private college tuition is more
an increase in income. They may spend less if their expensive than public college tuition—and money is a
income drops. concern—consumers will naturally be attracted to
The effect doesn't dictate the kinds of goods consumers public colleges. But a small decrease in private tuition
will buy. They may opt to purchase more expensive costs may be enough to motivate more students to
goods in lesser quantities or cheaper goods in higher begin attending private schools.
quantities, depending on their circumstances and The substitution effect is not limited to
preferences. consumers. When companies outsource part of their
The income effect can be both direct or indirect. When a operations, they are demonstrating the substitution
consumer chooses to make changes to the way they effect. Using cheaper labor in a different country or by
spend because of a change in income, the income effect hiring a third-party result in a drop in costs. This nets a
is said to be direct. For example, a consumer may positive result for the corporation, but a negative effect
choose to spend less on clothing because their income for the employees who may be replaced.
has dropped.
An income effect becomes indirect when a consumer is INCOME EFFECT VS. SUBSTITUTION EFFECT
faced with making buying choices because of factors not
related to their income. For instance, food prices may go
up, leaving the consumer with less income to spend on BASIS FOR INCOME SUBSTITUTION
other items. This may force them to cut back on dining COMPARISON EFFECT EFFECT
out, resulting in an indirect income effect.
The marginal propensity to consume explains how
consumers spend based on income. It is a concept based Meaning Income effect Substitution effect
on the balance between the spending and saving habits refers to the means an effect
of consumers. change in the due to the change
The marginal propensity to consume is included in a demand of a in price of a good
larger theory of macroeconomics known as Keynesian commodity or service, leading
economics. The theory draws comparisons between caused by the consumer to
production, individual income, and the tendency to change in replace higher
spend more of it. consumer's real priced items with
income. lower prices ones
Substitution Effect
The substitution effect may occur when, due to a
change in relative prices and finances, a consumer Reflected by Movement Movement along
replaces one product with another. That might mean along income- price-consumption
switching out cheaper or moderately priced items for consumption curve
ones that are more expensive. curve
Although some have attempted to claim that we
approximate the idea of the consumer, our
consumption choices may not entirely match it. Simon
discusses bounded rationality and satisficing. Herbert
Effect of Income being Relative price Simon proposed a theory of bounded rationality (1997).
freed up. changes that asserts that when given few choices, people
actually act logically. Therefore, consumers may be able
to reach something near to the theoretical maximum in
terms of overall utility if they concentrate on a small
number of key goods and services. Simon also noted
Expresses Impact of rise Change in quantity
that, rather than pursuing the optimal pattern of
or fall in demanded of a
consumption, humans may "satisfice,"or seek to achieve
purchasing good due to
a specific level of consumer satisfaction. Once more, if
power on change in prices.
the level of acceptability is reasonably close to the
consumption
optimal level, the outcomes of purchasing decisions may
resemble what would happen if the consumers
Rise in price of Reduces As alternative functioned in accordance with this idea.
a good disposable goods are We notice how other people behave, which is another
income, which comparatively point that suggests that discrepancies between the
in turn cheaper and so theory and actual conduct may not lead to drastically
decrease customers will different consumption. If someone else, through
quantity switch to other deliberate effort or unintentional discovery, is enjoying
demanded goods. more fulfillment under comparable wealth and income
conditions, their neighbors and acquaintances will
notice this and begin to imitate their consumption
Fall in price of a Increases real Will make it habits. Our consumption may therefore change to
good spending power cheaper than its follow the ideal pattern.
of a consumer, substitutes, which The fact that the theory of the consumer lacks face
that allows will attract more validity means that it is not effective at modeling
customers to customers and customer behavior, which is perhaps the most
buy more, with result in higher significant factor. Whether owing to changes in their
the given demand. actual discretionary income or indirect effects on wealth
budget. brought on by price changes, we do anticipate
3.2 Is The Theory of Consumer Realistic? consumers to react to price changes and changes in
It would be challenging to argue that the theory of the their wealth.
consumer is consistent with our personal experiences 3.3 Determinants of Demand
making purchasing decisions or with what we see in
other consumers. We don't consciously consider how The determinants of demand refer to the
many of the tens of thousands of potential goods and quantities of a product or service consumers are ready
services we might use and their respective marginal and able to purchase.
utility. We are unaware of numerous goods and Economic demand depends on a number of
services' existence as well as their various current costs. different variables. For instance, price is a key driver of
Even if we did, the computational complexity required demand, as there are very few consumers that don't
to solve for optimal consumption would likely be too care about money. Equally, a consumer's purchasing
much for our brains and even the fastest computers. habits may change if they get a pay rise. In order to
Frequently, both we and others only consider what is measure these fluctuations, economists have identified
necessary to survive rather than what will bring us the five key determinants of demand that influence
most satisfaction when we consume. Poor or seriously ill purchase patterns associated with a product or service.
consumers are probably unable to make even a small In turn, manufacturers and suppliers can study these
attempt at consumption optimization. Some individuals metrics to manage inventory. Below, we look at these
might just drink out of habit rather than on purpose. factors in more detail.
Price of the Product The price of complementary goods or
The law of demand states that when services raises the cost of using the product you
prices rise, the quantity of demand falls. That demand, so you'll want less. For example, when
also means that when prices drop, demand will gas prices rose to $4 a gallon in 2008, the
grow. People base their purchasing decisions on demand for gas-guzzling trucks and SUVs fell.
price if all other things are equal. The exact Gas is a complementary good to these vehicles.
quantity bought for each price level is described The cost of driving a truck rose along with gas
in the demand schedule. It's then plotted on a prices.
graph to show the demand curve. The opposite reaction occurs when the
If the quantity demanded responds a lot price of a substitute rises. When that happens,
to price, then it's known as elastic demand. If people will want more of the good or service
demand doesn't change much, regardless of and less of its substitute. That's why Apple
price, that's inelastic demand. continually innovates with its iPhones and iPods.
Note: The demand curve shows just the As soon as a substitute, such as a new Android
relationship between price and quantity. If one phone, appears at a lower price, Apple comes
of the other determinants changes, the entire out with a better product. Then the Android is
demand curve shifts. no longer a substitute.
Consumer Expectations and Taste
Income of the Consumers Expectations of a higher income or
When income rises, so will the quantity expecting an increase in prices of goods will lead
demanded. When income falls, so will demand. to an increase in the quantity demanded.
But if your income doubles, you won't always Similarly, expectations of a reduced income or a
buy twice as much of a particular good or lowering in prices of goods will decrease the
service. There are only so many pints of ice quantity demanded.
cream you'd want to buy, no matter how If consumers suspect that the price of a
wealthy you are, and this is an example of product will rise in future, the demand for said
"marginal utility." product will increase in the present. For
The first pint of ice cream tastes example, if there is a rise in petrol prices
delicious. You might have another. But after forecast for the coming week, motorists will fill
that, the marginal utility starts to decrease to up today. Equally, customers attitudes, tastes,
the point where you don't want any more. and preferences can impact demand in ways
Important: Marginal utility is the concept that less directly associated with cost. For instance, if
each unit of a good or service is a little less a popular celebrity is involved in marketing a
useful to you than the first. At some point, you product, demand may increase. Conversely, if a
wont want it anymore, and the marginal utility scientific study reports a product is detrimental
drops to zero. to your health, demand will drop.
When the publics desires, emotions, or
Prices Related Goods and Services preferences change in favor of a product, so
Complementary products – An increase does the quantity demanded. Likewise, when
in the price of one product will cause a decrease tastes go against it, that depresses the amount
in the quantity demanded of a complementary demanded. Brand advertising tries to increase
product. Example: Rise in the price of bread will the desire for consumer goods.
reduce the demand for butter. This arises Number of Buyers in the Market
because the products are complementary in One of the most important
nature. determinants of demand is the size of the
Substitute Product – An increase in the market. The more consumers want to purchase
price of one product will cause an increase in a product, the faster demand will rise. Although
the demand for a substitute product. Example: a rise in population is an obvious way this can
Rise in the price of tea will increase the demand happen, there are other factors that influence
for coffee and decrease the demand for tea. the size of a customer base. For example, a
company may produce a highly effective
marketing campaign that introduces their Four key determinants of demand:
product or service to a new segment. ● the price they charge for the service
The number of consumers affects ● their advertising expenditure
overall, or aggregate,demand. As more buyers ● the price charged by the competition
enter the market, demand rises. That's true ● the disposable income of their potential
even if prices don't change, and the U.S. saw customers.
this during the housing bubble of 2005. Low- Four variables to measure determinants:
cost and sub-prime mortgages increased the
number of people who could afford a house. P = the price per month of their service, in dollars.
The total number of buyers in the market A = advertising expenditure per month, in dollars,
expanded. This increased demand for housing. CP = the price per month of the competitors service, in
When housing prices started to fall, many dollars,
realized they couldn't afford their mortgages. At DIPC = the disposable income per capita, in dollars, as
that point, they foreclosed. That reduced the measured by the U.S. Department of Commerce for that
number of buyers and drove down demand. month.
40,200
Q = 25,800 + 40,200 - 800P
66,000
Q = 66,000 - 800 P
Q = 66,000 - 800 P
800 P = 66,000 Q
800 800 Figure 1.1 Forecasting
P = $82.50 - 0.00125 Q.
Demand Forecasting on the other hand is
Figure 3.1 Shift in Demand Curve for Broadband
different from demand estimation. The goal of demand
Service Caused by Increase of Competitor Price From
estimation is to quantify the connections or
$25/month to $35/month shows a graph of the demand
relationships between the amount of demand and the
curve before and after the shift. Effectively, the result is
factors that influence it are commonly employed in
that the broadband firm would see its demand increase
developing price strategies of the company. This is
by 2000 customers per month, or alternatively, the firm
usually done for a short period of time. Demand
could raise its price to $32.50 and still maintain 40,000
forecasting on the other hand is the technique of
customers per month
estimating and predicting future consumer demand for
a good or service using predictive analysis of previous
FORECASTING DEMAND data. The goal of demand forecasting is to enable
managers to plan for the most likely future demand for
a product's necessary preparation of personnel, raw products, statistical approaches cannot be used. So how
materials, equipment, finances, and other production will you forecast? As a business owner, what would you
factors. By estimating future sales and revenue, demand do? You make an advance prediction. How? According
forecasting assists the company in making more to Joel Dean, there are six approaches for forecasting
educated supply decisions. However, both the two the demand of a new product which includes: (1)
approaches have the main objective to avoid under and evolutionary approach, (2) substitute approach, (3)
over production. growth curve approach, (4) opinion polling approach, (5)
Generally, there are three (3) laws that govern sales experience approach (6) vicarious approach. The
the demand. Price and the demanded quantity are growth curve approach has limited applicability and is
inversely proportional, customers budget and the law of most helpful when demand projection is advanced. It
diminishing marginal utility. In short note, change in has long been common practice to investigate consumer
customers income, change in number of consumers, demand for new items by conducting opinion research
change in price of a substitute good, change in or intention surveys. When the experiment is well
customers expectations, change in price of a controlled, sales experience with a new product on a
complementary good and change in consumers tastes sample basis gives predictions of demand a stronger
and preferences all have an impact on the demand. basis.
When you have a large product, a huge customer The difficulty comes in figuring out how much
demographic, predicting demand becomes a nightmare. room to leave for the sample market's peculiarities and
Without demand forecasting, you may underproduced immaturity. The Vicarious technique is incredibly simple
or overproduced or even set unrealistic sales targets. and agonizingly difficult to quantify. It can typically only
However, reality check, a majority of the important be used as an inexpensive horseback sally.
demand factors are not under the control of businesses. To sum it up, businesses can't decide how much
The company cannot influence how the general money to spend on marketing, how much product to
economy and consumer earnings will develop. The produce, how many people to hire, and other issues
company could anticipate, but not influence, the unless they have a thorough grasp of demand. Demand
behavior of other businesses that supply substitute and forecasting can help you shorten production lead times,
complementary products services and products. It is boost operational effectiveness, save money, introduce
crucial to consider how these external pressures will new items, and generally give customers a better
affect things which use the different methods of experience. However, it will never be completely
demand forecasting. correct. You'll just be able to make wise decisions
The most common is the survey method which regarding corporate growth plans, pricing, and market
is divided into four types: (1) opinion survey method, (2) potential. If not done properly, all the ill-informed
expert survey method, (3) delphi method and (4) choices that might possibly occur can have a significant
consumer interview method. impact on profitability, supply chain management,
All these sum up to the idea that one of the best inventory holding costs, and most importantly,
ways to forecast is to know the demands of your customer happiness.
customers. The next aspect that we can look at is the
traditional statistical method.Here, the company usually
ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
uses what they call a time series of data. These include
datas that are recorded at equally spaced intervals. This In the earlier discussion we were able to
allows them to see the trend and seasonality of a understand the relationship between demand and price.
product. Reiterating the discussion briefly, The Law of Demand
However, historical datas sometimes alone is states that as the price of a good decreases, the
not enough. The pandemic shows that the demand quantity demanded of those goods increases. Thus,
changes may be illogical and unpredictable- no country according to the law of demand there is an inverse
predicted that there will be a huge increase in demand relationship between price and quantity demanded.
for toilet paper, masks, sanitizers and all. Here historical Those other things which are assumed to be constant
data alone didn't help- especially if you have a new are taste or preference of the consumer, income of the
product. Demand projection for a new product is very consumer, prices of related goods etc. If these factors
different from demand projection for an established undergo a change, then the inverse relationship may not
one. Because there is no previous data available for new hold good. However, we also observe that for
commodities like salt or rice we do not notice much of a for all the determinant factors because elasticity
change in demand whereas in case of goods like Air changes if you look at a different configuration of factor
conditioners, Cars etc. even with a small change there is levels. Suppose we decide to find the price elasticity
substantial increase in demand. The Law of demand when P = $30, A = $5000, CP = $25, and DIPC = $33,000.
while stating the relationship between demand and Earlier we determined that the demand quantity at this
price mentions only the direction of change in demand setting was Q = 40,000 monthly subscribers.
but does not mention anything about the magnitude of Q = 25,800 − 800 P + 4 A + 200 CP + 0.4 DIPC. This
the change which is very essential in the decision- relationship is called a demand function.
making process for the producer and Government. Where:
Suppose we would like to assess whether the P = the price per month of their service, in dollars
demand for broadband service will change much in A = advertising expenditure per month, in dollars,
response to a change in its price. One indicator of the CP = the price per month of the competitors service, in
level of response to a price change is the coefficient of dollars,
the price term in the demand function equation, –800 P. DIPC = the disposable income per capita, in dollars, as
The interpretation of the coefficient –800 is that for measured by the U.S. Department of Commerce for that
each increase of $1 in the monthly subscriber price, the month.
number of monthly subscribers will decrease by 800
subscribers. This observation provides some insight,
particularly if the broadband firm is considering a price Q = 25,800 − 800 ($30) + 4 ($5000) + 200 ($25) + 0.4
change and would like to know the impact on the (33,000)
number of subscribers. However, for someone who Q= 25,800 -24,000 + 20,000 + 5,000 + 13,200
measures price in terms of a different currency, say Q= 64,000 – 24,000
Japanese yen, a conversion to U.S. dollars would be Q= 40,000
needed to appreciate whether the demand change
implied by the coefficient value is large or modest. If we let the price increase by 10% from $30 to
$33 and repeat the calculation of Q in the demand
Another limitation of this approach to function, the value of Q will decline to 37,600
measuring the responsiveness of demand to a subscribers, which is a decline of 2400 customers. As a
determinant of demand is that the observation may not percentage of 40,000 monthly customers, this would be
apply readily to other communities that may have a a 6% decrease (2400/40000). So the price elasticity here
larger or smaller population of potential customers. An would be:
alternative approach to measuring the sensitivity of
demand to its determinant factors is to assess the ratio
of percentage change in demand to the percentage Q = 25,800 − 800 P + 4 A + 200 CP + 0.4 DIPC.
change in its determinant factor. Q = 25,800 − 800 ($33) + 4 ($5000) + 200 ($25) + 0.4
(33,000)
Types of Elasticity of Demand Q= 25,800 -26,400 + 20,000 + 5,000 + 13,200
1. Price Elasticity of Demand Q= 64,000 – 26,400
2. Income Elasticity of Demand Q= 37,600
3. Cross-Price Elasticity
Elastic Demand
If Price Elasticity of Demand = ∞, then it is a
Perfectly Elastic Demand.
A perfectly elastic demand curve is represented
by a straight horizontal line and shows that the market
demand for a product is directly tied to the price. When
the percentage of change in quantity demanded is
infinite even if the percentage of change in price is zero,
the demand is said to be perfectly elastic.
Figure 3. Inelastic Demand
When income elasticity of a product is greater than (Q1 – Q2) / (Q1 + Q2)
one, we call the product a cyclic good. The adjective (I1 – I2) / (I1 + I2
cyclicsuggests that this demand is sensitive to changes
in the business cycle and will generally change more on Q1– Initial demand of product;
a percentage basis than income levels. Luxury goods Q2– Final demand of product B;
that customers can do without in hard economic times I1– Initial income of customers; and
often fall in this category. I2– Final income of customers
When income elasticity is between zero and one, we
call the product a noncyclic good. The demand for (10,000 – 5,000) / (10,000 + 5,000) = 0.33 = 2.97
noncyclic goods tends to move up and down with ($50,000 – $40,000) / ($50,000 + $40,000) 0.11
income levels, but not as strongly on a percentage basis. Therefore, the income elasticity of demand is
Most of the staple goods and services we need are 2.97. It is a cyclic good and indicates that local
noncyclic. customers are particularly sensitive to changes in their
Normally we would expect demand for a good or income when it comes to buying cars.
service to increase when incomes increase and decrease c) Lets take another example of cheap
when incomes decrease, other things being equal. garments. The weekly demand for cheap garments went
down from 4,000 pieces to 2,500 pieces as the level of 10%. Calculate the cross-price elasticity of
real income in the economy increased from $75 per day demand in this case.
to $125 per day. The reason is the shift in preference
due to the availability of extra money on the back of Since we can see a negative value for cross
increased income level. Calculate the income elasticity elasticity of demand, it vindicates the
of demand based on the given information. complementary relationship between gasoline
(Q1 – Q2) / (Q1 + Q2) and passenger vehicles.
(I1 – I2) / (I1 + I2)
Let us assume that two companies are selling soft
Q1– Initial demand of product; drinks. At present, company no. 2 sells soft drinks Y at
Q2– Final demand of product B; $3.50 per bottle, while company no. 1 can sell 4,000
I1– Initial income of customers; and bottles of soft drinks Y per week. To bump the sales of
I2– Final income of customers company 1, company 2 decided to decrease the price to
$2.50, which resulted in reduced sales of 3,000 bottles
(4,000 – 2,500) / (4,000 + 2,500) = 0.23 = -0.92 of soft drinks Y per week. Calculate the cross-price
($75 – $125) / ($75 + $125) -0.25 elasticity of demand in the case.
Therefore, the income elasticity of demand for
cheap garments is -0.92. It is a counter cyclic good. Given: Q2A = 3,000 bottles, Q1A = 4,000 bottles, P2A =
$3.50 and P2B= $2.50
Any remaining chance for profit involves cutting Resource Approach to Production Planning
costs as much as feasible because, once output goals
There will always be a situation where a company may
are established, the projected revenue is essentially
be more skilled or knowledgeable among those
fixed.That is easier said than done.
procurement and production operations it uses to
As defined, cost minimization is the process of produce its goods and services, at least in comparison to
reducing spendings on pointless or ineffective activities. its rivals. For an instance, a company might have world-
Any degree of cost reduction will probably have a class manufacturing capabilities but merely average
significant impact on maximizing earnings, regardless of marketing cost-effectiveness.
how significant the changes in spending are.
Having said that, in cases where a company
Take this for an example, if the firm with the excels in some areas of its operations, there may be a
office warehouse rents 30 forklifts, they will need to hire chance for increased profitability by identifying these
1 machine operator to oversee 5 forklifts, requiring a crucial areas, which are sometimes referred to as core
total of 6 operators. In another scenario, more competencies in the business strategy literature. And,
experienced operators may be more efficient by using when the company approached this by figuring out what
other tools to help them move large quantities of kinds of products or services would best exploit these
product across the warehouse floor. The warehouse can capabilities, this is what we call the resource approach
move around the same amount of products with 15 to production planning. This is based from one of the
automated forklifts and 15 machine operators. key initial papers Wernerfelt (1984) wrote which is
about the resource-based view of management.
competencies thanks to the comprehensive view of all
the resource pools. Managers are thus able to allocate
Resource-based View of Management resources in accordance with the range and market
demand of the company's products and services. They
Resource-based view of management is said to be an
can also make data-driven decisions, fully use talents to
approach or a strategy to attaining a long-term
its maximum potential, and maximize profitability with
competitive advantage. By this, it suggests that by
the aid of real-time information.
repurposing the existing resources or using the current
resources in a new way, it is simpler and more practical Maintain competitive advantage. The increase in
to take advantage of external opportunities; which market volatility customer demands. The ability of a
contrasts with acquiring new skills or developing new corporation to adapt to shifting market conditions
capabilities for each different opportunity. frequently becomes the determining element for its
development and success. In these circumstances,
In accordance with the RBV model, resources are a
managers can implement crucial strategic responses by
crucial component to an organization's ability to
utilizing both their tangible and intangible assets.
perform better. From this, there are two (2) types of
Demand fulfillment is made possible by an RBV of
resources: (1) Tangible; and (2) Intangible.
strategy, which helps a business maintain its
Tangible resources.Physical objects make up competitive edge.
tangible resources that are readily available for
Cross-functional resource usage. The resource-based
purchase by organizations including land, buildings,
strategy model makes it easier for the workforce and its
machinery, equipment, and capital.
expertise to be visible across the entire business in a
Intangible resources. Things that do not exist matrix structure. It aids in forming a cross-functional
physically, such as brand reputation, trademarks, team to carry out the project and allocating the proper
intellectual property, and the likes. resources from other departments. It also lowers hiring
cycle costs and also aids in utilizing a diverse workforce.
Moreover, there are two critical assumptions in In addition, workers are assigned multifaceted tasks to
RBV. That is, resources must be heterogeneous and work on to build their professional portfolios.
immobile.
Ultimately, both the cost approach and resource
Heterogenous. The first assumption suggests approach to planning productions will theoretically
that the capabilities and other resources of the result in similar decisions about what products and
organization are different from that of others. services to offer and how to organize the production in
order to do so. However, corporations are unlikely to
Immobile. The second assumption suggests that, achieve really optimal organization, especially after the
at least in the short-run, resources are immobile and do fact, given the large range of viable outputs and
not move from an organization to another. organizations of production to deliver them. Between
the two, the cost approach is often simpler to
Importance of Resource-based View
implement, especially for a company that is currently
The aims of the resource-based view is to achieve a operating in a specific industry and has the ability to
sustainable competitive advantage. Such sustainable make small, cost-saving improvements.
competitive advantage can be achieved by doing a
Anyhow, there is some risk of narrow focus that
thorough resource analysis, allocating resources, and
ignores opportunities to make the most use of core
utilizing resources across functional boundaries. The
competencies while trying to find a solution to the issue
same is true for a company's ability to innovate more
of how to provide the goods and services at the lowest
effectively and differentiate itself from the competition.
possible cost. This is where the resource approach is
An RBV strategy helps organizations achieve the best utilized as this promotes more out-of-the-box
following: thinking that could result in a significant business
restructure.
Visibility for efficient resource allocation. Managers are
enabled to learn more about resource skills and 4.5 Marginal Revenue Product and Derived Demand
What is Derived Demand? Derived demand comprises three components – raw
materials, processed materials, and labor. The three
In economics, derived demand is the demand for a good elements are called the chain of derived demand.
or service that results from the demand for a different, 1. Raw materials
or related, good or service. It is a demand for some They are resources that are used in the production of a
physical or intangible thing where a market exists for product. For example, lithium batteries are raw
both related goods and services in question. It was first materials for cell phones. The level of derived demand
introduced by Alfred Marshall in 1890 in his book, for a certain raw material is directly related to and
Principle of Economics.For example, the demand for dependent on the level of demand for the final good to
large-screen televisions creates a derived demand for be produced. The level of demand for lithium batteries
home theater products such as audio speakers, is directly related to the level of demand for cell phones
amplifiers, and installation services. (final product).
2. Processed materials
Only when there is a separate market for both related They are products that have been built from assembling
goods or services involved does derived demand exist. raw materials; steel, gas, and paper are examples of
The market price of a product or service is significantly processed materials.
influenced by the level of derived demand for that 3. Labor
specific product or service. Labor consists of the workers who facilitate the
production of goods and the provision of services. The
Derived demand differs from regular demand, which is
demand for labor depends on the demand for the final
simply the quantity of a certain good or service that
good or service– there is no demand for labor when
consumers are willing to buy at a given price at a certain
there is no demand for the final product. Labor is a
point in time. Under the theory of regular demand, a
component of derived demand.
products price is based on whatever the market—
meaning consumers—will bear. The chain of derived demand is the flow of raw
materials to processed goods to finished products with
Understanding Derived Demand
the help of labor. An increase in the demand for the end
goods by the customer will trickle down to the
Derived demand is related solely to the demand placed
beginning of the chain. For example, an increase in
on a good or service for its ability to acquire or produce
demand for stainless steel utensils will increase the
another good or service. Derived demand can be
demand for steel (processed goods), and in turn,
spurred by what is required to complete the production
increase the demand for iron ore (raw material).
of a particular good, including the capital, land, labor,
The Economic Effects of Derived Demand
and necessary raw materials. In these instances, the
Far beyond the industries, workers, and consumers
demand for raw material is directly tied to the demand
directly involved, the chain of derived demand can have
for products that require the raw material for their
a ripple effect on local and even national economies. For
production.
example, custom clothing sewn by small local tailor may
The demand that is derived from the demand for
create a new local market for shoes, jewelry, and other
another product can be an excellent investing strategy
high-end fashion accessories.
when used to anticipate the potential market for goods
On the national level, an increase in demand for raw
outside of the original product desired. In addition, if
materials like crude oil, lumber, or cotton, can create
activity in one sector increases, then any sector that's
vast new international demand trading markets for
responsible for the first sectors success may also see
countries that enjoy an abundance of those materials.
gains.
We can better understand how the markets for
NOTE:The principles of derived demand work in both inputs function and how these markets relate to the
directions. If the demand for a product decreases, then markets for final goods by understanding derived
the demand for the goods required to produce that demand and the supply of inputs. Understanding these
product will also decrease. concepts enable us to determine whether it is worth
paying someone $20 per hour or how much a company
The Chain of Derived Demand would be willing to pay for that specific material on the
margin. These answers are based on the value or
revenue generated by using an additional amount of the produce an extra 200 pairs of shoes every week, the
relevant input compared to what it costs to employ that marginal revenue product is calculated as follows:
additional amount of input. Similar to the concept of
marginal revenue and marginal cost, which measures MRP = 200 x $10
the additional benefits and costs of producing another MRP = $2,000
unit of output, we use the concept of marginal revenue
product and marginal resource cost which measures
the additional revenue and additional cost from using Therefore, if John hires a new employee, the
one more input. employee will generate an additional $2,000 in
weekly revenue for the manufacturing plant.
What is Marginal Product?
The marginal product of a production input is the Understanding Marginal Revenue Product
amount of additional output that would be created if Marginal revenue product is used to make critical
one more unit of the input were obtained and decisions on business production and determine the
processed. It is also referred to as marginal physical optimal level of a resource. The MRP also assumes that
product, or MPP. In practical terms, this might mean the the expenditures on other factors remain unchanged.
additional donuts produced at a donut shop once they For example, a farmer wants to know whether to
hire an extra employee. Or it might mean the additional purchase another specialized tractor to seed and
number of strawberries harvested by a farmer who harvest wheat. If the extra tractor can eventually
plants additional seeds. Or the additional revenue a produce 3,000 additional bushels of wheat (the MP),
bowling alley receives if it builds extra lanes. and each additional bushel sells at the market for $5
(MR), the MRP of the tractor is $15,000.
What is Marginal Revenue Product? Holding other considerations constant, the farmer is
The marginal revenue product of a production input is only willing to pay less than or equal to $15,000 for the
the marginal revenue created from the marginal tractor. Otherwise, he will take a loss. Estimating costs
product resulting from one additional unit of the input. and revenues is difficult, but businesses that can
The marginal revenue product is calculated by estimate MRP accurately tend to survive and profit
multiplying the marginal product of the input by the more than their competitors.
marginal revenue generated. In determining if a firm is using the optimal level on an
There are two variables needed in order to determine input, the marginal revenue product for an additional
the marginal revenue product: unit of input can be compared to the marginal cost of a
unit of the input. If the marginal revenue product
1. Number of units that an additional employee or exceeds the marginal input cost, the firm can improve
machine will add to the total production, also profitability by increasing the use of that input and the
referred to as marginal product resulting increase in output. If the marginal cost of the
2. Amount gained from the sale of an additional input exceeds the marginal revenue product, profit will
unit or the price that the units sell for on the improve by decreasing the use of that input and the
market, also referred to as marginal revenue corresponding decrease in output. At the optimal level,
the marginal revenue product and marginal cost of the
Calculating the Marginal Revenue Product input would be equal.
The formula to determine Marginal Revenue Product is: Example:An accounting firm sells accountant time as a
MRP = MP x MR service and each hired accountant is typically billed to
Where: clients 1500 hours per year. The marginal revenue from
an additional billed hour of accountant service is $100.
· MRPis the Marginal Revenue Product The marginal revenue product of an additional
· MP is the Marginal Product accountant would be 1500 times $100, or $150,000.
· MRis the Marginal Revenue Suppose the marginal cost to hire an additional
accountant was $120,000. The firm would improve its
Example: John is the manager of a shoe manufacturing
profit by $30,000 by hiring one more accountant.
plant, and he is considering hiring another employee to
meet the increasing demand. Assumes that each unit
What Is the Law of Diminishing Marginal Returns?
sells for $10, and John knows that a new employee will
The law of diminishing marginal returns is a theory in frames into bicycles. In cases like this, sometimes the
economics that predicts that after some optimal level of principle needs to be applied to a fixed mix of inputs
capacity is reached, adding an additional factor of rather than a single input.
production will actually result in smaller increases in
output. Correspondingly, the marginal revenue product For the accounting firm in the earlier example, the cost
will generally decrease as the input and corresponding to acquire an additional accountant is not merely the
output continue to be increased. salary he is paid. The firm will pay for benefits like
So, for the accounting firm, although they may realize retirement contributions and health care for the new
an additional $30,000 in profit by hiring one more employee. Further, additional inputs in the form of an
accountant, that does not imply they would realize office, computer, secretarial support, and such will be
$3,000,000 more in profits by hiring 100 more incurred. So the fact that the marginal revenue product
accountants. of an accountant is $150,000 does not mean that the
If the marginal revenue product is measured at several firm would benefit if the accountant were hired at any
possible input levels and graphed, the pattern suggests salary less than $150,000. Rather, it would profit if the
a relationship between quantity of input and marginal additional cost of salary, benefits, office expense,
revenue product, as shown in Figure 1 "Typical Pattern secretarial support, and so on is less than $150,000.
of a Derived Demand Curve Relating the Marginal
Revenue Product to Quantity of Input Employed in 4.6 Marginal Cost of Input and Economic Rent
Production". Due to the law of diminishing marginal
returns, this relationship will generally be negative. When inputs are in high supply at the current market
Thus, the relationship looks much like the demand curve rate and there is competition in the market of inputs, an
corresponding to output levels. In fact, this relationship input's marginal cost is essentially the same as its actual
is a transformation of the firms demand curve, cost of acquisition. In this case, the earlier-discussed
expressed in terms of the equivalent marginal revenue idea can be stated by contrasting the price to buy the
product relative to the number of units of input used. input to the marginal revenue product (s). Marginal cost
Due to the connection to the demand curve for output, refers to the increase or decrease in the cost of
the relationship depicted in the figure is called a derived producing one more unit or serving one more customer.
demand curve. It is also known as incremental cost. For example, say
that to make 100 branded bags, it costs $100. To make
Figure 1 one more bag would cost $80. The cost to produce one
Typical Pattern of a Derived Demand Curve Relating extra unit of a good or service is then known as the
the Marginal Revenue Product to Quantity of Input marginal cost.
Employed in Production
If less competition is happening in the market for inputs,
a company may have to pay a little more than the
current market rate to get more units since they will
have to be taken from another company. Because the
price increase caused by the extra unit may carry over
to an increase in the price of all the units being
purchased, in this case, the marginal cost of inputs may
be higher than the cost to purchase an additional unit.
2. Graphical Presentation
3. Geometrical/Equation Presentation
Y = aXb
Y = 100(8-0.321928)
Y = $ 51.20