ASMB Home Center and Services

Problem 2 Using Program Evaluation & Review Technique (PERT)

One of the regular customer of ASMB Home Center and Services ordered furnitures
and appliances via online and she wanted to know how long it would take to
receive her order , by using PERT method we can determine the delivery duration
from BATANGAS-BATANES.

FIGURE 1.
ACTIVITY ACTIVITY DESCRIPTION ESTIMATED DURATION/ DAYS

OPTIMISTIC MOST PESSMISTIC

(to) LIKELY (tp)
(tm)

1-2 Checking of Stocks/items 6 9 18

2-3 Preparing the Item/s 3 7 17

2-4 Create Purchase order 4 10 16
2-5 Completion of orders/ items 2 6 16

3-5 Creating delivery 5 10 29

4-5 Shipment of the Item 6 11 22
5-6 Delivering the Item 4 7 16

We will use the formula of PERT Method to get the EXPECTED

TIME (te)
te = to+4tm+tp
6
to - Optimistic Time (shortest possible)
tm - Most Likely (normal condition)
tp - Pessimistic Time (maximum time)
te - Expected Time
FIGURE 2
ACTIVITY ACTIVITY ESTIMATED DURATION/ DAYS
DESCRIPTION
OPTIMISTIC MOST LIKELY PESSMISTIC EXPECTED
(to) (tm) (tp) TIME
(te)

1-2 Checking of 6 9 18
Stocks/items
10
2-3 Preparing the Item/s 3 7 17
2-4 Create Purchase 4 10 16
order
2-5 Completion of 2 6 16
orders/ items
3-5 Creating delivery 5 10 29
4-5 Shipment of the 6 11 22
Item
5-6 Delivering the Item 4 7 16

te = to+4tm+tp
6
te = 6+4x9+18
6
te = 6+36+18 = 60 = 10
6 6

FIGURE 3
ACTIVITY ACTIVITY ESTIMATED DURATION/ DAYS
DESCRIPTION
OPTIMISTIC MOST LIKELY PESSMISTIC EXPECTED
(to) (tm) (tp) TIME
(te)

1-2 Checking of 6 9 18
Stocks/items
10
2-3 Preparing the Item/s 3 7 17
8
2-4 Create Purchase 4 10 16
order
10
 2-5 Completion of 2 6 16
orders/ items
7
3-5 Creating delivery 5 10 29
11
4-5 Shipment of the 6 11 22
Item
12
5-6 Delivering the Item 4 7 16
8

After we determined the Expected time, we can now proceed to our PERT Chart/ Diagram

- ACTIVITIES

- FORWARD&
BACKWARD PASS
-
- EXPECTED
TIME
FIGURE 4.

8 11
1 2 5 6
10 8
7

10
12
4

FIGURE 5.
In figure 5 we will be getting the forward pass or the maximum time.

18

0
3
10 32 40

8 11
1 2 5 6
10 7 8

10 4 12

20
 FIGURE 6.
In figure 6 we will be getting the forward pass or the minimum time.

18 21

0 0
3
10 10 32 32 40 40

8 11
1 2 5 6
10 8
7

10
12
4

20 20